BTC next moves for 2025? Will 2021 repeat itself? Let's see :) History repeats itself, but will 2021 cycle repeat itself?
If we break 90K next level around 70, but there are many longs down the line, liquidation and long squeez is likely leading us to 60 if not 50 ranges, a wick is expected then a retest to 90K levels to get rejection before final breakout to the all time trend prices likely around 115-120K.
The herd will get excited by then, expecting a price to go above 120K, but I don't see this happening. And small dream secret, Nakamoto to be revealed later this year leading to significant crypto crash.
I know many may laugh, but let's see how this go! It makes sense from technical POV (hahaha, except my dream which likely to happen - since I don't dream too often) - keep an eye on RSI to get back in 40s before refill.
This idea is valid only and only if BTC breaks 90K and closes both daily and weekly below it with some a high volume!
Desclaimer:
The ideas and strategies presented here are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You should consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this post is not liable for any losses or damages resulting from the use of this information.
1-BTCUSD
Called move after move for Bitcoin, what happens next?
If you been lucky enough to work out my analysis and pull the trigger on the trade setups that played out over and over again, I commend you for your knowledge of how to read an analysis and then use it to make an informed decision.
If you caught the last analysis I mentioned about a bear trap spike below the blue line and as you can see it played out. You can see I have removed the green trendline on left chart as it is now done with and the green trendline on the right hand side chart is basically invalidated now.
We see on the left chart the orange trendline is respected with the candle closing above it. The white major trendline also held as major support. You can see the other trendlines still being used, especially on 4 hour timeframe.
So, what now?
We need to watch for the right hand side RSI to breakdown under the red trendline for BTC to get to 108k.
On the left chart the RSI needs to break back above trendline. In regards to the price action, we can see a massive buy up in the crash candle that was just made. Price could move up to 108k from here now there are trapped short traders below. This would put the right USDT.D chart at the blue trendline and as per previous analysis we know what happens if that then breaks below this line.
On the bearish side, if price loses the light green vwap line then expect another retest of the white trendline.
Smash the like button and good luck!
$BTC and the exit pump to new highs before new lows?Ever since November/December, BTC has largely moved sideways in a wide range from FWB:88K -$109k.
Now that we've bounced off of $91k again this morning, I think that sets BTC up for a big bull trap. I think that we're likely to go to new highs either this week or before 2/21 up to the top resistances (although we don't necessarily have to make it up there), and then everyone will buy the new highs before we go to new lows.
This is a classic distribution top here and I think we'll see new lows by March. We can go as low as the bottom supports down $65-66k and the chart can remain bullish on the high timeframes.
I'm fully out of crypto and have only been speculating directionally by buying calls/puts on COIN (which I currently have calls on). This market has been extremely hard for most investors as they've been speculating in alts and most alts have continued to bleed out while BTC has ranged. I think alts will see new lows (yes, today's move was not the bottom, and the bull market will only start once most people have given up on crypto).
I'm bullish long-term, but still bearish in the near term and plan to buy back my position sometime in March once the distribution has played out to the downside.
Good luck from here on out.
Bitcoin's Bullish Momentum Holding Strong
Bitcoin has reached the $94,500 entry point outlined in the previous idea and showed a strong bullish reaction. This confirms the level as an area of interest. However, there is strong potential for price to revisit $94,500 once more, presenting a great buying opportunity for the next leg up.
As long as market conditions align, we can look for confirmations to target $126,500. Patience remains key, but the setup is developing well.
Will Bitcoin offer another perfect entry before continuing its bullish breakout?
🔗 Check the original idea:
BTC/USDT 1H: Bullish Momentum Unleashed – $105K Next?BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis
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Current Market Structure:
Price at $102,034 showing bullish momentum after breaking premium zone.
RSI at 68.53, confirming strong momentum but not overbought yet.
Volume confirmation on breakout above previous resistance.
Smart Money Concepts:
Market Makers completed accumulation at the $92-94k zone.
Premium Zone established around $105-106k.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) needs filling at $103.8k.
Key Levels:
Entry Zone: Current price ($102k) or pullback to $101.2k.
Targets:
T1: $103.8k (FVG Fill).
T2: $105.2k (Premium Zone).
Stop Loss: Below $99.8k (recent swing low).
Risk Score:
7/10 (Favorable R:R but watch for premium zone rejection).
Market Maker Intent:
Accumulation phase complete, now in markup/distribution phase.
Expect ranging between $101-105k before the next major move.
No significant divergences present, structure suggests continued upside after FVG fill.
Recommendation:
Long positions favorable within $101.2k-$102k range.
Monitor price action around $103.8k resistance for rejection signs.
Avoid chasing, best entries on pullbacks.
Confidence Level:
8/10 for bullish continuation.
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The key is whether it can rise above 101947.24-103706.66
Hello, traders.
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Have a nice day today.
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I had a hard time on Monday morning due to a broken PC in the rapidly changing coin market.
I'm sorry that I couldn't update you on time because of this.
However, if you had seen what I said, I think you would have responded to some extent, but I hope there was no major damage.
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When trading spot, you should always keep about 20% of your total investment in cash.
That way, you can seize opportunities in rapidly changing situations like this.
If you used spare funds, you must sell them to secure spare funds again.
Even if you have a loss during spot trading, if you have cash, you can respond to some extent.
If not, you should sell some of them to secure cash.
The cash secured in this way should be used to buy back when the price drops and increase the number of coins you have.
The money you sell should not be used to purchase other coins (tokens).
You should think about how to increase the number of coins (tokens) you have by taking advantage of spot trading.
However, if you are scalping or day trading, you can immediately make cash profits.
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(DXY 1D chart)
The first Monday of February seems to have been very volatile due to the sudden surge in DXY.
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The flow of funds seems to be maintaining an upward trend.
The gap rise of USDT and USDC is seen as evidence that funds are flowing into the coin market.
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BTC dominance touched the 55.01-62.47 range and fell.
If BTC dominance rises above 62.47, altcoins are likely to show a large decline.
Therefore, caution is required when trading altcoins.
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If USDT dominance rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to already be in a downtrend.
If USDT dominance falls, the coin market is likely to show an uptrend.
If USDT dominance falls, it is expected to fall to around 2.84 at the most.
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If BTC dominance rises and USDT dominance falls, there is a possibility that a market will be formed in which only BTC rises.
Therefore, it is possible that altcoins will gradually move sideways or show a downward trend as they rise along with the rise of BTC.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It touched below 92792.05 and rose to around 101947.24.
At this time, it seems to have touched the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
Currently, the gap between the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart and the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart is large, so it seems likely that this gap will narrow.
Therefore, it seems likely that it will move sideways within the box section of the HA-High indicator.
However, the key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above the 101947.24-103706.66 range.
If not, there is a possibility of sideways movement between the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
If the price is maintained above the 101947.24-103706.66 range, I think it is highly likely that an upward movement will begin to rise near the Fibonacci ratio point of 2.24 (1169040.43).
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The next volatility period is expected to start around February 9.
Therefore, we need to look at which range among the ranges marked with circles on the chart is supported.
Due to this decline, the box range of the HA-High indicator has expanded to the 91231.0-109588.0 range.
Therefore, I think that the box section mentioned above is the 91231.0-109588.0 section and I should create or modify my trading strategy.
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It's a shame that I can't see the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart this time.
I think that the fatigue from the rise is high because the rising wave that has continued until now has not ended yet.
Therefore, since there is a possibility that the fluctuation range due to volatility will be large, caution is required when trading.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Strategy 2025. Introducing Palantir, BTC Killer Of The Year 2024It's gone 3 months or so since Palantir stock has joined on Friday, September 20 Stock Top Club, also known as S&P 500 stock index SP:SPX .
Palantir was one of the strongest contenders for inclusion in the broad market S&P500 Index.
This inclusion, as well as Dell (DELL), came after tech companies Super Micro (SMCI) and Crowdstrike (CRWD) also joined the index earlier in this year 2024.
Since that, Palantir stock became the best (i.e. #1) S&P500 index performer this year, with current +375% YTD return in 2024, being highlighted at 80.55 USD per share - the new all the history peak reached last Friday, December, 19 at regular session close.
What is most important also, even recent Federal Reserve (The US Central Bank) hawkish projections on monetary policy in 2025 were not able to stop the only game in the city, or even make a pause on Palantir leadership.
Since Palantir stock is rallying 7th month in a row, the stalkers remain decently far away, swallowing the galactic dust of Palantir shares.
Judge for yourself.
One of the nearest pursuer, Nvidia Corporation NASDAQ:NVDA (# 4 out of all S&P500 index performers in 2024) is nearly to finish the year of 2024 with +170% return, i.e. lagging against Palantir behind twice.
The quite similar things happen with the most popular and heavy c-coin, also known as Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD that is currently +130% YTD return in 2024.
What is most important also, Palantir stock outperforms both - S&P500 index, Nvidia Corp. and Bitcoin 7th straight month in a row.
In human words that means, Palantir stock monthly returns (every single month from May to December 2024) were better against each of mentioned above assets.
What is Behind this?
On November 4, 2024 Palantir Technologies has announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024.
“We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won’t slow down. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners,” said Alexander C. Karp, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Palantir Technologies Inc.
Q3 2024 Highlights
• U.S. revenue grew 44% year-over-year and 14% quarter-over-quarter to $499 million
• U.S. commercial revenue grew 54% year-over-year and 13% quarter-over-quarter to $179 million
• U.S. government revenue grew 40% year-over-year and 15% quarter-over-quarter to $320 million
• Revenue grew 30% year-over-year and 7% quarter-over-quarter to $726 million
• Closed 104 deals over $1 million
• Customer count grew 39% year-over-year and 6% quarter-over-quarter
• GAAP net income of $144 million, representing a 20% margin
• GAAP income from operations of $113 million, representing a 16% margin
• Adjusted income from operations of $276 million, representing a 38% margin
• Rule of 40 score of 68%
• GAAP earnings per share (“EPS”) grew 100% year-over-year to $0.06
• Adjusted EPS grew 43% year-over-year to $0.10
• Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term U.S. Treasury securities of $4.6 billion
• Cash from operations of $420 million, representing a 58% margin and $995 million on a trailing twelve month basis
• Adjusted free cash flow of $435 million, representing a 60% margin and over $1 billion on a trailing twelve month basis.
Is the stock growth fundamentally deserved? Definitely, "Yes".
Palantir stock Alpha
What is Alpha?
Alpha (a) is a term used in investing to describe an investment's ability to beat (outperform) the market, or its “edge.” Alpha is thus also often referred to as excess return or the abnormal rate of return in relation to a benchmark, or any other asset (even against simple sitting in a cash) when adjusted for risk.
The main graph represents a comparison across Bitcoin and Palantir stocks. Since Palantir outperforms BTC twice over the past 12 months (watch lower "percent bar chart" subgraph), so why isn't to continue the play, by staying in a long with Palantir, and kill "the new oranges" respectively.
NZDJPY BULLISH POTENTIAL Harmonic Pattern Trading Strategy:
1. Combine patterns with 2-3 confirmations (e.g., MA, BB, RSI, Stoch) for increased accuracy.
2. Implement proper risk management.
3. Limit exposure to 3% of capital per trade.
4. Exercise caution: Not every Harmonic Pattern presents a good trading opportunity.
5. Conduct thorough diligence and analysis before trading.
Disciplined approach = Enhanced edge.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Feb 3, 2025 Afternoon UpdateWell, it seems everyone did quite well playing my prediction of a breakdown (again) in the markets today. Last week, I continued to warn the markets were very fragile and would likely break downward aggressively.
Of course, the political drama (tariffs) helped to move the markets a bit this weekend. But, still, it was great to hear from everyone who made a healthy profit today.
GET SOME.
I also have been getting questions about the RALLY - RALLY - (counter-trend) RALLY setting up on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday this week. So, I created this video to help you understand why I believe those RALLY days will be rather muted on Wednesday/Thursday and maybe a type of topping pattern on Tuesday.
I see the markets as breaking downward (breaking away from the dual Excess Phase Peak patterns), and because of that, I see the markets should attempt to move aggressively downward over the next 15+ days. I don't see any reason for the markets to mount a big rally right now - unless we are talking about a pullback in a downtrend.
So, watch this video, pay attention to what I see, and then we'll see how things play out.
Go GET SOME. This is a true trader's market.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Bitcoin $10K Swings Elliott and Key SR Zones. If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Bitcoin has continued to stay volitile, posting two more $10K+ daily moves. The market has been highly news reactive, with significant swings in both directions.
After testing $93K, price held and has since moved back to the $102K area, a level that has been a key point of interest. The focus now is on whether this level will play as resistance for the wave 3 and return to the 99k area for possible base before continuation or if further retracement is needed before the next move.
Wave 4 Development
From an Elliott Wave perspective, a potential wave 4 retracement is in play, with $99K- GETTEX:98K acting as a key support zone. Holding above this range could set the stage for another leg up. So staying vigilant for a corrective pattern above or to this level.
Key Levels to Watch
$102K and $99K – Significant areas for market structure.
$106K – A level that remains on the radar for further upside.
Long positions from $105.6K and $93.8K provide some flexibility to observe price action and adjust accordingly.
The market remains dynamic, and adapting to real-time developments is key. As price action unfolds, the focus will be on whether key levels hold and what signals and patterns emerge for the next move.
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
BTC Long Target $125000BTC/USDT - Bullish Setup with Target at $125,000
Trade Overview: Price is currently testing key support near $101,000, and there is potential for an upward move towards $125,000.
Key Levels:
Target Zone: $125,000 (Potential upside resistance)
Trade Plan:
Look for an entry around current support levels or after a small retracement or market long breakout.
Target the upper resistance area at $125,000.
Place stop loss below recent support at $92,000.
BITCOIN: Pattern gets repeated again and again and again.Bitcoin is on the most desirable buy levels long term as apart from only being neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.257, MACD = 281.800, ADX = 29.399) it just validated today the enormous buying zone that was waiting on the 1D MA100. This is a level that has worked as a buy entry over and over again these 2 years of the Bull Cycle. The last time it did was exactly a year ago on January 22nd 2024. The result was a +90% rally. If this gets repeated again the exact same way, then a new ATH at 170,000 is more than plausible.
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1inch review analysis: where to buy?hello friends
As you can see, this currency has grown well with the defeat of its suffering, now that it has entered a price correction, it is a good opportunity for us to buy in steps with capital and risk management.
We have specified goals for you.
*Trade safely with us*
sui analysis and review: what should we do?hello friends
You can see that we have two scenarios here:
1_ From here, the price should break the channel it has formed and move up to the specified resistance range.
2- The price should be corrected and then he can prevent his failure.
Note that according to technical analysis, the channel is susceptible to failure, but nothing is 10%, so capital management should be observed.
*Trade safely with us*