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1-BTCUSD

Bitcoin - Bitcoin lost $100,000?!Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Bitcoin’s upward correction and its placement in the supply zone will allow us to resell it. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range. In the past trading week, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw an inflow of $560 million, though this represents a significant decline compared to the previous two weeks. Meanwhile, as of January 31, 2025, U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a minor outflow of $45 million, though this decline was not particularly drastic. At the same time, Standard Chartered Bank has advised investors in a new research note to view Bitcoin’s drop below $100,000 and the over 6% single-day decline in the crypto market as a buying opportunity. Jeff Kendrick, Head of Digital Asset Research at Standard Chartered, stated: “Hope is not a strategy.” He further explained: “When hope disappears, digital asset prices tend to fall by 10% to 20%.” Despite recent market volatility, Standard Chartered remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s price trajectory in 2025. The bank’s research suggests that growing institutional interest could accelerate Bitcoin’s potential surge to $200,000 by the end of the year. Last week, Donald Trump fulfilled two key promises to the crypto industry: 1. Granting clemency to Ross Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road, who is regarded as a symbolic figure among Bitcoin and libertarian communities. 2.Signing an executive order on cryptocurrencies, which aims to enhance regulatory transparency for digital assets, promote stablecoins, prevent the debanking of the crypto sector, and ban the creation of a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). In parallel, Jeff Kendrick of Standard Chartered also warned investors to pay close attention to altcoins, referring to cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin that are expected to experience significant growth in the coming year. He stated: “As soon as we enter the second phase, in my view, the altcoin season will begin.” Kendrick further noted that institutional flows will primarily drive Bitcoin and Ethereum investments, partially offsetting the rotation into altcoins. Responding to the growing interest in Bitcoin and Solana, MetaMask is planning to expand beyond Ethereum. The company is currently working on integrating Bitcoin functionality while simultaneously exploring decentralized finance (DeFi) opportunities across multiple blockchain ecosystems. Meanwhile, Texas Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick has identified the establishment of a state Bitcoin reserve as a top priority for 2025. Texas, already a pioneer in adopting Bitcoin at the state level, continues on this path despite challenges at the national level. If the proposal is approved, Texas will become the first U.S. state to hold Bitcoin as a financial reserve on its balance sheet, a move that could accelerate Bitcoin adoption within the U.S. financial system.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
BTC LONG TP:115,000 29-01-2025Bitcoin has executed a manipulative movement as we anticipated, resulting in our stop from the previous trade being hit. However, this situation has now paved the way for a new take-profit target that is set above 115,000. In this context, we are looking to establish a long position with a relatively wide stop, as the potential for profit is significant. Over the next 4 to 5 days, it is crucial that we reach 115,000; otherwise, the position will be considered invalid.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by ReyDragon21
"ANON at a Turning Point: Reversal or More Downside?"Current Trend Overview The price has been in a clear downtrend with multiple Break of Structure (BOS) confirming bearish sentiment. Change of Character (CHOCH) attempts indicate some reaction from buyers, but they have not yet succeeded in shifting momentum. The red shaded area represents a bearish supply zone acting as resistance. Upside Reversal Potential The price is currently testing a discount zone (demand area) where buyers have stepped in before. MACD Analysis: The MACD line (blue) is crossing above the signal line (orange), indicating early bullish momentum. The histogram is also turning less negative, which suggests a potential reversal. If buyers can hold above the current support zone (around $7.80 - $8.00), then an upside move could develop. Key Accumulation Zones (Buy Areas) Strong Accumulation Area: $7.50 - $8.00 (Highlighted demand zone). Aggressive Entries: Around $8.00, with stop-loss below $7.50. Safer Accumulation: If price retests $7.50 - $7.60 again and confirms buying pressure. Support & Resistance Levels Immediate Support: $7.80 - $8.00 (current demand zone). Next Major Support: $7.50 (in case of a deeper correction). Resistance Levels (Profit Targets): First target: $9.00 - $9.50 (Equilibrium Zone). Second target: $10.50 - $11.00 (Previous supply area & resistance). Major Resistance: $12.00 - $12.50 (End of the downtrend structure). Conclusion The price is at a potential reversal zone, but confirmation is needed. Ideal Strategy: Accumulate in the $7.50 - $8.00 range with targets at $9.00 - $10.50, while keeping a stop below $7.50. Breakout Confirmation: If price breaks above $9.00 with volume, it increases the probability of a sustained uptrend.
CRYPTO:ANONHUSDLong
by PROFITPULSE10X
2
Reg Optimism, Implicit Fed Support, & Insti Demand to Boost BTCBitcoin prices surged on President Trump’s inauguration day (Jan 20), reaching an all-time high of USD 109,000. However, since then, prices have stagnated. Recent tariff announcement has driven a sharp selloff. Optimism about a crypto-friendly Trump administration continue to fuel bullish sentiment, but the lack of concrete regulatory guidance has limited near-term momentum. MACRO FACTORS AT PLAY BTC remains below key resistance levels, limiting upward momentum. However, it has outperformed equities in the current macroeconomic environment. While equities faced an AI-driven selloff last week, BTC showed resilience, rebounding quickly from its Jan 24 lows. Additionally, BTC has benefited from market uncertainty, like gold, which is also trading near an all-time high. The recent FOMC meeting initially pressured BTC, as the Fed held rates steady and expressed inflation concerns. However, BTC rebounded 2.4% after Fed Chair Powell clarified that changes in inflation-related language were not intended as a strong signal. Source: CME FedWatch The Federal Reserve’s latest dot plot suggests only two rate cuts in 2025. Market expectations, per the CME FedWatch tool, align with this outlook. While a higher-rate environment limits tailwinds for BTC, bullish sentiment continues, driven by regulatory anticipation and increasing institutional and sovereign adoption. BREAKING DOWN TRUMP’S EXECUTIVE ORDER On Jan 23, President Trump issued an executive order titled "Strengthening American Leadership in Digital Financial Technology." The order emphasizes fostering digital asset growth while maintaining U.S. financial sovereignty, particularly through USD-backed stablecoins. It also protects citizens’ rights to use blockchain networks without government interference. Key provisions include: 1. Creation of a National Economic Council working group on digital assets, chaired by David Sacks. 2. Review of existing regulations within 30–60 days, followed by a report to the President in 180 days. 3. Consideration of a national digital asset reserve while explicitly prohibiting government action on (Central Bank Digital Currency) CBDCs. U.S. BITCOIN RESERVE: REALITY CHECK While the executive order affirms the administration’s pro-crypto stance, it stops short of immediately establishing a national Bitcoin reserve. If approved, the reserve would take shape in at least six months, delaying any near-term impact. The working group may begin by utilizing seized cryptocurrency rather than purchasing new BTC. The U.S. government currently holds 198,000 BTC (~USD 20B, as of Feb 1) and USD 400M in other crypto assets. For context, U.S. strategic reserves include: (a) Gold: 8,133 tonnes (~USD 737B as of 31/Jan), (b) Crude oil: 395M barrels (~USD 28B, as of 24/Jan), and (c) Foreign currency reserves: ~USD 239B (Q3 2024). The U.S. gold reserve accounts for 3.8% of the total above-ground gold stock, while its Bitcoin holdings currently represent just 1% of the total supply. To match the gold reserve proportion, U.S. Bitcoin holdings would need to increase by 554,000 BTC, valued at approximately USD 55 billion at current prices. Over time, a Bitcoin reserve could realistically expand by USD 50 billion to USD 70 billion. Meanwhile, several U.S. states are advancing their own Bitcoin reserve proposals. 15 states are considering BTC-related fiscal policies, with: • Oklahoma, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania proposing 10% public fund allocations • Texas suggesting a donation/tax model • Arizona and Utah advancing legislation beyond committee stages REGULATORY CERTAINTY FOR BANKS Fed Chair Powell recently confirmed that banks can engage with crypto provided they manage associated risks. While this imposes stricter compliance requirements, it provides much-needed clarity following the post-FTX banking shakeout that shuttered major crypto-focussed banks. Fund Flows: Institutional Demand Remains Strong BTC ETFs saw record one-day inflows of over USD 1B on Trump’s inauguration eve. Since then, daily inflows have averaged USD 257M, with only one outflow day (-USD 457M on Jan 27). Cumulative BTC ETF inflows since Jan 20 now total USD 2.3B, pushing assets under management (AUM) to nearly USD 118B. Source: Arkham Intelligence Notably, ETF investors remain highly profitable at current prices. Arkham Intelligence data shows IBIT ETF holders sitting on a 45% gain, which may limit immediate selling but could lead to some profit-taking. MicroStrategy remains a major BTC buyer. The company recently completed a USD 584M perpetual convertible offering to acquire more BTC, potentially fuelling short-term upside. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS & TRADE SETUP BTC’s recent pullbacks have ranged from 10.1% to 23.6% Fibonacci levels, like the 2018 bull cycle according to Glassnode . Source: Glassnode The drawdown since reaching ATH on 20/Jan represents a ~13% move which suggests the drawdown is larger than usual ones during this cycle. Historically, this phase of the bull run experiences FOMO-driven price acceleration, though long-term holders’ profit-taking presents a headwind. BTC fell below the 50-day MA over the weekend, this level has served as support recently. The 92k level is also significant as it has provided support several times during recent retracements. However, in case the selloff deepens, the next significant support may be as far as the 100-day MA at 85k. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP BTC has outperformed equities amid macro uncertainty and is increasingly correlated with gold (30-day correlation: 0.67). Recent tariff announcement in the US has driven a sharp selloff. Despite a less-than-ideal FOMC outcome, BTC retains several bullish drivers, supported by Regulatory optimism following Trump’s executive order, Fed Chair Powell’s statements on crypto banking, and Institutional & sovereign demand. The recent selloff offers a tactical opportunity to build long positions during volatile drawdowns. Investors can opt for the following hypothetical trade setup consisting of long position in CME Micro Bitcoin Futures expiring on 28/Feb (MBTG2025). Each contract of MBT provides exposure to 0.1 BTC and requires margin of USD 2,451 as of 31/Jan. • Entry: 94,000 • Target: 100,585 • Stop Loss: 90,000 • Profit at Target: USD 659 ((100,585-94,000) x 0.1 BTC per contract) • Loss at Stop: USD 400 ((90,000-94,000) x 0.1 BTC per contract) • Reward-to-risk Ratio: 1.65x CME Group lists a raft of products covering a range of asset classes more accessible while also enabling granular hedging for portfolio managers. Portfolio managers can learn more on how to access these micro products by visiting CME Micro Products page on CME portal to discover micro-sized contracts to gain macro exposures. TradingView has launched The Leap trading competition starting today. New and upcoming traders can hone and refine their trading skills, test their trading strategies, and feel the thrill of futures trading with a vibrant global community through this paper trading competition sponsored by CME Group using virtual money and real time prices. Click here to learn more. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
CME:MBT1!Long
by mintdotfinance
4
Mid-February, Btc.d peaks and the altcoin rally may start.Trust fibonacci. It is clear from Fibonacci extensions that we are close to the peaks in Bitcoin dominance. Fibonacci circles also give us ideas of ​​both resistances and time periods. In my opinion, Bitcoin dominance will peak in mid-February and the altcoin bullrun may begin. Bitcoin dominance will bottom at the end of May 2026. * What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset. * Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by traderisso
Frankly !!BITCOIN is in the ascending phase by the cup and handle. BTC is in a large C&H if it follows these pattern, the price will have a nice rally. ⭐The pattern increases the price by the amount of the measured price movement (AB=CD). Golden analysis Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
4
ShortYeah, it's pretty wild how quickly narratives shift, isn't it? A lot of these analysts seem to latch onto whatever fits their current agenda or the latest trend, and it's often the same people with different predictions based on the same factors. Like, one minute it's all about Trump's influence sending Bitcoin to the moon, and the next it's about geopolitics making a radical change in the market. It seems like people can’t resist connecting anything and everything to Bitcoin’s price. It's like trying to predict weather patterns based on random social events. It’s clear that a correction is overdue, and as usual, retail investors are going to jump in near the top, hoping to catch the momentum. But when the market starts to pull back, they’ll get stuck holding the bag as prices drop. The more they buy now, the more likely it is that the market will keep falling.
Short
by Shivkumar600
2
Bitcoin’s Role in Overcoming Tariffs | Public Release 01B.A.S.E Fund | Public Release 01 Bitcoin has once again reached the third touch of the 2D 50 SMA, with recent price drawdowns coinciding with the latest U.S. tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China. Despite short term volatility, our models continue to indicate a strong hold for Bitcoin in the near future. The U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI is heating up, signaling potential rate cuts on the horizon. If monetary easing materializes, downward pressure on the U.S. dollar (DXY) could provide further tailwinds for Bitcoin. A faint trendline extending from the 2016 cycle suggests a similar trajectory, though broader market forces dictate that the overall price channel remains the key indicator to watch. Our initial caution zone begins at $374,000, extending toward $1,000,000. However, given the evolving macroeconomic environment and increasing state level adoption of Bitcoin in the U.S., we acknowledge the possibility that Bitcoin could diverge from its traditional boom-and-bust cycles. A Market Undergoing Structural Transformation What was once a retail-driven speculative market is now solidifying into an institutional cornerstone. As Bitcoin related regulations advance and legal frameworks take shape across individual U.S. states, we anticipate Bitcoin’s behavior to shift away from its historical volatility patterns. While speculative leverage driven price surges remain a possibility, the foundation supporting Bitcoin is now stronger than ever. This time, we expect Bitcoin to be held with the same conviction as long-duration U.S. Treasuries, positioning it as a legitimate asset class within the global financial system. Disclaimer This release is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. The information contained herein reflects our perspectives at the time of writing and is subject to change. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BASEFUND
Bitcoin- Something is Rotten in Denmark- Cause of Concern?In my previous BTC analysis, I mentioned that "it's about time for the price to do something" and highlighted that a breakout above 107k could trigger accelerated upward momentum, potentially leading to a significant new all-time high with a measured target in the 130K zone. However, following days of low volatility, Bitcoin has started to decline instead of breaking through the resistance. Overall, the situation is starting to look unfavorable. Despite the positive news surrounding crypto marklet, Bitcoin's inability to break resistance and reach a new ATH is anything but bullish. From a technical perspective, as of now, the price is hovering just above a local support level. If this level breaks, it could once again expose the 90K confluence support. Given the current conditions, this seems like the most likely scenario. In my opinion, if you’re a speculator, the best approach right now is to stay on the sidelines and observe how the market develops.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
5
This is the first cycle of the bull run that ended without an AlYou may have been expecting Altseason, but I have some bad news to share with you - Altseason is not happening, and at best, some altcoins might recover slightly in the next 2 months. However, due to the liquidity flow of ETFs, Bitcoin's upward trend will continue. I kindly request that new entrants refrain from buying altcoins." Note: "Altseason" is a term used to describe a period of time when alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins) experience significant growth and attention.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by ehsan_chegeni
2
Bitcoin: Potential Bearish Breakdown with Key Support Zoneshello guys! The chart suggests a Head and Shoulders pattern, indicating a possible bullish (in a higher time frame) continuation. Here are the key points: Head and Neckline Structure A well-defined head formation at the top, with a sloping trendline indicating weakness. The neckline is around 97,657, which is a key support level. QML2 & Price Rejection The price could test the QML2 area, confirming bearish sentiment. The descending trendline further reinforces selling pressure. Expected Price Action A short-term pullback might occur near 97,657, but a break below this level could trigger further downside. The next major support is the QML1 zone at 93,455, where buyers may step in. If selling pressure continues, the price could drop further into the 91,829 - 91,468 demand area. Potential Reversal Scenario If Bitcoin finds support at the lower QML1 or demand area, a strong bullish recovery toward 103,000+ could follow. Overall, this setup suggests a short-term bearish continuation, but traders should monitor price action near key support zones for a potential bullish reversal.
Short
by melikatrader94
26
AT CryptoScan: BTCUSD downside target is...As highlighted previously, there were issues with the recent BTCUSD Bitcoin rally... and so it is very clear now that there is a TOP resistance to breakout eventually. This is marked out by the green box at about 107K. Furthermore, breaking back into the purple box also suggests a breakdown out of the lower end... to which just about happened. The thing is, this is only a beginning and there should be about 5 to 8 days more of overall sliding down. Notice that the candlesticks of late are getting longer and longer? This is indicative of momentum and as it falls over the cliff, it would continue until it stops. Meanwhile, it just is about to break the SuperTrend support. So expect more downside... I marked out the immediate TDST at 89,164, expecting that over the next 5 days shou;ld breakdown below that level. The next TDST is at 69,284... and I think this is a little too far down. Looking for two bounce areas at 88K and 75K for reaccumulation, some time in mid- to end- February. That's the plan.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Auguraltrader
$BTC.D again above 60% After the tariff tantrum between US, Canda, Mexico and China during the weekend, we saw CRYPTOCAP:BTC again below 100K. But the weekly closure on the weekly chart in the CRYPTOCAP:BTC weekly chart is still not broken. So, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC bull run is still intact with short term hiccups. But the topic of the discussion is not the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price instead we are looking at the Dominance chart. CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is again above 60% even if CRYPTOCAP:BTC is below 100K. The Alt Coins have lost more Market Cap during this weekend’s shakeout in comparison to BTC. But it is highly coincidental that the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is back at the 0.618 Fib retracement level. The Fib retracement is plotted on the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D weekly chart. There is no Alt Coin season unless the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D breaks down decisively. Watch out if CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D weekly close breaks below the 0.5 Fib retracement level. Until then stay long $BTC.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by RabishankarBiswal
BTC - 4H Key Support Zone & Potential ReversalBINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently at the bottom of a descending channel on the 4H timeframe, aligning with a key support level. Given the broader bullish trend on higher timeframes, this zone could provide a strong foundation for a rebound. 📊 Key Observations: Descending Channel Support: Price is testing the lower boundary of the channel, historically acting as a reversal point. Bullish Higher Timeframe Context: Despite the short-term downtrend, the macro trend remains bullish, increasing the probability of an upside reaction. Potential Targets: If support holds, the first target would be the mid-channel zone (~$100K), followed by a move toward the upper boundary around $104K-$106K. 💡 Trading Plan: 1️⃣ Watch for bullish confirmation signals like a bounce with strong volume or bullish divergences. 2️⃣ If support fails, BTC could dip further before a stronger reaction—stay alert! 3️⃣ Higher timeframe traders may see this as a buy-the-dip opportunity in an overall bullish market. 🚀 The next move could be massive! Follow for real-time updates and expert analysis! 🔔
Long
by Sober_Trading