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Bitcoin - Bull Trap! Don't get caught (Buy at 102,909 USD)Bitcoin has been pumping last week, but the problem is that the bulls made a false breakout above the bullish flag / descending channel. We see that the price went above the channel but failed to continue in the uptrend. This is called a false breakout of a pattern or a bull trap. Usually what happens next is that the price goes in the opposite direction! That's a pretty bearish case because the bulls are now trapped in their long position, and we all know that the whales need liquidity (orders and stop losses). That's why they will be ready to push the price to the downside, potentially to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous impulse wave. From the Elliott Wave perspective, this is a bullish setup, but we have just finished an impulse wave (1), so we should wait for an ABC correction (wave (2)) to form before entering a long position. I expect Bitcoin to hit 102,909 USD in the short term because there is the 0.618 FIBO. Also, we have an unfilled FVG between 102k - 104k on the daily chart. Usually these kinds of gaps tend to be filled sooner rather than later; that's why I expect a pullback. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades! Trading tip at the end: Organize Personal Life - Professional traders have great management of their personal life as they keep their trading activities from personal concerns. Balancing your personal life is essential to achieve harmony as well as improve your performance in trading.
Short
by Xanrox
29
BTC - Bullflag Pattern points to new ATHMarket Context Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined descending channel for several weeks now, respecting both upper and lower boundaries with precision (3 touches on the top, 2 on the bottom). This structure suggests an orderly pullback after a strong impulsive leg to the upside in Q2. As price compresses within this flag-like pattern, market participants are watching closely for signs of breakout or breakdown. Bullish Fair Value Gap Reaction Recently, price dipped into a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) and bounced strongly — a key bullish signal indicating that demand stepped in at the inefficiency. The FVG also aligns with a retest of the channel’s resistance-turned-support, further validating the bounce. This confluence zone acts as a springboard for potential continuation. Channel Breakout & Liquidity Above ATH Price has now broken above the channel structure, shifting the market narrative from consolidation to potential expansion. The breakout zone is located just beneath the All-Time High (ATH) — an area that’s likely loaded with stop orders and breakout buys. A sweep or clean break above the ATH would not only invalidate the prior bearish structure but also trigger a fresh wave of bullish momentum. Bull Flag Continuation Potential Structurally, this chart presents a classic bull flag breakout. After a strong impulsive leg up and a controlled consolidation phase, we now see bullish continuation potential toward the 112,000–114,000 region. If the ATH gets breached and reclaimed, it could become strong support in the next leg higher. Final Thoughts This is the type of setup that blends both technical precision and market psychology — structure, liquidity, and momentum all coming together. Whether you're already long or watching for confirmation, this move could set the tone for Bitcoin’s next major rally. If you found this analysis helpful or thought-provoking, please give it a like! And let me know in the comments — do you see this as a true breakout or a trap in disguise?
Long
by Louigi_24
73
Bitcoin - The ultimate breakdown for 2025/2026Welcome to my channel and this analysis. In this analysis I will dive deep in the current Bitcoin’s bullmarket. I will examine charts from the monthly, weekly, daily and 4H charts, and also on chain data. This will be a complete insight in Bitcoin’s price. ------------------------ Monthly timeframe Logarithmic BTC chart This chart presents a long-term logarithmic analysis of Bitcoin using monthly candles, covering the period from around 2013 to mid-2025. The structure is defined by two major curved lines representing a logarithmic resistance and support channel, which frames Bitcoin's price movement over more than a decade. These lines form a dynamic, upward-sloping price corridor, capturing Bitcoin's historically exponential price behavior and cyclical nature. The vertical axis uses a logarithmic scale to better reflect percentage-based changes, which is critical when analyzing an asset like Bitcoin that has grown from under $100 to over $100,000 in just a few years. The chart displays clear multi-year cycles. The first notable cycle begins in 2013, followed by a significant correction in 2014–2015. A new bullish phase emerges between 2016 and 2018, peaking near $20,000. This is followed by a crash into 2018. A longer accumulation period precedes the 2020–2021 rally, which reaches a high around $69,000 before another sharp decline. From the bottom in late 2022 or early 2023, Bitcoin begins another uptrend, forming a steep rise along a newly established bullmarket support trendline. This trendline represents a more aggressive, linear support structure within the broader logarithmic curve, showing the strong momentum driving the current bull phase. By July 2025, Bitcoin is trading around $108,000, advancing steadily toward the upper boundary of the long-term logarithmic resistance. A key element of this chart is the target level marked at approximately $150,000, which aligns closely with the point where the current trajectory intersects the upper logarithmic resistance. This zone has been highlighted as a likely area of interest, possibly signaling a market top or at least significant resistance, based on Bitcoin's past behavior. Historically, Bitcoin has tended to reverse sharply or consolidate after reaching this upper boundary, making the target zone an area of potential distribution or heightened volatility. The bullmarket support trendline serves as a short- to medium-term structure within the larger logarithmic channel. As long as price holds above this line, the current bullish structure remains intact. A breakdown below this trendline could indicate a loss of momentum and trigger a broader correction. The use of logarithmic trendlines underscores Bitcoin’s tendency to move in exponential growth cycles, shaped by macroeconomic trends, halving events, and adoption waves. The resistance and support boundaries function as dynamic guides for long-term expectations rather than rigid barriers. The stoch RSI crosses This chart provides a technical overview of Bitcoin on a monthly timeframe using candlestick analysis and the Stochastic RSI (Stoch RSI) oscillator to distinguish between bull and bear market phases. The Stochastic RSI, shown at the bottom of the chart, is a momentum oscillator derived from the RSI rather than price directly, making it particularly useful for identifying overbought and oversold conditions in trending markets. The key thresholds are the 80 level at the top and the 20 level at the bottom, which respectively indicate overbought and oversold zones. The chart spans from 2017 to mid-2025, clearly separating bull and bear markets using vertical red lines and labeled annotations. Each major cycle aligns with movements in the Stoch RSI indicator. Notably, crosses above the 80 line (into overbought territory) are often associated with late-stage bull market tops or strong bullish continuations. Crosses below the 20 line (into oversold territory) typically align with bear market bottoms or the start of new accumulation phases. Starting with the December 2017 peak, the Stoch RSI crossed above the 80 level, reaching extreme overbought territory. This cross occurred at the height of that bull cycle, signaling a likely exhaustion of momentum. Not long after this peak, the market entered a bear phase, confirmed by the downward cross of the Stoch RSI below the 80 level, and eventually below 20, leading into the 2018–2019 bear market. By August 2019, the Stoch RSI crossed below the 20 level, signaling oversold conditions. Although this did not immediately launch a new bull market, it did suggest the market was bottoming out. This was followed by a gradual recovery and another decisive upward cross above 80 around April 2021, right in the midst of the strong 2020–2021 bull run. That cross confirmed the continuation of upward momentum and coincided with Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs. As the price peaked in late 2021 and early 2022, the Stoch RSI again turned downward and dropped below the 20 threshold, marking another prolonged bear market. This downtrend was confirmed as the oscillator remained suppressed in the oversold zone for most of 2022. The Stoch RSI is now moving again towards the overbought territory. This means that bulls have the control in the market and likely to push higher. RSI with the consolidation and resistance trendline This chart presents a broader monthly view of Bitcoin's price action alongside the Relative Strength Index (RSI), revealing a compelling structural alignment between price momentum and long-term resistance dynamics. At the top of the chart, the candlestick pattern shows a clear upward trend spanning across multiple market cycles. A long-term resistance trendline has been drawn that connects the major highs from the two previous bull markets, specifically the peaks in late 2017 and late 2021. This resistance line acts as an upper boundary to the macro trend and, so far, the current price action in 2025 has not yet tested this long-term resistance. In fact, while Bitcoin has recently reached above $100,000, it remains below the ascending resistance trendline, suggesting that there could still be room for price to move higher before encountering the next major overhead challenge. The structure implies a potential upward continuation if momentum sustains, and the price may attempt to test this historical trendline in the near future. Below the price chart, the RSI indicator offers additional insight into the underlying strength of this move. A descending RSI trendline connects the previous overbought peaks from 2017 and 2021, forming a macro resistance trendline in momentum that mirrors the structure seen in price. This declining RSI resistance has not yet been reached in the current cycle, implying that momentum still has space to grow before hitting a potential exhaustion point. The RSI is currently capped within a relatively tight consolidation box, with values fluctuating between the mid-60s and low-70s. 200W SMA crosses above the previous ATH This chart illustrates the long-term price action of Bitcoin, focusing on the relationship between the 200-week simple moving average (SMA) and previous all-time highs (ATHs). Historically, when the 200-week SMA crosses above the previous cycle’s ATH, it has coincided with periods near the cycle tops. For example, in December 2017 and January 2022, the 200-week SMA moved above the prior ATH, which closely aligned with significant market peaks. In the current cycle, however, the 200-week SMA has not yet crossed above the previous ATH from 2021, which is around $68,889.04. This is notable because, in past cycles, this crossover has typically marked the later stages of a bull run. The fact that this crossover has not yet occurred suggests that Bitcoin may still have room to move higher before reaching a new cycle top. However, it is important to recognize that this does not guarantee further upward movement. Even if Bitcoin’s price consolidates or moves sideways for an extended period, the 200-week SMA will gradually rise due to its lagging nature and could eventually cross above the previous ATH without a significant price rally. Lets now move to the weekly charts and analyse where we are. ------------------------ Weekly timeframe Support and resistance trendlines This chart shows Bitcoin’s price action on a weekly timeframe, highlighting three key trendlines. Two resistance trendlines are drawn from the peaks of the last two major cycles, forming an upper boundary for price action. These lines act as potential resistance zones, indicating areas where previous rallies have topped out and where the current price could face selling pressure if it approaches these levels again. Additionally, there is a clearly defined rising trendline that serves as bull market support. This trendline has been respected throughout the current cycle, connecting the higher lows since the market bottomed out in late 2022. As long as Bitcoin’s price continues to hold above this bull market support trendline, the overall bullish structure remains intact. This suggests that the uptrend is still healthy and that corrections or pullbacks, as long as they stay above this line, are part of a normal, sustainable bull market. If the price were to break below this support, it could signal a shift in market sentiment and potentially a deeper correction. For now, maintaining support on this trendline is a positive sign for the ongoing bull market. Bearish divergence The chart shows that Bitcoin has formed three consecutive price peaks, with each new high surpassing the previous one. This indicates that, from a price perspective, the market has maintained its upward momentum over this period. However, when looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) below the price chart, a different pattern emerges. Each time the price has made a new high, the RSI has registered a lower high, resulting in a clear bearish divergence. This is visually reinforced by the downsloping trendline that can be drawn across the RSI highs, in contrast to the uptrend in price. Bearish divergence between price and RSI, as seen here, often signals underlying weakness in the buying momentum, even as price continues to rise. It suggests that each successive rally is being driven by less enthusiasm or participation from buyers. Given this setup, it is possible that the RSI could revisit the downsloping trendline in the near future. If this occurs, the price might make a marginally higher high, potentially forming a third peak slightly above the current level. This would maintain the divergence and could act as a warning sign for traders to be cautious about the sustainability of the current uptrend. Stoch RSI This chart presents the weekly price action of Bitcoin alongside the Stochastic RSI indicator. What stands out is the clear cyclical pattern in the Stoch RSI, where it tends to reach oversold levels roughly once every half year. These oversold readings have historically aligned with significant local bottoms in the price, signaling favorable buying opportunities for traders and investors. After reaching these low points, the Stoch RSI typically trends upward, eventually entering the overbought zone. When the Stoch RSI enters overbought territory, as it does several times on this chart, it often coincides with local price peaks. These moments serve as warnings that the market may be overheated in the short term, and traders should be cautious about opening new long positions. The overbought readings suggest that a pullback or period of consolidation could be imminent, as the market works off excess bullish momentum. Currently, the Stoch RSI is once again in the overbought zone. This suggests that Bitcoin may be vulnerable to a further pullback or at least a pause in its upward movement. While this does not guarantee an immediate reversal, it does mean that risk is elevated. Failed breakout/liquidity grab This weekly Bitcoin chart illustrates a strong and consistent uptrend that has been developing since late 2023. Each major move begins with a clear breakout above previous consolidation zones, followed by a retest of the broken resistance, which then acts as support, confirming the trend's strength. These retests tend to hold well, setting up for new bullish impulses. In the earlier stages, we see BTC breaking out of a range around the $48,851 support level. After a successful retest of that zone, the price surged and entered a new consolidation phase just below $73,643. A second breakout occurred from this level, again followed by a retest that confirmed it as a new support level. This pattern reflects textbook bullish market structure: breakout, retest, and continuation. However, the current price action shows something different. BTC has returned to its previous high around the $109,301 resistance level. Unlike the previous times, where strong bullish candles closed above resistance, this attempt has only pierced above the level with a wick, indicating potential exhaustion or hesitation. The highlighted label "Failed breakouts / Liquidity grab" suggests that these wick movements may have been attempts to trigger stop orders and gather liquidity before a possible retracement. Now we will dive deep into the daily timeframe. ------------------------ Daily timeframe Resistance, bullflag and Stoch RSI This daily chart of Bitcoin reveals a period of consolidation just below a key resistance zone, which aligns with the previous all-time high area. BTC has been ranging within this red-marked resistance block, showing clear hesitation from buyers to push beyond it with conviction. During this consolidation, a well-formed bull flag structure appeared, a bullish continuation pattern, signaling potential for further upside. The breakout from this bull flag occurred earlier this week, providing initial bullish confirmation as price pushed briefly above the upper boundary of the flag. However, the breakout lacked follow-through. Instead of sustaining momentum and closing decisively above resistance, BTC appears to have experienced a fake-out, with price now retracing back inside the prior range. This failed breakout is particularly notable given the context of the Stochastic RSI indicator, which is currently in the overbought zone. ------------------------ 4H timeframe 4H FVG and liquidity grab This 4-hour chart of Bitcoin shows a clear structure where price has recently formed an equal high around the $110,612 level. Equal highs are often seen as zones where liquidity builds up, since many stop-loss orders from short positions typically rest just above them. This makes the area particularly attractive for a potential liquidity grab. At the moment, BTC appears to be in a short-term retracement phase after rejecting from this equal high region. During this move, price left behind a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which is a zone of inefficiency where price moved too quickly to fill orders. This FVG is now acting as a potential support zone. The chart suggests that BTC may revisit this FVG to rebalance before making another attempt to break through the equal highs. If BTC can hold the FVG and generate upward momentum, a move above the equal highs becomes more likely. In that case, the resting liquidity just above those highs could be targeted, leading to a quick wick or breakout move before price potentially reverses again. ------------------------ Liquidation heatmap 1 month This Binance BTC/USDT liquidation heatmap clearly shows that the majority of the liquidity is stacked to the upside. The bright yellow and green bands, which represent areas of high liquidation potential and leverage exposure, are heavily concentrated just above the current price levels, especially around the $111,000 to $114,000 zone. This indicates that many traders have short positions with stop-losses placed above these highs, making them prime targets for potential liquidation events. As price moves closer to these high-liquidity zones, the probability increases that market participants, particularly larger players or algorithms, may push BTC upwards to trigger those stops and liquidate those positions. 1 week The current price is hovering around the $108,000 range, with clear liquidity clusters forming both below and above this level. What stands out is the dense liquidation zone just below the current price, this suggests that many traders have placed long positions with stop-losses slightly under this support range. These positions create an opportunity for a liquidity sweep, where price briefly dips down to trigger liquidations, fill larger buy orders, and shake out weaker hands. After such a sweep, the heatmap shows an even larger cluster of liquidation liquidity sitting just above the highs, especially around the $110,000 to $114,000 region. This is likely composed of stop-losses from short positions and breakout traders who entered too early. The concentration of liquidity here creates a strong incentive for price to target this zone after clearing the downside liquidity. ------------------------ Fear and greed index Today The Fear and greed today is at 66, meaning greed. This level suggests that market sentiment is optimistic, but not yet euphoric or irrational. In practice, it often means buyers are confident, and there’s still room for price continuation before we enter extreme greed territory 1 year chart This chart displays the Crypto Fear & Greed Index over time, offering a visual representation of sentiment cycles in the Bitcoin market. When examining the past year, you can see how sentiment has recovered significantly from the fear zone (below 30), especially from late 2024 into early 2025. This shift in sentiment aligned with BTC's price climbing back toward previous highs, indicating that sentiment is responding directly to price structure and bullish momentum. ------------------------ BTC exchange reserve This chart, sourced from CryptoQuant, provides a clear visualization of the relationship between Bitcoin’s exchange reserves (blue line) and BTC price (white line), over a multi-year period. The key insight is the rapid and consistent decline in Bitcoin held on exchanges, especially noticeable from mid-2023 onward. From around 2022, the amount of BTC on exchanges remained relatively stable. However, beginning in late 2022 and accelerating through 2023 into 2025, we see a shart and uninterrupted drop in exchange reserves. This ongoing withdrawal trend typically signals accumulation behavior by investors. When BTC is withdrawn from exchanges and moved into cold storage or long-term wallets, it often reflects growing conviction among holders that price will rise and they don’t intend to sell in the short term. ------------------------ Final thoughts This is a complete Bitcoin analysis for the community with a top-down analysis! I have worked out a complete insight in the Bitcoin price with different analysis and on-chain data. I would be excited if you boost, comment and share the analysis with your friends for the work that I have put in this analysis for everyone.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Youriverse
37
| ICT Unicorn model | The most potent concept spotted on GoldThe Unicorn model is considered by many traders to be one of the most refined and effective concepts within the ICT framework concepts because it brings together several core ideas into one powerful, repeatable setup. But what makes it so highly regarded as one of the best? It’s the ability to stack multiple high-probability conditions: liquidity grabs, market structure shifts, fair value gaps, and optimal trade entry zones. Unlike isolated concepts, the Unicorn model doesn’t rely on just one factor. It uses the synergy between time and price → waiting for manipulation first, then entering during the retracement into a fair value gap or order block. This not only increases accuracy but allows for tight stops and high reward-to-risk ratios. Many traders rely on it exclusively because it’s both structured and versatile, making it easier to apply consistently across various market conditions. How does this work: You’ll see the price breaks a swing high, reverses, and creates a Breaker Block (failed order block) with a Fair Value Gap. These overlap to form the “Unicorn zone” → After that, price drops sharply, breaking the previous structure, indicating a shift in market direction → Price retraces, entering the overlapping zone → Traders look for rejections (candlestick patterns, wick spikes) as the entry signal→ With entry near the zone, the stop-loss is placed just beyond the Breaker Block or FVG. Targets can be the next liquidity levels (e.g., recent lows). Many traders use 2:1 or 3:1 R:R, though targets can be higher. In other words as a standalone strategy, the Unicorn model is highly effective , if, and only if, you have the correct daily bias. With a clear directional outlook, it becomes a complete and reliable setup. Which in our case, on Gold it aligns perfectly. Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TrendDiva
31
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3358 and a gap below at 3330. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3358 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3358 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3389 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3416 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3439 BEARISH TARGETS 3330 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3306 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3283 3254 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
8
BTC monthly yelling at us for something interesting ?We read daily news about ETF, accumulation by institutes and scarcity in the exchanges, but I recognize something different in the chart based on multiple indicators. Historically, BTC boomed after touching 50 EMA and whenever it is extended it traces back to 50 EMA on monthly chart. As per current data, BTC is extended far from it. Also RSI and MACD indicating that it is losing momentum with -ve divergence. Volume as well descreasing since last leg, though price moved up. So, I expect price to retrace to 50 EMA which coincides with previous high at 60K. Let us see how it unfolds.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by friendlyRox
14
The Unicorn Model: : Guide to ICT’s Best Standalone setup🦄 The ICT Unicorn: The Most Powerful Setup in ICT Among all the concepts of ICT, the Unicorn setup stands out as the ultimate precision entry model, it’s confluence perfected. Why? Because it merges two of the most potent ideas in ICT theory: Breaker Blocks and Fair Value Gaps into a single zone. This combination creates the most high-probability, sniper-level setup in the entire ICT playbook. Why It’s the Best you think? Most ICT setups (like simple FVGs, order blocks, or liquidity sweeps) offer high-probability trades on their own, but the Unicorn setup stacks the odds in your favor by combining multiple layers of confirmation. This makes it the most disciplined and rewarding entry model for traders who rely on market structure. Core Concepts Explained A breaker block is a former order block that gets invalidated when price breaks structure, then acts as support or resistance upon a retest. It’s a sign of a shift in market intent, from bullish to bearish or vice versa. A fair value gap (FVG) is a three-candle pattern where a sudden price move creates an imbalance, a "gap" between the wicks of the first and third candle. Price often retraces into that gap before continuing its trend. When these two concepts overlap, a breaker block and a fair value gap in the same zone, it forms the “unicorn” setup. It suggests a strong level where liquidity has been taken and institutions may re-enter. How the Setup Work s First, you identify a market structure shift, like a break in a previous high or low. Then look for the breaker block left behind by that move. Within that block, check if there’s a fair value gap (the imbalance zone). When price retraces back into that confluence zone, wait for a reaction, often a strong reversal or continuation. Entry is usually taken when price shows rejection within the zone on a lower timeframe. Your stop-loss goes just beyond the breaker block, and your target can be the next high/low or a logical liquidity pool. Example of a bearish Unicorn Model: Best Conditions to Use It This setup works best when used in line with the higher timeframe trend. Many traders analyze structure on the 1-hour or 4-hour chart, then drop to 5-minute or 15-minute charts to enter. It’s commonly used in forex and indices but also works well in crypto or commodities. Avoid using it during news events though. Like all ICT concepts, it requires patience and practice to identify clean setups and avoid forcing trades. Example spotted on a Gold setup: ICT Unicorn Model was first introduced in 2022, primarily applied to the Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES). What stood out immediately was its precision, the kind of clean structure and consistency you don’t often find in most strategies. As it was tested further, it was clear this wasn’t just for indices. The model transitioned beautifully into forex, especially on major pairs like GBP/USD and EUR/USD, delivering sharp entries as well. I also tested it on metals like gold (XAU/USD) and silver (XAG/USD), as well as the Dollar Index (DXY), and the results spoke for themselves. Even in crypto, where volatility is the norm, the Unicorn setup held its ground. It’s rare to find a trading model that adapts across markets this well. Final Thoughts The ICT Unicorn is all about confluence and precision. You’re not trading every breaker or every FVG, only the ones that align, especially with a clean shift in structure. When used with proper risk management, it can be a high-probability setup in your playbook.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TrendDiva
18
Candlestick Patterns - How to read them like a ProOverview Candlestick charts serve as a cornerstone in technical analysis, presenting price activity in a visually digestible format. By examining how prices move over a given timeframe, traders gain key insights into potential market direction, sentiment shifts, and trend strength. Mastering candlestick interpretation is essential for identifying bullish or bearish sentiment, as well as for spotting possible trend reversals or continuations. Still, candlesticks alone don’t paint the full picture—using them without broader context increases the risk of false signals. --- What You'll Learn What are candlestick charts? Common bearish candlestick patterns Common bullish candlestick patterns How to apply candlestick analysis in trading --- What is a Candlestick Chart? A candlestick provides a snapshot of an asset’s price behavior during a specific time interval, whether it's one minute, one hour, or one day. This format allows traders to quickly assess how the price has moved within that period. Each candle reveals four price points: * Open – the price at the beginning of the interval * Close – the price at the end of the interval * High – the highest price reached * Low – the lowest price during that time Anatomy of a Candlestick: * Body: The thick section between the open and close. A green (or white) body means the close was higher than the open (bullish), while red (or black) means the opposite (bearish). * Wicks (or Shadows): Thin lines extending from the body to indicate the high and low. * Upper wick: Marks the highest traded price * Lower wick: Marks the lowest traded price --- Bearish Candlestick Patterns Understanding bearish candlestick patterns helps traders identify moments when buying momentum might be running out—setting the stage for a potential downward shift. Evening Star A three-candle formation that signals a shift from buying pressure to selling dominance. It starts with a strong bullish candle, followed by a small-bodied candle of indecision, and concludes with a large bearish candle that cuts deep into the first. This pattern often appears at the end of an uptrend. Bearish Engulfing This setup includes a small bullish candle followed by a large bearish candle that completely swallows the previous one. It indicates that sellers have seized control, potentially marking the beginning of a downward trend. Shooting Star With a small real body near the low and a long upper wick, this pattern reflects strong early buying that is ultimately rejected by the close—suggesting fading bullish momentum. Gravestone Doji This candle opens, closes, and hits its low all around the same price, leaving a long upper wick. It suggests that bulls pushed higher during the session but were overpowered by bears by the close. Three Crows Three consecutive bearish candles, all approximately the same size. These indicate that a sell off is coming soon. --- Bullish Candlestick Patterns Bullish patterns can alert traders to possible reversals after a downtrend or strengthen conviction during an uptrend. Morning Star This three-candle formation marks a potential turning point from bearish to bullish. It begins with a strong bearish candle, followed by a smaller candle showing indecision, and ends with a large bullish candle breaking upward—signaling buying strength is returning. Bullish Engulfing This two-candle pattern begins with a bearish candle, then a larger bullish candle that completely envelops the previous body. It reflects a sharp transition in sentiment, suggesting renewed buying pressure. Dragonfly Doji A single candle where the open, close, and high are all very close, with a long lower wick. It shows sellers pushed prices lower but buyers stepped in and brought them back up—an early sign of possible reversal. Hammer A classic bullish reversal signal that features a small real body near the top and a long lower shadow. It indicates a battle where sellers initially dominated, but buyers managed to close near the open price. Three soldiers Three consecutive bullish candles, all approximately the same size. These indicate that a big buy is coming soon. --- Trading with Candlestick Patterns Candlestick patterns become more meaningful when they align with major chart areas—such as previous support or resistance, trendlines, or retracement zones. A bullish signal at a support level can hint that the downward pressure is fading, while a bearish pattern at resistance may warn of an upcoming decline. To increase the reliability of your trades, combine candlestick patterns with other forms of technical analysis: * Support & Resistance Zones: These are price levels where the market has historically reacted. Candlestick patterns forming near these zones have stronger potential implications. * Fibonacci Levels : These help identify likely retracement areas. When a candlestick pattern forms near a key Fibonacci level like 61.8%, it adds strength to a potential reversal setup. * Liquidity Areas: Clusters of orders (buy or sell) tend to create strong reactions. When patterns appear in these zones, they often precede more decisive moves. * Technical Indicators : RSI, MACD, Moving Averages, and Stochastic RSI can provide confirmation. For instance, a bullish reversal pattern that appears when RSI is oversold strengthens the signal. 💡 Tip: Don’t rush into trades based on one candlestick alone. Always wait for the next candle or price confirmation (e.g., a break of a previous high/low) to validate your signal. --- Thanks for Reading! ✨ If you found this helpful, show some love by liking or commenting! 🔔 Don’t forget to follow for more technical breakdowns and trading insights coming soon!
Education
by Louigi_24
89
Bitcoin can rebound from resistance level and start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Recently, the price broke above a local resistance and quickly approached the key resistance level at 110000, which also aligns with the upper boundary of the seller zone (110000 - 110700 points). This area has already proven its strength multiple times, causing sharp rejections in the past. Moreover, the price has tested it again recently and failed to break through. In addition, we can see a triangle structure, which fits the logic of a pennant pattern after a bullish wave. However, the latest move upward has already lost momentum near the apex, and the price is now trading just under the upper edge of this formation. That makes this zone technically overloaded and vulnerable to a downside reversal. Based on this, I expect Bitcoin to test the resistance level one more time and then roll back down toward TP 1 at 106000 points, a zone near previous liquidity accumulation and a local consolidation range. If selling pressure increases, the price might aim for the buyer zone (103800 - 103100). Given the current rejection at resistance, the structure of the triangle, and the reaction inside the seller zone, I remain bearish and expect further decline toward the support. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by LegionQ8
7
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would ideally be looking for price to attempt lower and reject at the red box giving us the opportunity to long back up into the key levels following the red box and Excalibur targets. We did open with a huge spike down, into the 2nd region we wanted and managed to the move we giving us a great start to the week. As you can see on last week’s chart we broke above the red box which meant shorting was not on the cards, and a continuation into the next level would be a preferable trade, also working well. The NFP bias was bearish below the red box, again, tap and bounce from Excalibur giving the move downside, but not completing at the level we initially wanted. Not a bad week at all in Camelot. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? For this week we would expect cleaner price action but there isn’t a lot of news so we may see some ranging and sudden burst of volume which will be needed to drive price out of the range. We have support at the 3330 level and the extension level which is around 3210, which if spiked and held, should give us a move into the higher red box level and resistance 3345-50. There is another extension level above, 3360-65, which, if there was a bias this week would be the bearish below level. This level, if approached needs to be watched carefully for a potential RIP and needs to be broken for us to see higher pricing in gold. Volume indicators are suggesting a potential pull back on the open, so let’s see if we can find that support and as long as we don’t break below 3310-6 we may just see a more range play between 3365 resistance and 3310 support. It’s a bit conflicting on the charts this week which is why we’ll say let’s play it day by day and we’ll update every one as we go through the week. RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3350 for 3355, 3360, 3362, 3365, 3374, 3388 and 3396 in extension of the move Break below 3335 for 3331, 3324, 3321, 3310, 3306 and 3293 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
7
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, We’ve just released our new Monthly Chart idea, which we’ll now be tracking following the successful completion of our previous long term monthly chart idea. That one played out beautifully, and now it’s time to shift focus to the next big setup. Currently, price is trading above the channel midline, and we’ve also seen an important EMA5 cross and lock above 3099, with a candle body close confirming a long term gap above at 3557. While this confirms the bullish long term structure, we’re also mindful of the potential for a short term retracement, particularly around the EMA5 detachment zone (highlighted with a circle on the chart). This would offer a healthy dip opportunity, aligning perfectly with our strategy to buy into weakness on the way up. For the bigger structure to remain intact, we’ll be looking for 3099 to continue holding as key structural support. As long as that level is respected, the long term gap toward 3557 remains firmly in play. This is a higher timeframe idea that we’ll be building on as structure continues to unfold. We will continue to use all support structures, across all our multi time frame chart ideas to buy dips also keeping in mind our long term gaps above. Short term we may look bearish but looking at the monthly chart allows us to see the bigger picture and the overall long term Bullish trend. As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
4
Cardano Forming Potential Reversal Structure Inside TriangleHello guys! Cardano’s been stuck inside this big descending triangle for months. We had a fake breakout a while back that totally failed. Now, price is back at support and showing bullish divergence. That’s usually a sign sellers are getting tired. If buyers step in here, I’m expecting a move back up toward 0.67–0.70 (top of the triangle). But if it loses the 0.53 support, that setup’s off the table. Bias: Leaning bullish 🎯 Target: 0.67–0.70 Invalidation: Clean break below 0.53 Let’s see how this plays out.
Long
by melikatrader94
12
80k BTC On The Move - WHAT It Means 80,000 BTC Wallet Movement (2011 Miner) • Source: 8 wallets containing 10,000 BTC each — mined in 2011, dormant for 14 years • Total Value: Over $8.6 billion USD • Timing: Moved on July 4, 2025 — largest dormant BTC transfer in history • New Addresses: Funds moved to modern SegWit wallets • Probable Owner: Likely a single early miner with 200k+ BTC history Possible Reasons for the Move • Key Rotation: Upgrading to modern wallets for better security • Recovered Access: Private keys may have been recently recovered • Market Strategy: Positioning for profit-taking or major sell-off • Yield Farming: Preparing COINBASE:BTCUSD for use in DeFi/lending platforms • Collateral Use: Possibly for loans, stablecoin leverage, or RWAs • Estate Planning: Legal restructuring or generational wealth setup • OTC Transfer: Could be prepping for off-exchange institutional sale • Psychological Warfare: Could be intended to spook or manipulate the market • Regulatory Response: Aligning with new compliance or tax jurisdiction Market Reaction • COINBASE:BTCUSD Price Dip: Price briefly fell below $108,000 post-move • ETF Context: Movement occurred despite record ETF inflows Key Note: These wallets had not been touched since COINBASE:BTCUSD was worth ~$0.78. Their reactivation adds uncertainty and opportunity in a fragile macro environment. • What to do????: Watch the orderbook to find these large bitcoin moves in case of exchange selling Near term support & resistance $106000 support $109500 first resistance 👍 If this breakdown helped your trading, smash that Like and drop a comment below—let me know what you think will happen with the 80k COINBASE:BTCUSD . 👍 Best Reguards MartyBoots, 17-year market trader
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by MartyBoots
13
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP Hey Everyone, Please see update and plans for the coming week on our Daily chart idea that we have been tracking. After wrapping up last week and actively tracking the 1h and 4h structures throughout last week within the daily chart overall structure. This brings everything together and reminds us how the broader structure has continued to evolve in our favour. The bounce off at 3272 that we outlined has now fully played out, showing yet again how critical these Goldturn levels are in guiding our strategy. Following the clean rejection at the channel top near 3433, price moved precisely into the 3272 support, where we were focused on structure to hold. That level held beautifully, giving us a strong technical base for upward continuation. As we head into the new week, we’ve once again seen price find support at 3272, with a clean bounce that opens up the potential for price to fill the gap back toward 3433, as long as EMA5 remains above 3272. This dynamic will be a key technical trigger for us to monitor in the coming sessions. There was no EMA5 cross and lock breakdown, which confirmed that buyers maintained control at this level. That absence of breakdown was our confirmation that the bounce structure was not only valid, but likely to continue unfolding into the new week. As price grinds its way back up the channel, we’ll keep watching for reactions at key resistance zones, with special attention to 3433, the channel top. The measured structural reaction from 3272 has been perfect and supports our method of trading level to level, always with patience and discipline. Key Levels to Watch This Week: 🔼 Resistance: 3433 (channel top, gap target) 🔽 Support: 3272 (confirmed bounce zone) Thanks again for all the support, likes, comments, and follows are always appreciated. Wishing you all a strong start to the week ahead! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
4
#USDCHF: Will USD Breakthrough The Strong Bearish Downtrend? The USDCHF currency pair has experienced significant volatility due to the ongoing trade dispute between the United States and China, which has led to a substantial decline in the DXY index. Consequently, CHF and JPY have emerged as the most stable currencies in the market. Despite the USDCHF currency pair reversing its bullish trend, we anticipate a potential reversal back to a bearish position. We believe this reversal may be a temporary trap, and the currency pair is likely to regain its bullish position in the future. There are two potential areas where the USDCHF currency pair could reverse from its current trend. The first area is relatively early, and if the USDCHF currency pair crosses a specific region, we may have a second safe option that could provide greater stability. We extend our best wishes and best of luck in your trading endeavours. Your unwavering support is greatly appreciated. If you wish to contribute, here are several ways you can assist us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_🚀❤️
Short
by Setupsfx_
26
XRP $1.95DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor or professional trader. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any trading decisions. XRP is showing clear signs of weakness as price approaches the long-term descending trendline. Back on May 14th, we saw a strong bearish reaction — a thick-bodied candle rejecting directly off the trendline. Since then, price has struggled to revisit the trendline, failing to even tap it again. Most recently, XRP has been leaving repeated upside wicks, suggesting aggressive sell orders are filling around the 1.27 extension, which I believe is being defended by a hidden bearish order block. Price action confirms that buyers are being absorbed before a full retest of the trendline. This reinforces the short bias with a setup targeting a break below $1.95.     •    Entry: Below $2.22     •    Stop Loss: $2.2675     •    Take Profit: $1.95
BINANCE:XRPUSD
by SlattYSL
14
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3301 and a gap below at 3242. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3364 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3364 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3429 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3499 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3499 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3561 BEARISH TARGETS 3295 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3295 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3242 3171 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3089 3001 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
3
BONK - Reverse 2.272 ShortBONK #50 Just hit the reverse 2.272. Most coin charts are either flat or bearish here so BONK has been pumping against the overall market. This ratio is an algo favourite. Alerts set above the 2.414 as invalidation but it could go a little higher and still be fine. That said, I am looking for this to be a tidy catch. There is no significant bearish wick as yet. I am shorting this on the basis that I have seen plenty of peaks at this ratio. I entered a short here 👍. This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
COINBASE:BONKUSDShort
by dRends35
12
XAU/USD 3H CHART PATTERNOn this XAUUSD 3-hour chart, price has broken out of the descending channel and is retesting near the 3304 area, aligning with a bullish change of character (CHOCH) zone for a potential buy setup. The chart shows a clear upward projection after the retest, targeting a move towards the upper resistance zone around 3440. This setup aligns with market structure respecting previous support zones and aiming for higher highs after a successful breakout. Monitoring the retest area is crucial for confirmation, allowing a low-risk entry for a continuation towards the targets while maintaining clear structure. Price action should be observed for bullish momentum before continuation to the higher resistance levels indicated on the chart for a clean execution. Entry: 3304 First Target: 3381 Second Target: 3440 Stop Loss: 3390/335
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Trend_logic
5
SpySooooo.. the technicals are flashing red. No earnings No fed Speak No economic data We'll need a catalyst to get the reset going. There are 2 catalyst 1. Tariffs 2. 30yr bond auction Thursday I actually think between July 7th- 17th We will retest the previous high between 610-611. Depending on how long this takes the 20sma should gravitate toward 610 by the End of this week. The last two major Pullbacks actually took 2weeks and the price action was terrible. I circled it to illustrate And this is why I said this pullback could take up to July 17th to complete. July 18th is the kick off of big bank earnings and let me tell you from experience, you don't want to be going into earning season short especially if seasonality is against you. Banking sector AMEX:XLF I think price pulls back with the rest of the marker but pushes back up to 54-55.00 With bank earnings From there I expect a bigger correction Weekly chart says banks won't make it out of July alive . Most likely a sell back to 49-50 or 10% drop I would say this market would on be bearish with a close back beneath 600.00 on spy. The problem with that is, not every big tech stock is overbought and some actually look like they are about to rally higher. Here's an example of what I mean So here's NASDAQ:SMH or chip sector which is a reflection of Nvda and TSM Weekly technicals are saying a pullback is coming for this sector! RSI, Moneyflow are too overbought on both weekly and daily time frames so I'm expecting weakness here over the next few weeks. On the other hand you have AMEX:XLY This is the sector that reflects Amzn and Tsla The white line represents the resistance price was consolidating behind for 2months. The purple circle represents a major bullflag The green line is the V shape recovery that I think is about to happen with this sector this quarter. Price may retest 217-218 but if that holds this sector and the stocks in it will outperform. So what happens with the Spy if let's say you have Msft Nvda Avgo Tsm All red And then Amzn Tsla Googl Aapl Mostly green? Fawkery lol. And this is why I say a pullback to 610 and then we'll see.. AMEX:IWM and TVC:DJI still have a little room left to move higher but both are supper extended on the daily time frame and I expect a pullback from them this week There is 2 red flags I see on a bigger time frame and that is TVC:NYA and TVC:VIX NYA weekly chart Near the top of rising wedge here which means for the broader marker you will start seeing weakness in a few weeks Price could grind up here for a few weeks but I doubt we break above 21,000 Vix Daily chart and RSI Is screaming that a move to 23 is imminent If the vix pops back above 20 I can't see the Spy holding above 620 Trade ideas NASDAQ:TSLA I like calls above 322.00 Target 332. Have patience for the move above 322, tsla is beneath all its moving averages right now!. 332 will be tough, if price can break above that then 347 is next up NASDAQ:QQQ 557 is resistance . I like the short to 552 gap support. At 552 I'd cover and wait for a break below 548.00 to short to 544.. Below 543.00 and we close gap at 539. I don't think price will drop back below 539 before tech earnings Be careful about swinging short, it will only work if there is a vicious sell off. Otherwise you will find yourself with annoying small gap ups that will drag this out like I highlighted above on the Spy chart with the last to previous Pullbacks. So what I'm looking for over the next 2 weeks is a retest for Spy 610 and qqq 540. Then we go into earning season
AMEX:SPYShort
by ContraryTrader
4
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Consolidation Within UptrendOANDA:XAUUSD market remain trapped in volatile sideways action within a broad consolidation range, following the recent strong rally. Despite the current noisy price behavior, the underlying longer-term bullish momentum remains intact. Higher timeframe reveals critical technical levels, with gold testing the resistance zone around after breaking above the upward channel. The triangle pattern breakout suggests potential for higher targets, though the market is currently experiencing a corrective pullback near the $3,300 support level. The presence of multiple resistance tests indicates strong institutional interest at these elevated levels. The 4H chart provides broader context, showing the A-B-C corrective structure from the June highs. The market appears to be forming a potential ascending triangle pattern, with the June high serving as key resistance. The current consolidation between the June high and low suggests accumulation before the next directional move. Key levels to watch include the $3,300 support zone and the $3,400 resistance area. A decisive break above resistance could trigger another leg higher toward $3,500, while failure to hold support might see a retest of the $3,200 level. The overall structure suggests this consolidation is part of a larger bullish continuation pattern. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
6
Gold – Is $3430 the Next Target After This Breakout?Gold recently completed a clean sweep of the 4H swing lows, taking out downside liquidity just before breaking out of a well-defined descending channel. This move marked a shift in momentum and structure, suggesting that the bearish leg may have concluded and the market is now transitioning into a more bullish phase. Breakout Confirmation and Retest Zone Following the breakout, price retraced and tapped directly into a confluence area where a fair value gap aligns with the upper boundary of the broken channel. This acted as a high-probability retest zone, and the reaction was strong. The market respected this structure perfectly, adding conviction to the breakout's validity. Support and Resistance Dynamics Currently, price is hovering between a nearby support level and a short-term resistance zone above. The support is holding firm after the retest, while the resistance is capping upward momentum for now. This is a healthy consolidation following the breakout, and it provides a clear structure for monitoring continuation. Imbalance Target and Flow Outlook Should the market gain enough strength to break through the overhead resistance, there is a large unmitigated imbalance further above that stands as a strong magnet. It represents a clean fair value gap left behind during the previous selloff and could be the next major draw if bullish momentum continues. Overall Flow and Trade Logic The sequence is very clean: sweep of liquidity, bullish breakout, efficient retest, and now consolidation above support. As long as price continues to form higher lows and respect the current structure, the probability of further upside remains favorable. Patience around the resistance area will be key for confirmation. Conclusion Gold is displaying a textbook reversal setup driven by liquidity and structure. If the current support continues to hold and buyers reclaim control above resistance, the path toward the upper imbalance becomes highly probable. The market is aligned for continuation, with bullish momentum building gradually. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TehThomas
45