BTC Weekly Chart Update📉 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Weekly Chart Update
It looks like a double top pattern is clearly forming on the BTC weekly chart — and honestly, doesn't it remind you of a similar structure we’ve seen before? 👀
Patterns like these often signal potential trend reversals, so this is definitely a chart to watch closely.
Do you see the similarity with the previous one? Let me know your thoughts in the comments 👇
🔴 Bearish scenario could continue unless we break above key resistance.
1-BTCUSD
PEPE/USDT:FREE SIGNALHello dear friends
Given the price drop we had in the specified support range, a double bottom pattern has formed, indicating the entry of buyers.
Now, given the good support of buyers for the price, we can buy in steps with capital and risk management and move to the specified targets.
*Trade safely with us*
ETH/USDT:UPDATEHello dear friends
Given the price drop we had, a head and shoulders pattern has formed within the specified support range, indicating the entry of buyers.
Now, given the good support of buyers for the price, we can buy in steps with capital and risk management and move towards the specified targets.
*Trade safely with us*
DOGE/USDT:BUY...Hello dear friends
Given the price drop we had in the specified support range, considering the price growth indicates the entry of buyers.
Now, given the good support of buyers for the price, we can buy in steps with capital and risk management and move towards the specified goals.
*Trade safely with us*
SEI/USDT:BUY LIMITHello dear friends
Given the price drop we had in the specified support range, the price has been able to create higher ceilings and floors.
Now, given the good support of buyers for the price, we can buy in steps with capital and risk management and move towards the specified goals.
*Trade safely with us*
BITCOIN Do you really want to miss this rally???Bitcoin / BTCUSD remains supported by the 1week MA50 just like it has been through the whole 2020/21 period after the COVID crash.
In spite of the massive bearish pressure of the polical developments (tariffs), the fact that the market is holding the 1week MA50, means that it is respective Bitcoin's Cycles.
In fact this is like the May-June 2021 accumulation on the 1week MA50, following the first Bitcoin Top of April 2021.
Similarly, we've had a peak formation in December 2024- January 2025 and the market corrected.
In addition to that, the 1week RSI is testing the 42.00, which isn't just where the August 2024 and September 2023 bottoms were priced, but more importantly the June 2021 one.
The symmetry between the last two Cycles is uncanny, both trading inside the long term Channel Up, with identical Bear Cycle and (so far) Bull Cycle ranges.
If all ends up repeating themselves, expect a value of at least $160000 by September.
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BITCOIN RISKY LONG|
✅BITCOIN fell down sharply
But a strong support level was hit at 81,200$
Thus as a rebound is already happening
A move up towards the target of 82,800$ shall follow
LONG🚀
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Navigating BTC Volatility Storm: Buy, Hold, or Flee?Bitcoin's recent price action has been reminiscent of a rollercoaster, leaving investors grappling with a whirlwind of conflicting signals. From sharp drops mirroring stock market turmoil to the looming "death cross," the cryptocurrency's trajectory is shrouded in uncertainty. Is this a prime buying opportunity, a warning to retreat, or simply another bout of the volatility that defines Bitcoin?
The past few days have been a stark reminder of Bitcoin's inherent volatility. Reports of an 8% drop, coupled with the US stock market shedding $2 trillion in value, sent ripples through the crypto sphere. The catalyst? Concerns surrounding potential US tariffs and their impact on the global economic outlook. This sudden shift in market sentiment triggered a sell-off, reminiscent of the COVID-19 crash in 2020, during which Bitcoin’s pre-pandemic gains evaporated.
Adding to the unease is the looming "death cross," a technical indicator that occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average. Historically, this pattern has signaled bearish momentum. The 2022 death cross, for example, precipitated a significant price drop of nearly 20%. Conversely, "golden crosses," where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average, have historically signaled bullish momentum, triggering rallies of over 500% in 2020 and 2021.
Currently, Bitcoin's 50-day moving average is edging closer to this critical crossover, prompting widespread speculation. Is this a repeat of 2022, or will the market defy historical patterns? The answer, as always, is complex and contingent on a confluence of factors.
One significant factor is the strength of the US dollar. While the dollar's strength can often negatively impact Bitcoin, the current increase in the money supply could potentially counteract this effect, creating a bullish flag pattern. The dollar's inflation may become a catalyst for Bitcoin as a store of value. The global market dynamics are currently shrouded in uncertainty, making it difficult to predict the long-term impact of these factors.
The recent price drops have pushed Bitcoin towards the $80,000 mark, with some analysts predicting a potential fall to $71,000. However, this level could also represent a "sizeable bounce," acting as a strong support zone for Bitcoin. The concept of an "oversold bounce" also comes into play. After a period of intense selling pressure, markets often experience a relief rally as traders capitalize on discounted prices. Whether this materializes remains to be seen.
Is it a Good Time to Buy Bitcoin?
The decision to buy, hold, or sell Bitcoin depends on an individual's risk tolerance, investment strategy, and understanding of the market. Here's a breakdown to consider:
• For the Long-Term Investor:
o Bitcoin's long-term potential remains a compelling narrative. Its decentralized nature, limited supply, and growing adoption continue to attract institutional and retail investors.
o Price volatility is an inherent part of the Bitcoin journey. Historically, periods of sharp declines have been followed by significant rallies.
o Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) can mitigate the impact of volatility by investing a fixed amount at regular intervals, regardless of the price.1
o The strength of the US dollar may become a catalyst for Bitcoin as a store of value.
• For the Short-Term Trader:
o The current volatility presents opportunities for skilled traders to profit from price swings.
o Technical analysis, including monitoring moving averages and support/resistance levels, is crucial for identifying potential entry and exit points.
o However, short-term trading is inherently risky and requires a deep understanding of market dynamics.
o The "death cross" should be monitored carefully.
• For the Cautious Investor:
o The current market uncertainty may warrant a more conservative approach.
o Diversifying investments across different asset classes can help mitigate risk.
o Staying informed about market developments and avoiding emotional trading decisions is essential.
The Death Cross: A Warning or a False Alarm?
The "death cross" is a significant technical indicator, but it's not a foolproof predictor of future price action. Historical data show that while it can signal bearish trends, it's not always accurate. Market conditions, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic factors can all influence Bitcoin's trajectory.
Ultimately, the Bitcoin market remains highly speculative. The current volatility, driven by a confluence of factors, underscores the importance of careful research, risk management, and a long-term perspective. While the "death cross" and market fluctuations may cause short-term panic, the long-term potential of bitcoin, and it's reaction to the weakening dollar, may still produce long-term gains.
DXY to 80? ...Tariffs the First Domino in a Multi-Year Collapse?This is a pure technical walkthrough of the U.S. Dollar Index—no fluff, no indicators, no fundamentals. Just market structure, smart money, and liquidity concepts.
Back on January 14th , I posted about a potential 20%+ drop in the DXY — you can view it here . This video builds on that thesis and walks you through the full technical story from 1986 to today , including accumulation cycles, yearly trap zones, and my long-term target of 80. Am I crazy? Maybe. Let's see if I can convince you to be crazy too 😜
There is a video breakdown above, and a written breakdown below.
Here are timestamps if you want to jump around the video:
00:00 – The Case for $80: Not as Crazy as It Sounds
02:30 – The 0.786 Curse: Why the Dollar Keeps Faking Out
06:15 – How Smart Money Really Moves: The 4-Phase Playbook
12:30 – The Trap Is Set: Yearly Highs as Liquidity Bait
20:00 – Inside the Mind of the Market: 2010–2025 Unpacked
25:00 – The Bear Channel No One’s Talking About
36:00 – The First Domino: Is the Dollar’s Slide Just Beginning?
👇 If you're a visual learner, scroll down—each chart tells part of the story.
Chart: Monthly View – Three Highs, .786 Retraces, and Trendline Breaks
History doesn’t repeat, but it sure rhymes.
Each major DXY rally has formed a sequence of three swing highs right after a break of trendline structure. In both instances, price retraced to the .786 level on the yearly closes—an often overlooked fib level that institutional players respect.
We’re now sitting at a high again. You’ll notice price has already reversed from that zone. That doesn’t guarantee a collapse, but when we line it up with other confluences (next charts), the probability of a deeper markdown becomes hard to ignore.
I'd also like to note that all of the highlighted moves, are 2-3 year trend runs. Which means if we are bearish, this could be the exact start of a 2-3 bear market.
Market Phases Since 1986
This chart illustrates how DXY has moved through repeating cycles of:
🟡 Accumulation: Smart money building positions quietly.
🔵 Markup: Price accelerates with buy orders + media hype.
🟣 Distribution: Smart money sells to latecomers.
🔴 Markdown: Public panic → smart money reloads.
If we are indeed entering another markdown phase, this would align perfectly with the pattern seen over the past 40 years.
You’ll also notice the "Point of Control" (POC) zones—volume-based magnets that price often returns to. These spots often act as the origin of the move, and as such, they make for strong targets and areas of interest.
Liquidity Zones and Stop Loss Traps
This is where it gets juicy.
The majority of breakout traders placed long entries at the blue lines—above swing highs, thinking resistance was broken. But what’s under those highs? Stop loss clusters.
Institutions use these areas as liquidity harvests.
Several key levels are marked as “OPEN” in this chart, meaning price has yet to return to sweep those orders. That’s why I’m expecting price to begin seeking out that liquidity over the coming months.
There's also an imbalance gap (thin price action) around the 85–86 zone. If price falls into that trap door, there’s nothing to stop it until the 80s.
The 2025 Outlook
Here’s how I’m approaching this year:
✅ Bearish bias under 105
🎯 Targets at 100, 95, and 90
🚪 Trap door under 86 if volume is thin
Price is currently stuck under the recent point of control and showing signs of distribution. If that level continues to hold as resistance, we could see a multi-leg push downward, with the 100 and 95 zones acting as check-in points.
If we break under the 90s and enter the imbalance zone, 80 becomes more than just possible—it becomes probable.
🗣️ Let’s Sharpen Together
Do you see this unfolding the same way?
Do you disagree with the 80 target?
Drop a comment with your view or share your own markup—this is why we trade!
Stay safe,
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
This post is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal analysis and opinions. It is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research, manage your risk appropriately, and never trade money you can’t afford to lose.
Bitcoin (BTC) on 4-hour timeframe. Current Price: Bitcoin is currently trading around $81,830.
Trend Line: There is a downward trend line indicating bearish sentiment over the observed period.
Support Level: There is a green support area around $78,424 to $80,000. Bitcoin needs to stay above this level to avoid further declines.
Recent Activity: After the decline, Bitcoin has attempted to stabilize near the support but has not made any significant upward move.
Considerations
If the price breaks below the support area, the bearish trend may continue.
Conversely, if Bitcoin breaks above the trend line, it may signal a reversal and potential upward movement.
Feel free to ask for further analysis or specific technical indicators!
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
HolderStat | BTC daily digestBitcoin price today ~ FWB:83K (-5% 24h). BTC futures open interest down ~7%, funding +0.006% 📉
Wider market 🌐: Altcoins fell too (ETH -6%, SOL -12%). Sentiment is split – some shout #BuyTheDip, others urge caution.
📰 CoinDesk: Tariff news spooked crypto markets, fueling BTC’s drop. Meanwhile, whales (big holders) bought this dip 🐳 – a bullish sign.
🔍 Analysis: Traders remain cautious, but whale dip-buying shows big players bullish. Expect crypto bulls 🐂 and bears 🐻 to battle it out for now.
_____________________
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BTCUSD: 1D Death Cross can push it to $150k by August.Bitcoin turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.071, MACD = -1375.000, ADX = 26.965) showcasing the high volatility that yesterday's tariffs announcement inflicted. 1W remains marginally neutral though (RSI = 45.519), highlighting the long term buy opportunity the current levels present.
The market is about to form the first 1D Death Cross, which occurs when the 1D MA50 crosses under the 1D MA200, since August 9th 2024. Even though that's technically a bearish formation, it has worked only as a bottom market during the current Bull Cycle. Both the Aug 9th 2024 and September 11th 2023 1D Death Crosses were formed exactly when BTC bottomed. In symmetric fashion the first two were formed 150 days after the previous high and rose by at least +96.86% by the 1.786 Time Fibonacci extension. Also both bottoms held the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
This time the 1D Death Cross will be formed approximately 109 days after the previous high, which means that this phase is more aggressive than the others and may equally be more aggresive on the bullish wave too. Still, if it 'just' repeats the previous ones, we estimate to reach $150,000 by this August.
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BTC SHORT TP:79,700 02-03-2025Bitcoin is currently displaying a bearish pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, suggesting a continuation of the downward momentum. The projected take profit (TP) for this setup is targeting the 79,500 - 80,000 price zone.
The analysis is based on the lower 1-hour timeframe, which means that if the expected move does not materialize within the next 13 to 19 hours, the trade setup will be considered invalid.
In this case, you could consider opening a short position now and potentially averaging down your entry as the trade progresses. This is a strategy I often employ to maximize profits.
Make sure to follow me closely, as I will keep you updated on the developments and help you generate substantial green profits together.
BTC Mid-Term Outlook: Key Levels & Wave StructureAs long as March lows hold, there remains a technical possibility for one more wave up toward the 130K resistance zone. However, given the corrective three-wave structure of the recovery (rather than an impulsive five-wave move), I am now leaning toward the mid-term top being in place at January highs.
If price remains below last week’s high, my operative scenario favors one more leg down to the 64K–55K–51K macro support zone. If the downside scenario unfolds, it would still be technically valid for the entire corrective wave (2) to complete within the support zone mentioned, especially considering the underlying fundamental strength of the asset.
Should price break above last week’s high in the coming weeks, the odds shift in favor of a renewed uptrend, potentially reclaiming ATH and targeting 130K.
The super-macro structure that I'm following as an operative wave count, assumes multi-decades bullish cycle, with the next long-term expansion phase expected once price establishes a firm bottom in the discussed support zone:
Wishing you successful trading & investing decisions. Thank you for your attention!
PS: The wave structure of BTC, proposed in March 2024 idea, has fulfilled itself:
BTC/USDT 4H Chart Analysis 🚀 BTC/USDT 4H Chart Analysis 🏆
🔍 Market Overview:
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is currently testing a key support zone. A confirmed breakdown could open the doors for a bearish move, while a bounce could lead to a recovery attempt.
📌 Key Observations:
🔶 Important Resistance (🟠 82,743.59 USDT)
🚧 This level has acted as a strong resistance zone. A breakout above this could trigger bullish momentum.
🔵 Crucial Support (81,633.22 USDT)
🛡️ Holding above this level is important for buyers to prevent further downside.
❌ If BTC confirms a close below this support, it could signal a continuation of the downtrend.
📊 Moving Averages (7, 25, 99 SMA):
🟡 Short-Term SMA (7): Price is testing this moving average.
🔵 Medium-Term SMA (25): Turning into potential resistance.
🟢 Long-Term SMA (99): Still bullish but flattening out.
⚡ Trade Triggers:
✅ Long Trigger (📈💰) - If BTC breaks above 82,743.59 USDT with volume → 🚀 Buy opportunity!
❌ Short Trigger (📉🔻) - If BTC closes below 81,633.22 USDT, it confirms a bearish breakdown → 🏴☠️ Short setup active!
📢 Trading Strategy:
💎 Bullish Plan: Wait for a breakout above 82,743.59 USDT with strong volume → 🎯 Target: 83,500+ USDT.
⚠️ Bearish Plan: If BTC breaks below 81,633.22 USDT, expect a drop towards 79,986.83 USDT, with a final target at 78,445.12 USDT.
🔥 Final Thoughts:
Bitcoin is at a decision point! 🎯 A breakout could push BTC higher, while a breakdown signals deeper corrections.
📢 Watch volume for confirmation before taking a position! 🚀
🔔 Stay Alert & Manage Risk! 🎯
Bitcoin BTCUSD The Move Down Is OverI posted this chart in February 2027, I was unable to update it. This is playing out exactly how I predicted. Bitcoin loves these double tops and the corrections are textbook almost every time. Bitcoin may double bottom but on a closing basis on the 5 day I am predicting that Bitcoin will NOT close lower than the measured move. Wicks below sure but on a cloing basis which the Line chart shows we are right on track. I think that by the middle to late April we are above the previous high and en route to new all time highs. There is no bear market coming any time soon. Bitcoin is going to astronomical numbers, numbers most cant fathom. None of this is financial advice this is just my opinion. Like and follow for updates. Thank you
BTC-----Sell around 83650, target 82,600-82,000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 3: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a medium-yin line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single Yin and a single Yang. The price was at a low level again. The fast and slow lines of the attached indicator were flat, and the closing line yesterday was a high retreat. The retreat time was around 4 o'clock in the morning. The recent downward trend did not continue, and the trend was still corrected, but this was also within it, but the transaction became difficult; the four-hour chart showed a large retracement trend in the morning, and the attached indicator formed a dead cross K-line pattern with continuous Yin, which is a good aspect. The short-cycle hourly chart fell in the morning and is currently corrected. The correction high is in the 84,000 area. If we look at the continued decline today, there are two conditions. First, the price rebound cannot break the correction high; second, the European session must continue to break the low.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell directly at the current price of 83,650, stop loss in the 84,100 area, and target the 82,600-82,000 area;
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-3 : GAP Breakaway PatternFirst off, thank you for all the great comments and accolades related to my calling this breakdown (nearly 60+ days ago).
Did I get lucky having these new tariffs announced, causing the markets to break downward? Probably.
Did my research suggest the markets were going to break downward anyway? YES.
Did my research predict these tariffs? NO.
My research is specifically price-based. You'll notice I don't use many indicators, other than my proprietary price pressure and momentum indicators.
The purpose of what I'm trying to teach all of you is that price is the ultimate indicator. You can use other indicators if you find them helpful. But, you should focus on the price chart and try to learn as much as you can from the price chart (without any indicators).
Why, because I believe price tells us everything we need to know and we can react to price more efficiently than getting confused by various technical indicators.
At least, that is what I've found to be true.
Today's pattern suggests more selling is likely. After the markets open, I suggest there will be a bunch of longs that will quickly be exited and shorts that will be exited (pulling profits). Thus, I believe the first 30-60 minutes of trading could be extremely volatile.
My extended research suggests the markets will continue to try to move downward (over the next 60+ days) attempting to find the Ultimate Low. But, at this point, profits are profits and we all need to BOOK THEM if we have them.
We can always reposition for the next breakdown trade when the timing is right.
Gold and Silver are moving into a PANIC selling phase. This should be expected after the big tariff news. Metals will recover over the next 3-5+ days. Get ready.
BTCUSD is really not moving on this news. Kinda odd. Where is BTCUSD as a hedge or alternate store of value? I don't see it happening in price.
What I do see is that BTCUSD is somewhat isolated from this tariff news and somewhat isolated from the global economy. It's almost as if BTCUSD exists on another planet - away from global economic factors.
Still, I believe BTCUSD will continue to consolidate, attempting to break downward over the next 30+ days.
Remember, trading is about BOOKING PROFITS and moving onto the next trade. That is what we all need to focus on today.
Get Some.
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BITCOIN - Long Trade Price Action Update...In this video, I break down the latest price action while incorporating some AriasWave analysis along the way.
There's nothing unusual happening—just psychological reactions testing your patience.
Welcome to the world of trading lol, where you can be riding high one moment and facing losses the next, shifting between excitement and frustration.
Today, I dive into the psychology of trading—what drives a trader’s mindset, the balance between logic and mental discipline, and how mastering both can help grow your bank account. Everything begins in the mind, whether it’s knowledge or habit.
I remain bullish, and while the external picture hasn’t changed much, what about your internal one?
BTC Ready for PUMP or what ?The BTC will increase 20k and reach to the top of the wedge in the coming DAYS.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!