1-BTCUSD
BITCOIN hit the MA200 (1d)! Massive Support, strong rebound veryBTCUSD is trading inside a Channel Down pattern, which almost hit today the MA200 (1d).
The last time Bitcoin traded on this level was October 14th 2024.
Technically, this is not just a short term Channel Down bottom buy signal but also a long term buy opportunity for the remainder of the Bull Cycle.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 99000 (+22.48% rise like the previous bullish wave).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is massively oversold, dipping below 30.00 for the first time since the August 5th 2024 bottom. This is a massive long term buy signal.
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$BTC sideways for now, long-term uptrend intactI’m waiting for CRYPTOCAP:BTC to tap 102k again, or for the yearly open at 93k. Not much happening at the moment, but I see it moving higher.
Most likely, we’ll trade within January’s candle and form an inside bar. The inflection point will be at the extremes of that candle for short-term trades. If it decides to break January’s low, I’d see that as a potential re-entry point.
So, in short:
Continuation above 102k
First possible entry at the yearly open (I think many are watching that area)
Second entry at January’s low (optimal for me)
For now, it’s just consolidation.
BTC SHORT TP:84,500 25-02-2024Bitcoin is forming bearish patterns on shorter timeframes and appears to be setting up for a final downward impulse. Targeting the zone of 84,000 to 85,000 seems like a solid strategy, but I can't rule out the possibility of a spike down to 80,000.
This analysis is based on a 1-hour timeframe, so I expect the scenario to unfold within 15 to 20 hours; otherwise, it will be deemed invalid. Make sure to follow me and activate alerts to stay updated on the latest developments.
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Key Levels & Market Outlook
Bitcoin is once again at a critical juncture, facing major resistance while testing crucial support levels. With the market moving cautiously, let’s break down the key levels, possible scenarios, and the broader context shaping Bitcoin’s price action.
Bitcoin has had a remarkable journey, recovering from past corrections and proving its resilience time and time again. From the 2021 bull run that took BTC to $69K, to the deep corrections of 2022, and the resurgence in 2023–2024, each phase has been a lesson in volatility, accumulation, and distribution.
Now, in 2025, Bitcoin is testing psychological levels above $100K, a number that once seemed impossible but is now a key battleground for bulls and bears. The question is—will BTC break higher, or are we due for another correction?
📍 Critical Price Levels
📌 Resistance: $100,000–$102,000 – This is a pivotal zone. A confirmed breakout with strong volume could reinforce bullish momentum and signal further price discovery.
📌 Support: $90,000 – The key demand area. Losing this level could shift momentum toward the bears.
📌 Major Support: $85,000 – A crucial liquidity zone. If Bitcoin enters an extended correction, this level could serve as a key structural support.
Possible Scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Outlook
If Bitcoin can decisively break and hold above $100K, supported by strong volume and positive market sentiment, it could pave the way for continued upside. Historically, breakouts above major psychological levels have triggered aggressive price expansion, potentially sending BTC toward $108K–$110K and beyond.
🔻 Bearish Outlook
A failure to hold $90K, particularly with increased sell-side volume, could accelerate downside movement. If liquidity sweeps below this level, Bitcoin might retest $85K, where institutional buyers could step in. A deeper correction could temporarily shake confidence, but past cycles have shown that such pullbacks often lead to stronger rallies.
Beyond technicals, several fundamental factors are influencing Bitcoin’s trajectory:
ETF Inflows & Institutional Demand – The growing adoption of Bitcoin ETFs has driven institutional interest, contributing to price stability and long-term accumulation.
Global Economic Uncertainty – With inflation concerns and central bank policies fluctuating, investors continue to see Bitcoin as a hedge, similar to gold.
Regulatory Developments – The US and EU are shaping new crypto regulations, which could impact market behavior and sentiment.
💬 What’s Next? Your Thoughts?
Bitcoin is at a defining moment—are we gearing up for a bullish continuation, or is a correction on the horizon? Let me know what You think in the comments!
🚀 Stay tuned and trade wisely!
Your Kateryna😍
BTCUSDT, Bearish Scenarios for upcoming days ...Hello Traders, Hope you're great.
for Upcoming days, I anticipate 2 Bearish scenarios :
In First Scenario, I expect price does an upward correction to the nearest broken support level that became to an important supply zone around 91-93K and after that starts to drop.
in Second scenario, I expect price does a further upward correction and goes to the supply zone around 95-97K and after that start a major downward movement.
Targets are 85K, 82K and my final target is 77K.
Don't forget to use proper risk management.
And finally tell me what do you think about BTCUSDT, UP or DOWN ? comment your opinion below this post.
Up or DownAs we can see in the chart, on December 24th, Bitcoin's price reached its climax, moving cleanly without further structures to follow. Since then, the price has formed micro-structures and is now attempting to create a much larger one that would allow it to advance—a megaphone pattern (D).
If this megaphone were completed with an upward move today, it could catapult the price above $149K. With each passing day, the potential price target increases. However, to form the full megaphone, a base had to be established, which is what we are seeing now. On December 24th, a structure was formed that facilitates a return to the $107K level and also helps determine the price range where the megaphone's base (C) could be finalized, between $86K and $77.6K.
Today, a bull flag (B) has formed within a falling wedge (A), and the price movements align with this pattern, which aims to return to the apex before continuing the upward move. However, even if the price surges due to the bull flag breakout, I believe it might retrace again to continue building the base of the megaphone, which is quite broad.
BTC New Update (4H)This analysis is an update to the analysis you can see below in the "Related Analyses" section.
Bitcoin remains bearish in our view.
After sweeping the marked liquidity pool on the chart, it made a bullish move, but the overall trend is still bearish.
From the marked area, it can move toward the demand zone lower on the chart.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Double Channel Down with Potential Reversal!Pair: BTC/USD
Timeframe: 4H
Current Price: $86,486 (-2.37%)
🔍 Market Overview
Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined double downward channel, indicating a period of correction. The price is approaching a key support level, which could act as a potential reversal point.
📊 Technical Analysis
1️⃣ Double Channel Down Formation
BTC has been moving within two parallel descending channels, confirming a short-term bearish trend.
The price is currently at the lower boundary of the second channel, where buying pressure may emerge.
2️⃣ Support & Resistance Levels
🔹 Support Levels:
$85,500 - $86,000 (Lower channel boundary)
$83,800 (Key demand zone)
🔹 Resistance Levels:
$89,000 (Mid-channel resistance)
$92,500 (Upper channel resistance)
$96,892 (Major breakout target)
3️⃣ Possible Trading Scenarios
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If BTC holds above the $85,500-$86,000 support zone, we could see a bounce back towards the mid-channel resistance (~$89,000).
A confirmed breakout above $92,500 would signal a trend reversal toward the $96,892 target.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If BTC fails to hold the $85,500 support, we could see a further drop toward $83,800 or even lower.
A confirmed breakdown would extend the bearish momentum, possibly towards $80,000.
📌 Trading Plan
✅ Long Entry:
Around $86,000 - $85,500 (Support Retest)
Stop Loss: Below $83,800
Target 1: $89,000
Target 2: $92,500
Target 3: $96,892
🚨 Short Entry (If Breakdown Occurs):
Below $85,500
Stop Loss: Above $88,000
Target 1: $83,800
Target 2: $80,000
3 week chart forecasted the drop. Now what for Bitcoin?As per analysis:
Update on this chart that forecasted the drop. If you see my Binance BTC chart you will see both line up with each other's analysis yet they are 2 different types of TA and timeframes.
Now the drop has happened the % we forecast of the minimum 25% is not hit yet. This chart shows in yellow the current amount of % in drop BTC has made so far. The orange is the minimum as per history.
You will see on this chart there are now coloured circles around some candles. These are the times when Bitcoin was in a similar late period of a bull market and the RSI white line went under the yellow RSI line.(not the yellow trendline at 50.21 , the actual moving RSI yellow line).
The price drops are shown for these inside the circles, except for covid crash (red circle).
There are date ranges shown which are from the bottom of these price drops to the top of the bull run. I have put similar date ranges at current bottom and the larger of the 2 goes to mid November which would line up with a normal ending to bull run, making right now similar to the pink circled area.
The red circle is the covid crash and if you look at RSI this is the only time in a bull run that the yellow moving RSI line is on a downward slope. Every other time it is sloping down, we are in a bear market. Now look at the current situation, it is a downward sloping line. This is a slight concern.
Now we wait to see what unfolds on the lower timeframe analysis after this recent drop and check other indicators for a bear market confirmation. For now, we must assume we are still in a bull market, unless there are more signs of a bear market showing.
If still in bull run then these prices are a gift on altcoins. The issue is whether BTC wants to close the gap at 77k area which could potentially trigger the bear market to follow, depending on how long it is down at that price.
If this 3week RSI reclaims the yellow moving RSI line then we know the bull run will continue.
Multiple Signals Shows BTC Might Touched Short-Term BottomLast time BINANCE:BTCUSDT had all 3 of these signals was in August 2024:
1️⃣ RSI <30 in oversold territory
2️⃣ MACD < 0
3️⃣ Fear & Greed Index at "Extreme Fear"
Also, since 2024 began, every time CRYPTOCAP:BTC had a wick + volume spike, it marked a "short-term" bottom.
What do you think? Is this the bottom for BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ?
Leave a comment!
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btc still bearish#BTCUSD, price have break below the main range which needs correction.
We hope to see price reaching 84k-82k but firstly double breakout below 87600 will drop the price there and stop loss at 88600.
Above 89300 holds bearish zone but if price multiple reverse there possible 91k will retest back.
BTC Long back to the MeanBitcoin has recently broken out of its prior range, sweeping liquidity below key levels.
This setup presents a potential mean reversion opportunity, expecting price to revert back into the range. The target for this trade is around 96,785.2, aligning with the previous consolidation area.
Key Levels:
Entry: Current price region (~89,310)
Target: 96,785.2 (Mean reversion level)
Stop-Loss: 85,969.9 (Below liquidity sweep)
Trade Execution:
Entry Confirmation: Signs of rejection from the liquidity grab area / MSB on 2h
Risk/Reward: Favorable setup with a good R:R ratio.
Stop Placement: Below the liquidity sweep to prevent early invalidation.
Conclusion:
The market has grabbed liquidity and is now positioned for a move back into the range.
If bullish momentum continues, we expect price to revert toward the 96,000 level.
Bitcon currently filling the CME futures gapWe knew it was likely this would happen at some point in the near future from when the gap was formed and it appears like now is the time. Price action needs to dip as low as $77,920to fill the gap entirely. History tells us the correction should be over with not long after the gap is filled. The only way this isn’t the case is if the top of the bull market was indeed already in, which is a very minute probability but not impossible. *not financial advice*
Bitcoin Dropped Below $80k: Will This Nightmare Will Be Stopped?Hello, Skyrexians!
Despite the extreme fear tonight BITSTAMP:BTCUSD continues going down and finally broke $80k. Investors are panic selling right now and don't know what to do. But we pointed out earlier that the most impulsive part of bull run ahead and current dump is just the correction.
Let's take a look at the weekly time frame. Here we can see that the potentially strongest reversal signal has been broken. We are talking about divergence with AO. That is the reason why we marked that waves 1 and 2 like you see on the chart. According to this counting we can see that wave's 3 targets are at the $140k and $190k. At the same time we wanna tell you that the strong resistance is located at 1 Fibonacci level at $110k and we have seen it already.
Current dump is wave 2 inside wave 3. It has the target between 0.5 and 0.61. The first one has been already reached. We expect reversal from here. Moreover Fractal Trend Detector is showing us bull run support with the green zone and now we see its retest.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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