Wedge Pattern on OIL Suggests A ReversalCrude OIL has been in an uptrend since June of 2017, a five-wave cycle that can come to an end. Specifically, we see energy trading within an uptrend channel, currently in the fifth wave that is testing the upper parallel resistance line where the fifth wave can look for a top.
In fact, we see a wedge pattern forming up in the last month or so, which is normally evidence of a bulls slow-down.
This is also confirmed by divergence on the RSI that is very common when comparing highs of wave three and five.
That being said, rather than looking and building any new bullish set-ups in this phase of a trend, we suggest being aware of a potential retracement of a higher degree.
Resistance area is around $73.00
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
Crude Oil WTI
Crude oil Can See and Reach 61$ per Barrel and Above Crude oil has completed a complex correction labeled as wave II or B at the 42.03 level from where we started to track a new bullish impulse. An impulse is a five wave pattern, so there is room for much more gains on energy market since we see current leg up as blue wave 3 of an impulse. Wave 3) has in general five clear waves, which means oil price can still climb up to 60/61.9$ per barrel.
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All our work is for educational purposes only.
Oil "Energy Model"This is a pretty simple model based on a Gann Square and concentric circles and squares. Price over time tends to move up or down 2 circles, or energy levels, before moving in the opposite direction.
Since price made a low near the point marked 0, we should expect that the oil price will generally move higher until the circle marked 2.
The parabola drawn was inspired from several sources, including Martin Armstrong. Price moved down fairly strongly once the peak of the parabola was passed.
It is possible that price may meet resistance at the green 2x1 line. In addition, price often moves in the opposite direction when crossing a square, so it is possible that price could retrace somewhat with the red 39 degree angle line below it acting as potential support.
Depending on how strong and steep the upward climb of price is, oil could move generally higher into 2017 and as late as 2018.