1-BTCUSD
BITCOIN - A real bullish sign!3D chart shows a Bullush exaggerated Divergence on RSI indicator.
Bullish Exaggerated Divergence happen when:
1- Price: Forms a double bottom (two equal lows).
2- RSI: The second low is higher than the first.
- Implication: Momentum is picking up despite flat price, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
It's called exaggerated because price looks stable (same lows), but RSI reveals a hidden shift in momentum.
There’s also a breakout from a falling wedge pattern and a perfect break above the 50 EMA with a massive green candle.
We are now at the beginning of Bitcoin’s true bullish rally.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Continuation Within Descending ChannelThis chart shows XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) trading within a clear descending channel. Price recently broke below a key support level, signaling bearish momentum. A potential retest of the broken support (now resistance) is expected before further downside continuation. The chart outlines two bearish targets: the first around 3,193 and the second near 3,100. If the retest fails and sellers step in, the downtrend is likely to continue toward those targets.
EUR/USD Intraday Bias: SHORTUR/USD has cleanly broken below key support, confirming a decisive bearish move. The intraday trend is strongly directional to the downside — this is not a choppy market. No signs of reversal have emerged.
Volume confirms that supply has strong control. This is not a low-volume drift — it’s a meaningful move with conviction.
Stick with momentum — avoid long traps until structure flips.
Check if it can rise along the rising channel
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period is until April 30th.
The point to watch is whether it can rise along the newly created trend line (4) or whether it can rise along the rising channel consisting of trend lines (2) ~ (4).
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If it falls near Fibonacci 3.14 (93570.28), it seems likely that a new HA-High indicator on the 1D chart will be created.
Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is created, the key is whether there is support near it.
That is, we need to check whether there is support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 3 (92026.52) ~ 3.14 (93570.28).
If not, there is a possibility of a decline near the trend line (2).
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The next volatility period is around May 19.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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Bitcoin struggles to clear key $95,000 levelAt the moment, a strong neutral sentiment has taken hold in Bitcoin’s price action, with an average fluctuation of just over 1% in the last four trading sessions. Indecision persists as BTC struggles to break through the $95,000 barrier, especially as the U.S. dollar has begun to regain strength—limiting the continuation of steady bullish momentum. Additionally, the CMC Crypto Fear and Greed Index remains in the neutral zone, suggesting that the market is showing uncertainty regarding confidence in cryptocurrencies.
Uptrend in focus:
Since April 10 of this year, a new short-term bullish trend has been forming in Bitcoin’s movements. Although recent selling corrections have not been strong enough to break the upward structure, it is important to note that a prolonged period of neutrality could put the current bullish formation at risk in upcoming sessions.
RSI:
The RSI line continues to oscillate near the overbought zone marked by the 70 level. As it approaches this threshold, it could signal a potential imbalance in buying pressure and may lead to short-term bearish corrections.
ADX:
The ADX line remains slightly above the 20 level, indicating that the average volatility of the last 14 periods is still low. This suggests that recent price movements lack strong directional momentum.
Key Levels:
$95,000: A short-term resistance level aligned with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. A breakout above this zone could reinforce a stronger bullish bias and open the door for a more significant buying trend.
$100,000: A distant resistance level at a major psychological threshold. If price action pushes toward this level, it could signal the beginning of a long-term trend and a potential move toward all-time highs.
$90,000: A key support level, corresponding to the most important neutral zone tested in recent weeks. A break below this level could invalidate the current bullish formation and shift momentum in favor of sellers.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Bitcoin 30m chart.In my opinion, this is the most likely short-term scenario.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 4-30 : Moving Into FlaggingThis quick update video should help you understand how my May 2-5 Major Bottom pattern could represent a move into FLAGGING within an inverted EPP pattern.
If my research is correct, the next move for the market will be a moderate downward price trend that will represent the FLAGGING portion of the inverted EPP pattern.
You've all see how bullish EPP patterns play out over the past 3 to 5+ months. Now we get to see how this recent SPY low near 480 turns into an inverted EPP pattern. This is basically the same pattern - but forming in an inverted mode.
As we transition through this inverted EPP pattern, what I'm looking for is a breakdown move to create the new FLAGGING formation. This move aligns perfectly with my May 2-5 Major Bottom pattern and could be a perfect setup for the attempted "breaking of the Flag High" in late May 2025.
I'm watching Gold and Silver stay relatively strong today. So I'm seeing today's market move as a "reversion move" - not really a breakdown move (yet).
It will be interesting to see how this plays out.
If the markets move into Flagging, as I expect, the big opportunities will be to ride the Flagging & Breakdown patterns over the next 30+ days before we move into either an INVALIDATION or CONTINUATION phase of the inverted EPP pattern.
Price is the ultimate indicator - you just need to know what to look for.
Get some.
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BTCUSD: The final 7 months of the Bull Cycle have begun.Bitcoin remains on excellent bullish 1D technicals (RSI = 65.277, MACD = 2917.800, ADX = 44.478) as it is recovering from this months Low. A recovery that will close today the monthly candle in green, the first after 2 bearish 1M candles. This has technically kickstarted the final 7 months of the Bull Cycle, which have historically been a straight rally to the Cycle's Top. The last 2 Cycles took 35 months from bottom to top and based on that we expect the current one to peak in October (2025).
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Bitcoin's Next Move - $90k Surge Before a Major Drop?Bitcoin is showing signs of a potential rally towards $90k, but could this be a trap before a deeper correction to $45k?
What's your take?
Will CRYPTOCAP:BTC reach new highs first, or is the drop coming sooner?
Share your thoughts!
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Happy Trading💰🥳🤗
BTC-----Sell around 94000, target 92700 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 30: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday. The K-line pattern was a continuous positive single negative, and the price was still at a high level. The attached indicator was in a golden cross operation. Although the volume was shrinking, the price retracement could not be seen to continue at present, and the strength was relatively small. The price did not break the previous low point, so at present, the general trend remained bullish; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European and US prices continued to consolidate at a high level yesterday. The price began to fall under pressure in the early morning and continued in the morning. The current K-line pattern was a continuous negative, and the attached indicator was in a dead cross operation. Therefore, there is a high probability that there is still a demand for decline during the day. Pay attention to the low support position near the 92700 area below.
Therefore, today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the 94000 area, stop loss at the 94500 area, and target the 92700 area;
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-30 : Carryover PatternToday's Carryover pattern suggests the markets may attempt to trend slightly upward after the big downward pressure/GAP sets up this morning.
As many of you are already aware, I have been predicting a May 2-5 Major Bottom in the markets.
I would suggest today's carryover pattern may be negated by an early breakdown in the markets. If my May 2-5 Major Bottom pattern is going to show up, the markets would likely start to break downward today and tomorrow - leading to the Major CRUSH pattern on Friday.
Gold and Silver appear to be consolidating into a flagging/cradle pattern. I believe the downward pressure on the markets will likely prompt a flush-out low in metals before another big rally phase sets up.
BTCUSD is stalling and will likely pull downward as my May 2-5 Major Bottom pattern plays out.
Basically, HEDGE your positions.
This market looks like it will roll into a moderate low over the next 4-5+ days, then base and bottom after May 10th or so.
As I've suggested, I positioned for this move about 4-5 days ago. Now, I just need to ride it out and start booking profits when they happen.
Get some.
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BITCOIN Analysis: Potential Pullback and ContinuationCOINBASE:BTCUSD is currently trading within an ascending channel, reflecting a clear bullish structure. The price may pull back toward the lower boundary of the channel before potentially continuing higher. This dynamic support offers a confluence area for a possible bullish reaction. A successful retest here could open the path for a move toward the $102,000 level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and represents a logical bullish target.
However, a failure to hold this dynamic support could indicate weakening bullish momentum and may shift the short-term bias to neutral or bearish.
Traders should watch for confirmation signals such as bullish engulfing patterns, strong rejection wicks at the lower trendline, or increasing volume on the bounce before considering long positions.
Let me know your thoughts or if you see it differently! 🚀
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Flipped the Trend Line📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC keeps the $91 500 level.
● While it holds, the chart still points to $98 000 then $108 000.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US spot-ETFs took in $591 M on 28 Apr, extending a six-day inflow streak that topped $3 B for the week.
● MicroStrategy added 15 355 BTC at ~$92 737, lifting corporate demand.
● Network hashrate set a 1 ZH/s ATH, underscoring security.
● Exchange balances sit at a seven-year low as coins move to cold storage.
● DXY is at 3-year lows and yields are down.
✨ Summary
Persistent ETF inflows, corporate accumulation, record hashrate, shrinking float and a weaker USD reinforce the bullish setup; staying above $91 500 supports a run to $98–100 k.
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BITCOIN This is where the real BULL started in 2017.We've mentioned on numerous occasions how Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) current Cycle resembles that of 2014 - 2017 and this evidence is self-explanatory on the chart. What we want to bring forward today, and the timing couldn't be better, is that symmetrically speaking, it was the exact same time of the year (April 2017) when the past Cycle started printing predominantly green candles that lasted until the very end of 2017 (December) and the Cycle Top.
The 3W RSI sequences are identical among the two fractals with a Pivot trend-line dominating both Cycles, first as a Resistance (red arrows) and then turned into Support (green arrows). Before the end-of-year Parabolic Rally, the Bull Cycle was classified into 3 pull-back/ consolidation Phases (blue Rectangles) and, no surprise, the mini rallies started around the same times.
Can this indicate that we are about to see a strong rally of predominantly green candles towards the end of the year to form the new Cycle High? What do you think?
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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April 29 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart.
There will be an indicator announcement at 11 o'clock in a little while.
After the 4-hour chart MACD dead cross was imprinted yesterday
Today, two things are clear
*Red finger strong rise or purple finger major rebound.
The main issue was whether the 6-hour chart MACD dead cross occurred
After writing the analysis, looking at the overall movement
The purple finger seems strong today.
Let's apply it to Bitcoin as it is.
This is a 30-minute Bitcoin chart.
At the bottom left, I connected the long position entry point of $93,046 that I entered in the analysis article on the 25th.
Bitcoin and Tether dominance are moving sideways.
Bitcoin is slightly more advantageous in terms of MACD signals or Ichimoku Kinko Hyo,
but it is not strange if one side skyrockets or plummets.
While moving sideways, I was watching Nasdaq,
and I paid attention to the Nasdaq movement.
*Red finger movement path
One-way long position strategy
1. 94242.4 dollar long position entry section / green support line breakaway stop loss price
2. 96005.1 dollar long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target -> Final Good
The 1st section at the top is the rising wave position
If you touch it first, the possibility of success of the strategy increases.
If the strategy is successful, it would be good to use it as the final long position re-entry.
Depending on the adjustment coming out of Nasdaq, it can be pushed up to section 2
Roughly, it is the support line of the Bollinger Band 6-hour chart.
If the rebound fails in Nasdaq
Bottom -> Please note that it can be pushed to section 3.
Up to this point, please use my analysis as a simple reference and use.
Thank you.
BTCUSD | Bearish Rejection from Order Block Zone | Choch Confirm📉 BTCUSD – 30M SMC Breakdown | April 30, 2025
Bitcoin just printed a clean bearish reaction from a high-probability supply zone, aligned with Smart Money tactics.
📍 Technical Breakdown:
Order Block (OB) marked clearly near 95,474 – 95,756, sitting in a premium price zone.
Price returned to this OB after a previous Change of Character (Choch) to the downside — a clear signal of distribution.
The Strong High remains intact — no structural break = institutional control still active.
Rejection wicks and slow momentum near the OB confirm buyer exhaustion.
🎯 Setup Breakdown:
Entry Zone: 95,474 – 95,756
SL: Above 95,800 (invalidates OB)
TP Zone:
TP1: 94,600
TP2: 94,000
TP3: 93,480 (next liquidity pool near the Weak Low)
Risk:Reward ~ 1:3.5+
🧠 Smart Money Insight:
This is where retail traders start buying the breakout — but Smart Money knows better.
They set traps in the OB, then reverse price for maximum stop hunts.
🔁 Market Psychology:
Choch = shift in sentiment
Price retesting OB = liquidity hunt
Weak Low = magnet for future price sweep
This short setup aligns with mitigation + manipulation + distribution.
📌 What to Watch:
If price fails to break Strong High → short bias remains
If we break below 94,600 → hold for full TP at 93,480
Re-entry possible on LTF pullbacks into new internal OBs
🧠 Execution Note:
Be patient — price might dance in OB before melting. Let it reject, confirm, and flow.
🔥 Final Word:
This setup is clean, logical, and follows institutional flow. If you missed the first touch, wait for a lower-timeframe pullback entry.
Smart traders don’t chase price — they let it come to them. 🧘♂️📉
🗣️ Comment “BTC BEAR ZONE” if you caught this short setup.
📥 Save this post — real case study for Smart Money traders.
📡 Share this with your trading group — gems like this don’t show up daily.
Bitcoin H4 | Falling toward a swing-low supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 91,933.60 which is a swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 87,400.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 99,342.60 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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It is yours to take...Back in 2024 after the early August low Bitcoin produced three weeks green. There was first a small bounce, a higher low followed by three weeks candles closing green. Today is the same. After these three weeks one last red week and then the start of major advance. Bitcoin grew from a low of $52,500 to a high of $110,000.
The rise started with the three white soldiers signal again today is the same, what will you do?
It was a rise of more than 100% and yet still not the bull market year based on the halving and past history.
Bitcoin launched 2009 four years later the first major bull market and All-Time High, we all know the story in 2013. MtGox and the rest. It continues and exactly four years later we get a new All-Time High, major growth and Bitcoin goes mainstream, everybody knows about Bitcoin now and it is 2017. It doesn't stop, it continues.
Then the market crashes the end is near and people start to quit, none of those are like me who continue to post, to publish, to fight, to persist and to win. In 2021 the story is not new already old, Bitcoin hits a new All-Time High, exactly four years later and four years after 2021 is 2025... We are already in late April and no bullish action this year, are we late?
If the August low marks the start of the current advance a new All-Time High can happen in August 2025 but no, too soon, right now there are too many Altcoins.
In November 2024 Bitcoin broke above $80,000 for the first time in its history and this is the biggest development in years from a bullish perspective. So we can take November as the starting date. If we calculate one year then the next All-Time High can happen in November 2025 are we late?
Any buy below $100,000 is still a bargain we are not late at all. The next All-Time High can happen in August, in November, in December 2025 or even in Mach 2026 that doesn't matter at all, really. What truly matters right now is to buy and hold and go LONG do you agree?
That's it. This is the opportunity that your life will change.
It is right in front of you right now, it is yours to take.
Buy Bitcoin and hold.
You will be happy with the results.
Namaste.
Is Bitcoin Overextended? Here's My Trade Plan If BTC Retraces!Bitcoin Daily Chart Analysis 📝
🚀 Current Market Structure:
The daily BTC/USDT chart clearly shows a strong bullish trend, with price action recently making a significant upward move. The current candles are consolidating near the highs, suggesting a potential overextension after a parabolic rally. This often precedes a corrective phase, as buyers may take profits and new participants wait for a more favorable entry.
🔍 Wyckoff Perspective:
Your approach aligns with the Wyckoff Method, specifically looking for a retracement to the 50% level of the current swing. This would place the ideal entry zone around the $93,071 area, as marked on your chart. According to Wyckoff, after such a retrace, we should watch for an accumulation range—a period of sideways movement where smart money absorbs supply. The key signal to watch for is a "spring" (a false breakdown below the range), followed by a strong bullish breakout, confirming demand dominance.
🌐 Fundamental Backdrop:
Fundamentally, Bitcoin remains supported by several macro factors:
Institutional adoption continues, with ETFs and large funds increasing exposure.
The recent halving event has reduced new supply, historically a bullish catalyst.
Regulatory clarity in major markets (e.g., US, EU) is improving, reducing uncertainty. However, risks remain from potential regulatory crackdowns, macroeconomic headwinds (such as interest rate hikes), and geopolitical tensions.
💬 Sentiment & Analyst Consensus:
Market sentiment is currently optimistic, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index hovering in the "Greed" zone. Many analysts are calling for a healthy correction before the next leg up, echoing your expectation of a retrace. Some prominent voices suggest that a pullback to the $92,000–$94,000 range would be constructive, allowing for reaccumulation and a more sustainable rally.
📈 Technical Triggers to Watch:
Retrace to 50% Level: Monitor for price action around $93,071–$94,593.
Accumulation Range: Look for a period of low volatility and tight range after the retrace.
Spring & Breakout: A false breakdown below the range, quickly reclaimed, followed by a strong bullish candle, would be the classic Wyckoff entry trigger.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making investment decisions.