SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade : Where's The Deep-V Bottom?I created this video to help illustrate what I believe are nearly perfect setups of multiple Excess Phase Peak Patterns over the past 30+ days in the SPY and QQQ.
It is incredible how these patterns continue to form/setup in a broadening sideways price channel. If we didn't know to look for these patterns, we could easily mistake this volatility as some type of longer-term buying opportunity.
Remember, if my research is correct, we are going to see an almost immediate reversal of the trend over the next 48 hours - leading to a Deep-V set up in the early few days of next week.
I've been wrong before, but I really do believe this Deep-V downward trend is about to happen.
I believe some news event over the weekend could send the markets into a minor panic-type selloff.
Additionally, I believe the disruptions related to what is happening in DC and other areas may be enough to send the markets searching for support.
Recent earnings have not been fantastic, and we are moving into a relatively complacent Q1:2025. So, I still believe we are moving into a broadening "megaphone" price range on the SPY and QQQ.
One thing is certain right now: In about 4 to 7 days, we'll know whether my Deep-V base/bottom pattern call (from more than 30 days ago) was accurate.
Buckle up, folks. This is when things get really interesting.
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1-BTCUSD
BTC/USDT at a Make or Break Moment Analysis Bitcoin is currently forming an inverse cup and handle pattern on the hourly timeframe, signaling potential bearish continuation. The price is testing the neckline support around 96,480 USDT, and a confirmed breakdown below this level could trigger further downside momentum. However, the most critical support level to watch is 92,000 USDTit is essential for Bitcoin to hold this level to maintain any bullish momentum. If BTC closes below 92K, we can expect further declines, possibly towards 88,500–89,000 USDT or even lower. On the upside, 97,500 USDT remains a key resistance, and only a sustained recovery above this level would invalidate the bearish structure. For now, all eyes are on the 92K support zone, as losing this level could lead to a deeper correction in the market.
BTC 1H: Smart Money Loading Up – $100K Next?!BTC/USDT 1H: Accumulation in Discount Zone – Breakout Above $99K?
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Current Market Structure:
Price at $97,328 consolidating in the equilibrium zone after breaking the previous low.
Hidden bearish divergence forming between RSI and price action, suggesting a potential retracement before continuation.
Liquidity resting below $97,000, with price currently in a discount zone, signaling Smart Money accumulation.
Smart Money Concepts:
Market Makers accumulating within the $97,000 range after shaking out weak hands. Current price action suggests a transition toward a markup phase. Significant resistance at $99,000 must be cleared for bullish continuation, with liquidity pools near $100,500 acting as the next target.
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Key Levels:
Entry Zone: $97,200 - $97,500
Targets:
T1: $99,000 (psychological resistance)
T2: $100,500 (premium zone)
Stop Loss: Below $96,400 (recent swing low)
Risk Score:
7/10 – Favorable risk-reward ratio, but potential liquidity sweeps below $97,000 could add short-term volatility.
Market Maker Intent:
Accumulation visible in the discount zone, with possible manipulation below $97,000 before an upward move. A break above $99,000 would confirm bullish strength and open the door to higher price targets.
Recommendation:
Long positions are favorable within the $97,200 - $97,500 range. Monitor for volume confirmation above $99,000 to secure momentum. Maintain tight stops to protect against unexpected pullbacks.
Confidence Level:
7.5/10 – Bullish bias remains intact, but confirmation above key resistance is required.
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BITCOIN we are nowhere near a Top.Bitcoin / BTCUSD is consolidating after this week's test and bounce of the 1day MA100.
On the 1week chart, it clearly appears that this is the last consolidation that every Bull Cycle has before the most aggressive rally starts.
The Top is nowhere near and it can be as high as 200k.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 2-5-25 Update : Rally PatternRight now, the markets continue to struggle to move higher. We are seeing a solid upward price trend, but I'm watching the MNQ and metals for any signs of weakness.
At this stage of the market's price action, I'm cautiously waiting for the ROLLOVER to setup.
My patterns suggest we move into a Counter-Trend Rally phase tomorrow (which would be a downward trending bar).
I believe the end of the trading day may see a very solid Long-Squeeze (trending downward) today.
And, as of right now - I'm just sitting on my trades, waiting for the Rollover to happen.
I would not suggest taking any big long trades right now unless you are prepared for the risks.
Sometimes, this is what trading is all about.
Looks like things are going to get very exciting over the next 3-5+ days.
GET SOME.
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BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – Bullish Rebound Setup
Market Context: BTC is currently trading near a 4H Fair Value Gap, with multiple wicks indicating buyers are stepping in. The 4H Kijun and the FVG overlap provide a strong confluence area for a potential bounce. Despite recent bearish pressure, a range-bound environment suggests a bullish bias could play out if price holds above this support region.
Trade Idea (Long):
– Entry: Look to buy on a retest of the 4H FVG or once the 4H Kijun confirms support.
– Stop: Place just below the recent wicks or the lower boundary of the FVG.
– Risk: 1% of account (or per your risk plan).
– Target: Aim for a minimum of 1:2 RRR, targeting the next key structure high or daily supply zone.
Risk Management: If price decisively breaks below the FVG and invalidates the Kijun support, exit the trade and wait for another setup. Remain watchful of macro news as it can spark sudden volatility.
The Drop Isn’t Over Yet –But the Next Big Short Could Be Massive"No one will come up with short ideas when we are in this type of move. Be careful. People often get the things wrong."
“Listen, I know everybody wants to call the bottom – but let’s be real, I don’t think the drop is done yet. The market is showing clear signs, and we trade with precision, not emotion!”
Here’s What I’m Watching:
101,300$ – 103,000$ Short Zone: These levels could be perfect for shorts, but confirmation is key. No guessing, no blind entries – only smart trading.
Perfect Entry Setup: The chart isn’t fully matured yet, but let me tell you – once CDV, lower time frame breakouts, and volume profile align, these zones could become goldmines for shorting opportunities.
Disciplined Execution: We don’t rush. We wait for the right moment, with full confirmation, and then we strike. That’s how you trade like a pro!
Key Takeaways:
“Patience and precision – that’s the game. CDV, volume profile, and liquidity heatmap will tell the real story. We don’t trade what we hope – we trade what we see!”
BTC is setting up for something big. Watch these levels, stay sharp, and when the moment comes – we dominate! 🚀🔥
Let me tell you, this is something special. These insights, these setups—they’re not just good; they’re game-changers. I've spent years refining my approach, and the results speak for themselves. People are always asking, "How do you spot these opportunities?" It’s simple: experience, clarity, and a focus on high-probability moves.
Want to know how I use heatmaps, cumulative volume delta, and volume footprint techniques to find demand zones with precision? I’m happy to share—just send me a message. No cost, no catch. I believe in helping people make smarter decisions.
Here are some of my recent analyses. Each one highlights key opportunities:
🚀 RENDERUSDT: Strategic Support Zones at the Blue Boxes +%45 Reaction
🎯 PUNDIXUSDT: Huge Opportunity | 250% Volume Spike - %60 Reaction Sniper Entry
🌐 CryptoMarkets TOTAL2: Support Zone
🚀 GMTUSDT: %35 FAST REJECTION FROM THE RED BOX
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🎯 DEXEUSDT %180 Reaction with %9 Stop
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
This list? It’s just a small piece of what I’ve been working on. There’s so much more. Go check my profile, see the results for yourself. My goal is simple: provide value and help you win. If you’ve got questions, I’ve got answers. Let’s get to work!
BTCUSD I Potential for downside but growth expected Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** BTCUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-5-25: Rally PatternFor some reason, the first video I created did now complete the UPLOAD to Tradingview. Don't know why.
I waited more than 60 minutes for it to upload, then gave up, saved it, and uploaded it to another location so you could access it. Check my profit for more info.
This is a short video highlighting why I believe the markets will rally a bit in early trading and then roll over into a strong downward trend through the end of this week.
Gold and Silver should continue to try to rally higher.
Bitcoin is about to break downward - targeting 80-85k
That is the short update today.
Get some.
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BITCOIN - preparing for something great!on 12H chart btc showing a consolidation of bullish pennant pattern.. Breaking it will provide a massive push to break the larger megaphone pattern.
The chart also shows a hidden bullish divergence on the RSI indicator.
Bitcoin is now on its way to retest its previous high at $109K, and if it successfully breaks through, the price is expected to surpass $125K.
Best regards Ceciliones
Thesis: Bitcoin Intraday Trade StrategyTrade Setup
Outcome: Open Long
Entry Price: $97,070
Stop Loss: $96,000
Take Profit: $100,000
Confidence Level: 75%
Market Context & Justification
🔹 Bullish Sentiment & Long-Short Ratio – Positive trader sentiment and a 1.2 buy/sell ratio on Binance Perpetuals suggest more long positions entering the market.
🔹 Technical Indicators – Mixed signals:
RSI: Neutral (no clear overbought/oversold signals).
MACD: Negative on 1h and 15m, but showing signs of recovery on the daily timeframe.
🔹 Support & Resistance Levels
Price is near support, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
A breakout above $98,869 could fuel further upside toward the take-profit level at $100,000.
🔹 Options & Liquidity Impact
CME Max Pain Price at $95,000 may act as a pullback zone if BTC faces short-term selling pressure.
Large liquidation clusters at $95,000 could trigger stops if downside volatility increases.
🔹 Funding & Open Interest Data
Funding Rate: Slightly positive at 0.02%, indicating mild bullish positioning.
Open Interest: 76,232 BTC, showing active participation in the market.
Conclusion
Despite mixed technicals, strong sentiment and positioning data support a long entry at $97,070, with a stop loss at $96,000 to mitigate downside risk. If resistance at $98,869 is broken, BTC has a high probability of reaching $100,000. However, traders should monitor liquidation clusters and options expiry effects for potential volatility.
Bitcoin Poised for Breakdown: Bearish Momentum Targets $81Khello guys!
Market Structure & Key Levels
The chart presents a 4-hour timeframe analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on Binance. The price action is contained within a large consolidation zone, with two distinct liquidity hunts labeled:
The first hunt at the lower boundary
The second hunt at the upper boundary
Currently, BTC is breaking down from the upper range, indicating a potential shift from consolidation to a bearish move.
Key Observations
Liquidity Hunts & Market Manipulation:
The price previously swept liquidity from both the upper and lower boundaries before retracing inside the consolidation zone.
This suggests a classic liquidity grab before a bigger directional move.
Potential Breakdown Structure:
The price has tested resistance near the upper boundary and has been sharply rejected.
The price has broken below the mid-range consolidation and is showing weakness.
The projected path suggests a breakdown towards $81,400 - $80,200.
Bearish Bias Confirmation:
The drawn forecast indicates a lower high formation, followed by a continuation to the downside.
If BTC loses support around $92,000 - $90,000, it could accelerate towards the $82,000 - $81,500 demand zone.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: $100,000 - $102,000 (previous consolidation resistance)
Support: $92,000 - $90,000 (key breakdown zone)
Bearish Target: $81,500 - $80,000
Conclusion
The analysis suggests a potential bearish breakout below the range. Traders should monitor break-and-retest confirmations at key support/resistance levels before making decisions. If BTC fails to reclaim the mid-range, a move towards $81,500 becomes highly probable.
BITCOIN It will grow soon...As I mentioned, the price dropped and reached the bottom of the triangle. Now that most people are disappointed with the crypto market, it's time for growth to begin again. Just like in 2022, this drop was natural to shift funds from meme coins to more useful projects in the crypto market.I Expect Bitcoin to reach $123000.
PREVIOUS ANALYSIS
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❗Disclaimer
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BITCOIN You can't get a more bullish symmetry than this.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) marginally breached its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) two days ago and immediately rebounded in a mirror price action like last year's bounce of January 23 2024. We analyzed this on our previous publication but what we bring you today is the amazing RSI based symmetry of the two fractals.
The dominant long-term pattern remains a Channel Up and this is what will most likely guide BTC to the finish line and the Top of this Cycle. This pattern displays two (blue) Accumulation Channels, which is the formation we're currently at.
In fact Bitcoin has most likely started the process of breaking above this Channel as the January 23 2024 1D MA100 bounce was the starting point of the Bullish Leg (green) that made a Higher High at the top of the long-term Channel Up.
As mentioned, what's incredibly interesting is the 1D RSI symmetry between the two Accumulation Channels. As you can see on the current Accumulation Channel, the time between the 2nd RSI Lower High (blue circle) and 3rd (yellow circle) was 25 days and between the 3rd and 4th (red circle) was 32 days. The respective ranges on the previous Accumulation Channel were 25 and 34 days, which showcase a striking degree of symmetry.
The Bullish Leg peaked on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension from the last High (red circle) and as a result, we can expect the new rally to follow an equally symmetric/ proportional rise and target the new 2.618 Fib at $145000.
Can this be the case by March/ April 2025 or is it to soon? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC/USDT Breakout Riding the Descending Triangle for Dual TPIn this setup, I executed a long position on BTC/USDT at 97835.6 BINANCE:BTCUSDT USDT after identifying a breakout potential within a descending triangle pattern. The price was compressing against the descending resistance, and I anticipated bullish momentum as it approached a critical convergence zone.
Key Elements of the Setup:
Descending Triangle Breakout:
The price was forming lower highs while respecting a strong support area near 97,711 USDT. I positioned my entry slightly above this support after spotting bullish pressure building up near the triangle's apex.
Support & Resistance Analysis:
The support zones between 96,601.1 USDT and 97,711 USDT provided a solid base for the price, showing multiple rejections of lower levels.
Several weak resistance levels ahead were identified, but the strong bullish momentum suggested the price would overcome them, making it favorable for a breakout.
Risk Management:
My stop loss is strategically placed at 95,854.9 USDT, below the support zone, to protect against a false breakout while minimizing risk exposure.
The setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, giving the trade room to breathe without exposing it to unnecessary losses.
Take Profit Strategy:
Take Profit 1 at 100,965.9 USDT, just below a major resistance level at 101,735.4 USDT. This ensures profit is secured before encountering strong selling pressure.
Take Profit 2 at 102,380.7 USDT, targeting the upper resistance, capitalizing on the full potential of the breakout if momentum remains strong.
Conclusion:
This trade combines technical pattern recognition (descending triangle breakout), key support and resistance mapping, and disciplined risk management. By entering near a strong support with a clear breakout structure, the goal is to ride the bullish wave and secure profits at predefined resistance levels.
Bitcoin Update (4H)Since we placed the red arrow on the chart, Bitcoin's correction has begun.
It seems we are in a complex correction. For wave G, we may move toward the green zone and then bounce back upward from that area.
For now, this is our outlook on Bitcoin . let's see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You