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1-BTCUSD

$BTC #Bitcoin Just Gonna Leave This Here (Hmmmm..Maybe?) 😝This is just adding onto my logarithmic regression-inversion theory and how I personally believe the $BTC price movements may specifically play out. The general theory is that the logarithmic regression of $BTC will invert at a certain point in the next 1-3 years, changing the price suppression $BTC has had for its whole life into exponential support. I personally believe this is very possible, with exponential adoption of #Bitcoin for things like sovereign wealth funds, countries' legal tender and possibly even a world reserve asset. If those things (plus other possible variables) occur then this is how I see that possibly playing out. Here is a detailed explanation of what I personally believe is happening/going to happen here. Phase 1: There would be a breakdown of price like we have now (possibly) completed. This would be in order to accomplish a few things for global institutions. Some of those things are: 1) Get Bitcoin out of the hands of the "common man". It would not be possible to acquire the amount of $BTC needed with so many people holding. 2) Cause liquidity issues for exchanges, making it more difficult for just anyone to purchase. (We have already seen this. ex: Voyager, Celsius, etc.) 3)Allow large accounts to be created at more feasible prices, while also providing a good (high) enough entry price to sustain value for the overall asset in the eyes of the public. (To keep people from losing interest) There are obviously more reasons, but that's another post. Phase 2: A relief rally back up to the median range. This will obviously be a very volatile range, as 50% of investors sell (expecting a sharp move downward) and others (possibly the central financial institutions and/or sovereign wealth funds, who will not initially disclose their acquisitions) accumulating within this range. Because of this volatility, the likely range it will be in, the immediate supports/resistances, and the typical movement of the $BTC price; My current prediction is that $BTC will move upward, after flipping the top of the recent range into support, and break above the main down-trend of a massive flag that $BTC has been forming for over a year. Then after a retest of that upper trend, price will attempt to break the new-found resistance as traders long from that trend line. Believing that this is the last upward movement, traders will then short the resistance level, and other holders may sell out of fear (or just simply because they will be at a break-even price, since a lot of volume was transacted in that range). This range will then prove to be the median range, previously mentioned. $BTC will then make a lower low, again at the upper trend of the flag. This will seem like a "bear-signal" but will actually be a second confirmation of support off of the upper-resistance trend of the flag, which will "fake-out" traders, causing a short squeeze. Then more traders will continue to short as others switch to a long stance. All of these movements will print an inverse-head-and-shoulders, the break-out of which will give $BTC price the momentum needed to make it back up to the $60K-$70K range. Phase 3: After making it back to the "all-time-high" range, there will undoubtedly be heavy volatility, as some call for a triple-top and others "FOMO" into #Bitcoin. This volatility, bouncing between the upper regression curve and the inversion curve, will begin to print a "rising-wedge" pattern. The break-out of this wedge will be the ultimate inversion of regression into exponential growth. This is all pure speculation, however it is based on both, strong fundamental data as well as technical data. I personally believe in this theory, and it could also play out in other ways, but this scenario seems to make the most sense to me at the moment. **This is my own opinion based on data observed. This is not financial advice.**
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DoozerInvest
BTC/USD Week Chart Retrace to $70,026In this idea I illustrate how a set of ascending scallops move in regards to each other. Highlighted in the chart is the first scallop that took us to justs above 100k. I know everyone is bullish and there will be dissenting views, but hear me out. The bull run is not over this is just natural movement. The first scallop almost always retraces to the left top of the hook to form the rounded bottom of the second. This scallop retraces the farthest of any in the set. I hope this helps and it looks like we will resume upwards movement in January. Blessings to you guys and long live bitcoin. ND
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by The_New_Disciple
7
BTC/USD: Navigating ATHs, Corrections, Long-Term TrajectoriesBitcoin has recently achieved a new all-time high (ATH), signaling strong bullish momentum. However, historical patterns suggest that a significant correction is imminent, with a potential decline of 32% to the $70,000 level. This critical juncture will define Bitcoin’s next move and its long-term trajectory. Key Scenarios for BTC’s Path: Scenario 1: Consolidation Above $90,000 and Push to $120,000 (March 2025) Bitcoin’s first challenge is to maintain support above $90,000. If successful, the bullish momentum could drive BTC to a new ATH of $120,000 by March 2025. Following this peak, BTC may face a significant correction to $40,000, signaling the end of the current market cycle. Scenario 2: Correction to $70,000 Before Reclaiming $120,000 (July 2025) If BTC struggles to hold $90,000, it could drop to $70,000 for a deeper correction. After this retracement, a rebound could see BTC reaching $105,000–$109,000, before ultimately achieving the $120,000 ATH by July 2025. This path ensures a more sustainable rally but still concludes with a cycle-ending correction to $40,000. Long-Term Outlook: The Lowest Lows (2026) As the market cools and enters a bearish phase, BTC may experience its lowest low between April and July 2026, targeting: $38,000 (most likely scenario). $33,000 (worst-case scenario). Key Buying Opportunities: For long-term investors, BTC’s anticipated price movements create excellent entry points: First Buy: $41,000 Second Buy: $39,000 Best Buy: $33,000 Summary of BTC’s Cyclical Movement: Short-Term: Fight to stay above $90,000 and potentially hit $120,000 by March 2025. Mid-Term: Correct to $70,000 before establishing a new ATH by July 2025. Long-Term: Fall to $38,000–$33,000 by mid-2026, marking the lowest phase of the cycle. This roadmap emphasizes BTC’s cyclical nature, offering both opportunities and risks for investors to navigate strategically.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by QuantumFusionWave
How High Can BITCOIN go versus GOLD (sorry uncle Peter Schiff)One of the frequent topics of discussion revolves around the legitimacy of this pattern. There’s a widespread misunderstanding about the continuation type of the Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern. Indeed, it is a valid and dependable chart pattern. Let’s explore this often-recognized chart pattern in more detail. The Head and Shoulders chart pattern can manifest as a continuation on price charts. In an uptrend, a continuation H&S will closely resemble a H&S bottom, while in a downtrend, it will look like an inverse H&S. The implications and interpretations of a continuation H&S are generally consistent with those of reversal patterns. Price targets can be established in the same manner as they are for reversal patterns. When a head and shoulders continuation forms during an uptrend, it typically breaks out to new highs once the pattern is completed. Breakouts to all-time highs from bullish continuation patterns are often reliable and robust. Edwards and Magee highlighted the H&S continuation in their book, "Technical Analysis of Stock Trends," back in the 1930s. The pattern remains largely unchanged in today’s price charts.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by BallaJi
BTC LONG OPPORTUNITY BTC long opportunity to $103,670. Simple break out from a descending pattern coupled with rejection from the SMA's on 4hr time frame and the rejection from $99,000 on higher time frames, also notice the low test candle on the 4hr slightly piercing through that support level. Expect a pull back at around $101,600 - $101,700 for liquidation and relief for retail traders. Fib would give us a target of $103,620 which is also the ATH for BTC so a good target to revisit.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by h77nry
Bitcoin Cycles: patternsThe Bitcoin chart shows the following patterns: 1. Halving, approximately every 1400 days. 2. 427 days from cycle high to cycle low. 3. From halving to cycle high - 518 days. 4. Each cycle low hits the previous peak. 5. After the correction, the price works out the Fibonacci levels of 2.618 and 3.618. Based on these patterns, we can make the following conclusions: 1. The high of the current cycle should be in September 2025 at $150-200k. 2. The low should be in November 2026 at $65k. 3. If the next halving occurs in March 2028, the cycle high will be in August 2029 at $400-500k.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by danil_air
BITCOIN, Where is the best zone to long?Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown. Bitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, The price is rejecting the Previous all-time high. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the breakout zone for a more strategic entry. If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target: First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation. Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence! Trade safely, Trader Leo.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by BTM-LEO
8
What now Bitcoin?#bitcoin #btc price is moving in an ascending megaphone channel now. Top of the channel is located at 110 - 115K #usdt .The lower red box is the strong daily ichimoku span support zone + dEMA ribbon support zone. CRYPTOCAP:BTC price also forming a distribution schematics that matters short/ mid term holders. Touching upper red box and a price declination there will likely cause #btcusd to have a flash dump (i expect this , posted in my previous ideas). This flash dump' s strong support zone is lower red box. If #btcusdt breaks out the megaphone channel with a successful retest, then support zone will move higher and scenario will be modified. In addition, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD price is in distribution zone, avoid high leveraged margin positions and then thank me later for avoiding 10x 100x positions pals.
by naphyse
1
Bitcoin market analysis Key Indicators for a Possible Bitcoin Drop: 1. Descending Resistance (Trendlines): • The red trendlines on both charts indicate a series of lower highs, suggesting sellers are becoming increasingly dominant. • This descending resistance reflects bearish sentiment, as buyers fail to push prices above prior peaks. 2. Support Levels in Danger: • The 1-hour chart highlights a critical green support zone between $90,000 and $89,000. • Repeated testing of support levels without a significant bounce often signals weakening demand, increasing the likelihood of a breakdown. 3. Rejection at Key Levels: • Both charts show price rejections near resistance levels. Repeated failures at these points indicate strong selling pressure and a lack of bullish momentum. 4. Divergences in Momentum Indicators: • The bottom indicators in the charts, likely oscillators like RSI or MACD, appear to show bearish divergences. This suggests that while prices attempted rallies, underlying momentum weakened. 5. Short-Term Breakdown: • The 5-minute chart depicts a sharp drop and subsequent consolidation below a key price level ($102,500). This consolidation might represent a bear flag, a continuation pattern signaling further downside. 6. Market Context (Macroeconomic Events): • Upcoming economic data releases (referenced from Forex Factory) can introduce volatility. If the data is bearish for risk assets (e.g., hawkish Fed policies, poor global growth indicators), Bitcoin could face further downward pressure. Outlook: • A break below the green support levels (~$90,000) could trigger a cascading sell-off, with $85,000 or lower as the next potential target. • However, sustained consolidation or a sudden bullish catalyst above $102,500 would invalidate this bearish thesis.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by US30EMPIRE
The cyclical nature of Bitcoin by RB Hello, dear friends!😊 I present to Your attention a weekly chart of Bitcoin, which includes price action since 2016, helping us to see a more complete picture and forecast further price behavior.👍 Today, let's focus our attention on the cyclical nature of Bitcoin . The cyclical nature of Bitcoin is a concept based on observing repetitive patterns and phases in its price dynamics. On the chart, You can see a huge ascending broadening wedge, which I marked in white 🤍. The price has been within it since 2016. 😳 At the moment, it can be assumed that the price is aiming for the upper boundary of this wedge. 🚀 Inside this wedge, I noticed a very interesting regularity, which I'm eager to share with You.❤️ For the THIRD time, every three years, after the distribution phase (marked in orange), the price follows a significant rise of 550 percent, followed by the formation of a descending wedge, which ends with the same distribution phase and subsequent rise. If we assume that this cyclicality is true and will repeat more, then by the end of this year or the beginning of the next, Bitcoin could reach $160,000.😱 🧐What do You think about this? Is this scenario realistic? What are You waiting for and what are You counting on? Share Your thoughts with me in the comments!🙏 Thanks for Your attention🫶 Always sincerely Yours, Kateryna💙💛
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RocketBomb
14