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1-BTCUSD

BTC Moon Cycle chartI know I didn't post for a while, was busy with the TTR 2.0 build (its almost ready to launch) and my X updates Here is the CRYPTOCAP:BTC Moon cycle chart. Support is in mid 95k, then we should go up into the new moon or Feb 27-28th Im very bullish into the new Moon cycle (after the full moon low) and I will be out from any longs by Mar 10th!!! Mar 10-14th, mark it down, we are going down hard!!! Im expecting a strong correction down to below 65k (my ideal target is 55 or 50k) by Apr-My low and a reversal back to new ATH my Sep 7th (all charts were posted on my X already)
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TheTradersRoom
1
BTCUSDT Price Action - Liquidity & Imbalance AnalysisPremium Zone Rejection: Price entered a marked imbalance (FVG) before rejecting lower, indicating possible distribution by smart money. Key Liquidity Zones: 96,188.39 - Potential support where price could react. Feb 03 Low (91,255.44) & Jan 13 Low (89,244.90) - Significant downside liquidity pools where price may seek orders. Next Steps: If BTC fails to reclaim the rejection area, expect a potential sweep of liquidity towards the Feb 03 low. Alternatively, a reclaim of $98,000+ could suggest bullish continuation.
by StockSurgeonX
1
Bitcoin Price Surges Despite US-China Trade TensionsBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has seen a surge in price in recent weeks, despite ongoing trade tensions between the US and China. Bitcoin's price has risen by over 20% in the last few months, and some analysts believe that it could reach a new all-time high in the near future. There are a number of factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. One factor is the increasing adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors. In recent months, a number of major companies, such as Tesla and MicroStrategy, have announced that they have purchased Bitcoin as part of their treasury reserves.2 This has helped to legitimize Bitcoin as an investment asset and has attracted more institutional investors to the market. Another factor that is driving Bitcoin's price growth is the increasing use of Bitcoin as a means of payment. In recent months, a number of major companies, such as PayPal and Visa, have announced that they will allow their customers to use Bitcoin to make payments.3 This has made it easier for people to use Bitcoin in their everyday lives and has helped to increase demand for the cryptocurrency. Despite the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, Bitcoin has continued to perform well. This suggests that Bitcoin is becoming increasingly decoupled from traditional financial markets. This is likely due to the fact that Bitcoin is a decentralized currency that is not controlled by any central bank or government. As a result, Bitcoin is not as susceptible to the same economic and political risks as traditional currencies. However, it is important to note that the price of Bitcoin is still volatile and can fluctuate significantly in a short period of time. As a result, investors should be aware of the risks involved in investing in Bitcoin. Other factors driving Bitcoin's price In addition to the factors mentioned above, there are a number of other factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. These factors include: • The increasing scarcity of Bitcoin. There will only ever be 21 million Bitcoins in existence. This scarcity is one of the reasons why Bitcoin is seen as a store of value. • The increasing adoption of Bitcoin by developing countries. In many developing countries, Bitcoin is seen as a more stable and reliable currency than the local currency. This is driving demand for Bitcoin in these countries. • Overall, there are a number of factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. These factors suggest that Bitcoin could continue to perform well in the future. However, investors should be aware of the risks involved in investing in Bitcoin.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin’s Incoming Bear Market!🚀 Bitcoin’s Bullish Phase: The Final Push Before the Fall? Bitcoin is currently in the parabolic uptrend phase of its halving cycle, with price action closely following historical patterns. Since the last halving on April 15, 2024, Bitcoin has mined approximately 42,480 blocks, pushing the market closer to the 70,000-block threshold where the trend historically reverses into a deep bear market. Based on historical patterns, Bitcoin’s next major bull market peak is expected around 150,000 USD, approximately 70,000 blocks post-halving (projected for August 2025). However, investors must prepare for what follows—a severe bear market fuelled by miner capitulation. 🔥The 70,000-Block Bearish Reversal: Why It Happens Every Cycle 1. The Mining Difficulty Trap & Rising Costs Bitcoin’s mining difficulty adjusts every 2,016 blocks (~2 weeks) to maintain the 10-minute block interval. As BTC price surges in the bull market, more miners join the network, driving competition and difficulty higher. This raises mining costs and squeezes profit margins, making it harder for smaller miners to stay afloat. ✅ Bull Market (~0-70,000 Blocks Post-Halving) High BTC prices offset increased difficulty, allowing miners to hold rather than sell. Low sell pressure from miners keeps Bitcoin in an uptrend. ❌ Bear Market (~70,000 Blocks Post-Halving) After BTC peaks, prices decline but difficulty remains high. Mining costs remain constant, while block rewards drop. Weaker miners can’t afford to mine at a loss and are forced to sell their BTC holdings to cover operational expenses. 2. The Snowball Effect: How Miner Capitulation Triggers a Crash Once inefficient miners begin selling, a chain reaction unfolds: 1️⃣ Bitcoin price starts declining after the cycle peak (~12-18 months post-halving). 2️⃣ Miners struggle to remain profitable due to high difficulty and lower block rewards. 3️⃣ Miners begin offloading BTC to cover expenses, increasing supply in the market. 4️⃣ More BTC supply leads to further price drops, triggering panic selling. 5️⃣ Additional miners shut down operations, selling off reserves, further flooding the market. 6️⃣ Capitulation accelerates, causing a cascading effect similar to leveraged liquidations seen in past bear markets. 🔄 This cycle repeats until enough miners exit, difficulty adjusts downward, and BTC stabilizes. 3. Historical Proof: How Miner Capitulation Has Marked Every Bear Market Each Bitcoin bear market aligns with major miner capitulation events. Here’s how past cycles have played out: 📌 2012 Halving: Bull top in late 2013, miner capitulation in 2014, BTC fell -80%. 📌 2016 Halving: Bull top in late 2017, miner capitulation in 2018, BTC fell -84%. 📌 2020 Halving: Bull top in late 2021, miner capitulation in 2022, BTC fell -78%. 📌 2024 Halving: Expected bull top in late 2025, miner capitulation likely in 2026?, BTC decline TBD but estimated to be around -60%. 🔹 In all cases, BTC topped ~70,000 blocks after the halving, followed by a deep drawdown driven by miner capitulation. 🔹 The selling pressure from miners perfectly aligns with the start of major market crashes. 4. The Accumulation Phase: What Follows the Crash? After miners capitulate and difficulty adjusts downward, Bitcoin enters a sideways accumulation phase (~140,000-210,000 blocks post-halving). Weaker miners have already exited, reducing sell pressure. Surviving miners adjust to lower rewards and stop mass selling BTC. Smart money (whales & institutions) begin accumulating at undervalued prices. The MVRV ratio drops below 1, signalling a market bottom. Bitcoin stabilizes, setting the stage for the next bull cycle. This predictable recovery cycle lays the groundwork for Bitcoin’s next exponential rally into the next halving period. The Bitcoin Bear Market Prediction for 2025-2026 ✅ Bitcoin is currently on track to peak near ~$150,000 around 70,000 blocks post-halving (August 2025). ✅ Following this, BTC is expected to enter its bear market, with prices potentially falling to ~$60,000 (by December 2026). ✅ The primary catalyst for this crash will be miner capitulation, just as it has been in every prior cycle. Final Thoughts If history repeats, the Bitcoin market is set to follow a sharp parabolic rise to ~$150,000 before undergoing a 70,000-block miner-driven selloff into a multi-month bear market. Investors should be aware of this pattern and plan accordingly. Sources & Data Validation The insights presented in this article are based on historical Bitcoin price cycles, on-chain analytics, and mining difficulty trends from various sources, including: Blockchain Data (Glassnode, CoinMetrics) Historical BTC Halving Data (Bitcoin Whitepaper, Blockchain Explorers) Market Analysis Reports (Messari, Arcane Research) Macroeconomic Influences (Federal Reserve Reports, Global Liquidity Cycles) Disclaimer: Not an Investment Recommendation This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Bitcoin and cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Theperfectionist
10
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Resistance at 105K – Pullback Incoming? Key Observations: 1. Resistance at 105,200 - 105,400: The price has reached a resistance zone near 105,200 - 105,400 (marked by a red arrow). Previous price action suggests rejection at similar levels. 2. Potential Bearish Move: A blue arrow indicates a possible pullback. The price could form a lower high and drop toward support. 3. Support Levels: 104,400 is the first key support level. If it breaks, Bitcoin may decline further toward 104,000 or lower. Conclusion: Bearish Scenario: If Bitcoin fails to break above 105,400, a pullback toward 104,400 or lower is likely. Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 105,400 could push Bitcoin higher
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by FOREX_QUEEN_10
BTC Going Down, soonWhy would you risk your $ at this level? If you enter btc, there's no logic behind it, just emotions. Don't forget to check SPX/Nasdaq : expecting soon a strong down-move on those aswell. - On the other hand, you might play the borders of the wedge on Alts for 20-30% bounces : Fast Entry - Fast Exit. - Once this breaks below the wedge, we'll see a retest of the border, then going to 74-75k. => I expect top of the cycle 111-112k if we see one more move upwards, but don't risk on it. This is a classic Wyckoff Distribution scheme where shrimps are sucked with chaotic candles to don't understand what's happening, while whales unload their bags. Plan : At 75-76k on btc, I'll enter some strong Alts for a good bounce of 30-50%, then exit and stay out of the market till next good dump.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by MrDorea
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Bearish Breakdown: Price Drops with Further DThis chart is a Bitcoin/USDT (BTC/USDT) Key Observations: 1. Downtrend Pattern: The price is in a clear downtrend, as indicated by the curved red and blue downward channel. A bearish momentum is evident, with multiple price levels showing declines. 2. Price Declines and Targets: The price dropped by -4,538.43 USDT (-4.48%) in 1 day and 10 hours, reaching 97,896.12 USDT. A further drop of -5,255.01 USDT (-5.19%) is projected within 1 day and 19 hours, reaching 96,072.88 USDT. 3. Failure Zone: A "FAILURE" label is marked near the lower price target, indicating a possible breakdown zone where further declines might occur. 4. Resistance and Support Levels: 98,542.86 USDT is a key level where price is currently at (as per the latest timestamp). 96,000 USDT region is a critical support level. Conclusion & Possible Next Moves: Bearish Sentiment: The price action suggests further downside pressure, possibly testing the 96,000 USDT level. Potential Breakdown: If support at 96,000 USDT fails, more downside risk could follow. Reversal Signal?: A strong bounce from support zones would be required to shift momentum back to bullish. Trading Considerations: If you’re shorting BTC, consider trailing stops to protect profits.
Short
by FOREX_QUEEN_10
Ethereum Selling ClimaxThis last, uniquely dramatic, move down smells like capitulation for the remaining sellers. It's pretty hard to find any moves similar to February 3rd (May 2021 or covid?). ETH/BTC is in the long term buy zone below 0.0348. $2570 is the major support, though every attempt down panics below considerably. $3530 is the most near term minor resistance. Upon clearing that, $4373 (the current ATH resistance) is the big resistance to clear. Because of how low ETH/BTC went and the rarity of this sell off I would heavily bet this resistance will be cleared and is highly likely to be our next major support area. Eth is always the last in the cycle to run, so hold steady, the eth bull market is starting. Good luck!
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by bwy
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Bearish Continuation: Potential Drop AheadThis Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price chart on the 1-hour time Observations: 1. Downtrend Channel: The price has been moving downward within a descending channel (marked in blue). There is consistent lower highs and lower lows, indicating a bearish structure. 2. Breakout & Retest: The price broke below the descending channel but attempted a small recovery. Currently, it is testing the previous support, which could act as resistance. 3. Bearish Projection: A red downward arrow suggests a possible rejection from this resistance level. The drawn path indicates a potential further decline, possibly targeting the $88,000–$90,000 range. 4. Market Sentiment: A 2.61% decline suggests strong bearish momentum. Economic or external events (represented by icons) may influence the next move. Conclusion: If price fails to break back into the channel and faces rejection, a further drop is expected. A confirmed breakdown could see BTC testing lower support levels around $92,000 or lower.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by FOREX_QUEEN_10
MOST Bullish Crypto Now? MoneroThis may come as a surprise considering how little attention it is paid but according to my most time tested analytic; the Daily Ichimoku Cloud + Chikou Confirmation, KRAKEN:XMRUSD is showing more bullish than the top cryptocurrencies. I have written for years about this study of when price versus the Ichimoku cloud is in line with Chikou (purple line, AKA Lagging Span) versus cloud. I will include a few links below to past Tradingview ideas. Let's look at some of the major cryptocurrencies that most pay attention to for comparison: INDEX:BTCUSD Bitcoin is at a precarious place. The bull trend has weakened and moved through the Ichimoku cloud. Price has breached it to the downside but that does not make it bearish yet. The final step would be Chikou to cross. At this point downward movement and/or time passing will make this true and the trend will flip bearish. Bitcoin's Ichimoku Daily analysis is what I have written most about. If followed, I have demonstrated that applying this simple strategy out performs pure HODL by a factor of 7x. KRAKEN:SOLUSD Solana is to me the next most interesting cryptocurrency at present because its use case is the most prevalent: meme coins. Solana just does them better and most of the popular meme coins that end up on the news go through this chain. SOLUSD is sitting in purely neutral territory like Bitcoin. CRYPTO:ETHUSD Ethereum is in objectively the worst shape. It has already flipped confirmed bearish. I think people sleep on Monero because it is not considered a "get rich quick" cryptocurrency. Unfortunately, the cryptocurrency market has devolved into a space for fraud and fast wealth. Monero, being privacy focused, is the leading cryptocurrency that actually facilitates the original use case of cryptocurrency which is... a currency. It has largely acted like a stablecoin the past 3 years while slowly appreciating. Don't ignore it... but also please don't pump it. I don't want the volatility. Trade wisely.
KRAKEN:XMRUSDLong
by norok
Things turned pretty disturbing!In the last 24 hours, both bulls and bears got wrecked — the market spared no one. To be honest, none of us expected this to happen, but it did. I’m no exception, as my portfolios are in the red too. The difference lies in how you made your moves. If you remember my post from December 14th, 2024, I mentioned that I had mostly moved my funds to USDT and was gradually selling my BTC. I received a lot of hate comments for this, but I’m glad I trusted my instincts and stuck to it. Of course, my positions are in the red, but with most of my funds in USDT, I feel confident now. The situation may not be the same for everyone, but hear me out. BTC is forming a temporary support trendline around $96k. If this support holds, a rebound is likely. However, a close below this level on a 2-day time frame wouldn't be good. We can see fear consuming the market, but once it fully plays out, the rally will begin. For now, patience is key. Opportunities will come, so wait for them.
by Dexter_The_Trader
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For Feb 4, 2025: Rally PatternToday's rally pattern will attempt to provide some relief related to the recent breakdown in the SPY. Overnight, the ES/NQ rallied to FILL THE GAP. So, today, I believe the SPY will attempt to rally back above 600-601, then stall out and consolidate. Today may be a "GO GOLFING" day in the markets. I would not advise anyone to get Uber-Long in the markets right now. My research suggests the markets will roll downward near the end of this week - seeking the DEEP-V bottom/base I've predicted near 2-10~2-13. Gold and Silver should attempt another rally phase over the next 3 to 4 days. I expect metals to continue to rally into this expansion phase, and I'm initially targeting $3200 for gold. Bitcoin is trapped in a big Excess Phase Peak pattern that I believe will resolve into a breakdown price trend. The Deep-V and other breakdown patterns, which my cycle research says are pending, will drive Bitcoin downward, possibly targeting the $72k levels again. Today may be a relatively FLAT type of Rally day. So, play cautiously. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
3
$BTC - Value AreaThis bounce might just be shorts covering and/or hedges – a kind of mechanical reaction following a liquidation event. If we are going to consolidate within the current value area (96.5k-104k), I wouldn't be surprised if we get an upthrust retesting 103.8k-104k range before rotating back to take out the swing low. A potential level for shorting, but I'm only interested in shorting on signs of weakness or a strong rejection at that level. Possible targets: 94k - 93.5k 90k- 88.5k 84k-80k
by Tealstreet
February 3 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. Nasdaq indicators will be announced at 12 o'clock soon. The Nasdaq variable and the Bitcoin weekly chart MACD dead cross are in progress, so the analysis difficulty is high. I had a hard time finding the entry point and the stop loss price. It will be hard, but let's hold on this week. Also, if it falls from the current position, Nasdaq will have a vertical decline condition, so you have to be careful. In the case of Tether Dominance, there is no resistance line yet, so if it doesn't crash all at once, it can be shaken by a short-term wave. I created today's strategy focusing on this part. * When the blue finger moves, It is a two-way neutral Short->Long switching or long position waiting strategy. 1. 96,413 dollars short position entry section / when pink resistance line is broken or when section 1 is touched, stop loss price 2. 95,120 dollars long position switching / when purple support line is broken or when section 2 is touched, stop loss price 3. 99,612 dollars short position switching / when red resistance line is broken or when Good section is touched, stop loss price 96.4K short position at the top from the current position If the entry point is not touched Long waiting at section 2 below / stop loss price when green support line is broken. Section 1 at the top is a sideways market It is the second short position entry section of today. The final long position target and short position switching section that I expect is the center line of the 4-hour Bollinger Band chart. It is expected to be around the top section, and if it rebounds to this section, the weekly chart MACD dead cross will be released, so you can press it again. There are two conditions for the dead cross to be imprinted: it is pushed to 86.5K at the bottom (major support line) or it is imprinted naturally while moving sideways. It won't be easy to break through all the resistance lines at once with a vertical rise and touch the Bollinger band resistance line, right? Of course, it is possible if the Nasdaq goes crazy while soaring. This week, it can continue to shake while moving sideways, and it doesn't look easy to see an upward trend, so short-term trading seems advantageous. I marked 89,853.5 dollars below the bottom, and since it is a section where a newly created mid-term upward trend is maintained, it seems safe to just hold this spot this week. Above all, the Nasdaq movement is the most important, so check it in real time. Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only. I hope that you operate safely with the principle of trading and cut-off price. Thank you for reading.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by BitCoinGuide
Bearish scenario for BTCIn trading and crypto world you have to be open to all possibilities. As we are seeing significant drop among alts and market makers manipulation. Money is withdrawed from markets and price is failing. BTC price action reminds me 2021 year when after ATH there was a 50% drop. Lot of similarities there - completed 5 waves, bearish div on higher timeframes, greed above 70/75, bullish sentiment, news etc. On the other hand, current drop already liquidated more than 2b usd in one day... We need to watch it closely and do not overtrade or do stupid FOMO. In these time lev trades are not recommended. THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE MANAGE YOUR RISK AND ALWAYS USE STOPLOSS
Short
by SvarogPerun
BTC/USD Short-Term Rebound: Testing Key Resistance AheadThis BTC/USD chart (2-hour timeframe) shows a descending triangle pattern with a strong resistance trendline. Key Observations: 1. Price Rejection & Support: - BTC recently bounced from a support level around 93,747 and surged back above 97,952. - This suggests a potential short-term recovery. 2. Potential Upside Target: - The chart highlights a **resistance zone around 102,500–104,049, which aligns with the descending trendline. - A move toward this level is likely if the current momentum continues. 3. Breakout or Rejection? - If BTC breaks 104,049 with strong volume, it could challenge 108,411. - Failure to break resistance could lead to another drop toward 93,747 or lower. Strategy Consideration - Short-term traders: Watch for a retest of 102,500–104,049 before deciding on a breakout trade or shorting the rejection. - Long-term perspective: If BTC holds above 93,747, bullish momentum might strengthen.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1