1-BTCUSD
BTC in-depth analysis and trading strategiesAs of today, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen by nearly 2% in a day, falling below $94,000, and the short-term correction pressure is significant. However, in the medium and long term, multiple factors still support the bull market trend of Bitcoin.
Macroeconomic and policy environment:
Expectations of the Fed's rate cut: The market generally expects that the rate cut cycle will start in the second half of 2024. The loose policy may drive funds into risky assets. Bitcoin, as "digital gold", has both safe-haven and risky asset attributes.
Regulatory dynamics: The progress of the US SEC's approval of Bitcoin ETFs and the implementation of the EU MiCA Act have cleared obstacles for institutional participation, but may also cause short-term fluctuations due to policy tightening.
-Support level: $90,000-92,000 (recent low and psychological barrier); if it falls below, it may trigger stop-loss orders and go down to $85,000.
Resistance level: $98,000-100,000 (previous high and round number psychological barrier); after breaking through, it may challenge $105,000.
Pattern signal: The daily level forms a "double top" prototype. If it is confirmed to fall below the neckline (US$92,000), it may trigger a deeper correction; on the contrary, if it stands at US$95,000, it is expected to continue the upward trend.
Short-term strategy:
Range operation: The current price is around $95,000. It is recommended to buy low and sell high in the range of $92,000-96,000.
Long order: Enter the market around $92,000, stop loss at $89,500, target $96,000-98,000.
Short order: Try shorting with a light position above $96,000, stop loss at $98,500, target $92,000-90,000.
Breakout strategy: If it stands at $98,000, it can be chased to $102,000; if it falls below $90,000, it will be shorted to $85,000.
DOGECOINhello friends
Considering the drop we are having, we have obtained resistance ranges for you, and you can see that after hitting each range, there are more buyers, so it can be imagined that buyers will raise the price in this area or specified support areas...
So we can buy step by step and move with it until the specified goals.
*Trade safely with us*
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-19-25: GAP Reversal Counter-trendToday's pattern suggests a morning GAP will lead to a price reversal in a counter-trend type of mode.
I read this as a potential that price will initially struggle to find a trend. Eventually, when it does identify a trend mode, I believe that trend will strengthen into a reversal of the current upward price trend.
Normally, Counter-trend patterns invert. So, what I would have expected as an uptrend would turn into a downtrend. But, the markets have moved into a very consolidated price channel near recent highs and volume has diminished strongly.
Because of this type of setup, I believe an aggressive breakaway or breakdown price move is pending.
Price will attempt to make a move - and when it does, it should be explosive.
My continued research, which I share with you in this video, continues to suggest price will stall out and revert downward.
We'll see how things play out over the next few days.
Gold and Silver are back near recent all-time highs. Stay cautious of a breakdown in metals associated with a breakdown in the SPY/QQQ.
BTCUSD is still struggling to make a move. As you will see, I believe the dominant trend is to the downside right now.
In short, we are standing at the edge of a cliff regarding price action. At this point, we either grow wings and soar higher or fall downward - hoping for a soft landing.
Buckle up.
Get some.
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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis: Consolidation Before Breakout?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis
Market Structure and Price Action
The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) daily chart exhibits a consolidation phase, with price movements constrained within a well-defined range. This range is highlighted by the blue rectangular area, indicating indecision in the market as neither buyers nor sellers have established clear dominance.
Key Technical Levels
1. Resistance Levels:
$100,000 - $103,787: Upper boundary of the consolidation zone, serving as a key resistance level. A breakout above this level could indicate renewed bullish momentum.
$108,734 - $110,266: Potential upside targets if resistance is breached.
2. Support Levels:
$96,484 - $97,065: Lower boundary of the consolidation zone, acting as short-term support. A breakdown below this level could signal increased selling pressure.
$89,533 - $84,773 (200-day EMA): Critical long-term support zone. The 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $84,773 serves as a major technical support level, historically acting as a strong demand zone in trending markets.
Technical Indicators and Market Outlook
200-Day EMA: The 200-day EMA at $84,773 reinforces long-term support, making it a key level to watch in case of a market correction.
Trendline Analysis: The chart indicates a previous uptrend, followed by a sideways consolidation. A breakout from this range will determine the next directional move.
Highlighted Zones:
Green-shaded areas suggest historical demand zones, indicating potential buying interest.
Orange-shaded areas represent previous supply zones, which may act as resistance in case of a price increase.
Potential Market Scenarios
1. Bullish Breakout:
A break above $103,787 could trigger a continuation of the upward trend, with potential price targets at $108,734 and $110,266.
Sustained bullish momentum may push the price towards new all-time highs beyond $120,000.
2. Bearish Breakdown:
A break below $96,000 may indicate increased selling pressure, leading to a potential decline towards $89,533 - $85,000.
If Bitcoin loses support at the 200-day EMA ($84,773), further downside momentum could materialize, leading to an extended correction.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is currently in a range-bound phase, with price action indicating market indecision. A breakout above $103,787 would signal a resumption of the bullish trend, whereas a break below $96,000 could lead to further downside movement. The 200-day EMA remains a critical long-term support level, and traders should closely monitor price action around these key areas to determine the next market direction.
Bitcoin close to another major bull moveThe daily Ichimoku chart for Bitcoin doesn't look pretty - but it's not awful either.
Resilience is the trait I attribute to Bitcoin here. Even Ethereum, when faced with the same current conditions with the Ichimoku system, failed to hold up and instead toppled.
If the structure remains the same, I anticipate another big push higher when both of these two events occur:
1. The Composite Index closes above both moving averages.
2. The DPO closes above the zero line.
February 18 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is no separate Nasdaq indicator announcement.
Bitcoin is in the process of a 12-hour MACD dead cross,
so I had a hard time analyzing it today.
*When the red finger moves,
it is a short->long or long position strategy.
1. $95,200 long position entry point / stop loss when the purple support line breaks away
2. $97,550.5 long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target
(Compared to the Bollinger Band daily chart center line,
the 12-hour chart resistance line is higher, so I did not operate a separate short position, and the 12-hour chart MACD dead cross must be finally imprinted.)
If it goes up right from the current position,
I think it would be good to start with a purple finger $96,769.5 short position. (Red resistance line breakout, stop loss price)
95,200 dollars long position switching is the same.
The first section at the top is the short position operation section,
and the second section at the bottom is the double bottom section,
so you should be careful because it can deviate strongly.
The bottom section is the center line of the daily chart, which is today's major support line.
Up to this point, please use my analysis article only for reference and use.
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss price.
Thank you.
XAUUSD ANALYSIS FOR THE WEEKXAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) Analysis: February 17 – Febrauary 25, 2025
This analysis provides an in-depth evaluation of gold’s potential trajectory over the specified period, integrating fundamental drivers, technical indicators, and expert forecasts. Key factors influencing gold include geopolitical risks, monetary policy shifts, inflation trends, and technical patterns.
1. Fundamental Drivers
A. Geopolitical and Economic Uncertainty
Trade Tensions: The U.S. administration’s recent tariffs (e.g., 25% on Mexican and Canadian imports, 10% on Chinese goods) have amplified global trade risks, increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Middle East and China Risks: Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a slowdown in China’s economy (evidenced by a decline in the Caixin PMI) are further driving investors toward gold.
B. Monetary Policy and Inflation
Fed Rate Cuts: Expectations of two Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025 and dovish stances from the ECB and BoE are weakening fiat currencies, boosting gold prices.
Inflation Hedge: Persistent inflation, driven by tariffs and supply-chain disruptions, enhances gold’s appeal. Analysts caution that U.S. inflation could exceed targets, forcing the Fed to reverse rate cuts, which may temporarily support the USD but ultimately favor gold.
C. Central Bank Demand
Central banks, notably China’s PBOC, are accumulating gold reserves to diversify away from the USD, creating structural demand.
2. Technical Analysis
A. Short-Term Signals (February–March)
Momentum Indicators: The RSI (26.05) and Stochastic Oscillator (14.5) signal oversold conditions, suggesting a potential rebound.
Key Levels:
Support: $2,830 (February 10 analysis) and $2,720 (ascending channel lower boundary).
Resistance: $2,887 (immediate target) and $2,900 (psychological barrier).
2. Key Technical Levels
Support Levels:
Immediate Support: $2,880 – This level aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement from the recent rally.
Critical Support: $2,850 – Represents the lower boundary of the ascending channel formed since late 2024.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $2,920 – A breach could trigger bullish momentum toward higher targets.
Key Resistance: $2,959 – The upper boundary of the channel and a major psychological level.
3. Momentum Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 62, indicating bullish momentum but approaching overbought territory.
Moving Averages (MA):
50-Day MA: Positioned at $2,910, offering dynamic support.
200-Day MA: Located at $2,780, signaling long-term strength.
Stochastic Oscillator: Signals potential upside as it exits oversold conditions on the 4-hour chart.
4. Chart Patterns and Trends
Ascending Channel: Gold continues to trade within an ascending channel, maintaining a bullish structure.
Bullish Flag Formation: On the daily chart, a bullish flag suggests a potential breakout if prices sustain above $2,920.
Candlestick Signals: Last Friday’s bullish engulfing pattern highlights strong buying interest.
5. Scenarios for the Week
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above $2,920 could target $2,965 and $3,000.
Momentum indicators support further upside if geopolitical tensions persist.
Bearish Scenario:
A failure to hold $2,880 may lead to a decline toward $2,850.
Profit-taking or USD strength could pressure gold, particularly if U.S. economic data surprises positively.
Bullish Targets/ Resistance
2890
2906
2928
2934
2959
2972
2987
3023
Bearish/Support
2872
2857
2841
2807
2781
This Bitcoin BTC Bull Run Is Unstoppable!Hello, Skyrexians!
Last 2 months BINANCE:BTCUSDT is struggling to continue growing and as we can see most of traders now are sure that bear market has been started already, but this time can be really different and this rally can lasts much longer than usual.
On the weekly time frame we can see that Fractal Trend Detector shows the strong bullish phase. Price was not able even to break the green support zone on the indicator. We suppose that the wave from $15k to FWB:73K was just the wave 1 inside global wave 3. After that price retraced almost to 0.5 Fibonacci level and now this is wave 3 in global wave 3. This wave has a target zone between $140k and $200k. Currently price is finishing subwave 2 in wave 3. It looks like a flat correction. So, the target is not so deep, at 0.38 Fibonacci at $86k. From there we expect the huge rally inside the most impulsive wave C.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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BTC | NEWS | Abu Dhabi Invests $436.9M in ETFAbu Dhabi's sovereign wealth fund, Mubadala Investment Company, has made a significant investment in Bitcoin by purchasing $436.9 million in shares of the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT).
This MUST be a clear indicator that they are bullish on BTC, at least for the longer term.
Investment firms most commonly invest with the eye on the longer term, and are usually unphased by short term swings like daily or even weekly corrections. This is, if anything, extremely bullish for BTC in the longer term (1 year and possibly beyond).
In similar news; the potential of the SEC approving XRP ETF is causing optimism for XRP.
XRP has recently made great progress in terms of fundamentals, more on that HERE:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) - Bullish Setup with Key LevelsBTC/USD is currently trading around $95,700, showing signs of a potential bullish continuation. The recent consolidation suggests that buyers are absorbing supply before the next leg up.
Key Observations
• Bullish Structure: The price is forming a potential higher low near support (green trendline), indicating strength.
• Liquidity Grab & Reversal: A deeper pullback to the green support area could serve as a liquidity sweep before an impulsive move higher.
• Targeting All-Time Highs: If price follows the projected yellow path, we could see a rally toward the $117,857 - $120,000 resistance zone, aligning with the red trendline.
Trade Plan
• Wait for a pullback toward the lower trendline (~$90K - GETTEX:92K ).
• Look for bullish confirmations (rejection wicks, bullish engulfing, etc.) before entering.
• Target: $117,857 and possibly higher if momentum sustains.
⚠️ Risk Management: If BTC loses key support (green trendline), bullish momentum could weaken, requiring a reassessment of market conditions.
BITCOIN Is the USDT dominance about to spark new rally to $150k?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been on a fierce consolidation the past few weeks, a lagging price action not helped at all by the recent market fundamentals.
From a technical view point though, the current BTC market structure is a Re-accumulation Phase similar to the Re-accumulation Phases of both previous Bullish Legs since the November 2022 bottom.
Those Re-accumulation Phases took place when the USDT dominance (chart on the right) posted a peaking 1D RSI struture similar to today's and the DXY (blue trend-line) was having a pull-back.
The current technical sequences matches the exact Re-accumulation Phases of BTC, which took place around the 0.5 Fibonacci level. If we apply this Fib structure now, even assuming the less ideal scenario that the 0.5 Fib is on the January 13 Low and not in the middle of the Re-accumulation, we get a potential Target for the upcoming rally at $150k.
SO what do you think? Can this unique USDT dominance pattern spark a new rally on Bitcoin to 150000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD - Centerline Profit-Target in reachIt's not that far anymore.
Price is trickling down it's path.
I could imagine that near the confluence point, where the 1/4 line and the red Centerline meet, the PTG could be fulfilled.
However, a crack of the red U-MLH would generate a signal for a pullback up to the white Centerline.
Bitcoin Trading Plan & Market Analysis🚀 In this breakdown, I outline my trading plan for Bitcoin (BTC), focusing on market structure, price action, and key liquidity dynamics.
🔍 Key Observations:
✅ Price Action & Liquidity Sweeps
* Bitcoin has been forming equal highs/lows, with dips below the lows targeting southside liquidity before rallying.
* On the 4-hour timeframe, this pattern has repeated multiple times—suggesting smart money accumulation at current levels.
✅ Confirmation Criteria
* My bullish thesis remains unconfirmed until we see:
* A decisive breakout of the current range.
* A successful retest and failure of that breakout level.
* If these conditions are met, I will be looking for buying opportunities.
✅ Final Confirmation
* A break of key resistance (highlighted in the video) is critical for confirming a trend reversal.
📺 Everything is explained in detail in the video—this is NOT financial advice!
Traders who followed my plan made a huge profit of 1500 pipsThis moment is exciting, happy, and incredible.
For traders who followed my plan and bought at 93500, the price of BTCUSD has reached 95500 at this moment, and the second target TP94800 I provided has been accurately reached. The traders who followed it have made a huge profit of 1500 points. This is a pleasing and incredible plan. I feel very happy and proud at this moment. This plan has helped me help more traders get huge profit returns. Great. Of course, I will continue to share my ideas and accurate trading plans here. Traders who think my plan is great, remember to stay tuned.
Mr. Baker
CRYPTO:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC (BTC/USDT) 4H Chart: Bullish Momentum BuildingThe 4-hour Bitcoin chart is showing clear signs of bullish continuation. Price action is forming a series of higher lows, supported by an increase in volume, signaling strong buying interest. The RSI is trending upward but remains below overbought levels, leaving room for further upside.
Support remains well-defined, providing a solid foundation for this setup and a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Traders should watch for a clean retest of the breakout zone or a confirmation candle for potential entry.
Overall, market structure, volume dynamics, and momentum indicators are aligning for a possible bullish continuation on the 4-hour timeframe.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Post Market Update : Big Squeeze CloseToday is quite a day in terms of trading volatility and volume. We've not seen a low-volume day like today in the SPY for more than a year.
It is very likely this rally near the close of trading was more of a short-squeeze and not really a momentum breakout.
We'll see how things play out tomorrow. But, I'm not budging related to my expectations of a breakdown in the markets over the next 5-10+ days.
I see this market as completely over-cooked to the upside - and it seems to be evident in the lack of buying volume playing out.
My Custom Crash index is flat and topping. My Custom Volatility Index is flat and topping. My Custom US Leading Index is actually LOWER so far this week.
One thing is certain, there is a lot of open "air" below the 598 level on the SPY.
Buckle Up.
When it breaks - it may be a BIG BREAKDOWN setting up.
Get Some.
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Bitcoin is accelerating its decline, and a reversal opportunityComprehensive overall trend analysis shows that Bitcoin has experienced a single-day decline.
The opening of the US stock market in the evening accelerated the decline of Bitcoin
Currently, Bitcoin has fallen below the 95,000 mark. According to trend technical analysis,
Bitcoin has hit the short-term support level, and now we can plan to do long transactions
Bitcoin long plan:
Buy: 93,800-93,500
Closing: 94,500-94,800
Stop loss: 93,200
Mr. Baker
INDEX:BTCUSD CRYPTO:BTCUSD
BTCUSD Channel Down bottoming. Bullish reversal ahead.Bitcoin is trading inside a Channel Down and today the price almost hit its bottom.
This is a similar buy signal with February 9th and 12th, when the price reversed to hit at least the 0.618 Fib.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 96700 (the 0.618 Fib).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is oversold, which is always a strong technical condition for a buy.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
Past trading plan: