BITCOIN Breaks Higher - Is $106K the Next Target?COINBASE:BTCUSD is trading within an ascending channel, signaling bullish momentum. The price has consistently respected the channel boundaries, forming higher highs and higher lows, which aligns with the continuation of the uptrend.
Recently, the price has broken out with strong momentum and may now be pulling back for a retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward the $106,000 level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending channel. Conversely, a failure to hold support could signal a potential bearish shift.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
1-BTCUSD
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-7 : Post FOMC UpdateThis video highlights a number of factors why I believe the markets are stalling and are likely to REVERT back to the 515-525 area on the SPY.
Without any real economic driving component, while tariffs and other concerns continue to play out, I believe the SPY will continue to search for Ultimate Support over the next 5-7+ months, then move into an upward reversion phase.
Part of what I'm trying to teach my followers is to try to understand how price operates in structures and phases.
Price only does two things: TRENDS or FLAGS
Within those phases, price structures (EPP, Cradle, and others) take over to determine how and why price may or may not attempt to make certain price moves.
Additionally, without any bias, or economic impetus (driver), price tends to REVERT.
In this video, I show you how to use the STDDEV channels to identify possible target areas for the different phases of market trend.
Ultimately, IMO, trading is about being able to see the price structure, phases, and path of least resistance (in terms of bias/expectations). This helps us position for the highest probability outcome (and hopefully for successful trades).
Remember, all of these techniques can be applied to intra-day charts the same way I'm applying them to Daily and Weekly charts.
Remember, price only does two things: TREND or FLAG.
Once you understand that, applying price structures/phases to price while it TRENDS or FLAGS helps you to gain a keen understanding of where price may target/move in the immediate future.
Hope this helps.
Get Some.
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BITCOIN Monthly RSI Heatmap reveals ultimate Cycle Sell Zone!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has resumed the long-term bullish trend and as of the writing of this analysis, it is about to test the $100k key psychological level. Now that the Bull Cycle is entering its final stage (most likely for the next 6 months at most), it is time to see potential exit levels as close to the expected Top as possible.
There is no better long-term indicator to assist us on this than the 1M RSI, which historically offers a great level to Sell when it enters the 0.786 - 1.0 Fibonacci range of its Channel Down. Currently it is still considerably distanced from that Zone, so the upside potential despite the recent break-out, is huge.
The Sine Waves indicate that in symmetrical terms, the Cycle Top should be priced around November 2025 (previous ones on November 2021, December 2017, December 2013). The closer the 1M RSI is to this date when it enters the 0.786 - 1.0 Fib Zone, the better as the higher the price will most likely be.
Based on this Cycle's Channel Up (blue), a fair Cycle Top range would be $150k - $200k. Would you agree? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-8 : Carryover PatternToday's Pattern is a Carryover pattern in Carryover mode.
After yesterday's FOMC news (unchanged), the markets are seeking a bit of direction. Bitcoin rallied and INVALIDATED a EPP Flagging pattern. In my opinion this suggests the SPY/QQQ may attempt to move a bit higher after the Fed decision.
Although, I still believe the global markets are reacting to uncertainty and tariff news within a very broad consolidation range. So, I'm cautious of trying to go ALL-IN on any long trades at the moment.
Until we break clear of the consolidation range, price could break strongly to the downside on news or geopolitical content. In reality, any type of big news could prompt a downward price move within an uptrend or a consolidation range.
It just seems as though the current global market environment is fraught with uncertainty - so I continue to stay cautious.
Gold and Silver pulled downward overnight. But I still believe metals will continue to rally - attempting to hedge against global risks.
With Bitcoin rallying a bit higher (still in consolidation) - let's see how the next few days play out.
I would be surprised if BTCUSD and the SPY rallied to new highs before the end of May. VERY SURPRISED given the status of the global markets.
But, the markets can stay completely irrational much longer than I can try to fight them. So we have to move WITH the markets - not against them.
Get some.
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Bitcoin - Approaching the all time high!Bitcoin - CRYPTO:BTCUSD - will break out again:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It has been quite some time since we saw such a strong move on Bitcoin. But finally - not totally unexpected to be honest - Bitcoin is following its destiny and about to create another new all time high. Patience is key and strategy, risk and mindset will help you master the volatility.
Levels to watch: $100.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
BITCOIN - Bullish Continuation After BreakoutCOINBASE:BTCUSD has broken above a key daily resistance zone and is now pulling back for a potential retest. This area previously acted as a resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
If buyers confirm support at this level, price is likely to continue upward toward the 102,000 level, which serves as a logical target based on previous structure. Conversely, a failure to hold this support could signal a potential shift and invalidate the bullish continuation.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wick rejections from the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
BITCOIN Mirror fractal from the past calls for massive rally!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) appears to be repeating almost the exact same price action as mid-late 2020 as it has broken above the Pivot trend-line that separates the recent distribution from the 2nd Accumulation phase and has successfully re-tested it while the MA50 (blue trend-line) is holding as Support.
If the latter continues to hold, then it might fuel a massive rally similar to October 2020 - April 2021. As you can see both fractals started of with a 1st Accumulation Phase (blue Rectangle) being supported always by their respective MA200 (orange trend-line), which led to the eventual Distribution Phase (red Arc). Even their RSI sequences are identical.
Is this another pattern supporting that BTC will reach at least $150k next? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Dominance - the two scenarios!Bitcoin dominance continues to rise after breaking out of a rising wedge pattern on the weekly chart. It has now also broken through the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Next stop is Rectangle 1, where Bitcoin dominance is expected to reach 68% — and most likely, this will mark the top of dominance before it starts to drop, triggering a historic altcoin season.
Scenario 2:
Dominance keeps pushing higher toward Rectangle 2, potentially surpassing 70%. At that point, many altcoins may form new lows, and weak projects could get wiped out.
Fear in the market will hit extreme levels —
but that could signal the beginning of an altseason and the collapse of BTC dominance.
Best regards Ceciliones 🎯
BTCUSD: Reclaimed 100k after 3 months! Next wave to $190k.Bitcoin has turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 73.178, MACD = 2904.000, ADX = 30.769) as it reclaimed the $100,000 marke after exactly 3 months. This is a very structured bullish pattern that consists of a Bullish Wave that peaks and leads to a Megaphone consolidation, which in turn starts the next Bullish Wave. Both waves so far have been around +16.30%. As the 8H MA50 perfectly held Tuesday's low, the pattern has already started the new Bullish Wave, which technically aims for yet another +16.30% rally (TP = 109,000).
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-8 : EPP & Cradle Pattern UpdateThis video highlights why I continue to stay very cautious of this upward price move in the US markets.
It also highlights that the current trend is BULLISH - not BEARISH. When I post the videos in the morning, I've been selecting BEARISH as the general trend because I believe the markets are going to roll over into a breakdown phase. Until that happens, though, the markets are in a BULLISH price trend - attempting to possibly break above the current Ultimate High.
This is more of an instructional video - trying to show you why I continue to urge caution related to trends and why I belive we may have many months to go before the US markets really start to make a bigger "exit trend" type of move (exiting this broad consolidation range).
The other thing this video should teach you is how to identify EPP and Cradle patterns more efficiently and how to use them.
Ultimately, everything I share with all of you is designed to help you understand price as the ultimate indicator.
If you can grasp these concepts and understand how each phase of price structure presents opportunities, then you should be able to time and execute your trades very efficiently.
As I've stated in the videos, because of family medical issues over the past 60+ days, I've moved away from daytrading and gone back to a 2-5+ week swing trading style.
Simply put, I'm driving all over the place taking care of my family, seeing doctors, and other stuff - so I can't stare at my PC/Phone while the markets are open.
I'm also taking very low risk trades. If I decide to get into a trade, I'm usually avoiding the SPY/QQQ and selecting some SPDR sector (or other ETF) that allows me to play the move I expect without risking a fortune doing it.
Anyway, I hope you enjoy this video. I'll probably create one more after this video posts.
Get some.
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Bitcoin Bulls Aim for $102K – Breakout or Rejection Ahead?🚀📈 Bitcoin Bulls Aim for $102K – Breakout or Rejection Ahead? 🔍🧠
Good morning, good afternoon, or good evening — wherever you are in the world, Bitcoin is pumping, and that’s always a good sign for the bulls! 🐂
In my last BTC update, we anticipated a bounce from the key support zone around $93,600–$93,800, and price respected this level to the dot, rocketing upward just as expected. 🔥✅ That level acted as a strong springboard, and now BTC is climbing through a well-respected ascending channel on the 15-min chart.
📊 Key levels to watch:
Middle of the channel: ~$98,689
Top of the channel: ~$100,636
Psychological level: $100,000
Projected breakout target: $102,774 (60% probability 🚦)
Major resistance beyond: $113,000
However, there's always the alternate scenario: a 40% chance that we reject under $97,400, re-enter the lower end of the channel, and potentially drop toward $92,000 if that support fails. This would flip the bullish structure short-term — something to keep on your radar. ⚠️
This is a high-momentum situation, and I’ll be watching for confirmation of breakout or breakdown. Stay alert, keep your risk in check, and let the chart guide your trades. 📉📈
Let me know your thoughts in the comments — are we headed for $113K or due for a cooldown?
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BTC/USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical(BTC/USDT) analysis outlines a bullish outlook with key technical levels and scenarios. Here's a breakdown of the idea:
Key Observations:
1. Trend Break and CHoCH (Change of Character):
The chart shows a clear break of the downtrend, confirmed by the CHoCH label — a common Smart Money Concept (SMC) signal indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
2. Key Zones Highlighted:
EVC-Buying Zone: Around 86,000 – 88,000 (aligned with EMA 200), marked as a strong accumulation area.
New Support Level: Around 92,000 – 93,000, potentially forming a bullish support after the recent rally.
Resistance Levels: Two major resistance zones near:
99,600 (intermediate resistance and target)
106,400 (final target)
3. RSI Indicator:
RSI is near 64, indicating strong momentum but not yet overbought — a potential sign of further upside.
4. Two Bullish Scenarios:
Scenario 1 (Aggressive Bullish): BTC continues upward from the current level and breaks above resistance toward the 106,447 target.
Scenario 2 (Retracement Bullish): BTC dips to the new support or even into the buying zone (86–88k), then rebounds to reach the same targets.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Idea Summary:
The chart suggests bullish continuation, with potential pullbacks into strong demand zones. It supports both breakout and retracement entries, with targets at 99,632 and 106,447. If price holds above EMA 200 and RSI remains supportive, the upside thesis remains valid.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Testing the psychological level of $100,000BTCUSDT - bulls took the initiative, target 107 K
After exiting the 6-month descending wedge, the price held above 92 K and is moving in a new ascending channel.
📌 Levels
- S1 95-96 K - sloping channel support
- S2 90 K - base of April impulse
- R1 100 K - psychological barrier + February maximum
- R2 107-108 K - calculated wedge height target
📈 Scenario
Retest of S1/96 K confirms demand → consolidation above 100 K opens a move to 107 K; strong momentum may lead to a breakout to 112 K.
⚠️ Risks
A failure below 95 K would break the channel and bring price back to 90 → 85 K.
BITCOIN BULLISH TO $114,000 - $116,000 (UPDATE)In my Q1 2025 market breakdown report I said that BTC would drop down towards $78,000 which is exactly what happened. Then in my Q2 report, I said that Bitcoin would start recovering (Wave 4) & flying towards $116-$120,000 which is currently happening. Nice profits.
Call live in front of my investors🤝
Bitcoin – Price Hits $100KThe current price of Bitcoin has soared all the way, breaking the 100,000 mark. Thumzup, a listed company on the US stock market, has announced its plan to raise up to $500 million for its Bitcoin acquisition strategy. Metaplanet, a listed company in Japan, has once again spent $53.4 million to increase its holdings of 555 Bitcoins. In addition, New Hampshire has become the first state in the United States to pass the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act, authorizing the state's treasurer to hold Bitcoins in a regulated reserve structure. This has led some local governments to regard Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset with long-term value. The Federal Reserve has announced that it will maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.50%, which is in line with market expectations. Moreover, the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes imply that interest rates may start to be cut in July, and the market has reacted optimistically to this, to a certain extent, driving up the prices of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Trading Strategy:
sell@101500-102000
TP:97500-98000
BTC NEW UPDATE (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Bitcoin has not yet reached our zone, but it has formed a correction of the same degree as the previous ones and has also created a support area. The diametric pattern could potentially shift into a symmetrical one, and Bitcoin may even reach the 100K–105K zone.
We should keep a close eye on the 100K level for now, as it also serves as a psychological resistance.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Beyond The Plan Your Trade Videos - Trading Algos/ConfirmationMany of you follow my morning Plan Your Trade videos - and I thank you for your loyalty and dedication.
The Plan Your Trade videos are specifically deigned to highlight my SPY/GOLD Cycle Patterns and, over the course of the past 9+ months, I've started trying to teach all of you Fibonacci Price Theory and the concept of the Excess Phase Peak pattern (and Cradle Pattern).
My goal is to teach you to learn to understand price structures, setups, and actions as a way to try to advance your technical analysis/trading skills.
There are so many others out there trying to teach you to use indicators and other types of analysis to try to identify trading opportunities/setups. Some work, some don't.
Technical analysis using Indicators, Elliot Wave, or other forms of predictive analysis/AI are only about 50-75% accurate at best (IMO). Nothing is 100% perfect.
After 35+ years of trying to unlock the secrets of price action to devise a 100% accurate trading system, the closest I have come is a system that generates about 65-75% accuracy - but still manages to take some losses.
I do believe I can find that 100% accurate system (hopefully before I die). But the reality is it is almost impossible to accurately predict price movement 10-20+ days in advance with any degree of accuracy.
Over the past few weeks/months, we've seen the SPY/QQQ move through various stages/phases.
Over the past 4+ weeks I've been warning of the broad-consolidation phase that is currently setup on the SPY/QQQ. I believe this huge consolidation range is very dangerous for traders and that extreme volatility will create lots of risk/opportunities for those capable of trading within this range.
But, at the same time, failing to take advantage of tools to help traders hedge, daytrade, or otherwise balance allocation/risk levels is something I really don't talk about much.
I like to say "I do the research - you make all the trading decisions".
This video highlights some of my advanced algos and how I use them, in conjunction with the EPP and other patterns, to try to gauge market opportunities vs. risks.
Trust me. I've learned not to GO BIG on trades over the past 20+ years because I've blown up a few accounts trying to get greedy.
Right now, I focus on trying to be on the right side of trends (if possible) and to balance my portfolio in 10-20% increments.
For example, if I believe GOLD is going to move higher, I may start out with a 5-10% allocation into GLD or UGL (start small). If that trade works and Gold starts to make a move higher, I may try to add a bit more to that initial trade. If it doesn't work out, I may try to add a little bit more at a better entry price level - but I focus on not letting that trade occupy more than 15-20% of my total portfolio.
That way, if I take a loss on the trade, it is a small loss compared to the overall account capital.
If I take a 50% loss on a 20% allocation - that is only a 10% loss on the TOTAL ACCOUNT SIZE.
Get it?
So, the reason for this video is to show you how you can still use technical strategies/indicators to try to confirm you intraday trading and swing trading opportunities. I like to use the SuperTrend strategy on charts to identify general trending.
I'm urging you to consider my Plan Your Trade videos as "one component" of your skillset. You need to use your own skills/techniques/analysis to try to manage risks vs. opportunities as you continue to trade.
I highlight some of my algos because they become another "component" of my analysis when I'm trading. If I don't see broad market capitulation related to Daily trending - then I try to stay VERY CAUTIOUS. If I do see some capitulation within my algos suggesting the markets are starting to trend upward or downward, then I may try to take advantage of that opportunity.
Ideally, the process of trading is to use everything you like and can rely on to help confirm you decision-making. Then, fall back to a efficient trade allocation process that attempts to limit your risk level.
The biggest mistake I see people make is to go ALL IN or TOO HEAVY into a trade thinking they can't lose. Yes, you can lose. So can I.
That's why it is important to contain risks and protect capital at all times.
I'll try to create another video showing you how I use the SuperTrend indicator to help confirm some of my intraday analysis for trades.
Get Some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update : Finding Confirmation & MoreThis video will become the start of more advanced training videos to help all of you understand how to use your own skills/tools/resources to try to find the best opportunities.
As I state in the video, I will never tell you what to trade. EVER!
It is unethical and illegal. I'm not a broker or financial advisor.
I'm a software developer/trader and I like to try to unlock the secrets of the markets using price action and inference models (and more).
This video teaches you how to use my CRASH INDEX and the SuperTrend indicator as a way to develop better allocation and risk protection skills for your own trading.
Let's face it - trading is about developing a process to consistently GET PROFITS. It doesn't really matter if they are 10%, 20%, 30% or more. If you are able to consistently execute good trades and PULL PROFITS - you will grow your account- right?
So stop swinging for the fences. Learn to develop skills that keep you on the right side of these big trends.
It's not that hard.
In this video I try to teach you to use Daily, Weekly, 240 min, 120 min, 60 min, 10 min, and 5 min data using my Crash Index to help you learn to trade the SPY/QQQ.
The Crash Index is suited for the SPY/QQQ in most cases. There are instances where the Crash Index may reflect some type of counter-trend - so remember to use Fibonacci Price Theory on the underlying symbol (SPY or QQQ) as final confirmation.
And, remember to try to understand primary trending (longer-term trending) vs. short-term trending. If you are going to try to trade a "counter-trend" swing - cut your trade allocation down by 50-60% (or more). Counter-trend swings are usually going against the major/primary trend.
Anyway, watch this video once or twice. I hope it helps all of you understand and build your own skills to trade more efficiently.
The trick is to get it down to a process where you know how to allocate your capital and you know how to confirm/invalidate trade setups/triggers.
Once you get to that point - you turn into a trading machine. The only step of the process that is really difficult to handle/manage is the BOOK IT phase. If you book your profits early - you may feel bad about leaving profits out there you could have had. But, a PROFIT is a PROFIT.
And the goal of trading it to PROFIT more than you LOSE - right?
Get some.
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BTC Tests Key Resistance – Will $102K Give Way or Trigger a Drop⚔️📍 BTC Tests Key Resistance – Will $102K Give Way or Trigger a Drop? 💣📉
The BTC bulls have delivered 🔥 — pushing through the mid-channel resistance and now eyeing the psychological $100K milestone. This current structure remains extremely clean, moving inside a well-defined ascending channel on the 15-min chart.
🔹 Current structure highlights:
Midline support at $98,689
Lower boundary around $96,776
Resistance cluster at $100,001–$100,636
Key upside target: $102,774 (with a 60% confidence level)
Higher timeframe resistance potential: $113K
However, the market isn’t a one-way street. A breakdown below $97,400 shifts momentum bearish — triggering the 40% scenario where BTC could revisit the GETTEX:92K –$94K demand zone. 👀
🎯 This is a pivotal moment: Will BTC break and run to $102K+, or are we due for a cooling phase back toward macro support?
This chart is a playbook — stay tactical, stay sharp, and let structure lead the way. 📐⚡
Let’s see what the next 24–48 hours bring.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BITCOIN BULLISH TO $114,000 - $116,000 (UPDATE)In my Q1 2025 market breakdown report I said that BTC would drop down towards $78,000 which is exactly what happened. Then in my Q2 report, I said that Bitcoin would start recovering (Wave 4) & flying towards $116-$120,000 which is currently happening. Nice profits.
Call live in front of my investors🤝
BTCUSD – 30m Precision Entry from FVG & Fib Discount Zone🚀 BTCUSD BUY SETUP | May 8, 2025 | Smart Money Precision Execution
This 30-minute chart screams Smart Money accumulation with a golden entry aligned at the 70.5–78.6% Fib levels AND a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) just below.
Here’s the confluence breakdown you need to study:
🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES:
🟣 Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $97,800 and $98,550 – prime liquidity zone
📉 Deep Discount Entry at 70.5%–78.6% Fib retracement ($97,797 – $97,200)
🔁 Breaker Block + Internal BOS confirming upside intent
📈 Target: -27% Extension Zone around $100,920
✅ RR: 1:4+ with tight risk below swing low
🧠 Execution Strategy:
Enter near $97,797 – inside the FVG
SL: Below 100% Fib (~$96,800)
TP: -27% Fib (~$100,920) or scale partials at 0% / -10%
Break-even management once price closes above $99,500
📊 Setup Summary:
Timeframe: 30m
Bias: Bullish
Entry: FVG + Deep Discount
TP: -27% extension
SL: Below 100% Fib
RR: 1:4
Structure: Smart Money Reversal
💡 Chart Ninja Insight:
“Smart money enters where retail panic sells. The FVG is the highway—they’re just waiting to get on.”
OLD BUT GOLD! Warning BTC next recession!In the previous article [ BTC may slightly decrease before the next move ] we pointed out the risk volatility of BTC in the ~96k range. So far, the BTC price analysis is going quite well as expected (not 100% accurate):
- The price increased to touch 109k5 and formed a resistance zone.
- Then the price dropped sharply and locked the 96k zone and headed to key level the 70k zone but stop at 74k7.
- Next, price is recovering very well to the 97k zone
- Please note that the analysis is for reference only, the BTC price movement is similar to the image, but not 100% correct, the price move up and down through the zone while moving. This analysis is based on personal technical analysis, not investment advice! => please consider your skills before making a decision!
The main content of this article will be the current price movement after recovering to the 97k area. The price tends to increase, but the upward force is much weaker , currently the price has created a form of resistance at the 97k area. In my personal opinion, this weakness can reverse at any time => ending the recovery phase into a downtrend phase. If this analysis is correct, we will look at the price of the nearest important support zone at 83k (move 1), if this price cannot be maintained, the price may continue to decrease further to the 70k area (move 2).
Everyone wants the price to rise and make good profits, but from a technical analysis perspective, we need to be objective to avoid buying or increasing positions in risky areas or maybe buying more in cheaper areas. I am not a fortune teller, this analysis will be wrong when the price breaks the 97k resistance and increases further. Trade safe!
The key support and resistance levels in this article are used from the BBND script.