BITCOIN This is where the most aggressive part begins.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has turned sideways amidst the tariffs implementation today and on the longer picture (1W time-frame) it remains supported just above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). On this chart we display our Parabolic Growth Channel (PGC), which is the long-term Zone where BTC is a buy opportunity.
Throughout the market's historic Cycles, the time when BTC was supported above the 1W MA50 but still within its PGC was known as an Accumulation Phase (blue ellipse) before the final parabolic rally of the Cycle and its eventual Top (green Arc).
Based on this model, so far we haven't seen any such rally, despite the undoubtedly strong rallies of October 2023 - March 2024 and October 2024 - December 2024. Only the March 2024 and then the recent Tops can be counted as marginal breaches above the PGC and it's been no surprise that the market corrected back inside the Buy Zone but remained supported by the 1W MA50.
As long as it does, the probabilities of that final, most aggressive Cycle rally get stronger. On the last Cycle the peak was priced just above the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. That is currently a little below $170k and that is why our final Target is just below at $160000. Also right now we are marginally below the 0.618 Cycle top-to-top Fib, which is in line to where all previous final Cycle parabolic rallies started.
So do you think the 1W MA50 will now push BTC to its final Cycle rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
1-BTCUSD
BITCOIN - Long Trade Update - Third-of-a-Third Wave Incoming...In this video, I share an update on the developments I've observed since yesterday as we prepare for a move higher in a third-of-a-third wave.
As price movements become smaller and sharper at lower degrees, identifying the correct count becomes more challenging.
That’s why I always consider bearish alternatives and play devil’s advocate. However, at the moment, I don’t see any conflicting signals, so it’s just a matter of waiting for the next upward thrust to begin from here.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Analysis: Bearish Breakdown Ahead?🔥 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-Hour Chart Analysis 🔥
🔹 Trend Analysis:
🟡 Price was moving in an ascending channel 📈 but has broken below the trendline.
🟠 A retest of the broken trendline is happening, suggesting a potential drop 📉.
🔹 Trade Setup:
🔽 Short Entry: Expected rejection from the trendline.
❌ Stop Loss: $85,671 - $85,710 (Above resistance).
✅ Take Profit Target: $81,386 - $81,347 (Bearish target 🎯).
🔹 Indicators & Confirmation:
📊 EMA (9) at $84,254 → Acting as resistance 🚧.
🔄 Break & Retest Pattern → Typical for a bearish continuation 🛑📉.
🔹 Conclusion:
⚠️ Bearish Bias: If the price rejects the trendline, it could drop towards $81,386 🎯.
🚨 Invalidation: If the price breaks above $85,710, the short setup is canceled ❌.
Could the Bitcoin bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 83,509.64
1st Support: 81,260.77
1st Resistance: 88,031.16
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BITCOIN Will it finally break the 2 month Resistance?Bitcoin / BTCUSD is having an impressive 1day candle,recovering the losses of the last 3 days and with the 1day RSI bouncing on its Rising Support.
Now it faces the most important Resistance of all, the Falling trend line that started on the January 20th ATH.
This is just under the 1day MA50 and this will be the 5th test.
If successful, it will be an early validation that the trend has finally shifted to long term bullish again.
The first technical target will be the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. Aim a little bit lower at the top of February's Resistance Zone at $100000.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Why is Eth Falling? ETH/BTC Ratio Hits All-Time Low Since 2020Why is Ethereum Falling? ETH/BTC Ratio Hits All-Time Low Since 2020
The cryptocurrency market is a volatile landscape, constantly shifting and evolving. Recent data has revealed a significant development: the Ethereum to Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) ratio has plummeted to an all-time low since 2020. This stark decline, currently resting at a mere 0.02 has ignited a wave of speculation and concern within the crypto community, raising questions about Ethereum's current standing and future trajectory.
The ETH/BTC ratio serves as a crucial metric for comparing the relative performance of Ethereum against Bitcoin. When the ratio falls, it indicates that Bitcoin is outperforming Ethereum, and conversely, a rising ratio suggests Ethereum's ascendancy. The current dramatic drop highlights a significant divergence in the fortunes of these two leading cryptocurrencies.
The backdrop to this decline is multifaceted. Bitcoin, often seen as the “digital gold” of the crypto world, has exhibited remarkable resilience and strengthened its position. This consolidation is likely driven by several factors, including increased institutional adoption, regulatory clarity in some jurisdictions, and its established reputation as a store of value. These factors have contributed to a sense of stability and confidence in Bitcoin, attracting capital and bolstering its market position.
Ethereum, on the other hand, has faced challenges in maintaining its momentum. While it remains the leading platform for smart contracts and decentralized applications (dApps), it has struggled to keep pace with Bitcoin's surge. Several factors contribute to this relative underperformance.
Firstly, regulatory uncertainty surrounding Ethereum and its classification has cast a shadow over its future prospects. The evolving regulatory landscape, particularly in major economies like the United States, has created a sense of unease among investors. The lack of clear guidelines and the potential for stricter regulations have dampened enthusiasm and limited institutional investment.
Secondly, Ethereum has faced competition from emerging layer-1 blockchains that offer faster transaction speeds and lower fees. These “Ethereum killers,” as they are sometimes called, have attracted developers and users seeking alternatives to Ethereum's perceived limitations. While Ethereum has undergone significant upgrades, such as the transition to proof-of-stake (The Merge), the benefits have not yet translated into a sustained surge in its relative value.
Thirdly, the overall market sentiment has played a role. Bitcoin's narrative as a safe haven and store of value has resonated strongly during periods of economic uncertainty. In contrast, Ethereum, with its focus on innovation and development, is perceived as a riskier asset. When market volatility increases, investors often gravitate towards the perceived safety of Bitcoin.
The decline in the ETH/BTC ratio raises several critical questions. Is Ethereum in trouble? Is this a temporary setback or a sign of a more fundamental shift in the crypto landscape?
While the current situation is concerning, it is essential to consider the long-term potential of Ethereum. Its robust ecosystem, driven by a vibrant community of developers and innovators, remains a significant asset. Ethereum's role in powering decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and other emerging technologies positions it as a crucial player in the future of the internet.
Furthermore, Ethereum's ongoing development efforts, including layer-2 scaling solutions and future upgrades, aim to address its scalability and efficiency challenges. These improvements could potentially revitalize Ethereum's performance and restore its competitive edge.
However, the current market dynamics suggest that Ethereum faces an uphill battle. To regain its footing, it needs to overcome regulatory hurdles, address its scalability issues, and effectively communicate its value proposition to a broader audience.
The cryptocurrency market is notoriously unpredictable, and past performance is not indicative of future results. The ETH/BTC ratio could rebound, or it could continue its downward trajectory. The outcome will depend on a complex interplay of factors, including regulatory developments, technological advancements, and market sentiment.
In the meantime, the low ETH/BTC ratio serves as a stark reminder of the dynamic nature of the cryptocurrency market. It underscores the importance of diversification and the need for investors to consider the risks and potential rewards of each asset carefully.
The current situation also highlights the need for Ethereum developers and community members to focus on the core values of the project, and to continue to innovate and improve the technology. Ultimately, the success of Ethereum will depend on its ability to adapt to the changing landscape and deliver on its promise of a decentralized and equitable future.
In conclusion, while the record low ETH/BTC ratio raises concerns about Ethereum's current standing, it is premature to declare its demise. The cryptocurrency market is constantly evolving, and Ethereum's long-term potential remains significant. However, the current challenges demand a proactive and strategic approach to ensure its continued relevance and success in the years to come.
Bitcoin Daily HEADS UP - Nice start to Week But RESISTANCE NOW
The daily chart shows the line of resistance we now hit
This is the line that has rejected PA since january
It is Strong.
We May break through but we have to wait and see but it is certainly Wise to be prepared for rejection
Even more so when you look at the Apex we are coming to with in the next 7 days
PA ALWAYS REACTS BEFORE THE APEX
The Volume profile on the right suggests resistance overhead is strong but we do sit above the POC ( point of control )
All to play for this week and it coulf get emotional
And YES, that is a Fib circle we are hitting too
Double resistance could lead to a Drop in the near future and yet, it is also worth knowing that PA can pick an intersection of two lines of resistance to break through. Kind of 2 birds with one stone attitude.
We need to wait and see
What ever happens, I feel this week may be VERY interesting.
Enjoy
BTC - POSSIBLE LONG TERM SCENARIO (JAN 2024)This is my first post in 2024.
BTC - POSSIBLE LONG TERM SCENARIO (JAN 2024)
This is what I see BTC in a big picture at the moment. The lowest I anticipate (if happens) would be 36k. Moreover, BTC can correct when reaches around 48k. The top also can be around 150k in 2025. Let's see what will happen.
BITCOIN | 4H | KEY POINTS Hey traders, what's up
I've marked the key levels for Bitcoin on the chart. Right now, it's holding within the 4-hour supply and demand zone. But if this level breaks, I expect Bitcoin to drop all the way down to around $78K.
For spot buyers, there’s no real risk at the moment. But if you're trading on margin and currently in the red, be extra cautious.
The market will liquidate you first, then move on its way.
Big thanks to everyone supporting my analysis with likes
I will provide continuous updates under this analysis.
A Closer Look at Bitcoin's Elliot Wave PatternHello friends, today we'll attempt to analyze the Bitcoin chart using Elliot Waves. Our approach will involve using Elliot Wave theory and structures, which involve multiple possibilities. The analysis we present here focuses on one potential scenario that seems possible to us.
Please note that this information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered trading advice or investment tips. There's a risk of being completely wrong, so never trade based solely on this post. We're not responsible for any profits or losses. Individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Now, let's discuss the Bitcoin chart. On the daily chart, we can see that a black primary degree wave has completed its ((4th)) wave, and the ((5th)) wave has started. Within the fifth wave, an intermediate degree wave is unfolding, which will have its own set of waves (1), (2), (3), (4), (5). The primary black degree wave five will be complete once the intermediate degree wave is finished.
We've drawn accounts on the chart, illustrating the entire structure, including the nearest invalidation level at around $76,666 and the real invalidation level below $50,000.
I hope this analysis based on Elliot Wave theory has helped you understand the chart better and learn something new. Please keep in mind that this is for educational purposes only.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
BTCUSD INTRADAY oversold bounce back capped at 88,000Recent price action in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 88,000 level. The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 79,000, followed by 76,278 and 74,222.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 91,900, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, Bitcoin could target 95,126, with further resistance at 96,415.
Conclusion:
The price remains below pivotal level, with 88,000 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favor of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-1-25 : Temp Bottom PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to find temporary support near recent lows or a bit lower.
I'm not expecting much in terms of price trending today. I do believe the downward price trend will continue today with the SPY attempting to move down to the 548-550 level trying to find support.
The QQQ will likely attempt to move downward toward the 458-460 level trying to find the support/base/bottom level today.
Gold and Silver are in a moderate consolidation phase that I believe is transitioning through a Flag-Trend-Flag-Trend-Flag-Trend type of phase. Ultimately, the trend will continue to push higher through this phase as metals have moved into the broad Expansion phase. This phase should see gold attempt to move above $4500+ before the end of May/June 2025.
BTCUSD is rolling within the 0.382 to 0.618 Fibonacci price levels related to the last price swing. I see this middle Fib level and the "battle ground" for price. I expect price to stall, consolidate, and roll around between these levels trying to establish a new trend.
Thus, I believe BTCUSD will move downward, attempting to move back down to the $78,000 level.
Nothing has really changed in my analysis except that we are experiencing a 48-96 hour consolidation phase before we move back into big trending.
Play smart. Position your trades so that you can profit from this rolling price trend and prepare for the bigger price move downward (targeting the bigger base/bottom near April 15, 2025).
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BTC USDT entry on retest of TSO - AM with invalidation above
looking for retracement to TDO & TYO
TYO should act as a huge magnet for price
EQLs below acting as a DOL
If you wanted to risk $100.00 on this trade, then your position size would be 2.36 BTC/USDT.
note: make sure to adjust this position size according to your own risk-management strategy and portfolio size.