Did you Know ?!!!Did you really think that profiting from the current bull run (a comprehensive upward market) would be easy? Don't be naive. Do you think they will let you buy, hold, and sell at low levels without any struggle? If it were that simple, everyone would be rich. But the truth is: 90% of you will lose. Why? Because the crypto market is not designed for everyone to win. They will shake you. They will make you doubt everything. They will panic you and sell at the worst possible moment. Do you know what happens next? The best players in this game buy when there is fear, not sell; because your panic gives them cheap assets. This is how the game goes: strong hands feed off weak hands. They exaggerate every dip, every correction, every sale. They make it look like the end of the world so that you abandon everything, and when the market starts up again, you'll sit there saying, "What the heck just happened?" This is not an accident. It's a system. The market rewards patience and punishes weak emotions. The big players already know your thoughts. They know exactly when and how to stir fear to make you give up. Because when you panic, they profit. They don't play the market. They play you. That's why most people never succeed. Because they fall into the same traps over and over again. People don't realize that dips, FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt), and panic are all part of the plan. But the winners? They digest the noise. They know that fear is temporary, but smart decisions last forever. We've seen this hundreds of times. They pump the market after you sell. They take your assets, hold them, and sell them to you at the top, leaving you with nothing, wondering how it happened. Don't play their game. Play your own.
1-BTCUSD
December 17 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
The Nasdaq indicator will be announced at 10:30 in a little while.
Today, I made a strategy through a very fair vote.
If the strategy fails, there is a possibility of sideways movement and additional adjustments after tomorrow, so
please note.
Today, I will start the strategy for a 5% probability vertical rise.
*When the red finger moves
Long position strategy
1. 106,891 dollars long position entry section / When the purple support line is broken
or when section 1 is touched, stop loss price
2. 108,784.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Good 2nd -> Great 3rd
107,843.5 dollars in the middle
is a textbook-like autonomous long position section
If the purple parallel line support line is maintained until the daily candle is created
Is it valid?
Also, rather than proceeding aggressively today,
all patterns were restored after the report was updated,
and since the 15-minute Bollinger Band support line has not been touched even once,
we tried to enter the rising pattern and decided the game.
On the other hand, there is a possibility of a vertical decline in Tether Dominance.
From the touch of the 1st section at the bottom,
the short-term pattern is broken, and there is a possibility of additional adjustment after tomorrow,
so if the strategy succeeds within the purple parallel line support line today,
it is definitely good.
The 2nd section at the very bottom
is the 1+4 section,
so if the strategy fails today,
keep it open until 2.
As explained in the video,
when Bitcoin is in an upward trend, it will go together with the major altcoins,
and after the adjustment, there is a high possibility of a cyclical pumping from the minor altcoins in the rebound.
Since you have been spreading it hard, it is time to reap it now, right?
Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only.
I hope that you will operate safely with the principle of trading and cut-off price.
Thank you for reading.
Bitcoin Tests Key Support: Eyes on $103KBitcoin is technically bullish in the 4-Hour chart. However, it gave up bullish move from the last days and is now testing the key support zone near $103,033.
1. A pullback to retest the $103,032 with a dip below it, followed by a strong rebound above this level will push Bitcoin price towards $108,550 (dashed green projection).
2. A decisive move towards $108,550 and breakout with confidence could pave the way for further upward momentum towards $113,692(solid green projection).
3. If Bitcoin fails to hold above $103,032 and breaks below this level without a swift recovery, it could indicate a loss of bullish strength and Bitcoin chart will turn to neutral. This may trigger increased bearish activity, leading to sideways movement or a potential decline toward the $99,108 support level (red projections).
BITCOIN's Distribution, Greed and Dutch TulipsThe **Tulip Mania** of the 1630s was the original bubble—and it was as absurd as it was dramatic. Picture this: a single tulip bulb sold for the price of a luxurious Amsterdam townhouse. Traders flipped tulips like hotcakes, fortunes were made overnight, and the humble flower became a symbol of outrageous wealth and speculation.
Then, in February 1637, the fever broke. Buyers disappeared faster than a Dutch winter thaw, and the market collapsed like a poorly built dike. Those who had mortgaged their futures for tulips were left with nothing but petals and regret. It was a dazzling rise and a catastrophic fall—a timeless lesson in the dangers of speculative greed!
🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉
Why do I write about the Tulip Crash?
These days, not many young Trader and Investors know about it. And why not learn from the past?
Happy profits all.
BTCUSD Needs Correction.Everything that goes up comes down. Be ready guys sooner or later we will see bitcoin going for a strong support region on the daily timeframe. The condition of the alt coins can be bad as they can capitulate to lower levels fast even if bitcoin takes a 10% correction. Alt coins will bleed badly if BTC does his usual thing.
"Breakout Confirmed: MEME/USDT Poised for 250% Gains – Don’t MisHere’s an overview of the MEME/USDT chart, pointing out its potential to increase in value by 250% or more in the next few months.
Important Findings
Breaking above a downward trend line.
A clear downward trendline was crossed in early November 2024, showing a change from a negative to a positive outlook.
After the price increased, it has now become steady, which means people might be gathering more before the next big change.
Important Support Points:
0. 01262 (current breakout level): This is a key level for support right now.
Below this, 0. 01200 acts as strong support, keeping the price above important low points.
Important Levels Where Prices Might Stop Rising (Target Areas):
0. 02122: The first big obstacle. If it goes above this point, it could start a big rise.
002500: The next goal after breaking out, which is the same as the last highest point.
003311: A medium-term goal that matches earlier supply areas.
004732: This is the last key resistance point, which could lead to a profit of about 250% to 300% from the current price.
MACD Analysis: Understanding MACD is about looking at two moving averages to help predict the price trends of a stock. It can tell us when to buy or sell by showing the momentum of price changes.
The CM_Ult_MACD and MACDRe indicators suggest that momentum is slowing down and may start to go up soon.
When the histogram shows positive divergence and the red bars are getting smaller, it might mean that there is a chance for more upward movement in the market.
Amount and Market Setup:
The amount of trading seems stable after the price went up, showing that the market is settling down.
A big increase in trading activity when prices go up can show that investors are interested and that the upward trend will keep going.
Story of Investing for Medium-Term Profits
Technical Breakout Setup: The price has moved up from a long period of decline and is now settling down, which suggests that people are starting to buy more.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: There's a small chance of losing money at the support level of 0. 012, but there's a big chance to make money, reaching between 0. 03311 and 004732
250% Target Reason: The main resistance points match up with past price patterns and show a slow return to a positive trend.
Planning When to Start and Stop:
Start buying at a price around 0. 01239 to 001262
Stop-Loss: Under 0. 01200 (a solid support area).
Profit Goals:
0. 02122 (Goal for the short term: about 75% increase)
0. 03311 (Goal for the middle of the term: about 150% increase)
0. 04732 (Goal: about 280-300% profit)
This chart setup provides:
Low risk with a clear point to stop losses.
Big chances for profit with possible returns over 250%.
A clear confirmation of a breakout and positive MACD signals are boosting confidence in continued price increases.
Entering the volatility period
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If USDT and USDC continue their gap uptrend, I think it is a sign that funds are flowing into the coin market.
I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and be maintained or continue to fall.
Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near the M-Signal indicator or Fibonacci ratio 0.5 (57.95) on the 1W chart.
The decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market.
The USDT dominance is expected to touch around 2.84 at the most.
Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near 3.99-4.16.
If the USDT dominance rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to show a sharp decline.
Therefore, if it is maintained above 4.97, I think the coin market is likely to turn into a downtrend.
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
If BTC continues to rise like this, I also hope so.
However, since the StochRSI indicator is maintained at 100 and the StochRSI EMA indicator is approaching 100, BTC will eventually show a downward trend.
Therefore, even if it continues to rise further, it will touch the Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85) and show a downward trend.
The StochRSI indicator does not tell us how much the fluctuation will occur.
If it starts to decline,
1st: 87.8K-89K
2nd: 79.9K-80.9K
There is a possibility that it will touch the 1st and 2nd areas above.
If not, and it shows a sideways pattern, it seems that volatility is likely to occur when touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
The volatility period on the 1W chart is around the week including December 23rd.
Therefore, it can be seen that the volatility period is from December 16th to January 5th.
If the BW(100) indicator or the HA-High indicator is newly created during the volatility period, it is important to see if it can be supported near it.
-
(1D chart)
I will update after a new candle is created.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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FARTCOIN Ready to Go Down?I usually don't cover highly speculative altcoins like CRYPTO:FARTCOINUSD but when I looked at the chart, it looked a clean 5 wave up complete. It looks ready to begin the correction from here. Difficult to say how this correction would unfold, i.e. ABC, WXY, WXYXZ. It should do a minimum of 38.2% retracement of the whole rise, though I would be open to much bigger correction (>50%).
Having said that, exercise caution given the highly speculative nature of this coin. This view gets invalidated if the high of 0.92305 is breached.
dxy drops to $88Gm.
It has taken us a while to get to where we are today, and I’m excited to share an update on the DXY this fine morning as I sip the tastiest coffee in all the lands.
Two years ago, around this time, I called the top on the DXY via:
We have yet to surpass that high, and today I bring you an exciting update. The DXY has officially confirmed the drop that is to come by rejecting a target we've been eyeing for the last quarter of the year.
While there’s always a chance it could go slightly higher, I’ve included one target above the recent rejection.
If my primary theory plays out, the DXY will see a sharp decline below $90 by the end of 2025. This will also coincide with the creation of a "top" in the global liquidity index.
This Season is Different....Seriously, no "crypto guru" i've found mentions how BTC.D started high AND DIVED at the start of a btc-then-alt-season run.... NONE... meanwhile this season BTC.D and BTC only keep up with eachother...
What is different about this cycle?
My thoughts: institutions are heavily involved THIS RUN... they bought in during the bear season. They know how to **** most traders out. Thats what we have here...
They are coming for all these previous success story DEGEN's and their money.
Don't be next.
PS: im invested and DONT hope for what I'm seeing... IDK.
BTCUSD - Am I Underestimating the Bulls? Following this channel the prediction allows a 3M Bitcoin which is a bit crazy but could it happen?
Its still within the long term channel up and is the top point of this channel
Weekly timeframe
Anyone want to add some thoughts? Perhaps a rise of 4800% is too much?
Why MSTR Could Hit $350 by April 2025Why MSTR Could Hit $350 by April 2025
MicroStrategy (MSTR) has positioned itself uniquely in the financial landscape by heavily investing in Bitcoin, making it not just a tech firm but also a significant player in the cryptocurrency space. Here's why MSTR might reach $350 by April 2025:
Bitcoin's Performance and MicroStrategy's Strategy:
Bitcoin has been on an upward trajectory, with recent spikes fueled by events like political developments (e.g., Trump's crypto-friendly stance). If Bitcoin continues this trend or even surpasses expectations, MSTR's stock, which acts almost as a leveraged bet on Bitcoin, could see substantial gains. Analysts have noted a strong positive correlation between Bitcoin's price and MSTR's stock value, sometimes suggesting a premium on MSTR due to its Bitcoin strategy.
MicroStrategy's Bold Bitcoin Acquisition:
Recent posts on X have highlighted MicroStrategy's commitment to the biggest Bitcoin buy ever at $42B. This aggressive accumulation could signal to investors that MSTR believes in a significant future value increase for Bitcoin, thereby potentially boosting investor confidence in MSTR shares.
Market Sentiment and Institutional Interest:
There's growing institutional interest in Bitcoin, which benefits companies like MicroStrategy. For instance, South Korea’s National Pension Service's investment in MSTR indicates a broader acceptance of crypto through established companies. Such moves could lead to increased demand for MSTR stock, pushing its price higher.
Inclusion in Major Indices:
Discussions around MSTR's potential inclusion in major indices like the S&P 500 could significantly boost its stock price. If MSTR becomes eligible for such an index due to its market cap or liquidity, it would attract more institutional investors, driving the price up.
Earnings and Accounting Changes:
With the adoption of new accounting standards allowing for digital assets to be measured at fair value, MSTR could report more favorable earnings. This could lead to a re-rating of the stock as the market recognizes the true value of its Bitcoin holdings, potentially pushing the stock towards the $350 mark or beyond.
Bullish Predictions and Analyst Upgrades:
Analysts from various platforms have shown optimism, with some forecasts indicating that MSTR could trade between $175.94 and $310.25 by 2025. While these aren't exact to $350, the sentiment is clear: there's an expectation of significant growth.
Supply Shock from Bitcoin Halving:
The Bitcoin halving event, which reduces the reward for mining new blocks, historically impacts Bitcoin's price positively due to the reduced supply growth rate. If this event leads to a substantial Bitcoin price increase, MSTR's stock should follow suit.
Macro-Economic Environment:
If the global economic environment continues to favor alternative investments like cryptocurrencies, MSTR, with its Bitcoin strategy, stands to benefit. Lower interest rates or inflation fears might drive more capital towards assets like Bitcoin, indirectly benefiting MSTR.
BITCOIN is incredibly bullish on Xmas! Insane chart showing 145kBitcoin / BTCUSD historically has an explosive price action during Christmas days of Halving years.
Before every Christmas day, BTC is already on a rally that is supported by the 1day MA50, which forms a pre Christmas accumulation through a Channel Up.
Incredibly enough, the rally tops post Christmas on January 8th on the 5.0 Fibonacci extension from the Channel Up.
If that symmetry holds this year as well, then the crazy projection for Jan 8th 2025 is 145000!
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
FEDEX AT MY LEVEL DEC17 2024Last post about FEDEX when it was trading around 284 was to wait for 275s. Here we are at 275 &expect to hit all time high or at least 315 asap.
I don't trade news so I am not worried about earnings.
I am a price action trader.
Trade safely as per you RR & risk tolerance levels.
BTC | ETH | ALTSEASONBitcoin is trading just underneath yet another ATH, and I'm watching the ETH chart in anticipation for a new ETH All Time High - there is just no way that BTC makes such a marvelous high and Eth stays behind.
The beauty of this, furthermore, is that during and especially AFTER a new ETH ATH, we can expect to see more rallies across the alt market, especially on the coins that have been lagging behind. This however, will also signal the beginning of the end of the bullish cycle.
This post specifically delves into more detail on TOTAL3, BTC.D and the Bitcoin chart. You can to watch it for key indications as to when the bullish cycle is turning bearish:
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CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D BINANCE:ETHUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin is Teasing $105K: Bullish Breakout Ahead?Bitcoin has exhibited bullish momentum yesterday and now is teasing the intraday resistance level near $105,140. However, given the current market conditions, caution remains essential as price action could develop in either direction.
Ideally, I would like to see either (A) a pullback to retest the $103,032 level, followed by a bounce back above this level, or (B) sustained break-out above $105,140. These scenarios would increase the likelihood of a bullish continuation toward the next major resistance zone between $107,655 and $108,550 (Green Projections).
On the flip side, if Bitcoin drops below the $103,032 level and fails to recover quickly, it may signal a shift in momentum. This could lead to increased bearish pressure, sideways price action with a potential retest of support at $99,108 (Red Projections).
Traders should monitor these key levels closely for confirmation of the next major move.
BTC manipulated as fuck...... so, you can see how price move, big players ( Binance futures, whales,...) squize out our money, throw out leverage traders and many more... because of BTC altcoins bleed too...
... and now BlackRock and GaryScale wanna have inpact control too, so, they buy BTC cover under ETF... so, in long run, price will go up... my opinion
short 107900 with tp at 100500 sound legit target it will go here easily and i think much more or bit more
but for no risk i take this legit target after the rally he just done its amazing
i not make stop loss in this scenario coz if he go to 110 000 i will had 1 lot and keep my target
if he go 115 000 same...no leverage if u have small balance then apply your RR