GU Bear Flag Confirmed, Break & Retest Set-UpHere on the 1Hr Chart FX:GBPUSD has formed what seems to be a Continuation Pattern, the Bear Flag!
Now, with Price in a decline prior to entering the Consolidation Phase of the Pattern, this suggests that Price will continue further down if this Break is Validated and a Retest is Successful!
We will want to see:
1) Strong Breaking Candle that is followed by Accumulation of Bearish Volume!!
2) 10 - 20% of the Range, Past the Break
3) 3 - 5 Closing Candles, Outside of Break, Before Retest
This is considered the True or False Formula to determine if its a True Breakout or False Breakout.
RSI is Below the 50 in Bearish Territory with room to stretch Oversold strengthening the Bearish bias.
#forex#gbpusd
XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that yesterday, right after posting the analysis, the price quickly hit the first target at $3307, then experienced a bounce and rallied to the $3369 supply zone. From there, gold faced more downward pressure and eventually reached the targets at $3303, $3297, and nearly $3285.
Currently, gold is trading around $3291, and if $3285 is broken, we could expect further downside toward levels below $3259.
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XAU/USD: New ATH ~ $3500, What's Next? (READ THE CAPTION)Upon reviewing the 15-minute gold chart, we can see that the price once again reached a new high today, rallying up to the key psychological level of $3500. Following this move, gold has experienced a pullback down to $3423 so far. If the price stabilizes below $3442, we will likely see a further correction toward the next target at $3411. (This analysis will be updated)
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XAU/USD at a Critical Juncture: Uncovering the Key Levels for ApHere is the technical analysis of the gold/US dollar (XAU/USD) pair on the daily timeframe for today, April 18, 2025, identifying key support and resistance levels based on the latest available data:
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🔹 Current Price:
The price of gold reached an all-time high of $3,357.40 per ounce, driven by growing concerns about tariffs, which Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell described as "much larger" than expected, leading to slower economic growth and higher inflation.
⸻
📊 Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe):
• Overall trend: Upward, with higher highs and lows, indicating continued positive momentum.
• Moving Averages: The price is trading above all major moving averages, including the 20-day simple moving average at $3,114.60, supporting the uptrend.
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI remains in the overbought zone, which could indicate a potential short-term price correction.
⸻
🔻 Key Support Levels:
1. $3,317.20 – Immediate support reflecting a previous high.
2. $3,305.65 – Medium-term support.
3. $3,292.80 – Additional support reflecting a previous consolidation zone.
⸻
🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
1. $3,335.00 – Current resistance that was recently tested.
2. $3,350.00 – Important psychological resistance level.
3. $3,375.00 – Potential resistance if the upward momentum continues.
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⚠️ Additional Notes:
• Technical indicators are showing overbought signals, which could lead to a short-term price correction.
• In the event of a correction, the above-mentioned support levels may be potential entry points for investors.
• Upward momentum remains intact, but it is advisable to closely monitor technical indicators to identify appropriate entry and exit points.
XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart in the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price managed to register a new high at $3245, but after that, it was followed by a correction and created a change in market structure. I expect that if the price stabilizes below $3213, it will be accompanied by further decline.
The targets are respectively $3187, $3177, $3155, and $3138.
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GBPUSD: Strong Bullish Market 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD set a new daily high today.
The pair remains in a strong bullish momentum since 8th of April.
With the complete absence of high impact fundamentals today, buying pressure
may persist.
I believe that it may continue rising at least to 1.33 - the closest historic resistance.
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XAU/USD: A Huge Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By re-examining the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that the price once again moved exactly as expected and finally managed to rise back above $3100, reaching as high as $3136.5! Currently, gold is trading around $3120, and I expect we will soon see further decline in gold. The potential downside targets are $3115, $3105, and $3100 respectively. This analysis will be updated again!
The Last Analysis :
Massive Breakout in EUR/USD – Time to Ride the Trend?📊 EUR/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 11, 2025
The euro-dollar pair (EUR/USD) continued its upward momentum on Friday, reaching a high of $1.1473 before closing at $1.1352. This movement reflects a significant appreciation of the euro, influenced by a weakening U.S. dollar amid escalating trade tensions and a selloff in U.S. Treasuries.
📈 Current Market Structure:
After consolidating earlier in the week, EUR/USD broke above key resistance levels, indicating strong bullish sentiment. The pair's movement suggests a potential shift in market dynamics, with investors seeking alternatives to the dollar.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
$1.1473: Immediate resistance. A break above this level could signal further bullish continuation.
$1.1500: Psychological resistance and a potential target for bulls.
$1.1600: A more substantial resistance area that could be tested if momentum continues.
🔸 Key Support Levels:
$1.1300: Recent support. A break below this level could indicate a short-term pullback.
$1.1200: Next significant support, representing a potential bounce point.
$1.1100: A critical support level that, if breached, could lead to a shift in market sentiment.
📐 Price Action Patterns:
The pair's recent breakout above previous resistance levels suggests a strong bullish trend. The formation of higher highs and higher lows supports this view. However, traders should watch for potential reversal patterns near resistance areas.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario: If EUR/USD breaks and holds above $1.1473, it could target $1.1500 and potentially $1.1600. Continued weakness in the U.S. dollar and positive Eurozone data would support this move.
❌ Bearish Scenario: Failure to sustain above $1.1300 may lead to a retest of $1.1200, with further declines possible toward $1.1100 if bearish momentum increases.
📌 Conclusion:
EUR/USD is exhibiting strong bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels. Traders should monitor upcoming economic indicators and geopolitical developments that may influence the pair's direction.
💬 What's your outlook for EUR/USD? Do you anticipate continued strength in the euro, or will the dollar regain its footing? Share your thoughts below!
Let me know if you'd like this analysis tailored for a specific platform or with additional details!
XAU/USD: Ready for another Fall? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that yesterday the price once again moved exactly as expected, hitting all four targets: $3022, $3016, $3010, and $3000, and even dropped further to $2956, resulting in a total return of over 700 pips!
Currently, gold is trading around $3003, and if the price stabilizes below $3014, we can expect further downside.
All key demand and supply zones are marked on the chart and are fully tradable.
If the drop continues, the next bearish targets will be $2997, $2991, $2984, and $2976, respectively.
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Will 3 Times Be The Charm For GBPUSD??We can see FX:GBPUSD retrace a tad further up to the Volume Imbalance that was created over the weekend of April 4th - 7th. After Price made its High @ 1.3207, it was immediately rejected back down below the Past Level of Support that is now showing signs of Resistance!
- Following that Higher High not only resulted in a Lower Low but also sent the RSI under 50 into Bearish Territory!
Now in the ICT Methodology of Volume Imbalances, Price is likely to Test or Fill the Imbalance, then once satisfied, has a high potential to turn the opposite direction. Now a Pullback to Fill the Imbalance would land Price right at the 38.2% Fibonacci Level @ 1.28984 where if Bulls are unable to push Price back above, would be an excellent Shorting Opportunity for Bears to overcome.
- RSI is now below the 50 suggesting Bulls have lost steam and strengthens the potential for more downside to occur but that would call for a Break and Retest Scenario on the Rising Support.
Fundamentally, the Federal Reserve will be releasing the CPI y/y and m/m results where analysts believe there to be a .3% decrease in inflation forecasting a 2.5% CPI for March from the previous 2.8% for February. Given this, the FOMC " do not plan to come to rescue Trump with rate cuts" and insist that all the Tariff pressure will actually be a reasoning for Inflation to Rise! So if CPI ends up printing Hotter than Expected (Higher), we could see a renewed strength in the USD.
XAU/USD: First Long,Then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $3122, and I expect the price to soon reach higher levels such as $3128, $3133, $3135, and $3143, and after reaching each of these important levels, we will probably see an initial negative reaction!
Ultimately, I expect a strong rejection from the price once gold reaches $3144!
The level of this analysis is very high, so make sure to study it carefully!
Don’t forget to support this analysis!
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Cable Is Trading Impulsively HigherCable is making a very nice and strong extension higher on the 4-hour time frame, so it appears to be impulsive. We should be aware of further upside, especially as the market has broken out of a base channel, which typically happens within wave three of three.
In fact price is now even higher after a triangle in wave four so wave 5 of red (3) is in progress as expected, but it can target 1.32, so be aware of a new red higher degree wave (4) correction before the bullish trend for wave (5) resumes. Ideal support is at 1.29 – 1.28 area.
BTC/USD: More Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $83,000. This week alone, BTC has dropped by 6%, showing signs of bearish momentum. A correction toward the $70,000 zone seems likely in the near future. Key supply zones are located at $93,400 and $99,700, while key demand zones are at $80,800 and $73,700. This analysis will be updated accordingly.
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XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that after the market opened today, a price gap appeared. Once gold filled this gap, it resumed its bullish move and recorded a new all-time high at $3,128. Currently, gold is trading around $3,119, and if the price stabilizes below $3,120, we may see a slight correction.
However, note that there’s been no new structural break on the higher timeframes, so for a more accurate outlook, we need to wait for the price to react to key levels.
This analysis will be updated with your continued support, as always!
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XAU/USD: Possible Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price continued its bullish movement and climbed close to its all-time high of $3057, reaching $3056 today. Since this level acted as a Bearish Rejection Block, we’re now seeing a price correction from that area, with gold currently trading around $3049. If the price stabilizes below the $3050 mark, we may see further downside. Potential bearish targets are $3045, $3040, and $3035, respectively.
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XAU/USD: First Long, Then SHORT! (PLEASE READ THE CAPTION)Gold's 2-hour chart shows that the price successfully reached a new high of $3057 today before retracing to $3025. Currently, gold is trading around $3037, and I expect a short-term push towards $3049 before looking for a trigger to potentially ride a correction down to targets below $3022. Stay tuned—this analysis will be updated soon!
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XAU/USD: Another ATH (All Time High) Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart in the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price has finally made its big move, just as we predicted! After a correction to $2905, demand increased, pushing the price up by over 400 pips to $2949.
Currently, gold is trading around $2940, and there are two key scenarios:
1️⃣ Holding support at $2940, leading to a rise above $2950 as the first target.
2️⃣ Breaking below $2940 and stabilizing under it, which could trigger a further correction to $2923.
This analysis will be more complete with your support, and more details will be added soon!
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GBPUSD: UP After the News 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD looks bullish after the release of the US news.
I see a bullish breakout of a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern.
The price is going to retest the current high first - 1.2987,
and continue growing to 1.3 level then.
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XAU/USD: Another Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 2-hour timeframe for gold, we see that the price remains range-bound with no clear directional trend. Currently, gold is trading around the $2900 level, and if it fails to break above $2913 again, we can expect a downward correction. Potential targets for this correction are $2870, $2861, and $2853. Keep an eye on price reactions at each of these key levels, as all three could present opportunities for buy positions!
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GBPUSD Week 11 Swing Zone/LevelsLast week marked the first losing week of the year.
With a strong upward trend, a price pullback is expected.
By using tight stop losses and effective trade management, we keep losses small while aiming for larger gains. To achieve this, the stop loss is moved to break even once the price gains 20 pips.
a or b? Only price can tell
XAU/USD: Gold at a Critical Crossroad: Will $2930 Hold or Break?By analyzing the gold chart on the two-hour timeframe, we can see that the price followed the expected bearish movement yesterday, correcting from its recent high of $2928 down to $2900 before finding temporary support. Currently, gold is trading around $2916, showing signs of indecision as it consolidates within a key range.
🔍 Key Levels & Liquidity Considerations
A significant liquidity pool exists between $2928 and $2930, which could act as a magnet for price. If gold moves toward this range, we might witness liquidity collection before a potential strong rejection and deeper decline.
As long as gold remains below $2930, the bearish outlook remains intact, and further corrections toward $2900 and potentially lower levels could unfold. However, if buyers manage to push the price above $2930 and sustain a breakout with clear confirmation and bullish momentum, we could see gold targeting levels above $2950 in the coming sessions.
📌 Primary & Alternative Scenarios:
🔹 Primary Bearish Scenario: A move into the $2928-$2930 liquidity zone, followed by rejection and continuation of the correction.
🔹 Alternative Bullish Scenario: A clean breakout above $2930 with a strong close and confirmation, leading to further bullish expansion toward $2950+.
🎯 Final Outlook
At this stage, the bearish bias remains dominant, but traders should carefully monitor price action near key liquidity zones before executing positions. Watching how gold reacts around these critical levels will be crucial in determining the next major move.
Stay updated as we track the market closely! 🔥
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GBP/USD - Institutional Backed Long Setup📌 Trade Execution & Technicals
Pair: GBP/USD
Timeframe: 15M
Trade Type: Long Position
Entry: 1.2816 – Price rejected key Fibonacci retracement level (0.62 Fib) after a liquidity sweep
Stop Loss: Below 1.2800
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 1.2862 (-0.27 Fib extension) ✅ Target
TP2: 1.2883 (-0.62 Fib extension) ✅ Target
Technical Confluence:
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Price bounced off the 0.62 retracement (1.2816)
Market Structure: Higher low formation confirmed bullish continuation
Institutional Liquidity Grab: Price swept sell-side liquidity before reversing bullish
📊 Trade Outcome
✅ High-Probability Long Setup
Both TP1 & TP2 levels hit with strong bullish momentum
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) > 1:3
Price action confirmed bullish institutional positioning
🌍 High-Impact News That Influenced GBP/USD
UK S&P Global Services PMI (Actual: 51.0 vs Forecast: 51.1) – Slightly weaker, but still expansionary
US ADP National Employment (77K vs Forecast: 140K) – Weaker than expected, USD pressured
BoE Treasury Select Hearing (Hawkish Bias) – Supporting GBP strength
US ISM Manufacturing Prices & Business Activity Upcoming – Expected to increase USD volatility
💡 News Summary:
Weaker-than-expected US jobs data pressured the USD, providing momentum for GBP/USD upside
GBP remained resilient despite mixed PMI data, benefiting from USD weakness
📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights
🔍 Prime Market Terminal Key Data:
GBP/USD Average True Range (ATR):
1-week ATR: 0.81%
1-month ATR: 0.86%
Institutional Liquidity Insights:
High liquidity buildup in the 1.2800-1.2820 range, acting as support
Strong order flow pushing GBP/USD higher post-US employment data release
🏦 Institutional Positioning & Market Flow
📊 Commitment of Traders (COT) Data & Smart Money Insights:
Dealer Positioning:
GBP Net Positioning: +56,707 contracts (Bullish institutional sentiment)
USD Net Positioning: -11,542 contracts (Bearish outlook on USD)
Open Interest & Retail Sentiment:
Retail Short Bias: 72% Short, 28% Long – Potential short squeeze
Smart Money Accumulation Zone: 1.2800-1.2820
📌 Conclusion
🔹 Why This Trade Worked:
✔ Liquidity Grab Below 1.2816 Before Reversal
✔ Institutional Positioning Confirmed Bullish Momentum
✔ Weaker US Jobs Data Weighed on USD, Pushing GBP/USD Higher
🚀 Next Steps:
Monitoring 1.2860 for continuation towards 1.2900 key level
Watching upcoming US ISM data for potential volatility spike
🔥 What’s your outlook on GBP/USD? Comment your thoughts below!