Get started

1-BTCUSD

Bitcoin's Crossroads: Golden Cross Signals, Capital Floods In The Bitcoin narrative is rarely static. It oscillates between fervent optimism and deep skepticism, driven by a complex interplay of technical patterns, on-chain data, macroeconomic shifts, and evolving investor perceptions. Recently, several compelling signals have converged, painting a picture of a market potentially at a significant juncture. A rare "Golden Cross" technical pattern has formed, an event often associated with the start of major bull cycles. Simultaneously, on-chain data reveals a surge in "hot supply," indicating a significant influx of new capital and heightened market activity. Adding another layer, Bitcoin demonstrated surprising resilience and relative strength against traditional assets like gold and tech stocks during recent market turbulence, exhibiting an unusually low beta that hints at potential maturation. This confluence of technical momentum, fresh capital inflow, and changing market behavior warrants a deep dive. What exactly is the Golden Cross, and what does its appearance portend for Bitcoin? How should we interpret the nearly $40 billion in "hot supply," and what risks and opportunities does this influx of potentially newer, less experienced capital present? And critically, does Bitcoin's recent outperformance and low correlation signal a fundamental shift in its role within the broader financial landscape? This article will dissect these interconnected developments, exploring their historical context, potential implications, and the inherent uncertainties that always accompany the world's leading cryptocurrency. Decoding the Golden Cross: A Technical Harbinger? Technical analysis (TA) is a cornerstone of trading in many markets, including cryptocurrency. It involves studying past price action and volume data to identify patterns and trends that might predict future movements. One of the most widely recognized and discussed bullish signals in TA is the "Golden Cross." • What is a Golden Cross? A Golden Cross occurs when a shorter-term moving average (MA) of an asset's price crosses above a longer-term moving average. The most commonly watched Golden Cross involves the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) crossing above the 200-day SMA. o The 50-day SMA reflects the average closing price over the last 50 trading days, representing recent momentum. o The 200-day SMA reflects the average closing price over the last 200 trading days, representing the longer-term underlying trend. • Traditional Interpretation: When the faster-moving 50-day MA overtakes the slower 200-day MA, it suggests that recent price momentum is strengthening significantly relative to the long-term trend. Technicians interpret this as a potential confirmation that a bottom may be in, and a new, sustained uptrend could be starting. It's often seen as a lagging indicator (confirming a trend already underway) but one that can signal the potential for significant further upside. Conversely, the opposite pattern, where the 50-day MA crosses below the 200-day MA, is known as a "Death Cross" and is considered a bearish signal. • The "Once Per Cycle" Phenomenon: The claim that this specific Golden Cross (50-day crossing 200-day) happens "once every cycle" for Bitcoin generally refers to its appearance after major bear market bottoms and preceding significant bull runs in Bitcoin's roughly four-year halving cycles. Historically, looking back at Bitcoin's chart, these crosses have indeed often preceded periods of substantial price appreciation. For example, Golden Crosses occurred in 2012, 2015, 2019, and 2020, each preceding major bull markets, albeit with varying time lags and magnitudes. • Historical Performance and Caveats: While historically bullish for Bitcoin, the Golden Cross is not an infallible predictor. o Lagging Nature: By the time the cross occurs, a significant portion of the initial rally off the bottom may have already happened. o False Signals: Markets can experience "whipsaws," where a Golden Cross forms briefly only to reverse into a Death Cross shortly after, trapping overly eager bulls. This was seen briefly in some shorter timeframes or even on the daily chart during choppy periods in Bitcoin's history. o Context Matters: The broader market environment, macroeconomic factors, and fundamental developments play crucial roles. A Golden Cross during a period of intense regulatory crackdown or global recession might not have the same impact as one occurring during quantitative easing and growing institutional interest. o Confirmation Needed: Traders often look for confirmation signals after a Golden Cross, such as sustained price action above the moving averages, increasing volume, or bullish follow-through patterns. What to Expect from the Golden Cross? The formation of a Golden Cross on Bitcoin's daily chart is undeniably a positive technical development that captures market attention. It suggests underlying strength and improving medium-term momentum. Historically, it has often marked the transition from a bear market recovery phase to a more sustained uptrend. However, expectations should be tempered with caution. It's a signal, not a guarantee. It indicates potential but requires confirmation through continued price strength and favorable market conditions. Relying solely on this pattern for investment decisions is risky. It should be considered alongside other factors – on-chain data, fundamental developments, and macroeconomic context – to form a more complete picture. The most reasonable expectation is that the Golden Cross increases the probability of further upside but doesn't eliminate the possibility of consolidation, pullbacks, or even failure of the nascent uptrend. The Heat is On: Understanding the Surge in 'Hot Supply' While technical analysis looks at price charts, on-chain analysis delves into the activity happening directly on the Bitcoin blockchain, providing insights into investor behavior and capital flows. A key metric highlighted recently is the rise of "Bitcoin hot supply." • What is 'Hot Supply'? "Hot Supply" typically refers to Bitcoin that has been moved on the blockchain relatively recently, often within the last few months (definitions can vary slightly between analytics platforms, e.g., coins moved within the last 1-3 months or sometimes up to 6 months). These coins are considered "hot" because they are more likely to be involved in active trading or spending, as opposed to "cold" supply held in long-term storage (often associated with HODlers). It represents the portion of the Bitcoin supply that is more liquid and actively circulating. • Nearing $40 Billion: The fact that this hot supply is nearing a value of $40 billion is significant. It indicates a substantial amount of Bitcoin changing hands and reflects a "surge in capital turnover," as described in the analysis. This suggests heightened market activity, increased liquidity, and, crucially, the entry of new participants or the reactivation of dormant capital. • New Investors Flooding In (at High Prices?): The analysis explicitly links this surge to new investors and speculators taking an interest, likely attracted by Bitcoin's recent price recovery and multi-month highs. The mention of "$95K" (even if potentially a typo or hypothetical peak target in the source analysis) symbolizes the risk that many of these new entrants might have acquired Bitcoin at relatively elevated prices compared to the cycle lows. This creates a cohort of investors with a higher cost basis. • Implications of High Hot Supply: o Increased Liquidity: More coins moving means more potential buyers and sellers, which can facilitate smoother price discovery and larger trades. o Fuel for Rallies: An influx of new capital provides buying pressure that can sustain upward price momentum. Speculative interest often feeds on itself in bull markets. o Increased Volatility: Coins held by newer entrants or short-term speculators are often considered "weaker hands." These holders may be more susceptible to panic selling during price dips or quick profit-taking during rallies, potentially leading to sharper price swings in both directions. o Potential Overhead Supply: If the price stalls or reverses, the large volume of coins acquired at recent highs ( SGX:40B worth moved recently) represents potential selling pressure as these holders seek to break even or cut losses. Interpreting the Influx: The surge in hot supply is a double-edged sword. On one hand, it confirms growing interest and provides the necessary capital flow to potentially validate the bullish signal from the Golden Cross. New demand is essential for sustained price increases. On the other hand, it introduces a layer of fragility. The market's ability to absorb potential selling from these newer, higher-cost-basis holders during inevitable corrections will be a key test of the underlying strength of the current trend. Monitoring whether this "hot supply" gradually cools down (moves into longer-term holding) or remains elevated will be crucial in the coming months. Bitcoin's Relative Strength: Outshining Gold and Tech Amid Turmoil Beyond technicals and on-chain flows, Bitcoin's performance relative to traditional assets, especially during periods of market stress, offers valuable insights into its evolving perception. The observation that Bitcoin outperformed both gold (a traditional safe-haven) and tech stocks (risk-on assets) in April, particularly amidst "tariff turmoil" or other geopolitical/economic uncertainties, is noteworthy. • Challenging Correlations: Historically, Bitcoin often traded with a high correlation to risk assets like tech stocks, particularly during market downturns. Investors tended to sell Bitcoin alongside equities during risk-off periods. Gold, conversely, often acts as a safe haven, rallying during uncertainty. Bitcoin outperforming both simultaneously suggests a potential breakdown in these typical correlations, at least temporarily. • Why the Outperformance? Several factors could contribute: o Unique Drivers: Bitcoin's price is influenced by factors unique to its ecosystem, such as halving cycles, adoption news, regulatory developments, and flows into new instruments like spot ETFs. These can sometimes override broader market trends. o Inflation Hedge Narrative: Persistent inflation concerns may lead some investors to seek alternatives to fiat currency, benefiting both gold and Bitcoin, but perhaps Bitcoin more so due to its perceived higher growth potential. o Safe-Haven Experimentation: While gold remains the established safe haven, some investors might be tentatively allocating a small portion to Bitcoin as a potential alternative store of value or hedge against systemic risk, especially if they perceive traditional systems as vulnerable. o Decoupling Narrative: Some proponents argue that Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from traditional markets as it matures and establishes itself as a distinct asset class. The recent performance could be seen as evidence supporting this view. o Coincidence/Timing: It's also possible that the timing was coincidental, with Bitcoin-specific catalysts driving its price higher while unrelated factors weighed on gold and tech stocks during that specific period. Significance of Relative Strength: Demonstrating strength during periods when traditional assets are struggling enhances Bitcoin's appeal. It challenges the simplistic "risk-on only" label and suggests it might offer diversification benefits. If this pattern persists over longer periods and across different market stressors, it could significantly bolster the case for Bitcoin's inclusion in traditional investment portfolios. Maturation Signal? The Low Beta Phenomenon Closely related to relative strength is the concept of beta. Beta measures the volatility or systematic risk of an asset compared to the overall market (often represented by an index like the S&P 500). • Beta Explained: o A beta of 1 indicates the asset's price tends to move with the market. o A beta greater than 1 indicates the asset is more volatile than the market. o A beta less than 1 indicates the asset is less volatile than the market. o A beta of 0 suggests no correlation. • Bitcoin's Historically High Beta: Traditionally, Bitcoin has exhibited a high beta, especially relative to equity markets. It was often seen as a high-volatility asset that amplified broader market moves, particularly to the downside during risk-off events. • Recent Low Beta Observation: The finding that Bitcoin displayed an "unusually low beta during recent market stress" is significant. It implies that its price movements were less correlated with, and potentially less volatile than, the broader market during that period of turbulence. • Implications of Low Beta: o Maturation Narrative: A lower, less correlated beta is often characteristic of more mature assets or distinct asset classes. It suggests investors might be viewing Bitcoin with a longer-term perspective, less prone to knee-jerk selling based on short-term fluctuations in other markets. o Diversification Potential: Assets with low correlation to traditional portfolios (like stocks and bonds) are valuable for diversification, as they can potentially reduce overall portfolio volatility. A sustained low beta would strengthen Bitcoin's diversification credentials. o Shift in Holder Base?: It could indicate a shift towards more institutional and long-term holders who are less reactive to daily market noise compared to purely retail speculators. o Store of Value Aspirations: While still highly volatile compared to traditional stores of value like gold, a decreasing beta could be interpreted as a tentative step towards fulfilling some store-of-value properties, particularly if it holds value better than risk assets during downturns. Is it Sustainable? While the recent low beta is an encouraging sign for Bitcoin bulls and proponents of its maturation narrative, it's crucial to question its sustainability. Was it a temporary anomaly driven by specific market conditions in April, or does it represent a durable shift? Bitcoin's correlation and beta have fluctuated throughout its history. Renewed market panic, significant regulatory shocks, or major shifts in macroeconomic policy could potentially cause correlations to snap back. Continued observation across different market environments is needed to determine if this low beta is a new regime or a fleeting characteristic. Synthesizing the Signals: A Complex Tapestry Bringing these threads together – the Golden Cross, the surge in hot supply, relative outperformance, and low beta – reveals a complex and somewhat contradictory picture: 1. Technical Momentum Meets New Money: The Golden Cross provides a technically bullish backdrop, potentially encouraging more participants. The SGX:40B in hot supply confirms that new capital is entering, providing the fuel that could validate the technical signal. 2. Speculation vs. Maturation: The influx of hot supply points towards increased speculation and potentially "weaker hands." Yet, the low beta and relative outperformance during stress hint at underlying strength and potential maturation, suggesting a core base of holders is becoming less reactive. This highlights the heterogeneous nature of the Bitcoin market, with different investor cohorts exhibiting different behaviors simultaneously. 3. Opportunity and Risk: The convergence creates both opportunity and risk. The opportunity lies in the potential for the Golden Cross and new capital to ignite a sustained rally, further bolstered if Bitcoin continues to act as a diversifier (low beta). The risk lies in the potential fragility introduced by the high volume of recent entrants (hot supply) who might capitulate during dips, potentially invalidating the Golden Cross and reversing the low beta trend. The current environment suggests Bitcoin is navigating a transition. The technicals point upwards, fresh capital is flowing in, and its behavior relative to traditional markets is showing intriguing signs of change. However, the presence of significant "hot" money serves as a reminder that volatility and sharp corrections remain distinct possibilities. Overarching Risks and Necessary Caveats Despite the positive signals, numerous risks persist: • Technical Analysis is Not Predictive: The Golden Cross is a historical pattern, not a crystal ball. It can fail. • 'Hot Supply' Risk: A large cohort of investors with a high cost basis can become a source of significant selling pressure if sentiment shifts. • Macroeconomic Headwinds: Persistent inflation, rising interest rates (globally), geopolitical conflicts, or a global recession could dampen appetite for risk assets, including Bitcoin. • Regulatory Uncertainty: While spot ETFs marked progress, the global regulatory landscape for crypto remains fragmented and uncertain. Unexpected crackdowns remain a threat. • Correlation Risk: The low beta and decoupling narrative could prove temporary. Bitcoin could easily recouple with risk assets during a broader market panic. Conclusion: Bitcoin at an Inflection Point? Bitcoin currently stands at a fascinating crossroads, illuminated by a confluence of compelling, albeit sometimes conflicting, signals. The rare Golden Cross offers a technically bullish omen, suggesting underlying momentum is shifting favorably for a potential long-term uptrend, echoing patterns seen in previous cycles. This technical optimism is fueled by tangible evidence of renewed interest, with nearly $40 billion in "hot supply" indicating a significant surge in capital turnover and the arrival of fresh speculative and investment capital. Simultaneously, Bitcoin's recent behavior exhibits intriguing signs of potential maturation. Its ability to outperform traditional safe havens like gold and risk assets like tech stocks during periods of market stress, coupled with an unusually low beta, challenges its historical "risk-on only" profile. This suggests a growing base of investors may be viewing it through a longer-term lens, potentially as a unique store of value or a portfolio diversifier, less swayed by short-term market noise. However, this complex picture demands caution. The very influx of capital that fuels optimism also introduces fragility, as newer entrants with higher cost bases may be quicker to sell during downturns. The Golden Cross, while historically significant, remains a lagging indicator with no guarantee of future success. And the low beta, while encouraging, could prove ephemeral in the face of severe macroeconomic shocks or shifts in market sentiment. Ultimately, Bitcoin's trajectory towards 2030 and beyond will depend on its ability to navigate these dynamics. Can it convert the current technical momentum and capital influx into a sustainable trend? Will its utility and adoption grow sufficiently to solidify its role beyond pure speculation? Will it continue to carve out a unique space in the financial ecosystem, proving its resilience and diversification benefits across various market conditions? The current signals suggest the potential is there, but the path forward remains intrinsically linked to broader economic forces, regulatory evolution, and the ever-unpredictable psychology of the market. Bitcoin is flashing signs of both renewed vigor and evolving character, making the coming months and years critical in defining its future role.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Bullish Setup: Buy Zone to Target Levels Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Key points: Support Zone: Strong support is identified in the yellow zone around 3,290–3,293, where price has bounced multiple times. Buy Zone: Market is currently in a potential buy zone just above support, signaling a possible long entry. Targets: 1st target: Around 3,368 2nd target: Around 3,419 All-Time High: Marked as a potential long-term resistance above 3,500. Outlook: If price respects the support and buy zone, the market may rally toward the 1st and 2nd targets. Watch for bullish confirmation before entering.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Robert055
Bitcoin's 215-Day Pattern: Another Breakout Loading?The Bitcoin chart shows a repeating pattern of consolidation lasting 215 days before each major upward breakout. This cycle has occurred multiple times over the past two years, with each accumulation zone followed by a strong bullish rally. Currently, Bitcoin is once again emerging from a similar 215-day consolidation phase, suggesting the potential for another significant move to the upside if the pattern holds. If history repeats, we could see a target around $150K. BINANCE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:BTC
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by HexaTrades
BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis: Breakout Incoming?Hey traders! Let’s dive into this juicy BTCUSDT 1-hour chart. Bitcoin is teasing us with some serious action! We’ve got a textbook symmetrical triangle pattern forming, with price consolidating tightly between converging trendlines. This is a classic setup for a big move — Bitcoin is coiling up like a spring, ready to explode! The chart shows multiple phases of consolidation , with the latest triangle pushing BTC toward a critical decision point near the weekly high of $95,773.15 and the monthly high of $95,119.06. The price is currently hovering around $95,000, testing resistance. A breakout above the upper trendline could send BTC soaring past $96,600, potentially targeting $97,200 or higher! On the flip side, a rejection here might see it dip toward the daily low of $92,839.27 or even the lower trendline for support. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $95,773.15 (weekly high) Support: $92,839.27 (daily low) Breakout Target: $97,200+ Breakdown Target: $92,800 ✉ What do you think — bullish breakout or bearish? Drop your thoughts below!
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by ArShevelev
8
BTC(20250429) market analysis and operationTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 29: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single negative with continuous positive lines. The price was still consolidating at a high level. The attached chart indicator was in a golden cross operation, but pay attention to two points: First: the technical indicator signal was rising, but the price did not continue to break the high; Second: Although the attached chart indicator was shrinking, it showed a rebound trend after the retracement, and it did not continue, so the current trend was range-bound, and the rhythm was very important; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European session rose but did not break the high yesterday, and the US session was under pressure and then supported and rebounded. It was under pressure again in the Asian morning session, with the high point in the 95700 area and the low point in the 93450 area; the current price is in a sideways correction, so do not take action, just wait and see. Therefore, today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at 95500 area, stop loss at 95900 area, target at 94500-94000 area; buy at 93700 area, stop loss at 93300 area, target at 95000 area; give real-time trading according to real-time trend during the trading session
Long
by Toml1314
BTCUSD INTRADAY uptrend continuation supported at 91940The BTC/USD pair maintains a bullish overall sentiment, underpinned by a sustained upward trend. However, recent intraday price action suggests a phase of sideways consolidation, indicating a potential buildup before the next directional move. Key Levels: Support: 91,940 (primary), followed by 90,200 and 88,110 Resistance: 99,300, with extended targets at 101,000 and 103,150 A corrective dip toward the key support zone at 91,940 could offer a bullish rebound opportunity. A successful bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend and pave the way for a test of the 99,300 resistance. A breakout above this level may open the door to further gains toward 101,000 and 103,150 over the longer term. Conversely, a decisive break and daily close below 91,940 would invalidate the bullish setup, potentially triggering a deeper pullback toward the 90,200 and 88,110 support levels. Conclusion: While the broader trend remains bullish, BTC/USD is currently consolidating. Traders should watch the 91,940 support closely—its defence may confirm trend continuation, while a breakdown could signal a short-term bearish reversal. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TradeNation
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-29 : BreakAway in CarryoverToday's pattern is a Breakaway in Carryover mode. That suggests today's price move will attempt to break away from yesterday's body range and may be somewhat similar to yesterday's price action. I interpret this pattern as a potential breakdown (breakaway) attempting to possibly find support below 540. Remember, we are moving into the May 2-5 Major Low cycle pattern - so price should attempt to move downward at this stage. Gold and Silver are moving through a consolidated topping phase. Where price attempts to push higher through a series of tops. Ultimately, I believe Gold and Silver will make a big breakout move higher (above $3500, $35.00) and attempt to rally up - breaking the $4200+ level (eventually). Bitcoin seems to be stalling, like the SPY/QQQ, near upper resistance (near the FIB 50% level). I see this stalling as the markets searching for a trend. As I keep saying, I have a hard time seeing any reason why the markets will rally to new ATHs in the current environment (except the possibility of pure speculation). We need to see some real growth expectations for the markets to begin another big rally phase. Right now, I'm looking for confirmation of my breakdown into the May 2-5 Major Bottom pattern. Let's see if that actually happens or not. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
34
BITCOIN Why is this rally surprising you?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has completed 3 straight green weeks, with an impressive last 1W candle closing and started the new one right where it left. This rise shouldn't be surprising to most as it has fulfilled all the conditions that initiated all major rallies since the November 2022 Bear market bottom. The first week of April rebounded strongly on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which as mentioned numerous times on our channel, has been this Bull Cycle's main Support and kickstarted the Q4 2023 and Q4 2024 rallies. At the same time, the 1W RSI broke last week above its MA, which has been the final confirmation of those Bullish Legs. With the 1W Bollinger Bands (BB) still ranged, the top trend-line is expected to rise aggressively as BTC's uptrend accelerates, something that resembles October 2023 and October 2024. Throughout this Bull Cycle, those rallies have lasted around the same time, the longest being 14 weeks. As a result, the latest the current Bullish Leg tops should be on the week of July 14 2025 and a +92% rise as February - March 2024 should deliver a test of the Higher Highs trend-line around $140000. Do you think that's the most probable scenario? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
April 25 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart. There is no separate indicator announcement. I bet on a red finger upward sideways movement or a strong rebound. If the green support line is maintained, the short-term pattern will be maintained and it is a safe zone, so it seems that there will be no big effect on Bitcoin. The short-term pattern is broken from the bottom 2, and the bottom section is the 1+4 section, so if it succeeds in rebounding without breaking away from the true blue support line, it is good for a long position. I just applied it to Bitcoin. This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart. The purple finger section on the lower left is the section where the long position was entered in the analysis article on the 23rd. *When the red finger moves, it is a one-way long position strategy. 1. $93,046 long position entry section / stop loss price when the green support line is broken 2. $95,562.5 long position 1st target -> Top 2nd -> Good 3rd section, and when the Good section is broken, the possibility of a new high is high. The 1st section at the top is the rising wave confirmation section The green support line 2nd section that I marked is the safe section. The final match was held in the 1+4 section If the strategy is successful, the 1st section on the right is the long position re-entry and utilization section I left a simulation with the pink finger. From the bottom breakout, until the additional weekly candle is created next Monday, I have sequentially displayed the main prices and support lines, so please refer to them, and please use my analysis articles only for reference and use, and I hope you operate safely with the principle trading and stop loss price. Thank you for your hard work this week. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
BTCUSD Testing Key Resistance Ahead of FOMC – Prepare for Volati🧠 Summary: Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) is currently testing a major resistance zone around $95 000 -- this is a strong supply zone from February. We have a lot of macroeconomic data and FOMC meeting coming soon so be prepared for some volatility. 🔍 Key Levels: - Resistance zone: $94 000 - $98 000 - Support zone: $86 000 - $83 000 - Major Support zone: $72 000 - $68 000 📅 Upcoming Events: Tuesday (Today): JOLTS Jobs Openings – est. 7.5M. A beat could signal a still-tight labor market, giving the Fed less room to ease. Wednesday: Q1 GDP: Expected at just 0.5% — soft, but likely already priced in. Core PCE (MoM): Forecasted at 0.1%, which is soft and typically market-friendly, though this excludes post-tariff pressures. Friday: Non-Farm Payrolls: est. +130K Unemployment Rate: Expected to hold at 4.2% 📊 Macro & Fed Context: It currently seems unlikely that the FED's are going to cut rates this meeting. (see Forbes & USA Today ). 📈 Technical Outlook: With no imminent policy shift from the Fed, Bitcoin may remain rangebound for the next few weeks. A break above GETTEX:98K would be bullish, but without a catalyst, there’s potential for a pullback — possibly toward the $72K support zone — before resuming upward momentum. 🧭 Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice): Patience is key here. I’m avoiding FOMO at current levels and waiting for clearer confirmation — whether that’s a breakout above resistance or a retest of major support around $72K. --- 💻 Learn more at yungzkittlez.com — Free trading education, market updates, and tools to help you trade smarter. No fluff. Just real strategies from 5+ years in the game. 🌴
CRYPTOCOM:BTCUSD
by YungZkittlez
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis. Current Price: ~$94,600 BTC has cleanly broken above the descending trendline resistance, a structure that capped price since mid-February. This breakout was accompanied by a surge in volume and momentum — a strong bullish sign. Golden Cross Area A key technical confluence occurred where the 50-day MA (red) and the 200-day MA (green) were tested simultaneously, marked by the blue circle. Price moved sharply upward after reclaiming both MAs, suggesting increased buying confidence — a textbook golden cross behavior, even if not a perfect cross yet. Support & Resistance Flip Previous resistance at the GETTEX:92K —$93K zone (highlighted in yellow) has now become support. As long as BTC holds this zone, it suggests healthy consolidation and potential for a continued move up. Trend Indicators: 50-Day MA (Red): Now curving upward — short-term bullish momentum is building. 200-Day MA (Green): Flattening and starting to rise, showing early signs of a shift in long-term trend direction. The price is currently above both MAs, which is a key bullish condition. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate Resistance: $96,000–$97,500 Major Psychological Barrier: $100,000 Support Zone: $91,500–$92,500 Stronger Support (if broken): $84,000–$85,000 near the MAs If the price continues to hold above the breakout zone and consolidates well, the next upside target will be $ 100 K. Failing to hold the GETTEX:92K zone could invite a pullback toward the MAs around $85K — a zone where bulls may step in again. Final Thoughts: BTC is showing signs of renewed bullish momentum after breaking key resistance and reclaiming critical MAs. However, confirmation through consolidation and volume is essential to sustain higher levels. Structure remains bullish unless we see a breakdown below ~$85K with volume. DYOR. NFA. Stay sharp.
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
1
Bitcoin surpasses Google: Why BTC rallied to $94,000In April 2025, Bitcoin once again captured the spotlight by breaking above $94,000, reaching a market capitalization of $1.86 trillion. This surge pushed BTC ahead of Alphabet (Google’s parent company), making it the fifth-largest asset in the world. The impressive rally in Bitcoin this year has been fueled by a combination of macroeconomic factors and developments within the crypto space itself. New financial instruments, political shifts, and technological advancements have made Bitcoin more appealing and accessible to a wide range of investors. 5 key drivers behind Bitcoin’s growth in 2025: 1. Approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S.: For the first time, the SEC greenlit spot Bitcoin ETFs, allowing major institutional players to gain exposure through regulated investment products. This triggered a significant inflow of capital into the crypto market. 2. Weakening dollar and stock market declines: As global economic growth slowed and the U.S. dollar lost ground, Bitcoin emerged as a hedge asset — often compared to gold — with investors seeking safer alternatives to traditional markets. 3. Pro-crypto political climate in the U.S.: The new U.S. administration has adopted a supportive stance on crypto, easing regulations and even announcing plans to build national crypto reserves. This strengthened investor confidence across the market. 4. Bitcoin’s growing role as ‘Digital Gold’: The perception of Bitcoin as a long-term store of value continues to rise. More large investors and corporations are now including BTC in their asset diversification strategies. 5. Technological advancements: The rollout of second-layer solutions like the Lightning Network has made Bitcoin transactions faster and cheaper. This has improved real-world usability and expanded the global user base. In 2025, Bitcoin continues to gain momentum, breaking new records and cementing its role as one of the world’s most important financial assets. The combination of spot ETF approvals, political backing, macroeconomic shifts, and ongoing tech innovation has created fertile ground for its growth. With each passing day, BTC becomes increasingly attractive to both institutional and retail investors — setting the stage for further gains in the coming years. Still, Bitcoin’s future will depend on how crypto regulations evolve, the pace of technological breakthroughs, and global economic conditions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
BTC/USDT 1H: Bullish Continuation Setup – Long Opportunity Above🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates! [ b]Current Market Conditions (Confidence Level: 8/10): Price at $94,627, showing strong bullish momentum with a clear structure of higher highs and higher lows. Hidden bullish divergence spotted on RSI, indicating potential for continued upside. Market Makers appear to be accumulating aggressively, with strong buy pressure noted in recent price action. Key Levels: Resistance: $95,400 (Fair Value Gap area) Support: $93,600 (FVG + prior resistance retest) Critical Support: $93,200 Trade Setup (Long Bias): Entry: Optimal between $94,200 – $94,400 zone. Targets: T1: $95,400 T2: $96,000 Stop Loss: $93,100 (safely below FVG and critical support). Risk Score: 7/10 – Bullish market structure supports the setup, but proximity to local highs introduces moderate risk of short-term pullback. Key Observations: Accumulation signs present with bullish candle formations and volume increases. RSI supports continuation, with hidden bullish divergence strengthening the setup. FVG areas at $93,600 and $95,400 crucial for validating the move. Recommendation: Long positions favored with tight risk management. Consider partial profit at $95,400 to de-risk, and leave a runner towards $96,000. Watch price action closely around $95,400 for signs of rejection or breakout. 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
Long
by Cryptokijker