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All about the GBPUSDGBPUSD is one of the most popular and widely traded trading instruments on the Forex market. Due to its high liquidity and high volatility, it provides opportunities for daily or intraday trading. In this article we will look at GBPUSD and give valuable tips for successful trades. Currency Overview The British pound is the main currency pair representing the currencies of the two largest economies in the world. The quoted currency is the US dollar, and the base currency is the British pound. Interesting fact: Many currency traders refer to the GBPUSD pair as a "cable". Currencies are seriously affected by economic reports such as GDP, employment reports, inflation, etc. Nevertheless, the activity of the central bank is one of the most important factors of currency volatility and price direction. This applies both to decisions made by the Bank of England and to the units of the Federal Reserve System responsible for interest rate decisions. From a historical point of view, the GBP/USD pair has been trading since the early 1970s, when both the United Kingdom and the United States switched to floating exchange rates. The best time to trade The average daily volatility of the cable is large enough to take advantage of short-term price trends. In addition, the currency pair is very stable and suitable for technical and fundamental traders. The best time to trade GBP/USD is when the sessions in London and New York overlap. At this time, the maximum trading volume is observed. The spread during this period will be the narrowest, which means the least slippage in trading. The window for trading between the London and New York sessions is between 8:00 and 12:00 Eastern time. The second best time for trading is the opening time of the London session, that is, the interval from 3:00 to 4:00 Eastern time. Most European markets are trading at this time, so this pair has a large trading volume. Five economic data affecting the exchange rate: First of all, these are reports on the GDP of the United Kingdom and the United States. Usually, the initial estimates of GDP have the greatest impact on the price of currency pairs, because they are published earlier, giving traders a preliminary assessment of the economic state of the country. The second type of reporting is related to monetary policy. In particular, reports and decisions on interest rates published by the Bank of England and the US Federal Reserve System. Trade balance indicators. As a rule, the trade balance shows how much capital enters the country and how much is withdrawn from it. As a rule, an increase in the trade surplus is considered a sign of a healthy economy, while a trade deficit is considered not such a favorable event. GBP/USD traders should pay close attention to the unemployment rate in the US and Britain. Essentially, the unemployment rate measures the percentage of the total workforce that is unemployed but currently looking for work. Obviously, the higher the unemployment rate, the greater the harm to the entire economy. Inflation indicators. This includes the consumer price index and the producer price index. The consumer price index measures the inflation of a basket of goods and is considered an inflation index at the consumer level. The PPA measures inflation at the producer or wholesale price level. Both inflation indicators provide important information about potential long-term price trends. However, the producer price index is considered a leading indicator and therefore may be more useful for predicting the next price trend. Correlation GBPUSD can often move simultaneously with other major currencies, especially the Eurodollar pair, and can often depend on other major currencies in the opposite direction. The correlation can exist in different time frames, including four hours, eight hours, or the whole day. Moreover, these correlations are dynamic and can change over time. Trading Strategy The strategy is called the Big Ben strategy. In fact, this is a strategy for breaking the opening range of a currency pair. The logic of the strategy lies in the change in the volume of volatility, which tries to restore the initial price movement after the Japanese session. In particular, the trading volume of GBP/USD decreases significantly after the end of the New York session, and then during the Asian session. Therefore, most large institutional traders will not trade before the start of the European session. This usually leads to market fluctuations within the range of the GBP/USD currency pair during the night period. Therefore, when the currency pair begins to increase trading volume at the beginning of the European session, it is possible to trade on breaking the opening range. Given that interbank sellers create a range on both sides of the market during the opening period, a potential exit from the range usually leads to a trend phase at the beginning of the trading session. Rules for a long entry using a Big Ben set with five-minute candles: Plot the range of high and low prices between the Frankfurt Open Championship and the London Open Championship. This is defined as the opening range. The price action during this period should be limited to a range of Enter the breakout and close above the range extension level by 38%. The stop loss should be set in the middle of the opening range. The take profit will be equal to twice the length of the opening range measured from the breakout point. Rules for short entry using a Big Ben set with five-minute candles. Plot the high and low price range between the opening in Frankfurt and the opening in London. This is defined as the opening range. The price action during this period should appear to be limited by a range Enter the breakout and close below the range extension level by 38%. The stop loss should be set in the middle of the opening range. The take profit will be equal to twice the length of the opening range measured from the breakout point. resume Now you know what news you need to follow in order to trade GBPUSD profitably. In addition, you know the best time to trade and even the trading strategy. GBPUSD is a very volatile pair, with proper trading it can bring you a quick profit. But do not forget about the risks. Stick to the strategy! Good luck! Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Education
by Lingrid
4
5 PHASES OF TRADE ANALYSISHello everyone! Trading is hard mental and emotional work. The market is a dangerous place that will show all your disadvantages. Without strategy and control, it's not even worth trying to beat the market. Today I want to talk about the five phases that a good trader must go through when trading on the market. PHASE 1 The first step for a good deal is to choose the right instrument. To do this, you must be able to understand stocks, currencies, indices. You must understand the specifics of each tool, be able to understand the data of reports and news, and use the information correctly. The big mistake of beginners is trading all instruments indiscriminately and without preparation. You should understand that, although there are similarities between the markets, they still have differences. YOU should understand that the bankruptcy of a small company will not affect the market, but Google's problems can. An increase in the interest rate in a third world country does not have much impact on the world, unlike the actions of the US central bank. Study the specifics of the market and follow the news, then make a choice what you will trade. PHASE 2 After you have selected a suitable instrument for trading, you must open a position. To do this, you must have a strategy prepared in advance, in which the entry conditions will be prescribed. This topic is a separate article because the issue of opening a deal is very important. You will be able to know where to open a position and where not to do it only when you try existing entry strategies, analyze the results and do something of your own. After finding a suitable entry strategy and waiting for the right conditions, open a deal. PHASE 3 After opening a deal, all you have to do is follow the market and the news. But don't overdo it. Beginners often sit in front of the screen monitor for a long time and monitor every price movement, which eventually leads to fatigue, and this leads to mistakes. Of course, if you are engaged in scalping, for example, you will follow the movement, your trading style also decides how much you will be behind the monitor screen, but do not overdo it. Open a position, watch how the price reaches important levels, but do not overdo it. PHASE 4 Then you have to close the position. The strategy of closing a deal is also important and there are many styles of closing deals. You have to choose your strategy and close the position according to it with profit or loss. The main thing is not to deviate from the rule and not to forget about the stop loss. PHASE 5 Beginners, as a rule, after closing a deal, go further for a new position and this is a big mistake. The resulting profit is maddening, and newcomers think they have understood the market. Losses spoil the mood and you don't want to remember them, so beginners quickly run on. Not performing an analysis of the completed transaction is the biggest loss. You lose the most at this stage, because by analyzing the transaction, you will avoid losses in the future and get even more profit, without doing the analysis you will continue to trade poorly. Therefore, at the end of the day or week, allocate time to analyze all transactions, draw conclusions and make no more mistakes. conclusion As you can see, it is not enough just to open a position and close it, you need to prepare, and then analyze everything. These steps will help you reach a new level as a trader, if you haven't started trading like this yet. Good luck!
Education
by DeGRAM
3
EUR/USD most popular currency in the world!A little history… The euro is a new currency that was born in 1999. It was created on the basis of the "European monetary unit", which replaced (abolished) the entire national currency of the countries of the European Union. Therefore, the peculiarity of the euro is that it is sensitive not only to the macroeconomics of the entire EU, but also to the individual economies of France and Germany. It is the most popular currency pair in the world, representing the two largest economies in the world. The euro was created to facilitate international trade between European trading partners. The pair has experienced significant fluctuations since its founding in 1999, caused by many global events, such as the technology boom that led to the real estate price bubble and the European debt crisis. The European Central Bank (ECB) plays the role of the issuer and regulator of the pan-European currency. The main support for its creation in 1998 is the banking system, which is based in Frankfurt am Main, and its fund was created on the basis of the participation of all representatives of EU countries. In addition to its issuing, supervisory and monitoring activities, the ECB charter is responsible for maintaining the financial stability of the eurozone. General technical specifications More than a third of the total volume of transactions in the foreign exchange market fall on a pair of euros to the dollar. This is due to the economic scale of the countries. The base currency is the euro, the dollar is the quoted currency. In other words, the euro-dollar exchange rate shows how many dollars you will have to pay for one euro. If there is positive news in the US and you predict a rise in the dollar, then you should sell. If you predict the growth of European currencies against the dollar, then you should buy quotes. What factors do the euro dollar exchange rate depend on? The main factors contributing to the change in the euro-dollar price revolve around the monetary policy of the United States. There are several levers that can help the Fed regulate and change cash flows in various ways: Open Market Interventions; Increase or decrease of the discount rate; Managing the level of reserve requirements. The Federal Reserve Board may immediately change the terms of the reserve and the discount rate. By changing one of the three factors, the Fed affects the amount of funds and ultimately changes the real ratio of the dollar to other currencies (including the euro). Thus, the Fed's decision is a long-term priority factor for the euro currency pair. The main factor affecting the euro/dollar exchange rate is the interest rate of the Federal Reserve System. This indicator represents the daily payment of interest on loans by credit institutions (banks). When it is necessary to tighten or weaken the national currency, US financial regulators will change interest rates. Traditionally, these measures have had a significant impact on both the foreign exchange and the stock market. Euro to Dollar exchange rate The European Central Bank regulates the monetary policy of the EU countries. The main decision on the European exchange rate is made by the Governing Council, consisting of representatives of national banks of the EU countries. The main objective of the ECB's work is financial stability and full response to the consequences of the global financial crisis of 2008. Serious economic problems of all EU countries can have a negative impact on the euro exchange rate. This is evident from the dynamics of euro prices during the economic crises in Greece and Spain. Macroeconomic emissions are also a very important factor influencing the strengthening or weakening of the euro. The most important news is from Germany. This is due to the fact that Germany is the largest economy in the European Union. The most important information is the state of GDP, the theoretical and real inflation index, the growth or decline rates of industrial production, as well as unemployment figures. It is important to take into account the deficit and the effectiveness of current measures to combat the economic downturn of the economy. Techniques for making a profit There is a strong inverse correlation between the values of EUR/USD and USD/CHF, which shows an approximate relationship between the euro and the franc. This is due to the fact that Switzerland's economic situation largely depends on the economic and political development of the EU. In most cases, after the euro falls against the dollar, the euro/franc currency pair immediately falls. Given the correlation between the British pound and the euro, the pound/dollar pair has a significant correlation. Euro Dollar chart To make money in euro dollars, traders need some skills. Fast trading in 15 minutes or even 5 minutes can allow you to make a significant profit. The frequent volatility of this quote allows you to implement the most daring and risky trading strategies. A moving average or a combined indicator (for example, MACD) will be able to give a fairly accurate entry point. Exit from the position can traditionally be based on a breakout of the price channel. When using the chart for 1 day or more, the deviation and reversal of the position can also be based on the intersection of the moving average. Conclusion EUR/USD has a relatively small history, but in this short time the pair has become popular with many. High volatility creates many opportunities for earnings, but do not forget about the risks. The pair is dangerous for untrained traders. Good luck!
Education
by DeGRAM
2
The reason for the stagnation in tradingMany times people trying to reach a new level face an invisible obstacle in their business. At that moment, life turned into a routine. It seems to us that there are no changes in life and there is no way forward. This is quite unpleasant. In those periods when it seems to us that our development has stopped, we become unhappy, because, after all, progress is the key to happiness. There are three reasons why we feel like we're marking time, and sometimes it's a combination of these three reasons: 1. Your physical condition Poor physical condition can increase negative emotions. Sports activities cause positive emotions. When you are physically active, you change your mental state and destroy your negative model. Thus, maintaining a good physical condition will cause positive emotions, which is one of the key ways to get out of stagnation. Develop a positive state of mind and get rid of all the negative by changing your physical condition. 2. Time limit One of the reasons we think we are stuck in one place is excessive attention to the past or the future. But constant thoughts about the future or the past will not change anything. As you know, the past cannot be changed, and the future is unknown, so there is no point in worrying about them. We have the right to change only the present, that's what we need to focus on. Stop flying in the clouds of the future, stop suffering because of the past, get busy with the present. 3. Sitting on the plateau Why do some people make breakthroughs that take them to the next level, while others can't? What is the difference between a master and an amateur, a creator and a speaker? The first dig deep to find an answer that will help them overcome stagnation, they do not stop fighting and searching and eventually achieve goals, reaching a new level. 5 signs that bring you closer to a breakthrough 1. Routine. You're tired of everything. You are tired of your financial problems, tired of your boring job, tired of carrying an extra 20 kilograms. Everything annoys you and you want to change something. 2. Unsatisfied. Whatever you do, it doesn't work for you anymore. Maybe it is unprofitable or uninteresting. Or maybe you are tired of the lack of energy, which, in your opinion, is necessary to achieve the desired result. Perhaps your current method has been successful in the past, but it is not suitable for your current conditions. 3. Border. This is the moment when change is needed. If you are on the verge of bankruptcy or, for example, if you have serious health problems. This is the point of no return, you are on the edge of the abyss and all you have left is to take a step, make an effort to become better and reach a new level. 4. Insight. You are illuminated by an idea or a deep understanding of something that opens up a new world for you. You begin to see the world in a new way, you have found a goal that can help you get out, your eyes are burning. 5. Open the door. The door opened... You enter it. At this stage, you will feel a surge of strength, realize that everything is not in vain, and you will want to move forward with great enthusiasm. Do not give up, do not stop, study. Good luck! Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Education
by Lingrid
12
Methods to improve your tradingAny professional trader should monitor his daily routine. Traders make a schedule, follow it and remove from life what is unproductive. Beginners don't spend enough time making plans. A typical trading day for beginners can consist of constant monitoring of price movement, even during lunch. Today we will talk about how to make your trading day calm and productive. 1. Sleep Sleep is still an important part of any person. Do not neglect sleep, because sooner or later the body will require rest, without which it is simply impossible to trade calmly and in a disciplined manner. Needless to say, your attempts to trade, analyze the market and stick to your trading plan with a lack of sleep simply will not succeed. Perhaps the first and most important way to ensure a proper trading regime is to provide yourself with a good, full night's sleep for at least 7 hours a day. • Do not drink coffee or other caffeinated beverages during the day. Try drinking herbal tea instead; • Do not go to bed late thinking that you can sleep off the next day. Research proves that our body functions as productively as possible when we go to bed at sunset and wake up at dawn. This means that you need to go to bed early and wake up early; • Create a proper sleeping environment. As a rule, this means that your bedroom should be cool (i.e. not too hot), dark and quiet. 2. Healthy breakfast It has long been known that breakfast is the most important meal of the day. After sleep, the body needs a boost of energy. Find time for a healthy breakfast every morning: take the necessary amount of protein, whole grains and some fruits. As soon as you wake up, drink a huge glass of water. Most people don't do that. Drinking water saturates your body and also helps to control appetite between meals, and since your body mainly consists of water, it is necessary, first of all, to drink water rather than any other drink. 3. Physical exercises Regular exercise is the main key to your motivation, attention and focus on everything in your life, including trading. Physical exercise gives us a good feeling physically and mentally, and this is very important for the development of proper trading habits and productivity. Regular physical training will keep you focused at the highest level, it will also help you sleep soundly at night, which, as noted above, is an extremely important factor for the proper functioning of cognitive activity, which is obviously crucial for success in trading. 4. Hobbies and entertainment You definitely don't want to turn into a trading hermit. You don't want to turn into a guy who sits in his underwear in front of the charts in the hope that his positions are moving in his favor, and allowing every victory or defeat to affect his happiness. Trading is a way to potentially improve your life, but it doesn't have to be your life. To succeed in trading, you need to have outside interests so that you are distracted from excessive market analysis and so that you feel happy and confident. If you still don't have any hobby, then find some. Even if your hobby is just spending time with your family, that's fine, just don't be the "guy" who sits in front of charts all day long, because, I assure you, it's not good for you and your trading. 5. Plan your day Make sure that you plan the key levels of the chart during or at the beginning of the week. Take some notes about the trend, your trading advantage, potential trading signals that you see. The easiest way to do the analysis is when the market is closed, so you will avoid the pressure caused by the price movement. Make a plan for the week and every day and follow it without paying attention to the noise. The famous French microbiologist Louis Pasteur once said: "Chance favors a pre-prepared thought." 6. Practice your trading strategy This may seem obvious, but if you haven't mastered your trading strategy yet, or if you don't have a trading strategy at all, you won't be able to develop a trading regime. Many traders start in the wrong direction because they don't really have a clear trading method yet, but, instead, they have a vinaigrette of different methods and trading "tips" that they read here and there, mixed everything into one pile, "thinking" that they got, thus, your trading strategy. You need a trading strategy that you can learn and master and that makes sense and is simple. 7. Discipline and consistency Discipline, routine and patience are things that people usually consider "boring" or uninteresting, but they should not be perceived in this way at all, especially with regard to trade. You have to understand and accept these things as the ones with which you make money in the market. After you review them in the light that "discipline and everyday life are beneficial and useful," they will take on a different meaning for you. Remember - trading should not be some random event without a structure or a firm approach and without an underlying regime, and if that is the case, you will end up wasting all your money by giving it to the market. You need to develop your own trading program that would fit your schedule and your personality, and then stick to your trading regime, maintaining cold discipline so that you can see how it works in your favor over a long period of trading and that it brings you income.
Editors' picks
Education
by DeGRAM
70
Advantages of trading on the daily chartHello everyone! Today I want to discuss with you the advantages of trading on the daily chart. Not all traders understand why daily timeframes are so attractive, but professionals trade on them. Let's figure it out! But first, let's recall the words of Ed Seikota: Constantly looking at the charts is like playing roulette. You'll end up spending the whole day playing. I check my charts only once a day after the market closes. You are learning patience Patience is a key quality that is necessary for success in trading. If you trade on daily charts, you will have to learn patience, because you will have to wait for the right signal for several days, or even weeks. But don't be afraid, it will only increase your chances of success and allow you to use only the most reliable and profitable entry points. Free all day In trading, you will have to sacrifice not only your time, but also put some of your money at risk. When you trade on daily charts, you have a whole free day to go about your business and earn money. This will allow you not to rely only on trading and diversify your income. You automatically filter the market noise A variety of events can occur during the day that will affect the price movement. The daily chart allows you to filter intraday volatility spikes and focus only on the closing price of the trading session, without being distracted by anything else. The technical signals and patterns that appear on these higher timeframes are much more reliable than the patterns you encounter on lower timeframes. In many cases, the price movement on lower timeframes is simply market noise. Reliability The closing price level, which is the result of a whole day of struggle between buyers and sellers, is a reliable signal about the current state of the market. When making your trading decisions, you should always pay attention to signals from higher timeframes. Many novice traders who come to the financial markets tend to short-term trading on intraday timeframes. These traders believe that by trading on lower timeframes, they have more trading opportunities, and thus they can get more profit in the long run. Although theoretically this type of thinking may sound logical, in fact it is just a myth. You should realize the fact that support and resistance levels, chart patterns, price action patterns, indicator signals are much more reliable on higher timeframes. You avoid over-trading Over—trading is one of the main problems faced by traders. When you use a daily timeframe, you focus on the global picture of the market, and you do not need to constantly open new deals. You can choose only the best setups. Some traders are addicted to trading and have a psychological need to constantly enter and exit the market. It's like an adrenaline rush, which they constantly need. Obviously, this can be counterproductive and even lead to the drain of the entire deposit. There is another type of traders who tend to constantly monitor their positions and analyze charts. These traders are very active, and it can be very difficult for them to make a deal. They are also usually emotionally traders, inclined to act on intuition. The best advice I can give to any trader who has difficulty controlling his emotions in the market is to analyze the market only once a day. You find the strongest trends In trading, you should always try to follow the path of least resistance. This means that if the market is moving in a certain direction, the price is likely to continue its movement in this direction until there are factors indicating a reversal. The trends on the daily chart are very strong and you will rarely fall into the trap if you use the daily chart. You will only need 15-30 minutes to analyze the market You don't have to spend whole trading sessions in front of the monitor and analyze the market in robot mode, which usually leads to its reanalysis. You can safely look at the chart and determine whether there is a signal to enter the market or not, and then place an order to open a deal. Possible risks are reduced Every trader should have a detailed risk management plan. As part of this risk management plan, you should take into account factors such as the average risk per trade, the risk-to-profit ratio, how you will handle drawdowns, as well as the maximum amount of leverage that you will use. Some novice traders believe that they cannot trade on daily charts because they would have to place a stop loss at a relatively large distance in points compared to a smaller timeframe. They think they will take too much risk regarding the size of their small account. However, this assumption is completely wrong. Even if the average daily range of a trading instrument is much higher than the hourly or four—hour range, the only thing a trader needs to do in this case is to reduce the size of the position in order to adapt to a potentially larger stop loss. And thus you will actually reduce your leverage, which in turn will reduce your overall exposure to risk. You have a lot of time left to enjoy life Isn't that why we started trading? It is foolish to deny the fact that almost everyone comes to the stock exchange for money and financial independence. And chaining yourself to the monitor screen for 8 hours can take away from you what you have been striving for. In order to be an effective trader, you do not need to spend a whole working day analyzing charts. In fact, rarer and more selective trading can lead to better results. And as an added bonus, you can also keep your day job so that you always have an additional source of income. Conclusion Day trading provides many advantages, frees up your day and helps you avoid trading on false signals. You will become disciplined, your capital will not jump sharply up and down, you will become a professional! Good luck! Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Education
by Lingrid
9
Unstoppable TradersBeing a profitable distance trader is not easy. This requires discipline, a lot of patience and passion. In addition, you need to have certain habits that most people simply don't have. All traders are different in some ways, everyone has their own trading strategy, but there is something that unites all successful traders. Let's talk about these general features. 1. One deal is not the end When the deal is already closed, you can start experiencing different feelings and emotions from happiness to grief and depression. Newcomers drown in this wave of emotions and eventually lose control and money. Professionals act differently. Each transaction is a common thing for them, while they do not experience a storm of emotions that can lead a beginner astray. If you internalize the following ideas, it will be easier for you to deal with emotions: • Success in trading is not one day, it is several months of trading and several hundred transactions. To understand how good you are, you have to trade following your strategy for a long enough time. Sometimes a year is not enough to understand that a trader is ready, and even more so one day is not enough. Therefore, prepare for a long journey and do not overreact to one losing trade. • Risk management is very important. Before opening a deal, calculate how much you are willing to lose and not go crazy because of this loss. Losses should not lead you astray. You have to stay calm and follow the rules. Also, don't let profitable positions drive you crazy. In any situation, you should be calm and prudent. 2. They are confident, but not too irrational Being confident in yourself is very important. A trader's confidence in himself and in his trading strategy comes with time. To do this, you need to learn how to clearly follow the rules of trading, be disciplined and eventually profit will come to you. Confidence should manifest itself most of all in those moments when you have received a series of losing trades. This is inevitable and only the best are able to pass such tests with dignity. Professionals do not change the rules in the same situations, do not change the method of trading and coolly move on. A confident trader does not give in to emotions, he knows exactly what he is looking for in the market and is ready to wait, ready to endure. You should feel invulnerable, the market no longer has power over you. 3. Wait professionally Professionals differ not only in the ability to trade, but also in the ability to wait. In the market, 80% of the time you will have to wait for your signal. The best traders are ready to wait for their highly profitable chance for several days, or even weeks. And even if they lose some money after a long wait, they are ready to wait again. Newcomers suffer because they want to be in the market all the time. This is a big mistake. Most of the time, the market is unpredictable, especially for a beginner. Leave the sick desire to constantly be in the market, constantly open new positions. Learn to wait like the best traders. In order to trade with a preponderance in your favor, you must patiently wait for obvious trading setups, and if they do not appear for several days, then you should not enter the market just like that. This time is worth spending on some other job or hobby. Unstoppable traders don't worry about not trading for days or even weeks, waiting for the next good setup to enter the market. 4. Good sleep is the key to success Sleep is important not only for the trader, sleep is important for everyone. Without healthy sleep, you will not be able to be calm and calculating for a long time. In addition, if you trade properly, namely: • do not risk too much capital, • do not open unnecessary positions, • follow your trading plan, • with respect to all of the above, observe discipline, then you will not have any problems sleeping during real trading, since you will have nothing to worry about. Well, if you sit in front of the monitor every day, anxiously watching the price movement, at a time when you should be sleeping, sooner or later this will lead to a complete loss of money. Follow the strategy, don't chase the market, rest and come back full of energy. 5. Continuous training All traders with experience know that it is difficult to trade because the market is volatile, and it is even more difficult to work on yourself, on your own discipline. There is a good feature of trading – it helps you understand yourself. It's unpleasant, but it's definitely useful. This work is difficult, but the result is beautiful. Thus, to become an unstoppable trader, you must know yourself and improve yourself in addition to your trading strategy. You will learn how to trade in the market and improve as long as you continue to trade. But you have to start doing it right now in order to start building your foundation for the right approach to your trading. If you decide to go into battle, accept all of the above and your path will be much easier. Good luck!
Education
by DeGRAM
9
Reasons for the futility of short-term market fluctuationsAll markets move up and down. Most market fluctuations are not important and trading on them is very dangerous and risky. Very often, beginners lose money trying to trade intraday on corrections or simply losing sight of the direction of the main trend. Sometimes the market knocks us out on a stop loss, after which it goes in the direction we need. All these errors appear because the trader pays too much attention to the daily price fluctuations in the market. Today we will look at some facts about price movement and market dynamics that will help you understand why a "smaller" price movement is actually "more" important for trading, as well as some ways to avoid succumbing to the temptation to enter the market on any fluctuations. Fact 1: Attempts to stop a moving train If you look at the daily charts of USD/JPY, AUD/USD or EUR/USD pairs, you will notice long multi-month trends. Such trends move with a strong impulse, which is similar to an accelerated train, and they are not able to stop easily and quickly. A strong trend usually continues until something important happens. That is why intraday fluctuations do not matter, they are just noise and it is very difficult to trade on such noise. Look at the daily currency charts. Daily trends are like moving trains that move in the direction they need almost without stopping, and it takes a lot of force and a lot of time to stop such a movement. Everyone has heard the old expression: "the trend is your friend." It's true. The trend is your friend as long as you move with it, but as soon as you decide to go against it, it will destroy you, walk over you and not notice. Don't make the typical beginner's mistake, don't try to predict the reversal of a strong trend, don't trade against the trend! It is trading according to the trend that gives a high probability of earning. Trend trading is the most profitable business, the best time to trade. You have to make sure that you are trading according to the trend if you don't want to get hit by a train. Fact 2: Losses No one wants to lose money. This is a fact. Any sane person would agree with that. But as soon as a person is behind the monitor screen, as soon as he starts trading, he immediately forgets about everything and tries to trade on all timeframes, in all known ways, losing all the rules of trading along the way and losing money. Some people trade as if they want to lose their money! Losing money is a very unpleasant event. We all don't like it. Everyone comes to the market to earn money and this desire sometimes blinds us, and we forget about the most important thing – we don't want to lose money. That is why the most important and first goal of any trader should be to preserve their capital. And the easiest way not to lose money in the market is not to try to trade every price movement. You will not be able to trade these fluctuations, because most of them are just noise that defies logic. By understanding a few key things, you can really reduce this temptation or get rid of it: • The best trading setups are obvious. You don't have to be a genius to notice them. If you are sitting in the hope of opening a position, it means that there is not a single worthwhile opportunity on the market for which you could risk! Go away! Save your money! If you value your money, you will not enter the market thoughtlessly. Otherwise, go and gamble, throwing money away and losing it all if you like it. • By saving your capital (without opening extra positions), when there is no reason to trade, you thereby earn money in the market already by the fact that you will have more money to trade with good trading signals. You should understand that not every price movement in the market makes sense, in fact most of them are meaningless. Learn an effective trading method, like Price Action strategies, master them, and then you will know what to look for in the market. And only after that you should have the discipline and patience to act only when your trading strategy shows you. But if you sit for several hours looking at charts and trying to figure out every tiny price fluctuation, you will surely lose your money, and we all know that losing money sucks. Fact 3: A long-term trend causes a short-term price movement If there is a long and strong trend in the market, then most likely the counter-trend short-term fluctuations will not last long. This means that the main trend in the end will still direct short-term fluctuations in the right direction. This is a very important concept that helps us look for entry points in the direction of the main trend, thereby increasing our chances of winning. Beginners try to take profit from any movement, experienced players act in the direction of the trend and that is why they win at a distance. Corrections go out faster and they do it unexpectedly, which makes trading on them very dangerous. Thus, the facts stating that a steady trend behaves like a "freight train", the loss of money sucks in, and a long-term trend causes a short-term price movement are the main reasons why short-term market fluctuations are practically useless. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Education
by Lingrid
7
Errors in automated tradingHello everyone Surely you have heard about automated trading. You may even have used it. Today I want to talk about the mistakes that people make using automated trading. Let's go! 1. Back testing or forward testing Who really understands the creation of an adviser will be able to make the adviser bring 100% profit per month during back-testing, while trading with almost no risk. But do not rely only on the results of back-testing. Checking the adviser on the history is of course important and useful, but what is really important is how the adviser shows itself in real trading. After all, you will not be able to earn on what has already been, you need to be able to earn in the future. Therefore, it is very important to test any system on forward tests. Forward testing is real–time testing in real market conditions. This means that all decisions are made based on the history of quotes, but only the result that is generated in real time is considered a true representation of performance. 2. Data accuracy 70%-80% of the data on the Forex market, including those provided by brokers, is complete nonsense. Your system is as good as your data is, and if you can't rely on your data, then your system won't be able to do it either. Valuable data is quite expensive, and that's why so few people have it. You need to be able to clean the data for the correct operation of the system. A good system developer, even with a wonderful strategy, will fully understand its weaknesses and take appropriate actions to eliminate them. 3. Consider all expenses There are a lot of costs associated with trading, brokers are very well aware of this, and you should also know this. At a minimum, you should consider: 1) Spread – it is different on different instruments; 2) Commission expenses; 3) Slippage on various assets on which you are going to trade; 4) Broker delays in opening orders; 5) Infrastructure costs. 4. Risk and Capital management The key to all trading systems lies in the rules of risk and capital management. In order to completely change the characteristics of the strategy, it is enough to change these rules a little. The strategy developer must take into account all the details of his system. This is necessary not only to avoid everything that can blow up a trading account, but also for the purpose of emotional balance, in order to calmly leave your system or a working strategy and not interfere with it. There is one more thing we try to do – it is a daily analysis of open/closed positions based on the current market situation. This ensures that any gains or losses will be analyzed instantly. This avoids new such open positions and some emotional problems. This approach will quite easily confuse systems with unclear rules and those that have a rather attractive yield curve. 5. Investors are an emotional person For those who plan to develop successfully, this point is key, and it must be taken into account by everyone who will invest their funds in trading systems. You should remember that although you may feel good with 30% drawdowns and wild fluctuations in your equity, your investors will not share such feelings. If you want to move to the next level of development, you must cultivate a personality in which you can invest. As a rule, in the world of investments, this means applying a small leverage, allowing low drawdowns and earning consistent profits. A common, time-tested method of evaluating investments is the Sharpe coefficient. For a good investment, it should be at least 3, the maximum leverage should be 10:1, and the drawdown should be no more than 10% of both equity and balance. 6. Consider the limitations And the final key rule is that you need to know the limitations of your system. This includes both the trading conditions under which it will and will not work (no system is perfect) and its scaling. That is, if I pour $100 million into my account and my profit target is 2 points, then, most likely, slippage will swallow my entire profit target, and I will never see a profit from my investment. Even the infrastructure you use needs to be taken into account. For example, the MT4 platform, which is used by most brokers, works so slowly that at the time of the NFP exit, the difference between your planned and actual market entry price will be 10 points. If your system is price sensitive, then it will kill it. Yes, it happens. For the most part, our rules are based on common sense, but the vast majority of systems that we have encountered have never taken into account such errors. As a rule, even if the creators claim that the system takes them into account, this is not the case, since when answering these questions they are still far from understanding the essence. Paying attention to these things at the very beginning will allow you to save a lot of time, effort and develop an exceptional personality in you. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Education
by Lingrid
10
IS IT TIME TO CHANGE THE STRATEGY?In order for your strategy to start making a profit, it takes time, patience and discipline, no matter if you bought it or developed it yourself. To see the weaknesses and strengths of the strategy, you need to test it, and this means strict adherence to the rules for a long time. At some point, there may come a situation when it is worth abandoning the strategy in order to develop further. But when should it be done? That's what I want to talk about today. How to understand that the strategy is outdated and it's time to get rid of it? I present to you four signs that it's time to get rid of the strategy: 1. Inability to follow the rules Any strategy implies rules to be followed. Take a look at the list below: • It is too specific; • It is extremely uncertain; • It's too complicated; • Contains a large number of items/rules. If your strategy contains these items, it's probably time to get rid of it. The strategy should not be too complicated, otherwise you will not be able to use it. At the same time, it should be understandable. If you don't understand your strategy and can't change it, make it easier, then it's time to throw it away. 2. You spend a lot of effort and end up getting nothing Do you sit in front of a monitor screen all day all week? Do you compare a large number of indicators to confirm the signal? Does your strategy require you to turn to the sun and recite the alphabet in reverse order at exactly 5:30 in the morning? If it is inconvenient for you to use your system consistently for long periods of time, or if you believe that it brings plus or minus the same number of points of profit in comparison with not using it at all, then it's probably time to look at other options. 3. You lose more than you gain This applies to those who prefer to buy ready-made strategies from other people. Although not all strategies available on the market are "divorce", the chances that you have chosen one of them are very high. If your signal provider generates more various signals for entering and exiting the market every month than real profits, then it's time to admit your mistake. The same applies if you use your own system, but pay a lot of money for subscribing to some data - you should also think about replacing your strategy with another one. 4. It just doesn't make a profit There is not much to say here. If you have shown due diligence and tested your strategy, tried to revise it, adjust it and launch it in various market conditions. If it still won't bring you profit, then obviously it's time to move on in search of a new strategy. Thank you for your time – I hope this will help you and your trading.
Education
by DeGRAM
4
Pending orders: how to use it?What is a pending order? A pending order is a tool that allows you to open or close positions at the desired price automatically after the price reaches the set value. This is the main difference from a market order, which is executed at the current price immediately. At the same time, pending orders differ in that if the price has not reached the set value, the order will not be executed. Pending orders will help those who use technical analysis and do not want to constantly sit at the screen, waiting for the best entry price. With the help of pending orders, you can not only open, but also close positions. Stop Loss is an order that is placed in case the price does not go where the trader expected. When the price reaches this order, the position will be closed at a loss. Take Profit is an order that will automatically close a profitable position when the price level predicted by the trader is reached. Opening positions using limit orders A limit order is an order to open a position at the stated price or better. To make a purchase transaction, an order is placed below the current market price, and for sale – higher. Thus, limit orders are applied when the trader expects that the price will reach a certain level, and then turn away from it in the opposite direction. Such orders are used in situations when a trader expects a price rebound from strong levels. They are executed at a price no worse than the stated one. Execution is possible even at the best price if the value specified in the order falls into the price gap. Buy Limit Buy Limit is a pending order to buy (at the Ask price) below the current market price. This order is used by a trader when he expects the price to decrease to a certain value and wants to open a buy position there. For example, if the price of the GBP/USD currency pair is at 1.3880 and the trader wants to buy it from the 1.3800 level, he needs to set a Buy Limit order to this level (or maybe a little higher). Sell Limit Sell Limit is a pending sell order (at the Bid price) above the current market price. This order is applied if the trader expects the quotes to rise to a certain level and is going to open a sell position there. For example, if the quotes of the EUR/USD currency pair are now around 1.1750, and the trader wants to sell the asset when the price reaches the 1.1800 level, a Sell Limit order is placed at this level (or slightly lower). Opening a position on a stop order A stop order is a tool that allows you to open a position at the market price when the values specified in advance in the order are reached. A buy order is placed above the current price, and a sell order is placed below. Stop orders are used when a trader expects that the price, having reached a certain level, will continue to move in the same direction. Usually this type of orders is used in strategies based on the breakdown of levels. If there is an impulse in the market at the moment due to high volatility, there may be slippage and the order will open slightly worse than the value indicated by the trader. Buy Stop Buy Stop is an order to buy (at the Ask price) above the current market price. Activating an order and opening a buy position is triggered when the price rises to the specified value. Example: The quotes of the AUD/CAD pair are at 0.8940. The trader expects that the growth will continue if the price breaks through the resistance level of 0.8975. To do this, a pending Buy Stop order is placed just above this level (for example, at 0.8990). When the Ask price reaches 0.7160, a buy position will open. Sell Stop Sell Stop is a sell order (at the Bid price) below the current market price. When the price reaches the desired values, the order is automatically triggered and opens a sell position. Example: The quotes of the GBP/JPY pair are around 160.60. The trader expects that the pair will continue to decline if it breaks down the support level of 160. To do this, a pending Sell Stop order is placed slightly below this level (for example, at 159.85). When the Bid price reaches the value of 159.85, a sell position will open. Conclusion Thanks to pending orders, the trader has another, powerful tool that helps to use various strategies profitably, helping to increase the number of openings or closures of positions. It becomes possible not to monitor the market 24 hours every day, but to place orders in a planned place, with fixed risks. Trading becomes almost completely automatic.
Education
by Lingrid
9
BEFORE, ON TIME and AFTERHello everyone Today we will try to figure out what kind of thinking is correct during the opening, holding and closing of a deal. Any trader faces these three stages, but not everyone knows how to behave correctly and therefore mistakes are made. Go! Before opening a deal... Every time you find an entry point that matches the rules of your trading strategy, you should think about the following important points: • Determine the level to set the stop loss. It is not necessary to set a smaller stop loss due to greed. You should have a stop loss strategy that will be based on the highs or lows of the price, at the levels, because these values are really important and it will be much more difficult for the price to pass the level - this will protect your position and your stop loss from premature closure. • You must be able to accept losses. Before each trade, you should remind yourself that a trade can be unprofitable, since there is nothing 100% in the market. Remember this every day. Remember that setups don't always work, and then you won't lose more by rearranging the stop loss or not putting it at all in the hope that the setup will definitely work. • It takes time. The deal does not reach the goal in a minute. The market will move in different directions, and you should be able not to react to every movement and give the deal time. Many people forget about it, but due to the constant monitoring of the market and reactions to every movement, traders make mistakes, lose money. You need to be able to wait, understand this. Let the deal work and don't interfere. The position is open! The most interesting thing starts right here! And it is here that a huge number of unnecessary mistakes are made. • The market must prove you wrong. After opening a position, the set stop loss will be the level at which it will be clear that you were wrong. You should leave the open position alone and let the price prove you right or give you an erroneous opinion. Touching the take profit price will mean that you were right, there is no stop loss. • Constant monitoring of the situation. If you are still following every movement, most likely you will react to false price fluctuations and sooner or later you will close the position. You may just get tired of watching the price move and eventually make a mistake. You can check your deal once or twice a day, but no more. You must act according to your strategy, which gave the signal to open a position. Let the strategy work and don't interfere. Closing a position It does not matter whether the deal was profitable or not, it is important to rest after it, stop, put your thoughts in order. It is difficult, after closing a position, to return to the market for a new setup, especially if the transaction was profitable. After all, they lead to excessive self-confidence, which leads you to open bad deals in large numbers. After a losing trade, you always want to quickly return to the market to recoup. This is a big mistake. Opening deals that are based on the desire to win back what is lost is an abyss into the abyss. Emotionally, you run to open a deal, open on bad signals and lose even more, and so again and again. You have to understand that losing money in the market is normal, you don't have to run to win them back. Learn to accept losses. The only thing you should do after closing any position is to be disciplined and stick to the trading strategy. The easiest way is to just leave the market and get away from the chart for a while. It is very important to remember that you need to be able to save money. If you have earned something, withdraw some part at the end of the month, let it be your reward, which will give you self-confidence and you will become a calmer trader in the long run. Good luck!
Education
by DeGRAM
5
Dollar IndexHello everyone! There are many tools on the market to understand the general state of the economy or the company. As a rule, indexes are responsible for this. And today we will discuss the Dollar Index. A little history In 1973, the dollar Index (DXY) was invented and first introduced by JP Morgan. Level 100 is the base value of the index. If the instrument shows, for example, a value of 110, it means that the dollar has grown by 10% relative to the base value. As you may remember, in March 1973, the largest countries in the world introduced a floating exchange rate – this date was the beginning of the index. About the index With the help of the dollar index, analysts determine the strength of the dollar as a whole. This is a very simple analysis tool that almost every analyst uses and shows the index how strong or weak the dollar is relative to other world currencies. Method of calculating the dollar index The index consists of weighted components of the following currencies: euro (57.5%), Japanese yen (13.6%), British pound sterling (11.9%), Canadian dollar (9.1%), Swedish krona (4.2%) and Swiss franc (3.6%). As you can see, the currencies with which the dollar is compared are European countries, which is why DXY is called an "anti-European" index. Based on the number of currencies in the index, people believe that the US is compared with six European countries, which is incorrect, since the euro is officially the currency of 19 EU countries: Austria, Belgium, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Spain, Italy, Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, Finland, France, Estonia. Add to this 5 more countries — Japan, Great Britain, Canada, Sweden and Switzerland and we get almost the entire civilized world. Although all countries are united by one currency, their economies are still different and therefore each currency of a separate country has a corresponding weight in the index. Dollar Smile One of the Morgan Stanley analysts noticed an interesting feature of the dollar – the dollar can strengthen in both bad and good economic conditions. This analyst was Stephen Jen and it was he who came up with the "dollar smile theory", the essence of which is that the dollar adheres to three scenarios: 1. "safe harbor" - investors believe that the economy is experiencing difficulties, so everyone is investing in less risky dollar assets. 2. When the US economy is weak, the dollar falls. The fall is strongly influenced by interest rates, as a result, everyone gets rid of the dollar, and the smile becomes wider. 3. Perhaps the easiest period to understand is the growth of the dollar due to the economic growth of the United States. People increasingly believe in the country and the currency, which contributes to a greater growth of the dollar. Thanks to this theory, it is easier to understand the market situation in general and the cyclical nature of the market. How to use the index The index is usually used to analyze currency pairs. The index helps to determine the relative strength of the currency relative to the dollar, at those moments when you trade currencies in which there is USD, for example, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, etc. The index is also used to find discrepancies. If DXY falls and the dollar weakens, then you will see growth on the GBPUSD chart. If the dollar is the base currency, for example, USDJPY, then the index and the currency pair will move in the same direction. Often you will notice that the dollar index is growing, and the currency pair is standing still – this is the discrepancy, which is very profitable for an observant analyst. In addition to correlation with currency pairs, DXY correlates with oil. The fact is that the largest oil consumers are hedgers of dollar inflation. Hence the inverse correlation of these instruments. Professional analysts, before currency trading, look at the dollar index to understand the trend directions. Conclusions Thanks to the index, you can understand the state of the US economy. DXY is a great addition to your strategy, which helps you identify trends or find discrepancies on the charts. Using the index you will avoid mistakes and increase your profit.
Education
by DeGRAM
3
Hartley PatternsHello everyone Today we will talk about another method of analysis that will help you bring significant profits. Let's go! Introduction H.M. Hartley in 1935 in the book "Profit on the stock market" for the first time revealed Hartley's patterns. Gatli patterns are used in technical analysis and are based on Fibonacci values. The patterns are reversal patterns and have clear rules and an excellent profit-to-risk ratio. Hartley patterns work better than most well-known graphic formations, which also use different Fibonacci levels, but not as clearly as in Hartley patterns. Designations Hartley decided to designate waves with 5 letters for simplicity: The letter X - is the beginning of the trend; The letter A - is the end of the trend; The letter B - is the first pullback of the trend; The letter C - is a rollback correction (not breaking through the level of point A); The letter D - is the target of the letter C. The zones for the letters B, C, D are determined using the Fibonacci ratio between XA and AB. Patterns are divided into types and have their own names, in addition, patterns work for any direction of the market. Let's take a closer look at the patterns. Bat Pattern formation: the price reaches the maximum/minimum of the XA wave and forms a point B at the Fibonacci correction level from 38.2 to 50%. Using the XA points, you can find the value of the D point, which usually tends to the Fibonacci retracement level of 88.6% relative to XA. In this case, CD is most often longer than the segment AB. Butterfly When wave B finishes its formation at the Fibonacci retracement level of 78.68%, they talk about the formation of a Butterfly pattern. At the same time, the target for wave D will be values beyond XA and will be 1.27-1.618 XA. Crab This pattern is formed when the price touches and bounces off the maximum/minimum of the XA oscillation and forms a point B at the Fibonacci correction level from 38.2-61.8%. The goal of point D is outside the original segment XA and is 1,618 XA Simplifying pattern identification With careful study of patterns, it can be noticed that the formation of patterns depends on the location of wave B in relation to XA. Apart from the drivers and 5-0 patterns, there is an easier way to identify the remaining patterns. Let's divide the values of wave B by Fibonacci levels. 1) 38.2%: Bat, crab 2) 50%: Bat, crab 3) 61.8%: Bat, crab, AB = CD 4) 78.6%: Butterfly 5) 88.6%: Deep crab. If you see one of these values, you can understand which pattern is being formed. For example, if you see on the chart that the price reaches the level of 50%, then you can expect a Bat or crab figure. To calculate where the point C will be, you can use Fibonacci levels relative to the point AB: on 38,2%, 50%, 61,8%, 78,6 % and 88.6%. Now let's define goal D. 1) Bat: 88.6% Fibo HA or 2,618 BC 2) Alternative Bat: 113% Fibo XA (below X) OR 2.0 BC 3) Crab: 161.8% Fibo (below X) OR 3.14 BC 4) Hartley: 78.6% Fibo HA or 1.27 BC 5) Butterfly: 161.8% Fibo (below X) OR 1.618 BC 6) Deep Crab: 161.8% Fibo (below X) OR 2,618 BC. How to trade? It is necessary to open a position at the level, on a confirmation signal or on an impulse breakdown, using pending orders at Fibo levels. Confirmation – in this case, you should wait for the reversal candlestick pattern at the Fibonacci level. Breakdown – in this case, the price bounces off the Fibonacci level and breaks through the trend line in the expected direction. It is worth paying attention to the following clarifications: trading on wave B goes in the direction of the trend, but with a limited purpose (on the letter C). Wave C trading is counter-trend trading, but with a good profit-to-risk ratio (with a goal on the letter D). Trading on the letter D can be considered as trading in the direction of the trend (very close to the support and resistance levels) and also with a good profit-to-risk ratio (the target can be the top in an uptrend, the bottom in a downtrend or any Fibonacci level of the CD segment). These patterns are quite common, and the success rate is quite high. Use the patterns correctly and they will bring you a lot of profit. Good luck! Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Education
by Lingrid
11
ERRORS ON PIN-BARSThere are a large number of technical analysis figures, there are many different patterns, but as you know, they do not work 100% of the time. No matter what you trade, you should always pay attention to the market context and the pin bar is no exception. Pin bar is a very profitable pattern, provided that you trade it correctly. Beginners often make mistakes trying to trade every pin bar that is formed in the market. Today we will try to analyze the most common mistakes of beginners when trading a pin bar. 1. Trading pin bars in trending markets To begin with, every beginner should learn how to trade a pin bar in trending markets, because any pattern will work itself out if it trades in the direction of the trend. The trend is still our friend and we should use its strength to open positions. Look for an entry point on the pin bar in the direction of the trend and avoid losses. 2. Pin bar on daily charts A trader should be able to trade a pin bar on daily charts, because a daily chart is the best chart for trading. This is a fact. If you do not know how to trade a pattern on a daily chart, then you will not be able to trade it on smaller timeframes. As you know, the market is full of trading noise on low timeframes. That is why patterns are most difficult to work out there. In such noise, false signals appear that confuse beginners, but an experienced trader will be able to determine a really profitable entry point. 3. Market conditions It is very important to understand where to expect the right pin bar, which will bring profit. Pin bars can be found anywhere in the market, but this does not mean that each of them will bring you profit. No. The strongest signals occur near strong levels, it is at such points that it is worth looking for an entrance. 4. Stop loss Very often, traders trade a reversal pin bar, hoping to catch a trend change. If you catch such a movement, you can earn a lot, but it's difficult to do it. The price rarely immediately reverses after the pin bar, the market will fluctuate and if you put a stop loss too close to the position opening point, you may be knocked out. It is most correct to put a stop loss where the closing of the position will be correct, perhaps a little further than the opening point. No one wants to be knocked out of position ahead of time and watch the price go where we wanted, but without us. Conclusion The strongest signals simply cannot appear everywhere on the chart. You need to be able to filter out the signals correctly and use the most profitable ones. To do this, first study the theory, gain experience on older timeframes and only then practice more. Take your time. Good luck! Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Education
by Lingrid
13
THE MAGIC OF COMPOUND INTERESTEach of us wants to get rich in order to fulfill our dreams: to fly around the world, buy a car or a house, and maybe even buy a plane. Investing can help make a dream come true, but not everyone has enough knowledge to make money trading. And what to do? Capitalization magic increases numbers to high values very quickly. Naturally, it also works with money, but a little slower. This is called compound interest, and that's what we can use now, no matter how deeply you understand investments. The most frequent advice in the financial sphere is to accumulate your funds and invest them as early as possible. When you start accumulating as early as possible, time is on your side, and the accrual of compound interest plays a big role in this. The best way to demonstrate compound interest in action is the following example. There is Louis and Jen, both 20 years old. They are given the opportunity to make a long-term investment with a starting capital of $ 5,000 at 10% per annum for the next 45 years. And they have to make a choice: 1. Annually collect the earned interest or 2. Reinvest interest income annually. Louis likes to get paid. He already has ideas on how to spend the first interest payment. However, Jen is looking to the future. She decides to reinvest them. Louis invests his funds and receives the same income of $500 every year. Louis is happy to take his $500 every year. After 45 years, nothing changes for him. He still has his original $5,000 and 45 years of interest spent. The power of capitalization Jen is obsessed with savings. She knows that over time, interest will bring her much more money. The first few years of capitalization are pretty boring, but Jen waits patiently, because every year her interest income is higher than in the previous one. Little by little, but the snowball effect is gaining momentum. Around the ninth year, the picture becomes fascinating. Jen gets enough interest income to double her first deposit. Soon, the interest income exceeds her initial investment amount of $5,000. And she gets a percentage of her interest. This is the power of compound interest. Imagine what Jen could have done if she had invested $5,000 in work every year for the same period of time. Currently, 10% look too optimistic, but let's take, for example, that she earned 6% annually on this money. At this interest rate, Jen's total income would be $1,196,363 (by the way, at a rate of 10%, her total income would be $4,318,429). Rule 72 Rule 72 is a simple way to estimate the time required to double an investment based on a fixed rate of return. If you divide 72 by the rate of return, you get an approximate number of years during which the investment will double. For example: if you invested $ 1000 at 4% per annum, then in order to turn your investment into $ 2000, you will need about 18 years (72/4 = 18). Using this formula, you can also determine the rate of return needed to double your money in 10 years: divide 72 by the number of years, 72/10 = 7.2%. Regardless of the investment instrument, whether it's bond yields or dividends, Rule 72 gives you an idea of how long it takes to double your money at a given interest rate. Don't let it work against you! No matter how good capitalization looks, there are 4 factors that weaken it and work against you: • Inflation. There are ways to avoid or reduce this risk; • Taxes. Taxes eat up profits, so use tax-advantaged accounts like IRA and 401k's; • Expenses. For example, taxes, fees and commissions also eat up profits. The less you pay them, the better; • Time. The longer you wait, the less profit is accrued to you under the compound interest system. The basics of mathematics do funny things with money over time. In the early stages, compound interest acts slowly and brings little income, and this is probably why many people ignore it in the early stages. But once it starts, it speeds up exponentially the longer you let it go. If you don't have a billion dollar idea in your mind, then compound interest is the best thing you can use to increase your funds and achieve wealth. Don't waste your time, be patient and use compound interest correctly.
Education
by DeGRAM
3
How to determine the real value of the national currency?The National Regulator openly manipulates the exchange rate to the benefit of the economy, undervaluing it when there is a trade deficit, thereby helping exports, and overvaluing it when there is a surplus, so that citizens and businesses can buy more imported goods. The real exchange rate of a nation's currency is determined by its purchasing power abroad. In theory, it is calculated through a sample of identical goods. It is enough to estimate how much a certain conditional consumer basket costs in the home country, and compare the amount spent in another country. --- --- --- Why do we need to know the exchange rate regime and the real value of the national currencies? If a country has a fixed or transitional exchange rate, a currency trader can determine the entry points with a guaranteed profit. For example, the yuan is strictly "locked" in the corridor of 2% on the stock exchange, which allows you to enter at the maximum deviations, knowing exactly what intervention of the People's Bank will soon follow. The peculiarities of such trading are described in our article about USDCNH trading. Knowing the pricing mode, you can determine the entry strategy on the border of the basket value. Examples of trading such currency pairs using currency corridors are presented below. Trading on the Boundaries of the Nominal Value of National Currencies in Fixed and Transition Modes UAE Dirham (AED) The USDAED currency pair is the easiest to trade because of its strongest peg to the dollar - the national central bank kept the exchange rate at 3.6725 dirham even during the 2008 crisis. As a result the UAE national currency chart looks like a series of candles with long tails, above and below which pending orders should be placed. The figure shows a weekly candlestick chart, where you can see the possible deal levels at a glance, but there are some subtleties in this kind of trading. Firstly, there are only two brokers who are ready to provide access to the USDAED pair; secondly, they ask for a minimum deposit of $10,000; thirdly, the maximum leverage for this currency is 1 to 5. --- --- --- Models for determining the real exchange rate There is no single ideal model in the Forex market that works out 100% of the signals for the differences between the nominal value of the currency. Just like any indicators, the presented formulas need a historical check, they are suitable for certain currency pairs with different accuracy and work in combination with each other. This is why we will try to examine the basic models and theories of exchange rates. The purchasing power of the national currency against any other currency is determined in four ways, which we will talk about below. --- --- --- The law of one price - comparing the cost of the same good in different countries The current price of a commodity in national currency units = The exchange rate of the currency pair* The current price of a commodity in a foreign currency. --- --- --- Absolute Purchasing Power Parity In the formula of absolute parity instead of the price of one product, the average price level of the same basket of goods for different countries is used as expressed in national currencies or minimum subsistence values. For example, in Australia the living wage was 600 AUD for 2017, while in the European Union it is equal to: in Germany - 1240 euros, in France - 1254, in Italy - 855. The euro is a common currency for 26 states, so the three largest EU economies were chosen to use the average value of (1240+1255+855)/3= 1117 in the formula. If 1117 is the average EU living wage and 600 is Australia's living wage, then solving this expression, we get 1117/600 = 1.86. In 2017, the EURAUD exchange rate was 1.38. As you can see from the graph of the currency pair, the arbitrage correctly predicted the trend of strengthening of the euro. --- --- --- Relative trade parity. Economists in their calculations use economic indicators that show the relative change in consumer prices. The difference between the current indicator value from the economic calendar and previous data is substituted into the formula. For example, the U.S. Consumer Price Index was 119.4 in 2012 and rose to 121 by 2013. During this period, the EU CPI showed values of 118.3 and 120.1. The EURUSD exchange rate changed from 1.30 to 1.36. Using the formula, let's calculate the real euro exchange rate by taking the 2012 value of 1.30, successively multiplying it by a fraction of the relative values of the U.S. CPI 121/119.4 and the European CPI 120.1/118.3: 1,3* (121/119,4) *(120,1/118,3) = 1,3374. As you can see from the formula, the euro was undervalued, which led to the collapse in 2014, where parity was equalized due to monetary measures taken by the ECB and the Fed. The consumer price index is essentially an indicator of inflation, which is the primary focus of central banks when making decisions on the size of the discount rate. In economic statistics, it is rare to see this indicator published in relative units; everywhere there is a percentage change, which can also be used in another model. --- --- --- Relative Inflation Parity When calculating the real value of national money relative to the currency of another country, a slightly modified formula is used. The current rate of a currency pair can be represented as equal to (1 + annual inflation of one country/1 + annual inflation of another country) * the current rate of the pair at the Forex market. Let's calculate the EURUSD exchange rate in 2015. At the end of that period, U.S. inflation was 0.73%, while in the Eurozone it was 0.08%. The real EURUSD exchange rate at the end of 2015 = (1 +0.0083)/(1+0.073)*1.0565= 0.992. EURUSD quotes at the beginning of 2016 were undervalued, and the rate hike policy adopted by the Fed did not immediately save the situation - the market saw values close to 1.02 before the value of the European currency began to rise. This formula can be used to forecast the exchange rate by fitting it with the future inflation that central banks calculate in the reports they publish at every monthly meeting. --- --- --- Sincerely R. Linda!
Education
by RLinda
14
How to study indicators?Hello everyone Today I want to talk about indicators. Every trader has used indicators at least once in his trading, but not everyone knows how they work and why they should be used at all. The best way to understand something is to look for answers to questions yourself. Below I will give you some questions that you will have to answer in order to understand the operation of the indicator. Problem Most beginners start their way of studying indicators with books or articles on the Internet, where it is told: buy here when this line crosses this one, when the indicator enters this zone, and so on. With such a study, the trader does not understand how the indicator actually works, which indicators are similar to each other and why the indicator gives these signals. By answering these and other questions, the trader will be able to understand for himself whether he needs this indicator. Our task is as follows: 1) find out how the indicator is calculated; 2) understand how this indicator reacts to changes in parameters; 3) to understand what all this means in the context of market data. Find answers to the questions If you really want to get into the essence of the work of this or that indicator, do the following: 1. To begin with, you can start by studying the history of this indicator. It is best to look for the original source to understand what the creator of the indicator put into this tool. Any information will be useful for understanding the tasks that were set before the indicator at the time. 2. How can the indicator help us or why is it more useful for us to use the indicator than just looking at the chart? 3. Which indicators are similar to this one? Of course, it will not be possible to study all the indicators, but it is not necessary. It is enough to observe and understand where the indicators give the same signals. Thus, we will remove unnecessary repetition of signals on the chart. 4. What exactly is taken into account when the indicator is working? For this work, you need to be able to calculate or program at least in general terms. You can use third-party special programs. The main goal is to understand the details of the indicator calculation. 5. Change the data tracked by the indicator to see how it reacts to controlled price changes. Examples are: a market in flat, where a trend begins to emerge, and then a second return to flat occurs; a game on trend strength; a flat with one subsequent large price jump; "ladder" markets; stable long-term trends and their reversals; fluctuations (for example, sinusoidal) with different periods. 6. Take the knowledge you have gained and look at the indicator on the price charts. Notice how it reacts to price spikes. Analyze this stage of information collection. Your goal is to see how this indicator works on a large amount of data, and not to dig deep. 7. Now find out how you can test what you see in paragraph 6. Is it possible to test this indicator manually, or will a software algorithm be required to test it. 8. Having received all the data and understood the work of the indicator, you should understand whether this indicator is needed in your strategy? It will be difficult to answer all the questions, but the benefits will be tangible. You may spend several days or weeks searching for answers, on the other hand, you will learn something that most traders do not know. You will be able to really understand the signals of the indicators and be able to use the right indicator at the right time – which most do not know at all. If you do not learn how to understand and use trading tools correctly, you simply will not be able to trade in a plus. Good luck! Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Education
by Lingrid
6
Economic data that a trader should be able to understand.Part 3. Turnover or retail volumes, orders and inventories This type of data measures retail trade turnover. As a rule, the retail business is, in simple words, a place where you and I go to shop to buy basic necessities and luxury goods. It is important because it is an excellent indicator of consumer demand within a particular economy. In certain countries, especially in the G8 countries, retail trade volumes may account for two-thirds of all consumer spending. They are a key indicator of consumer confidence. If consumers are confident in their economic situation, additional demand for goods and services is created. Economists track the growth of trade turnover – it helps to determine whether the economy is doing well. If the trade turnover falls, things are bad in the economy. Turnover or volume of wholesale trade, orders and stocks This type of data measures the turnover of wholesale businesses. It is important because it is an indicator of consumer demand – which, as we know, is a serious thing. A decrease in wholesale sales or inventories may imply or confirm a decrease in business activity and retail demand. This means that there are free resources that are not currently being used, but they will be used if demand increases again. This type of data is not as important as retail trade volumes, but most economists believe that it is still worth keeping an eye on. Import of goods and services In this type of data, purchases of domestic companies from companies from abroad are measured. If, for example, you are a Canadian company that buys raw materials from China, then this is considered an import of goods to Canada. This type of data is important, since imports may eventually replace domestic production, which may cause tension in financial resources. For example, if everyone in the United States starts buying only German car brands, such as BMW and Audi, this will lead to a lack of demand for cars manufactured in the United States, such as Ford and GM. Which will have a negative impact on domestic car manufacturers in the United States. As a rule, a country imports those goods and services that it is not able to produce on its own. But, of course, this is not always the case. Often people and companies buy abroad because prices are lower there. Another reason is that there may be goods of the desired quality abroad that are not available at home. For example, if you live in the United States and have a strong desire to drive around in a Rolls Royce or Bentley that has just rolled off the assembly line, you will have to buy your car in the UK. Oil is often not taken into account in the US data, as it has developed that the states are always forced to import it – the country does not produce enough oil to meet domestic demand. However, thanks to the new drilling technology in the US, oil production is growing – there are chances that over time it will be enough to cover the demand. You may have to do a little independent research on this topic – it depends on when you read this material. Export of goods and services This type of data measures the country's trade turnover with other countries around the world. Simply put, this is the direct opposite of importing goods and services. It is important because exports generate an influx of foreign currency, which can have a good effect on economic growth. It happens that a foreign currency is more valuable than a local one – this creates additional profit in the balance sheet of a local company. For example, if a company from Canada sells its product to the UK, it receives British pounds as payment. This is a very attractive deal, since (at the time of writing this article) 1 pound can be exchanged for 1 Canadian dollar 75 cents. Export growth can boost GDP, which will have a positive impact on the economy. The higher the ratio of a country's exports to its GDP, the faster its economic output will grow. Trade balance, the balance of trade in goods In this type of data, the balance or the difference between all exported goods and all imported goods for a certain time period is measured. The main question is – what is more in the country, exports or imports? It is important because it is an indicator of a country's fundamental trading position in relation to other countries. Obviously, most countries prefer their exports to be higher than imports. A large foreign trade deficit may suggest to economists that there are difficulties with the supply – companies are unable to meet the demand coming from abroad. The trade balance reflects the ratio between national savings and investments of citizens and companies of the country in question. The deficit is an indicator that investments exceed savings in their volumes, and the use of real monetary resources exceeds the overall economic result of the country. Index of export and import prices, unit price of the product This type of data measures the prices of goods that one country trades with others. It is important because it is an indicator of pressure on prices, possible problems with the exchange rate and changes in competition. Economists compare export prices with price indicators on the domestic market to get an idea of the pressure on prices for foreign buyers exerted by domestic producers. Economists also monitor import prices to determine the level of external pressure on prices and evaluate these indicators. Manufacturer's prices and wholesale prices In this type of data, factory prices are measured – that is, how much it costs the manufacturer to manufacture goods without adding extra charges. It is important because it can be used as a leading indicator of price pressure affecting domestic production volumes. It should be borne in mind that during a recession, the industrial Price Index (Producer Price Index, PPI) may exaggerate the pressure on prices. On the other hand, during periods of inflation, PPI can downplay prices, because contracts and purchases of raw materials are usually negotiated in advance long before production and release of products. Price expectations: surveys The purpose of these surveys is to study the opinion of manufacturing companies regarding inflation. In simple words, this type of data sums up what company directors think about the impact of inflation on their business at the moment and in the near future. It is important because it allows you to look into the heads of people working in the trenches of production. It can serve as a warning about possible changes in prices. Economists, as a rule, track changes in the trend of this indicator in order to predict a possible increase or decrease in pressure on prices. Wages, labor income, labor costs Salaries and labor incomes give us an idea of how much people earn from their jobs. Labor costs are how much the labor of workers costs the manufacturer. All these indicators reflect labor costs and the impact on consumer incomes. They are important because they reflect the pressure on prices and demand within the economy. Salaries and incomes are closely related to the current phase of the economic cycle. If incomes are growing faster than consumer price inflation, it means that real spending is growing, which is an indicator of the health of the economy. Unit labor costs In this type of data, the cost of labor per unit of output is measured. In other words, how much the labor costs for the production of one unit of goods cost the manufacturer. It is important because it is an indicator of the competitiveness of businesses and pressure on prices within the country. For example, if a company is engaged in production in a country with cheap labor, and sells its goods abroad, these are large potential profits. Conversely, if a company's production is located in a country with expensive labor, then it probably will not be able to withstand competition with foreign companies using cheaper labor. This is a key indicator of labor efficiency. If unit labor costs decrease, it means that the same amount of products can be produced for less money, since manufacturers will need to pay their workers less for the output of each unit of production. Which, of course, makes the manufacturer more competitive. If labor costs start to rise, then this can pose a threat to the viability of companies, because the production of products will start to cost them too much. Obviously, companies need to earn money to stay in business, so cheap labor is always preferable. Consumer or retail prices This type of data measures the price of a basket of goods and services consumed by an ordinary family to maintain the current standard of living. It includes clothing, food, rent, transportation expenses, and so on. In general, everything you need for food, sleep and earning enough money to survive. It is important because it reflects the inflation experienced by a typical family of a particular country. Here you need to ask yourself this question – are ordinary goods in general more expensive or cheaper for consumers? Will the consumer have more money in his pocket at the end of this year than at the end of the previous one? The answer can tell us a lot about whether the standard of living is rising or falling and what part of the economic cycle we are in now. Conclusion As you can see, when it comes to publishing fundamental economic data, many key concepts have to be taken into account. If you have difficulty assimilating or remembering all this information – try not to overload yourself! Use all the information and then you will earn more than the rest! Good luck!
Editors' picks
Education
by DeGRAM
29
Economic data that a trader should be able to understand.Part 2. Hello everyone Today we will continue discussing the economic data that you may encounter in the economic calendar, the knowledge of which will help you to make more profit in the forex market. Business environment: Indicators and Surveys These indicators and surveys reflect observational data on the business climate. These surveys are interesting because they are conducted among businesses that produce goods and services within the economy. They are important because they can give advance warning of changes in the economic cycle. They are also important because this information comes directly from the companies providing jobs. The surveyed companies express their level of confidence, which can be used to determine their intentions regarding hiring and layoffs of employees. They provide important data on the economic opinions of manufacturers and their expectations regarding business conditions in general. Inventory Data The inventory data measures the level of stocks of manufactured goods stored by the manufacturer. They also measure the level of stocks held by distributors on behalf of the manufacturer of these goods. This type of data is important because it reflects the dynamics of demand for finished products. This dynamic takes the form of possible sales. If the inventory level is low, it may mean that demand exceeds supply. This is a good sign for companies, because it shows that the economy is in a growth phase, and they can start to increase production and, if they are lucky, get more profits. But it can also be a bad sign. Low inventory levels can also mean that producers are not optimistic about demand, and therefore produce less. Here you need to figure out the balance of supply and demand. It is best to use this indicator in combination with others to determine the strength or weakness of a particular economy. Economists study the ratio of stocks to sales. This helps to determine whether the low inventory level is due to the fact that production is not keeping up with demand or that manufacturers of goods are not optimistic about demand in the future. If the ratio is higher than usual, production and imports may be reduced until demand increases. And if the ratio is lower, products and imports are likely to grow until demand declines. Industrial and Mass Production In this type of data, the conditionally net production of manufacturing companies and mines for the extraction of natural resources is measured. It is important because it is an indicator of the current levels of industrial activity. Many economists believe that industrial production can be used as a general indicator of the state of the economic cycle for those countries in which the industrial sector is developed. All the currencies that we will track for our trading belong to countries with a developed industrial sector. Industries producing capital goods and consumer durables tend to suffer the most during an economic downturn. This is due to the fact that ordinary people stop buying things that are not necessary for survival. Which accounts for most of the spending in most of the world's major economies. In turn, this leads to an increase in the number of layoffs, which only exacerbates the problem. Capacity Utilization This type of data measures how actively factories and equipment are used to produce goods. All producers of the country participate in the measurement – this is necessary to obtain an average value of production efficiency. It is important because it is an indicator of the level of economic productivity – it can give us hints about inflation. Strong economic growth together with high utilization of production capacities implies rising inflation, because all the equipment in the country is used almost to the maximum. That is, simply put, companies work efficiently, and production cannot be increased without adding capacity and hiring more workers. If demand is expected to remain high and interest rates are low, then manufacturers can invest in new plants and equipment, which will also lead to an increase in inflation. Rising inflation is good (as long as it doesn't become excessive). Everything can be reduced to one question: are people and companies spending money, is production expanding? If yes, this is usually good news for the economic cycle, because it indicates a growth phase. Industrial Orders (Manufacturing Orders) This type of data measures the total number of new orders received by manufacturing companies over a specific time period. It is important because it can be used to make a conclusion about the economic result in the near future. In a short time, a high level of orders is an indicator of increased employment and production. This can cause an increase in inflation, provided that unemployment is already low, capacity utilization is high, and inventory data is low. It is best to use this indicator in combination with others. The order level can also provide advance warning of changes in the business cycle. An increase in orders can be a signal of the end of the recession, and its decline is a signal that the peak phase has come in the economic cycle. But it all depends on the current and recent state of the economy. The same indicator values may have different meanings depending on which part of the economic cycle we are in. Automotive industry (Motor Vehicles) The name speaks for itself. This type of data measures industrial activity related to the production of cars and trucks. It is important because it is an indicator of the industrial production of cars and trucks. Based on these data, conclusions can be drawn regarding the demand for expensive goods or durable goods. Car sales data are not unreasonably considered a leading indicator, because the growing demand for cars implies an increase in consumption. In addition, the production of vans and trucks is an indicator of business investment, because companies use large vehicles in their activities - for example, in order to transport and deliver their products. Orders for the construction of buildings and structures and results (Construction Orders and Output) This type of data measures activity in the construction sector. It is important because it is an indicator of new investments and possible future economic results in the form of new construction projects. Construction is very much subject to cyclical conditions, because, obviously, it is much easier to do it when there is not a foot of snow on the ground. Construction is very sensitive to interest rates and expectations about future demand. And all because positive expectations are exactly what people are buying new houses or apartments for themselves (usually on credit). High order numbers may mean increased demand for construction materials and more active use of labor in the coming months. Low levels mean the opposite. Number of new constructions (houses), completion of construction, sales (Housing Starts, Completions, and Sales) In these types of data, the number of new house constructions, their delivery and sale is measured (previously built houses are also taken into account in sales). They are important because they are an indicator of the level of activity in the construction sector and can signal an increase in industrial and consumer demand. Obviously, the more construction, the better the economic prospects in the country. Plus, it helps to spur inflation. New construction implies an increase in demand for raw materials and labor, without which a house cannot be built. Both are related to employment and interest rates. Renting houses implies sales. This may mean an increase in demand for mortgages in the future. If mortgages are already issued, this can lead to an increase in demand for durable goods, such as household utensils and cars. Good times! Sales are positively affected by the growth of personal income and lower interest rates. Low interest rates make buying homes more affordable because people can take out cheaper loans. What we don't want to see is a lot of construction completions – and a lack of sales. This may mean that many of the built objects have remained empty. This situation will have a negative impact on the real estate market, on banks issuing mortgages, and will cause an increase in unemployment. This is exactly what happened in the United States during the Great Recession of 2007. an overview of the rest of the economic data can be found in the next article. all the best.
Education
by DeGRAM
7
Economic data that a trader should be able to understand.Part 1. No matter how well you use technical analysis, you should still follow the fundamental news. Fundamental news can push the market against you and destroy any pattern and even reverse the trend. Every professional trader uses an economic calendar for this purpose. Thanks to the data from the economic calendar, you can predict when the market may start behaving unusually, and with proper analysis of the reports, you will be able to determine the future price movement. Today we will talk about these reports, what they mean and what to do with them. Employment The employment data takes into account the total number of employees – both ordinary employees and self-employed citizens. Employment data are important because they are an indicator of the current potential of a country's economic productivity. The production of goods and services directly depends on how many people have the desire and opportunity to work. If all of them are employed, it means, obviously, the country is not able to produce more, because it has no unused labor force. Employment is highly cyclical because when demand for goods and services increases, companies tend to increase working hours instead of hiring new workers. When the economy begins to deteriorate, companies prefer not to reduce working hours, but to get rid of extra workers, because layoffs allow you to save on pension and other deductions, which are usually very expensive. Economists track the addition of working hours and the number of overtime hours, defining them as positive changes for the employment sector. If these indicators begin to fall, it may mean a slowdown in the economy or a potentially possible entry into the recession phase. Unemployment The unemployment data takes into account the total number of people who can and want to work if they have the opportunity, but do not have a job. Unemployment is highly cyclical for the same reasons as employment. They are opposites of each other. These data are important because they are an indicator of excess labor, which economists tend to regard as wasted resources. Unemployment is also called unemployment. There is a natural unemployment rate. Companies can only hire a certain number of people. At some point, the competition for employees becomes very high, because there are few vacancies. This, in turn, increases inflation, as hours worked and average hourly wages increase. People are starting to have more disposable income that they can spend inside the economy on expensive items such as cars and houses, which will cause inflation to rise. The inflation rate is of great interest to us, as central banks pay a lot of attention to it. Keeping inflation at the levels outlined in their policies and financial mandates is part of their job. Too high or too low inflation will force the central bank to intervene in financial markets. Personal income and Disposable Income In these data, the total income of the population after deduction of taxes to the state is taken into account. They are important because they are the basis for consumption and for personal savings within the economy. Personal consumption and spending account for about half to two-thirds of GDP in developed countries, which makes these indicators extremely important. When people's personal incomes grow, chances are high that they will start spending more money inside the economy. When there is a shortage of personal income, it is very unlikely that people will have a desire to spend the little money they have on goods that are not necessary for survival. Economists pay attention to the steady growth of real personal income. If it is too fast, it will cause a sharp increase in inflation. If it is too slow, it can lead to deflation, which is very bad for the economy (and for the positions of bankers of the central bank). By the way, we will devote a separate article to inflation and deflation, as this is a very important topic. Don't be afraid, we've got it all covered! Consumer and Personal Expenditure, Private Consumption In this type of data, total expenses are measured. In other words, how much each person consumes on average. They are important because they are a key component of GDP along with personal and disposable income, as they show how much money each person is ready to spend on goods and services at the moment – both necessary and just desired. Don't forget, spending is something very serious for developed countries. Economists track the dynamics of changes in real interest rates in order to adjust their views on the economy. For example, if expenses grow by 6%, and prices rise by only 4%, then real expenses have increased by only 2%. Positive and negative changes in spending on durable goods (for example, cars, washing machines, agricultural equipment) can be an early signal of changes in the economic situation. An increase in the number of purchases is regarded as a positive phenomenon, while a decrease in purchases is generally considered negative for the economy. an overview of the rest of the economic data can be found in the next article. all the best.
Education
by DeGRAM
9
Compounding (Course #2)The power of compounding is one of Warren Buffett’s success factors. Compounding is why you can make a lot of money over time. You MUST understand the power of it, and use it. That’s it. Compounding is basically reinvesting what you earned into earning more. Why is this so powerful? Because each time you earn a percentage, that earning is in fact percentage of the initial + a percentage of the previous gains. Then, as you go on, the sum of all the small gains is growing exponentially, making you earn more and more! Take a look below: Day 1, I trade $1,000 and earn 2%. This is $20. My total account balance is $1,000 + $20 = $1,020. Day 2, I trade $1,020 and earn 2%. This is $20.40. My total account balance is $1,020 + $20.40 = $1,040.04. Day 3 … again, 2% Day 4, … …. Day 30, my account balance is now $1,775.84. I earn 2%. This is $35.52. My final account balance is now $1,811.36. This is a $811.36 gain over $1,000. Or, it is a 81% gain. See the first picture - Not impressed? Check the second picture, doing it for 6 month. Compare this to the third one, not compounding your gains. You can see if you were not compounding your gains in the first month, you would make $600 (60%) instead of $800+ (80+%). Conclusion: Compounding should be a no brainer. You won’t get rich by trading high leverage a few times and make big bucks. Yet, you can get very rich by compounding your gains, steadily, day-in and day-out.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PEducation
by Maddrix_club
IMPORTANT ABOUT PRICE ACTIONThe market is constantly in motion and constantly changing. Every new day is different from the previous one. At some point, the market movement stops, the sideways movement begins and people start losing money because they do not know how to switch from one market structure to another. At such moments, newcomers begin to doubt their strategy and blame it for losses, eventually abandoning it altogether. Such actions do not lead to good results. If a trader cannot keep his composure during a loss streak, then the market will beat him every new week again and again. At such moments, you should keep in mind the four truths related to Price Action and Forex trading. These truths can keep you afloat and keep you from going crazy. 1. Price Action is not a "system" Price Action is not a complete trading "system". This should not be forgotten. You cannot mindlessly believe every Price Action signal that appears, as it seems to you, on the chart. You have to think and choose the best entry opportunities. You should be careful, start trusting your intuition, which will start working correctly only when you get enough bumps, that is, gain experience. 2. Does Price Action work? Price Action appeared back in the 18th century, and it worked then, it works now and will work in the future. The thing is that Price Action is based on logical principles that work outside the market. At the same time, do not forget about the losses that are inevitable. Price Action is not the holy Grail. You must be disciplined, be able to correctly understand and use the signals that Price Action gives. Even the best traders have unprofitable positions, while professionals do not allow losses to destroy the entire account. Moreover, profitable positions cover losses, after which there is still money for life! 3. Candles and Price Action Many beginners, having studied the Price Action patterns a little, having learned the candlestick formations, run to trade and lose money. Price Action is not only candle formations, the main strength of Price Action is reading the entire chart and understanding the situation, understanding how the price moved before, how it is moving now and what is likely to happen in the future. You must learn to feel the mood of the market, not be afraid to look at the older timeframes, be able not to lose sight of the big picture. It is the poet who advises trading on higher timeframes in order not to lose sight of the movement of the main trend. 4. Persistence in trading Forex trading is not the easiest activity that requires you to improve yourself every day. If you decide to really become a profitable trader, you will inevitably begin to develop the best in yourself and destroy the worst. Trading will make you a disciplined, stressful person. You will treat losses correctly so that they do not lead you astray. You will take the time to plan not only your transactions in the market, but also your life in general. You will have to start doing all this, because otherwise you will not be successful in this business. Trading is a test of your stamina and mental capabilities. YOU should not go crazy with losses and should not lose your head when making a profit. You should not doubt your strategy at losses, you should analyze. Without all of the above, trading can destroy you and your account. Do work on mistakes, rest when you feel that you are losing control of the situation, develop and analyze removing harmful emotions away. You have to treat trading as a real job – seriously and responsibly, and then you will stop losing and start getting. Good luck! Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Education
by Lingrid
14