XAU/USD : Get ready for a new ATH, Towards $3000?! (READ)Gold's one-hour chart analysis confirms that the price has followed our previous forecast precisely, reaching the $2951 level as expected. Comparing the last five analyses highlights the accuracy of these projections.
Currently, after hitting $2951, gold is facing selling pressure and is trading around $2947. I anticipate a slight correction before another upward move.
Short-term targets: $2954 and $2956
Medium-term targets: $2966 and $2969
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#forex#gbpusd
USD/JPY : Another Bearish Move Ahead ? (READ CAPTION)The USD/JPY daily chart confirms that the price followed our analysis precisely, dropping from the expected zone and completing a 500+ pip correction, hitting all three targets: 152.70, 151.70, and 151, before reaching 148.00.
I anticipate a short upward move before another potential decline. The next probable target for USD/JPY is 148.65. Keep an eye on price action for confirmation!
THE LATEST ANALYSIS :
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XAU/USD: Prepare for a new all-time high near $3000?! (READ)Gold's one-hour chart analysis indicates that the price has precisely followed our prior estimate, reaching the projected level of $2951. Comparing the last five assessments demonstrates the accuracy of these projections.
Gold is currently priced about $2947, down from $2951 when it peaked. I foresee a little retracement before another upward movement.
Short-term aims include $2954 and $2956.
Medium-term aims are $2966 and $2969.
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:
🚀 XAU/USD – Bullish or Bearish? Key Levels to Watch! 📊
💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 1H Chart Analysis
🔥 Key Observations:
🔹 BOS (Break of Structure) confirms strong market movement.
🔹 Bearish Order Block (OB) at the top suggests potential resistance.
🔹 Liquidity Grabs ($$$) & FVG (Fair Value Gaps) indicate smart money activity.
🔹 Bullish Rejection Blocks (30m & 1H TFs) could act as key demand zones.
📈 Possible Scenarios:
📌 Bullish Case: If price holds above the Bullish Rejection Block, we might see a push towards $2,950 - $2,960.
📌 Bearish Case: A rejection from the Bearish OB could send gold back towards $2,920 - $2,900.
🔔 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Resistance: $2,950 - $2,960
✅ Support: $2,920 - $2,900
💬 What’s your bias? Bullish or Bearish? Drop your thoughts below! ⬇️🔥
#gold #xauusd #forex #trading #priceaction #technicalanalysis
XAU/USD : First SHORT,then LONG! But...! (READ THE CAPTION)On the one-hour gold chart, we can see that yesterday, the price corrected from the $2943 level down to $2918 before encountering strong demand. This led to a bullish move, with gold reaching a new high of $2955 today. Before targeting the next resistance zone at $2966 - $2969, a slight pullback is likely. This analysis will be updated accordingly. Enjoy the ride, folks!
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GBP/USD Trade Recap – A Perfect Long Setup 1️⃣ Trade Execution – Why I Took the Long Position
Today’s GBP/USD trade was a textbook example of combining Fibonacci retracements, smart money positioning, and seasonality trends to catch a high-probability long setup.
💡 Entry Details:
✅ Entry: 1.2600 (Fibonacci golden zone)
✅ Stop Loss: 1.2587 (Below structure)
✅ Take Profit: 1.2635 (Key resistance zone)
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1
🎯 Result: Hit TP at 1.2635 for a solid profit! ✅
2️⃣ Why This Trade Worked – A Breakdown of the Confluences
📊 Fibonacci Retracement – Perfect Pullback & Reversal
Price retraced to the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone (1.2600 - 1.2593) before reversing.
The bullish move was expected after a strong impulse leg, following smart money positioning.
📈 Smart Money & Retail Sentiment – Trading Against the Herd
🔹 62% of retail traders were SHORT on GBP/USD (as per DMX data).
🔹 Since I trade against retail sentiment, this provided a strong bullish confirmation.
🔹 Institutional COT data showed big players increasing long positions, further supporting a bullish bias.
🕵️♂️ Seasonality & Historical Trends Supported the Long
📊 15-year seasonality data indicated GBP/USD typically rallies in late February and early March.
📅 The next 3-5 day forecast showed a bullish probability, adding further conviction.
📉 Technical Confirmation – Momentum Indicators & Structure
✅ SuperTrend flipped bullish on the 4H chart
✅ Price was trading above key moving averages (EMA 6, 24, 72, 288)
✅ Broke above short-term trendline resistance, confirming upward momentum
3️⃣ Key Takeaways from This Trade
🔹 Trading with smart money & against retail sentiment = High probability setups
🔹 Seasonality provided extra confidence in taking the long trade
🔹 Using Fibonacci and EMAs for confluence led to a precise entry
🔹 Patience and risk management were key to securing profits
📌 Final Thoughts – What’s Next for GBP/USD?
🚀 With this bullish breakout, I will look for further longs on dips, targeting the next key resistance at 1.2680 - 1.2700.
👀 Are you bullish or bearish on GBP/USD? Let’s discuss in the comments!
XAU/USD : Time for BUY? Let's see! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 1-hour gold chart, we can see that, as expected, gold broke above the $2,902.5 resistance yesterday and continued its bullish movement, successfully hitting the next targets at $2,914 and $2,919!
I hope you made the most of this analysis! 🚀
The next potential move depends on whether gold stabilizes above $2,914. If it does, we could see further growth toward $2,922 and $2,928 as the next upside targets.
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GU Ascends From Triangle - Breakout & Retest Set-UpFX:GBPUSD ended last week with a Bullish Price Breakout of the Ascending Triangle that it fell into after breaking down below Support-Turned-Resistance and finding Support at the October 2023 Lows last month.
Overall indicators suggest we could be experiencing a Valid Breakout of this pattern due to:
1) Strong Breaker Bar with Close outside of Range
2) Based on the Range from High to Low of the Ascending Triangle, Price made a 26% move beyond the break
3) Bullish Volume following Break
4) RSI Above 50
The Confirmation of Valid Break will come if price is able to:
1) Close 3 - 5 Days outside of pattern
2) Price successfully is Supported by Previous Structure Broken
3) Bullish Volume Builds on Retest
When the Breakout is Validated, Buying opportunities could be delivered in the ( 1.2525 - 1.2485 ) Range on the retest with an immediate Target Profit at the December 2024 Resistance laying overhead at the ( 1.28 - 1.29 ) Range
Fundamentally, this month we saw BOE make a 25bps rate cut down to 4.50% with GBP having quite a positive increase in GDP (+.3%) which could be inflationary. USD showed a slight uptick in CPI (+.1% y/y) strengthening the stance on minimal Rate Cutes this year but a big miss in Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims and Non-Farm Employment!
GBP:
Tuesday - Claimont Count Change/ BOE Gov. Bailey Speaks
Wednesday - CPI
Thursday - Consumer Confidence
Friday - Retail Sales/ Flash Manufacturing PMI/ Flash Services PMI
USD:
Monday - Presidents Day (Bank Holiday)
Tuesday - Empire State Manufacturing Index
Wednesday - FOMC Meeting Minutes
Thursday - Unemployment Claims/ Philly Fed Manufacturing Index/ Crude Oil Inventories
Friday - Flash Manufacturing PMI/ Flash Services PMI/ Existing Home Sales
XAU/USD : Important Zones for BUY and SELL ! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 30-minute gold chart, we can see that gold continued its bullish momentum yesterday, reaching a new all-time high at $2,942, as expected from our previous analysis. It was still too early to anticipate a correction, and the strong momentum pushed the price higher.
Currently, gold is trading around $2,900, and I expect the price to dip below $2,896 soon to collect liquidity before we assess its reaction to this level.
Additionally, there is an FVG between $2,929 and $2,934, which I expect to be filled soon as price moves higher. Keep a close watch on how gold reacts at this level for potential SELL setups.
The key BUY zones to consider are $2,875, $2,866, and $2,856.
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XAU/USD : Possible Correction Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that after yesterday's last analysis, the price corrected to $2858 as expected. However, it quickly rebounded, surging 240 pips to reach a new all-time high at $2882!
Today, we finally witnessed some correction from $2882 down to $2848, and gold is currently trading around $2868. If the price manages to stabilize below $2873.5 and experiences a strong rejection from this level, we might even see a correction down to levels below $2850.
With increased market volatility and key macroeconomic events on the horizon, traders should stay cautious. Price action around these levels will be critical in determining the next move, as gold continues to react to fundamental drivers such as inflation data and geopolitical developments. Monitoring price behavior near support and resistance levels will be essential for identifying potential trade opportunities.
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EUR/USD : First SELL, then BUY! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 3-day EUR/USD chart, we can see that, as expected, the price has resumed its correction and is currently trading around 1.03. I still anticipate further downside movement in this range.
The key demand zones are 1.02, 1.005, and 0.99. So, the strategy remains: first, look for SELL opportunities, and then wait for a solid BUY trigger at these levels! 🚀
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EUR/USD : More Fall Ahead? Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the three-day timeframe, we can see that the price was rejected from the 1.053 level, as per our main analysis, leading to a decline of over 300 pips down to 1.021.
Currently, EUR/USD is trading around 1.036, and if the price stabilizes below 1.042, we can expect further downside movement. Keep an eye on the price reaction to the key levels marked on the chart!
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XAU/USD : First LONG,then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 1-hour gold chart, we can see that gold has now reached the $2808 - $2818 supply zone and is currently trading around $2810.
Given the liquidity gap created by the price surge from $2772 to $2811, I expect a price correction soon, but likely after one more bullish wave. If gold stabilizes above $2808, it could push higher towards the next targets at $2812, $2817.2, and $2820.
This analysis will be updated soon!
Can Bulls Flip GU "On Its Head" @ 38.2% Level?Last week we saw FX:GBPUSD attempt to Break Above the 1.25 Resistance Zone that its been struggling with since November 2024 and was sent back down underneath following the Fed's decision to Hold Interest Rates.
We can see that Price so far seems to be following a Head & Shoulders layout where Price now is declining down to the Low that formed the "Left Shoulder" @ ( 1.23745 - 1.23518 )
What makes this Price Range so favorable is that if you take the Fib Retracement Tool from the Low of the "Head" @ 1.20991 to the 2nd Touch of the "Neckline" @ 1.25232, the 38.2 % Retracement Level lands right at the potential Support level of the "Left Shoulder"
-If Price finds Support at this level, we can suspect the Low to form the "Right Shoulder" then for Price to work back up to the "Neckline" for a Break and Close for Confirmation of Pattern to then look for more Buying Opportunities!
*Price Breaking and Closing the Neckline, signaling Confirmation of Pattern, will deliver a 90% Success Rate to the expected Bullish outcome.
*Watch for Increase in Volume after Price is Successfully Supported by Low of Left Shoulder and RSI to maintain Above 50!
Fundamentally,
GBP:
Final Manufacturing PMI - Monday
Final Services PMI - Wednesday
Construction PMI/Bank Rate - Thursday
USD:
ISM Manufacturing PMI - Monday
JOLTS - Tuesday
ADP Non-Farm Employment/ISM Services PMI - Wednesday
Unemployment Claims - Thursday
AVG Hourly Earnings/ADP Non-Farm Employment/Unemployment Rate - Friday
USD: The King is back!! Strong falls in all currency pairs!!!We start the month of February with a new DOLLAR STRENGTH! The reasons? Technically, the USD is clearly bullish, and if we add to that Trump's tariff war!, "White and in a bottle", USD, GOLD and JPY will be the winners in the face of the volatility that the markets will experience in the coming days.
If we analyze the GBPUSD PAIR in H4 time frame, we observe that technically it is bearish (Bear) since October 3, 2024.
On January 13 of this year it touched its annual low in the 1.21045 area, and from there it began to regain strength, reaching a 61.8% FIbonacci retracement, to the 1.125300 area. From there it began to fall again.
Today ALL CURRENCIES against the USD have opened with STRONG FALLS (except for the YEN (JPY)) and therefore, GBPUSD is falling sharply at this time.
--> Where is it now?
The situation is clear! We can now take advantage of any rise in the price of the GBPUSD to enter SHORT.
--> Only in GBPUSD?
No. Any currency PAIR against the USD (EXCEPT USDJPY) will lose strength, that is, we will ALWAYS go in favor of the USD!! For example:
--> Long in: USDCHF, USDCAD
--> Short in: EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD
Greetings and ALWAYS WAIT FOR A REVERSE to enter IN FAVOR OF THE USD!!
Good business!!
XAU/USD : Bull or Bear (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 4-hour gold chart, we see that, as expected, the price continued its upward movement following yesterday's analysis, hitting the $2752 and $2764 targets, delivering a 200-pip return. After reaching $2764, gold corrected from $2766 down to $2757, and it is currently trading around $2759. If the price stabilizes below this level, we could see further corrections.
⚠ Important Note: Today, we have the FOMC meeting and the U.S. interest rate decision, which could lead to high market volatility. I strongly recommend avoiding trading during these critical hours!
THE MAIN ANALYSIS :
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XAU/USD : Get Ready for more correction before the next bullrun!Analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that in the last trading day of the previous week, before attempting to establish a new high, the price faced a correction from the $2786 level and has since declined, reaching as low as $2747. Currently, gold is trading around $2761, and if the price stabilizes below $2780, we can expect further corrections.
The potential targets for this decline are $2756, $2751, and $2747, respectively. This analysis will be updated soon!
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**EUR/USD Bearish Breakout: Potential Drop to 1.03500**This EUR/USD 1-hour chart indicates a **bearish breakout** from an ascending channel. Key observations:
1. **Breakout Confirmation:** Price has broken below the lower trendline of the rising channel, signaling a potential trend reversal.
2. **Bearish Momentum:** The price is retesting the broken trendline, and rejection at this level could confirm further downside.
3. **Target Zone:** The next significant support is around **1.03500**, aligning with previous structure levels.
4. **EMA Slope:** The short-term moving averages are turning bearish, adding confluence to a possible downward move.
If the price holds below the breakout zone, a short setup toward 1.03500 could be valid. A re-entry above the trendline could invalidate this bearish bias. FOREXCOM:EURUSD
GBP/USD Recovery Tests Potential Resistance LevelChart Analysis:
GBP/USD has rebounded strongly, approaching the critical resistance at 1.2500, a level that has served as support-turned-resistance in prior sessions.
1️⃣ Key Resistance Level:
The horizontal level at 1.2500 is a key inflection point, with a breakout above it potentially signaling further upside momentum.
Rejection at this level may see the pair revert lower toward support near 1.2400.
2️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at 1.2523, aligning with the resistance zone, increasing its significance.
200-day SMA (red): Trending downward at 1.2790, reflecting the longer-term bearish bias.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: Recovering to 54.67, showing improving bullish momentum but still below overbought territory.
MACD: Shows a bullish crossover, suggesting upward momentum may continue in the near term.
What to Watch:
A daily close above 1.2500 would reinforce bullish sentiment and open the path toward higher resistance levels.
A rejection at 1.2500 could lead to renewed selling pressure and a potential test of recent lows.
Monitor momentum indicators for confirmation of either a breakout or a reversal.
GBP/USD is at a critical juncture, with 1.2500 acting as the line in the sand for the next directional move.
-MW
Gold Hits $2,770 Target – Will It Break Historical Highs Today?Analyzing the 4-hour chart of gold, we observe that the price reacted to the expected levels of $2,755, $2,757, and $2,759 yesterday, followed by a strong breakout to hit our anticipated target of $2,770. Currently trading at $2,777, gold shows no signs of rejection or a significant pullback.
As the final trading day of the week unfolds, the big question remains: will gold surpass its previous historical high of $2,790? With today's growth reaching $2,780, it's just 100 pips away from breaking that record. The opening of New York markets could provide the decisive momentum.
A new historical high and even targets beyond $2,800 seem within reach! Stay tuned for updates, and don't forget to support this analysis with your reactions to keep the momentum going.
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XAU/USD : Liquidity Grab at $2733, Next Trend Awaits NY Session!By analyzing the 4-hour gold chart, we see that the price finally broke out of the neutral range of $2702-$2714 today, reaching as high as $2733 and clearing liquidity above $2727. After this liquidity grab, gold experienced a slight correction, retracing to $2717. Currently, the price is trading around $2722.
As the New York market opens, we’ll see if gold can establish its next trend. It’s still too early to declare a bearish shift, as the bullish trend remains intact until the price breaks and stabilizes below $2688. For now, consider these levels for positions:
Supply Zones: $2727, $2742, $2753
Demand Zones: $2717, $2711, $2703
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XAU/USD : Key Levels $2717 and $2727 to Define Next Move! (READ)Analyzing the 4-hour gold chart, we observe that after rising to approximately $2725, gold underwent a correction down to $2703. Currently, gold is trading around $2708, and the key level to watch over the next two hours is $2717.
If gold fails to breach and stabilize above $2717, we may expect further corrections. Alternatively, gold might move above $2727 to collect liquidity, followed by a potential reaction to this liquidity pool, leading to a correction.
Stay tuned for updates once the confirmations are in place!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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