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1-BTCUSD

BITCOIN This is why $250k is a Cycle Top candidateBitcoin (BTCUSD) is now cruising on the Bull Cycle's most aggressive phase, the Parabolic Rally. We got the final confirmation as it broke above and now established the 1st Standard Deviation from Above (grey trend-line) of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) as the new Support. Having already broken above the previous All Time High (ATH) Resistance, every time BTC flipped the 1st SD into Support while above the ATH, it hit at least the 2nd SD (orange trend-line) before the Cycle Top was priced. This level is currently at $181700 but rising along with the trend What adds a more specific dynamic to the potential Cycle Top though, is that during Bitcoin's 11-year Higher Lows trend-line growth, it posted rallies of at least +1719% on each Cycle. As the Cycles progressed and due to the Law of Diminishing Returns, this rally started lower each time. This shows the great significance of this rally and as a result, on the current Cycle with can estimate from its very bottom (November 2022). This suggests that we can reach at least $250k before or around the time the 2nd SD is tested. In addition, all Cycles have topped after the 1M RSI makes contact with its historic Lower Highs trend-line. So what do you think? Is $250k a strong candidate for a Cycle Top? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
13
BTCUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (RAED CAPTION)hi traders! share you opinion about this chart in comment section current price: 98020 after hitting highest of all time BTC has entered in sphere of retracement. all D1 candles of this week have established a bearish trend and market is trying to stabilize itself. currently market is working under parallel channel. if market rejects 98500 then its next move will be 94500. key points: resistance: 98500 and 99850 support zone: 94650 and 91500 demand zone: 94650 like, share and follow. thanks for your support
OANDA:BTCUSDShort
by Ibrahim_Gold_Traders
Sun Token ($SUN): Strategic Entry into DeFi Ecosystem TokenI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more. Sun Token ( NYSE:SUN ): Strategic Entry into DeFi Ecosystem Token Sun Token (SUN) is a crypto in the CRYPTO market. The price is 0.02420828 USD currently with a change of -0.00058 (-0.02359%) from the previous close. The intraday high is 0.02517523 USD and the intraday low is 0.02232376 USD. Trade Setup: - Entry Price: $0.02197 - Stop-Loss: $0.00692 - Take-Profit Targets: - TP1: $0.05232 - TP2: $0.08906 Fundamental Analysis: Sun Token ( NYSE:SUN ) is integral to the TRON blockchain's decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem, facilitating governance and incentivization within the platform. Its role in promoting DeFi activities on TRON has garnered attention from investors seeking exposure to this growing sector. Technical Analysis: - Current Price: $0.02420828 - Moving Averages: - 50-Day SMA: $0.02350000 - 200-Day SMA: $0.02200000 - Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 55, indicating neutral momentum. - Support and Resistance Levels: - Support: $0.02250000 - Resistance: $0.02550000 Market Sentiment: The DeFi sector continues to expand, with NYSE:SUN playing a pivotal role in TRON's ecosystem. Its integration into various DeFi protocols enhances its utility and appeal among investors. Risk Management: Implementing a stop-loss at $0.00692 helps mitigate potential losses, while the take-profit targets at $0.05232 and $0.08906 offer favorable risk-reward ratios. Given the token's volatility, strict adherence to these levels is crucial. When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave! Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.
Long
by SiriusTrading
BTC Bitcoin Bear Market If you haven`t bought BTC before the recent rally: Historically, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to retrace in December before starting a recovery around March. This pattern could repeat this season, with BTC facing selling pressure as year-end portfolio rebalancing and macro uncertainties weigh on the market. While a brief Santa Claus rally might provide temporary relief, the bearish trend is expected to dominate until March. By then, BTC could trade below $84K before regaining momentum, aligning with its historical recovery trend as market conditions stabilize in spring.
Short
by TopgOptions
BTC 5D INDEX Perfect Chart w/ 2 Retests Mapped out weeks ago combining diagonals in White and Horizontals in Yellow & Blue. Fib Extension with measured move to GETTEX:87K is white also. Used Closers of the 5 day time frame. First re-test was on the upper white diagonal. Then popped up with in $$'s of previous ATH and then came back to retest the yellow horizontal. Next should , or possibly, never 100%, but break up thru ATH then re-test that move and level in Blue. Then GETTEX:87K and that Fib retracement, whitte, used as an extension from ATH to most current low extrapolates the 1.618 very close to the measyred move, probably Kiss $90K but 87 is safer trade
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Chefrusty
#BTC - Ready to pivot and head to 108k In my latest post I mentioned that we might visit 93-95k. Sadly for alt coins that resulted in a massive bloodbath, but fear not, it is a healthy pullback meant to clear leverage, that will fuel the next move on #BTC What's next for BINANCE:BTCUSDT ? 1. After the reaction swing high to 102k price now retraced into the 0.618 zone 2. It also fits perfectly on the fib time zone, and as we've seen in the past, it signalled almost perfectly the reversal in the trend 3. Given the massive sell-off from alts, I believe now it has enough strength to move to the extension zone which is around 108k 4. Based on the impulse we should know if it's just a manipulation or it will continue to go higher Personally I think we should see another sweep from 108k to 90-95k, and only afterwards we can continue higher to 120k What are your thoughts?
Long
by tamastery
5
Bitcoin Halving 4: The Dawn of a New Bullish Era with a $150,000Introduction The fourth Bitcoin halving, anticipated on April 15th, 2024, marks the beginning of a new era, reinforcing Bitcoin's deflationary narrative and catalyzing its cyclical market dynamics. With 90% of Bitcoin's supply already mined and a reduced block reward of 3.125 BTC, scarcity is set to increase, setting the stage for a bullish trajectory. Historically, Bitcoin’s halving cycles have driven predictable phases: bullish trends in the initial 70,000 blocks, bearish retracements in the next 70,000 blocks, and sideways consolidation in the final stretch before the next halving. As we step into the bullish phase of Halving 4, this analysis explores Bitcoin’s trajectory toward a potential peak of $150,000, supported by historical patterns, logarithmic regression models, and on-chain metrics like the MVRV ratio and z-score. Where Are We Today? Having experienced the lows of the third halving era, which began on May 11th, 2020, Bitcoin has successfully weathered the sideways phase characterized by market equilibrium. With the MVRV ratio at 2.24, Bitcoin is signaling fair value, poised for the bullish uptrend expected in the fourth halving era. Historically, Bitcoin’s market dominance reflects this cyclical behavior. During bearish and sideways phases, dominance often falls below 40%, but as the bullish phase takes hold, dominance surges to 70%, bolstering its influence over the entire cryptocurrency market. These dynamics suggest that Bitcoin is primed for significant price appreciation. Halving Cycles and Price Projections The logarithmic regression model shown in the chart encapsulates Bitcoin’s historical price patterns. The projected target of $150,000 aligns with the intersection of Bitcoin's parabolic uptrend and its logarithmic regression of highs. Key milestones include: Post-Halving Bullish Phase (0 to 70,000 blocks): Historically marked by exponential price growth. Bearish Phase (70,000 to 140,000 blocks): A retracement period, with average drawdowns of 80% from cycle highs. Sideways Phase (140,000 to 210,000 blocks): A period of consolidation, setting the stage for the next halving. For Halving 4, projections suggest: A high of $150,000 during the bullish phase. An 80% drawdown, positioning the bearish-phase low at $55,000. The MVRV Ratio: A Key Indicator The MVRV ratio (Market Value to Realized Value) serves as a robust tool for assessing Bitcoin’s valuation. Current metrics indicate that Bitcoin is fairly valued, with room for substantial growth in the coming phase: Historical Extremes: MVRV > 3.7: Overbought conditions, signaling market tops. MVRV < 1: Undervalued conditions, signaling market bottoms. As Bitcoin transitions into the fourth halving era, the MVRV ratio’s current reading of 2.24 suggests equilibrium, with significant upside potential. Projected Timeline April 2024 (Halving): Bitcoin enters the bullish phase, with increasing demand outpacing diminishing supply. 2025-2026: Price targets of $150,000 are achievable as the cycle matures. Post-Bullish Phase: Expected retracement to $55,000, aligning with historical drawdowns. Conclusion Bitcoin’s cyclical nature, driven by its deflationary halving mechanism, positions it as a unique asset in the financial markets. As we enter the fourth halving era, the combination of historical data, on-chain metrics like the MVRV ratio, and market dynamics underscores the potential for Bitcoin to reach $150,000. This analysis highlights Bitcoin's enduring appeal as a store of value and a driver of innovation in the digital asset space. While short-term volatility is inevitable, the long-term outlook remains bullish. Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are inherently volatile, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Sources: Coin Metrics CryptoQuant TradingView Data Analysis
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Theperfectionist
1
Well, Well Well, Can Bitcoin Sustain Its New All-Time High?It's been a while, TradingView. I've really stepped away from markets for the most part to focus on other things. It's been quite refreshing. This won't be long. I'm popping in to share a couple of quick observations. For one, Bitcoin has managed to break out to a new significant ATH, so far a little under 30% above the previous high around $73k. My speculation has long been that Bitcoin is unlikely to SUSTAIN a significant new all-time high above the previous bull-market high near $70k. This is close to being invalidated. Full invalidation would require Bitcoin to just keep going, and $100k is the next clear hurdle. Right now, it's encountering some resistance, just 5% from that major target. Keep in mind, Bitcoin, is not really outperforming major stock indexes (yet). It's simply caught up after a period of underperformance. The recent upswing in price seems to have been catalyzed by Trump's second election to office in the U.S. Interesting, considering he used to look down on cryptocurrencies and suddenly flip-flopped during his recent run for office. This seems to be a bit of an emotional and speculative reaction from investors. Buyers expect further price appreciation with increased adoption and decreased available supply. "Adoption" simply means buying and holding these days, not using it as a currency. This is clear when looking at this graph: studio.glassnode.com Bitcoin active addresses continue to stagnate. People are just buying and holding, and it is often the same entities doing so. The ETFs skew this data as well, since these coins are held in concentrated addresses, even though many more people may be holding "Bitcoin" through an ETF. That brings me to something else: Options. Now traders can exercise options on Bitcoin ETF's. This is dangerous, and I think should be treated with some caution. This can increase the amount of price manipulation, as if it wasn't already manipulated. As for me, I closed my shorts at a loss around $63.8k. I saw that Bitcoin was unlikely to drop further, and instead break out of its flag formation to the upside. This ended up being the safer move. Now, I've slowly begun scaling back into a short. I've added at GETTEX:89K , $93k, and now $94.8k. The chart is demonstrating some divergences. The Ultimate Oscillator is actually declining as price goes up. Today's "breakout" is so far on meager volume, but my guess is that this increases should price continue towards $100k this week. In the above chart, confirmation of a local top might be the breakdown of my orange trendline. If price stalls here, it can fall all the way down to the breakout point (the long broadening wedge) It can also simply fall as shallow as $82-83k and then resume its climb. Long term, I'm not a fan of this asset as it represents something dystopian and sinister to me these days. I acknowledge it doesn't represent this to everyone. Regardless of your position on Bitcoin, I wish you luck! This is not meant as financial advice and for speculation only! -Victor Cobra
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by VictorCobra
6
Bitcoin Is About To Enter 100K Area SoonBitcoin with ticker BTCUSD is coming and moving nicely higher as expected, after Donald Trump won US elections, so coin remains in a strong bullish five-wave impulse on a daily chart with room even up to 130k-150k area. Price came nicely higher, out of a recent wave 4 consolidation into wave 5 of an extended wave (3) close to 100k area in the 4-hour chart. Now that BTC is slowing down, seems like it's making a higher degree correction in wave (4) before the uptrend for wave (5) of 3 towards 100k area resumes. It's ideally forming a bullish triangle pattern in wave (4), but alternatively be also aware of a deeper correction, which can still retest 90k-85k support zone.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ew-forecast
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-10: Bearish ExhaustionToday's pattern suggests the SPY & QQQ will attempt to trend downward in early trading (trying to find support), then roll into a congestion period finding a Bearish Exhaustion pattern. As you will see in my charts, I expect the SPY/QQQ to stall over the next 3-5 trading days and then move into a correction period - trending downward before the end of 2024. Gold and Silver are moving higher as economic data continues to suggest the strong US economy/inflation trends are putting pressure on global markets. This translates into FEAR. The next big move in Gold/Silver may come before the end of 2024 as well - sending Gold above $2900 and sending Silver above $35.50. Bitcoin is probably the most interesting chart - setting up a Triple Excess Phase Peak pattern in a broad consolidation range. Currently, the dominant pattern is suggesting a downward price move is very likely. Although, a break above 102k (resistance) could send Bitcoin rallying much higher. Get ready for some big moves. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
BTC Tightens After Liquidations With the big drop yesterday in BTC and more notably alts, we are seeing the standard tightening ranges of the equilibrium pattern that results when you have significant volatility in both directions. If we break bull this morning, we will zoom out and scout a 12H lower high, and the daily chart will continue to tighten up as well, heading for a break to end this week. If this hourly range breaks bear, we will look to test recent lows in the $94ks. Note we are seeing BTC.D bounce on the weekly as alts drop into weekly consolidation, as highlighted as one of the more likely potential paths forward in our recent live stream on youtube.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TheChartGuys
4