Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Trading Setup 📊 Chart Overview & Market Context
The provided chart represents Bitcoin's (BTC/USD) price movement on the 1-hour (H1) timeframe, highlighting a Rising Wedge pattern. This pattern is generally bearish and signals a potential reversal or breakdown.
Over the past few trading sessions, BTC has been moving inside an ascending wedge formation, making higher highs and higher lows. However, this movement is narrowing, indicating weakening bullish momentum. As BTC approaches a critical resistance level, sellers appear to be gaining control, increasing the likelihood of a sharp decline.
This chart outlines a well-structured bearish trading setup, identifying key areas of resistance, support, stop-loss placement, and potential downside targets.
📌 Technical Analysis & Key Levels
🔹 1. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal Signal)
A Rising Wedge is a technical pattern characterized by:
✔ Two upward-sloping trendlines, converging over time.
✔ Diminishing bullish momentum, as higher highs become weaker.
✔ Breakdown expectation, where price typically falls below the lower support trendline.
📉 Why is this pattern important?
The rising wedge signals that buyers are losing strength and that a reversal is likely.
When price breaks below the lower boundary, selling pressure increases, leading to a strong downward move.
Traders often anticipate a breakdown from this pattern to enter short positions.
🔹 2. Resistance Level (Key Rejection Zone)
📌 Zone: 88,500 - 89,500 USD
This area has acted as a strong resistance, preventing further upside movement.
Sellers stepped in, causing the price to reject and start declining.
A confirmed rejection from this level adds bearish confluence to the setup.
🔹 3. Rising Wedge Support (Breakdown Level)
📌 Zone: 85,000 - 84,500 USD
This is the lower boundary of the wedge pattern.
If BTC closes below this level with strong volume, it confirms the breakdown.
A retest of this level as resistance after a breakdown would provide an ideal short entry.
🔹 4. Key Support Levels & Bearish Targets
Once BTC breaks down, the next areas of interest are:
📌 First Bearish Target: 80,500 - 79,500 USD
A previous demand zone where buyers previously pushed prices higher.
BTC could pause here before continuing lower.
📌 Final Target (Full Breakdown Projection): 76,802 USD
If the wedge pattern fully plays out, BTC could drop toward this level.
This aligns with a major historical support zone, where significant buying interest could emerge.
🔹 5. Stop-Loss & Risk Management
📌 Stop-Loss: 90,483 USD
If BTC moves above this level, it invalidates the bearish setup.
Keeping a tight stop-loss ensures controlled risk while maximizing potential rewards.
📉 Trading Plan: How to Trade This Setup?
✅ Short Entry Strategy:
Enter a short trade once BTC breaks below 85,000 USD, confirming the wedge breakdown.
If BTC retests the broken support (now resistance), it offers a second entry opportunity.
✅ Stop-Loss Placement:
Place a stop-loss above 90,483 USD, in case of a bullish breakout.
✅ Take-Profit Levels:
First Target: 80,500 - 79,500 USD (Support zone)
Final Target: 76,802 USD (Full wedge breakdown projection)
📌 Key Takeaways & Market Sentiment
🔸 Bearish Structure Formation: BTC is losing momentum inside a rising wedge, signaling a potential downturn.
🔸 Breakdown Confirmation Needed: A close below 85,000 USD with volume confirms the bearish trade setup.
🔸 Risk Management is Key: The stop-loss above 90,483 USD protects against invalidation.
🔸 Watch for Retests: If BTC retests the breakdown level, it can provide an ideal entry point.
🚨 Bitcoin is showing early signs of a bearish reversal! If the rising wedge breaks down, a significant decline toward 76,802 USD could follow. Traders should monitor price action carefully and execute the setup accordingly. 🚀
1-BTCUSD
BTCUSD 1H | POI Reaction Setup After Sweep – Short Flow by CelesBTC tapped into a clean POI zone after sweeping highs.
A market structure shift (MSS) formed, showing early signs of bearish intent.
Price is now reacting from the zone, and we’ve mapped the clean flow toward the 2H demand base.
Invalidation is clearly marked — a clean break above 88,005 would flip the bias.
Precise POI, projection, and target laid out.
— CelestiaPips
BTCUSD 2H | Breakout Flow + BOS Confirmation – CelestiaPipsBTC is slowly developing a breakout structure on the 2H timeframe .
Multiple bullish BOS points and a solid NY session demand base formed.
Price is currently retesting the breakout zone after sweeping short-term liquidity.
If price holds this zone, we could see continuation toward 88,900.
I’ve mapped out the entire flow – BOS, entry zone, and final target.
Watch how price reacts from this level.
— Shared by CelestiaPip
BTC READY TO EXPLODE? POTENTIAL 1H ENTRY!Hi traders! , Analyzing Bitcoin on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential entry :
🔹 Entry: 87,509 USD
🔹 TP: 92,003 USD
🔹 SL: 81,206 USD
BTC is respecting the trendline and maintaining its bullish momentum. If this support holds, we could see a continuation toward 92K. RSI is overbought, but price action remains strong.
⚠️DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
Position Open in BTC! Ready for TakeoffHi Traders ! Bitcoin has reached a key support zone, where it has historically shown bullish reactions. Additionally, the RSI at oversold levels (21.66) reinforces the possibility of an imminent rebound.
🔥 I have already entered long, expecting a bullish move toward the $85,500 - $86,000 zone, with a possible extension to $89,000 - $90,000 if it breaks the descending resistance.
📈 Key Factors to Watch:
✅ Confirmation of the bounce at support.
✅ Increase in buying volume.
✅ Break above the 20-period EMA.
Let’s see how this plays out! What are your thoughts? 🔥
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I am simply sharing my analysis and personal trade. Always do your own research before trading!
BTC IMF Tracking, Liquidation Frenzy, and Market PredictionsBitcoin's recent price action has been a rollercoaster, marked by significant gains, dramatic liquidations, and a confluence of macroeconomic factors that are shaping its trajectory. From the International Monetary Fund (IMF) officially tracking Bitcoin in cross-border finance to speculative predictions of a potential $87,000 surge, the cryptocurrency remains a focal point of intense market scrutiny.
One of the most noteworthy developments is the IMF's increasing recognition of Bitcoin's role in global finance. While the IMF previously issued warnings to El Salvador regarding its Bitcoin adoption, its decision to now track Bitcoin in cross-border financial flows signals a tacit acknowledgment of the cryptocurrency's growing significance. This shift reflects a broader trend of institutions grappling with the reality of digital assets, forcing them to incorporate these assets into their analytical frameworks.
Simultaneously, the Bitcoin market has witnessed a surge towards the $87,000 mark, triggering a wave of short liquidations. This phenomenon occurs when traders who have bet against Bitcoin's price are forced to close their positions at a loss as the price rises. The sheer magnitude of these liquidations, exceeding $110 million in a short period, underscores the volatility and the inherent risks associated with leveraged trading in the cryptocurrency market. The total market liquidations surpassing $200,000 in 24 hours only highlights the dramatic price swings and the vulnerability of short positions.
Adding to the complexity of the market dynamics is the emergence of another CME gap in the $84,000–$85,000 range. Historically, these gaps, which represent discrepancies between trading prices on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and other exchanges, tend to be filled, suggesting a potential pullback in Bitcoin's price. This pattern creates a sense of uncertainty, with traders weighing the potential for further gains against the possibility of a corrective downturn.
Furthermore, the surge in Bitcoin open future bets on Binance, with an increase of $600 million, indicates heightened price volatility. Open interest, which measures the total number of outstanding futures contracts, often correlates with price movements. A rise in open interest alongside a price increase typically confirms an uptrend, but it also signals the potential for sharp price swings as more capital enters the market.
Market analysts are divided on Bitcoin's future trajectory. Some predict a "brutal bleed lower," while others foresee a break towards new all-time highs in the second quarter. The critical level to watch is $93,000. If Bitcoin can reclaim this level as support, it would significantly reduce the risk of a fresh collapse. However, until this threshold is breached, the market remains vulnerable to downward pressure.
On a more positive note, the S&P 500's reclamation of its 200-day moving average provides a potential tailwind for Bitcoin. This technical breakout in equities, coupled with similar signals in the cryptocurrency market, could indicate renewed bullish momentum. The correlation between traditional financial markets and Bitcoin has become increasingly apparent, with positive developments in equities often translating to positive sentiment in the crypto space.
Adding another layer to the narrative is the potential softening of the stance on reciprocal tariffs by Donald Trump. Some analysts see this development as a potential catalyst for a Bitcoin bottom. Any relaxation of trade tensions could boost investor confidence and create a more favorable environment for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
Finally, the concept of tokenized US gold reserves, as proposed by NYDIG, presents an intriguing long-term prospect for Bitcoin. While gold and Bitcoin are fundamentally different assets, the tokenization of gold on a blockchain could enhance the overall legitimacy and infrastructure of digital assets. This increased institutional acceptance could indirectly benefit Bitcoin by further integrating blockchain technology into mainstream finance.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's current market landscape is characterized by a blend of institutional recognition, intense trading activity, and speculative predictions. The IMF's tracking of Bitcoin in cross-border finance underscores its growing relevance, while the liquidation frenzy and CME gap highlight the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market. The interplay of macroeconomic factors, technical indicators, and speculative sentiment will continue to shape Bitcoin's trajectory, making it a fascinating asset to watch in the coming months.
Weekly Analysis for Week 13 2025!Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Did you managed to get some pips from EURUSD before the mid week reversal ?
Or did you catch some pips from EJ as well?
No? Missed out on it? No worries, check out my trading analysis for next week (week 13) to get some insights and tips for the potential moves in the Forex market!
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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HOOD - Get Great PricingNASDAQ:HOOD and I have had a mixed relationship over the years. I have had my biggest win on the HOOD brokerage (5,000% options trade, $1200 into 60k) and at the same time I was present for the Derogatory removal of the GME button (of which I had sold before they took that button).
After many years and brokerages, I find myself returning to HOOD but this time much more experience... To my surprise, I love the platform, and I still recommend it for new traders for the ease and UI. Honestly, unless you are dealing with BIG Volume or Hot-Keying out of Low float Penny stocks, It will suit you just fine.
Now Let's Talk HOOD.
In this MASSIVE range we are looking at High $67, and a Low of $35. Thats a 47% drop!
Although we have recovered a bit, Many are eager to find a way to get in the range. Here I have put together 2 scenarios to help you play your position with confidence.
Better Price = Better psychology
Whether we are shopping at grocery store, or if we are buying a car. Getting a good deal feels better. But how do you feel when you know you overpaid?
TLDR: The best deals are the lowest purple zone "Extreme Demand" if you are Long, "Reinforced Supply" (at the top) if you are looking to get short or take profit.
Under the HOOD
Currently Robinghood is running into a little bit of a supply zone labelled "Weak Supply"
This is a new player, and we don't yet know how just how big this player is. So far they have absorbed some of that buying pressure coming in, but I would not be surprised if they we overtaken or even gapped above come Monday. This brings us to our first Scenario
Scenario 1: Blue line
With the break above "weak supply", there is headroom all the way until 51.74. This is where we will see some supply initially and maybe a small rejection.
Why would it not reject back down to a demand area like 41? Great question.
If this overtakes that "Weak Supply" zone, this will make a strong case that there is momentum behind the wheels here. I think there will be a new player reinforcing this buying if this happens all the way to the Finale at $58.01. From here I would consider taking some profits, maybe partials, or looking for some Puts.
Scenario 2: Red line
Getting Rejected by "Weak supply" would be evidence that this move was fluff. Those two demand zones may try to hold a bit, but with the lack of buying interest in the
$45 area, this won't make those buyers feel confident.
This is different story when comparing to the "Extreme Demand" zone (lowest purple zone). Buyers here have PROVEN that this is something they are very interested and they are not done accumulating yet. So from this location buyers feel confident that they are getting a good price*( see fn. )
From here this should drive demand up again, crushing shorts, and sending another nice squeeze to test that supply at 51.71
WHEW! if you made it this far, I appreciate your time!
Upvote/Follow if you enjoyed this idea, there are many more to come!
Happy trading!
* (This is a good price, because buyers are showing that it is. Although, if it did come down here, this would be the 4th test of this area. I still think there will be strong demand here, but this isn't the best tests. 2nd and 3rd were stronger.)
Bullish bounce?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 85,975.56
1st Support: 83,546.45
1st Resistance: 91,753.89
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
The start of the first important volatility period of the year
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This is the first day of the volatility period.
The key is whether it can rise from the downward channel.
This volatility period is expected to last until March 26.
The point of interest is whether it can break out of the downward channel and receive support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 2.618 (87814.27) ~ 1.618 (89050.0).
If not, we should see if it can find support near Fibonacci 2.24 (83646.12) and rise without going below the downtrend line.
If it holds above the downtrend line, we should see if it can rise above Fibonacci 1.618 (89050.0) during the next volatility period around April 5th.
In any case, if it breaks out of the downtrend channel and holds, I think it is likely to turn into an uptrend.
-
(1M chart)
As I mentioned before, we should not forget that there is no trend line formed by the low point of the StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart, so volatility may occur to create a trend line.
Therefore, whether it can complete the trend line while receiving support near the 69000 ~ 73499.86 range and rising is an important point of observation from a long-term perspective.
In this sense, what we can choose is to see whether it can receive support near the current location, that is, the StochRSI 50 indicator point of 83983.20.
If the support is broken, it can fall along the downtrend line.
This period of volatility is expected to be the first important period of the year.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems that it has been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
As you can see from the LOG chart, the uptrend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you to decide how to view and respond to this.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
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AVAX/USDTHello friends
As you can see, the price has been well supported by buyers from the specified support area...
Now you can buy in steps with capital and risk management and move to the specified targets.
The red resistance area can also cause a price correction, so be careful and take profit.
*Trade safely with us*
BTCHello friends
You can see that after the price fell in the specified support area, the price was supported by buyers and caused the resistance to break, and now, when the price returns to the specified ranges, you can buy in steps and move with it to the specified targets, of course, with capital and risk management...
*Trade safely with us*
SUI/USDTHello friends
You can see that after the price fell in the specified support area, the price was supported by buyers and caused the resistance to break, and now, when the price returns to the specified ranges, you can buy in steps and move with it to the specified targets, of course, with capital and risk management...
*Trade safely with us*
XRP/USDT:BUY LIMITHello friends
You can see that after the price fell in the specified support area, buyers came in and supported the price and created higher ceilings and floors.
Now we can buy at the specified levels with capital and risk management and move with it to the specified targets.
*Trade safely with us*
SOL/USDT: UPDATE SIGNALHello friends
You can see that after the price fell in the specified support area, buyers came in and supported the price and made a higher ceiling.
Now we can buy at the specified levels with capital and risk management and move with it to the specified targets.
*Trade safely with us*
PEPE/USDT:BUY LIMITHi friends
You can see that after the price fell in the specified support area, buyers came in and supported the price and created higher ceilings and floors.
Now we can buy at the specified levels with capital and risk management and move with it to the specified targets.
*Trade safely with us*
Asymmetrical Triangle (Neutral) or AB=CD (Bullish) for BTC?BINANCE:BTCUSDT has formed bullish divergence on Daily TF and continues its upward momentum. BTC has also formed two trading patterns:
1. Asymmentrical Triangle: This neutral pattern can break out in either direction
2. Bullish AB=CD: This continuation pattern on the weekly tf coupled with bullish divergence on daily tf indicates imminent continuation of the bullish trend.
Buy stop order on break of LH could be a good trading idea!
Bitcoin Price Analysis – Bullish Setup with Caution AheadThe short-term trend is bullish, as we observe:
- Price movement is above the short- and medium-term moving averages.
- The price is forming higher highs and higher lows.
- Support levels are steadily rising along the moving averages.
However, there is a noticeable loss of momentum in recent hours, which could signal a potential short-term correction or profit-taking phase.
Bullish Indicators
Moving Averages:
- The 10 EMA, 20 EMA, and 30 EMA are all indicating a Buy signal.
- The 200 EMA also reflects a Buy signal.
- This indicates that the price is trading above key averages, supporting the continuation of the bullish trend.
ADX = 29.49 (Buy): The strength of the current trend is still significant (above 25), which reinforces the continuation of the bullish movement.
MACD (Buy): The MACD has shown a positive crossover, which supports the bullish signal and continued upward momentum.
Bearish Indicators
Momentum = Sell (Value: 4,249.13): There is a noticeable slowdown in momentum, which may indicate the early stages of a correction or temporary weakness.
Some Long-Term Averages = Sell: The 50, 100, and 200 Simple Moving Averages are showing sell signals, suggesting the longer-term trend has not yet fully transitioned into a bullish phase. These may also act as resistance if the price continues to rise.
Stochastic RSI Fast = 90.56 (Overbought): This indicator is in the overbought zone, pointing to a potential near-term pullback.
RSI = 53.34 (Neutral to Overbought): Not yet in the overbought territory, but gradually approaching it, which should be watched closely.
2025 Performance Lagging: The latest chart shows that 2025 performance is currently at -6.46%, compared to a strong +111% in 2024. This discrepancy suggests a phase of ongoing profit-taking or broader consolidation.
Outlook
Short-Term (Hours to Days): There is a potential for further upside with key resistance levels at 88,500, 89,000, and 90,000.
The nearest support levels are at 87,500 and 86,800.
However, caution is advised due to signs of short-term exhaustion in indicators like Stochastic RSI and Momentum.
Medium-Term (Weeks): As long as the price holds above the 86,000–86,500 range, the uptrend is likely to continue. A breakout above 90,000 would be a strong bullish signal that could drive the market to new highs.
Recommendation
- For Short-Term Traders: Take advantage of the current move but remain cautious of sudden corrections.
Watch for potential buy zones near 87,000 and 86,500. Use a tight stop-loss strategy if these support levels are broken.
- For Medium/Long-Term Investors: Indicators show that the uptrend is starting to stabilize.
Consider partial entry now while closely monitoring the 90,000 level.
Avoid going all-in at current levels and keep capital aside to buy dips if the market corrects.
BTC/USD – Bearish Rejection, Targeting SupportChart Analysis:
BTC/USD is trading within a descending channel, showing a bearish trend.
Price recently tested the resistance zone but faced rejection.
A strong sell signal is indicated, suggesting a move towards the support level around $79,877.
If price breaks below support, further downside is possible.
Trading Plan:
Sell below resistance with a target at support.
Watch for confirmation signals before entering a position.
If price breaks above resistance, a trend reversal could be possible.