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1-BTCUSD

$BTC.D is at key Fib Retracement level. More upside-expectedThe most important story of this Crypto cycle has been the relentless strength of CRYPTOCAP:BTC against other crypto. The index CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D which measures the dominance of BTC in the total Crypto market in terms of Market Cap hit its low in Dec 2021 when CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D hit a multi-year low of 39%. That means only 39% of the Total Market Crypto can be attributed to $BTC. But since then, the Fed quantitative tightening began and most of the cryptos faced a meltdown. Even though CRYPTOCAP:BTC faced a bear market in CRYPTOCAP:USDT terms but still it fell less than the average Crypto. Since then, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart has made a bullish double bottom and then made new higher lows and higher highs. If we plot the Fib retracement levels on the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D weekly chart we saw recently that the Dominance chart stalled around 0.5 and 0.618 Fib levels. Since then, the Dominance chart has been making new highs and broken past the 0.618 . The next key level is 0.786 which will take the dominance to 66.12% percent. Watch out for my blog when CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D reaches the key level for more insights.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by RabishankarBiswal
The 100K Club: Market Moves Exchange Cold Wallet moveme In the volatile world of cryptocurrency, understanding market movements can be a daunting task. However, a growing number of traders are turning to unconventional indicators to gain an edge. One such approach involves analyzing the movements of the so-called "100K Club" — large exchange cold wallet addresses that hold substantial amounts of Bitcoin. These wallets not only represent significant market players but also act as a barometer for broader market sentiment. Unveiling the 100K Club Indicator Our newly developed indicator focuses on tracking major exchange cold wallet movements. By plotting simple labels whenever large movements of Bitcoin are detected from cold wallet exchange storage, it reveals critical market dynamics that are often invisible to the average trader. The indicator highlights accumulation and distribution phases, market tops and bottoms, and key levels for swing trading on weekly and monthly timeframes. Market Tops and Bottoms: A Clear Pattern Historical data suggests that the movements of the 100K Club wallets align closely with market tops and bottoms. When these wallets begin to offload significant amounts of Bitcoin, it often precedes a market top. Conversely, heavy accumulation by these wallets frequently signals a market bottom. This correlation provides traders with a reliable tool to anticipate major price swings. Accumulation and Distribution Levels The indicator also sheds light on major accumulation and distribution levels. Accumulation phases are characterized by steady inflows into exchange cold wallets, indicating that large players are positioning themselves for a price increase. Distribution phases, marked by substantial outflows, suggest that these players are cashing out, anticipating a market downturn. Swing Trading with Confidence For swing traders, understanding these wallet movements can be transformative. The indicator’s ability to define key levels on weekly and monthly charts allows traders to identify optimal entry and exit points. By aligning their strategies with the actions of major market players, traders can enhance their decision-making process and improve their risk management. Liquidation Candle Sweeps: A Hidden Signal An interesting phenomenon observed with these large wallet movements is the occurrence of liquidation candle sweeps above or below the major movement key levels. These sweeps often suggest a retail stop hunt before a reversal in market direction. Recognizing these patterns can provide traders with additional confirmation of potential reversals, making the indicator even more powerful for strategic trading.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Data_Driven_Trading
BTCUSDT to bounce from 4h support towards weekly resistanceHere is the next trade setup for long. The price is likely to dip into 4h support zone deeper, but we will keep building position as the price dips further into the zone. Target is first 4h resistance 4HR1 then daily resistance DR1 and then weekly resistance WR1. We will evaluate the price action as it will reach these resistance milestones. There are retracement possible from these levels and therefore we will book some profit at these levels and will add on the retracements depdending on the charactersitics of the retracements.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by angela_altair
Is Bitcoin Topping Out? Critical Levels to WatchSince the low of $15,476 on November 21, 2022, Bitcoin has surged to an all-time high of $109,588 on January 20, 2025. That’s an incredible +608% increase over 791 days. We also hit the long-anticipated $100K mark. But for almost three months now, Bitcoin has been stuck in a range between $90K and the all-time high, showing some indecision in the market. Looking Back: Market Structure & Trends Bitcoin spent over 250 days consolidating between $50K and $70K before finally breaking out in November 2024, right around the U.S. election. That breakout triggered a massive rally, pushing Bitcoin to 100K in just one month. Since then, bulls and bears have been battling it out, trying to establish control over this crucial psychological level. A look at the pitchfork tool shows that Bitcoin has been rejected at the 0.618, 0.666, and 0.786 levels multiple times while trying to push higher. Recently, we lost the median line of the pitchfork and dropped below 100K, suggesting bullish momentum is fading. The 233 SMA/EMA on the 4-hour TF as well as the 21 EMA/MA on the daily TF has also flipped into resistance, adding to the bearish pressure. Is February Shaping Up to Be a Bearish Month? If we compare the current cycle to the 2020 bull market, the price action looks similar, forming a top where Bitcoin struggles to break higher. February could bring a healthy correction before any new leg up. Key Support Zones & Confluences Here’s where we could see solid support: Unfilled CME Gap at $77,930 – Historically, Bitcoin tends to fill these gaps over time Pitchfork Lower Support Line (~$80K) – If Bitcoin drops, this level aligns with multiple confluences by late February or early March Fib Speed Fan (0.618 from $50K to ATH) – Perfectly lines up with the pitchfork lower support around $80K Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension (1.618) – Another confluence at the $79K mark Fib Retracement (0.5 from $50K to ATH) – Adds more support at $79.3K Negative Fibonacci Retracement (-0.618) – Lands right at the open gap, reinforcing this zone Daily 233 EMA/MA – Sitting at $81.3K and $76.4K, further supporting this region Key Support Zone: $80K - $78K – With all these confluences, this is a strong area for a potential long setup Additional Support Zone: FWB:88K - $86K – Another important region to watch for a bounce Resistance Levels & Confluences Psychological Resistance at 100K – A major battle zone between bulls and bears Daily 21 EMA/MA (~$99.5K - 101K) – A key resistance level that could cap any upward movement 233 SMA/EMA on the 4H Timeframe – Now acting as resistance, adding pressure to the downside Potential Trade Setups Long Setup #1: A potential entry from FWB:88K - $86K Long Setup #2: $80K - $78K support zone with confirmation could present a high-probability trade Final Thoughts Bitcoin is facing strong resistance at 100K, with multiple technical indicators suggesting a possible pullback. While the bigger trend remains bullish, February might bring a correction, providing great long opportunities around the FWB:88K - $86K and $80K - $78K region. Keep an eye on key support zones and look for confirmation signals before jumping into trades. New Indicator Release The 4H, Daily, and Weekly support zones seen on the charts are from my new indicator, which I released for free a few days ago. Feel free to check it out and incorporate it into your analysis.
Long
by SiDec
2
BTC - Key Zones & Liquidity InsightsBINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently oscillating within a new trading range, establishing a trustable support zone while facing a weaker resistance trendline and resistance zone. Given this setup, a breakout isn’t the primary expectation just yet. 🔹 Key Observations: Support Zone Strength: The support zone is stronger than the resistance, making it less likely for BTC to break downward easily. Resistance Weakness: The resistance trendline and zone appear weaker, meaning any rejection could be temporary. Liquidity Perspective: As seen on the liquidity chart, there’s favorable liquidity above the resistance zone, increasing the probability of a short-term push higher to hunt liquidity. 💡 Potential Scenarios: 1️⃣ BTC could move toward the resistance zone, tapping into liquidity before reacting. 2️⃣ If buyers step in aggressively, a short-term liquidity grab above resistance might trigger further upside. 3️⃣ Failure to reclaim key levels could lead to continued range-bound movement. 🚀 Stay ready for the next Bitcoin move! Follow for real-time updates and professional insights! 🔔
by Sober_Trading
"NO ALT SEASON!!" - OTHERS.D vs BTC.D - Is this time different? "No Alt Season!!" – OTHERS.D vs BTC.D: Is This Time Different? While no one can say for certain whether history will repeat itself, one thing remains clear: it often rhymes. During the previous cycle, we witnessed an altcoin capitulation around the same time (cycle-wise), and the prevailing sentiment online was "No alt season" or "Alts are dead." This period of pain in the altcoin market presents a significant opportunity for those with little to no altcoin exposure. While I am cautious i do not think this time is different, there are notable changes in the current market dynamics tho. Many altcoins will continue to underperform even as the eventual BTC.D breakdown (alt season) unfolds. However, it’s important to note that most altcoins will not reach new highs, with only a select few likely to lead the market. As such, it's crucial to revise your strategy, moving away from holding onto outdated or underperforming assets, even if it’s difficult given the emotional attachment many of us have to certain coins. Understand that, in this cycle, there are simply too many coins for all of them to reach their all-time highs. Act strategically, and if you find value in this post, please consider following and supporting my account and leaving a boost on this post. Thank you.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.DLong
by WifiFugazi
1
NAS100USD and BTCUSD correlationJust been recapping on the SPXUSD and NAS100USD charts, both look like they could head lower in the short term at least. Not sure crypto has proven it can trade independently from that just yet, at least based on the short term. Plus if things get disorderly then everything could get wacked. I'll be monitoring my positions over the weekend (BTCUSD, HBAR, XRPUSD), but I may reduce them again irrespective of how crypto moves in anticipation of potential downside in the wider markets. Looking at the recent declines on NAS100USD compared to BTCUSD, BTCUSD tends to overperform to the downside in % terms, you can see the percentages on the charts of the past declines. The recent decline which has just started sees there NAS100USD declining by -1.76% and BTCUSD by -4%, no guarantee that pace will continue, but assuming NAS100USD declines to the first target area and BTCUSD matches the drop in % terms BTCUSD could be looking at $94,500 and if it overperforms then it could reach $90,000 which is a potential measured move target based on how the NAS100USD could decline. XRPUSD thread here which gives some background to recent positioning.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by figureofspeech
BTC Long, bear trap doneDaily level the last fews days not being able to break belove 95.500-95.000 level. Looking at the btc liquidity heatmap, there is not really much liquidity left below, loads of liquidity left above 109.000. Aiming for this huge RR trade, small stoploss. Would be my best trade ever if this succeeds. Also lots of positive bitcoin news the last few days. Im bullish. I was also waiting and waiting for 60k 80k levels, but i don't really think it will drop that far anymore, perhaps in the case of a massive world event.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ProdemoNL
A small BTC longI entered a long position on BTC at 96,003.8, buying at the bottom of a 1H/4H order block. The confluence between these timeframes suggests strong bullish potential, as price often reacts positively when multiple timeframe order blocks align. My Take Profit (TP) is set at 97,151.0, while my Stop Loss (SL) is at 95,452.0. Despite the bullish setup, I’m cautious because there’s a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) sitting right above my order block. This FVG could act as short-term resistance, limiting upward momentum. Given this, I’ve opted for a conservative TP to secure profits without overexposing myself to potential reversals.
Long
by Alex-HKM
5
Current bitcoin bullflag has a target of 144kBeen consolidating inside this one for some time now and its been creating a lot of uncertainty in the market lately as most people have been distracted by the bearish h&s pattern on the Daly chart and haven’t zoomed out to the higher time frames to realize this whole time we’ve ust been consolidating inside this bullflag. The stochrsi has already been reset for awhile on the Daly time frame and is about to be fully reset here on the weekly time frame too sugget we will resume the uptrend in the near future. *not financial advice*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
Best bitcoin investor (among 100 million)We checked all bitcoin wallets (100MLN+) to find those who buy at the bottom and sell at the peak. So who is the best bitcoin investor? Almost everyone knows popular investors like Michael Saylor, except he doesn't sell bitcoins and ends up with an 80% drawdown. And he's not buying at the bottom, he's averaging. And few people know about those who actually invest competently in cryptocurrencies. Unfortunately, I can not publish in this post a link to the wallet (because I may be banned), but we do not hide its address. Here are the details of the wallet Invested - 11,3k Profit - 346k Profit - 3052% Wallet age 87m Average Sell Price 34 790$ Average Buy price 14 956$ --------- I also note that he is still holding his position.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by HolderStat
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: How to prepare for the Next Big Move👀 👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating within a defined range over the past few days, exhibiting sideways price action. The key question now is: where does it go from here? In this video, I delve into critical elements of technical analysis, including market structure and price action, to outline potential scenarios. I’ll map out a strategic approach for both a breakout above the range high and a breakdown below the range low. Please note, this is not financial advice.
by fxtraderanthony
Bitcoin Dominance Pumping , Is the Altcoin Market in Trouble ?Bitcoin dominance has broken a significant resistance level, signaling a shift in market dynamics. The previous double top formation has completely failed, and dominance is now sustaining above the prior highs. This development has bearish implications for altcoins, as Bitcoin's growing market share typically leads to capital outflows from the altcoin sector. Key Points on the Chart Double Top Failure & Breakout Confirmation The market was previously forming a double top pattern, a classic reversal setup that often signals a potential decline. However, BTC dominance not only broke the double top resistance but has held above it for multiple days, confirming bullish continuation. A failed double top often results in a strong move upward, as short-sellers covering their positions add to the momentum. Ascending Channel Structure The chart shows BTC dominance moving within a rising wedge/ascending channel formation. The breakout above the mid-channel resistance suggests an acceleration in trend strength, increasing the likelihood of BTC dominance rising further. As long as dominance stays within this structure, Bitcoin will likely outperform the altcoin market. Key Support & Resistance Levels 56.44% level was a major resistance in the past and is now a confirmed support zone. 61.91% (current level) marks the breakout region, now acting as new support. If dominance continues its uptrend, the next potential resistance area could be 66%–68%, marking the upper boundary of the trend. Impact on Altcoins Altcoin Weakness Likely to Continue Historically, when BTC dominance increases, altcoins tend to bleed as capital rotates toward Bitcoin. Many altcoins may struggle to gain momentum unless BTC dominance reverses from this region. Conditions for Altcoin Recovery For altcoins to regain strength, BTC dominance must decline from this breakout zone. A rejection from the upper trendline (~64%–66%) could create a temporary relief rally in altcoins. Altcoin Seasonal Trends Typically, altcoins start recovering once BTC dominance peaks and shows weakness. Until then, Bitcoin remains the safer bet, while altcoins carry higher risk. Trading Considerations & Strategy For BTC holders: The breakout suggests strong dominance continuation, meaning Bitcoin may remain the best-performing asset in the short term. For altcoin traders: Monitor Bitcoin dominance closely a drop back below 60% would be the first sign of relief for altcoins. For market timing: If BTC dominance approaches 64%–66%, a potential rejection could provide entry points for altcoins. Bitcoin dominance has broken a crucial structure, signaling altcoin weakness and Bitcoin strength. Until BTC dominance reverses or consolidates, altcoins may struggle to gain momentum. Watch the 64%–66% zone for signs of exhaustion if BTC dominance starts rejecting from there, it could mark the beginning of an altcoin resurgence.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by wolfchemist