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Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Consolidation Within UptrendOANDA:XAUUSD market remain trapped in volatile sideways action within a broad consolidation range, following the recent strong rally. Despite the current noisy price behavior, the underlying longer-term bullish momentum remains intact. Higher timeframe reveals critical technical levels, with gold testing the resistance zone around after breaking above the upward channel. The triangle pattern breakout suggests potential for higher targets, though the market is currently experiencing a corrective pullback near the $3,300 support level. The presence of multiple resistance tests indicates strong institutional interest at these elevated levels. The 4H chart provides broader context, showing the A-B-C corrective structure from the June highs. The market appears to be forming a potential ascending triangle pattern, with the June high serving as key resistance. The current consolidation between the June high and low suggests accumulation before the next directional move. Key levels to watch include the $3,300 support zone and the $3,400 resistance area. A decisive break above resistance could trigger another leg higher toward $3,500, while failure to hold support might see a retest of the $3,200 level. The overall structure suggests this consolidation is part of a larger bullish continuation pattern. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
33
The Unicorn Model: : Guide to ICT’s Best Standalone setup🦄 The ICT Unicorn: The Most Powerful Setup in ICT Among all the concepts of ICT, the Unicorn setup stands out as the ultimate precision entry model, it’s confluence perfected. Why? Because it merges two of the most potent ideas in ICT theory: Breaker Blocks and Fair Value Gaps into a single zone. This combination creates the most high-probability, sniper-level setup in the entire ICT playbook. Why It’s the Best you think? Most ICT setups (like simple FVGs, order blocks, or liquidity sweeps) offer high-probability trades on their own, but the Unicorn setup stacks the odds in your favor by combining multiple layers of confirmation. This makes it the most disciplined and rewarding entry model for traders who rely on market structure. Core Concepts Explained A breaker block is a former order block that gets invalidated when price breaks structure, then acts as support or resistance upon a retest. It’s a sign of a shift in market intent, from bullish to bearish or vice versa. A fair value gap (FVG) is a three-candle pattern where a sudden price move creates an imbalance, a "gap" between the wicks of the first and third candle. Price often retraces into that gap before continuing its trend. When these two concepts overlap, a breaker block and a fair value gap in the same zone, it forms the “unicorn” setup. It suggests a strong level where liquidity has been taken and institutions may re-enter. How the Setup Work s First, you identify a market structure shift, like a break in a previous high or low. Then look for the breaker block left behind by that move. Within that block, check if there’s a fair value gap (the imbalance zone). When price retraces back into that confluence zone, wait for a reaction, often a strong reversal or continuation. Entry is usually taken when price shows rejection within the zone on a lower timeframe. Your stop-loss goes just beyond the breaker block, and your target can be the next high/low or a logical liquidity pool. Example of a bearish Unicorn Model: Best Conditions to Use It This setup works best when used in line with the higher timeframe trend. Many traders analyze structure on the 1-hour or 4-hour chart, then drop to 5-minute or 15-minute charts to enter. It’s commonly used in forex and indices but also works well in crypto or commodities. Avoid using it during news events though. Like all ICT concepts, it requires patience and practice to identify clean setups and avoid forcing trades. Example spotted on a Gold setup: ICT Unicorn Model was first introduced in 2022, primarily applied to the Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES). What stood out immediately was its precision, the kind of clean structure and consistency you don’t often find in most strategies. As it was tested further, it was clear this wasn’t just for indices. The model transitioned beautifully into forex, especially on major pairs like GBP/USD and EUR/USD, delivering sharp entries as well. I also tested it on metals like gold (XAU/USD) and silver (XAG/USD), as well as the Dollar Index (DXY), and the results spoke for themselves. Even in crypto, where volatility is the norm, the Unicorn setup held its ground. It’s rare to find a trading model that adapts across markets this well. Final Thoughts The ICT Unicorn is all about confluence and precision. You’re not trading every breaker or every FVG, only the ones that align, especially with a clean shift in structure. When used with proper risk management, it can be a high-probability setup in your playbook.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TrendDiva
58
Bitcoin - Bull Trap! Don't get caught (Buy at 102,909 USD)Bitcoin has been pumping last week, but the problem is that the bulls made a false breakout above the bullish flag / descending channel. We see that the price went above the channel but failed to continue in the uptrend. This is called a false breakout of a pattern or a bull trap. Usually what happens next is that the price goes in the opposite direction! That's a pretty bearish case because the bulls are now trapped in their long position, and we all know that the whales need liquidity (orders and stop losses). That's why they will be ready to push the price to the downside, potentially to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous impulse wave. From the Elliott Wave perspective, this is a bullish setup, but we have just finished an impulse wave (1), so we should wait for an ABC correction (wave (2)) to form before entering a long position. I expect Bitcoin to hit 102,909 USD in the short term because there is the 0.618 FIBO. Also, we have an unfilled FVG between 102k - 104k on the daily chart. Usually these kinds of gaps tend to be filled sooner rather than later; that's why I expect a pullback. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades! Trading tip at the end: Organize Personal Life - Professional traders have great management of their personal life as they keep their trading activities from personal concerns. Balancing your personal life is essential to achieve harmony as well as improve your performance in trading.
Short
by Xanrox
74
GOLD → Buyers are hesitant due to new tariffsFX:XAUUSD continues its correction phase after updating local highs and breaking through trend resistance. The dollar is making traders nervous... After rising 2% last week, gold started Monday with a decline to $3,300 amid a stronger dollar due to the risk of new tariffs from Trump, who sent letters to 12 countries threatening to impose duties of up to 70% if no agreements are reached by July 9. This boosted demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset. Gold is also under pressure from strong US employment data, which has dampened expectations of a rate cut. The market is focused on news on tariffs and the publication of the Fed minutes on Wednesday, which may clarify the outlook for monetary policy. Technically, the correction may end in the 0.7 Fibonacci zone, in the range of 3295-3300. After the formation of a reversal pattern, the market may strengthen to 3350-3360. Resistance levels: 3315, 3344, 3358 Support levels: 3300, 3295 Locally, the price is trying to consolidate below the range, which could lead to a decline to 3300-3295. If, during the correction from support, the market manages to consolidate above 3315, we can expect growth. Otherwise, a weak reaction at 3295 could lead to a retest of 3275 and consolidation in the selling zone, which could lead to a further decline to 3245 . BUT! We are closely monitoring the position of the US and Trump on tariffs, as he is once again issuing ultimatums to countries, to which the markets are reacting... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
21
Is Bitcoin Working Out a New Leg Up? Onchain Data Says It May BeDiamond hands are waving goodbye and institutions are loading up — it’s why Bitcoin may be struggling to break out of its current consolidation range. How long can this accumulation phase continue? And yes — we look at the trades of the decade — two transactions where each one moved a cool billie from a $7.8K investment in 2011. Some people cling to their Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD stash like it’s their last protein bar before a marathon. Others, apparently, wake up one day and decide to dump their coins and browse the market for islands. Welcome to the silent shift that’s redefining the big players in the Bitcoin market, worth about $2.2 trillion as per data from our Crypto Coins Heatmap . Old-school whales — the very early adopters and miners holding the OG wallets — are quietly selling, while institutional heavyweights sweep in to buy every dip (part of the reason why lately every breakout never breaks out). Over the past year, these OG whales have shed about half a million Bitcoin — worth north of $50 billion — according to data from 10x Research. And guess who’s gobbling it all up? ETFs, corporate treasuries, and family offices that didn’t want anything to do with crypto five years ago. Is it bullish? Is it bearish? Is it just Bitcoin being Bitcoin? Let’s pull up the charts, squint at the data, and see what the world’s most famous digital coin might be plotting next. 📈 A Record High — And Now What? So here’s the setup. Bitcoin has been strutting under its record high of $111,000 for months now. You’d think the hype machine — from Trump’s pro-crypto administration, to corporate balance sheets going full Michael Saylor (looking at you, GameStop NYSE:GME ) — would send BTC blasting past the Moon and landing on Mars. Instead? It’s just... chilling. Volatility’s drying up like the last drop of liquidity in a summer Friday session. And the reason is surprisingly simple: the massive handover happening between big, anonymous early adopters and the suit-and-tie institutional crowd. 😌 From Wild Ride to Easy Cruising? You could argue this is exactly what Bitcoin needs: maturity, respectability, less drama. But don’t tell that to the day traders who want 20% swings before breakfast. As these whales get out and institutions get in, analysts say the upside could be capped at a chill 10% to 20% a year. Good news for your retirement portfolio, maybe not so great for that “Lambo by Labor Day” dream. Institutions now hold about 25% of all Bitcoin in circulation — and once these get in, they tend to sit tight for years. 🚀 The $1.1 Billion Time Capsule Speaking of whales: ever wonder what happens when a Bitcoin wallet goes dark for 14 years? It pops back online to make your mind melt. On April 3, 2011, a wallet labeled “1HqXB...gDwcK” moved 23,377 BTC to three addresses. At the time, Bitcoin was worth a mere 78 cents. Fast forward: two of those receiving wallets, each with 10,000 BTC, sat dormant for over a decade. This month, both wallets moved their treasure troves — worth over $1.1 billion each — within 30 minutes of each other. Talk about a coordinated exit. What’s behind the move? Tax planning? A lost key finally found? A savvy crypto thief who figured how to crack the earliest key generation method? We may never know. Also, OG guy, if you’re reading this — props for the all-at-once move without even a test transaction. ⛓️ What Onchain Data Says Onchain data is like reading tea leaves for nerds with Bloomberg terminals. It says the supply is tightening — not because there’s less Bitcoin, but because fewer coins are actually available to trade. When long-term holders move coins, that typically signals big-picture changes. Here’s the twist: the net effect has been… stability. Institutional demand, like Bitcoin exchange-traded funds , soaks up supply just as fast as whales drip it back in. That’s why Bitcoin’s been stuck in this $100K–$110K limbo, ping-ponging while the accumulation phase is still going strong. 👀 So, Is a New Leg Up Coming? This is where the optimists and realists start to bicker over the charts. On the one hand, the structural handover to institutions makes Bitcoin more credible, more regulated, and more boring. But less volatility can mean steadier gains — especially if you believe that the world will always want an inflation hedge that no central bank can print into oblivion. On the other hand, a sideways market can test your patience more than a typical drawdown. Some of the whales are gone, the suits have arrived, and the easy moonshots might not be so easy anymore. 🌱 The Trade-Offs of Growing Up Bitcoin was born in the wild west of finance — an anonymous, volatile, meme-fueled phenomenon. Now, it’s drifting deep into the mainstream. That might limit the fireworks, but it also locks in its place as an asset class that’s not going away. 🌊 Closing Thoughts: The Next Billion-Dollar Move Will we see another $7,800 investment turn into a cool $1 billion? Maybe not exactly like that. But the game isn’t over — it’s just evolving. Keep your eyes on the whales, the ETFs, the Fed’s next move , and those onchain breadcrumbs. Over to you , chart-watchers: does this calm consolidation make you bullish, bearish, or just plain bored? Share your thoughts in the comments!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by TradingView
22
GBP/USD - H1- Bearish Flag (07.07.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3520 2nd Support – 1.3460 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
33
Bitcoin - Last move down, ready for ATH?Bitcoin is showing clear signs of a corrective move within a broader bullish structure. After forming a second consecutive lower high, price is now pressing downward, creating space for a potential liquidity grab and discount entry. Despite this short-term weakness, the macro narrative remains intact. The all-time high remains untapped above, holding a thick layer of liquidity that the market has yet to collect. Liquidity and Fib Confluence There is a visible equal low structure around the 107.8k area. This is a prime zone for a sweep, where smart money is likely to trigger sell stops before reversing. Below that lies a Fair Value Gap (FVG) extending into the 106.5k range. Within this same zone, we also have strong Fibonacci confluence, especially at the 0.786 level near 106.2k. This makes it a high-probability entry area if price delivers a clean displacement after the sweep. Short-Term Bearish, Long-Term Bullish The market is respecting a trendline drawn across the lower highs, giving the impression of sustained bearish control. However, this is likely a trap. Once the sell-side liquidity below the 107.8k low is taken and the imbalance around 106.5k is filled, price will be primed for a reversal. The true target lies much higher, with the all-time high around 110.5k as the main magnet. FVG Fill and Reversal Mechanics This entire drop is likely engineered to fill inefficiencies left behind earlier in the move up. The FVG acts not only as a magnet, but also a springboard for the next leg. Expecting price to show a reaction at the 0.786 level, where the order flow could shift and confirm a bullish reversal, is key here. Ideally, we see a clean sweep, a displacement, and a reclaim of previous structure before targeting higher levels. Projection and Trade Setup The anticipated sequence is a sweep of 107.8k, fill of the gap and fib zone down to 106.2k, then a potential reversal structure forming. If that structure confirms, the next major move should aim for the untouched all-time highs, where significant liquidity remains resting. Traders should remain patient and let the sweep and confirmation unfold before entering. Conclusion We are watching a classic setup where engineered downside movement is likely to create the conditions for a powerful reversal. As long as price respects the 106k zone and gives a strong reaction, the path toward the ATH remains wide open. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Long
by TehThomas
37
SOLANA Loves THIS Pattern | BULLISHSolana usually increases alongside ETH. Possible because its a big competitor. We can see SOL follows ETH very closely, with the exception of dipping earlier than ETH by a week: In the 4h, we see a push to breakout above the neckline resistance: In the daily timeframe, SOL is just about to break out above the moving averages - which would be the final confirmation of a bullish impulse to come: Could this pattern be the confirmation of the start of another big pump for SOL? _______________________ BINANCE:SOLUSDT
Long
by Crypto-Check-
26
USDJPY Price Accumulated|Time For Bullish Distribution|Setupsfx|The price has accumulated nicely and is now distributing. We have three targets in mind, but set your own based on your analysis. Our approach is purely technical, but also includes a basic fundamental approach. This analysis concludes over 1500 pips and is a swing move. Please use this analysis as educational purposes only, as it does not guarantee that price will move exactly as predicted. If you like our idea, please consider liking and commenting on it. Good luck and trade safely! Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
11
GBP/USD - Bearish Channel (07.07.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3545 2nd Support – 1.3485 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
21
XAU/USD 3H CHART PATTERNOn this XAUUSD 3-hour chart, price has broken out of the descending channel and is retesting near the 3304 area, aligning with a bullish change of character (CHOCH) zone for a potential buy setup. The chart shows a clear upward projection after the retest, targeting a move towards the upper resistance zone around 3440. This setup aligns with market structure respecting previous support zones and aiming for higher highs after a successful breakout. Monitoring the retest area is crucial for confirmation, allowing a low-risk entry for a continuation towards the targets while maintaining clear structure. Price action should be observed for bullish momentum before continuation to the higher resistance levels indicated on the chart for a clean execution. Entry: 3304 First Target: 3381 Second Target: 3440 Stop Loss: 3390/335
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Trend_logic
19
USD/CAD) Down Trand Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of USD/CAD (U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe, with a focus on a potential double-top formation at strong resistance, followed by a drop toward support: --- Analysis Overview Trend Structure: Downward-sloping channel with lower highs and lower lows. Confluence Area: The current rally is approaching both the upper channel boundary and a significant horizontal resistance zone (~1.3660–1.3700). --- Key Technical Elements 1. Resistance & Double-Top Setup The price nears the resistance zone (yellow) where it previously reversed (noted by red arrows). A cap-and-float pattern (double/top-like structure) is projected: price pushes higher, hesitates, tests resistance again, then fails—a sign of weakening bullish momentum. 2. EMA 200 Interaction The 1-hour EMA 200 (blue line at ~1.3635) sits just below current price. A failure to sustain above this level reinforces the bearish case. 3. RSI Overextension RSI (14) is around 64–69, indicating near-overbought conditions on this timeframe, suggesting a potential pullback. 4. Price Targets Initial target: Lower channel boundary near 1.3556 (highlighted support). Extended target: Beneath to 1.3540, aligning with the broader Demand zone. --- Proposed Trade Setup Step Action Level Entry Short near top of resistance/channel (after double-top confirmation) 1.3680–1.3700 Stop-Loss Above recent high and channel resistance ~1.3720 Take Profit 1 Near EMA 200/lower channel bounce ~1.3556 Take Profit 2 Extended move to demand zone ~1.3540 Estimated Move ~1.15% drop from midday highs – --- Risk & Event Factors Scheduled Canadian or U.S. data releases (icons shown) could introduce volatility and disrupt technical patterns. A breakout above ~1.3720 would invalidate this bearish thesis and shift bias bullish. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary Expecting a cap-and-float double-top formation at key resistance near 1.3660–1.3700, followed by a trend continuation drop toward 1.3556–1.3540. The bearish setup is supported by a down-channel structure, EMA 200 failure, and overbought RSI conditions. Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
14
EURNZD: Steep Channel continuation setupEURNZD continues to rise within a steep ascending channel, maintaining a well-structured sequence. No signs of exhaustion are evident yet, as bullish momentum remains strong and price action continues to respect both the midline and lower boundary of the channel. This ongoing strength suggests that buyers remain in control, and unless we see a clear shift in structure, such as a break below channel support or loss of momentum, the trend remains intact. 🟢 Trend Bias: I remain bullish on EURNZD while price stays within this channel. Any pullbacks toward the lower channel boundary or previous breakout zones may offer continuation opportunities. 🎯 Target: My upside target is 1.983 , which aligns with the projected upper boundary of the ascending channel and makes a good technical target if the structure continues to hold. 🟥 Invalidation: A confirmed breakdown below the channel with follow-through would challenge this bias and signal the possibility of a deeper corrective move. For now, the structure favors trend continuation over reversal. Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TrendDiva
26
Are You Really Analyzing Or Just Defending your imagination? You might think you're analyzing every time you open a chart. But what if you're just looking for reasons to justify a bad trade? Real analysis is data-based. Justification is emotion-based. Let’s figure out if you're really trading smart or just lying to yourself. Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: BINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently testing a strong resistance near the upper boundary of its parallel channel. A breakout to the upside looks likely soon. From this level, I expect at least a 5% gain, with a main target around $114,500. 📈🚀 Now , let's dive into the educational section, 🎯 Analysis or Mental Justification? Many traders, once they’re in a position, stop looking for truth and start looking for confirmation. Instead of reading what the chart actually says, they twist every line and indicator to make it look like their trade still makes sense even when it doesn’t. 🛠 TradingView Tools That Kill Self-Deception TradingView is way more than just a place to slap on some EMAs and MACDs. If used right, it can literally stop you from fooling yourself: Replay Tool – Use this to backtest without future data bias. It trains your brain to analyze based only on the present moment. Multi-Timeframe Layouts – View your idea across multiple timeframes. Confirmation bias collapses fast when you see the same chart from different angles. Volume Profile – This shows where real trading happens, not where you wish it would happen. Community Scripts & Public Indicators – Looking at someone else's logic helps you catch your own blind spots. Idea Journal & Posts – Publish your analysis and compare it with what actually happened. You’ll quickly see how often emotion was driving your trade. 😵‍💫 What Does Justification Even Look Like? It’s when you’re deep in the red but instead of managing your loss, you draw a new trendline… or add a reversed Fibonacci… or tell yourself, “It’s just a correction.” That’s not analysis. That’s emotional defense. 💡 Know the Real Difference Analysis = data-driven, emotion-free. Justification = emotion-driven, data-twisted. 🔂 Why Do You Keep Making the Same Mistake? Because your brain loves to feel right even when it's wrong. Instead of accepting reality, it tries to bend it. So you dig for signals to support your bad position, not question it. 🧠 The Psychology Behind the Trap What you’re feeling is cognitive dissonance. Two thoughts fighting in your head: “This position is failing.” “I don’t want to be wrong.” So your brain builds fake reasons to stay in it. Welcome to the mental loop that kills portfolios. 🎯 How To Break the Cycle Write down why you’re entering any trade before you open it. Only trade what you can explain, not what you hope. Decide your stop-loss level before you enter. If you’re “hoping” for something to turn around, it probably won’t. 🪞Be Brutally Honest With Yourself The real question isn’t “Can you analyze?” It’s “Can you admit you were wrong when it matters?” Every losing trade you hold onto out of ego is a reminder that you chose comfort over skill. ⚠️ What Makes a Pro Trader? A pro doesn’t just win trades. They cut losses fast. They don’t “marry” a position just because they drew a trendline. They survive by respecting truth, not bending it. 🧪 Train Your Brain To See Reality To break the habit of self-justification, you need to rewire your analysis process. Here's how: Before analyzing a chart, review your previous trade honestly. Ask: What made me enter? Strategy or emotion? Replay the chart with TradingView’s tool. If you didn’t know the future, would you still take that trade? Answer those questions and you'll start separating real analysis from self-defense. 👁 Look at the Chart Without Bias If you’re holding a position while analyzing, you’re probably just looking for evidence to stay in. Try this instead: Pick a timeframe where you have no position, and do a clean analysis. No hope. No fear. No money on the line. That’s when real analysis happens. 🔚 Final Note Real analysis hurts because it forces you to face mistakes. But it's also the path to real consistency. Next time you open a chart, ask yourself: “Am I seeking the truth or just a reason to hold on?” One moment of honesty can change your entire trading journey. ✨ Need a little love! We put so much love and time into bringing you useful content & your support truly keeps us going. don’t be shy—drop a comment below. We’d love to hear from you! 💛 Big thanks , Mad Whale 🐋 📜Please remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions. Also, don’t forget to check the disclaimer at the bottom of each post for more details.
Education
by MadWhale
16
BTC: Demand Zone + QML + Trendline Flip = Perfect SETUPHello guys! BTC is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal, forming a Quasimodo Level (QML) setup inside a valid S&D zone that remains unbroken despite multiple tests. The downward trendline has been broken and is now acting as support, aligning perfectly with the QML and demand zone. giving us a solid confluence area. Important to watch: Rejection wicks and volume building at $106.6K–$107.4K zone show strong buyer interest. If price can reclaim $109K and consolidate above, we could see a move toward $112K and higher. Invalidation below $106.4K suggests the demand has failed, and bears may regain control.
Long
by melikatrader94
18
| ICT Unicorn model | The most potent concept spotted on GoldThe Unicorn model is considered by many traders to be one of the most refined and effective concepts within the ICT framework concepts because it brings together several core ideas into one powerful, repeatable setup. But what makes it so highly regarded as one of the best? It’s the ability to stack multiple high-probability conditions: liquidity grabs, market structure shifts, fair value gaps, and optimal trade entry zones. Unlike isolated concepts, the Unicorn model doesn’t rely on just one factor. It uses the synergy between time and price → waiting for manipulation first, then entering during the retracement into a fair value gap or order block. This not only increases accuracy but allows for tight stops and high reward-to-risk ratios. Many traders rely on it exclusively because it’s both structured and versatile, making it easier to apply consistently across various market conditions. How does this work: You’ll see the price breaks a swing high, reverses, and creates a Breaker Block (failed order block) with a Fair Value Gap. These overlap to form the “Unicorn zone” → After that, price drops sharply, breaking the previous structure, indicating a shift in market direction → Price retraces, entering the overlapping zone → Traders look for rejections (candlestick patterns, wick spikes) as the entry signal→ With entry near the zone, the stop-loss is placed just beyond the Breaker Block or FVG. Targets can be the next liquidity levels (e.g., recent lows). Many traders use 2:1 or 3:1 R:R, though targets can be higher. In other words as a standalone strategy, the Unicorn model is highly effective , if, and only if, you have the correct daily bias. With a clear directional outlook, it becomes a complete and reliable setup. Which in our case, on Gold it aligns perfectly. Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TrendDiva
44
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with our levels being respected inline with our plans to buy dips. We started the week with our bearish target 3330 being hit followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 3306 inline with the retracement range. This was hit perfectly completing the retracement range, followed with the weighted level bounce now heading towards 3330. We still have the market opening bullish gap left at 3358 and will need a challenge and ema5 lock above 3330 to re-confirm this again. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3358 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3358 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3389 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3416 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3439 BEARISH TARGETS 3330 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3306 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3283 3254 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
7
AAAPL: Updated Outlook and Best Level to BUY/HOLD 70% gains________________________________________ Apple Outlook: July 2025–Q1 2026 After peaking near $200 in late May, Apple (AAPL) remains under correction territory despite pockets of resilience, closing July around $193. The current correction is projected to persist until Q1 2026, as global macro and policy headwinds weigh on the broader tech sector. Technicals suggest AAPL could find its cycle low between Q3 and Q4 2025, potentially setting the stage for a renewed bull run into late 2026. Pullback until 170/175 USD. 📉 Catalysts Shaping Apple’s Stock Price in 2025–26 1. AI Integration and Apple Intelligence Strength: 9/10 The roll-out of on-device Apple Intelligence features—including an upgraded Siri, ChatGPT integrations, and generative AI tools—continues to build anticipation for a major iPhone upgrade supercycle. Initial adoption has been strong, but broader impact will hinge on Q4 developer and enterprise feedback. 🤖 2. Services Segment Growth Strength: 8.5/10 Apple’s Services business (App Store, iCloud, Apple Music, AI-powered subscriptions) is projected to post double-digit growth into Q4 2025, with consensus revenue estimates at $25–27B for the quarter. Analysts see upside from new AI-driven service bundles, which could add $5–8B in annualized revenue by 2026. 💡 3. Gross Margin Expansion & Cost Efficiencies Strength: 8/10 Apple’s gross margin is forecast to improve by up to 60 basis points in Q4 2025 as the product mix tilts toward higher-margin services, and as component costs ease. Operational efficiencies from supply-chain automation may further cushion profit margins amid macro uncertainty. 📊 4. iPhone 17 Product Cycle Strength: 7.5/10 The iPhone 17 lineup—rumored to include advanced polymer batteries and potential foldable form factors—is expected to launch Q4 2025, giving Apple a competitive hardware edge versus Android rivals. Early channel checks point to pent-up demand, though upgrade rates may lag previous cycles due to consumer caution. 📱 5. Vision Pro & Hardware Diversification Strength: 7/10 Next-gen Vision Pro headsets and new AR/VR devices, boosted by Apple Intelligence, are expected to drive incremental growth in Q4 2025. However, high price points and limited mainstream adoption keep near-term impact contained. 🥽 6. Share Buybacks & Dividend Policy Strength: 7/10 Apple’s $110B share buyback authorization and steady dividend growth provide valuation support, but recent market volatility has prompted a more cautious pace of repurchases. Yield-seeking investors are watching closely for any pivot in capital return policy if macro pressures persist. 💵 7. Supply Chain & Trade Policy Risks Strength: 6.5/10 Escalating U.S.–China trade tensions—including the risk of expanded tariffs or tech export bans—remain a top concern. Apple is accelerating its assembly shift toward India and Vietnam to diversify risk, but any new policy shocks in Q4 could hit margins and unit volumes. 🌏 8. Regulatory & Antitrust Pressures Strength: 6/10 The EU’s Digital Markets Act and potential U.S. antitrust probes could force Apple to further open up its iOS ecosystem by year-end, potentially capping Services revenue growth and adding compliance costs. ⚖️ 9. Macro & Interest-Rate Environment Strength: 5/10 With the Fed signaling “higher for longer” rates through mid-2026, tech sector valuations remain under pressure. Analysts see this limiting multiple expansion even if EPS growth resumes in late 2025. 📈 10. Smartphone Market Competition Strength: 5/10 Aggressive pricing and innovation from Samsung and Chinese OEMs are intensifying competitive pressures, especially in emerging markets. Apple’s share gains are likely to slow until the macro environment improves and new hardware cycles fully materialize. 🥊 ________________________________________ Analyst Projections for Q4 2025: • Consensus Revenue: $108–112B (up ~4% YoY) • EPS Estimate: $2.30–$2.42 • Gross Margin: 45–46% • iPhone Unit Growth: 2–3% • Services Revenue: $25–27B Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan maintain “Overweight” ratings, but expect rangebound performance until macro and trade uncertainty clears. Most price targets for Q4 2025 hover between $195–$215, with upside potential post-correction into 2026. 📊 ________________________________________ Analyst / Firm Date Rating Price Target (USD) Barclays 06/24/2025 – 173 () Jefferies (E. Lee) 07/01/2025 Hold (Upgraded) 188.32 UBS (D. Vogt) 07/03/2025 – 210.00 J.P. Morgan (S. Chatterjee) 06/26/2025 Overweight 230.00 Morgan Stanley (E. Woodring) 03/12/2025 Overweight 252.00 Evercore ISI 01/31/2025 – 260.00 Redburn Partners 01/31/2025 – 230.00 D.A. Davidson (G. Luria) 05/02/2025 – 250.00 TradingView Consensus (avg) – Consensus 228.98 TipRanks Consensus (avg over 3mo) – Consensus 226.36
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by ProjectSyndicate
41
BULLISH H4 MOMENTUM ACTIVATED...?📊 Pattern & Structure: The chart shows a downward channel (falling wedge) pattern that has recently been broken to the upside, indicating a bullish breakout. The breakout is clean, with a sharp upward move, confirming the reversal from the bearish trend. 🔍 Key Levels Identified: Support Zone: 142.284 – 141.790 (marked with an orange box) This zone acted as a strong demand/support area. Price bounced strongly after reaching this zone. Immediate Resistance Levels: 145.799 – Near-term resistance. 147.000 – 147.629 – Key resistance zone (highlighted with a red horizontal line). 148.725 – Final bullish target/resistance on the chart. 📈 Bullish Scenario (highlighted with arrows and wave projection): Price has broken out of the falling wedge, retested, and is pushing higher. Target zone: 147.000–148.725. The chart suggests a bullish projection, with further gains expected if the price sustains above 145.47.
Long
by DOCTOR_PIPS05
19
Eth $2,500 Resistance — Will Harmonic Pattern Trigger a Rally?Ethereum Stuck at $2,500 Resistance — Will Harmonic Pattern Trigger a Rally to $3,400? Ethereum has been trading in a prolonged consolidation phase around the $2,500 level — a region that has acted as resistance for several weeks. This extended period of sideways action could signify either accumulation or distribution, depending on what comes next. Technically, Ethereum remains capped below major resistance and has yet to confirm a bullish breakout. However, a deeper corrective move followed by a reclaim of key levels could activate a larger harmonic pattern, which presents a potential rally scenario toward the $3,400 region. -$2,500 Resistance Zone: Price continues to stall at this critical area, signaling indecision -$2,200 Support Level: A potential bounce zone where bulls may re-enter the market -Harmonic Pattern Forming: Possible C-to-D leg expansion targeting $3,400, pending confirmation Ethereum’s price has remained stuck around the $2,500 region, which has evolved into a high time frame resistance. Price has yet to show a decisive breakout, and this extended stay near resistance typically signals one of two things: stealth accumulation before a breakout, or distribution before a breakdown. The direction will become clearer once price action reacts to either a support retest or a break of the current range. From a bullish perspective, a potential corrective move toward the $2,200 region — a well-established support — would provide a healthy reset for price action. This zone has previously acted as a demand area and aligns closely with the value area low. If Ethereum bounces from this level and reclaims the point of control (POC) around $2,550 — which also aligns with weekly resistance — it would be a strong structural signal. This sequence of moves could activate a larger harmonic pattern currently visible in Ethereum’s price action. If valid, the market could enter the C-to-D expansion phase of the harmonic setup, targeting the $3,400 region. While this pattern remains speculative and unconfirmed, its structure is valid and aligns with both historical Fibonacci extensions and support/resistance dynamics. For this pattern to be confirmed, Ethereum must hold the $2,200 support level and produce a strong reclaim of $2,550 backed by volume. Without this confirmation, the idea remains purely speculative and should be approached with caution. If Ethereum corrects to $2,200 and reclaims $2,550, a bullish C-to-D harmonic expansion may play out targeting $3,400. Until then, ETH remains range-bound and capped under major resistance.
Long
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
17
USDCHF: A Bullish Reversal Hinges on 0.7985USDCHF: A Bullish Reversal Hinges on 0.7985 USDCHF is currently testing a critical support zone near 0.7880—a level not seen since 2011. The fact that price has returned to this area after more than a decade underscores the significance of this moment. The pair remains under pressure for two key reasons: Ongoing US tariff tensions have created big uncertainty and weighed on the dollar. The Swiss National Bank continues to intervene in the FX market under the pretext of supporting the domestic economy and controlling inflation. While their reasoning may seem increasingly dubious, the impact on USDCHF is undeniable. A decisive move above 0.7985 could signal the start of a bullish trend, with potential upside targets at 0.8060 and 0.8190. A break of this resistance would not only shift short-term momentum but could also signal a broader trend reversal. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
11