Bitcoin update 10.04.2025 - BTC - 98k in May🔥 The Markets Are on Fire — and We Know Who Lit the Match.
The last few weeks have been pure chaos.
Markets are crashing, confidence is shaking, and crypto is confused.
And let’s not pretend we don’t know who’s behind it.
Donald Trump.
Even a Korean guy selling panda souvenirs on the street told me:
“This Trump is ruining everything.”
And he’s not wrong.
Billions wiped. Positions wrecked.
But here’s the thing — this isn’t random. This is tactical drama.
Trump sees himself as a master negotiator, and here’s how he plays the game:
🎭 The Trump Cycle (Get Ready for the Loop)
Pressure — tariffs, chaos, media hysteria. We’ve seen it.
Relaxation — 90-day delays, fake calm.
Talks — and boom, “positive developments.”
Good News —
• “Bitcoin added to U.S. reserves.” in MAY?
• “Americans to receive new stimulus.”
• “China’s our friend again!”
Charm & Flirt Mode — improving global relations, smiling at cameras.
More good news — stock markets fly, crypto rips and everyone screams, “New bull run!”
And then?
💥 Back to pressure.
📆 September 2025 is the punchline.
That's when this cycle hits the weaker economies like a freight train:
✅ Broken supply chains
✅ Collapsing currencies
✅ Defaults
✅ And where there’s chaos — there’s war. Expect escalation in fragile regions like the Middle East.
✅ Crude oil falling to 40$
Markets will top on pure euphoria.
The reversal begins when everyone’s drunk on hopium and “good news”.
💼 My Plan? Ruthlessly Simple:
🔹 May I will participate in the first Offline/Online International Crypto Trading Cup 2025 by WhiteBIT
🔹Jun-August -Euphoria in the market
🔹 September - Take profits
🔹 Either short — or sip something cold on a quiet beach. But we will see
We’ve officially entered the Turbulence Zone.
The following 10 years will be insane — for those who adapt, evolve, ride the trends, and harness AI and tech.
If not?
You get left behind.
It’s not the strongest who survive — it’s the fastest to adapt.
Best regards, EXCAVO
1-BTCUSD
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-9 : Top/Resistance UpdateToday's big rally, prompted by Trump's Tariff comments, presents a real learning opportunity for traders and followers of my videos.
Everyone wants to know what's going to happen next.
This video will tell you what I believe is NEXT for the markets and why.
It should also reinforce the construct that price is the ultimate indicator and the use of the EPP/Cradle patterns as a mechanism for using price structure to attempt to identify where opportunities may exist.
As much as this video is an analysis of price action and a prediction of what may come next, it is also a tutorial showing you how to use price patterns, structure and context to attempt to plan for your next opportunities.
Ideally, the next phase of the market is to establish a consolidation range.
If the 480-525 lower consolidation range does not hold - then it will likely become a precursor of the July breakdown (support) level. Remember, we still have the July/Oct lows to deal with.
I fully expect the 550-575 consolidation range to become the new dominant consolidation phase for the current EPP pattern.
It makes sense to me that, absent any crazy tariff war, the most likely outcome will be for the markets to recover back to the 550-575 level and to consolidate further.
The last component we have to consider is the recent lows near 480 could have been a very quick breakdown to an Ultimate Low. If that is the case, then we'll most into a mode of seeking the next higher resistance level and I believe the 550 or 575 level would be the obvious next resistance level.
So, at this point, I believe the continuation of the Excess Phase Peak pattern is likely, but the price is actively seeking the consolidation range between the lower consolidation level and the upper consolidation level.
Price MUST establish the consolidation range, or INVALIDATE this pattern, in order to move onto the next pattern/phase.
Get Some..
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BITCOIN Downtrend Continues – Is $70K the Next Stop?COINBASE:BTCUSD continues to trade within a well-defined descending channel, maintaining a clear bearish market structure on the daily timeframe. After a strong rejection from the upper boundary of the channel, the price has retraced to a minor support zone around $78,000.
Given the prevailing momentum and strength of the broader downtrend, this support is likely to break under continued selling pressure. A clean breakdown below this level would reinforce the bearish bias and open the door for a move toward the daily support zone near $70,000, which aligns with the lower boundary of the channel.
This zone marks a potential area of interest where price may react or attempt a short-term bounce. However, unless there is a significant shift in momentum, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
Traders should watch for confirmation of the bearish continuation, such as lower highs, weak bullish pullbacks, or increased volume on red candles, before considering short entries.
If you align with this outlook or have additional perspectives, feel free to share your thoughts below.
BTC/USD) rejected point analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
This chart presents a bearish short-term technical analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown
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Key Observations:
1. Downtrend Structure:
Price is forming lower highs and lower lows.
A clear downtrend is marked on the chart.
2. Rejection Zone:
The yellow highlighted area near $83,800–$84,000 is labeled as a “rejected point.”
Price touched this zone and got rejected again, confirming resistance.
3. 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average):
The 200 EMA is at $82,291, acting as dynamic resistance. Price is currently below it, reinforcing bearish momentum.
4. Support Level / Target:
The yellow box at the bottom around $74,559 is marked as the support zone and target level.
This is the previous low and aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel.
5. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is showing a potential bearish divergence and is pointing downward, suggesting weakening bullish momentum and a likely move lower.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Trade Idea:
Bias: Bearish
Entry: Around $81,300–$82,000 (after rejection confirmation)
Target: $74,559 (support level)
Stop-loss: Could be placed just above the rejection zone, around $84,000
---
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Bitcoin in a Descending ChannelHello guys!
BTC is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel, showing consistent lower highs and lower lows since mid-March.
Descending Channel: The upper and lower boundaries have acted as reliable resistance and support zones.
Double Bottom Pattern: Price action recently formed a double bottom near the $75,000 zone (marked "HUNT2"), which is typically a bullish reversal signal.
Breakout Target: The neckline breakout from the double bottom targets the $85,000–86,000 zone, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel — a confluence resistance.
Fakeouts (HUNT1 & HUNT2): These "hunt" zones likely represent liquidity grabs or stop-loss sweeps, indicating strong institutional manipulation before major moves.
______________________
🔮 What's Next?
🎯 Bullish Scenario: After touching the lower level of the neckline, it goes to touch the top line of the channel and touches the target of the pattern.
.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario: Rejection from the $85K zone could send BTC back down toward FWB:73K –$ 74 K. Further downside could bring the $69K–$70K zone into focus.
BITCOIN Are we back in business?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made a miraculous comeback yesterday as it rebounded with force almost +12% from its session Low, following the 90-day tariff pause news. This rebounded has been performed on both the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the key long-term Support of this Bull Cycle, but also on the previous High line, which is the trend-line coming from the previous Higher High of the Bull Cycle that has now turned Support.
As you see, during every Bull Cycle correction, this previous High line held both times before and it is doing so this time also. This justifies the incredible symmetry of this Bull Cycle but it doesn't only stop on the uptrend structure but goes back to the downtrend structure of the Bear Cycle. As you see, the extension of those previous High lines intersect the Lower Highs of the Bear Cycle. Symmetry at its very best.
At the same time, back to the current Bull Cycle, we see that the Vortex Indicator (VI) has already diverged, which has been consistent to both previous bottoms.
As far as what the target of this potential rebound/ rally can be, both previous main rallies hit at least the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. That sits now at $175000.
So do you think this Double Support rebound combo is putting BTC back in Bull Cycle business for a rally to $175k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin At $250,000 In 2025: Bull-Market Entry (Buy) Zone ActiveBitcoin's 2025 bull-market buy-zone is still active. Actually, Bitcoin is at a great price right now. We are aiming for a target of $250,000 for this cycle. We are looking at the bottom right now, literally. Any buy below $90,000 is extremely good and below $80,000 a dream come-true. This will be obvious in just a matter of weeks.
How are you feeling today?
I hope the start of the weekend is treating you good.
This is a friendly reminder, Bitcoin has been sideways for months. When Bitcoin drops, it drops but, currently, there are no new lows.
Bitcoin peaked in December 2024 and produced a double-top in January 2025. A small retrace and that's it; the accumulation phase is ongoing and the buy-zone active.
There are many signals that support a correction bottom being in. We looked at these already so you will have to trust me. Leverage is possible on this setup. Leverage for a long-term trade. This is the best possible scenario and the best type of trade.
No complexities. No calculators. No fees. No interest, just buy and hold.
Wait patiently... It will be a very strong rise and the Altcoins will grow even more than Bitcoin. The entire Cryptocurrency market will produce maximum growth.
This post is intended to alert of you a great entry-timing. Great prices as well but timing right now is great. We might have to wait a bit longer, it won't move right away, but with this price you can't go wrong.
I am wishing you tons of profits in 2025 and financial success.
Thank you for reading.
If you are new, feel free to follow.
Master Ananda for you (formerly Alan Santana).
Namaste.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-10 : FLAT-DOWN PatternToday's Flat-Down Pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will struggle to move away from yesterday's big open-close range.
Normally, I would suggest the Flat-Down pattern will be a small, somewhat FLAT price move.
But, after yesterday's big move, the Flat-Down pattern can really be anywhere within yesterday's Daily Body range.
So, we could see very wild volatility today. That means we need to be prepared for general price consolidation (which suggests somewhat sideways price trending) and be prepared for some potential BIG price trends within that consolidation.
These BIG price trends would be more like bursts of trending, while still staying somewhat consolidated overall.
Watch today's video to learn how the Excess Phase Peak pattern is dominating the trend right now (in the Consolidation Phase).
The same thing is happening in BTCUSD. BTCUSD has been in an EPP Consolidation phase for over 35+ days now.
Gold and Silver are setting up a CRUSH pattern today. That could be a VERY BIG move higher (or downward). Given my analysis of Gold acting like a hedge (a proper hedge for global risk levels), I believe today's move will EXPLODE higher.
Gold is already in an early-stage parabolic bullish price trend. When gold explodes above $3500, I believe it will quickly gain momentum towards the $5100 level.
Right now, Gold is recovering from the Tariff news and about to explode upward (above $3200) if we see this CRUSH pattern play out well.
Thank you again for all the great compliments. I'm just trying to share my knowledge and skills with all of you before I die. There is no need to carry all of this great information and technology to my grave.
So, follow along, ask questions, learn, and PROFIT while I keep doing this.
Get some.
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Gold Faces Key Resistance – Will the Uptrend Continue?📊 XAU/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 10, 2025
Gold has recently seen a strong rally, reaching an all-time high of $3167 per ounce. However, it encountered significant resistance at the upper boundary of its ascending channel, leading to a sharp pullback after the release of strong U.S. employment data, which boosted the dollar and exerted selling pressure on gold.
Currently, gold is trading around $3050, with key support levels at $2956, $2860, and $2790, which could act as potential bounce points if the decline continues.
📈 Current Market Structure:
After reaching the all-time high, the price has corrected lower. As it approaches the support levels mentioned above, the market may see fresh buying opportunities if these levels hold strong.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
$3100: Immediate resistance. A break above this level could signal a resumption of the uptrend.
$3167: All-time high. A breakout above this level would open the door for further gains.
🔸 Key Support Levels:
$2956: First support. The price may bounce at this level if it holds.
$2860: Major support. A failure to hold above this level could lead to further declines.
$2790: Strong support. A drop below this level would signal a shift in the market's direction.
📐 Price Action Patterns:
As the price approaches key support levels, there could be reversal patterns forming, indicating a potential price bounce. It’s crucial to monitor the price action at these levels to spot potential entry opportunities.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If gold manages to hold above $2956 and bounce, the uptrend may resume toward the resistance levels mentioned above.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If gold fails to maintain the key support levels, the correction could continue, with further declines toward lower support levels.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is currently testing crucial support levels. Monitoring how price behaves at these levels will be key to determining the next direction. Traders should keep an eye on any economic developments that may affect market sentiment.
💬 What’s your outlook for Gold? Will it continue its uptrend or experience further corrections? Share your thoughts below.
1050 days of bull, 380 days of bearPlanning for the afterlife already. Each cycle fits quite neatly into ca. 1050 days of bull market and 375 days of bear. The big bounce should happen just before the summer, then consolidate, and the last leg up should come after, and we peak in late October. Let's try this
BITCOIN Can a USD sell-off save the Cycle?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is hanging on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) amidst the market chaos and especially following last night's stronger 104% trade tariffs to China from the U.S.
This is a simple yet powerful classic chart, displaying Bitcoin against the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY, black trend-line). This shows the long-term negatively correlated pattern they follow on their Cycles.
Every time DXY entered an aggressive sell-off in the final year of the 4-year Cycle, Bitcoin started its final parabolic rally of its Bull Cycle. This time the DXY peaked exactly at the start of the year (2025) and is on a selling sequence up until today but due to the ongoing Trade War, BTC not only didn't rise but is on a correction too.
Can an even stronger DXY sell-off save the day and complete the 4-year Cycle with a final rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSDT | Waiting for Precision – Not Just Price LevelsMany were tempted to short BTCUSDT around the $83,000 region, and I was closely watching it too. However, as always, I don’t take trades based solely on price levels. What separates professional trading from guesswork is the data behind the scenes, and in this case, CDV (Cumulative Delta Volume) did not show any bearish divergence. That’s why I completely passed on this level without hesitation.
🎯 What’s Next?
Upper Blue Box is My Focus: I’ve now shifted my attention to the next key upper blue box, where I’ll be looking for serious short opportunities, but only if LTF confirmations such as orderflow shifts, CDV divergences, or volume traps appear.
Why I Wait: Just because a price hits a “zone” doesn’t mean we react. Professional traders wait for confluence, confirmation, and controlled risk.
🔒 Smart Trader Checklist:
No CDV divergence = No trade.
Wait for price to enter the upper blue box and react.
Short only with proper lower time frame confirmation.
If price breaks above with strong momentum and retest, I will not insist on shorts. I will shift and look for longs.
💡 I trade with precision and patience—not emotion. These levels are not random lines, but key zones mapped with advanced tools and strict discipline. That’s why my followers consistently win, and why my success rate is among the highest you’ll find here.
If you want to trade with clarity, confidence, and data-backed precision, just keep following me. You’ll see the difference.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Double Bottom Breakout in PlayBitcoin has printed a textbook double bottom pattern signaling a potential trend reversal after a sharp decline The market has now broken above the neckline and we may be witnessing the early stages of a bullish continuation
Technical Breakdown:
Pattern Identified:
A clear double bottom has formed with Bottom 1 and Bottom 2 marked around the $73,500–$74,000 zone, indicating strong buyer interest and a possible exhaustion of the prior downtrend
Neckline Breakout:
Price broke above the neckline (~$81,200) triggering bullish momentum and confirming the pattern The breakout was supported by high volume and aggressive follow-through
Consolidation & Retest:
After the breakout, BTC is currently retesting the previous neckline area, which now acts as a support zone. If this zone holds, it could provide a solid base for the next upward leg.
Projected Move:
A successful retest of the neckline could push BTC towards the next key resistance at $84,000–$85,000
If bullish momentum remains strong, a further move to the $87,000 resistance zone is on the table
Resistance: $82,400 – $84,600 - GETTEX:87K
Support Zone: $81,200 – $82,300 (neckline area)
Conclusion:
This double bottom pattern on Bitcoin is a strong bullish reversal signal As long as price holds above the neckline support bulls remain in control Traders should monitor the pullback and watch for bullish confirmation before entering new long positions
Trade with confirmation and always manage risk!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 4-8 : Absolute PerfectionThank you. Thank you to all of you who follow my videos and believe in my research.
The last few days/weeks have been absolutely incredible.
My SPY Cycle Patterns, on average, are about 70-80% accurate over a 12-month span of time. There are things, like news and big events (elections, outside forces, big news) that can disrupt any market trend and completely invalidate my SPY Cycle Patterns.
But, when the markets are generally left to their own accord, the SPY Cycle Patterns play out almost perfectly.
Yes, traders need to learn to adopt a PLAN A vs. PLAN B mentality with my SPY Cycle Patterns.
If Brad is right - this will happen. And if Brad is wrong, the opposite will likely happen.
But, the comments I've been receiving over the past 20+ days have been incredible.
Thank you.
Knowing that I'm reaching a larger group of people now (than when I started doing these videos about a year ago) and knowing that some of you are really seeing some BIG GAINS following my research is simply incredible.
I started doing these videos to prove my research and tools were incredible solutions for traders. But, at the same time, I started doing this to combat some of the scammers that are out there.
In my world, watching people (or hearing from them) after they've been scammed a couple of times is heartbreaking.
Most people put a lot of time and effort into trying to become skilled traders. I get it.
That's why I'm doing this - to show you the right path and to show you that price is the ultimate indicator.
Again, thank you from the bottom of my heart. Keep sending me those success stories and...
GET SOME.
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Bitcoin Prediction - Crypto MarketBitcoin has broken the weekly structure to the downside, and we’ve been bearish since then.
However, the monthly chart still looks bullish, and I expect the price to return to the monthly demand zone and get a reaction from there.
I believe the crypto market could turn bullish again by the end of summer 2025.
Possible scenario:
We short from the current levels down to the monthly demand zone, sweeping the engineered weekly liquidity (by 'engineered,' I mean a level designed to push price higher). That level is around $67,000.
I’ll be watching for LTF confirmations to take longs from that zone.
Most likely, the monthly demand zone will hold and send us toward new all-time highs.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-9 : Top/Resistance PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move a bit higher in early trading - trying to identify a resistance area. Then, roll over into a downward price trend.
Be cautious of the overnight price range, potentially already setting the upper boundary of the TOP pattern for today. It can happen that overnight trading sets a PEAK/TOP, and we move into sideways/downward trading related to the current TOP/Resistance pattern.
I believe the US markets will attempt to move upward, toward the $490-500+ level before topping out today. I believe this move will be related to the strong support near the $480 level and will attempt to further establish the downward price channel established by the big breakdown in trend over the past 9+ days.
Ultimately, I believe price is struggling for direction, but I also believe this process (with tariffs) is working out as expected.
This is obviously a very volatile market - so stay cautious as we move into a more consolidated price trend over the next few weeks.
I don't expect the markets to try to make any really big moves over the next 2+ week (unless news hits). At this point, I believe the markets will try to UNWIND the volatility over the next 2+ weeks.
BTCUSD is trading near the lower range of the consolidation phase. This could be the start of the breakdown to the Ultimate Low.
GOLD and Silver are moving higher after forming the base (just as I expected). Metals will likely rally strongly as global fear elevates.
Thank you for all the great comments. I'll try to publish a few new videos today and tomorrow to help everyone out.
Remember, price gives us new information every minute/bar. It is a matter of unraveling the puzzle with price - one bar at a time.
If you like what I do, follow along.
Get some.
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BTCUSD: Attacking the 2025 Resistance looking for huge breakout!Bitcoin turned neutral on both its 1D (RSI = 47.243, MACD = -1813.400, ADX = 31.557) and 1W (RSI = 45.530) technical outlooks following the 90-day tariff pause. Technically it is going after the LH top of the Falling Wedge from its ATH and the 1D MA50, which has been the main Resistance since February 4th 2025. There is a key Bullish Divergence on the 1D RSI too, being on HL as opposed to the LL of the Falling Wedge. A breakout above the Wedge typically sets a technical target on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which falls just under the ATH Resistance Zone. Be ready to go long if the breakout takes place (TP = 106,000).
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Bitcoin Is About To SkyrocketHello, Skyrexians!
It looks like BINANCE:BTCUSDT has finally finished its correction. On the daily time frame we have the confirmation, now we are waiting for weekly close to make sure. With our prediction next wave to the upside is going to be the altcoin season wave, a lot of negative around the Trump's tariffs also confirms that.
Let's take a look at the weekly chart and remember our global forecast. The wave which has been finished in March 2024 was just a wave 1. Now price is printing wave 3. Notice that the minimal target for the wave 3 has been completed. This is the Fibonacci 1 level. Even if wave 3 has been already finished we will see higher high in the wave 5. But the main scenario is that this wave will be finished at 1.61 Fibonacci level, approximately at $140k. Anyway we will see which scenario market choose when Bitcoin will breaks $110k. Now we want to see the confirmation on the weekly by the green dot on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator .
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Check support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
-
(1W chart)
Indicators indicating lows on the 1M chart and 1W chart, i.e. BW(0), DOM(-60) indicators, are not created.
Therefore, caution is required when trading as it can fall at any time.
This movement is likely to occur until the trend line corresponding to the trend line (1) on the 1M chart is created as a solid line.
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(1D chart)
There are several trend lines drawn, but the important thing to consider is whether there is support near the section marked with a circle.
Among them, the section that must be broken to create a trend is 89294.25 and 73499.86.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can be maintained near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and rise above 89294.25.
Therefore, the next volatility period is from around April 14th to 17th, and we need to check whether the price can be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
If it fails to rise, there is a possibility of falling again to around 78595.86 and 73499.86.
The important thing to consider is whether there is support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
-
(30m chart)
The following applies to all time frame charts.
Trading strategies can be created based on whether there is support near the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
Here, we refer to the movements of the Trend Cloud and StochRSI indicators.
Currently, the HA-High indicator has risen above it and the Trend Cloud indicator is thick, so it can be interpreted that the upward trend is likely to continue.
However, since the StochRSI indicator has fallen in the overbought zone, the upward trend may be limited.
Therefore, it can be interpreted that the support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is important.
If it continues to rise further, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
If it rises or moves sideways, the Trend Cloud indicator will eventually become thinner.
If the Trend Cloud indicator shows resistance while being thin, the possibility of a decline increases, so at that time, you should refer to the various indicators that are generated and respond according to whether there is support near those indicators.
-
If you predict the movement in advance and proceed with the transaction, you may be subject to psychological pressure and may proceed with the wrong transaction, so you should always be careful.
In the HA-Low ~ HA-High indicator section, a trading strategy in the sideways or box section is required.
If it falls below the HA-Low indicator or rises above the HA-High indicator, a trading strategy in the trend is required.
The current example chart is a 30m chart, so this chart requires a trading strategy in the trend.
Therefore, if it shows support above the HA-High indicator, you can create a trading strategy and proceed with the transaction.
Since it is currently located near the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart, whether there is support near this area is the first trading strategy period.
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For reference, HA-Low, HA-High indicators are indicators created to create trading strategies, and M-Signal indicators on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are indicators created to identify trends.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Could the Bitcoin bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 80,393.27
1st Support: 77,842,40
1st Resistance: 84,559.23
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Bitcoin Eyes $81,500 Resistance Following Trump's Tariff Pause. 🚨 **Market Update** 🚨
President Donald Trump has announced a 90-day pause on the full effect of new tariffs for certain countries, and the markets are reacting strongly! 📈 Both the stock and crypto markets are surging as a result.
Right now, **Bitcoin** is testing the $81,500 resistance level on the 1-hour timeframe. 💥 Our trading strategy: let it break the resistance and sustain above it, then look for a solid entry on the pullback.
Stay tuned and trade wisely! 🚀💰
Bitcoin - Watching For CapitulationI'm not going to try and predict whether not Bitcoin has begun what I believe to be its inevitable long term bear market, but I will look at some important trends and horizontal levels. For years, I've speculated that Bitcoin would have a hard time sustaining a significant new all-time high. It turns out, for the mean time, I've been correct in that assumption.
Bitcoin has now broken down from the ascending broadening wedge pattern that began in November, 2022. Here's the chart zoomed out:
There is still a chance for this to be a false breakdown, if buyers show up soon and take price back above that $87-90K resistance, which has become quite strong. However, ongoing global market news continues to remain bearish fundamentally, as many commodities and material objects will have to be repriced to the upside. At the same time, the FED is in a bind because if this causes a spike in unemployment, they will be more hesitant to lower rates, fearing greater inflation. This is the definition of stagflation.
In any case, zoomed in you can see that Bitcoin is in a downtrend channel - often a bullish pattern. My speculation is that Bitcoin will attempt to break down BELOW the channel, leading to a cascade of liquidations. This kind of drop can end around $69-71K on the shallow end, though can go much deeper from a structural standpoint. Outlined are all the support levels, and circled in red is a potential capitulation area.
If Bitcoin manages to bounce from the $60-70K level on high enough volume, depending on economic news, price can even make a new high. But we're not there yet by any means. This possibility is shown with the green arrow. On the other hand, if Bitcoin cannot bounce at the previous trend resistance (light blue line below the red local downtrend), price can retrace all the way towards $48-50K.
Let's see what happens!
Thanks for reading.
-Victor Cobra
Ethereum Struggles Below $1,700 – Is a Reversal on the Horizon?📊 ETH/USD Daily Technical Outlook – April 9, 2025
Ethereum is currently trading around $1,649, facing resistance near the $1,700 level. After a decline from the $1,800 region earlier this month, ETH/USD has been attempting to find support and establish a base. The market is at a critical juncture, with price action suggesting a potential reversal or further downside movement.
CoinCodex
📈 Current Market Structure:
ETH/USD has been in a downtrend since reaching highs near $1,800 in early April. The pair has formed a series of lower highs and lower lows, indicating bearish momentum. Currently, the price is consolidating just below the $1,700 resistance, suggesting indecision among market participants.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
$1,700 – $1,720: Immediate resistance zone. A break above this area could signal a potential reversal and open the door for further gains.
$1,800: Previous support turned resistance. A move above this level would indicate a shift in market sentiment.
🔸 Key Support Levels:
$1,600: Psychological support level. A break below this could lead to increased selling pressure.
$1,500: Major support zone. Holding above this level is crucial for bulls to prevent further declines.
📐 Price Action Patterns:
Ethereum's recent price action suggests the formation of a descending triangle, a bearish continuation pattern. The horizontal support around $1,600 combined with descending highs indicates that sellers are gaining control. A decisive break below the $1,600 support could lead to a measured move targeting the $1,500 area.
🧭 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If ETH/USD breaks above the $1,700 resistance with strong volume, it could signal a reversal, targeting the $1,800 level. This move would require a shift in market sentiment and increased buying interest.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
A break below the $1,600 support could lead to further declines, with the next target around $1,500. This scenario would confirm the descending triangle pattern and suggest continued bearish momentum.
📌 Conclusion:
Ethereum is at a pivotal point, trading just below key resistance at $1,700. The formation of a descending triangle suggests a bearish bias, but a break above resistance could invalidate this pattern. Traders should monitor these key levels closely and watch for a decisive move to determine the next directional bias.
💬 Do you think Ethereum will break above $1,700, or is further downside ahead? Share your thoughts below 👇