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1-BTCUSD

BTC Market Thesis – February 20, 2025Current Market Overview Current Price: $97,632 Open Position: $95,917.6 Decision: HOLD_BUY – The market is showing bullish momentum, suggesting further upside potential. Stop Loss: $95,000 Take Profit: $99,600 Confidence Level: 80% Technical & Market Indicators RSI (1h): Indicates bullish momentum, suggesting buyers are gaining control. MACD: Showing a moderate upward slope, signaling potential for further price appreciation. CME Options Data: Put/Call Ratio: 0.9 – slightly bullish as call options dominate. Open Interest: Moderate, meaning traders are engaged but not at extreme levels. Binance Perpetuals: Funding Rate: 0.01 – Market leaning slightly towards longs. Open Interest: 78,892 BTC, indicating a healthy level of market participation. Profit Ratio Today: 1.20 – Indicates that traders who entered today are mostly in profit, reinforcing positive sentiment. Possible Scenarios & Probability 1️⃣ Bullish Scenario (60% Probability) 📈 BTC breaks above $98,000 and reaches $99,600 Strong bullish sentiment pushes BTC past key resistance levels. RSI & MACD confirm continued upward momentum. Positive funding rate and moderate OI support a sustained uptrend. Institutional traders (CME data) continue to favor long positions. 2️⃣ Neutral Scenario (25% Probability) 🔄 BTC consolidates between $96,500 – $98,000 Some profit-taking slows the rally, but support at $96,500 holds. MACD remains positive but shows weakening momentum. Open Interest suggests indecision, with traders waiting for further signals. 3️⃣ Bearish Scenario (15% Probability) 📉 BTC drops below $96,500 and tests $95,000 Unexpected negative news or macroeconomic factors trigger a sell-off. RSI becomes overbought, leading to short-term correction. A decline in Open Interest suggests traders are closing positions. Final Takeaway Primary Strategy: Hold and monitor resistance at $98,000. Risk Management: A stop loss at $95,000 protects against unexpected downturns. Trigger to Sell: If BTC struggles at GETTEX:98K with weakening momentum, a short-term exit may be considered. Trigger to Buy More: A clean break above GETTEX:98K with strong volume confirms continuation to $99,600+.
by titankarma
GOLD Looks Like A Giant Bull Trap Price To Fall DramaticallyThis move in gold has been nice but I think its almost over. This was a giant bull trap in my opinion. Over the next few years I see Gold coming down to the bottom trend line then longer term probably below $1000 after it breaks the rising wedge. I think the Golden Age of America is a real thing. Cheaper energy, more advanced ways of mining, new large gold deposits will be found. Gold will always be relevant but will never be used as money again. No real need for it other than industrial uses. Eventually we'll be able to manufacture gold, silver, and pretty much any other metal and there wont be a need for mining anymore. We're moving forward not backwards. Best of luck my friends, none of this is financial advice.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Bitgolder
Trump/Elon’s Crypto Chaos!Bitcoin’s been on a rollercoaster in 2025, plummeting from $106K to $93K earlier this month, but I’m seeing a massive bullish setup on the 4H chart at $97,603. After a sharp sell-off, BTC’s forming a tight range near $96K support... classic accumulation before a breakout, or are we walking into a trap? Here’s the tea: RSI’s at ~55 and climbing, signaling buyers are gaining momentum, while the 50/200 EMA crossover near GETTEX:97K screams bullish reversal. Volume’s ticked up over the last few candles, suggesting smart money’s piling in. We’re testing GETTEX:98K resistance right now, flip it, and I’m targeting $105K by early March, fueled by Trump’s pro-crypto policies and Elon’s unpredictable X-factor. But if we fail here, $93K’s the next stop, and bears could drag us lower. This setup’s got me hyped, but the Trump/Elon wild card is wild... Trump’s deregulation talks could pump us past $100K, or Elon’s next tweet might send us spiraling. I’ve seen similar patterns in 2021 lead to 20%+ moves... History repeating? What’s your hot take? Bullish to $105K, or bearish back to $93K, where’s BTC headed? Think Trump’s policies or Elon’s tweets will rocket us, or are they just noise? Seen this pattern before? Drop your targets, indicators, or contrarian views! I’ll reply to every comment and debate!
by MonoCoinSignal
Bitcoin Update: Warning of a Potential Crash!Bitcoin has been ranging around the 98K level for about 90 days. Fractals show strength, but I see another potential move incoming, though with a low probability. In this scenario, we can expect a quick shakeout in the market, where BTC price drops in a 17% shadow down to $80K, followed by a flash recovery to the starting point of this move, continuing toward new highs along with the fractal demonstrated on the chart, with the ultimate target of $150K, in my opinion. Overall, there is little concern about this scenario since it has a very low probability, but to be cautious, it’s better to manage our risks. The main scenario in my mind is still my previous analysis based on its fractal, and I remain bullish.
by farhadnmd
Gold Breaks Out of Triangle Pattern: Targeting $2,970–$2,980This chart shows a breakout from a triangle pattern on the 1-hour timeframe for gold (XAU/USD). The breakout has occurred above the resistance of the triangle, indicating potential bullish momentum. - Resistance Zone: The previous resistance level was around 2,936–2,940, which was tested multiple times before the breakout. Now, this level may act as new support. - Target: The projected target for this breakout is near 2,970–2,980, aligning with the height of the triangle pattern. A successful retest of the breakout level could confirm further bullish movement toward the target zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-20 : Rotation PatternSorry for my delay this morning. Everything is fine over here - just a bit hectic this morning, and I had to drive my son to his work at 530am - which interrupted my plans. OK, so here we go. This video helps to organize my analysis/thinking into more clearly presented data for my followers. I use the Fibonacci Price Theory as a basis for all my analysis. On top of that, I use other techniques (anchor bars, my SPY Cycle Patterns, and my custom indexes) to help identify when and where opportunities exist for the best trades. I've been getting comments related to my labeling these videos as Bullish or Bearish which may go against the primary trend direction presented on the charts. So, now I've added a TEXT LABEL that tells you what every chart is doing on a Short, Intermediate, and Long-term basis. This will help all of you follow my analysis/thinking going forward (I hope). Today's Rotation Pattern suggests the markets will slide into a sideways price rotation phase. This rotation could be a stalling pattern after the recent rally to new ATHs. I'm still very cautious of a breakdown/pullback in trend after this move higher. As I keep saying, I don't believe the markets have sufficient momentum to continue a massive rally phase. And I really believe this new ATH level is a BULL TRAP - setting up longs to jump into this rally mode before a bigger pullback/breakdown takes place. Gold and Silver are struggling to move higher with a fairly broad rotating range - but they are still pushing higher. I believe Gold and Silver will make a big move higher over the next 30+ days. So, be prepared for volatility - but stick with long trades for metals as I believe Gold will rally to levels above $3100 very quickly. Bitcoin could be shifting into a new Excess Phase Peak pattern off recent lows. The FPT trends for Bitcoin are still BEARISH, but we are starting to see a base setup that may become a new Excess Phase Peak low. Watch this video and please comment if you have any questions. Again, sorry for my delay this morning. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
BITCOIN: Bull Flag. Will it break upwards?Bitcoin has just turned bullish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 56.545, MACD = -0.190, ADX = 38.441) but remains neutral on 1D. The reason is that the price is now at the top of the 2 week Channel Down, having crossed and closed over the 4H MA100 for the first time since January 31st. On the larger timeframes this Channel Down could be a Bull Flag to continue the bullish trend but of course the price needs to cross over it, otherwise a technical rejection will prevail. If it breaks upwards, go long targeting the 4H MA200 (TP = 99,500). Until it does, keep a tight SL short targeting the top of the S1 Zone (TP = 95,750). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by InvestingScope
BTC/USD: Key Levels and Breakout Watch!!Market Overview: The BTC/USD pair is currently in a consolidation phase, with price action contained between two key levels. This analysis aims to evaluate the market structure, potential breakout points, and the most likely directional move based on technical indicators. 📈 Price Structure & Key Zones: Resistance Levels: 97,900 USD: This key resistance level has been tested multiple times. The market has recently interacted with it, showing signs of rejection. 🚧 Breaking above this zone would be a bullish sign. A sustained break would confirm a potential uptrend. 🚀 100,258 USD: The next critical resistance lies just above the previous level. A breakthrough here could confirm the market is ready to rally higher! 🎯 109,546 USD: The ultimate target zone, with further resistance likely. 🌌 A break through this area would confirm a significant bullish move. Support Levels: 94,000-95,000 USD: Strong support in this range, where price has bounced higher before. 📉 A failure to hold this level could signal a bearish reversal. ⚠️ Trend Analysis: 200 EMA: The price is above the 200 EMA, showing a bullish short-term trend. 📊 A positive sign of upward momentum, confirming the current market sentiment is more inclined toward the upside. 🚀 Rising Wedge Formation: This is a continuation pattern, suggesting that the market could break higher if resistance is overcome. 🔼 The potential move toward 100,258 USD could be the next phase if the breakout occurs. Volume & Momentum: Volume has been relatively low, indicating consolidation. 💡 A breakout with higher volume would confirm the strength of any directional move. 💥 Potential Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above 97,900 USD, we can expect a bullish move toward 100,258 USD, with the 109,546 USD zone as the next target. 🚀📈 Bearish Scenario: A failure to break resistance could lead to a pullback to 94,000-95,000 USD, or even lower if support breaks down. ⚠️ A downside move may signal a deeper correction. Conclusion: The market is at a crucial point. If Bitcoin can break through 97,900 USD, we may see a bullish rally toward 100,258 USD and 109,546 USD. 🚀 If resistance holds, expect a possible move toward lower support levels. 🛑 Keep an eye on volume and key levels! 🎯 Let’s stay alert and react accordingly! 📊📈
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
February 19 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. There is no Nasdaq index announcement today. At the bottom left, the purple finger connected the 2nd section yesterday, 94,142 dollars final long position entry section. *In the case of the sky blue movement path It is a two-way neutral strategy. We focused on the final long position. 1. 97,550.5 dollars short position entry section / cut-off price when the orange resistance line is broken 2. 95,743 dollars long position switching / cut-off price when the green support line is broken 3. 98,526.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Great 2nd target If there is an immediate adjustment from the current position The 1st section (95,085.5 dollars) at the bottom is the long position waiting section. The bottom section is today's major rebound section. Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only. I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by BitCoinGuide
USDCHF Bullish Flag: Breakout Targeting 0.94000USDCHF is currently trading at 0.90200, with a bullish flag pattern forming, signaling a potential breakout toward the 0.94000 target. The bullish flag is a continuation pattern that typically follows a strong upward move, followed by a period of consolidation before the next leg higher. If the price successfully breaks above the flag’s upper trendline, it could trigger a bullish wave, pushing USDCHF toward its next resistance levels. From a technical perspective, the flag’s consolidation phase suggests temporary indecision in the market. However, as long as the price remains above key support levels and breaks out with strong volume, the bullish momentum is likely to continue. A confirmed breakout above the resistance could provide an entry opportunity for traders aiming for the 0.94000 target. Fundamentally, the US dollar remains supported by the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on interest rate cuts. Recent economic data from the US, including inflation figures and labor market strength, have kept the dollar strong against the Swiss franc. Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) maintains a relatively dovish stance, which could further weaken CHF and support the bullish case for USDCHF. In summary, USDCHF is forming a bullish flag pattern, awaiting a breakout for further upside movement. A strong breakout above the resistance level could trigger a rally toward 0.94000, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. Traders should closely monitor price action and key economic events to confirm the bullish continuation.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Wave2 Nearing Completion: Bullish Momentum for Internet ComputerWave 2 Analysis Wave structure analysis suggests that ICP has been following a five-wave impulse pattern. The first wave began in December after ICP hit a low of $2.70 in September. By March, ICP surged to a high of $21, marking the end of the first wave. The second wave, which is a corrective wave, saw ICP retracing to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of $6.58 by July. This level has been retested multiple times, indicating strong support. Current Market Sentiment The recent price movements show that ICP has been trading sideways, forming an ascending triangle pattern. This pattern is typically a bullish continuation pattern, suggesting that the price might break out upwards. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates that ICP is not overbought, providing room for further upward movement. AI Narrative and Decentralized Cloud The AI narrative and the shift towards decentralized cloud solutions are significant factors contributing to the bullish outlook for ICP. Centralized cloud providers like AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud dominate the market, but they also pose challenges such as high costs, regulatory issues, and susceptibility to political pressures. Decentralized alternatives like Internet Computer aim to democratize cloud infrastructure, reducing reliance on centralized entities and fostering innovation. Conclusion Given the wave structure analysis, strong support levels, and the growing narrative around AI and decentralized cloud solutions, ICP is poised for a potential bullish breakout. If the price breaks above the ascending resistance, it could mark the beginning of the third wave in the five-wave impulse pattern, leading to significant price appreciation.
COINBASE:ICPUSDLong
by sirnur
BTC/USDT 1H: Bullish Accumulation – Next Leg Toward $98,400?!BTC/USDT 1H: Bullish Accumulation – Next Leg Toward $98,400?! 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates! Current Market Structure: Price at $96,416 with strong bullish signals. Bullish divergence on RSI (56.88) with higher lows forming. Strong bounce observed from the $93,600 support level. Market makers are accumulating at lower levels, showing increasing buy pressure. Market Maker Activity: Accumulation is evident at lower levels with a strong bounce from key support. Increasing buy pressure suggests that market makers are preparing for the next upward leg. Technical Indicators: Bullish divergence on RSI supports a reversal and continuation of the uptrend. The bounce from $93,600 reinforces the strength of the support zone. Trade Setup (Confidence 8/10): Entry: $96,300 - $96,500 zone. Targets: T1: $97,200 (key resistance) T2: $98,400 (previous high) Stop Loss: $95,200 (below recent swing low) Risk Score: 7/10 – Favorable risk-to-reward with clear invalidation below $95,200. Recommendation: Long positions are recommended within the $96,300 - $96,500 entry zone. Monitor for a breakout above $97,600 for confirmation of bullish continuation. Key support at $95,200 must hold for this bullish scenario to remain valid. 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
Long
by Cryptokijker
1
BTC at a Crossroads: Breakout or BreakdownBTC/USD Technical Analysis Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating indecision in the market. A breakout in either direction could determine the next major move. Key Levels to Watch: Bearish Scenario: A confirmed breakdown below $92,000 could trigger a sell-off toward $72,000, aligning with the untested breakout zone around $70,000, which BTC never retested after surpassing it. Bullish Scenario: A successful push above $107,000 would invalidate the bearish outlook and signal further upside momentum, potentially leading to new highs. Market Outlook: A break above or below the symmetrical triangle will likely set the next trend direction. Volume and momentum indicators should be monitored for confirmation. If BTC remains within the triangle, expect continued ranging until a decisive breakout occurs. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by VENRAW
BTCUSD: The magic of the .618 Fib signals $165k.Bitcoin is about to turn neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.436, MACD = -739.700, ADX = 52.589) in an attempt to form a new bottom for February on its 2 month consolidation phase. This consolidation phase is technically no different than all others since the 2023 Bull Cycle started. We have had three such consolidation phases, two longer, one shorter but all started after market tops on a +1.0 Fibonacci progression: 1st on the 1.618 Fib, then on the 2.618, the 3.618, which brings us to the current ATH on the 4.618 Fibonacci extension. Technically the next one should be on the 5.618 Fib (TP = 165,000) then only thing that's open is whether it will follow the 2023 longer consolidation or 2024 shorter. If it follows the longer, then the 165k target may coincide with the Cycle Top towards September. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope