DeGRAM | BTCUSD Formed a Rising Bottom📊 Technical Analysis
Breakout formation
BTC/USDT bounced from strong support, forming higher lows and testing the resistance line.
Key resistance
The main resistance zone is at $92,000; a breakout here could trigger strong upward momentum.
Predictive scenario
The price is likely to continue rising toward resistance with a potential breakout if momentum holds.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Cooling U.S. inflation and Fed pause support risk assets. Over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B in BTC ETF inflows and fading tariff tensions add bullish pressure. On-chain data shows whales accumulating BTC.
✨ Summary
Technical setup aligns with improving fundamentals. A break above GETTEX:92K could lead to a sharp BTC rally. Monitor macro data and ETF flows.
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1-BTCUSD
BITCOIN Sell everything in October!Yep, kind of a clickbait title but it doesn't fail to serve justice to this very important Bitcoin (BTCUSD) chart.
Today's analysis displays in the most illustrative way the extremely tight symmetry between BTC's Cycles and how this can help us time our Sell at the Top of the Cycle and equally have the patience to buy as close to the next Bottom as possible.
As you see, in the past +10 years since the 2014 Bear Cycle, every Cycle has almost identical time ranges/ durations. All three Bear Cycles since then, lasted for approximately 1 year, and both Bull Cycles for almost 3 years (152 weeks, 1064 days to be exact). More specifically, the last two Bear Cycles were exactly 1 year long, the 2018 one started on the week of December 11 2017 and ended on December 10 2018 and the next Bear Cycle started on November 15 2021 and ended on November 07 2022. So it's been December-to-December and November-to-November Bear Cycles respectively.
If this high degree of symmetry continues to hold, counting 1064 days from the last Cycle Bottom o November 07 2022, gives a time estimate for the next Cycle Top on (the week of) October 06 2025. If also that holds for the Bear Cycle, expect an October-to-October duration, with an approximate bottom on October 12 2026.
So Sell everything up to October 2025 and Buy back as we get close to October 2026 is the strategy?
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 82900.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 83240
First target: 85150
Second target: 86435
Third target: 87858
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 74,300
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 79,056
First target: 80,422
Second target: 81,950
Third target: 84,000
BTCUSD - Looking For A Push To 90K...We appear to be in the midst of an expanded zig-zag correction.
A small push toward 90K—without breaking the support at 83,015—would confirm the pattern. So far, the break above the recent high, along with the expanded correction, supports this outlook. As long as the 83,015 level holds, price may reject any prolonged move below the 1000-period moving average.
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin is still struggling to break through the specified resistance zone.
As long as this resistance level remains unbroken, it is better to wait before entering a buy position. However, as long as Bitcoin does not fall below the specified support level, we can remain optimistic about its potential to rise.
Our outlook remains bullish, but we will wait for the breakout above the resistance before entering a buy. Once the level is broken, we will look for an opportunity to enter long positions.
Will Bitcoin break through resistance and continue higher? Share your thoughts below!
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
On a year on Year basis Bitcoin is where it was in early 2017
I have been talking about Bitcoin following the 2013 - 2017 Fractal and this chart shows us, in a different way, how this is still Valid.
The vertical lines on this chart are January of each year.
You can see from the Arrow on the left and right, where we are in relation to 2017.
Things to note
When we first touched the dotted line on both occasions, it led to a GREEN RED GREEN candle, however, in 2024, we got there earlier than we should have maybe and so we have had to "Wait" to fall back into date sequence.
Why ?
If we look back at 2017, we remained below that dotted line till end of April - Statistically MAY is a great month for Big moves
In my monthly candle analysis, I have also mentioned that using monthly candle close patterns, May is likely to be the better month for PA to rise higher
We seem to be playing this out BUT we need to notice how PA is Below that Dotted line.
PA is under pressure and yet in a great position though the trading volume is Low and consequentially, the candle sizes are not that impressive.
We are half way through April . Things will change and Fast......
Hang on
BTC - Not very Clear long Term!2H :
OBV broke out of structure. Acc/Dist shows some confusing Divergences regarding Lows or Highs. It signals, that we maybe reach the upper blue TL again. In that case: there must be a new volume TA to enter a high possible Short.
Green Box (Support). If this breaks with Confirmation ( high bearish volume with red Delta and high net shorts) then the next level will be lower blue box or Orange TL.
A spike to that hVn could be very possible if the price goes higher (within the channel).
If the Prices lingers/consolidates tool long on green box or lower blue TL with decreasing CVD and OI, then the probability that the hidden Bulls get exhausted is really high and the price breaks downward. Here we must watch more tools than just simple CVD+Price. Things like OBV, Open Interest, Net shorts and longs etc...
1H :
OBV on 1h shows a structure break too.
Daily POC : 85700
4H POC : about 8440
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Long trade opportunity is coming Bitcoin price is starting to look interesting for a long trade opportunity.
Currently Bitcoin is in the range bound between 75,000 approx and 89,500 aprox (blue rectangular box in the chart).
EMA 200 is horizontally running through in the middle of the range and EMA 21, 55 and 200 are starting to get bunched up together. I really like this set up because when this happens, it is often followed by a strong directional move. All you need for now is patience, which is the hardest thing to do.
I will open a long position if the following conditions are met:
1) Daily MACD and RSI will move into the bull zone and they are clearly pointing to the upside.
2)The price will move and close above the descending trendline.
3) EMAs are going to start to spread out and line up properly (EMA 21>55>200 for long)
For whatever reasons, if I feel I need to be more cautious, I might wait for the price to move and close above 93,000 (above orange rectangular box area) because it is a high liquidity area and I think a lot of price manipulation might happen.
BTC Crypto Futures Trade Plan 2025-04-15BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Technical Analysis Synthesis:
Price Position Relative to Moving Averages: The current price of BTC ($83,690.70) is below the SMA (50) at $84,306.36 and significantly below the SMA (200) at $87,550.48, indicating a potential bearish trend. However, it is above the SMA (20) at $82,722.04, suggesting some near-term support. RSI Readings: With an RSI (14) of 50.32, BTC is neither in overbought nor oversold territory, indicating a neutral condition that does not strongly suggest a specific direction based on momentum alone. Bollinger Band Position and Width: The price is closer to the lower band ($77,705.82) than the upper band ($87,738.25), which could suggest oversold conditions or pending volatility. The bandwidth is relatively wide, indicating higher volatility. Key Support/Resistance Levels: Significant support is around the lower Bollinger Band ($77,705.82) and resistance near the SMA (50) and upper Bollinger Band.
Market Sentiment Integration:
Market Sentiment Data: The funding rate of 0.0000% suggests a neutral sentiment among futures traders, indicating no strong bias towards long or short positions. News Impact: Recent news has had mixed impacts, but overall, the market seems to be consolidating rather than trending strongly in one direction. On-Chain Metrics: Without specific on-chain data provided, it's challenging to assess sentiment directly from these metrics. However, historical price action suggests a potential for bearish continuation given the inability to surpass key resistance levels. Funding Rates and Open Interest: The zero funding rate indicates a balanced market, but without open interest data, it's difficult to gauge the market's overall positioning and potential for future moves.
Directional Determination:
Based on the technical analysis and market sentiment integration, the market direction appears to be Moderately Bearish. The price action below key moving averages, the failure to break through resistance, and the mixed sentiment data contribute to this assessment.
Trade Strategy Selection:
Given the moderately bearish outlook, a short position could be considered. The entry price would ideally be at or near the current price ($83,690.70), with a stop-loss above the SMA (50) or a recent high, and a take-profit target near significant support levels or based on a risk-reward ratio.
Trade Execution Plan:
Entry Price: $83,690.70 Stop-Loss: $85,000 (above the SMA (50) to account for potential resistance) Take-Profit: $80,000 (a significant support level based on historical price action) Position Size: 1 (assuming a unit size for simplicity; actual sizing should be based on risk management principles) Entry Timing: At market open, to capitalize on the potential bearish momentum indicated by the technical and sentiment analysis.
Risk Assessment:
Potential Downside Risk: Significant, given the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets. Market Volatility Impact: High volatility could either amplify gains or losses. Correlation with Other Assets: BTC's movement can be correlated with other cryptocurrencies but may also be influenced by broader market sentiments. Liquidity Conditions: Assuming adequate liquidity for the trade, given BTC's status as a major cryptocurrency.
JSON Trade Plan:
{ "instrument": "BTC", "direction": "short", "entry_price": 83690.70, "stop_loss": 85000, "take_profit": 80000, "confidence": 0.60, "size": 1, "entry_timing": "market_open" }
Risk Warning:
Trading crypto futures with leverage is extremely risky and can result in significant losses. This strategy should only be used with proper risk management and position sizing. The provided plan is based on technical and sentiment analysis and should be adapted to individual risk tolerance and market conditions.
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
BTC LONG TP:88,200 13-04-2025🚀 It's time to go Long! The targets are set between 88,000 and 88,300, with the 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes showing a clear bullish pattern in favor of this trend.
We expect this movement to materialize within a timeframe of 20 to 25 hours, so make sure to enter and average down.
Stay tuned for updates to maximize your gains. Follow me to stay informed and add those greens! 💰🔥
BITCOIN Bull Run Activated – Here’s Why $105K Is NEXT!COINBASE:BTCUSD is displaying strong bullish potential after forming a clear double bottom around the significant support zone near $74,000. The decisive rejection of this critical area and the inability to form a lower low highlights the exhaustion of sellers at this key level. The formation of this double bottom, coupled with a solid bullish reaction, suggests institutions are actively accumulating Bitcoin, driving prices upward.
The current market structure implies a bullish continuation toward the significant resistance zone around $105,000. With the ascending channel clearly intact and buyers stepping aggressively at support, a sustained bullish impulse toward the channel's upper boundary is very likely.
From a fundamental perspective, Bitcoin is gaining strength due to several key macroeconomic factors unfolding globally. The recent decision by the Trump administration to significantly escalate trade tariffs has heightened economic uncertainty, disrupting traditional markets and spurring investors toward alternative assets. Historically, Bitcoin has thrived during periods of economic instability and policy uncertainty, as investors seek to hedge against volatility in equities, bonds, and fiat currencies.
Furthermore, the tightening monetary policies across major global economies are exacerbating recessionary fears. Central banks face increasingly difficult decisions between managing inflation and sustaining economic growth. This dilemma continues to reinforce Bitcoin's narrative as "digital gold," a decentralized hedge immune to direct manipulation by central authorities. As institutions and investors recalibrate their portfolios amid these conditions, capital allocation toward Bitcoin is expected to rise significantly.
Institutional adoption continues its upward momentum, evidenced by increased activity on spot markets and significant inflows into crypto-based investment vehicles. Regulatory clarity in major jurisdictions and infrastructure improvements have reduced previous barriers, enabling broader and deeper institutional participation in the crypto ecosystem. This growing institutional endorsement solidifies Bitcoin's bullish case, providing strong foundational support for a sustained move towards the targeted $105,000 resistance zone.
The convergence of technical patterns and powerful fundamental catalysts strongly supports Bitcoin's imminent upside potential.
Traders should closely watch for confirmation signals, such as increasing bullish volume, strong candle closures above intermediate resistance levels, and higher low formations, to validate this bullish scenario.
Feel free to share your thoughts or add further insights into this analysis!
If BTC pullsback to 80K, DO NOT PANIC -Here is why
Very simply, Bitcoin recently broke over the line of resistance ( dashed line) that has kept it down since the ATH at the beginning of the year.
As you can see, it has not yet returned to that line on a larger time scale chart, to retest it as support. It did do that on a 4 hour chart but maybe we are about to see that on a daily to, just to check how strong it is.
After all, things are very uncertain right now in many ways.
The Federal Reserve of the Usa has a speech day tomorrow and so this may act as a catalyst, one way or another.
Bitcoin Weekly MACD is in a position of strength now
And we have seen a positive reaction of PA already, if a little subdued while we wait for the Macro environment to calm down
The Histogram is looking Bullish though this can change quickly but over all, we are in a very good place right now.....
So, Worry not if PA drops some in the next 24 hours.
If we loose 78K, then get a little uncertain.
The next level of support below that is the 2.272 fib extension at 76900 - we do not want to loose that one for too long but I doubt we will get there, providing Macro stays steady
So, Chill out and let see what happens tomorrow with the FED speech.
Bitcoin - This Is Just Wonderful!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) creates textbook market stucture:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
The entire stock market is selling off significantly but Bitcoin and most cryptocurrencies are still holding their strong levels. This is clearly a sign of bullish strength and even if we see a retest of the previous all time high, the overall uptrend remains perfectly valid over the next months.
Levels to watch: $70.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BTCUSDT shortBTCUSDT has notably deviated from the 4-hour EMA50 — by as much as 2.8%, which is a significant move for this asset.
Additionally, the daily EMA50 is acting as strong resistance, holding the price down.
I expect a pullback within the next couple of days — key levels are marked on the chart.
Want to track such deviations automatically? Send me a DM — I’ll grant you access to the indicator.
Bitcoin Interesting Fractal And Timing! GOING STRAIGHT UP!I noticed that the timing and pattern of how this is playing out in 2025 in Bitcoin is very similar to that of 2017. This fractal is not identical but its damn close. In 2017 there were approximately 15 million people in crypto, very few leverage exchanges, and trading was no where near what it is today. Now we have exchanges everywhere, hundreds of them most with leverage which we didn't really have before. Also not to mention that now we have big players getting in and they aren't buying and selling on the daily, they are buying it all and holding it, hence why we aren't seeing the typical "Alt season". The sloshing effect we had in the early days when traders would rotate out of Bitcoin into alts is not happening as it used to.
In 2017 Trump took office and in the end of March the bull run started in full swing. Something very similar is also happening now that we are in March and these fractals are lining up. Let see how this plays out. I think we are on the cusp of a giant mega bull run like you've seen before.
Crypto traders last year made mega profits cashing out multiple billions in capital gains. Once the selling stops around the end of March and beginning of April from people selling to pay taxes I think its on. This is not financial advice this is just my opinion. Lets see how this chart ages. Thank you for reading.
BTCUSD INTRADAY Oversold bounce back capped at 88,000Recent price action in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 88,000 level. The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 80,850, followed by 77,500 and 74,420.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 88,000, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, Bitcoin could target 90,540, with further resistance at 91,890.
Conclusion:
The price remains below pivotal level, with 88,000 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favour of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.