1-BTCUSD
Bitcoin's Current PlaybookBollinger Bands Squeeze:
- Price is compressing near the basis ($97,100) with narrowing bands (volatility = 809 ATR).
- A breakout above $98,331 or breakdown below $95,869 could trigger a strong directional move.
Momentum Indicators:
- RSI (48.66): Neutral, but RSI-based MA (53.57) hints at slight bullish divergence forming.
- MACD: Bearish crossover (MACD < Signal line), but histogram (-18) shows weakening downward momentum.
Volume & Trend Strength:
- Low ADX (14.52) confirms weak trend – consolidation phase.
- Volume is muted (391), typical before a volatility spike.
Scenarios to Watch:
🔵 Bull Case:
- A 4H close above $98,331 (Upper BB) targets $100,000+, especially with rising volume.
- MACD reversal + RSI breaking above 55 would confirm bullish momentum.
🔴 Bear Case:
- Breakdown below $95,869 (Lower BB) opens path to $94,500 (Zoomed-in chart support) and possibly $92,100.
- Watch for MACD histogram deepening into negative territory.
Strategic Takeaway:
- Aggressive Traders: Scalp the range between $95,869 – $98,331.
- Conservative Traders: Wait for a confirmed breakout with volume surge.
- Risk Note: Always pair entries with stops (e.g., 1.5x ATR = ~1,200 points).
SOL/USDThello friends
Due to the price drop and the new bottom, now we have two scenarios:
1_ According to its downward trend, the price hits the resistance range and hits a new bottom.
2- The price succeeds in breaking the resistance range and our trend becomes upward.
In our opinion, scenario 1 is more tolerant.
*Trade safely with us*
DOGE at Make-or-Break LevelsTechnical Analysis & Patterns
1. Descending Channel:
- DOGE is trapped in a downtrend with lower highs and lows. A break above $0.30 could reverse this pattern.
2. Death Cross Risk:
- The 50-day EMA is nearing a bearish crossover with the 200-day EMA, signaling potential prolonged weakness.
3. Oversold Indicators:
- RSI (28.57) and Stochastic (%K = 6.48) suggest DOGE is oversold, raising hopes for a bounce.
4. Fibonacci Targets:
- Long-term bullish scenarios project $4.10, $10.04, and even $36.32 if DOGE breaks its decade-long ascending channel.
Whale Activity & Market Sentiment
- 560M DOGE Accumulated: Whales are buying aggressively despite recent sell-offs, signaling confidence in a rebound.
- MVRV Ratio (-15.5%): DOGE is in the "opportunity zone," historically a reversal point.
- Fear & Greed Index: Neutral (51), reflecting cautious optimism.
Bullish vs. Bearish Situations
✅ Bullish Factors:
- Whale accumulation and exchange outflows ( GETTEX:13M ) hint at reduced selling pressure.
- Oversold RSI/Stochastic readings suggest a technical bounce.
- Elon Musk’s influence (e.g., integration into projects) remains a wildcard.
❌ Bearish Risks:
- Death Cross formation could trigger panic selling.
- Failure to hold $0.144 support may lead to a drop toward $0.12.
- High volatility (16.12% monthly) amplifies downside risks.
Community & Meme Appeal
Dogecoin’s loyal community and meme-driven narrative continue to fuel its relevance. Analysts highlight its potential to rally during bull markets, similar to 2021’s 15,000% surge. However, skeptics argue its lack of utility and unlimited supply cap long-term gains.
Key Takeaways
1. Make-or-Break Zone: DOGE’s price hinges on $0.144–$0.16 support. A bounce here could ignite a 25–50% rally.
2. Whale Watch: Large holders’ actions will dictate short-term momentum.
3. Elon Factor: Any endorsement or integration news could trigger volatility.
4. Technical Caution: Death Cross or breakdown below $0.12 would invalidate bullish setups.
BITCOIN analysis in 2H TFGiven the bearish structure, lower highs (H) and lower lows (L), and the formation of a resistance line, we can expect the price to move downward toward the demand zone.
The price may react to the demand zone.
A 4-hour candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
invalidation level: 100284$
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
Bitcoin Priced in Gold Macro Resistance Rejection CorrectionBTCGOLD monthly line chart, which uses monthly close data.
Obvious long term resistance line and clear major topping pattern on the most recent maximum showing connection with the last market cycle top (both of them.)
What does it mean? It means there's useful information in the BTCGOLD chart that isn't priced in. It also means the most recent correction is a rejection at major resistance, which could indicate further downside risk.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-18 : GAP PotentialAs the markets continue to struggle to break away from the current consolidated/sideways price trend, one thing is certain: The current FLAG/EPP pattern is setting up an explosive price move.
My expectations are for a price breakdown, as my predictive modeling and GANN Cycle Patterns suggest that Major Bottoms will set up near February 21 and March 21-23.
These major Bottoms suggest a strong potential for a price breakdown, reflecting uncertainty for the first half of 2025.
Additionally, I believe the strength of the US Dollar is driving a "Capital Shift," where foreign capital is actively moving away from currency and economic risks, pooling aggressively into the safest currency and assets. This translates into capital pooling into US, UK, and EURO assets to avoid broader currency devaluation events.
The dynamics of the global markets are very interesting right now. The influx of capital into the strongest economies with the strongest currencies may present a MELT-UP type of market trend. However, the uncertainty related to future US economic growth and performance may prompt some deep downturns/pullbacks in price.
I don't see how the US markets can move past the economic turmoil of broad government restructuring until after June/July 2025.
Therefore, I continue to urge traders to stay cautious of any melt-up trend. The markets want to move higher, but there are currently extreme volatility risks related to any potential price breakdowns.
I'm watching Gold/Silver and Bitcoin to see if we move back into any euphoric phase. And right now, I'm seeing metals starting to move into a type of panic selloff while Bitcoin is struggling to regain any real strength.
The continued sideways trend of Bitcoin leads me to believe the euphoria is diminishing, and reality may be setting in. That means we may be in for a bumpy ride over the next 90+ days.
Stay fluid and stay cautious of any big breakdowns.
Get some.
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Is Bitcoin heading for an 8% drop from here?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Bitcoin , 📚💡
Given the current volume levels and Bitcoin's failure to sustain above the daily trendline and key resistance levels, there is a significant risk of a decline, potentially up to 8% or more. While we may observe brief upward movements in the form of green candles, these would likely be temporary retracements within the larger bearish trend. Several strong support levels have been lost, reinforcing the expectation of further downside. My primary target for this move is $88,000 . 📚🙌
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Bitcoin may drop by at least 8% due to failed support at key levels, with temporary upward moves likely before further decline, targeting $88,000. 📚✨
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Bitcoin Price Update: Market Consolidation ContinuesBitcoin Trading in a Defined Range
For the past 90 days, Bitcoin has been consolidating within a high time-frame (HTF) range of $108,000 to $90,000. Despite ongoing speculation about whether this phase represents distribution or re-accumulation, a decisive breakout in either direction is imminent.
Current Price Action and Market Structure
At present, Bitcoin is trading around the Point of Control (POC) within this range, experiencing a tight daily fluctuation of 3-4% over the last few days. This low volatility phase suggests that a major move is on the horizon.
Technical Indicators and Market Sentiment
Bitcoin’s price is currently positioned below the 55-day Exponential Moving Average (55EMA)(Blue) and above the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (100EMA)(Red). While EMAs in this consolidation phase do not provide clear directional cues, they indicate that the bullish market structure remains intact as long as Bitcoin holds the $90,000 support level.
Potential Breakout and Expected Price Movement
Historically, when Bitcoin gets squeezed between key moving averages, a significant breakout follows. Given the current setup, a $4,000 to $5,000 price swing can be expected, depending on which side breaks first.
Final Thoughts
As Bitcoin hovers within this range, the market anticipates a high-volatility move. Whether Bitcoin will push toward a new all-time high or dip into deeper correction territory depends on upcoming macroeconomic trends and market sentiment. Stay tuned for real-time Bitcoin price analysis to navigate the next big move effectively.
February 17 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis
Hello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is no Nasdaq indicator announcement today.
Long waiting based on the rising pattern in Nasdaq
The best short entry section in Tether Dominance came out at the mid-term point.
There is a possibility of a gap reversal at the top and I may miss the entry point today, so
I operated aggressively.
*One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves
1. Pursue purchase at $96,252.5 / Stop loss when the purple support line breaks away or when the 2nd section is touched
2. Top section 1st target -> Good 2nd target
Short position switching when the Good section is reached
Movement within the 1st and 2nd sections at the top is a sideways market.
There may be a strong decline from the 2nd section breakaway,
so those who are operating long positions should be careful.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only.
I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
This trading plan made me gain 1000 points of profit
BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Late yesterday, I came up with a perfect trading plan based on Bitcoin trend analysis. This plan successfully allowed me to gain 1,000 pips of profit. I think some great traders saw my trading plan at the time, and now they must be as happy and excited as I am. Of course, this makes me feel very proud and satisfied that my selfless efforts have helped more traders.
Next, I will continue to share my accurate trading plan, so that I can help more traders and stop them from being confused by investment failures!!!
Mr. Baker
Bitcoin’s Struggle Continues: Key Levels to WatchBitcoin’s price action over the past two months has been frustrating, with the price stuck in a range.
The brief drop to the 90K zone following Trump’s tax announcement was quickly reversed. However, after a spike above 100K, BTC has once again been consolidating below this key level for the past two weeks.
At the time of writing, BTC/USD is sitting on newly formed support at 95K. A break below this level could lead to another test of 90K.
If bulls fail to hold the 90K support, the price could extend its decline, potentially dropping to 85K in the first instance.
BTCUSD - Endless BullrunPlotting a trend channel shift that allows BTC to continue a legendary run
This curve is something I have seen online and thought it hodls merit
Vertical lines are tops along the channel with some speculative bars patterns showing how price may continue up
This chart removes my doubt that BTC may crash as it allows continuation
Weekly timeframe
New ratio chart: $TOTAL2/$BTCToday we are looking at a new ratio chart where we plot the CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 (Crypto market cap without Bitcoin) vs CRYPTOCAP:BTC market cap. As we see from the chart the ratio chart as we see is making lower lows and lower highs. ALTCOINS are bleeding against the CRYPTOCAP:BTC in this Crypto market cycle. The long-awaited ALTCOIN rally is still missing in this crypto market cycle.
With TVC:US10Y holding onto the 4.5% level there is very little respite from the pressure on the ALTCOIN market. The recent meltdown of the meme coin market is also adding pain to the $CRYPTOCAP:TOATAL2 Market cap.
If we plot the Fib retracement level from the top to the bottom in the ratio chart, then we see that the chart is @ 0.236 level. The chart pattern is not bullish, and it is still below the 0.236 Fib level. The chart is bearish and maybe the Ratio CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 / CRYPTOCAP:BTC touches 0.36. May be by then the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D @ 66% as predicted in my blog on 9th Feb 2025.
BITCOIN The road to 150k is wide open.Bitcoin / BTCUSD is consolidating on the very same Fibonaci level it did during the previous Cycle.
As you see, it was on the 0.786 Fibonacci that BTC traded sideways 4 years ago during January-February 2021.
With the 1week MA50 as the support, it made a November 2021 Cycle Top.
According to this, we can easily see $150k by the end of this year.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Bitcoin - This Cycle Is Pretty Clear!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still 100% bullish:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It is actually quite a surprise that we did not see new all time highs on Bitcoin for the past two months. However we had the same thing happening back in 2017 before Bitcoin actually finished the cycle with a parabolic blow off top. So we all know what is very likely to happen next.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Will BTC Drop to 93K Before Moving HigBitcoin is currently trading around $95,304, showing signs of consolidation after its recent bullish momentum. Based on the current market structure, there is a possibility that BTC may drop to $93,000 before making a move towards the highlighted supply zone.
📉 Potential Move to $93,000?
Looking at the price action, Bitcoin appears to be forming a retracement pattern. If the bearish pressure continues, we could see BTC testing the $93K support level, which may act as a liquidity grab before a reversal.
📌 Key Supply Zone to Watch
The highlighted zone between $105,624 - $111,075 is a crucial resistance area. If Bitcoin reaches this level, it could face strong selling pressure, making it an ideal area for short opportunities.
💡 Trading Plan:
If BTC drops to $93K, it could be a liquidity grab before a move higher.
Watch the $105K - $111K area for potential sell setups.
A rejection from this zone could lead to a new bearish wave.
🚀 What do you think? Will BTC hit $93K before heading toward this supply zone? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🔥