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1-BTCUSD

BTC Bitcoin update 26 FEB 2025Memes sucked up all the liquidity. At some point, a lot of crypto experts started screaming left and right that memes are mass adoption and a narrative for the future bull. I've always said to be careful. That 99.98% of memes are casino, nothing more. I've had many people start proving otherwise, but when I blow the question that stumps everyone, “If the token has no utility and no product, who will need to buy it when the buyer runs out? What happens to the token when the early investors start coming out ?” There is almost no one with a sensible answer to this. Believe that everyone will hold the token, no one will lock in profits, and there will be an endless buyer. To the question of whether you can make money? Yes, you can. Statistics show that 7% are on the plus side, and 93% of holders are on the minus side. Are you sure you will not be that last buyer? Today, I read an article about how one popular, successful influencer lost 700k in 3 weeks. One by one : TRUMP after Melania Then crypto futures Ludomania. After the apartment sale. And lastly, LIBRA. 0 result, minus health, morals, and several years of life due to stress. There are a lot of beautiful messages now that so-and-so wallet made so much on memes, so-and-so wallet made so much. Newcomers do not want to invest in fundamental projects; they want to get rich. As a result, they get into risky stories and lose their deposit completely. Are there many among your acquaintances who have made good money on memes for their entire portfolio? I emphasize, on the whole portfolio of memes, and not once or twice catching the kush, which safely lost on the next bets? There was leveraged futures trading that zeroed out newbies with no experience, now memes. The alt season is a bit delayed because if you analyze the wallets, liquidity flows to the 1% of crypto people. And regular fundamental alts are not growing as there is trivially no buyer right now. As I said earlier, when Bitcoin hits 120-140k. 130-150k, there will be massive profit taking, and more institutional capital will come in. Many people will start to move, and that's where the fundamentals will be bought up, which will cause the emergence of new retail on the crypto market. But there's something else that needs to happen here. The masses must be disappointed in memes and lose even more money so that the “new money” will go to the fundamental projects and not to phantoms. Can I make money from memes? Yes, you can. But remember, you are not an investor here; you are just playing in a crypto casino. Want more? Everything is in the link below the chart Best Regards EXCAVO
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by EXCAVO
28
BITCOIN Is the correction over??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) completed yesterday a -21.14% decline from its January All Time High (ATH). This move made new 3-month lows for the market and naturally accelerated the fears of a Cycle peak and the start of a new Bear Market. Zooming out to the larger time-frames however, we can see that the trend remains heavily bullish within this Bull Cycle's dominant pattern, the Channel Up since August 2021. In fact the current -21.14% pull-back is identical with the Minor Correction Phase (orange) the pattern had during July - September 2023. The similarities don't stop there. That Minor Correction bottomed a little before touching the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. The 0.382 Fib on the current Phase is at $81000, while the 1W MA50 is a little lower. The 1D RSI however has already breached the oversold barrier (<30.00) as on the August 14 2023 Low. That wasn't the only time the 1D RSI tested the oversold barrier. The last time it was on the week of July 01 2024, during another pull-back, this time the Major Correction Phase. That was considerably longer and stronger (-33.28%), which did hit the 1W MA50 in order to bottom, and as you can see it hasn't been the only major pull-back of the Channel Up. The other Major Correction Phase was at the start of the pattern (Aug - Nov 2022), which measured a -38.47% decline. As you see, there is a high degree of symmetry among Major and Minor Correction Phases, so there is a high probability that BTC has now bottomed on its new Minor Correction Phase. If not, a bottom level candidate will be waiting a little above $81k and the 0.382 Fib. The minimum rally following a correction bottom has been +95.95%, so if BTC repeats that from yesterday's Low, we are looking at a new Higher High exactly at the top of the Channel Up at $169000. So do you think we've see the bottom on this technical correction or we are due some more towards $81k before rebounding? And if so, are you expecting a final rally towards $169k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
7
BTC Weekly Analysis (1W)First and foremost, keep in mind that this is a weekly analysis, and along the way, Bitcoin may experience upward bounces from daily or hourly support levels. From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, Bitcoin started forming a diametric pattern, and with the recent drop, the bullish scenario has strengthened, canceling Bitcoin’s previous triangle formation. The price has now entered wave F. The green zone is where wave F could potentially complete. June is the month when this corrective wave (wave F) is expected to end. Wave G is a bullish wave, and its target could be the red zone. A weekly candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this outlook and analysis For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
2
BTC – History Doesn’t Repeat, but It Sure RhymesBINANCE:BTCUSD Revisiting past market structures, it’s striking how Bitcoin’s price action in early 2025 resembles the patterns seen in early 2024. The comparison between the two charts suggests a clear fractal—an almost identical deviation above the range highs, followed by a liquidation event under the range lows before a reversal. In early 2024, Bitcoin’s price deviated above the established range, trapping breakout traders before swiftly rejecting and flushing out liquidity below the range lows. That deviation marked the absolute bottom before a strong recovery, as the market left behind those who were waiting for even lower prices. www.tradingview.com Now, in early 2025, we're witnessing an eerily similar setup: 🔹 A deviation above resistance that lured in late longs, followed by a sharp drop below support. 🔹 A liquidity flush below the range lows, where overleveraged longs are shaken out. 🔹 Sentiment has shifted bearish again, with traders now expecting $70-75K just as they anticipated $35-31K last year. While I won’t completely rule out lower prices, I find it unlikely that Bitcoin will drop as deep as many expect. The fractal suggests that we may already be near the bottom, setting up for a reversal. This is why I’ve been scaling out of my protective shorts and accumulating spot positions. As always, patience is key—market reversals happen when the majority least expect them. Keep an eye on confluences, stay sharp, and don’t get left behind.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by truepersonal
1
NAS100 at Critical SupportNAS100 is currently trading at 21,150, having completed a falling wedge breakout and now holding at a key support level. The falling wedge is typically a bullish pattern, but in this case, price action suggests a crucial test of support. If this level fails to hold, NAS100 could see significant downside momentum, potentially targeting the 19,000 level. Technically, a breakdown below this support could confirm a bearish continuation, triggering a strong sell-off. Traders should watch for increased selling pressure and a sustained move below the support zone, which could accelerate bearish momentum. If the support holds, however, NAS100 could attempt a recovery, making this a decisive level to monitor. Fundamentally, NAS100 remains under pressure due to concerns over Federal Reserve policy, interest rate expectations, and broader market sentiment. Any signs of prolonged high rates or weak earnings from major tech companies could fuel further downside pressure. Additionally, rising bond yields and a stronger US dollar may continue to weigh on the index. In summary, NAS100 is at a critical support level after a falling wedge breakout, with the potential for a sharp drop if the support breaks. Traders should closely monitor price action, volume, and macroeconomic developments to confirm the next move. A break below this level could open the door for further downside toward 19,000.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-27: Weekday FLUSH PatternToday's Weekday FLUSH pattern is similar to a CRUSH pattern. It usually represents a very wide-range price bar with the potential for a big breakdown or breakaway type of price action. Given yesterday's fairly wide price action and the NVDA earnings last night - I would not be surprised to see quite a bit of profit-taking in early trading, leading to an initial downward price trend, then moving into a basing/bottoming phase after 12-1PM ET. In other words, a fairly large DIP/Sell-off leading to a base/bottom, then flipping bullish through the end of the day today. Overall, I believe the SPY/QQQ will continue to try to push higher in the Excess Phase Peak pattern - reaching a peak between March 5-10 (only about 5-7+ trading days away). Thus, we don't have a big rally ahead of us - only about 3-5+ days of a fairly strong rally over the next 5-10 trading days. Now that the selling pressure has abated, metals should be forming a base or bottom. Get ready for an explosive move higher. BTCUSD has broken downward and is not in the larger consolidation phase. This phase will likely continue for at least 2+ weeks before we attempt to move into the search for the Ultimate Low (likely below $75k). Buckle up. Things are about to get very interesting. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
86K is holdingBitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $87,180, hovering near a key support level at $86,050.99. The price recently broke down from a rising wedge pattern, a bearish setup that often hints at further declines. That said, if buyers defend the $86,050.99 support, we could see a bounce toward the 50-hour moving average (MA) around $88,519, with a potential stretch to the next resistance at $96,177.18. On the flip side, a break below $86,050.99 with solid volume might send BTC tumbling toward $84,000. These levels are your guideposts... support acts like a floor, while resistance is the ceiling where price often reacts. Technical indicators are tilting bearish but leave room for a shift. The RSI sits at 39.17, below the neutral 50 mark, showing momentum is soft. The MACD has a bearish crossover in play, pointing to downside pressure. However, BTC is playing with the 50-hour MA, and a strong move above it could turn things bullish. Volume’s holding steady, watch for a spike to confirm any breakout or breakdown. A rebound with rising volume and an RSI above 50 could signal strength, while heavier selling volume would lock in the bearish vibe. Market sentiment feels cautious, with BTC stuck in a consolidation range between $86,000 and $96,000 lately. External factors like ETF approvals or regulatory news could jolt the market either way, good news might fuel a rally, bad news could deepen the dip. Set alerts at $86,050.99 and $96,177.18 to stay on top of it, and keep an eye on volume for confirmation. Volatility’s up, so protect your trades: use stop-losses below $86,050.99 if you’re long, or above $96,177.18 if you’re short. Wait for the market to tip its hand before jumping in.
by MonoCoinSignal
3
What Would Happen to Bitcoin if Stocks Crash?I have read different speculations on what might happen to the price of Bitcoin if the stock market were to crash. I am going to answer this using statistics, correlations, and examples of events from market history. This post will not speculate on the current nor future price movements of Bitcoin and Stocks; only their connection. I will be using the Tradingview Bitcoin Index INDEX:BTCUSD and the S&P500 Index ETF AMEX:SPY What is a "Crash?" I use a common definition of a stock market "crash" as a short or long duration decline of -30% or more. I distinguish this from "correction" which I define as a -5% to -10% movement. I'll look at the true crashes but also include significant corrections for comparison. Time Range I chose the time range from 2014 to present for this study. Bitcoin did not reach a comparable level of maturity nor public awareness until after the 2013 bull cycle. Also the 2013 Stock Market was ridiculously bullish. How Often Do Bad Weeks Line Up? I took particularly down weeks for Stocks, -2.5% or more, and compared them to the same week for Bitcoin. 2 out of 3 Weeks where the stock market was down big... Bitcoin was down big. Furthermore, the average magnitude of Bitcoin's down move was more than twice that of Stocks. How Correlated is Bitcoin to Stocks? The Correlation Coefficient measure the way in which two instruments move together. A value 1.0 means that they move identically up and down while a value of -1.0 means they move exactly opposite. The correlation of Bitcoin to Stocks varies from week to week. However, Bitcoin is far more often and to a greater degree positively correlated to Stocks. At the extreme Bitcoin is more highly correlated to Stocks than it is ever negatively correlated (0.93 versus -0.76) Bitcoin is move often positively correlated to stocks. 75% of weeks Bitcoin and Stocks are positively correlated 0.70 is considered "high correlation" and 33% of weeks exhibit high correlation On the contrary, less than 2% of weeks are ever highly negatively correlated Historical Crashes Now we will go into some narratives around historic events surrounding large down moves in Stocks and how Bitcoin reacted. 2021 2021 was a bad year for both Stocks and Bitcoin. The decline of Bitcoin began prior to the then All Time High of Stocks but both decidedly went through a bear market together. Of note; while Stocks declined -27.47% from the high to low over that same period Bitcoin declined -61.83%. COVID COVID was a major but short "risk-off" event in both markets. Stocks declined -35.45% from prior high to subsequent low and Bitcoin declined -63.09% from its respective high and low. 2018 Going back further in time we can look a less severe Stocks declines in 2018. The 2018 market narrative was dominated by rate decisions with the Fed raising rates 4 times that year. The initial correction at the beginning of the year happened within Bitcoin's decline from its 2017 All Time High. Within this context while Stocks gave up -11.76% Bitcoin fell by more than half. Later in the year as Bitcoin began to trade in a very tight range Stocks had a -20.47% decline. While the two did not coincide in their start times it is within the context of the longer Stocks crash that Bitcoin broke lower for another -53.62% Conclusion and Analysis I want to note here that Bitcoin was created AFTER "the big one" of 2008. There has never in Bitcoin's history been a true multi-year bear market for Stocks to compare. However, we have ample evidence to suggest that given a crash in Stocks it is a near certainty that Bitcoin will decline as well to a magnitude of double or more. This happens because the market as a whole views Bitcoin as a risk asset with much higher volatility than Stocks as a whole. When there is ample liquidity and positive sentiment they both perform well. When liquidity is constrained and there is negative sentiment they both perform poorly. Liquidity and speculation are what drive them both. This connection has not changed in recent times and has likely increased due to the introduction of the Bitcoin ETF and publicly traded companies exposing their share prices to the volatility of Bitcoin. Trade wisely.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by norok
BTC is still bearish (1D)A resistance flip zone has formed on the chart, we have a bearish CH, and a supply zone has been created. The common area of the supply and flip zones is a low-risk region for another Bitcoin short. With these bearish signs, Bitcoin is expected to at least reach the green zone. A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
1
LTC Litecoin Fireworks Are About To Start ETFs Loading UpHello my friends, Im sorry for not being here for a while, my life was very busy over the past year. Im hoping now that things are settled down I can do these charts again regularly. That aside lets get into Litecoin. Litecoin has been outperforming almost the entire market lately moving from 25th position on Coinmarketcap to now 12th position over the course of just a couple months or so. Litecoin is showing big time strength over all the others. Every day its holding onto more and more of its gains while others are making new lows or lower highs. We are at the apex now. Litecoin must break over $147 and close that candle on at least the 2 day to be confirmed. Once that happens I don't think there will be many pullbacks from there and if there are they will short lived. The ETFs for Litecoin are really gaining steam. Charlie Lee did an interview back in I believe it was December with The Litecoin Forecast YouTube channel and Charlie was saying that if anyone had large amounts of Litecoin and wanted to help seed the Canary ETF to contact him directly. The ETF is coming 100% there is no question about that. Once these ETFs get approved Litecoin has such an illiquid supply the price of Litecoin will skyrocket so fast and so high it'll leave everyone in disbelief and with their mouths dropped. Miner reserves are at an all time low, so no serious dumping or resistance levels along the way like previous runs. People and institutional buyers are realizing that Litecoin is the second Bitcoin. they realize that Litecoin is THE Altcoin and the rest are just clones, copies and junk. The fact that Litecoin is te most used crypto worldwide and has been for a long time shows that the PEOPLE chose Litecoin over all those other chains to transact in, even over Bitcoin. People are realizing that Litecoin is the better Bitcoin and was made to be that way. There is no denying that Litecoin is the chosen crypto, its provable with on-chain metrics! No hype, no advertising, nothing just pure organic adoption. Thats what make a winner in this space. We dont need a tweet from Elon or constant promises and upgrades to keep Litecoin relevant. Litecoin will move to the #2 spot under Bitcoin. Once this move starts and Litecoin starts going parabolic you will see the pump chasers and fomo rotating out of the already extremely overvalued trash they bought the top in to get into Litecoin. All the non believers, all the haters, all the wounded who sold angrily, everyone will pile into Litecoin. You will hear a lot of language especially from the haters saying that its just a pump and dump along the way. Eventually they will all change their tune when Litecoin continues to rise and rise and rise and wont stop. Dont be fooled and dont sell early, Litecoin is going to shock the entire world and thats not being dramatic. It will be on every news channel. Big institutions will be talking about it. Blackrock will get in along with all his buddies. Its coming I promise that. I had made my previous predictions not really knowing what the catalyst would be other than the charts and some on-chain data. Now I know why Litecoin will make that move I was predicting. The ETFs are going to bring in a flood of money like no one has see before and the world will realize that Litecoin is Bitcoin #2. The ones who missed Bitcoin at $1000 are going to flood into Litecoin for their chance to get the second faster Bitcoin. I know I was wrong on the timing of the last predictions I made thinking that maybe it could have happened in 2024. I didnt expect the market to be this drawn out, I dont think anyone did. It is different this time despite what everyone else says. The cycles are getting longer and longer as more and more people enter the space. There isnt a huge rotation from Bitcoin into Alts anymore because now the ETFs are locking it up. No more Alt seasons like we were used to . I believe that my chart showing 13K for Litecoin is just the beginning. Litecoin will be worth 1/4 of Bitcoin in the future. I dont want to say that Litecoin could overtake Bitcoin but it might you never know this market is wild. Litecoin in these next few years and over the course of a couple cycles within this larger cycle we could see Litecoin at $50k each. Once all the money drains out of the overhyped and overacalued trash thats currently out there, they will eventually move into Bitcoin, and Litecoin. Maybe a couple others that are competing for the smart contract side of things but as far as Cryptocurrencies go Litecoin and Bitcoin are the only two that will remain relevant. The rest are just projects and platforms and wanna be Cryptocurrencies all the way down the line. Litecoin is about to create so many millionaires in such a short period of time its going blow everyone's mind. Eventually Litecoin network will be so busy because of real world use, it'll have to stop mining Doge which is just a leech off the network. Miners wont waste energy on that. Doge will eventually move back down to where it came from. XRP holders will eventually realize that they have been duped into keeping the rich lifestyles of the Ripple team going for so many years on just hype. The meme coins are losing interest. All those holders are going to lose everything, literally. I cant believe how many have their entire investment in these silly Fartcoin, Titcoin and all the other ridiculous coins with zero value. They were fun to make quick money on but they are no longer as profitable and the risk is way higher than the reward now. Frogs, Dogs, Cats, Squirrels all are going to die and go to zero. The crypto market will be wrangled and only the strong will survive. All that capital will flood out of the trash and there will be a mad dash for actually utility. In the Dot com boom there were so many internet companies it was crazy but at the end of it only a few strong ones survived and thrived and became the powerhouses that we see today. Thats exactly what I see for the cryptospace. Litecoin holders will soon be vindicated! None of this is financial advice, this is just my opinion.
KRAKEN:LTCUSDLong
by Bitgolder
19
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Afternoon Update For 2-26-25Please take a moment to watch this video, in which I share my techniques and highlight what I believe will be the next setup phase for the SPY/QQQ, Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin. It looks like the selling pressure is nearly over, and I think the shift to a moderate recovery rally could set up over the next 24-48 hours. It could be a good setup for skilled traders. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:GC1!Long
by BradMatheny
A bit of Hopium - FTX payouts tomorrow. What's next for the mark8 months to the assumed end of the cycle. ETFs and everything else are already priced in. However, incoming money flows are not yet factored into the price of the cryptocurrency market. This creates a unique opportunity for those who can anticipate where liquidity will flow next. I think you all have noticed that capital/liquidity from Bitcoin is not moving into altcoins — at least not yet. Bitcoin remains the "safe haven" for institutional investors, while altcoins remain underappreciated. But if ETFs for altcoins are approved, it will be a very different situation. The floodgates could open, and we might see unprecedented inflows into projects like Ethereum, Cardano, and even meme coins like Dogecoin. FTX payouts are on February 18 — that's tomorrow. This event is critical. Many creditors have been waiting for years to recover their funds. With Ethereum staking ETFs potentially approved in the second quarter, this could coincide with the next FTX payouts, creating a perfect storm of liquidity entering the market. Let’s remember the 2020 FTX debt buybacks at $0.3 per dollar, then $0.4, and the last one I heard was at $0.8 per dollar. Someone had a lot of confidence that payouts would be made. And where do you think the $10–15 billion of capital will go? Most likely to altcoins, because Samuel Bankman-Fried was the king of altcoins. There is an assumption that if something triggers the printing press or quantitative easing, but nobody believes in that now. Central banks are tightening monetary policy, and inflation is slowly coming under control. However, the crypto market operates differently. It thrives on speculation, innovation, and adoption. All of the top altcoins will be priced significantly higher as new narratives emerge. The challenge is to hold our portfolios! Volatility is inevitable, but patience will pay off. If there is a correction in early March, here are the projects with potential ETFs: ETH staking LTC ADA DOGE XLM XRP HBAR This is in case there is a drop in March. Corrections are healthy for the market, allowing new buyers to enter at lower prices. Spring can turn positive very quickly. The best scenario is a green close of the February candle — momentum on Bitcoin. If BTC holds above key support levels, we could see a bullish Q2. In the second half of March, we need to get in what we didn’t manage to get in the market, in case there is no drop in early March. Timing is crucial, but so is preparation. Additional Catalysts to Watch For: There are many catalysts that I don’t write about, but they could happen: Introduction of Basic Income Unexpected ETF bids: Regulatory approvals often come faster than expected. Countries building reserves of BTC or other altcoins : Nations like El Salvador have already started adopting Bitcoin. Others may follow suit, especially as geopolitical tensions rise. It’s going to be a super positive year. Stay positive. The future is very clear, but for some reason, a lot of people are losing faith. Prices go up — I’m sure of this scenario. Prices go down — I’m sure of this scenario. There’s no point in making a fuss when you know what’s ahead. I don’t know why people lose faith in their beliefs in the moment. In a market like this, when it’s suddenly not obvious, it’s because you’re competing with a completely different category of players. Believing in your beliefs will be an advantage in this market, especially for people who are not big capital. Stay strong and focused. Best regards EXCAVO
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EXCAVO
13
Bitcoin Update: Critical Support & Elliott Wave Levels To WatchBitcoin here is the thing... 1. For now drop is not impulsive, so can be correction 2. 4th wave pullbacks will ideally stabilize near 50/38.2%. Just testing the important zone 77k-85k 3. Old high and unfilled gap are crucial to cause a bounce, otherwise the major high is in 4. You don't want to see this fourth wave breaking the lowest base channel line, otherwise top is in. 5. Bullish resumption for wave 5 when/if 93700 overlaps 6. This market wont go up unless risk-on is back GH
CME:BTC1!
by ew-forecast
BTCUSD Bearish Breakdown – Key Support in Focus!BTCUSD Analysis – February 27, 2025 Bitcoin Sentiment Hits 2022 Lows as Fear & Greed Index Falls to 10 📉 Bearish Momentum Persists Below Key Resistance Bitcoin continues its bearish movement after failing to hold above 91,586 and breaking below the key resistance zone. The price is now consolidating around 86,168, with potential for further downside. Technical Outlook 🔻 Bearish Scenario: BTC is trading below key resistance, with rejection expected near the descending trendline around 91,586. If the price remains below 86230, further bearish momentum could push BTC toward 76,681, with a breakdown leading to 72,600 as the next support level. 📈 Bullish Reversal: A breakout and 4H candle close above 91,586 would indicate a potential trend reversal. Stability above this level could trigger a push toward 96,000, but BTC must break the descending trendline for confirmation. ⚠️ Market Sentiment & Impact: Increased volatility due to economic uncertainty and investor concerns about liquidity. The broader macroeconomic environment and risk-off sentiment are keeping BTC under pressure. Key Levels to Watch 🔸 Resistance: 91,586 | 96,000 | 100,000 🔹 Pivot Zone: 87,200 🔻 Support: 82,500 | 76,681 | 72,600 📉 Directional Bias: Bearish below 91,586 – A rejection from this level would accelerate downside momentum. Previous idea:
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by SroshMayi