February 27 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis
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It's a Bitcoinguide.
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This is Bitcoin's 30-minute chart.
Nasdaq indicators will be announced at 10:30 in a little while.
It is rebounding after breaking away from the previous low yesterday,
but today's main point of view is the Bollinger Band 4-hour chart's center line touch section.
Both Nasdaq and Bitcoin are in similar positions.
I created today's strategy centered on this part.
The purple finger at $82,610 on the lower left
is the 3rd place in the long position entry section on February 26.
* When the blue finger moves,
it is a short->long switching strategy centered on long positions.
1. $88,577.5 short position entry point / stop loss price when orange resistance line is broken
2. $85,093.5 long position switching / stop loss price when green support line is broken
3. $92,090.5 long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target
If it reaches the Good section, the final short position switching
(Approximately the center line of the 12-hour Bollinger Band chart.)
If it falls immediately from the current position,
The 1st section at the bottom, $85,724.5, becomes the long position entry point.
(Same stop loss price when green support line is broken)
Since there is pressure from the 4-hour MACD dead cross in the Tether Dominance that moves in the opposite direction of the beat,
If it succeeds in rebounding in section 1,
There is also a possibility that it will strongly break through the center line of the 4-hour Bollinger Band chart. (Bitcoin is in the process of a 4-hour chart MACD golden cross)
In real time, Nasdaq is touching the center line of the 4-hour chart first.
The proper order has finally been created.
Even if Bitcoin doesn't rest on the weekend,
the order of Nasdaq -> Bitcoin is correct in terms of the pattern.
With the forced coupling with Nasdaq,
today's analysis is particularly difficult from the drawing to the entry point haha
The 2nd section at the bottom is the final long position entry point for today,
and if it reaches this section,
there is a low probability of a sweep in Tether dominance. (Bit case skyrockets)
Bottom is a double bottom -> There is a possibility of additional adjustment in the 3rd section,
so please note, and this week, if possible, it would have been good if the previous low was not broken,
but it ended up breaking and is going through a difficult time.
Up to this point, please use my analysis as a reference and only as a level of use,
and I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
1-BTCUSD
#BITCOIN DO OE DIE CONDITION!#BTC Market Update
BTC closed its daily candle well below the GETTEX:87K support, which is a bearish signal. Currently, it appears to be retesting this level.
If Bitcoin fails to reclaim GETTEX:87K + on a daily close, it could indicate further downside movement. However, if BTC manages a daily close above GETTEX:87K , this could be the last opportunity for bulls to regain control and push the market upward.
Keep an eye on the daily close for confirmation of the next major move.
Stay tuned for more updates.
DYOR, NFA
#Bitcoin
BTC/USDT Chart Update !! BTC/USDT price movement over some time from mid-2020 to early 2025.
Price Action: Prices have experienced significant fluctuations, forming a series of peaks and troughs. The recent price has been around 84,618 USDT.
Resistance Level: The highlighted area around 96,500 USDT indicates a potential resistance level that the price may struggle to break.
Technical Pattern: The chart suggests a “cup and handle” formation, indicating a potential bullish trend if the price breaks through the resistance.
Recent Decline: The current decline of around 12.09% suggests a correction or retracement may be in store after the recent rally.
It would be prudent to monitor market news and technical indicators for the latest updates to anticipate future price movements.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
BTC/USDT chart shows a Round Top (or Distribution) patternPattern Breakdown
Formation:
The chart displays a rounding top shape, where BTC price gradually increased, peaked, and then started declining.
The red shaded area represents the curved top, confirming a distribution phase.
Key Levels:
Peak: Around $110,000 (approx.).
Neckline/Support: ~$90,000, which was broken to the downside.
Measured Move: The expected drop is roughly equal to the height of the rounding top, which was around $21,300.
Breakdown & Target:
The price has broken below the $90,000 support level, confirming the pattern.
The expected price target based on the pattern is around $70,000, calculated using the height of the round top.
Additional Observations
Volume: There is an increase in volume at the breakdown point, which validates the bearish move.
Momentum: If BTC fails to reclaim $90,000, it may continue downward.
Conclusion
The chart signals a bearish trend continuation after breaking the neckline.
BTC could drop towards $70,000 unless buyers step in to regain momentum.
If BTC reclaims $90,000, the bearish scenario could be invalidated
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Afternoon Update For 2-26-25Please take a moment to watch this video, in which I share my techniques and highlight what I believe will be the next setup phase for the SPY/QQQ, Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin.
It looks like the selling pressure is nearly over, and I think the shift to a moderate recovery rally could set up over the next 24-48 hours.
It could be a good setup for skilled traders.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Bitcoin - Med-Term OutlookThe current BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart is forming an EXP model (turquoise), indicating a potential correction before the next phase of active growth.
Main Scenario
The most likely development suggests a price retracement to the $80,845 – $77,890 range (purple zone), corresponding to unclosed gaps on CME. This range is positioned above the 100% level of the model ($75,949), making it an optimal area for the completion of the correction before the continuation of the upward movement.
Two possible correction paths:
1️⃣ Decline from current levels – BTC gradually breaks local support, tests the 4th point of the model (~$91,341), and then moves towards the CME Gap area.
2️⃣ ATH breakout ($109,354) before a decline – A short-term rally is possible before a deep correction into the $80,000 – $77,000 range.
After testing this zone, a reversal movement may form, with targets at the 1st point of the model ($109,354) and beyond. Final confirmation of the uptrend will depend on further market dynamics.
Once this cycle is completed, a transition to the altcoin growth phase can be expected.
Secondary Scenario
Under favorable conditions, BTC may avoid a correction into the CME Gap zone and continue its upward movement without retesting support levels. However, in the current market structure, this scenario remains less probable.
Alternative Scenario
In the event of an extended correction, BTC could break the 100% model level ($75,949) and test the 200% level ($63,226).
Such a development may occur due to external market shocks, leading to mass liquidations of margin positions. However, even in this case, a rapid price recovery is expected.
BITCOIN trading plan 25/2/20251. Bitcoin (BTC) is currently showing signs of a potential sell opportunity, with a target set at $82,000.
2. Traders should closely monitor market trends and resistance levels before executing any sell orders.
3. If Bitcoin approaches the $82,000 mark, it may face profit-taking pressure, leading to a price correction.
4. Technical indicators, such as RSI and moving averages, can provide additional confirmation for the sell strategy.
5. Market sentiment and external factors, including regulatory updates and macroeconomic trends, should also be considered.
6. A disciplined approach with proper risk management will help traders maximize profits while minimizing potential losses.
7. It is crucial to set stop-loss levels to protect against unexpected market reversals.
8. Historical patterns suggest that after reaching new highs, Bitcoin often experiences temporary pullbacks.
9. Traders should stay informed about institutional activities, as large sell-offs by major holders can impact price movements.
10. While Bitcoin remains a strong long-term asset, short-term traders can capitalize on volatility by strategically selling at key resistance levels.
BTC Bitcoin Dont Panic Here This Is A Perfect Measured MoveI like the line chart because it filters out the noise and only shows the close prices. As you can see Bitcoin plays out these double top measured moves almost to the T perfectly. I can go back further but I dont need to its fairly similar.
Bitcoin will bounce around here for a bit and come dow to close the 5 day at the measured move around 82k then its back to the races. We're not going to crash, its just getting started. It may wick below 82 but on a closing basis on the 5 day, which has been very accurate in its history, 82k is where the measured move is. Dont fall for the bearish we're gonna crash stuff. Bitcoin has a long way to go before any top.
Not financial advice just my opinion.
Monthly chart Bitcoin, playing out just as expectedIn this analysis, we’ll explore how big news events and market behavior affect Bitcoin's price, focusing on political changes.
Impact of Big News Events:
- When significant news hits, like a change in government, it can drive markets in a certain direction. For example, when Trump won the election, it created a surge of energy that pushed Bitcoin’s price up.
- This shows how big events and public sentiment can cause major shifts in cryptocurrency prices.
Technical Analysis and Market Behavior:
- Technical analysis looks at how traders' emotions and predictions shape market movements. For instance, traders often use the Fibonacci sequence to make trading decisions.
Current Market Situation:
- The chart shows we are experiencing a sell-off, which is a temporary drop in price. This drop is part of a normal correction that we expect to bounce back up from the trend line.
- We’re in the second wave of this new trendline. Elliot wave theory means you can generally expect 5 waves before a major reversal.
The next upward move is expected after all the selling has settled, especially in the long green candle area. (Imbalance to be filled)
Expected Market Behavior:
- In cryptocurrency trading, it’s common to see prices dip below trend lines before bouncing back up strongly.
- We can expect Bitcoin to dip further below the trendline before bouncing back up with more force, like a trampoline. This is 100% necessary to absorb the liquidity of market makers, retail investors, and institutional long positions to rally the digital asset to new heights 😎
That being said, Never trade more than you can afford to lose. DYOR, and keep in mind black swan events can happen like a major war to shift the trend line a different direction
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-26-25 : Rally In Counter TrendToday's Rally in counter-trend mode aligns with the current breakdown as a strong possibility of a Rally (Upward) type of trend.
After yesterday's deep low and moderate recovery near the end of the day, I suspect the SPY is setting up another Excess Phase Peak base - transitioning into the upward Flagging formation.
Because of this, I suspect today's Rally pattern will result in a moderate Melt-Up type of price action in the SPY/QQQ.
It may also prompt metals to rally off yesterday's lows as the Panic selling mode ends.
BTCUSD I still seeking a new low and trying to find the consolidation phase. I believe BTCUSD could fall further before finding support.
This is going to be a very interesting ROLL of price related to the SPY/QQQ, Gold and Silver, while Bitcoin continues to try to identify lower support.
Almost like a "disconnect" is taking place.
Ultimately, I think we'll see a peak between March 5-12 in the SPY/QQQ - rolling downward into the March 21-24 Major Bottom.
Get some today.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Bitcoin "Crash" 2025Bitcoin started a more significant correction recently, which is scaring many people, and there is already a lot of talk about the beginning of the Bear market.
In my view, the upward trend is still intact, and this could very well be a healthy correction to prepare for a more significant rise in the coming months.
We have an important support level at $75K which has confluence with the 3D SMMA which has already proven to be strong in the past, I think there will be some reaction and that could very well be the end of this correction, but as long as the price manages to stay above $70K I will remain bullish and looking for Longs.
It is important to note that the Fear and Greed indicator is at 21, with Bitcoin at $84K.
Bitcoin BTC price analysis😕 Yesterday's news of a higher-than-expected CPI increase seems to have been "digested" by the market.
We liked that most of the alts held up quite well (all compared to last week) - there was no more panic.
1️⃣ On the one hand, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price is being pushed to the “critical triangle” below which the OKX:BTCUSDT price may go to close the CME GAP formed last year.
But BTC.D is also dropping, albeit reluctantly, a little bit.
2️⃣ On the other hand, maybe it's time to stop focusing on that bourgeois #Bitcoin ).
It's time for the altcoins to take "the pitchforks" into their own hands!)
😱 Some #CAKE and #Bake are showing good growth and even the “heavy” CRYPTOCAP:BNB is climbing despite them.... and all because #CZ decided to return to the “big” game and will present a photo of his dog in a few hours....
We are re-reading this sur and our eyes are twitching.... but these are the realities of the crypto world now...)
⁉️ So, what do you think, which memecoin from СZ will blow up the information space and pull all the market liquidity to itself in the coming hours/days?)
Bitcoin Daily Analysis #17 | Univers Of SignalsLet’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As I mentioned yesterday, there was a possibility that the market would undergo a correction and start ranging, and that’s exactly what happened.
✨ The price hasn’t changed much compared to yesterday, and the short positions we opened remain open for now. There’s no need to take profits yet. Let’s analyze the market to identify today’s triggers or the ones that might signal when to take profits on previous positions.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, after the price formed a base at 87,700, it entered a ranging phase. The RSI, after being rejected multiple times from the 30 level, has finally exited the oversold zone and has now reached 50, indicating that the bearish momentum has slightly weakened.
⚡️ The current minor resistance is at 89,458, and if the price closes above this level, we can take partial profits on our short positions, securing the desired profit from this market move.
👀 However, as you can see, I have placed a Fibonacci retracement on the chart since the price completed a bearish leg and, after reaching the 82,770 low, this bearish leg can be considered complete. Now, we are in a correction phase. As you can see, the price has not even retraced to the 0.382 Fibonacci level yet, forming a lower high below this zone.
🔼 This indicates that buyers are weak in the market, and sellers remain in control. If the price closes above 89,458, the likelihood of deeper corrections increases, which could extend to the 0.5, 0.618, or even 0.786 Fibonacci levels.
🧲 A crucial point about this Fibonacci retracement is the zone between 0.5 and 0.618, where the price has already reacted in the previous bearish leg. More importantly, the 92,433 support that was broken aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level, making this zone a critical PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone).
🔑 If the price breaks below 87,070, you can enter a short position, but for longs, I suggest waiting until the price forms more structure and buyers step into the market, leading to bullish momentum.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s move on to Bitcoin dominance analysis. As I mentioned yesterday, BTC dominance got rejected from 62.19, and I had said that a bearish trend was likely. That’s exactly what happened, and after BTC dominance broke below 61.49, it moved downward in a bearish leg to 60.91. Now, it is in a corrective phase.
💫 The confirmation of further downside for BTC dominance will come if it breaks below 60.91, which could trigger the next bearish leg. Currently, I do not have any bullish triggers for BTC dominance except for a reclaim of 61.49. However, since the structure is still forming, we need to wait before considering any bullish trigger.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now, let’s move on to Total2. As I mentioned yesterday, the 1.16 level was broken, and a new support formed at 1.07. As you can see, Total2 has retraced more significantly than Bitcoin, correcting almost to the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
🎲 The reason for this deeper retracement is that Bitcoin dominance has been declining—more money has exited Bitcoin than altcoins, allowing altcoins to recover more than Bitcoin.
🔫 In Total2, we also have a major resistance zone between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels, similar to Bitcoin. In general, both Bitcoin and Total2 have a critical resistance zone between their respective 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracements.
💥 Currently, the key resistance is at 1.13, and if the price breaks this level, it could move towards the resistance zone. However, for short positions, if 1.07 is broken, you can enter a short trade.
✅ Be mindful of BTC dominance, as it is currently in a downtrend. If BTC.D continues to decline, shorting Bitcoin may be a better choice than shorting altcoins.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now, let’s analyze USDT dominance (USDT.D). Yesterday, it made a fake breakout above 5.04 and then reversed sharply downward, failing to hold the resistance. However, it has not yet formed a clear structure, so it’s too early to make any strong conclusions.
⭐️ I recommend avoiding opening new positions in the market for now and refraining from high-risk trades. The main trade opportunity was already provided when Bitcoin’s range broke down, so if you missed it, do not let FOMO push you into a trade. Avoid making rushed decisions that could put your capital at risk.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – Bearish Trend ContinuesReferring to the previous analysis, BTCUSD remains in a dominant bearish trend, currently testing a critical support zone at the lower boundary of the double channel pattern.
If the $86K level holds as a support, a potential short-term bullish retracement towards the upper boundary of the double channel at $96.8K may occur. However, failure to sustain above $86K could trigger further downside pressure, with the next key support levels positioned at the Fibonacci retracement level of $74.6K.
In a worst-case scenario, a deeper breakdown could drive BTCUSD towards the major support at GETTEX:52K , a historically significant demand zone within the long-term market structure.
Traders and investors should closely monitor price action and volume dynamics around these critical levels to anticipate the next potential move.
Previous analysis
BTC UPThe price of Bitcoin has dropped to $84,676.29, reflecting a 4.52% decline. The chart highlights a sharp downward trend followed by potential recovery, indicated by two upward arrows.
Key levels marked include a resistance zone around $89,460 and a higher potential target near $94,000. The volume bars at the bottom show trading activity, while the right panel lists other market assets and their percentage changes. A news alert at the bottom mentions Bitcoin falling below $84K for the first time in three months.
The analysis suggests a possible bounce back towards resistance levels, but market conditions remain volatile.
Intraday Setup: BTC/USD Supply Zone & Target Area🔹Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 30-Minute Chart Analysis
-▪️ Supply Zone Identified: Price has reacted to a resistance area around 88,752, where sellers previously took control.
-▪️ Bearish Structure: The market remains in a downtrend, with price rejecting the supply zone.
- ▪️Projected Movement: A possible retest of the supply zone before further downside towards the target area near 85,314.
-▪️ Key Levels:
- Resistance: 88,752 (Supply Zone)
- Support/Target: 85,314
▪️Conclusion:
Bitcoin is likely to remain bearish, with short opportunities near the supply zone and a potential move towards lower support levels.
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