Bitcoin analysis: where is the important support?hello friends
Considering the growth we had, it is natural for the price to take a break.
Now that a formed range has seen the bottom of its range and returned according to the specified support area, it is very, very important that this area is not broken, and if it is, it will give us attractive buying points on altcoins, so there is no need to worry. ..
And by maintaining the support, we will witness the beginning of the next upward movement.
*Trade safely with us*
1-BTCUSD
BTC MARKET ANALYSIS (4H(TF)) | Bitcoin Update BTC Analysis (4-Hour Timeframe)
As you can see on the chart, I’ve marked three key zones for BTC:
Strong Resistance – The current market structure’s upper boundary.
Central Zone – A critical area acting as a pivot point.
Strong Support – The lower boundary of the current structure.
Since breaking out of the 70-80 zone, BTC has established a new structure, which is clearly visible on the chart. Over the past few days, BTC has been circulating within this zone. Today, it tested the support level and showed a healthy reversal, which is a positive sign. This zone has historically acted as a strong support area, and the market has repeatedly reversed from here, as seen in the price action between 91,260 and 89,260.
For now, BTC is respecting this support level and following the current structure. A breakdown below this zone could lead to a bearish move, but as of now, the support is holding strong.
Central Zone: The Key Pivot Area
The Central Zone is a crucial part of the current structure, acting as both support and resistance (SR/Rs interchange). It provides valuable insights into BTC’s price action, indicating when the price is likely to test resistance or support.
Currently, BTC has faced minor rejection from the Central Zone. However, given the strong bounce from the support level, there’s a possibility that BTC could break through the Central Zone. If this happens, the price may move toward the resistance level again.
Supply and Demand Dynamics
From a supply and demand perspective, BTC is currently showing strong demand near the support level. This demand could push the price toward the resistance level. However, for this upward move to sustain, BTC needs to break the downtrend choch (swing high) between resistance and support. This break is likely to occur if the Central Zone is breached.
If the Central Zone breaks, the demand could fully play out, and BTC may retest the resistance level.
Needed Volume: A Critical Factor
At the bottom of the chart, I’ve marked the “needed volume” level. This is an important area that cannot be ignored. For the needed volume to fill, the market might retrace lower.
If the Central Zone breaks, the needed volume will likely fill after testing the resistance. However, if the Central Zone holds and rejects the price, BTC could retrace to fill the needed volume level. In this scenario, the market might also break the current structure, targeting the 89,000–91,000 zone.
Summary : Two Possible Scenarios
Bullish Scenario: The Central Zone breaks, and BTC moves toward the resistance level.
Bearish Scenario: The Central Zone rejects the price, and BTC retraces to fill the needed volume level.
These are the two primary scenarios to watch for. The market is currently straightforward, and no additional complexities are at play.
Note: My goal is to simplify the chart and help you understand the price action clearly. I avoid overloading the chart with unnecessary indicators or creating confusion. My analysis focuses on keeping the chart clean and straightforward.
Thank you!
Goldkingcoiner's Bitcoin Chart February 24 part 1: Dump or Dip?-------------------------------
Summary:
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I think the bad news about Tariffs is mainly what is responsible for the current dip. But what are the chances it will develop into a dump?
Going by trends and Fibonnaci support levels, 93.5K is my buy in.
~7% off of a 100K Bitcoin seems too attractive to pass up.
But there is the slight possibility of further FUD pushing the price down.
A fall below 90K might be a drop further to the sub 80Ks.
But do Bitcoiners really care?
Stacking sats.
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Thanks for reading!
MY BEST BET FOR BTC🚀 High-Probability Trading Setup: The Final Shakeout Before the Gigapump 🚀
📌 Scenario Breakdown:
We are approaching a critical inflection point in the market, where price action is setting up for a high-risk, high-reward opportunity. My best bet for the upcoming move follows this sequence:
1️⃣ Final Pump to the Fibonacci Extension Pocket
- The market is likely to push higher one last time, targeting the Fibonacci range extension zone where liquidity is stacked.
- This move serves to trap breakout buyers and trigger late FOMO entries before the reversal.
- Smart money will use this opportunity to distribute while retail piles in.
2️⃣ Slow Grind Down to Range Bottom
- After tapping the key extension level, momentum will fade, and a controlled slow dump will begin.
- Market makers will use this phase to offload longs and absorb early shorts.
- Traders expecting an immediate breakdown might get shaken out as price holds the range bottom.
3️⃣ Range Top Retest – The Bull Trap
- Before the real move down, expect a sharp retest of the range highs to trap more longs.
- This fakeout will fuel the liquidity needed for the next leg down as leveraged longs get wiped out.
4️⃣ Capitulation to ~$74 k
- Once liquidity is efficiently absorbed, we’ll see a swift capitulation towards $74ish as stops get triggered en masse.
- This move will create extreme fear, forcing weak hands out of the market.
5️⃣ Rebuilding Phase: Market Inefficiency Refill & Short Trap
- After the capitulation, the market will establish a new range, filling the imbalance left behind.
- The goal? Lure in aggressive shorts, making them believe the breakdown is real.
- Once enough liquidity is stacked, the market will flip, triggering the gigapump.
📊 How to Play It:
✅ Short the top fib extension area if price action shows exhaustion, reversal signs, or a fakeout wick.
✅ Watch for liquidity absorption at the range bottom. If it holds, expect a retest of the highs.
✅ Prepare for the capitulation wick. Look for divergences, liquidation flushes, and high volume around $74k for a potential long entry.
✅ Ride the gigapump once liquidity is fully absorbed. If shorts get trapped, reversal confirmation could lead to an explosive move up.
🔮 Big Picture:
This setup is a classic smart money play, designed to trap both bulls and bears before the real move. Stay patient, trade the levels, and don’t get baited by emotions.
What do you think? Would you tweak anything in this setup? 🔥
BTC can still WIN After DeepSeek DumpTings are looking rough for BTC and ETH in the daily.
Let's talk about ETH first.
The previous time I posted on ETH, we took a look at a bullish pattern forming - the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern.
VS the VERY different picture we see today after the weekly closed underneath support:
Apart from chart patterns and bullish indicators - I was also confident that the price of ETH would increase, as we haven't seen a new ETH all time high, compared to the drastic ATH Bitcoin made. This, would be unusual. So the question remains - why did the pattern fail so miserably?
There is no reason specifically as to WHY chart patterns fail - especially if they seem so strong. Some may argue its whale play, others may say it's a news event etc... But either way, the only real way to safeguard a trade from a failing pattern is to wait for confirmation . And the worst ting is - even then, it may still fail. However, this is by far a safer play than just relying on a pattern that's busy forming. Here's a short idea of what a confirmation would look like on some bullish patterns (blue):
Now, to talk about BTC in the Logarithmic view.
I mapped out the date-ranges, as well as how far the price fell logarithmically after each top. You'll see the word "clicks" on the chart. This simply indicates the amount of diagonal trendlines it has fallen. By using this pattern-dedicated approach, a commonality is found which may be useful in speculating a future price. Because if not for past history, how else would we speculate on the future?
It's interesting to note that the past 3 ATH's (all time high's) are each lower than the previous if you compare it not to price but to the "click lines". Even the fourth high (the one coming next) will be on a lower click-line than the previous, and that estimate is already over 300k. This is a really helpful way to speculate a future high because usually on a regular-view chart, the zone above the ATH is uncharted territory. You could use a Fibonacci trend-based extension, but this is limited to the cycle that you're using for input points. Logarithmic chart + indicators factor in the entire history of the price.
So could it be that this is just another dip in the road towards a new ETH ATH - and potentially even another BTC increase?
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BINANCE:ETHUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT
bitcoin enters a hyper-parabolic state to 753kgm,
this was initially a private post,
but i've decided to open it up to the public, for the people.
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interest rates are collapsing. not slowly. not in a controlled, measured descent. this is a freefall. the kind that rewrites economic history.
monetary debasement is inevitable. quantitative easing will accelerate, liquidity will flood the system, and the us dollar will plunge. this isn’t speculation. this is math.
and when that happens, the gates open. the largest alt season in history is not a possibility. it is an inevitability. this will be the kind of move that people will talk about for decades. portfolios multiplied beyond reason. valuations pushed to levels most can only dream of.
the everything bubble will expand beyond comprehension. people will call it unsustainable. they will call it madness. but madness is where the greatest opportunities are born.
most won’t be ready. they will hesitate. they will overthink. they will sell too early,
watching in disbelief as the market leaves them behind.
we will not.
🌙
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tp - 753k
Last chance to buy btc before 130k? 🚀 BITCOIN HIT OUR $93K TARGET! LAST CHANCE TO BUY BEFORE $130K? 🚀
BTC just dropped into our key liquidity zone at $93K, exactly as expected! 📉 Now, the next leg up is on the horizon, and this might be the final opportunity to buy before we blast off to $130K+ ATH! 🚀
🔹 Smart money is accumulating
🔹 Bullish reversal setup in play
🔹 Next major resistance: $130K+
Don't miss this move—Bitcoin is gearing up for liftoff! 🚀📈
Bitcoin BTC price analysis + FED ratesHere is a CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart on which we have marked the days on which the Fed rates announced + #Trump inauguration as a bonus)
Everyone can compare for themselves how the market reacted to the US macroeconomic data.
❗️ Today at 19.00 UTC, another update of the Fed's rate - the forecast is that it will remain unchanged at 4.50%, and if so, this is a pretty good option against the backdrop of rising inflation.
🔴The worst-case scenario for the OKX:BTCUSDT price is a drop to the range of $92-94k (+ we keep in mind a possible squeeze to $ 88K, especially on futures, in order to “remove” all the longs' stops in consolidation over the past 3 months)
🟢 It will be great if BTC.D also falls with the fall of #Bitcoin (and it has room to fall) - this will allow altcoins, which are already at the bottom, not to spill too much.
The next announcement of the Fed's rate is on March 19, which means that a 1.5-month window will open, during which the market will have every chance to “come to life”
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-3-25 : Breakaway PatternOn a day like today, where the markets broke down with a huge GAP downward, what can I say except...
Just like I predicted.
For months I've been warning of the Jan 21-23 Inauguration peak/top that will lead to a Deep-V breakdown on Feb 9-12. And, like clockwork, the markets peaked just after January 23 and rolled downward into the breakdown phase - headed towards my Deep-V base/bottom setup near Feb 9-12.
At this point, I'm just going to sit back and collect my profits. You should be doing the same thing today - BOOK those profits.
Gold and Silver are moving into an upward CRUSH pattern. It could be very explosive.
Bitcoin has broken downward again - just like I predicted.
Over the next 30+ days, the markets will enter a very volatile and rotating price phase. Be prepared for wild price rotations.
This is a true trader's market. Go get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BTCUSD Textbook but bad for LongsAccording to the trading framework of the Medianlines, BTCUSD is behaving perfect.
If we close below the white Center-Line, first profit target is at the 1/4 line, second is at the L-MLH.
Only a reversal aka HAGOPIAN can turn the momentum from down to up. It's when price is open and close above the white Center-Line again.
Turbulent times ahead...
XRP, Bloodbath is ComingBINANCE:XRPUSDT / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
BINANCE:XRPUSDT is showing strong bearish momentum after BINANCE:BTCUSD and BINANCE:ETHUSD broken bellow resistance. However, the price is oversold for now. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the high of the range zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and sell off confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
Bitcoin Down: Tariffs to Blame?I wake up to read that both equities are Bitcoin are down on Tariffs as the "reason." Is this true? More importantly, is knowing this valuable? I don't think so.
The media needs to write some narrative every day to get read and sell ads. So they take the latest buzz and craft it into a "reason" price moved the way it did. The trouble is that this information is is useless for traders and investors. Once the article is written the move has happened. There is nothing to profit nor more importantly LEARN from having this knowledge. It is a singular event; no long term consistent strategy can be crafted from a single thing happening once.
Bitcoin was already breaking down since January 20th. That day failed a big test of the prior All Time High. INDEX:BTCUSD has actually never closed higher than December 17th.
To emphasize the point more if one looks at the mainstream financial news they are also blaming today's equities route on tariffs. The truth is that stocks only seemed to have a bullish January. The S&P 500 futures never actually made a new high beyond the post-election pump in January.
Traders have to make plays BEFORE the news happens. The only way to do that is by watching charts for opportunities and reading the simple signs. Trade wisely!
january 31 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is Bitcoin's 30-minute chart.
There will be two Nasdaq indicators released at 10:30 in a little while.
There is a gap section at the top and bottom of Nasdaq,
so it seems likely that it will shake once.
Bitcoin has MACD dead cross pressure on the 4-hour chart.
I created today's strategy by comparing it to Tether Dominance.
*When the blue finger moves,
Bidirectional neutral
Short->Long switching, or long position waiting strategy
1. $104,641.5 short position entry section / Orange resistance line breakout, stop loss price
2. $103,12 long position switching / Green support line breakout, stop loss price
(If it comes down right away, 104.6K is the long position waiting section, same stop loss price)
3. $106,943 long position 1st target -> Target price in order
To ignore the 4-hour chart MACD dead cross,
The condition is that it touches the 1st section or more, the 4-hour chart resistance line of the Bollinger Band.
If not,
It should be imprinted while moving sideways until 9, 1, and 5 o'clock when the 4-hour candle is created,
and I created a strategy based on that.
The first section at the top is a sideways section / the blue support line at the bottom is
an upward trend line from a mid-term perspective.
If the green support line breaks,
you should be careful because it can go down to Bottom -> 2 at once.
I'm not in good condition today,
so I'll finish here and go in.
Please use my analysis so far as a reference and only
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
Bitcoin could be 150-180k in 200+ days (NFA)I usually make longer descriptions but I don't care to do it lol
It's very simple to explain, if we are doing our "usual 4 year cycle"
then the timeframe looks like this pretty much, we got 200-250 days left!
My guess would be a target when it comes to USD: 150-180k (NFA)
Lets see what happens tho, time shall tell us all.
Bitcoin: a little bit side tradedNews regarding a new Chinese app DeepSeek shocked not only the equity market, but there was also a reaction on the crypto market. BTC started Monday last week in a negative mood, dropping down to the levels below the $98K. When the market realized that BTC will not be hit with the new AI-tool, the price of BTC reverted to previous levels, reaching its weekly highest level at $106,5K. Still, the negative sentiment continued through the rest of the week, so BTC is ending the week around $101K.
The RSI was moving modestly above the level of 50 through the week, ending it at this level. It shows that the market is still not ready to clearly choose the trading side. The moving average of 50 days continues to modestly diverge from MA200, indicating that there will be no cross in the near period of time.
Although the RSI is implying that the market cannot choose the trading side, the first look at the daily chart shows higher bearish potential than the bullish one, for the week to come. It should be taken into account that decreased trading volumes will not have the potential to move the price of BTC to either side. In this sense, the $ 98K could be tested for one more time. Again, the price could revert back from the $ 98K, to the levels above the $100K. However, at this point, there is no evident potential for the price of BTC to reach levels around the ATH. A sort of side trading might continue for another week.
BITCOIN Can a 1D MA100 rebound reverse the 'Tariffs narrative'?Just a week ago (January 27, see char below) we made a case of why it was essential for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) to test and rebound on its 1D MA100 (green trend-line), if the market was to find the necessary Support to move it forward through the rest of the year and the Bull Cycle:
Well BTC went on to confirm our expectation and hit the 1D MA100 for the first time in almost 4 months (since October 11 2024).
That analysis was focused on the current Bull Cycle (2023 - 2025) and the recurring 1D MA100 rebound sequence within the 2-year Channel Up, which has so far provide its Higher High both times.
Today's analysis examines if this is a pattern that emerged and held during the previous Bull Cycles as well. The results are eye opening.
During the last two years of each of the past 3 Bull Cycles, a 1D MA100 contact has most of the times (9) met with an incredible rebound, making it the most efficient buy entry on such basis. It was only 3 times this failed to initiate an immediate rebound (April 2024/ ETF led rally corrected, April 2021/ Musk led rally corrected, March 2020/ COVID flash crash), all valid reasons fundamentally.
Is this new all-out Trade War another one of those events? Not impossible, but this chart shows that it is 3 times more probable for this 1D MA100 contact to produce an aggressive rebound. If we narrow the sample to just the last year of the Bull Cycle, it was only once that a 1D MA100 failed to produce an instant rally.
As a result, it is now more probable to see a rally similar to the one that followed the January 2024 or October 2024 1D MA100 contacts, which were within a +85% / +90% range. Even the 1D RSI patterns among the Cycle fractals at the start of each final Bull year are similar.
So what do you think? Do you expect this technical 1D MA100 contact to reverse the dismal Tariffs sentiment? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC Update (4H)After Bitcoin devastated altcoins, it hit a support zone and calmed down.
It could move from the green zone towards the red box. If it makes another touch with the green box before reaching the red box, we can consider buying/longing in the green zone.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You