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1-BTCUSD

The Beginning and End of the Altcoin Bull Market Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (USDT Chart) (USDC Chart) A lot of money is flowing into the coin market. - (BTC.D 1M chart) If BTC dominance falls below 55.01 and is maintained or continues to decline, the coin market is expected to start an altcoin bull market. When the altcoin bull market starts (some altcoins have started to rise), if you buy when the candle on the 1D chart is a bearish candle, you will almost always be able to make a profit. However, when the altcoin bull market starts, there is a high possibility that the altcoin will rise due to cyclical pumping, so it is recommended to maintain the coin (token) you have purchased once if possible. Then, if you buy when the candle on the 1D chart is a bearish candle one day, it may turn into a bearish trend, so it is recommended to set a stop loss point. It is necessary to consider a strategy to maximize profits by purchasing additional altcoins that are currently held, that is, altcoins with a yield of over 50%, when they show a decline of around -10%. When purchasing additional altcoins, it is recommended to proceed after confirming that they are supported by the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. - (USDT.D 1M chart) Then, I wonder how long the altcoin bull market will continue. I expect the altcoin bull market to continue until the USDT dominance falls to around 2.84. After that, the coin market is expected to experience a large plunge as the USDT dominance rises significantly. ------------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1W chart) Since the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart has touched the 100 point in the overbought zone, an initialization operation is expected to occur. If this initialization operation maintains the price above 1.618 (89050.0), the coin market is expected to continue its upward trend. - (1D chart) Since the StochRSI indicator on the 1D chart has entered the 50 point zone, volatility is likely to occur. It is expected that the volatility period will continue until December 4, so it is necessary to check the movement. If BTC falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, i.e. below 90586.92, most coins (tokens) in the coin market are expected to record a large decline. However, if it shows support around 87.8K-89K, it will show a large increase again. The large increase at this time will be in altcoins. - Since the box section of the current HA-High indicator is formed over the 91792.14-98871.80 section, the point to watch is whether it moves sideways around this section. If BTC rises to around 1.902 (101784.54), I think the coin market is likely to record a large increase. However, if BTC falls below 98892.0, it is expected to fall again, so caution is required when trading. - As I mentioned in the 1W chart description, if BTC touches over 100K or falls after encountering resistance near 98892.0, you should check if the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart is initialized. This is expected to be an important time to decide when to buy in the short term. - Please refer to the previous idea charts for information on BTC's down or up points. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend. Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) As you can see from the LOG chart, the upward trend is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2015. In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the upward wave. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2019. Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you to decide how to view and respond to this. When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance. This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci. Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies. 1st : 44234.54 2nd : 61383.23 3rd : 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting) 4th : 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting) 5th : 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
BTC long-term prediction Hi all, After initial reflection on Bitcoin's long-term prospects (see link below), I would like to make a more detailed analaysis for it in the next two or three years. Development cycles and characteristics I'll devide the evolution of BTC into three main cycles: Cycle 0: From the birth of BTC until November 2021 Cycle 1: From Nov 2011 to Nov 2018. In this cycle, we have observed two Halving events (November 28, 2012) and (July 9, 2016 Cycle 2: From Nov 2018 to Nov 2025. This cycle encompasses the most recent halving event (May 11, 2020) and the upcoming one (April 26, 2024) In every cycle, BTC has the following common price action Main Trendline Support: it confirms the exponential increase in BTC's price. Cycle High: it is intriguing to observe that Cycle Highs tend to materialize approximately 1 to 1.5 years after the halving event (or the birth) of BTC Break-down event: It happened two times and both on November (2011 and in 2018). This marks the end of a cycle. About historical BTC Highs Since its birth, BTC has achieved four Cycle Highs. Connecting two consecutive Cycle Highs with a trendline reveals that the slope of this line is halved (devided by 2) between two Halving Events. This gradual decrease in slope appears rational and organic, as exponential growth is typically unsustainable. What's even more intriguing is that this 1:2 ratio aligns with the reduction of mined BTC by half after each Halving Event (or the block reward given to Bitcoin miners for processing transactions). Predictions for the next Halving and beyond By considering the aforementioned characteristics in BTC's evolution, we can utilize historical patterns to provide potential insights into the future. Here's a possible scenario: Leading up to the 4th Halving (scheduled for April 26, 2024), BTC prices are likely to align with the blue support trendline, and significant deviations from this trendline are not anticipated. Following the 4th Halving, BTC may enter an accelerated phase, potentially triggering a major bull run. A new price high could be achieved somewhere between May and September 2025, based on historical averages of the time needed for BTC to reach a new high after halving. This new price high is projected to be approximately $120k. However, it's essential to note that a subsequent bear market is expected to follow, possibly manifesting in November 2025. During this phase, BTC may experience a gradual decline, with prices potentially dropping as low as $30k. It's vital to remember that predicting the future with certainty in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market is challenging and often speculative. These projections are based on historical trends and patterns but are subject to various unpredictable factors. What do you think about this analysis and what is your price prediction for BTC in the next bullrun?
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by evasivesteering
2
Key Insights into Bitcoin’s Halving Cycles (updated)1. Halving Cycle Structure This chart leverages Bitcoin's logarithmic scale to illustrate its price behavior across halving cycles, providing a clearer perspective on exponential growth and diminishing returns. Key Takeaways from Bitcoin's Halving Cycles 1. Halving Cycle Structure Cycle Length: Each cycle spans 1432 days (approximately 4 years), divided into: Bull Market Phase (1064 days): Gradual accumulation followed by accelerated growth. Bear Market Phase (365 days): Sharp corrections and consolidation before recovery. Historically, bull markets account for the majority of price growth, with bear markets serving as cooling-off periods. 2. Historical Price Performance Cycle 1 (2012 Halving): Entire Cycle move: 11644% Pre-Halving having: +390% Post halving +2947% 96.65% of the entire move was after the Halving. Cycle 2 (2016 Halving): Entire Cycle move: 2503% Pre Halving: +213% Post halving +703% 91.5% of the entire move was after the Halving Cycle 3 (2020 Halving): Still going... Hypothesis: 86% of the entire move was after the Halving. Entire Cycle move: 1671.43%% based on my maths Pre Halving: +234% so far Post halving +92% so far If the hypothesis is true then 905k is the projected price. 3. Upcoming 2024 Halving Predictions Projected move: 270K USD peak if historical patterns persist and the Hypothesis holds. Bear Market (2027–2028): Based on prior cycles, corrections could range from -70% to -80%, leading to a consolidation Trade safe Tarder Leo
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by BTM-LEO
5
#BTC - Amazing Long Setup Is #Bitcoin ready to break the legendary 100k mark that everyone is awaiting? Check out the analysis below! HTF Bias: Price broke the previous daily rejection block / supply zone / structural high, marked with a purple rectangle, which now means it should hold as a demand zone for later pullback From the swing low to high, if we trace a fibonacci retracement, we see that price perfectly rejected from the **Golden Zone - 0.618 - 0.768 **(in this case it barely hit 0.618) It bounced back to mitigate supply zone left behind, leaving behind the same flip zone (supply turning to demand zone), reversed and now it just sweeped the most recent liquidity, showing clear rejection signs, forming a huge wick LTF Bias: Now that the HFT is aligned with LTF, all that matters is where we entry the trade Given we already sweeped the most obvious liquidity, this is how I would place my trade Stop loss below the most recent sweep, Take Profit at the 1.236 mark on the Fibonacci Extension tool ​ What are your thoughts on this chart? Do you have any #Bitcoin in your wallet? What are your targets? Follow for more daily ideas!
Long
by tamastery
7
short term bear market casesso here I am again. I was switching around my position its because xrp sudden pump makes changes to the market atmosphere, but now i think bears are favor finally. because if we see that pump made in btc. marked orange color. that was the pump when xrp hits around 2.9 dollars. and its losing its power now. and if that major coin drops everything kinda drops all together till it consolidate. so i am shorting again. and this time will hold it to see wave c and prob take half profit when xrp stop falling or around support area.
Short
by Bincoti_trade
Key Insights into Bitcoin’s Halving Cycles1. Halving Cycle Structure This chart leverages Bitcoin's logarithmic scale to illustrate its price behavior across halving cycles, providing a clearer perspective on exponential growth and diminishing returns. Key Takeaways from Bitcoin's Halving Cycles 1. Halving Cycle Structure Cycle Length: Each cycle spans 1432 days (approximately 4 years), divided into: Bull Market Phase (1064 days): Gradual accumulation followed by accelerated growth. Bear Market Phase (365 days): Sharp corrections and consolidation before recovery. Historically, bull markets account for the majority of price growth, with bear markets serving as cooling-off periods. 2. Historical Price Performance Cycle 1 (2012 Halving): Entire Cycle move: 11644% Pre-Halving having: +390% Post halving +2947% 96.65% of the entire move was after the Halving. Cycle 2 (2016 Halving): Entire Cycle move: 2503% Pre Halving: +213% Post halving +703% 91.5% of the entire move was after the Halving Cycle 3 (2020 Halving): Still going... Hypothesis: 86% of the entire move was after the Halving. Entire Cycle move: 1671.43%% based on my maths Pre Halving: +234% so far Post halving +92% so far If the hypothesis is true then 905k is the projected price. 3. Upcoming 2024 Halving Predictions Bull Market (2024–2027): Projected move: 905K USD peak if historical patterns persist and the Hypothesis holds. Bear Market (2027–2028): Based on prior cycles, corrections could range from -70% to -80%, leading to a consolidation Resistance Zones: $250K, $500K, and $905K projected peaks based on logarithmic trends. Trade safe Tarder Leo
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by BTM-LEO
2
BITCOIN Time your sells based on this chart.Bitcoin / BTCUSD closed November with the 1st convincing break out 1month candle over the ATH of the previous Cycle. According to the previous two Cycles, such breakout candle gives another 4 months at least before the rally peaks and corrects. The previous Cycles peaked 11 months from the breakout candle and the Cycle before that peaked in 7 months. This means that it is better to time the selling and exit in March 2025, regardless of what price BTC will be trading at the time. Technically it should be around $150000. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) appears bearish on the 4-hour chart,The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) appears bearish on the 4-hour chart, currently trading downward within a channel. The recent rejection near 106.750 has reinforced resistance, and the price is trending lower, nearing 105.650, which aligns with key support levels. If this bearish momentum continues, the index could aim for stronger support zones, such as 105.500 or below, with the potential for further declines. Breaking these levels may trigger more selling pressure. On the other hand, a rebound from support could temporarily stall the bearish trend. Monitoring volumes and macroeconomic catalysts, like interest rate decisions or major economic data, will be crucial for confirming the next direction.
TVC:DXY
by TRADE_CENTER_1
BTCUSD Will Collapse! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the BTCUSD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 97066 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 96606 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-2: Tmp Bottom PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will attempt to move a bit higher after finding support in early trading. The one BIG event over the past 5+ trading days is the SPY rallying above the Ultimate High level - breaking into a confirmed Bullish price trend. This is part of what I'm trying to teach you: the patterns, techniques, thinking, and logic behind my decisions are based on mechanical price structures/processes. Once you understand the structures and price patterns, it is simple to try to understand. Fibonacci Price Theory teaches you to follow price as the ultimate indicator - measuring and marking ultimate, unique, and standout highs/lows as trigger points. AnchorBar theory teaches us to watch for breakaway or breakdown bars as precise indications of price trend direction/momentum. The Excess Phase Peak patterns represent a more nuanced price pattern that can assist us in determining the current "phase" of the markets and how we can expect prices to react to that phase. If you understand these three concepts, I believe you, as a trader, can unlock any price action and determine what type of trend we are currently in for any symbol/interval and where your opportunity lies for potential trades. I will continue to delve further into trading and teaching techniques to reinforce these techniques in the future. Stay cautious as the markets are still struggling to find a post-election trend. The Anomaly Event is still likely, but the probability of such an event has fallen to about 30-40% overall. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
we will see some dump in bitcoin and altcoinsI commented last analysis that i think because of xrp pumping we might see market going down. I was trying to see if it tank or not but it seems like after xrp pump we coulldnt find a way to go up for btc and eth.. now after xrp confirm its resistance btc quickly dropped.. which means even with pull back we likely see 90000 or 86000 area depends on market condition or fud around the market. if there will be fud news we might dump harder.. anyway i kept xrp long like 1/4 in case i miss the train. and shoring btc to hedging my holdings and a bit to short more. if this rapid drop stops twice with big support i will be back. if it breaks up over 98100 area this case is not right.
Short
by Bincoti_trade
BTCUSD Bullrun: Is the Momentum Reaching Its Limit?BTCUSD's bullish rally has driven significant price appreciation, positively influencing the broader altcoin market. However, a closer look at the daily timeframe reveals critical resistance levels that may define the trend's next phase. Since 2020, BTCUSD has traded within a well-defined ascending channel. At present, the price is testing the upper boundary of this channel, a key resistance level. A decisive breakout and sustained move above this resistance could signal the continuation of the bullrun, potentially unlocking further upside. Conversely, if the resistance holds firm, the likelihood of a corrective move increases, with the next significant support level projected around $49.87K, aligning with key Fibonacci retracement levels. Traders should closely monitor price action, volume dynamics, and candlestick confirmations for further clarity. Maintaining disciplined risk management is essential as BTCUSD navigates this critical inflection point in its broader bullish structure.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by AzrulAzir
November 29 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. Nasdaq has no indicators and closes early at 3 a.m. If you look at the bottom left, the purple finger is $95,021.5. I connected the long position strategy I entered yesterday. I almost died trying to leave the movement path including the weekend and the main drawing on one page. Please look for Miracle above Great. Bitcoin is in an upward trend, but I was thinking about whether to chase it today, and decided to proceed safely. *Red finger movement path One-way long position strategy 1. $96457 long position entry section / stop loss price when green support line is broken or stop loss price when section 1 is touched (There is a possibility of sideways movement including weekends, and the price range is large up to section 1. Until section 1, it is a safe section for long positions due to strong increase, but as an analyst, I held it tighter because my pride could be hurt. I bet on a vertical increase unconditionally.) 2. Top section 1st target -> $99415 Gap section 2nd target Here, since I have to express the weekend movement path, I intentionally displayed the final target price up to the Gap. The reason is probably because of the long position re-entry at the end, right? From the Good section breakthrough, you can see that the altcoin bullish train has left There is a Miracle section hidden above the Great So if it breaks through, please refer to it. Since the 2nd section is a 1+4 section Even if it moves sideways, if you keep this weekend trend Bitcoin and all altcoins are safe, so please refer to it. Those who are going to buy altcoins today I hope you have a good shopping experience with stocks that have good trading volume and names that do not pump I burned it white today I organized it in a haphazard manner because I had an evening appointment I hope it was helpful. Up to this point Please just refer to and use my analysis I hope you operate safely with principle trading and loss cut prices. Thank you for your hard work this week.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
02/12/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $98,894.77 Last weeks low: $90,786.17 Midpoint: 94,840.47 Last week was all about altcoins as Bitcoin takes a backseat after a the "Trump pump" rally. Consolidating just under the $100K big even level has seen rotation into Ethereum finally and more surprisingly dino-coins such as XRP, LTC and more. XRP has rallied to ATH (+300%) in less that 1 month, the news that Gary Gensler will be stepping down and with that the SEC's tirade on Ripple. The momentum and talk of the space is with XRP for now as it overtakes the Mcap of Tether to go 3rd! This comes at a time where typically BTC profits rotate into ETH and yet a lot of the capital has gone into XRP instead and so Ethereum is still way behind, BTC, SOL, XRP are all at ATH. With the new month beginning we typically see a shaky start to the month, especially after such a strong close. The fear and greed index for BTC is @ 80, that's down from 94 in the week previous (mid November). The drop off is also evident in the BTC.D dropping 3% as alts move up. This week I'm focused on where we are in the cycle, many alts are climbing and of course the $100K event for BTC. I believe we are not anywhere near the cycle top, any on-chain indicator would support that but that does not necessarily mean we aren't close to a local top. A strong bearish divergence has emerged on the weekly and that is cause for concern, overbought RSI high fear and greed and euphoric sentiment on the TL. Any new longs are extremely risky for now (LTF not HTF) without any fresh bullish news events. Price currently at midpoint, hard to tell how deep the monthly open sell-off will be, a quick wick with fast recovery will be bullish but a slow bleed would be more worrisome.
by ProR35
1
BITCOIN $150k doesn't seem so unrealistic now, does it?Almost 4 months ago (August 14, see chart below), we made a bold prediction of a Bitcoin (BTCUSD) target at $150000 by early 2025, while the price was still at $60k: This was received with a lot of skepticism at the time but with the price now almost on the $100k psychological barrier, the idea looks more and more realistic. It is time to revisit this chart and made some slight modifications based on the price action that was followed. The price is now off the 0.786 - 1.0 Fibonacci range where it consolidated from March 2024 until October 2024. The enormous rise/ break-out is attributed of course to a large extent on the U.S. elections and the euphoria that followed. We are only 1 month outside this range and the price is already much higher. Last month's candle is very similar to November 2020 and May 2017. In comparison, that was when the most aggressive (parabolic) rallies of those Bull Cycles started. In 2017 from May to December, it was on a 71.5° angle. On the next Cycle from November 2020 to April 2021, it was on a 68.5° angle, i.e. 3° lower. If that's a progression by any means, then we can assume that the 2024 - 2025 parabolic rally could be on a 65.5° angle (-3° from the previous Cycle). That gives a potential target of $300k as early as May 2025, assuming we could have a Double Top Cycle as in 2021. In any case, it will be interesting to see if the current Cycle also makes a blow-off top (like the last two) outside/ above the Channel Up that started back on the December 2013 High. Unrealistic as it may seem now, the $150k Target is very plausible technically as it is just below the top of that multi-year Channel Up. If the $300k blow-off top (red Arcs) comes, then all the better, but a long-term investor may consider to start taking profits while the price is inside the Channel Up and starts being cautious once we break above it in the red Arcs. So what do you think? Do you view $150k as technically realistic as this pattern indicates? And if so, can Bitcoin even make a blow-off top near $300k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
21