GOLD increased in the short term, approaching an important levelFrom a recent price action standpoint, the move on Gold may have offered cues of encountering weakness, and could serve as a key trigger for bearish traders. This is why I’m anticipating further short-side follow-through. The negative outlook is not confirmed yet, however a bounce off the trendline could once again attract sellers, for a decent move to 3,240 support zone . This latter zone, could be a key turning point that if broken, would lead to a good opportunities for buyers looking to get involved on the dips, anticipating a potential shift in momentum.
But a strong move up and break of trendline at around 3335-3340, would allow Gold to reclaim the 3400 mark and climb even further.
On Monday in my last analysis I predicted that the price gold would fall as low as 3290, after which the price has rebounded short term. All this being said, I am closely watching how price will react when it encounters the trendline as shown and I will wait for any confirmation clues.
Please note that I will not get involved without proper confirmation
Community ideas
GBP/USD Breakout (28.05.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3424
2nd Support – 1.3380
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Is Bitcoin Ready for Its Next Leg Up? Here’s What We Know So FarBitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is so back — not just back like “we recovered the dip,” but back like “new all-time highs, let’s go shopping for Lambos on moons” back.
If you’ve been following our Top Stories coverage, you’ll know that the OG token vaulted past $109,500 last week, then kissed $111,900 in “Tom Cruise falling off a building” style. Only that there wasn’t a fall to the ground. Instead, Bitcoin prices got stuck near $110,000 and are now waiting for the next catalyst.
Where are we in the cycle? The memes are pumping. Maxis are chest-thumping (this one’s for you, Saylor ). And the market? Well, it’s trying to figure out if this rocket still has fuel, or if we’re hovering at apogee before gravity reminds us it’s still a thing.
Let’s break down what’s really going on — with numbers, context, and just enough forecast to keep it spicy.
🚀 Bitcoin Goes Bionic
Call it what you want — a breakout, a blowoff, or a moonshot — Bitcoin just rewrote the record books. The OG coin is up 48% since its April lows, a run that’s as explosive as it is poetic.
Remember the bearish chants echoing when BTC dipped near $74,000 in early spring? And all those Bitcoin permabears saying it’s all going to zero? Yeah, those are suddenly hard to hear over the rocket engines.
This is the moment Bitcoin believers have been waiting for. Institutional interest continues to show inflows are strong. Adoption is real and making solid progress. And price action is loud — loud enough to drown out the skeptics still quoting tulip bubbles from 1637.
💥 Why the Breakout? A Perfect Storm
Looking at the fundamentals and the technicals — this wasn’t a fluke. It was a perfect cocktail of macro tailwinds, regulatory green lights, and unrelenting digital gold fever.
ETF flows? Exchange-traded funds are collecting record levels of fresh capital — all eleven of them .
Institutional demand? Climbing faster than Saylor can tweet.
Macro backdrop? Soft dollar, muted inflation, and a shiny 90-day trade truce between the US and China paired with one between the US and the EU .
Regulatory mood? A lot less hostile than the Biden administration, with a stablecoin bill clearing the Senate’s procedural vote and Texas passing a law to hold Bitcoin in its reserve fund.
Bitcoin didn’t ride the wave — it was the wave. And with volatility finally working for traders, not against them, the rally gained real traction.
📉 Not All Risk is Behind Us
Now before we start naming stars after Satoshi, let’s pump the brakes (just a little). The flagship crypto might be chilling around $110,000, but this asset class has the emotional range (and discipline) of a toddler. We’ve seen rallies like this before. We’ve also seen how quickly they unravel.
Upcoming economic data could throw a wrench in the gears. Here’s what to watch for this week:
Wednesday: Fed minutes
Thursday: GDP figures
Friday: Core PCE inflation
Any surprises here — especially hotter-than-expected inflation or hawkish Fed sentiment — could rattle the risk-on party. Bitcoin loves liquidity. If the Fed hints at tightening, the rocket might need to refuel mid-air.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch
Technically, the $111,900 print is your short-term ceiling. It’s the new line in the sand — the price everyone’s watching, waiting for a clean break or a hard rejection.
On the downside, $105,000–$106,000 is developing as support. Break that, and $100,000 becomes the psychological safety net. Below that? Well, let’s not talk about it unless we have to.
Until then, price is consolidating. Think of it like a pit stop — a chance for bulls to breathe, for bears to panic quietly, and for traders to argue about Fibonacci levels.
🛰️ Is $120K Next? Or Is This the Top?
But let’s dig into it a little bit. The real question is whether this rally still has legs. Some traders are calling $120,000 a “magnet level.” Others are treating current prices like the top and selling into strength.
The answer? Probably both.
Momentum is still there — just cooled off a bit. Volume’s down slightly. Social buzz is still high up there. The market’s in a classic “wait-and-see” phase, prepping for a bigger move in either direction.
What could break the stalemate?
A blockbuster inflation report (bullish if soft).
Another policy win from Washington.
Or the most powerful force of all: a dovish stance from the man who moves markets with a simple “Good afternoon” (bonus points if you guess who that is!)
📢 Final Word: Celebrate, But Stay Sharp
If you’ve been long since the dip, this is your moment. Pop some virtual (or real?) champagne. Screenshot that green PnL. Post a gif of Elon and Trump dancing.
But if you’re entering now, zoom out. Yes, momentum is bullish. Yes, fundamentals are stronger than ever. But Bitcoin doesn’t do straight lines for long. And your stop-loss isn’t going to set itself.
Whether $120K is next or we pull back to reset, the next few sessions will be crucial.
Your move : Are you buying this breakout? Waiting for confirmation? Or just enjoying the view from orbit? Let us know how you’re playing this Bitcoin beast — because one thing’s certain: it’s never boring up here.
BTCUSD NEXT MOVE (EXPECTING MILD BEARISH)(28-05-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
(TODAY ANALYSIS IS LOW ACURACY ANALYSIS)
Anup 'BIAS for BTCUSD (28-05-2025) (SHORT TERM)
Current price- 109000
"if Price stay below 1,10,000 then next target is 1,08,000, 1,07,000 and 1,06,000 above that 1,11,000.
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position.
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GOLD → Consolidation ahead of news. Retest of resistanceFX:XAUUSD remained above the key support level of 3280 and is testing intermediate resistance. Against the backdrop of the dollar's decline, the metal has a chance to continue its growth...
Gold is trading in consolidation ahead of the Fed meeting minutes. Easing trade risks and the dollar's recovery triggered a correction from the recent peak of $3366. Against the backdrop of the dollar's correction, the metal is entering a phase of local rally and testing resistance at 0.5f
The Fed is maintaining a cautious tone, and the market is waiting for signals on interest rates. The escalation of the conflict in Ukraine and the threat of new sanctions from Trump did not cause significant concern in the markets. Investors are waiting for drivers
Resistance levels: 3322, 3348, 3363
Support levels: 3290, 3282, 3265
A small correction may form from 3322 before growth continues. The market is interested in liquidity in the 3348-3363 zone, and the price is likely to test this zone. However, further developments depend on the fundamental background. Rising economic risks or hints of interest rate cuts could support the price of gold.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EURUSD I Daily Weekly CLS I Model 1- 2R setupHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Lingrid | GOLD Key SUPPORT Zone Bounce OpportunityOANDA:XAUUSD is consolidating after a rejection from the descending resistance trendline near 3345, with price now approaching the prior demand zone around 3265. If this support holds, a bullish reaction could propel price back toward the 3345–3350 zone for another retest. The broader pattern reflects a potential higher low forming against the downward trendline. A bounce here would confirm bullish interest and set the stage for continuation higher.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 3265
Buy trigger: bullish reaction from support or breakout above 3300
Target: 3345
Sell trigger: break below 3265
💡 Risks
Failure to hold 3265 support could trigger sharp downside
False breakouts near 3345 remain a threat
Market-sensitive data could increase volatility
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see the update on our 1H chart route map - playing out exactly as analysed.
We started the week with a bearish gap at 3352 being hit, followed by an EMA5 cross and lock below 3352, which opened up the next level at 3317, also hit perfectly.
Yesterday, we found support above the 3282 retracement level, leading to a solid bounce into 3317. However, there was no EMA5 lock above 3317, and price faced rejection today once again, pushing it back toward 3282.
We are now looking for support to hold above 3282 to give us fresh bounce opportunities and upper Goldturn tests. However, a lock below 3282 will open up lower levels as we move deeper into the retracement range.
We are expecting continued reactions within this retracement range, in line with our plan to buy dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels help us track downward movements and catch bounce setups.
We'll continue to buy dips using our key support levels, targeting 20 to 40 pip moves. As always, each level structure provides consistent bounce zones, offering great opportunities for both entry and exit. If you backtest the levels we’ve shared every week over the past 24 months, you’ll see how effectively they work with or against short to mid term swings and trends.
Remember:
Swing ranges yield bigger bounces than weighted levels — that’s the key difference.
BULLISH TARGET
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3478 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3517
BEARISH TARGETS
3352 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3317 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3317 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3233
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3233 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3185
3146
As always, we’ll keep you all updated with real time analysis and management of active setups throughout the week. Thank you for your continued support, your likes, comments, and follows mean a lot!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Bitcoin - Bulls in Control $113k Next targetBitcoin just delivered a textbook bullish reaction following a decisive liquidity sweep beneath the 4H range lows. Instead of continuing lower or entering a consolidation phase, price responded with immediate strength, snapping back with velocity, reclaiming structural levels, and rejecting decisively from a key Fair Value Gap (FVG). This kind of aggressive post-sweep price action usually signals the end of a stop hunt and the beginning of a new directional leg, which, given the current structure, is leaning heavily to the upside.
This is not just a random bounce, it’s a clear shift in intent. The behavior we’re seeing reflects a strategic move by smart money: first clear out liquidity from trapped longs and eager breakout sellers, then reverse and defend key zones that align with institutional discount pricing. The result? A bullish narrative that looks ready to drive price significantly higher.
Liquidity Sweep and FVG Reclaim
The initial sharp drive lower ran through the 4H lows, which had built up significant liquidity from both early long entries and breakout traders looking for continuation. This kind of move is engineered, designed to clean the board before a major shift. Price wicked deep into a 4H Fair Value Gap and immediately snapped back above it, closing strong and leaving behind a long lower wick. That reaction tells a story: there was demand waiting, and it stepped in with authority.
The Fair Value Gap wasn't just tested, it was respected. The fact that price closed back above the gap, after wicking through it, confirms it wasn't simply a liquidity grab but also a moment of rebalancing. The imbalance created earlier was filled efficiently, and the market moved on. That combination of liquidity sweep, deep FVG test, and bullish close is often what marks the end of manipulation and the beginning of a true move. It's a clear signal of smart money stepping in and defending value.
Structural Shift and Accumulation Signal
Following the sweep, the structure shifted rapidly. Price reclaimed the previous 4H support base that had been broken during the stop hunt, invalidating the bearish continuation thesis and instead suggesting accumulation. This is classic behavior after a manipulation low, price doesn’t hesitate or consolidate much, it simply turns with strength.
We’re also seeing signs of absorption and accumulation, particularly in the way price rejected cleanly from discount levels and stabilized within the FVG range. Multiple attempts to break down have failed, and the bounce wasn’t just reactive, it came with commitment. With each retest of the 110.3K resistance, that level weakens structurally. What began as resistance is now showing signs of turning into a launchpad.
If this is indeed the final leg of an accumulation phase, we should expect a marked expansion soon. The setup aligns with smart money accumulation logic: sweep liquidity, shift structure, trap shorts, and then displace with force.
Price Targets and Expectations
The 110.3K level remains the most immediate point of interest. It has acted as resistance multiple times, but each rejection has grown weaker. If price clears this level with conviction, ideally through a sharp displacement candle, the breakout has legs. Above that, we enter clean air with little resistance overhead.
The next logical target becomes 113K, which aligns both psychologically and technically with the next liquidity cluster. It’s an untested zone and represents the next area where sellers might appear. However, given the strength of the reversal and lack of major supply between 110.3K and 113K, price could move swiftly once the breakout is confirmed.
Longer-term, if momentum holds and Bitcoin maintains strength above 110.3K, we could see a retest of the all-time highs come into focus sooner than expected. But for now, the priority is to monitor how price interacts with 110.3K and look for signs of breakout strength or failed move traps.
Conclusion
Bitcoin isn’t in a boring range or slow grind, it just executed a classic liquidity play: sweep, react, reclaim. The reaction off the 1H Fair Value Gap that followed the 4H sweep is a strong signal that the market has shifted gears. With clear signs of demand stepping in and structure now favoring the bulls, the 110.3K level looks increasingly vulnerable. If that breaks, the path toward higher prices, including 113K and beyond, opens up fast.
The overall context has shifted from consolidation to directional expansion, and everything about the recent move points toward the bulls regaining control. Keep your eyes on the structure, the volume, and the displacement above key levels, the next leg could be explosive.
___________________________________
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Trading Signals for GOLD Sell below $3,307 (6/8 Murray-21 SMA)Early in the American session, gold is trading around 3312, rebounding after reaching the bottom of the uptrend channel formed on may 14, above the 6/8 Murray level, and below the 21st SMA.
Gold made a sharp technical correction during the European session and is now consolidating above the 6/8 Murray level, suggesting a possible technical rebound in the coming hours, potentially reaching 3,327.
On the other hand, if gold maintains bullish momentum, the price could break above resistance at 3,330, and then we could expect a new bullish sequence, potentially reaching 3,437, the 8/8 Murray level.
If bearish momentum intensifies, we should expect confirmation of a sharp break below the 6/8 Murray level and consolidation below this area on the H4 chart.
Then, the outlook could be negative, and gold could quickly reach the 200 EMA around 3,251, or even reach the 5/8 Murray line around 3,203.
Gold left a gap around 3,198. Gold could close this gap if falls below the 6/8 Murray line, and it could even reach the psychological level of 3,125, which coincides with the 4/8 Murray line.
Euro may grow to resistance level and then drop to 1.1275 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. After forming a strong upward move from the buyer zone (1.11850–1.1210), the price rose sharply, broke the mid-range resistance, and entered the seller zone between 1.1380 and 1.1400. Once it reached the upper boundary of the broadening wedge, the price bounced down from resistance at 1.1380. Now the price is trading inside a broadening wedge, showing signs of a potential reversal. After failing to hold above resistance, the Euro started to decline from the seller zone, confirming selling pressure. The current movement points to a correction within the wedge structure. I expect the Euro will continue falling toward 1.1275, my TP 1, where the support line of the wedge coincides with the upper boundary of the previous buyer zone. This zone has already shown strong reactions before and could act as a short-term reversal area. Given the recent rejection from resistance, the broadening wedge formation, and return from the seller zone, I remain bearish and anticipate further decline. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD) 3 top technical analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis (XAU/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe, with key elements and potential price scenarios illustrated. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind this analysis:
---
1. Key Levels and Zones
Resistance Zone (~3,320–3,330):
Marked with red arrows indicating multiple rejections.
A crucial supply zone that the price failed to break several times.
Support Zone (~3,280–3,290):
Labeled as “nak support level” (likely means "neckline" support in a possible head-and-shoulders structure or just a key level).
Important for bullish structure continuation.
Lower Target Zone (~3,205):
A demand zone if the support fails.
Labeled as another “target point” indicating a bearish projection.
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2. Trend Context
The price was in an upward channel (highlighted as "up trend"), which has now been broken.
EMA 200 (~3,251) is acting as a dynamic support.
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3. Potential Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (Red/Blue Arrows Up):
If the price holds the “nak support level” and breaks back above resistance (~3,320):
A bullish move toward 3,367 and even 3,435 is expected.
The blue arrow shows a projected upside target of ~105 points.
Bearish Scenario (Black Arrow Down):
If the price breaks below the neckline/support and EMA 200:
A drop toward the 3,205 area is anticipated.
Target aligns with previous structure lows and a clean demand zone.
---
4. RSI Indicator (Bottom Panel)
RSI is hovering around neutral (~45–50), offering no strong momentum bias.
Could support either a bounce or a breakdown, depending on upcoming moves.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Conclusion / Idea Summary
This chart presents a conditional trade setup:
Above 3,320: Long toward 3,367–3,435.
Below 3,280–3,250 (and EMA 200): Short toward 3,205.
The market is currently at a decision point, and traders should wait for confirmation (breakout or breakdown) before entering a trade.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
A good start to the day with us hitting not only the red box target we wanted but completing the Excalibur target that was active giving a nice long. After that, we identified the pull back into the bias level 3305 which only gave us a 50pip bounce into the target. We then said price shouldn't go back to 3310, if it did we would break, which consequently happened, thankfully we had stopped trading and called it a day by then.
The range continues and price is accumulating, this range now with support 3290 and resistance 3310 could be the play towards the end of the session, so anyone long, we would say watch this levels on the red boxes for a break either side.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
What is Bitcoin Dominance, and When Can We Expect Altseason?What is Bitcoin Dominance, and When Can We Expect Altseason?
✅ In the fast-paced and ever-changing world of digital currencies, traders and investors are continually seeking signs and tools to aid them in making informed decisions. One key sign is Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D).
Understanding this and examining its chart can provide us with important clues about what the market might do next, especially regarding when Altseason (the period of growth for altcoins) might begin.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
What is Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D)?
Simply put, Bitcoin Dominance indicates the percentage of the total value of all digital currencies that is held by Bitcoin. For example, if the total value of all digital currencies is $1 trillion and Bitcoin's value is $600 billion, then Bitcoin's Dominance is 60%.
This number is very important because:
It shows market feeling: When Bitcoin Dominance goes up, it usually means money is moving to Bitcoin as a safer option, and people are less willing to take risks. When Bitcoin Dominance goes down, it can mean people are more confident in altcoins and are ready to take more risks for bigger profits.
It shows money flow: Changes in BTC.D show how money is moving between Bitcoin and altcoins.
❓ What is Altseason?
Altseason is a time in the digital currency market when altcoins (digital currencies other than Bitcoin) do much better than Bitcoin, and their prices go up a lot.
During Altseason, money often flows from Bitcoin to altcoins, and many altcoins can see their prices increase many times over.
Looking at the Current Bitcoin Dominance Chart and forecasting Altseason
If we look at the provided chart for Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), we can see a few key things:
Long-term upward channel: The chart shows that Bitcoin Dominance has been in a long-term upward path. The bottom of this path is marked by a blue support line , and the top is marked by a red resistance line . This means that, in the bigger picture, Bitcoin's control over the market has been growing.
Broken short-term upward trend: There was a shorter-term upward trend line (shown in black on the image) that the price broke below on May 9th . This break could be an early warning sign that Bitcoin's dominance might be weakening in the short term, and its dominance might start to fall.
⚠️ But here is a very important point:
We cannot be sure that Altseason has definitely started until the price clearly breaks below the main support line of the channel (the blue line) and stays below it.
The break of the short-term upward trend line (black line) is an early signal. However, to confirm a change in the trend and the possible start of a significant Altseason, we need to see stronger support levels, like the blue support line on the chart, get broken.
⏳ So, When Should We Expect Altseason?
Based on the chart analysis and the points mentioned:
Early Sign: The break of the short-term upward trend line (black) on May 9th might make people pay more attention to altcoins, but it's not enough on its own.
Key Condition for Altseason: The most important signal for the start of a real Altseason would be if the Bitcoin Dominance price breaks below the blue support line of the long-term upward channel. As long as Bitcoin Dominance stays above this support line, Bitcoin will likely keep its relative strength in the market, and altcoins might only see limited growth or could even face selling pressure.
Conclusion:
Analyzing Bitcoin Dominance is a useful tool for understanding how the digital currency market works and for predicting possible trends. Right now, because the short-term trend line has been broken, the market is at a sensitive point. However, traders and investors should watch the BTC.D price movements very carefully and wait for stronger confirmations, especially a possible break of the blue support line, before announcing the start of Altseason.
BITCOIN No different than all the Bullish Legs since 2023!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just completed a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame, the 4th such pattern since February 05 2023. All those Golden Crosses have been formed marginally after the Channel Up bottoms and start of their respective Bullish Legs.
The current pattern is no different than any other of those Bullish Legs. On top of that, the 1W MACD has also formed its usual Bullish Cross that has technically always preceded the 1D Golden Cross.
Given that, when this happens, BTC tends to be at least near the 0.5 Fibonacci level from the eventual top, we can estimate that the next peak might be around $165000. This is another indicator that makes our $150k Target for this Cycle more than realistic.
But what do you think? Are you also expecting the market to explode past $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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eurusd 20 short-term market update short it exit 1160🏆 EURUSD Market Update m20 short-term trade
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: BEARS 1160
🔸5 waves impulse completed
🔸1090/1240/1140/1350/1270/1410
🔸a/b/c/ correction 1160
🔸short sell and exit at 1160
🔸Price Target Bears: 1160
Key recent developments in EURUSD
📉 The U.S. dollar weakened as investors grew concerned over President Trump's proposed tax and spending bill, which could significantly increase the national debt
📈 The euro reached a one-month high after President Trump delayed the implementation of 50% tariffs on European Union imports, providing a temporary boost to investor confidence
🗣️ European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde suggested that the euro could become a global alternative to the U.S. dollar, contingent on strengthening the EU's financial and security infrastructure
📊 Technical analysis indicates that the EUR/USD pair may edge higher within a range of 1.1360 to 1.1420, though upward momentum is slowing
📉 Soft inflation data from France has increased selling pressure on the euro, as markets anticipate a stronger divergence between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank
📉 The EUR/USD pair is under bearish pressure, trading near 1.1350, as the U.S. dollar finds demand ahead of upcoming economic data and ongoing Senate tax debates
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook Still BearishAs I explained in yesterday’s analysis, my medium-term bias for Gold turned bearish, and I expect the 3250 support zone to be reached. My current strategy remains to sell rallies.
As shown in the chart, after reaching the 3285 support level — the same area where Gold reversed last week — price has once again reversed.
This recent reversal can be seen as a new shorting opportunity, anticipating a drop toward 3250.
📌 As detailed in this morning's " Minds " post:
• Sell zone: 3320–3330
• Invalidation: Above 3350
• Target: ~700+ pips potential depending on entry
• Risk-to-Reward: Strong 1:3 setup possible
Unless price breaks above 3350, selling rallies remains the plan.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XRPUSD This rare signal can send it to $12.5 end of the year.XRP has been practically ranging since the start of the year following the immense rally after the U.S. elections last November. This is technically a Re-accumulation phase supported by the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), similar to May - November 2017 of XRP's 1st Cycle.
The strong signal that makes this correlation more relevant is the 1M RSI peak above 80.00 and correction back below the oversold barrier (green ellipse), which is identical on both fractals. Also they both took place just below the 1.5 Fibonacci extension level.
The 2017 Re-accumulation, held its 1W MA50 as Support and eventually pushed for one final parabolic rally within the 2.0 - 2.236 Fib range, before the Cycle topped.
As a result, we expect XRPUSD to hit $12.5 by the end of this year.
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GOLD → Correction before possible growthFX:XAUUSD entered a liquidation phase (rally) within the trading range at the opening of the session. The dollar's rise is to blame. The focus is on supporting consolidation...
Investors remain interested in gold as a safe haven asset amid geopolitical risks and declining demand for US assets.
The key drivers remain news about tax reform in the US, trade negotiations, and upcoming macro data.
Gold is consolidating, but since the opening of the session, the price has been heading towards support. Against the backdrop of an upward trend, a trigger for bearish liquidity is likely to form before growth.
Against the backdrop of the dollar's growth, gold is entering a correction phase. At the moment, all attention is on support and the liquidity zone of 3265. A false breakdown will trigger a price buyback.
Resistance levels: 3322
Support levels: 3282, 3265
Since the price is still within the range and a countertrend correction is forming in the market, in our case, it is worth considering an intraband trading strategy. A false breakdown of support could trigger growth to intermediate resistance or to the upper border of the channel.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Nvidia - The breakout will eventually follow!Nvidia - NASDAQ:NVDA - will break out soon:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the course of the past couple of days, we saw a quite strong rally of +50% on Nvidia. Considering the market cap of this company, such a move is quite impressive. Following this overall very strong bullish momentum, an all time high breakout is quite likely to happen soon.
Levels to watch: $150
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
TSLA New ATH incoming? Overview of primary catalysts.After trading between $346 and $365 intraday on May 27, Tesla shares closed at $362.89—up modestly despite broader market headwinds and lingering investor skepticism.
Here’s a detailed breakdown of the primary catalysts shaping Tesla’s stock price (ranked 0–10):
1. Electric Vehicle Demand Growth
Strength: 9/10
Global EV adoption remains the single largest driver of Tesla’s top line. Despite slowing sales in Europe and China, overall EV penetration continues to surge as consumers shift away from internal-combustion engines.
2. Launch of Affordable Model (Entry-Level EV)
Strength: 8.5/10
Elon Musk has reiterated plans to unveil a sub-$25,000 EV in early 2025, targeting the mass market. Investors cheered a recent reaffirmation of focus on core products over peripheral projects.
3. Battery Cost Reductions & Margin Expansion
Strength: 8/10
Tesla’s relentless drive to lower battery pack costs underpins both profitability and price competitiveness. Q4 cost of goods sold dipped below $35,000 per vehicle, even as margins softened amid mixed volumes.
4. Autonomy & Robotaxi Progress
Strength: 7.5/10
Commercial robotaxi trials are slated to begin in Austin in June 2025, with a dedicated Cybercab in development. While regulatory and safety hurdles loom, the promise of recurring software subscription revenue could be transformative.
5. Competition from Other EV Manufacturers
Strength: 7/10
Legacy automakers and startups alike are ramping up EV offerings. Tesla’s U.S. market share has declined in recent years, highlighting intensifying pressure in key regions.
6. U.S.–China Trade Policies & Tariffs
Strength: 6.5/10
Fluctuating tariffs on Chinese EV imports have led to order suspensions and forecasting challenges. Trade-policy uncertainty remains a wild card given Tesla’s global supply chain.
7. Regulatory Incentives & Subsidies
Strength: 6/10
U.S. federal tax credits under the Inflation Reduction Act and similar programs in Europe and China support EV demand—and Tesla’s eligibility criteria will influence its market growth.
8. Commodity Price Volatility (Lithium, Nickel, Cobalt)
Strength: 5.5/10
Raw material cost swings can erode margins. While long-term supply agreements help, spot shortages or price spikes remain risks.
9. Fed “Higher for Longer” Interest Rate Environment
Strength: 5/10
Elevated real yields reduce the appeal of high-growth names like Tesla. A sustained hawkish stance from the Fed could continue to cap valuations, similar to how it weighs on non-yielding assets.
10. Corporate Governance & Elon Musk’s Public Profile
Strength: 4/10
Musk’s high-profile engagements and occasional controversies can politicize the brand, prompting sentiment-driven stock swings.
Catalyst Strength Rankings (May 2025)
🔸 EV demand growth: 9
🔸 Affordable Model launch: 8.5
🔸 Battery cost & margins: 8
🔸 Autonomy/robotaxi progress: 7.5
🔸 Competition: 7
🔸 Trade & tariffs: 6.5
🔸 Regulatory incentives: 6
🔸 Commodity costs: 5.5
🔸 Fed rates: 5
🔸 Musk profile: 4
Analyst Forecasts for 2025
| Analyst / Consensus | 12-Month Price Target | Rating |
| --------------------------- | --------------------- | ------------ |
| High | \$470.00 | – |
| Median | \$306.00 | Hold/Neutral |
| Low | \$115.00 | – |
| Average (Consensus) | \$306.29 | Hold |
| Dan Ives (Wedbush) | \$315 | Outperform |
| Adam Jonas (Morgan Stanley) | \$430 | Overweight |
* Consensus sees a range of \$115–\$470 with an average near \$306.
* Dan Ives trimmed his target from \$550 to \$315, citing tariff risks and political headwinds.
* Adam Jonas remains bullish with a \$430 target, viewing Tesla as an “embodied AI compounder” despite near-term brand challenges.
Where to Next for Tesla?
* Current price: \~\$362.89
* Key support levels: \$350 and \$340
* Next technical floor: \$330
* Upside triggers: Stronger-than-expected delivery volumes, breakthrough in full-self-driving (FSD) reliability, or renewed cost cuts.
Tesla’s stock remains a balance between long-term disruptive potential and short-term execution risks. While EV adoption and autonomous ambitions underpin a compelling growth narrative, margin compression, competitive pressures, and macro uncertainties will dictate volatility in the months ahead.
USDJPY: Neutral View! One of The Hardest Forex Pair To TradeUSDJPY has not yet shown a clear move, ranging between 141 and 144. We are currently neutral as the price could go in either direction. Trade cautiously and manage risk according to your trade plan.
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GBPUSD next move (weakness appears )(28-05-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Anup BIAS (28-05-2025) (mid term)
Current price- 1.34900
"if Price stay above 1.35500 then next target is 1.34500 and 1.33500"
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position.
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