Master Your Edge: It’s Not About Just Being Right
Most traders obsess over being right on every trade. But the truth is, consistent profitability doesn’t come from perfect predictions—it comes from disciplined risk management.
Mark Douglas reminds us:
“Trading is not about being right or wrong. It’s about how much you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.”
Focus less on proving yourself right, and more on protecting your capital when you’re wrong. That’s how professionals thrive in uncertain markets.
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Bitcoin Bounced Right Where It ShouldBitcoin continues to respect the script — breakout, clean retest, and now holding strong.
The 50 EMA has been a reliable dynamic support throughout the entire uptrend, and once again, it helped catch the recent dip. Price has now successfully retested the breakout zone and is starting to bounce.
Structure looks healthy, momentum is building, and unless the support fails, the next leg up could be just around the corner.
Simple setups. No noise. Just trend.
DYOR, NFA
EURUSD – Bearish Pressure IntensifiesEURUSD is currently facing rejection at the GAP resistance area near 1.17350, combined with a lower high structure forming within the ascending channel. Price action shows clear signs of weakness after filling the GAP, and the aligned FVG zones below suggest a potential for deeper downside.
If the price remains capped below 1.17350, there is a high probability of a pullback toward the 1.16300 support area — which aligns with the long-term ascending trendline. A break below this level could extend the bearish move toward the deeper region near 1.14500.
Supporting Fundamentals:
Strong US Core PCE → reinforces expectations that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer.
Weak EU manufacturing PMI → puts pressure on the euro.
FOMC minutes and NFP — if hawkish — could strengthen the USD and weigh further on EURUSD.
Ethereum Rebounds from Strong Base – ATH in Sight?Hello traders, here’s the CRYPTOCAP:ETH Monthly Outlook
Ethereum is flashing early signs of a bullish reversal, with a clean Morning Star candlestick pattern forming right above the $1,050–$1,200 support zone, a historically strong base.
After bouncing hard from this level, ETH is now approaching the major resistance area at $3,400–$3,800, the same zone that previously rejected upward moves.
If ETH can break and close above this resistance, we could see the start of a fresh bullish leg. But until then, this zone remains a major hurdle.
Keep an eye on the monthly close, it could confirm a shift in long-term momentum.
DYOR, NFA
Thanks for following along — stay tuned for more updates!
EURUSD – 2 Potential Intraday Setups (5-Min Chart)Chart Overview:
This 5-min EURUSD chart shows two example trade setups aligned with the main uptrend. These are shared purely for learning how to recognize and plan structured entries.
(Details are being shown in m5 chart- if this in not working for you please follow to be able to see it- as it is a private idea)
🔹 Example Trade 1 – 3rd Touch of Triangle Support
✅ Context:
Price retested the lower boundary of a broad triangle/wedge for the third time—often a strong area for reactive buys in an uptrend.
✅ Plan Concept:
Entry: Reversal signal on the 3rd touch.
Stop: Below the signal bar low.
Target: Mid to upper wedge area (or TP2).
🔹 Example Trade 2 – Breakout of Descending Flag
✅ Context:
After bouncing off trendline support, price formed a descending flag consolidation.
✅ Plan Concept:
Entry: Break and close above flag resistance.
Stop: Below the strong breakout candle.
Target: Extension toward recent highs (or TP2).
💡 Important:
These examples are not signals and not executed trades—they illustrate a possible planning process for traders studying price action strategies.
💡 Why These Matter:
Both setups align with the primary uptrend, use clear structure for risk placement, and rely on confirmation before entry.
🔹 Note:
These are educational examples only, not trade signals.
💬 Do you study similar setups? Share your charts and thoughts!
Thanks for your attention and your time...
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EUR/USD Biases (Long, Short, and Today’s View)EUR/USD Trading Biases: Navigating Bullish Momentum and Key Resistance Zones
This will be a concise market analysis essay (around 600–700 words) suitable for a financial audience, such as forex traders or analysts. Let me begin:
EUR/USD Trading Biases: Navigating Bullish Momentum and Key Resistance Zones
The EUR/USD pair, one of the most actively traded currency pairs in the forex market, has exhibited strong bullish momentum in recent sessions. As of June 26, 2025, the euro’s ascent against the dollar has brought it to a critical juncture, testing significant technical and psychological resistance levels. Traders are now weighing the potential for continued upside against growing signals of exhaustion and looming fundamental catalysts.
Bullish Outlook: A Technically Supported Advance
From a technical perspective, the bullish case for EUR/USD remains compelling. The pair is entrenched in a sustained uptrend, marked by successive breakouts above prior resistance levels and validated by daily and weekly closes above 1.1600. The current price action is converging on a crucial supply zone located between 1.1700 and 1.1900—an area historically known for triggering reversals but also pivotal in confirming trend continuation if broken convincingly.
Technical indicators further bolster the bullish narrative. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), while approaching overbought territory, is still supportive of higher prices. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) displays a widening bullish histogram, and the Average Directional Index (ADX) confirms trend strength. Near-term resistance lies between 1.1680 and 1.1730, with potential for an extension to 1.1800 should the pair breach this upper band.
On the fundamental front, improved German Ifo business sentiment data has injected optimism into the eurozone outlook. Additionally, easing geopolitical tensions and a broader risk-on sentiment in global markets have undercut the dollar's safe-haven appeal. Speculation over potential Federal Reserve rate cuts further dampens dollar strength, creating tailwinds for EUR/USD.
Bearish Considerations: Resistance and Reversal Risks
Despite the encouraging trend, caution is warranted. The area between 1.1700 and 1.1900 represents a major weekly order block (OB) resistance—territory where several past rallies have lost steam. Oscillators such as the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and RSI are showing signs of overextension, and the market is now vigilant for reversal patterns or signs of exhaustion.
Fundamentally, while the recent Ifo data is encouraging, it remains below the key threshold of 100, reflecting lingering skepticism about the eurozone's full recovery. Moreover, upcoming U.S. economic releases, particularly GDP figures and jobless claims, could act as potential catalysts for a dollar rebound. Hawkish commentary from Federal Reserve officials could also tilt sentiment, especially if it dampens expectations of rate cuts.
If EUR/USD fails to hold above the 1.1700–1.1730 resistance zone, a corrective move toward 1.1530–1.1500 becomes plausible. Deeper pullbacks could extend toward 1.1470 and 1.1390, especially if risk sentiment reverses or economic data surprises in favor of the dollar.
Today’s View: Bullish with a Note of Caution
For today, June 26, the prevailing bias remains bullish, yet increasingly cautious. The pair is testing the lower end of the 1.1700 OB zone. A decisive break and hold above this level would likely unleash further upside toward 1.1730 and 1.1800. However, overbought conditions and proximity to a known resistance zone suggest that traders should remain alert to potential rejection.
Intraday strategies favor buying on dips above 1.1600–1.1635, with stops placed just below 1.1600 and targets set at 1.1700–1.1730. Conversely, short positions should only be considered if there is a clear rejection from the 1.1700–1.1730 area, with downside targets at 1.1530–1.1500 and stops above 1.1800.
Conclusion
The EUR/USD is currently at a pivotal inflection point. While the bullish trend is intact and supported by both technical and fundamental factors, the proximity to a major resistance zone introduces a layer of complexity. Traders must remain agile—ready to ride a breakout higher if confirmed, but equally prepared to pivot if the pair falters and signals a reversal. In markets like these, timing and confirmation are everything.
EURUSD – Short-Term Top Signal, Sellers Getting ReadyEURUSD has reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 1.17190 and immediately faced selling pressure. This zone previously acted as a strong reversal area, and with a rejection candlestick and a forming FVG, the risk of a downward correction is increasing.
Currently, the price is moving sideways just below the high, forming lower highs — suggesting a possible distribution pattern before breaking the bullish structure. If price breaks below the FVG zone near 1.165–1.166, the move could extend toward the technical target at 1.15900 — aligning with the channel bottom and a historical liquidity area.
Recent fundamental drivers:
U.S. economic data remains strong (Jobless Claims, Core PCE) → supports USD strength
The ECB remains cautious and hasn’t committed to further rate hikes → slightly weakens the euro
EURUSD Sell SetupBy: MJTrading:
EUR/USD has rallied into a significant resistance zone, approaching the upper boundary of a rising wedge/channel pattern. The price is now hovering around a key confluence zone, where trendline resistance and horizontal supply intersect ( 1.16300 —1.16500 )
There are to possible scenarios:
1) If the price Rejects directly from previous High
🔹 Position 1: Sell Stop @ 1.15915
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.6375
🎯 Take Profit: 1.5454
R/R:1
isk Level: Medium
2) If price tries to reach the boundary of the wedge or make a Fake breakout:
🔹🔹 Position 2: Sell Limit @ 1.16300
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.6930
🎯 Take Profit: 1.5000
R/R:2
Risk Level: Low
📌 This zone offers a high-probability reversal setup
📉 Why it Matters:
Price action shows signs of exhaustion after a parabolic move.
EMA structure is stretched, hinting at a potential pullback.
Lets ZOOM OUT:
Daily Chart:
ZOOM IN:
Stay disciplined, let price come to you, and manage risk.
—
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EURUSD – Signs of Weakness, Risk of Trendline BreakEURUSD is showing signs of weakness after a strong rejection at the 1.16300 resistance zone — a level that previously acted as a distribution area. Despite a brief rebound driven by mixed PMI data, the Euro failed to maintain its momentum and is now turning lower.
If price breaks below the support zone around 1.15400 — which aligns with both the trendline and an old FVG — a deeper decline toward the 1.15000 level could be triggered. Continued failure to surpass the 1.16300 resistance would further strengthen the corrective pressure.
On the fundamental side, expectations for the ECB to hold rates steady and weaker-than-expected Eurozone data are dampening the Euro’s outlook. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains firm on safe-haven demand, with upcoming US GDP and Core PCE data likely to drive short-term direction.
EUR_USD BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅EUR_USD is going up
Now and the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 1.1630 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Approaching Liquidity Shelf — Watch for Reaction at 1.164EURUSD remains firmly bullish on all major timeframes, respecting the internal structure of an ascending channel.
• Daily: Price continues to respect both the red trendline and broader purple bullish channel. Buyers are defending the mid-line and pushing toward the upper boundary.
• 4H: Clear higher highs and higher lows. Price recently revisited and bounced off a 4H demand zone (1.14750–1.15000), and is now testing the liquidity zone at 1.16400.
• 1H: Microstructure shows consolidation and possible absorption of liquidity just beneath the 1.16415 high. A clean break and retest of this level may confirm continuation.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 1.16415 (previous high and liquidity trap)
• Support: 1.14900 (4H demand zone)
• Daily trendline holding as dynamic support
Trade Plan:
• Longs: Await a break and retest of 1.16415 or a retracement to 1.15600 for a more discounted entry.
• Shorts: Not favored unless a strong bearish engulfing forms below 1.1600 with structure shift on the 1H.
Fed speak - Not broken, not cutting “Don’t fix what isn’t broken” seems to be the Fed’s current stance. Two Fed officials made that clear over the last 24 hours.
Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr warned that tariffs could fuel inflation by lifting short-term expectations, triggering second-round effects, and making inflation more persistent.
New York Fed President John Williams echoed that view, noting that tariff-driven inflation is “likely to get stronger in the months ahead.” He also called policy “well positioned” and said the Fed needs more data before making any move.
EUR/USD has formed a rising wedge pattern on the daily chart—typically a bearish structure that warns of a potential reversal. Price action has narrowed, building two clear tops. The downside target from the wedge could potentially be 1.1066 initially, and possibly down to 1.0732 if bearish momentum accelerates.
EURUSD: Can it reach 1.1900?EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.234, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 20.419) and is going for a 3 week high. This is technically a long term bullish wave (since the January 13th 2025 low) on the 3 year Channel Up. We anticipate that this wave will go for the pattern's high by the end of the year, and being limited by the 7 year LH trendline, we expect to aim for at least 1.1900. The 1W RSI has started to post a sequence that resembles the last 3 major ones.
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EURUSD Intra-day ShortEURUSD is in a long-term pivot to go short but the market is still in a accumulation phase of collecting orders and so we are still not in the position yet to commit to longer targets. We are looking at short term draw on liquidity like yesterday's NYC session and are accounting for a possible accumulation there after to the upside potentially.
EURUSD – Rejected at 1.16100, bearish pressure re-emergingEURUSD has just completed a technical rebound toward the 1.16100 resistance zone, which has previously rejected price multiple times. The current structure suggests a mild reversal, with a potential pullback toward 1.15378. A break below this support could extend the decline toward 1.14600.
Recent upside momentum came mainly from temporary USD weakness, but the greenback remains supported by expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates elevated, while Eurozone PMI data continues to disappoint.
In summary, 1.16100 remains a key resistance level. If price shows clear rejection here, EURUSD may be poised for a deeper correction in the short term.
EUR-USD Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD made a nice bullish
Move up and has almost reached
A horizontal resistance level
Of 1.1631 and the pair is locally
Overbought so after the retest
A local bearish correction
Is to be expected
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Euro – Eyes 1.15400, Awaits Powell's ToneEuro has just filled a GAP and rebounded strongly from the FVG zone around 1.14500. It is now approaching the 1.15400 resistance area, where a descending trendline intersects with a supply FVG. The bullish momentum remains intact within the short-term correction channel, but a rejection at this level could trigger a pullback.
On the news front, US Flash Manufacturing PMI is expected to decline, while Fed Chair Jerome Powell is set to testify this week. If he adopts a dovish tone, the USD may weaken further, potentially giving EURUSD the push it needs to break through resistance.
Strategy: Wait for a clear breakout above 1.15400 to confirm further upside. If rejected, watch the 1.14000 zone as a key support.
EUR_USD RISING SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅EUR_USD is trading along the rising support
And as the pair will soon retest it
I am expecting the price to go up
To retest the supply levels above at 1.1511
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD BEARISH SETUP
The EUR/USD 4-hour chart reflects a significant technical setup, showing price action within a bullish ascending channel that has recently broken to the downside, forming a falling wedge pattern—typically a bullish continuation signal.
Key Observations:
Bullish Channel Broken: The price broke below the ascending channel earlier this month, signaling initial weakness.
Falling Wedge Formation: A bullish falling wedge has developed, and the pair is now testing its upper boundary near 1.1522, attempting a breakout.
Resistance Zone: The price is approaching a key resistance area between 1.1550 – 1.1600, which aligns with previous highs and the wedge's upper edge.
Scenario Projection:
A temporary bullish breakout toward the resistance zone is expected.
If the pair gets rejected from this resistance, a sharp decline toward the major support area near 1.1300 is likely.
Bearish Confirmation: A clear rejection at the resistance zone followed by a break below the recent minor support (red zone) would confirm the bearish move.
Conclusion:
While short-term bullish momentum may push EUR/USD slightly higher, the confluence of resistance levels suggests a high probability of rejection. Traders should watch for reversal signals in the 1.1550–1.1600 zone, as failure to break higher could lead to a bearish move toward 1.1300 in the coming days.
EUR/USD Approaching Key Resistance – Will Bulls Break Through?EUR/USD continues to trade within a strong uptrend, respecting the 50-day SMA while pressing against a key horizontal resistance level around 1.1576. The pair has recently pulled back modestly after testing this level but remains above the short-term moving average, suggesting buyers are still in control.
Technicals provide a mixed, but slightly bullish picture:
Trend Structure: Price action shows a series of higher highs and higher lows since mid-February, confirming a bullish trend.
Moving Averages: The 50-day SMA is above the 200-day SMA (golden cross), and price continues to close above both, reinforcing the bullish bias.
MACD: While flattening, it remains in positive territory – momentum is cooling but not reversing.
RSI: Currently near 59, suggesting bullish momentum without overbought conditions – a healthy zone for a potential continuation higher.
A breakout above the 1.1576 resistance could open the path toward the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level near 1.1745. However, failure to clear this barrier may invite consolidation or a minor pullback toward the 50-day SMA.
Traders should watch for a daily close above 1.1576 or a bounce from the 50-day SMA to confirm the next directional move.
-MW
EUR-USD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is trading in an
Uptrend along the rising
Support and the pair will
Soon retest the support
From where we will be
Expecting a bullish rebound
And a bullish continuation
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.