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1-BTCUSD

"New Hampshire Launches First State Crypto Reserve"On May 7, 2025, the state of New Hampshire made history by becoming the first U.S. state to legally establish a cryptocurrency reserve. This groundbreaking move allows up to 5% of the state’s treasury funds to be allocated to digital assets, starting with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies boasting a market capitalization exceeding $500 billion. Why Is This Important? Until now, even the most crypto-friendly states in the U.S. have limited themselves to business incentives and relaxed mining regulations. New Hampshire has taken a much bolder step by equating cryptocurrencies to traditional reserve assets like gold and treasury bonds. By doing so, it is effectively recognizing crypto as a long-term financial instrument and a hedge against macroeconomic volatility. This means the state can use cryptocurrency holdings to diversify its financial base, preserve value, and potentially improve budget flexibility during economic shifts. Security and Storage The newly passed legislation specifies that crypto assets must be held either in certified custodial wallets or via regulated exchange-traded products (ETPs) approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This ensures a high level of security and regulatory compliance. In addition, the law mandates that crypto assets must be held for a minimum of 24 months to discourage short-term speculation. Federal Context and Reactions While President Trump has proposed the creation of a federal “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve,” the initiative has yet to be implemented. New Hampshire’s move places it ahead of the federal government and presents a model of state-level innovation in fiscal policy. Many analysts believe this decision could lead to a wave of similar measures in other states, particularly those already supportive of blockchain technology, such as Texas, Wyoming, and Florida. Potential Benefits Economists say that integrating digital assets into the public financial system could help protect state funds against inflation, foster technological innovation, and attract new businesses and investors. The move also sends a message to private sector players: New Hampshire is ready to embrace the future of finance. This could accelerate the migration of blockchain startups, fintechs, and institutional capital to the state. Criticism and Concerns As expected, not everyone supports the initiative. Critics argue that investing public money in such volatile assets is premature and risky, especially given the lack of federal regulation and the possibility of sharp market downturns. Some fear political fallout if the investment underperforms. There are also concerns about transparency and the mechanisms for evaluating which digital assets qualify under the new framework, as only tokens with extremely high market caps are currently eligible. Conclusion By creating a cryptocurrency reserve, New Hampshire has taken a bold and symbolic step toward modernizing state finance. It may be too early to gauge the long-term outcome, but the state has clearly positioned itself as a leader in government-level crypto adoption. What began as a local initiative could soon become a national trend.
Long
by HCN-News12
Gold Short Trade Setup – Targeting 3350 with Tiered Take ProfitThis chart shows a short setup for gold (XAUUSD) on the 30-minute timeframe. Price is currently trading below a descending trendline and has formed a lower high near a marked resistance level. There was a clear change of character and a break of structure to the downside, indicating a bearish shift in market sentiment. Volume also appears to increase on bearish candles, adding strength to the downside move. The target is marked near the previous low around 3350, suggesting a short opportunity with a clear resistance and descending trendline acting as confluence. TP1 – 3370 Just above the immediate support level, offering a conservative exit before the price potentially bounces. TP2 – 3350 The main target on the chart, near the previous low. Strong support zone; ideal for full or partial profit. TP3 – 3325 Extension target if bearish momentum accelerates. Use only if volume and price action support further downside.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartWizard_1
2
It’s ready to move!#BTC 👍👀 Daily Timeframe Volume has dropped at the end of the bullish move. Price is currently ranging in a decision zone. ✅ BTC is holding above the key 91,640 level. As long as it remains stable above this zone, there’s potential for a move toward the $100K area. ⚠️ As shown in the chart, $100K will act as a major resistance level before any attempt to reach $110K. ⚡ Meanwhile, price is testing the pivot zone around $97,400 — the same level that rejected the last bullish attempt. So far, no strong reversal signals from this zone. ❌ But if price gets rejected again, we could see a breakdown below $93,700 and a retest of the support zone around $91,640. 💵 This support needs to hold for the bullish structure to stay intact. ✅ Historically, this level has repeatedly prevented BTC from dropping toward the $77K zone. 📈 I’m currently watching for a long setup, which will trigger only after a clear breakout above 97,400. 📉 For a short position, I’ll wait for a confirmed breakdown below 91,640.
Long
by RP_Group
Bitcoin vs. Saylor: The Power and Danger of fanatical promotionToday I want to talk about Michael Saylor and his influence on many crypto minds and, to some extent, the movement of Bitcoin’s price. It’s very important to understand who we’re listening to, who we’re following, and whether this person has hidden motives we don’t see due to lack of information or unwillingness to get it — due to our stubborn desire to see only what confirms our own fantasies and thoughts and serves our expectations. Let’s turn on our reason and objectivity and face the facts. Michael Saylor is a well-known figure in the crypto world. He promotes the idea of eternal Bitcoin growth and actively buys it to support his words. When the price drops, he even suggests his readers sell their organs, which, to me, is too much. Let’s move to the facts — everything is Googleable, and promptable. Facts: 📈 Hype of 2000 In 2000, he rode the dot-com hype with his company MicroStrategy. MicroStrategy was promoted as a pioneer in business analytics and data management software, and he saw himself solely as a visionary of the new economy. The boom was sky-high — just read about the dot-com era. Stocks of new tech companies were soaring, and it was enough to say “software” and “I see the future.” In 1998, MicroStrategy successfully held an IPO. In 2000, at the peak of the dot-com boom, the company’s stock reached an incredible $333 per share in March. He skillfully used the hype, and here was his 2000 narrative: Digital transformation: Saylor claimed the world was entering a new era where data would become the main asset of companies, and MicroStrategy — the key tool for processing and analyzing it. Unlimited growth: In the dot-com era, Saylor pushed the idea that tech companies like MicroStrategy would grow exponentially, ignoring traditional financial constraints. The future is now: Saylor created the feeling that MicroStrategy wasn’t just following trends but shaping them, offering solutions that would define the future of business. At the same time, he was building a cult around himself, cultivating the image of a genius entrepreneur. ⚠️ Financial reporting scandal The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) launched an investigation into MicroStrategy. The company overstated revenues, which led to a stock crash (from $333 to $86 in one day) and a loss of investor trust. The stock kept falling and dropped to $0.4 (–100%!). The SEC filed charges against Michael Saylor personally (CEO), as well as CFO Mark Lynch and the chief accountant. They were accused of intentionally misrepresenting financials to keep stock prices high. SEC investigation results: In December 2000, the SEC concluded the investigation, and MicroStrategy agreed to settle without admitting guilt: * The company paid a $10M fine. * Saylor, Lynch, and other executives paid personal fines. * Saylor agreed to pay $8.28M in “disgorgement” (unjust enrichment) and a $350K fine — a total of about $8.63M. * MicroStrategy committed to revising its reporting and implementing stricter internal controls. In addition to the SEC settlement ($11M from leadership, including $8.63M from Saylor), MicroStrategy faced shareholder class-action lawsuits, which were settled for $10M. No executives were criminally charged, but the company’s and Saylor’s reputations suffered greatly. In other words, Michael didn’t have any moral hesitation about faking company profits during losses. But investors and journalists started asking questions — and the SEC came knocking. Let’s call it what it is: Saylor committed fraud, using hype, promising endless growth, and creating a cult around himself as a “financial genius and visionary.” Michael went quiet, and the media tone shifted quickly — from super-visionary to one of the biggest losers and scammers. To give him credit, he managed to keep the company alive and kept a low profile until 2020, like a mouse. 20 years — a generation change and a new hype cycle. And what does a tech visionary do? Of course — jump into the new wave. A chance to restore his image — probably more important to him than money. 🟠 Bitcoin Era, 2020 Before 2020, Saylor was a Bitcoin skeptic. In 2013, he even tweeted that “Bitcoin’s days are numbered” and compared it to gambling. But in 2020, he changed his position after deeply studying crypto. His mission: to protect capital and restore his image as a prophet — and he decided to buy Bitcoin. But his own money seemed insufficient, so he turned to borrowing. Here’s how the scheme works: 1.MicroStrategy issues stocks and bonds 📈 They sell new MSTR shares → get cash. 💵 They issue bonds (debt papers) → investors give them money at interest. 2. They use that money to buy Bitcoin 🟧 All the raised funds go into BTC purchases. They don’t sell. Just hold. Never lock in profit. 3. If BTC rises → MSTR stock price rises MSTR becomes a kind of "BTC ETF." 📊 BTC growth = MicroStrategy’s market cap growth. 🔁 Then they repeat the cycle. Stock price up → issue more shares/bonds → buy more BTC → repeat. 📌 The catch: They use other people’s money (debt) to buy BTC. They sell almost nothing. They bet BTC will grow faster than interest on the debt. So as long as the price goes up — everything is fine. Let’s admit: his fanaticism, aggressive marketing, and bold statements have helped Bitcoin. But the main question: will the inevitable market correction wipe out this belief in endless growth? 🔍 His personality It’s crucial for us as traders and investors to understand who really runs the company or project. The personal traits of leaders are useful information that gives us insight and a behavioral map. We need to research not only products and financials, but also the psychological types of those making the decisions. Saylor’s aggressive marketing and loud statements are part of his personality. He fed off the hype around his persona more than any growing bank balance. And there’s nothing wrong with that — until you start deceiving people to keep attention on yourself. For example, in the 2000s, *Forbes* noted that Saylor “sold the dream” of a new economy where traditional profit metrics didn’t matter. It attracted investors — but didn’t reflect reality. Forbes hinted that his desire to maintain the genius image may have led to accounting manipulation. Saylor created an "expectations bubble" that burst. His desire to prove he’s a genius led to a disconnection from reality. He often talks about himself as a genius and visionary (sounds like a grandiose ego). He positions himself as the savior of capital through BTC (messiah complex). He publicly mocks “weak hands” and traditional investors (shows superiority). He never admits mistakes, even after losing billions (denial and overconfidence). He repeats his ideas again and again (manic fixation on being right). His speech is like a manifesto, not a dialogue. He doesn’t converse — he proclaims. I don’t sense greed in him. I sense emptiness that demands a cult. He doesn’t live for money — he is obsessed with the idea. And that’s the problem — there’s no objectivity here. It feels more like revenge after the humiliation and downfall of 20 years ago. He’s smart — no doubt. But it’s not just intelligence. It’s cold messianism. Obsession, not passion. Psychotype: Grand strategist with a humiliation trauma Trait Behavior Narcissistic core “I’m special, my vision is above all.” Obsession with greatness “I must be the truth, not just be right.” Hyper-rationality “I survive through logic, not feelings.” Psychological armor “I won’t show weakness. If I break, I disappear.” Fanatical visionary “My idea is supreme. I don’t need to be humble.” 💸 More facts: In 2024, Michael paid a FWB:40M fine for tax evasion. The accusation: He didn’t pay income tax in D.C., while actively living there — yachts, property, planes, frequent visits. His tax returns didn’t reflect reality, and the investigation used GPS, Instagram, flight data, banking, and other digital traces. Saylor didn’t admit guilt but agreed to settle for around $40M. His personal wealth is mostly in MicroStrategy shares (9.9% or ~$8.74B by end of 2024). Theoretically, he can sell them — but he must file a report within two days. Current status: MicroStrategy owns 555,450 BTC Average purchase price: ~$68,550 Total purchase cost: ~$38.08B Unrealized profit: ~$14.7B And remember — Saylor’s slogan: Forever HODL. 📉 But the key point: The company’s current debt is $7.24B. All is good — as long as the price rises. Analysts estimate BTC would have to fall to ~$20K before MSTR is forced to liquidate. But if BTC nears the break-even zone, fear might hit shareholders first — triggering stock sell-offs. If MSTR shares fall — which is likely during a BTC crash — bondholders, especially those with convertible bonds (which make up most of the debt), might demand repayment. That could force Saylor to sell BTC. Because in a crypto winter, buyers for MSTR stock or bonds may disappear. So BTC could fall — not because of actual sales, but from fear of those sales. This is my main concern with Saylor’s oversized influence on the market. 🐍 A bit of “reptilian” theory What if BlackRock *planned* to use Saylor’s hands to push Bitcoin and concentrate large amounts in one basket — then take it from him? Among the main bondholders are big institutions: * Allianz Global Investors * Voya Investment Management * Calamos Investments * State Street These bonds are usually unsecured and non-convertible, making them attractive to investors who want Bitcoin exposure without direct ownership. In case of default, bondholders have priority over the company’s assets — including BTC reserves. 🏛 State Street Corporation Public company traded on NYSE. Its biggest shareholders: Vanguard Group and BlackRock . If so — they could end up holding as much BTC as Satoshi. BlackRock’s IBIT holds ~500K BTC. MicroStrategy holds ~500K BTC. 🤔 Questions to reflect on: * Is industry leader fanaticism good for the development of crypto? * What is Michael Saylor really doing? Avenging the past? Or truly in love with the technology? * What risks does a whale with media influence and fanaticism and pockets full of Bitcoin and debt pose to the market? Waiting for your thoughts in the comments, dear traders! Hugs! 🤗
Education
by Juliia
BTC New Update (8H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section In the previous scenario, we considered that Bitcoin was in a diametric where wave E had extended. However, after reviewing the charts and analyzing various scenarios, we decided to revise the wave count as shown in this update, since wave E of the previous diametric scenario became overly extended. You can see the complete wave count of the chart in this update. The correction in Bitcoin started from the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart. This correction was a diametric and ended where the green arrow is placed. From the point where the green arrow is shown on the chart, Bitcoin's bullish wave has started, which is either wave A or W. According to this scenario, the expected rejection zone should be between 98K and 103K. The lowest-risk area for price rejection is the red box. A daily candle close above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. Let’s see what happens. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
Bitcoin H1 | Potential bullish bounce off a pullback supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 95,480.50 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 93,200.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support. Take profit is at 97,770.35 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:BTCUSDLong
by Tradu
1
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Holds the Accumulation Zone📊 Technical Analysis ● BTC rebounded off rising‐channel boundary and has formed a base in the $93K–95.3K accumulation zone. A decisive break above ~$95,700 would confirm a fresh leg to $98,000. ● Higher lows and tightening range signal building bullish pressure for an impulsive move toward the channel top. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Spot BTC ETFs logged ~$675 M of net inflows on May 2. ✨ Summary Rising‐channel support + sustained ETF demand favor a short‐term long bias: targets GETTEX:98K → $100K; view invalidated below $91,500. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
2
BTC Overextended: Awaiting the Perfect Pullback for a BuYBTC/USDT Analysis – 1D Timeframe Bitcoin is currently looking overextended on the daily chart 📈, with price action pushing directly into a well-defined key resistance level 🚧. This area has historically acted as a strong supply zone, and with momentum appearing stretched, I’m anticipating a potential retracement in the near term. My plan is to wait for BTC to pull back towards previous support zones Around the 61.8 Fibo level🛡️. I have a clear Point of Interest (POI) marked out, where I’ll be watching for price to react. If we see a bullish Break of Structure (BOS) on the pullback—I’ll be looking for a long entry from this area 🎯. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: Current daily highs (where price is overextended) 🚩 Support/POI: Previous consolidation and demand zones below, which have shown strong buying interest in the past 🏦 Trade Plan: - No FOMO entries at resistance! ❌ - Wait for a clean retrace into my POI - Look for bullish confirmation (BOS) on lower timeframes before entering long ✅ - Manage risk accordingly and trail stops if the move plays out Summary: Patience is key here. I’m not interested in chasing price into resistance. Instead, I’ll let the market come to me and only act if my criteria are met. If BTC gives us the pullback and a bullish BoS, I’ll be ready to take the trade. Until then, I’m on the sidelines and monitoring price action closely 👀. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk appropriately. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. 🚨
by fxtraderanthony
Key Levels Updated and Targets Ahead 🚀📈 BTC Bulls vs Bears – Key Levels Updated and Targets Ahead 🐂🐻 Hi everyone! The battle between bulls and bears is heating up! 🔥 After the breakout, BTC is holding strong above critical levels, and the bulls are making a convincing case for a continuation higher. Let’s break down the key levels and probabilities based on the latest market action: 📌 Current Decision Zone: ⚔️ 102,777 – Bulls vs Bears (Critical Support/Resistance) 📊 Bullish Targets (Probability: 65%) 🎯 103,400 🎯 104,197 🎯 105,032 🎯 105,962 – Major Resistance Ahead 🏁 106,341 – Final Target Before the Big Move 🚀 Ultimate Target: 113,000 📉 Bearish Scenario (Probability: 35%) If BTC fails to hold above 102,777, expect a drop towards: 📌 101,052 📌 99,985 🧩 Market Observations: Multiple divergences are still present across the MACD, RSI, MOM, MFI, and Histogram, signaling potential exhaustion. Watch for another retest of 102,777 to confirm direction before jumping in aggressively. The probabilities favor a continued bullish run, but stay cautious – the divergences suggest volatility is far from over! Step by step, we’ll navigate this journey together. 📅 One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Video:
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
Bitcoin 4H Technical Analysis– Bullish Continuation Toward $111KCurrent Price Context: BTC/USD: $103,696.63 EMA (70): $96,211.07 Trend: Bullish 📈 --- Key Zones & Analysis: 1. RBR Zone (Demand Zone) 💙 Price Range: $95,435.39 – $97,986.81 This area is a bullish support zone where price previously consolidated before the breakout. Potential entry/buy zone 📍 If price pulls back: Bounce expected here 🔁 🟦 RBR Zone: 🔵 97,986.81 🔵 96,211.07 (EMA support) 🔵 95,435.39 --- 2. Resistance / Short-Term Supply 🟥 Small blue box above current price May cause a minor rejection before a breakout Keep an eye out for price action signals here 👀 🟥 Resistance: 🟥 ~103,700 – 105,000 --- 3. Target Zone 🎯 Main Target Point: $111,415.32 Target Range: $111,281.04 – $112,959.60 If price breaks above resistance, this is the next major target Take profit zone 💰 🎯 Target Area: 🔵 111,281.04 🔵 111,415.32 🔵 112,959.60 --- Possible Price Path: 1. 🔼 Break above current resistance 2. 🔁 Or pull back to RBR zone 3. 🎯 Final move toward target zone
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Jameshead007
BTCUSD Technical Analysis – Is a Pullback Coming Soon?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is currently trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with price action now testing the upper boundary. This level may act as a dynamic resistance, and rejection here could trigger a corrective move towards the $98,000 support zone. If buyers defend this support level, the bullish structure remains intact, with potential to move back toward higher levels. However, if price breaks below this zone, there will be little to stop it from falling further. Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this key area is essential to identify potential buying opportunities. Risk should be managed properly—always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, feel free to share them in the comments!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Ingrid_Forex
Bitcoin Breaks Trendline-Is $109k Next?Technical Analysis: Ascending Channel Pattern The asset is exhibiting an ascending channel pattern, indicative of sustained bullish momentum. Key observations include: - Channel Boundaries: The price has consistently respected the channel's upper and lower boundaries, forming higher highs and higher lows. - Breakout and Retest: Following a strong momentum breakout, the price is potentially retesting a key support level, previously acting as resistance. - Support Zone: If buyers confirm support at this level, it may signal a continuation of the uptrend, targeting the upper boundary of the channel at $109,000. Key Monitoring Points: - Bullish Confirmation Signals: Look for bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume to confirm long positions. - Risk Management: Failure to hold support could signal a bearish shift, emphasizing the importance of monitoring price action and adjusting strategies accordingly.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
Bitcoin Short Setup | 30m SMC OB Rejection + Clean RR💣 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) 30-Min SMC Short | May 9, 2025 We just caught BTC’s premium tap into a 30m bearish Order Block, followed by a strong rejection candle. This is a classic Smart Money play, where price fills inefficiency and instantly rejects the institutional footprint. 🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES: 📦 Bearish Order Block tapped at $101,752 📈 Strong bullish impulse followed by hard rejection 🎯 Short from premium into discount zone (~$99,114 target) 🔺 Clean Risk-to-Reward: ~1:5+ 💰 High-probability Smart Money setup 📊 Setup Specs: Timeframe: 30min Direction: Short Entry Zone: $101,752 TP: $99,114 SL: ~$102,000 RR: Approx. 1:5+ 💡 Trade Logic: Price made a liquidity grab + FVG fill before tapping a 30min Order Block. The sharp red engulfing candle at the top confirms SMC presence and intention to sell-off. This zone represents premium pricing, ideal for institutional distribution. 🎯 Chart Ninja Note: “Smart Money never chases price… they wait for the retest where the fear begins.”
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
Trade Idea: BTCUSD Long ( BUY LIMIT )1. Trade Direction: Long • Trend Alignment: • Daily: Strong uptrend resumption with higher highs, higher lows, and price reclaiming above key moving average. RSI > 70 indicates strong momentum. • 15-Min: Bullish breakout from consolidation, steep EMA slope, MACD rising, momentum increasing. • 3-Min: Intraday momentum continuation pattern. Clean bullish price structure. • MACD (All Timeframes): Strong bullish crossover, rising histogram — confirming trend strength. • RSI (All Timeframes): RSI not yet overextended on lower timeframes, suggesting room for more upside. • Price Action: Recent breakout with healthy retracement structure and no major bearish divergence. • Fundamentals (Contextual): • BTC crossing $100K is a psychological milestone likely to invite more inflows. • Macro environment remains supportive for digital assets (inflation hedge, fiat debasement narrative). • Strong market sentiment and volume suggest continuation potential. ⸻ 2. Trade Setup Entry: • Entry Zone: $102,800 • Price is consolidating above previous resistance (~$102,000), now acting as support. Stop Loss: • SL: $101,200 • Below most recent intraday swing low and EMA on lower timeframes, giving it enough room. Take Profit: • TP: $106,800 • Near the next psychological level and extension target from recent measured moves. FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
Bitcoin Hits $100K: Bull Run IgnitesWhat Tariff Shock? Bitcoin Surges Past $100K as Market Recovery Continues The cryptocurrency market has been making headlines again as Bitcoin (BTC) surges past the $100,000 mark, signaling a robust recovery and potentially the start of a new bull cycle. In an environment marked by economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and fluctuating central bank policies, Bitcoin’s remarkable resurgence has captured the attention of retail investors, institutional participants, and financial analysts alike. This article delves into multiple facets of Bitcoin’s ongoing rally, including its recent rebound after a sharp drop, the role of whales in fueling the push toward $100K, the realized cap hitting a record high, and whether aggressive profit-taking by investors signifies a local top. Additionally, we’ll explore the implications of Bitcoin's return to $100K and why it hints at a "significant price move" that could shape the broader financial landscape. ________________________________________ Bitcoin Rebounds After Sharp Decline: The $100K Push Bitcoin’s journey to $100,000 has been anything but smooth. After experiencing a sharp correction earlier in the year, many market participants feared that the cryptocurrency's bull run was over. However, Bitcoin's ability to rebound from its lows with renewed vigor has defied expectations. Whales Drive the Rally One key factor behind Bitcoin’s resurgence is the activity of "whales," large-scale investors who hold significant amounts of BTC. On-chain data reveals that whales have been accumulating Bitcoin during periods of lower prices, effectively acting as a stabilizing force during market downturns. By reducing liquidity in the market and concentrating their holdings, whales have created conditions conducive to a price surge. In addition, whale wallets have been observed transferring large sums of Bitcoin out of exchanges and into cold storage, signaling a long-term bullish outlook. This withdrawal pattern reduces the supply of Bitcoin available for trading, increasing upward pressure on the price. ________________________________________ Realized Cap Hits Record High: A Bullish Signal Another notable development supporting Bitcoin's rally is its realized capitalization (realized cap) hitting an all-time high. Unlike market capitalization, which multiplies the total supply of Bitcoin by the current price, the realized cap calculates the value of each Bitcoin at the price it was last moved. This metric provides a clearer picture of the aggregate cost basis of Bitcoin holders. The realized cap reaching a record high indicates that a significant portion of Bitcoin has changed hands at higher price levels, reflecting increased investor confidence. This metric aligns with the narrative of accumulation, as both retail and institutional investors appear to be buying Bitcoin at higher prices in anticipation of future gains. Accumulation Continues On-chain analytics reveal that accumulation trends have persisted throughout Bitcoin's recovery. Wallet addresses holding between 1 and 10 BTC have grown substantially, showing that smaller investors are also entering the market. This broad-based accumulation not only adds to Bitcoin's bullish momentum but also reduces volatility by distributing supply across a wider range of participants. ________________________________________ Profit-Taking and Local Top Concerns While Bitcoin's surge past $100,000 has been met with enthusiasm, some analysts caution that aggressive profit-taking by investors could signal a local top. Short-term holders, in particular, have been selling their Bitcoin to lock in gains, as evidenced by the increasing Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR). Signs of a Local Top? A high SOPR indicates that investors are realizing profits at a significant rate, which often coincides with price corrections. However, it’s important to note that profit-taking is a natural part of any market cycle and does not necessarily signal the end of a bull run. In fact, periods of consolidation and minor corrections can strengthen the foundation for a more sustainable rally. Market sentiment, as measured by the Fear & Greed Index, has also entered the "Greed" zone, suggesting that bullish enthusiasm may be running high. Historically, extreme greed has preceded short-term pullbacks, making it crucial for investors to remain cautious. ________________________________________ New Bull Cycle? Bitcoin’s Return to $100K Hints at Significant Price Move Bitcoin’s return to the $100,000 milestone has rekindled hopes of a new bull cycle, with analysts pointing to several factors that support this narrative. The cryptocurrency market has historically moved in cycles, driven by supply-demand dynamics, macroeconomic conditions, and technological advancements. The current environment appears to align with the early stages of a new bull phase. Institutional Adoption and Macro Tailwinds Institutional interest in Bitcoin has grown exponentially over the past few years. Major financial institutions, including hedge funds, pension funds, and publicly traded companies, have embraced Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and a store of value. This influx of institutional capital has not only validated Bitcoin’s role as a legitimate asset class but also provided a steady source of demand. Moreover, macroeconomic tailwinds such as high inflation, declining confidence in fiat currencies, and geopolitical instability have enhanced Bitcoin's appeal as a decentralized, non-sovereign asset. Central banks’ monetary policies, including quantitative easing and low interest rates, have further eroded the purchasing power of traditional currencies, driving investors toward Bitcoin. Supply Shock and Halving Cycles Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins and its halving cycles play a crucial role in its price dynamics. The most recent halving in 2024 reduced the block reward for miners, effectively decreasing the rate at which new Bitcoin enters circulation. This supply shock, coupled with growing demand, has historically preceded significant price rallies. On-chain data shows that long-term holders, who typically accumulate Bitcoin during bear markets, are now distributing their holdings during this bull phase. This redistribution of supply suggests that a new wave of investors is entering the market, further fueling the rally. ________________________________________ What’s Next for Bitcoin? As Bitcoin continues to defy expectations, the question on everyone’s mind is: What’s next? While predicting Bitcoin’s price movements with precision is challenging, several scenarios could play out in the near term. Scenario 1: Sustained Bull Run If accumulation trends persist and institutional interest continues to grow, Bitcoin could maintain its upward trajectory, potentially reaching new all-time highs. Key resistance levels to watch include $120,000 and $150,000, which could serve as psychological barriers for further price appreciation. Scenario 2: Short-Term Correction A short-term correction is always a possibility, especially given the aggressive profit-taking observed in recent weeks. However, such corrections are often healthy for the market, allowing for consolidation and setting the stage for more sustainable growth. Scenario 3: Macro-Driven Volatility External factors, such as changes in monetary policy, regulatory developments, or geopolitical events, could introduce volatility to the market. While Bitcoin has shown resilience in the face of macroeconomic challenges, it remains sensitive to major news events. ________________________________________ Conclusion Bitcoin’s surge past $100,000 marks a pivotal moment for the cryptocurrency market, signaling a robust recovery and the potential start of a new bull cycle. Driven by whale activity, record-high realized capitalization, and persistent accumulation, Bitcoin has defied skeptics and reasserted its dominance as the leading digital asset. While concerns about a local top and profit-taking are valid, the broader trends suggest that Bitcoin is preparing for a significant price move. Whether this rally leads to sustained growth or faces temporary setbacks, one thing is clear: Bitcoin remains a transformative force in the financial world, offering a decentralized, inflation-resistant alternative to traditional assets. As we look ahead, the combination of institutional adoption, macroeconomic tailwinds, and Bitcoin’s unique monetary policy positions it for continued success. For investors and enthusiasts, the journey to $100,000 and beyond is more than just a milestone—it’s a testament to the enduring promise of blockchain technology and the future of decentralized finance.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
BTCUSD – 1H Long Setup | Discount Entry With RR 1:5+🧩 BTCUSD – 1H Reversal Play | May 5, 2025 We’re deep in Discount Territory, and the market just showed signs of strength with a bullish reaction from the OB. The Risk-to-Reward on this one is chef’s kiss 👨‍🍳💋 🧠 Smart Money Breakdown: 📉 Market Context: Prolonged bearish leg forming equal lows — liquidity engineered ✅ 📍 Entry Point: EQ/OB level @ ~$93,736 🟢 SL: Below OB at ~$92,730 🚀 TP: Previous structure high ~97,912 🧮 RRR: Around 1:5+ (massive potential) 🔎 Narrative & Confluence: 🔄 Price reacting to OB zone after taking liquidity 🧲 Potential inducement below = liquidity swept ⚠️ Engulfing bullish candle = signs of LTF accumulation 📈 Expectation: Push back into premium zone above 97K 🧠 Execution Tips: Set and forget, or trail aggressively above 94,800 Watch M15-M5 for CHoCH + order flow confirmation Add to position on micro pullbacks with tight risk Partial TP around 96,000 zone, full exit at 97,912 📣 Chart Ninja Tip: “Discount isn't just a price zone — it's where patience meets precision. Let price hunt liquidity, then strike!” 💬 Drop a 💎 if you caught this sniper long. 📊 Save this setup and tag a fellow price action beast. 🔁 Share if your RR game strong today!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by ChartNinjas88
BTC Intraday Cycle ClustersThese are mathematically calculated cycle clusters based on hourly price and time data. Cycle clusters can signal potential shifts in price action, including: Changes in direction Momentum shifts (acceleration or deceleration) Breakouts Gaps Bold vertical lines indicate periods where more cycles are clustered. Dashed lines reflect clusters with fewer overlapping cycles. I've also added some charting work—mainly channels—to help visualize and potentially trade the price movement between clusters and between channel lines. Questions are welcome!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by goncalo1971