Bitcoin - Please Look At This Timeframe!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still totally bullish:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Please just make sure, that you don't trust Bitcoin with its daily swings of more than -5%. Looking at the overall picture, Bitcoin is still incredibly bullish and almost trading at its all time high. Bulls are 100% in control of everything and some profit taking along the way is just normal.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $100.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
1-BTCUSD
A bearish retest of bitcoin to rule them all#bitcoin #btc price has broken the trend line support of ascending channel and parabola support. This is not good but in my previous ideas i' ve warned you of this great risk. If this bearish retest succeeds with declination from the trend support, more dumps will be ahead. Not financial advice.
BTC Price Predictions for ATHBTC price is bouncing off of strong support at around the 96,600 range, and is likely to bounce back above 100k. It could take a while to consolidate and accumulate a while before heading up further. My prediction is price likely to approach all time highs around the first week of January.
Bitcoin BEARISH - BTC Strong Resistance On Weekly TFBitcoin has reached strong resistance on the weekly TF. The resistance line goes the whole way back to 2017. So it's very reliable. A strong move downwards is very likely!
Based on previous times this line was tested, Bitcoin could fall 50% or more. However, the 74000-75000 level looks like a good support level. This would be about a 30% drop which is still very significant.
I expect profit taking very soon and short sellers to come in. There could possibly even be global headline news to cause this drop.
Be very careful in buying near the tops. Trade with your brain and not emotions. This is only an idea and anything can happen, but it's a weekly chart and seems very reliable.
BTCUSD: The phenomenal Fib power of +.618.Bitcoin quickly turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.454, MACD = 3285.300, ADX = 32.138) as in a matter of 24 hours it dropped from its 108,000 ATH back to below 100,000. As the price continues to grow, we should start getting used to those 10k violent price swings. Today though, we want to discuss an incredible finding, which we call ' the Fib power of 0.618'. It is this amazing pattern you see where Bitcoin, since its Nov 2022 bottom and subsequent Jan 2023 High, it has systematically targeted every +0.618 Fibonacci extension before pulling back.
1st TP was Fib 1.618, 2nd TP = Fib 2.168, 3rd TP = Fib 3.618. Natually this sequence targets next: 4th TP = Fib 4.618 (112,500), 5th TP = Fib 5.618 (173,500) and finally 6th TP = Fib 6.618 (265,000). Of course this assumes that the trend will follow the same fluid pattern, where the first of the Fib pairs has only a short consolidation (green Rectangle) leading to a fast rise to the second Fib, which has a long consolidation (blue Rectangle). This implies that we're currently inside a short consolidation an in April we should hit 112,500 (5th TP on Fib 5.618).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
BTC/USD - daily chart divergence showed the wayThe divergence was strong with this one.
Both the RSI and MACD showed huge Divergence from the Price.
Divergence is a very good way to try and prevent your buy trade from being someone else’s exit liquidity at the top.
It'll be interesting to see if those Liquidity Voids below get filled up.
Divergence:
Liquidity Voids:
BTC SHORT TO $94,760Finally some clarity from BTC, well worth sitting on our hands for a short period. We created a short term down trend with multiple confirmations (SMA break and rejection, LL's & LH's etc) a retracement back to the golden ratio and a rejection from a major key level has resulted in some bearish momentum for BTC and all correlated markets.
We'll se how this plays out as exhaustion will play some restriction in the momentum BTC can hold although i do think the target / 61.8% retracement level will be met of $94,760
Also currently waiting on BTC to produce a new LL on the 1H time frame so lets see how that pans out. I have moved stop to $11,065 to lock in 1.5% as we've been out the market for a few days.
P.S, sorry slightly late on posting this idea
BTC/USDT 4-hour chart analysis. BTC/USDT trades within an ascending parallel channel, respecting the upper and lower trendlines.
Current price: $99,789.68, retracing back towards a crucial support area.
The highlighted green area is around $98,000-$100,000, which acts as the channel’s demand zone and mid-range level.
200 MA (green line): Located near $97,830, providing dynamic support.
Immediate resistance near the upper channel trendline (~$110,000).
Psychological resistance at $105,000, a crucial round-number level.
If BTC maintains the $98,000-$100,000 support area, it is set to bounce towards:
Short-term target: $105,000.
Mid-term target: $110,000, aligned with the upper channel boundary.
If BTC breaks below $98,000, further declines to test $95,000 (lower trend line) are possible.
A breakdown below the channel will invalidate the bullish trend.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out via DM.
@Peter_CSAdmin
Overbought Warning: Exercise Caution in Current Market Cycles
⚠️ Overbought Warning: Exercise Caution in Current Market Cycles ⚠️
Bitcoin and many altcoins are significantly overbought in their respective cycles. 🚨
Caution is strongly advised.
Avoid jumping into investments late in the 1-week cycle. Instead, wait for the cycle to dip below 20 before considering an entry. 📉
🧠 Quick Recap: How to Use the Cycle Signals
- ✅ Green Zone = Potential Buy Signal
- 🚫 Red Zone = Potential Sell Signal
We’ve been in the red zone for a considerable amount of time now, signaling heightened risk. A retracement appears likely, so patience is key!
⏳ The Danger of FOMO
It’s tempting to trade when:
- The market moves 24/7 🌐
- Influencers flaunt their PnL cards 📊
- News and activity are constant. 📢
But jumping into an overheated market can lead to losses, not gains.
✅ What to Do Instead:
- Don’t chase the hype.
- Missed a 10-15% gain? No problem! Compare that to the profits from buying in the green zone and selling in the red—you’ll make far more with less risk.
🔑 Stay Smart, Stay Patient
Remember: **There’s nothing worse than watching your portfolio bleed daily.** Avoid the stress by simply waiting for better cycle opportunities. 💡
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research! 📖
Exhaustion on uptick in downtrend on BTC 45mBearish setup
Exhaustion of uptick in the downtrend, I call this setup the brutal setup.
Bearish because Stoch RSI gets overbought and turning down, while 2 ATR line of EFI is slightly above zero (should be slightly above or lower then that)
Entry 102065
SL: 102848
Target: 100630
Trade no: #00003
Is BTC in a accumulation phase?Bitcoin is in an 7K (about 35%) range since 150 days now, and just broke to the downside.
Could this be the spring of an Wyckoff accumulation schematic?
It is no secret that price action has been choppy ever since it entered the trade range, has to shake most people out.
Of course, for this to be an spring we'd need big buyers stepping in, and defying all of the sell volume we've seen so far.
On the other hand, bulls already had absord a lot of BTC sell order and could therefore mean price is near a reversal.
Price could of course(inevitably in the bull case) retest the price range and fade of to fresh lows.
It is also no secret that BTC is highly correlated to traditional markets. It would therefore make sense for both markets to bottom at somewhat the same time.
But with everything we've seen, it could be possible for BTC to mark a bottom now and see price suppression while the DJI, NASDAQ and SPX mark their bottoms in.
It is also an great idea to keep in mind that price tend to move again the masses, and with the FTX/ALAMEDA illiquidity situation, everyone is scared and calling for lower lows.
This is only an gut feeling based on market sentiment right now and only support the unprobability that market would reverse(while everyone is bearish).
Next days/weeks are gonna determine the direction ahead for BTC.
FLOKI ON TARGET, WHATS NEXT MOVE ?NOW :
FLOKI Finish drop to firat target area of Wave 3 🔥🔥🔥
What's the next move ?
📌Next move at fibonacci level 0.618 or 0.000164
📌FLOKI needs a pullback/retest first after its drop to Wave 3 for,and on going to visit next target of Wave 4, hitting the marked target area.
📌Then, it’s likely to continue its decline to complete Wave 5 in the Elliott Wave Expanded Flat Correction.
📌Be cautious about the FOMC data release on December 19. The Fed revised its rate cut projection in the Summary of Economic Projections from 3.4 to 3.9. This will significantly impact the market in 2025, as the Fed might only cut rates 2x or even just 1x next year (This could disappoint the market, which has been overly euphoric). Please follow the trend of Bitcoin and Economic Projection 2025.
Sentiment Cycle Indicator Performance (PAID)Performance Analysis of the Sentiment Cycle Indicator
1. Trend Identification:
• The indicator has effectively highlighted bullish and bearish sentiment zones, as shown by the green (bullish) and red (bearish) background shading. This visual clarity makes it easy for traders to identify the prevailing market sentiment at a glance.
2. Buy and Sell Signals:
• The Buy signals are well-timed, capturing upward price movements, especially during key reversal zones.
• The Sell signals occur consistently in areas where bearish momentum starts to dominate, allowing traders to exit or short positions effectively.
3. Key Trades Observed:
• Buy Example: Around the recent low near $100,000, the indicator generated a buy signal right before a significant upward move, aligning well with the trend shift.
• Sell Example: Near $105,000, the indicator provided a sell signal ahead of a downward move, protecting traders from holding during the drop.
4. Market Choppiness Handling:
• Even during sideways or choppy markets, the indicator avoids excessive false signals due to its clear sentiment zone shading, helping traders stay on the right side of the market.
Why This Indicator Stands Out
1. Simplifies Complex Market Trends:
• By combining sentiment analysis with buy/sell signals, the indicator provides traders with a comprehensive toolkit for decision-making.
2. Dynamic Market Adaptation:
• The indicator adapts to real-time price movements, ensuring timely and accurate signals without lagging.
3. Perfect for Scalping and Swing Trading:
• Traders can use the sentiment zones for scalping in smaller timeframes and for swing trading over longer horizons.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-19 : Top PatternToday, we should expect the SPY/QQQ to move a bit higher - trying to form a short-term top before price rolls downward again.
I urge traders to stay very cautious of early trending and look for a bigger opportunity later in the day as price rolls downward.
Gold and Silver are struggling. I still believe Gold and Silver will rally higher as fear elevates. But right now - that is not happening.
I need to see Gold and Silver move away from this panic selling before I can become move convinced of a trend.
Stay cautious if you are trying to trade Gold and Silver right now.
Bitcoin is moving through an EPP pattern very cleanly - actually a DUAL EPP pattern.
$95-$99k should be the downside price target throughout this move.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold