Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Sell Limit Trade IdeaTRADENATION:BTCUSD Bitcoin has formed a double top pattern, confirmed by a breakdown below 89,199, signalling potential for further downside. Additionally, a bearish flag breakdown in recent sessions suggests continuation lower.
This morning’s gap down highlights market weakness, but a fill of this gap at $83,543 may offer an ideal entry for short positions.
Trade Details
Entry (Sell Limit): 83,543
Stop Loss: 87,992
Take Profit: 70,613
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.9:1
Key Levels
Resistance:
R1: $83,543 (Entry Point)
R2: $85,819
R3: $88,767
Support:
S1 : 76,590
S2: 70,531
S3: 63,411
Technical & Fundamental Factors
✅ Double Top Formation – Breakdown below 89,199 confirms bearish momentum.
✅ Bearish Flag Breakdown – Indicates continuation of the current downtrend.
✅ Gap Lower – Signals further weakness; gap fill at 83,543 offers a selling opportunity.
⚠️ Smart Money Not Buying – Commercial participants are selling Bitcoin, suggesting a lack of institutional support.
Summary
This setup offers a high-probability short opportunity at 83,543, targeting a move down to 70,613, with a stop at 87,992. The combination of technical breakdowns and weak institutional demand supports a bearish outlook.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
1-BTCUSD
Bitcoin - Where will Bitcoin go?!Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. The continuation of Bitcoin’s downward trend and its placement in the demand zone will provide us with the opportunity to buy it again.
The continued rise of Bitcoin will also lead to testing of selling transactions from the supply zone. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
Since March 14, inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have maintained a positive trend. For seven consecutive days, these ETFs have recorded net capital inflows without any outflows. This marks the first instance in 2025 of such a consistent streak of inflows into Bitcoin ETFs.
The assets under management (AUM) of actively managed ETFs in the United States have surged over the past two years, surpassing $1 trillion—a more than threefold increase. This remarkable growth indicates a rising investor interest in strategies beyond index-based funds.
Bitcoin had an overall positive week, whereas the S&P 500 and global equity markets suffered declines due to ongoing concerns over tariffs and persistent inflation. The S&P 500 closed the week lower, dropping to $5,580—just 1.2% above its recent low from March 13. Meanwhile, despite experiencing pullbacks, Bitcoin remains 9.3% above its previous low of $77,000, recorded on March 10.
Strategy, following its latest acquisition, now holds 2.41% of the total global Bitcoin supply.Given that a significant portion of Bitcoin has either been lost or remains dormant in wallets, this stake represents nearly 4% of the actively circulating supply.
About a month and a half ago, Eric Trump, son of former President Donald Trump, tweeted that it was the perfect time to buy Ethereum. Since that tweet, however, Ethereum’s price has dropped by approximately 35%. This highlights the risk of making investment decisions solely based on endorsements from well-known individuals.
Trump Media & Technology Group, owned by U.S. President Donald Trump, has announced a partnership with the cryptocurrency exchange Crypto.com to launch a range of exchange-traded products (ETPs) and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). This includes a multi-crypto ETF (the first of its kind) and ETPs comprising digital assets and securities from various sectors, including the energy industry. Crypto.com will provide the underlying technology, custodial solutions, and crypto asset management services.
In the second half of March, the cryptocurrency market experienced a significant rebound, reigniting optimism among traders. However, historical analysis suggests that the crypto market often moves contrary to mainstream expectations. When bullish sentiment—such as the phrase “To the Moon”—becomes widespread on social media, it may signal an impending price drop. Conversely, when negative sentiments like “Crypto is dead” or “Bitcoin is a scam” become dominant, this could indicate a potential price surge.
Therefore, investors should pay close attention to market sentiment and exercise caution in their decision-making. Recognizing that markets may move against the prevailing consensus can help in formulating more strategic investment approaches.
BTC/USDT: Range-Bound Movement with Rebound Potential from Key SThe BTC/USDT market recently tested last week’s high but pulled back after encountering resistance near the 89,000 level. On the daily timeframe, the latest candle formed a doji, signaling weakening selling pressure.
The price has reached the two-week low, where underlying liquidity may trigger a bounce—especially around the psychological 80,000 level. With the market consolidating after recent sell-offs, a move toward the 85,000 area is possible. A monthly doji close is also anticipated, reflecting the broader indecision. The next upside target is the resistance zone around 84,000
BTCUSDTAccording to this analysis, if the price reaches around $70,000 in a corrective structure with a time-consuming and low momentum in the form of wave F, it may grow to around $120,000 and even higher in the form of wave G.
But it seems that the ideal buying point is around $60,000 and the origin of the breakout node. In this case, of course, we will have a strong wave F, which means that we must be a little flexible in the possible targets of wave G.
In terms of time, late June, July and early August are the ideal time areas for the end of wave F, and late 2025 and early 2026 are the time areas for the end of the two waves G.
BITCOIN This is why it will make new ATH this year.The simplest explanation is perhaps sometimes the best. In this context, this is a simple yet powerful Bitcoin (BTCUSD) chart, showing why the Bull Cycle hasn't peaked yet and why a new All Time High (ATH) is coming by the end of 2025.
So, this is the 12M time-frame, essentially each BTC candle represents 1 whole year (12 months). If you are familiar with BTC's 4-year Cycles, which we've been discussing regularly and in-depth on this channel, then it makes perfect sense to see the market peak, then decline for 1 year and then spend the remaining 3 making a Bull Cycle that will ultimately peak on the 4th year.
Practically each Cycle so far had 1 year of Bear Cycle and 3 years of Bull Cycle with the 3rd one always making a new All Time High (ATH) towards the end.
1 red candle followed by 3 green ones. Simplistic yet delivering a powerful message that since we are currently on Year 3 of the Bull Cycle, there are far more greater probabilities to end this 12M (1 year) candle in green as well and with a new ATH.
So what do you think? Ae we getting this fat green 2025 yearly candle or this time will be different? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC - Lots of options going into the new week!In this BTCUSDT 4-hour chart analysis on Bybit, we see price action reaching a crucial decision point. Key Fibonacci retracement levels, a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and the Golden Pocket zone indicate potential movements ahead. Will BTC break down, retrace to fill the imbalance, or rally toward the golden pocket? Let’s analyze the key levels.
Key Observations:
🔹 Golden Pocket Resistance: The highlighted yellow zone marks the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement of the greater downtrend, a well-known high-probability reversal area. If BTC reaches this level, we could see strong resistance.
🔹 Fair Value Gap (FVG): The blue zone represents an unfilled imbalance left behind during the recent downward move. If BTC retraces, it could fill this gap before deciding on the next direction.
🔹 0.618 - 0.65 Fib Support: The price is currently hovering near a local golden pocket support area. A strong reaction here could trigger a bullish move. However, failure to hold this level could send BTC lower.
Potential Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish Breakout: BTC bounces from the current level, fills the FVG, and continues upward to test the golden pocket resistance. A breakout above this zone could confirm a bullish trend shift.
2️⃣ Short-Term FVG Fill & Rejection: BTC moves up to fill the FVG but faces selling pressure, leading to another bearish move before a larger decision point.
3️⃣ Bearish Breakdown: BTC fails to hold the local support and breaks downward, continuing the broader downtrend toward lower liquidity zones.
What’s Your Prediction?
Which scenario do you think is most likely—1️⃣ Bullish Breakout, 2️⃣ FVG Fill & Rejection, or 3️⃣ Bearish Breakdown? Comment below and let’s discuss! 🚀📉📊
Bitcoin: tariffs and inflationFor one more week investors were not happy with developments over trade tariffs and inflation expectations. The US equity markets finished the week in red, and BTC was just following the general sentiment. During the first half of the week, BTC was trying to reach higher grounds, above the $ 88K, however, the new stories regarding tariffs and especially Friday's University of Michigan inflation expectation sentiment of US consumers, brought another sell-off day. The BTC ended the week at the level of $82,4K.
The RSI tried to breach the 50 level in order to start a path toward the overbought market side, however, the indicator ended the week at the level of 44. At this moment, it is questionable whether the market is eyeing the oversold market side for one more time. It is more likely that the investors are uncertain which side to trade. Significant developments are also with MA50 and MA200 lines, which are converging toward each other for some time now, pointing to a probability of a cross within a few weeks from now. This time, it will be a so-called dead cross, implying a BTCs potential for further decrease in value.
Current charts are showing a potential for BTC to move toward both sides during the week ahead. On an upside, there is some probability for the levels above $85K, but not higher from $86K. On the opposite side, the support line at $80K might easily be the first stop of BTC in the week ahead. However, this is not a long term significant level, so in case that $80K is reached, the BTC will not spend too much time testing it. It should be considered that NFP and unemployment data for the US will be posted, so volatility will most probably continue also in the week ahead.
Bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 84,019.80
1st Support: 72,880.23
1st Resistance: 91,396.07
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BITCOIN Breaking Down – Is $78K Inevitable?COINBASE:BTCUSD is continuing its bearish trend after rejecting from the resistance level within the descending channel. The price formed a converging triangle at this level and broke out to the downside, confirming strong selling pressure.
If sellers maintain control at this level, we could see a drop toward the $78,000 level, which aligns with a key support level. This zone could serve as a short-term target within the current bearish market structure. However, failure to break below this support zone could invalidate the bearish outlook and signal a potential rebound.
Traders should monitor bearish confirmation signals, such as weak pullbacks, lower highs, or increasing selling volume, before entering short positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts here!
Bitcoin: Watching For Reversal 78K AREA.Bitcoin bear flag has become in play over the previous week as I anticipated in my previous week's analysis. While there is a potential minor support in the 81 to 80K area, the lower high established at 88K implies a lower low is likely to follow which can unfold this week. This scenario could see price retesting the 76K area low. There are a couple of potential opportunities that can present themselves in this situation.
The day trade long off the 81,500 area support (see thin rectangle and arrow). This would be appropriate for the smaller time frames like 30 min or lower. Waiting for price structure confirmations and looking for profit objectives that are proportionally within reason on your selected time frame (Trade Scanner Pro is ideal for this). Price may see smaller time frame reversal patterns between 81,500 and 80K numerous times. It is important to take proportional profits because there is NO guarantee the reversal will follow through especially in the face of a lower probability bounce (thanks to the lower high established at 88K).
The opportunity for larger time frames (like swing trades) is between 78 to 76K. This is the previous low and a broader double bottom formation can develop here. The confirmation patterns are the same as previously explained, except the profit objective can be much greater because of the magnitude of the levels in question. For example, if a long confirms at 78,500, risk would be like 2K points, profit objective would be 4K at minimum. Scaling out of a swing trade can also be considered here like selling half at 83.5K, another quarter at 84.5K and closing what is left at 85.5K. Scaling is a more advanced concept, if you find it confusing, just stick to a simple R:R of 2:1 or more all in all out in high potential situations.
While the broader trend in Bitcoin is still bullish, the short term structure is bearish until proven otherwise by price. Trying to piece together news, economic reports, etc., I find to be nothing but confusing and often counterintuitive to how the market actually reacts. This is why I rely ONLY on price structure and support/resistance levels. They are objective and help me align with the market intent (and why a lot of my anticipated scenarios happen to play out).
The fact that the short term structure is bearish implies support levels have a greater chance of breaking. This helps to shape my expectations, and also why it is so important to wait for confirmation. The reason I prefer longs over shorts in this situation is because I do not lose site of the BIG picture. The 76K to 73K area is VERY relevant location of a broader higher low. This is why you need to have a very deep understanding of the time frames you are using along with the potential and risks presented by reach one. The larger the time frame, the more weight it carries. The short term bearish trend is nothing more than a retrace of a broader BULLISH structure that has been in play since the 15K low a few years ago.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTCUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on BTCUSD
The price has successfully retested the $75,000 region however to complete the corrective wave we can expect to see BTC drop further to the $70,00 before another round of bullish runs.
A BUY trade opportunity is best looked at after the full retest of the $71k and $70k region before I begin to buy Bitcoin
However, the SELL opportunity is clear below FWB:65K which can be regarded as 202 extreme dip.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Trade Responsibly!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading.
Bitcoin hit that 236 Fib circle I warned you about- and now ?As we come to the end of the week, we see the potential for further drop as PA slides along that 236 Fib circle. ( Red)
It NEVER ceases to amaze me how PA reacts to Fib circles and yet, as if by magic, there is some Macro News at exactly the same time
On this occasion, It seems the US inflation figures on Friday caused this Drop in price.
This Chart is the daily verion of the Weekly chart i often post about weekly candle closes.
I trust this chart
The chance for a drop to arounf 75K is very real and if that fails, down to the 2 Fib extension arounf 68K, though I think that is unlikely
We do need to watch on which side of thois Fib circle PA sits tomorrow. - Idealy, it breaks through tonight and next week candle sits on the "Support" side on the circle.
If it remains as resistance, A Steep drop is highly likely.
In my opinion.
Daily MACD is turned down, heading towards it ssignal line. If that crosses, the Daily becomes very BEARISH
We have to wait and see what happens and be ready to react.
I do have SPOT buy orders around 78 K
If we Drop Lower, I will dig up some funds and buy more lol
WE WAIT FOR WEEKKY CLOSE
The Greatest Opportunity of Your Life : Answering QuestionsThis video is an answer to Luck264's question about potential price rotation.
I go into much more details because I want to highlight the need to keep price action in perspective related to overall (broader) and more immediate (shorter-term) trends.
Additionally, I try to highlight what I've been trying to tell all of you over the past 3+ years...
The next 3-%+ years are the GREATEST OPPORTUNITY OF YOUR LIFE.
You can't even imagine the potential for gains unless I try to draw it out for you. So, here you go.
This video highlights why price is the ultimate indicator and why my research/data is superior to many other types of analysis.
My data is factual, process-based, and results in A or B outcomes.
I don't mess around with too many indicators because I find them confusing at times.
Price tells me everything I need to know - learn what I do to improve your trading.
Hope you enjoy this video.
Get Some.
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Bearish Daily Setup - BTC/USD
### **📉 Bearish Daily Setup - BTC/USD**
**Bias**: Bearish
**Context**: Daily DR (Dealing Range) is broken, and price is rejecting premium level.
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### 🧠 **Narrative:**
Price traded into a daily FVG (Fair Value Gap) near **premium zone**, then formed a lower high. The daily **DR (Dealing Range)** was broken to the downside, showing bearish intent. We also see rejection from a marked supply area (pink zone), confirming seller presence.
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### 📌 **Entry:**
Sell entry around **84,600** (near retest of daily FVG & imbalance zone)
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### 🎯 **Targets:**
- **TP1**: 76,555 (Recent low / liquidity pool)
- **TP2**: 74,000 (Clean imbalance area)
- **TP3**: 73,383 (Final liquidity draw)
---
### 🛑 **Stop Loss:**
Above recent high / supply zone
**SL**: 88,762
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### 🔢 **RRR**: Approx. **1:4** (Excellent reward-to-risk)
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### 🧩 **Extra Confluences:**
- Daily FVG (imbalance) filled and rejected
- Supply zone respected
- DR broken
- Momentum shifted bearish
Road to riches - paved with good intentions Order block 1 day timer has yet to fall to the previous buy zone
Order block 1 hour timer just hit the bottom of a buy zone and may reverse to 800 zone.
The 4 hour order block is half way thru a plunge of 3 buy zones
Once 1 hour recovers and higher ones do too.
But how much further will we drop?
Right now we entering a high order block buy zone that can drop to 400 or 500 zone.
Be careful trading lower time frames - we are still seeing turbulence.
BTCUSD What Next? BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on BTCUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 82719 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 85417
Safe Stop Loss - 81310
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK