1-BTCUSD
BTC Bitcoin Trade plan 24/4/2025BTC/USD Trading Outlook:
Key Resistance Levels: $95,000 and $97,000
Channel Support Level: $92,000
Support Zone: $86,000
Market Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario:
If BTC fails to break above the resistance at $95,000–$97,000 and drops below the $92,000 channel support, it could trigger a sell-off.
Sell Targets:
Target 1: $90,000
Target 2: $88,000
Watch for further support around $86,000.
Bullish Scenario:
If BTC holds above $92,000 and breaks through the $95,000–$97,000 resistance zone, it may resume its upward trend.
Buy Target: $97,000 (with potential to extend higher if momentum continues)
BTC Cycle Top - Confluence w/ Previous CycleBased on confluence with the previous cycle, I’m projecting the BTC cycle top around $115K.
Looking at the 2021 cycle, we saw:
A news-driven dump after the initial ATH.
A strong recovery to retest the previous highs.
Followed by the true cycle top exactly 26 weeks (182 days) later.
We're now seeing a similar pattern play out in 2025:
Post-ATH retrace and consolidation.
Recovery underway.
If history rhymes, we could be looking at the final leg up, topping out within the same 26-week window.
Target range is aligned with prior structure and psychological resistance.
Let’s see how it plays out…
#Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #CycleTop #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BTC115K
BTC H4 Analysis | Key Support Zone: | Watch for ReactionBitcoin is approaching a significant support area between 88,277 and 86,850 on the H4 timeframe. This zone has historically acted as a demand region, and price action within this range will be critical to monitor.
Technical structure shows a potential for volatility, and traders should keep an eye on how BTC behaves around this level. A clear reaction here could offer insight into the next directional move.
No trade setup provided — this is a technical observation for analysis purposes only.
Bitcoin Forming Head & Shoulders – Watch for a Fake-OutPattern Formation: A complex Head and Shoulders structure is forming:
Left Shoulder ✅
Double Head ✅
Right Shoulder forming 🔄
Resistance Zone: The price is currently near a strong resistance area (around $87,000–$88,000).
This zone is likely to act as a ceiling and reject the price.
Expected Move (Blue Arrows):
shows a possible fake breakout above the resistance.
Then, a strong drop is expected, targeting:
First support near $78,000
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-25 : Inside Breakaway patternToday's Pattern is an Inside Breakaway pattern. I suggest this pattern could play a pivotal role in how the markets setup for the May 2 Major Bottom pattern I'm expecting.
You'll see in this video how any move to the upside could present a broadening of the consolidation range - resulting in even bigger price volatility going forward.
Yet, I believe the markets will stall and roll a bit downward/sideways today. Possibly resulting in a move back into the lower consolidation range as we ROLL off resistance.
As I suggested last weekend, I see no reason to assume the markets are "cleared for take-off" yet. Tariffs and political concerns are still driving uncertainty.
I think we are seeing Q1 earnings inflate the markets while the fundamental elements of the global markets are still somewhat unsettled.
I urge traders to HEDGE any open trades going into this weekend. If the markets don't make any clear moves today, hedge any positions you hold into next week.
Gold & Silver are showing signs of minor panic selling. I see that as traders wanting to retest the $3300/$33 levels for Gold/Silver.
I still believe Gold/Silver will skyrocket higher. But, probably not going to happen today.
BTCUSD is making an interesting move higher. Potentially invalidating the previous EPP pattern and/or setting up a very broad consolidation range.
It will be interesting to see how BTCUSD continues to trend over the next few months.
Remember, I'm hopefully helping all of you find ways to improve your trading and find better results.
Get some..
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BTC Trade Idea — React, Don’t PredictBINANCE:BTCUSD
Smart Trading Requires Patience!
Bitcoin is currently undergoing a healthy correction.
Strong support is located around $87,500, and if confirmed by price action, it could offer a great buying opportunity.
Trading without a plan = gambling!
** Alternative Scenario:
If the $87,500 level breaks with strong confirmation, after a pullback to this zone, a short
opportunity could emerge.
Follow us for more professional insights!
#CryptoAnalysis #BTCUSD #TradingStrategy #Forex #Cryptocurrency
April 23 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Yesterday, after a long time, the participation rate on TradingView was good, so
I will continue with a series of full-public analysis articles.
At the top is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart.
There will be an indicator announcement at 11 o'clock in a little while.
Based on the gap section created at the top and bottom,
I predicted the movement of the blue finger movement path.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
Recently, Bitcoin has been moving autonomously,
and Tether dominance is in a vertical decline.
I won't tell you the reason for the Nasdaq decoupling separately.
The core of today's strategy is trend following.
I have never talked about all possibilities up and down without a single entry point.
*One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves
1. 93,068.9 dollar long position entry section / cut-off price when the purple support line is broken
2. 96,784 dollar long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target
Please note that the possibility of a new high is very high when the Good section is broken.
From 1 to Gap 8 at the top,
if coupled with Nasdaq, it is an upward wave. (After touching the top, wait for a long entry at the bottom)
Since the success rate can be high, please consider it as a long wait without operating a separate short position
Up to section 2 is the maximum long position waiting section.
Bottom->3 is a downward sideways movement.
The reason why I set the stop loss price when the purple support line breaks today is
Because it is the place where the previous low of the daily candle created today is broken
If it is pushed hard, it can fall to the bottom 89,597 dollars (1+4) section.
Up to this point, please use my analysis article only for reference and
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
BTC Retrace or Rally? Bitcoin’s Liquidity Hunt & Next Move.Bitcoin BTC Analysis & Trade Idea
🚦 Market Context & Price Action
Bitcoin has experienced a sharp rally, pushing into previous weekly and daily highs. This area is a classic liquidity pool, where buy stops from breakout traders and late longs are likely accumulating. The current price action is overextended, suggesting that the market may be primed for a retracement as smart money seeks to capture liquidity before the next directional move.
💧 Liquidity Pools & Wyckoff Concepts
According to Wyckoff methodology, this phase resembles a "Buying Climax" (BC) where price surges into resistance, often followed by an "Automatic Reaction" (AR) and a potential "Secondary Test" (ST). The current rally into old highs is likely triggering buy stops, providing institutional players with ample liquidity to offload positions or engineer a shakeout.
🟢 Wyckoff Schematic:
Buying Climax (BC) at current highs
Anticipated Automatic Reaction (AR) as price retraces
Look for a range to develop (potential Accumulation phase) near the 50% Fibonacci retracement
📉 Fibonacci Retracement & Trade Setup
You’re eyeing the 50% retracement of the previous price range as a key level. This aligns with both technical and Wyckoff logic, as it’s a common area for price to find support after a liquidity grab.
🟢 Trade Plan:
Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level
Observe for a range or consolidation (signs of absorption/accumulation)
Look for a bullish break of market structure (BOS) as confirmation
Enter long on confirmation, with stops below the range low
🌐 Fundamentals & Market Sentiment
Currently, Bitcoin sentiment is mixed but leaning bullish due to recent ETF inflows, institutional adoption, and macroeconomic uncertainty (e.g., inflation, rate cut expectations). However, funding rates are elevated, and open interest is high, indicating potential for a shakeout as overleveraged longs are vulnerable.
🟢 Key Fundamentals:
ETF inflows and institutional interest remain strong
Macro uncertainty (Fed policy, inflation) supports long-term bullishness
Short-term: Overheated sentiment and high leverage could trigger a corrective move
🧠 Sentiment & Risk Management
Social media and crypto news outlets are buzzing with bullish narratives, but this euphoria often precedes a correction. Be patient and disciplined—wait for the retrace and confirmation before entering.
🟢 Risk Management:
Only enter after clear accumulation and bullish BOS
Use tight stops below the range
Consider scaling in if the range develops with clear absorption
📈 Trade Idea Summary
Wait for a retrace to the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent rally
Look for Wyckoff-style accumulation and a bullish break of structure
Enter long on confirmation, targeting new highs or the top of the previous range
Manage risk with stops below the accumulation range
Not financial advice!
BITCOIN $140k will come sooner than you think!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) eventually made the strong rebound we've been talking about on the highly important Support cluster of: a) the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), b) the former All Time High (ATH) trend-line and c) the Higher Lows Zone of the current Bull Cycle.
This Triple Hold Move is expected to produce the strongest rally of the Bull Cycle, the Parabolic Rally. But even if it is similar to the 'weakest' rally of this Cycle, then we should be expecting at least a +92.94% rise from the bottom, which translates to a price marginally above $140000. And that could come as early as this August.
So do you think we'll be seeing a rally at least as strong as last year's? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 94,119.93
1st Support: 88,510.65
1st Resistance: 99,362.24
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BTC Approaches Breakout Zone in Ascending Triangle – Key Resist,📈 Chart Overview
Instrument: BTC/USD
Timeframe: Likely 4H or Daily
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red) – 84,924.30
EMA 200 (Blue) – 85,558.47
🔍 Key Technical Observations
1. Ascending Triangle Formation
The chart shows a clear ascending triangle, a bullish continuation pattern.
Flat resistance zone: Around $88,700–$89,000.
Higher lows forming a solid upward sloping trendline, suggesting increasing buying pressure.
2. Price Above Key EMAs
Current price: $88,779.43, which is above both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
This indicates bullish momentum as price breaks above dynamic resistance levels.
3. Volume Consideration (Missing)
While volume is not visible on the chart, an ideal breakout from an ascending triangle should be accompanied by increasing volume to confirm validity.
🔄 Possible Scenarios
✅ Bullish Breakout
A confirmed breakout above $89,000 with strong volume can lead to a measured move toward:
Target = Triangle height ≈ $13,000 → Potential target: $101,500 – $102,000
Next resistance levels to watch: $92,000, $95,000, and $100,000 psychological zone.
❌ Fakeout or Rejection
If BTC gets rejected at resistance, watch for:
Retest of support trendline (~$86,000).
EMA 50 and 200 as dynamic support around $84,900–$85,500.
Breakdown below the trendline may signal a short-term correction to $80,000–$82,500.
📊 Conclusion
BTC is at a crucial decision point. The ascending triangle suggests bullish potential, but a breakout confirmation is essential. Price is above both major EMAs, signaling strength, but a rejection from resistance could invite short-term bears.
Bitcoin Pullback or Opportunity📊 Bitcoin Analysis – Pullback or Opportunity?
CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit strong resistance at 94,000 $ failed to push higher, entering a correction phase 📉. Key support zones now lie at 91,200 $ 87,500 $ , both of which have shown solid reactions in the past 🛡️. If price holds one of these levels, the next target could be around 98,500 $based on the previous move’s momentum 🚀.
📌 Price is still holding above the 200 MA, suggesting bullish momentum is alive but needs further confirmation ✅.
👇 What’s your take on the next move?
🔁 Save this if you're watching the next targets
📩 Share with a friend who's trading BTC right now
$BTC $GOLD Performance% Comparison Chart (Apr '24-Apr '25)Performance% Comparison Chart (Apr '24-Apr '25)...
CRYPTOCAP:BTC surges back, locking in a 42% gain alongside TVC:GOLD over a year! S&P 500 shows life, but #Oil is the big loser, taking the biggest hit with a brutal -26% decline. Let's watch the shifts! But where does the momentum go next?!🤔
CRYPTOCAP:BTC TVC:GOLD SP:SPX MARKETSCOM:OIL
Cheers!
Importance of HA-Low, HA-High indicators
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
I wonder if you think that BTC has turned into an uptrend as I mentioned before, as it has risen above 89294.25.
The previous idea is titled "Breakthrough trading starts with finding support and resistance points."
It is ideal to buy at the lowest price possible and sell at the highest price possible, but in order to do that, you need to constantly check the chart in real time.
Therefore, I think it is better to focus on finding the most ideal trading time.
Therefore, you should try to trade according to your own trading rules, that is, your trading strategy.
-
In that sense, my trading criteria are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
As you can see from the published formula, when the Heikin-Ashi chart shows an upward trend, the HA-Low indicator is created, and when it shows a downward trend, the HA-High indicator is created.
Therefore, if possible, you can think of a trading strategy to buy when it shows support near the HA-Low indicator, and sell when it shows resistance near the HA-High indicator.
If it falls below the HA-Low indicator, a stepwise downtrend may begin, and if it rises above the HA-HIgh indicator, a stepwise uptrend may begin.
Therefore, it is necessary to look at how long the HA-Low and HA-High indicators make a horizontal line.
Looking at the current chart, we can see that the HA-Low indicator was created at the 89294.25 point and the price fell, but the HA-Low indicator remained the same.
Therefore, even if it fell below the HA-Low indicator, it did not lead to a stepwise downtrend.
In order for a stepwise downtrend to lead, the HA-Low indicator must show a new shape as it falls.
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The HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 101947.24 point.
Therefore, the section that determines the trend again is expected to be around 101947.24.
However, since the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is formed at the 97224.92 point, we must first check whether it can rise above this area.
-
OBV has broken through the upper line.
However, since there is a difference from the previous high, the point to watch is whether it can rise above the previous high.
Section A is the section where the lower point of the HA-High indicator box and the upper point of the HA-Low indicator box overlap.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support and rise in this section.
This is because it can be considered a volume profile section because it is a section where the influence of the HA-Low indicator and the HA-High indicator are simultaneously applied.
-
This volatility period is expected to be around April 25-29 (up to April 24-30).
If the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone after this volatility period, then the support around 89294.25 is expected to be an important issue.
The movement of the StochRSI indicator and the price movement do not necessarily appear in the same direction.
Therefore, we recommend that you focus on finding a selling time when the StochRSI indicator is above the 50 point and on finding a buying time when it is below the 50 point.
-
The biggest disadvantage of the breakout trading mentioned earlier is that when it shows a downward trend, it is a split selling period.
In other words, when it rises from the point where the breakout trading was made and then shows a downward trend, it is the first selling period.
If you ignore this, you may suffer a loss or increase psychological anxiety, so you need to be careful.
Since the current HA-Low indicator is the standard for breakout trading, you will feel less psychological anxiety.
The reason is that the HA-Low indicator is created, which means that it has broken out of the low range.
When the price rises and breaks through the HA-High indicator, it feels different from when it breaks through the HA-Low indicator.
When the HA-High indicator breaks upward, it makes you think that it will rise more.
No matter how much you try to calm your mind and look at the chart with a third-party's eyes, it is not easy to stop thinking like that.
The HA-High indicator is created, which means that it has fallen from the high range.
Therefore, since rising above the HA-High indicator means that it has risen to the high range, it is not strange if it falls at any time.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the idea that it will rise more will be dominant, so there is a high possibility that FOMO will take effect.
In order to escape this psychological state, support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are absolutely necessary.
It is necessary to make an effort to stabilize your psychological state by conducting a split transaction depending on whether there is support near the drawn support and resistance points.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire BTC section.
I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have maintained an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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btcusd 50% down to 50000 till end of year like 2021-2022 Bitcoin could drop -50% like in 2021-2022 Bear Market close to 40-50 000 $
One year long Bear market is possible due to economic and geopolitical turmoil by further idiotic decisions of trump administration that will surly happen many times this year
#BTC is stuck but Here's the simplified Plan!Bitcoin is currently trading between key levels:
Upper resistance: 93700
Lower support: 91670
We are stuck in this range, and a breakout above or below these levels will confirm the next move in the trend.
Right now, Bitcoin is holding the 50 EMA on the 30-minute chart. As long as this support holds, we could see a move towards 95k, after which we will reassess the chart.
Here are two possible scenarios if we hit 95,700 again:
We break above and target 100k
We face rejection and correct back to 88k. While this wouldn’t be a large correction, it could offer a very opportunistic entry point.
I’ll be sharing more insights and updates as the chart unfolds.
Follow me on all my socials (link in bio).
Drop your thoughts in the comment section and hit the like button if this is useful.
Thank you
#PEACE
Bitcoin (BTC) $95K Target? ETF Inflows & Supply Shock Key Signal
Bitcoin Flashes Bullish Signals: Record ETF Flows and Supply Shock Fuel $95K Target Hopes
Bitcoin, the original cryptocurrency, is demonstrating renewed vigor, capturing investor attention with a confluence of bullish indicators. After a period of consolidation and sideways movement following its all-time high earlier this year, recent data suggests underlying strength is building. Significant inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, a tightening supply on exchanges, strong relative performance against traditional markets, and key technical levels being tested are painting a picture that has analysts eyeing the next major psychological and technical hurdle: $95,000.
ETF Demand Roars Back: A Sign of Renewed Institutional Appetite
One of the most significant developments fueling recent optimism is the resurgence of demand for U.S.-based spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Launched in January 2024, these products marked a watershed moment, providing traditional investors with regulated and accessible exposure to Bitcoin. After an initial explosive launch, inflows moderated. However, recent weeks have seen a dramatic turnaround.
Reports indicate that these ETFs recently experienced their largest single-day net inflows since their early days in January, signaling a powerful return of institutional and potentially broader retail interest. This influx of capital into regulated vehicles is crucial. It represents sticky, long-term demand rather than just short-term speculative trading. Each dollar flowing into these ETFs effectively removes Bitcoin from the readily available market supply, contributing to a potential supply squeeze.
This sustained demand has also propelled Bitcoin's overall market capitalization significantly. While direct comparisons fluctuate daily and depend on methodology (e.g., including gold, different equity classes), Bitcoin's market cap has grown to rival that of major global corporations and even some traditional asset classes. Its ascent up the ranks of the world's largest assets underscores its growing acceptance and integration into the broader financial landscape. While claiming a specific rank like "5th largest" can be debated based on what's included, there's no denying Bitcoin is now a multi-trillion dollar asset class demanding attention.
The Supply Squeeze: Coins Vanish from Exchanges
Complementing the demand surge is a notable trend on the supply side: Bitcoin reserves held on cryptocurrency exchanges are dwindling rapidly. Data reveals that the amount of BTC available for immediate sale on major trading platforms has plummeted to levels not seen since November 2018. This marks a multi-year low, indicating a strong preference among holders to move their coins into self-custody or long-term storage solutions, rather than keeping them poised for sale.
What's driving this exodus from exchanges? Analysts point to several factors, including the aforementioned ETF accumulation, where authorized participants acquire Bitcoin on the open market to meet ETF share creation demand. Furthermore, there's growing anecdotal and on-chain evidence suggesting accumulation by long-term holders ("HODLers") and potentially public companies adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets. While large-scale corporate buying sprees like MicroStrategy's haven't been widely replicated across the board, the cumulative effect of sustained institutional buying (via ETFs) and dedicated HODLers consistently pulling supply off exchanges creates a powerful dynamic.
Lower exchange reserves typically correlate with reduced selling pressure. When less Bitcoin is readily available to be sold, even moderate increases in demand can have an outsized impact on price. This scarcity factor is a core tenet of Bitcoin's value proposition, underpinned by its fixed supply cap of 21 million coins, and the current trend highlights this dynamic in action.
Relative Strength: The "Cleanest Shirt in the Dirty Laundry"
Bitcoin's recent performance also stands out when compared to traditional financial markets. Over the past 30 days (as per the provided context), Bitcoin has posted significant gains (e.g., +7.68%), while major equity indices like the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq have experienced notable pullbacks (e.g., -6.79% and -8.14%, respectively).
This divergence has led some commentators to describe Bitcoin as the "cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry pile." In times of macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical tension, or wavering confidence in traditional financial systems, Bitcoin can attract capital seeking alternatives or hedges. While its correlation with risk assets like tech stocks has often been high, periods of decoupling, like the one observed recently, suggest investors may increasingly view Bitcoin through a different lens – perhaps as a non-sovereign store of value or a bet on future technological disruption, rather than just another high-beta risk asset. This relative outperformance can attract momentum traders and further bolster positive sentiment.
Technical Hurdles: The Road to $95K
From a technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin's price action is generating significant discussion. One key metric analysts watch is the "realized price," particularly for short-term holders (investors who acquired BTC relatively recently). When the market price surpasses the average acquisition cost of these recent buyers, it can signal a shift in market psychology. Those who bought recently are now in profit, potentially reducing sell pressure and encouraging further buying. Bitcoin recently surpassed this level, leading to speculation about whether this marks the beginning of a sustained rally or potentially sets up a "double top" scenario – a bearish pattern where an asset fails twice to break above a certain resistance level.
Analysts are closely watching specific price levels. There appears to be a consensus around a key resistance zone that, if decisively reclaimed and held, could signal that "all bets are off" for the bears, potentially opening the door for a significant upward move. Conversely, failure to break through these levels, or a strong rejection from them, could lead to a pullback, validating the warnings from more cautious analysts.
The $95,000 mark looms large as the next major psychological and potential technical resistance area should the current momentum continue and key lower resistance levels be overcome. Reaching this target would likely require a confluence of the factors already discussed: continued strong ETF inflows, further depletion of exchange supply, supportive macroeconomic conditions (or continued relative strength despite macro headwinds), and a decisive break through established technical resistance zones.
What Triggers the Breakout?
Achieving a breakout towards $95,000 isn't guaranteed and likely requires several catalysts:
1. Sustained ETF Demand: Continued, consistent net inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs are paramount to absorb supply and signal ongoing institutional conviction.
2. Supply Shock Intensification: If exchange reserves continue to fall sharply, the scarcity narrative strengthens, potentially triggering FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) buying.
3. Macroeconomic Shifts: A dovish pivot from central banks, renewed inflation fears driving demand for hard assets, or further instability in traditional markets could push more capital towards Bitcoin.
4. Technical Confirmation: A convincing break and hold above currently watched resistance levels would give technical traders confidence and potentially trigger algorithmic buying.
5. Positive Regulatory Developments: While the ETFs were a major step, further regulatory clarity or positive developments globally could reduce perceived risk.
Conclusion: Optimism Tempered with Caution
The current Bitcoin landscape presents a compelling bullish case. Resurgent ETF demand, dwindling exchange supply creating a scarcity effect, and strong relative performance against traditional assets paint an optimistic picture. Technical indicators, such as surpassing the realized price of recent buyers, add fuel to the fire, bringing targets like $95,000 into the conversation.
However, caution remains warranted. Bitcoin is notoriously volatile, and technical resistance levels often prove formidable. The risk of a "double top" or rejection at key levels is real, and regulatory headwinds or negative macroeconomic shifts could quickly alter sentiment. While the confluence of positive factors is undeniable and the path towards $95,000 seems plausible given the current dynamics, investors will be keenly watching whether ETF flows remain strong, supply continues to tighten, and crucial technical levels can be decisively overcome. The interplay between institutional adoption, HODLer conviction, and market technicals will ultimately determine if Bitcoin can conquer its next major milestone.
BTC/USD Swing Trade – Ride the Rebound Before the Next Breakout🚀Bitcoin just reminded the world who’s boss. After brushing up against $94K, it’s taking a breath—and for swing traders, that’s the moment to load the slingshot.
We’re not chasing green candles. We’re positioning at smart levels that offer real upside when the next wave kicks off. With institutional flows increasing and volatility offering cleaner setups, the chart tells a story of momentum with room to reload.
📥 Strategic Entry Zones:
$87,000 – Current support just below recent highs; ideal for an early swing
$77,000 – Mid-range pullback and psychological threshold
$62,000 – The ultimate opportunity zone if volatility spikes hard
🎯 Profit Targets:
$100,000 – A clean round number and breakout point
$105,000 – Stretch target aligned with macro bullish continuation
$115,000+ – Ambitious but not impossible—especially if halving hype and ETF flows stay strong
This isn’t just about price—it’s about timing, conviction, and being ready while others hesitate. Remember, Bitcoin doesn't whisper when it moves... it roars.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency trading carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research and consider speaking with a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions.