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EUR/USD Pair: Market Sentiment Ahead of Employment ReportAs I draft this article during the London trading session, the EUR/USD currency pair is showing a bearish trend, hovering around the 1.0300 mark. The focus of the market later today will shift to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, which is set to release its employment report for December. Analysts anticipate that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will increase by 164,000, a decrease from November's impressive rise of 227,000. Additionally, the unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 4.2%. Another point of interest will be the Average Hourly Earnings on a month-over-month basis, which currently forecasts a lower value compared to previous reports. If the NFP figure surpasses 200,000, we could see a significant uptick in the US dollar as traders position themselves ahead of the weekend, potentially driving the EUR/USD lower. Conversely, if the NFP falls short of expectations with a reading below 150,000, we may witness a reversal in the dollar's strength, which could provide upward momentum for the EUR/USD pair. In the event that the NFP aligns closely with market predictions, the unemployment rate's fluctuation could play a critical role in determining the dollar's value; an unexpected rise in the unemployment rate may weaken the currency, while a drop could bolster it. From a technical analysis standpoint, we maintain a bearish outlook on the Euro, and there is potential for us to reach our first take profit level today. Market participants will be keenly observing the data as it could significantly influence trading decisions in the hours ahead. My previous Idea: ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
EURUSD Buy signal on (4h)EURUSD is trading inside a Channel Down and is pulling back on the (4h) time frame after a double top near the MA200 (4h). The crossing under the MA50 (4h) is following a pattern similar to December 2nd, which turns it now into a buy opportunity. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 1.04500 (MA200 4h and under the +2.88% move that December did). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) is approaching the 40.00 level of the December 2nd bounce. Additional buy signal. Please like, follow and comment!!
Long
by TradingBrokersView
EURUSD, swing of the year.FOREXCOM:EURUSD / 1D Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown. EURUSD is showing strong bearish momentum after the dollar index DXY broke above the 2 years range. However, the price is oversold for now. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the middle of the range zone for a more strategic entry. If the pullback holds and sell off confirms, the next leg higher could target: First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation. Second resistance: Yearly lows. Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence! Trade safely, Trader Leo.
Short
by BTM-LEO
12
Euro vs. Dollar: A Wild Ride to 1.06 or a Slide to 1.00? Evening Trading Family The Euro and Dollar are in for a big adventure! If the Euro can jump over the big wall at 1.04, we might see it zoom up to 1.06, like scoring a high jump in track and field! But be careful, if it falls under 1.03, it's like tripping and tumbling down to 1.02 or even 1.00. After that, there might be a small bounce back up, but be ready because the Dollar could push it down again, like a game of tug-of-war where the Dollar's team is strong. It's going to be a thrilling ride! If you found this post helpful like, boost and share I greatly appreciate it Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
by Mindbloome-Trading
EURUSD Short-term buying activity spotted.The EURUSD pair has been under heavy selling pressure for the whole December but despite the red candle, it closed last week on a long wick and opened today on a green note. The weekly closing managed to make it inside the 2-year Megaphone pattern. At the same time, the 1W RSI is making a Double Bottom and that resembles the August 06 2018 candle, which was also a medium-term bottom after a multi-month decline. The rebound that followed peaked a little below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and Resistance. As a result, we are bullish on this pair, at least on the medium-term, targeting 1.0600 (just below the Resistance level). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
EUR/USD (SMC) concept+fib expansion!⭐EUR/USD has been in a strong downtrend, surpassing one of the last strongly confirmed supports, which makes me think that it will tend to retest this area from 1.03550, defying the continuation of the trend ⭐Before this retest of the support, my opinion is that it will go back down to the POI (point of interest) also called the strong demand zone ⭐Without much explanation in case the price does not test that POI I will automatically enter buy after confirmation that he will no longer retest that area Inputs if retest POI: Inputs if doesn't retest POI: Entry Price : 1.02650 Entry Price : 1.03200 Stop Loss: 1.02400 Stop Loss : 1.0300 Take Profit 1: 1.03100 Take Profit 1: 1.03100 Take Profit 2: 1.03550 Take Profit 2: 1.03550 Take Profit 3: 1.04000 (risky) Take Profit 3: 1.04000 (risky)
Long
by PaulNox
EURUSD: Still bearish long term. Don't buy a falling knife.EURUSD remains heavily bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 34.500, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 21.396) as the 1 month Channel Down remains intact. The current 4H rebound is the bullish wave of the Channel and technically once the 4H MA50 is hit, it will turn into a bearish opportunity again. We are waiting for that signal to sell towards the bottom of the Channel (TP = 1.0200). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
EUR/USD Started 2025 at Its Lowest Point in 25 MonthsEUR/USD Started 2025 at Its Lowest Point in 25 Months According to the EUR/USD chart, on 2nd January, the first trading day of the year, the EUR/USD pair fell below the psychological level of 1.025, the lowest mark since November 2022. There are few news events, and the EUR/USD rate decline may be attributed to: → The holiday period still affecting financial markets, reducing liquidity and creating vulnerabilities for volatility spikes; → Market participants potentially rebalancing their portfolios for the new calendar year; → Reassessing the strength of the dollar amid uncertainty about the actual steps of President-elect Trump, whose inauguration is scheduled for this month. Meanwhile, technical analysis of the EUR/USD chart reveals that: → In 2024, price fluctuations formed a downward channel, with key pivot points marked by red circles. Notably, the previous holiday period led to the formation of the first of these points. → The bullish "Cup and Handle" pattern, which we discussed on 30th December, resulted in a false bullish breakout (indicated by an arrow). Seizing the bulls' failure, the bears pushed the price to the lower boundary of the mentioned channel. The area where the lower boundary of the channel intersects the psychological level of 1.025 could serve as strong support. The recovery observed on the morning of 3rd January may confirm this. The holiday period may lead to the formation of a new key pivot point on the EUR/USD chart, as has happened before. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice
by FXOpen
2
EUR/USD: Is Parity (1.00) in Play?Chart Analysis: The EUR/USD pair has extended its downtrend, decisively breaking below the critical support at 1.0340, which previously held as a major floor. The pair is now trading at 1.0265, hitting levels not seen in recent months. 1️⃣ Key Breakdown: The breach below 1.0340 confirms a continuation of the bearish trend, with sellers firmly in control. This level may now act as resistance on any retracement. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at 1.0578, far above the current price, reinforcing bearish short-term momentum. 200-day SMA (red): At 1.0806, reflects the broader downtrend and significant distance from current levels. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: At 29.46, firmly in oversold territory, which may lead to a short-term bounce or consolidation. MACD: Deeply negative, confirming strong bearish momentum with no signs of reversal yet. What to Watch: Immediate support levels: The next downside target could be 1.0200 or even lower if bearish momentum persists. Oversold RSI: While the RSI signals a potential pause, the trend remains firmly bearish until a reversal pattern emerges. For bulls to regain control, a move back above 1.0340 and the 50-day SMA would be needed, which seems unlikely in the near term. The EUR/USD remains under heavy selling pressure after breaking key support. Watch for further declines or a potential relief bounce from oversold conditions. -MW
by FOREXcom
EURUSD Trade LogEURUSD TDV Trade Log – Swing Long Plan --- Trade Setup Overview: - Instrument: EURUSD - Entry Zone: 0.5 Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), which aligns with the Weekly FVG. - Technical Confluences: - Both the Monthly and Weekly FVG levels exhibit bullish signals. - Weekly RSI is in oversold or "deep waters," indicating potential upward momentum. - Risk Management: - My personal risk: 4% (highly aggressive and not financial advice). - Recommended risk: Adjust to your own risk tolerance—always prioritize capital preservation. - Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2 - Stop-Loss: Below the lower boundary of the FVG. - Take-Profit: Double the distance of the stop-loss. --- Macro Analysis Supporting This Swing Long: 1. US Interest Rate Dynamics: - Recent Federal Reserve projections have suggested higher-for-longer rates, leading to USD strength. - However, the shock effect of these projections appears to be diminishing, signaling potential stabilization or reversal in USD strength. - Market sentiment suggests that the economic impact of elevated rates may start weighing on the USD as growth prospects taper. 2. Eurozone Economic Factors: - Despite economic struggles, the ECB has hinted at maintaining relatively tight policy, providing a degree of support for the EUR. - Any positive surprise in Eurozone data could act as a catalyst for a EURUSD recovery. 3. Technical Alignment with Macro Themes: - The confluence of the Monthly and Weekly FVGs signals robust technical support zones. - Bullish signals from these levels align with the potential macroeconomic reversal in USD strength, creating a favorable environment for a swing long. --- Personal Notes: This trade aligns with both the technical framework of my system and macroeconomic insights. The key is discipline—if the setup invalidates (e.g., price action breaks below critical levels), do not force the trade. Always stay within your risk parameters, and remember this is not financial advice. Good luck and trade safely!
Long
by Fondera
EURUSD: 4H MA50 crossing signals new rally.EURUSD is remains bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.523, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 15.575) but today it crossed and closed a 4H candle over the 4H MA50 for the first time since December 10th. Along with that, it crossed above the LH trend-line, thus technically invalidating the short term bearish trend. Given the recent December 18th double bottom on the S1 Zone, the pattern that prevails is a Rectangle, thus today's breakout is technically targeting the patterns top. Consequently our target is near the R1 Zone (TP = 1.0600). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
EUR/USD Break-and-Retest: Next Stop 0.97?Weekly Timeframe: Clear downtrend with a rejection at the 50 MA and a break below key support. Next target lies around 0.97-0.98, a major demand zone. Daily Timeframe: Confirms the bearish bias with a retest of the broken support, now acting as resistance. Price remains below the 50 MA, signaling continued downside. Correlation: Both timeframes align in a bearish trend. Weekly sets the direction, while daily refines entry opportunities with break-and-retest setups.
Short
by unichartz
21
EUR/USD weakens to near 1.0400 in a quiet trading sessionLet’s update the news and forecast the trend of the EUR/USD currency pair together! The EUR/USD currency pair is primarily influenced by fundamental factors related to the monetary policies of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB). In the U.S., expectations that the Fed will scale back interest rate cuts in 2025 have somewhat supported the U.S. Dollar (USD). In its recent meeting, the Fed lowered the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points but simultaneously eased expectations for further rate cuts in the future. This suggests that the Fed may maintain a tighter monetary policy and continue to apply higher interest rates for a longer period, which supports the strong trend of the USD. On the other hand, in the Eurozone, the Euro (EUR) is under downward pressure due to expectations that the ECB will continue to reduce interest rates. ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that the Eurozone is now "very close" to the bank's medium-term inflation target. However, if inflation continues to fall, the ECB may need to further cut interest rates to stimulate growth, which would exert downward pressure on the Euro. From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD is currently trading around the 1.0400 level, a key support level to watch. If this level is breached, the pair is likely to continue its downward trend, with the next support around the 1.0300 area. Moreover, with trading volumes potentially low ahead of the holiday season, price movements may not be as strong. However, the fundamental factors, particularly the monetary policies of the Fed and ECB, will continue to be the dominant drivers shaping the long-term trend of this currency pair.
by Alisa_Rokosz
EUR/USD: Holding Above Support Amidst DowntrendChart Analysis: The EUR/USD pair has been in a sustained downtrend, but recent price action suggests stabilization near a key support zone at 1.0340. 1️⃣ Support Level: The horizontal level at 1.0340 has held firm, providing a key area of interest as price consolidates. A break below could lead to further downside, while a bounce may signal short-term recovery. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-SMA (blue): Positioned at 1.0459, acting as a dynamic resistance for price attempts to move higher. 200-SMA (red): Located at 1.0539, reflecting the broader bearish trend and providing additional resistance above. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: At 44.70, showing bearish bias but holding above oversold territory, indicating a potential consolidation phase. MACD: Bearish momentum remains intact but shows signs of flattening, suggesting waning downside pressure. What to Watch: A decisive break below 1.0340 could signal a continuation of the downtrend, targeting lower levels. If the support holds, the pair may test the 50-SMA resistance near 1.0459. The EUR/USD remains bearish overall, but the current consolidation near key support could lead to a short-term directional move. -MW
by FOREXcom
EUR/USD Downward Pressure: What’s Fueling the USD Rally?The EUR/USD currency pair kicked off the week on a negative trend, dipping below the 1.0500 threshold and reaching around 1.0460 on Monday. As I write this piece, the pair appears to be stabilizing, trading close to 1.05250 in early Tuesday’s London session. According to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report, retail traders have been increasing their long positions, while non-commercial players maintain a bearish stance. This divergence hints at the potential for further downward movement in the pair. A cautious market sentiment has fortified the US Dollar (USD) against its competitors, putting additional pressure on the EUR/USD pair. Compounding these challenges for the Euro are the political uncertainties in France. Reports indicate that the government is on the verge of collapse after both far-right and left-wing factions introduced no-confidence motions against Prime Minister Michel Barnier, as stated by Reuters. Moreover, the differing monetary policies of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) continue to impede any upward momentum for the euro. Attention today is directed toward the US Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTs) and speeches from Federal Reserve officials. An increase in job openings could further strengthen the USD and the DXY index against other currencies. Currently, we are observing market movements without planning to initiate any trades, wanting to assess potential price levels before considering future positions. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
by FOREXN1
9
EURUSD: Best opportunity to buy for the long term.EURUSD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.973, MACD = -0.005, ADX = 14.482) but almost still oversold on 1W (RSI = 35.674). This is because after the November 18th 1W candle bottom on the LL trendline of the 2 year Channel Down, it has completed 2 red weeks in a row. Still, having rebounded on oversold 1W RSI territory, those low levels present an excellent buy opportunity for those who missed the bottom. Every bounce on the Channel Down bottom has made at least a +5.42% rally, and that is what we're aiming for (TP = 1.0900). This may coincide with a 1W MA200 test. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
Robinhood TP 23- 33 After earnings ? Reasons Why !! In Q4 2023, Robinhood’s net revenues increased by 24% year-over-year to $471 million. This growth was driven by higher net interest, transaction-based, and other revenues1. The company reported net income of $30 million, a significant improvement from the net loss of $166 million in Q4 20221. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $133 million, a 62% increase year-over-year1. Customer Growth and Assets Under Custody (AUC): Funded Customers increased by 420 thousand year-over-year to 23.4 million1. AUC surged by 65% year-over-year to $102.6 billion1. Market Expectations and Confidence Robinhood’s ability to turn a profit in Q4, coupled with its record annual revenues, suggests that its strategic initiatives are paying off. The company’s innovative features and strong financial performance have instilled confidence in investors. Remember that stock prices often respond to earnings reports. If the market believes a company is performing well, stock prices tend to go up. Conversely, if confidence wanes, stock prices may decline2. Keep an eye on Robinhood’s upcoming earnings report on Wednesday, May 8th, 20243. It will provide further insights into the company’s performance and may impact its stock price.
NASDAQ:HOODLong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
Forex Traders Await the Fed's DecisionForex Traders Await the Fed's Decision The Federal Reserve is set to announce its interest rate decision today at 21:00 GMT+2, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell holding a press conference 30 minutes later. According to Forex Factory, the market expects a rate cut to 4.25%-4.50% from the current 4.50%-4.75%. Analysts at Apollo Global Management, in their Economic Outlook, predict: → In 2025, the Fed will continue lowering rates but at a slower pace than the market anticipates; → By the end of 2025, the rate is expected to settle at 4.0%. In anticipation of today's decision, the currency markets are experiencing a period of calm. The technical analysis of the EUR/USD chart shows that the pair consolidates between the upper boundary of a descending channel and the lower black support line, forming a narrowing triangle pattern (highlighted in purple). Today's Fed meeting could trigger a surge in volatility, potentially driving sharp movements in USD pairs. For EUR/USD, opposite scenarios are possible: → An upward movement with a bullish breakout of the upper boundary of the long-term descending channel; → Continuation of the downtrend with a breakout below the lower black support line. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
MICROSOFT 460 BY 2025 ?TOP 3 REASONS WHY !! Earnings Growth: One of the most important factors for any growth Astock is earnings growth1. Microsoft has a historical EPS growth rate of 21.3%, and it’s projected to grow 13.2% this year, outpacing the industry average. This consistent and robust earnings growth is a strong indicator of the company’s financial health and future prospects, which could drive its stock price higher. Cloud Services: Microsoft Azure, the company’s cloud platform, has been a significant driver of growth. Demand for cloud infrastructure services is higher than ever, as organizations seek digital solutions in a post-COVID-19 world. With Azure’s revenue increasing by 48%, it’s expected to exceed both Office and Windows in annual revenue by next year. This growth in the cloud sector represents a massive opportunity for Microsoft and could be a major factor in boosting its stock price. Productivity and Gaming: Microsoft’s productivity and business processes segment, which includes Office 365, has shown solid results with consistent revenue growth. The transition of Office to a subscription service has been beneficial for Microsoft’s core software business2. Additionally, the gaming sector, particularly Xbox, is another area where Microsoft is seeing significant growth2. With the successful launch of the Xbox Series X and Series S, and the rapid growth of the Xbox Game Pass subscription service, the future looks bright for Microsoft’s gaming business.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL