BTCUSD Smart Money Play: Order Block Trap Before the Dump?🚨 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is flashing a textbook Smart Money setup — are you positioned before the move unfolds?
This chart reveals a juicy opportunity for traders who understand how to follow Smart Money footprints. Let’s break it down:
📊 Chart Context (30m Timeframe):
BTCUSD recently tapped into a significant Order Block (highlighted in purple) — this is where Smart Money typically loads up.
Notice how price showed a fake push into the premium zone, but failed to break higher — signaling potential distribution.
📉 Bearish Reaction + Fib Confluence:
Price kissed the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, then sharply rejected — classic sign of mitigation before continuation.
The red zone (above 103,700) served as a perfect liquidity trap, where late buyers got baited.
📍 Order Block Zone (OB):
Price is stalling just beneath the OB at 103,577, showing signs of rejection.
Smart Money often uses this pattern to “tap and trap” — tapping into resting orders before driving price down.
🧠 What’s Really Happening?
Retail longs are trapped inside the red box, expecting a breakout.
Meanwhile, Smart Money is distributing into that demand before driving price toward the discount zone (marked in green).
🎯 Target Objectives:
Immediate target: 103,200 (50% Fib level)
Extended target: 102,616 — which aligns with the liquidity void below.
⚡ Risk-Reward Setup:
Entry near 103,577 with SL above 103,749
Targeting 102,616 gives an excellent R:R profile
You don’t chase Smart Money — you follow their traps, and react with precision.
📌 Trading Plan:
Wait for clear rejection or bearish engulfing on lower timeframes at OB
Manage risk wisely — even clean setups can be invalidated.
Don’t guess. React. Let the market show you intent.
💡 Final Take:
This BTCUSD setup is textbook Smart Money Concept in motion:
Order Block ➡️ Trap ➡️ Liquidity Grab ➡️ Expansion
Whether you short this retracement or wait for confirmation, this is a move you’ll want on your radar. Weekly close could reveal major direction.
✅ Comment “OB READY” if you’re watching this setup!
✅ Save this post for future reference. Smart Money always leaves clues.
1-BTCUSD
BTC LONG TP:106,500 13-05-2025🚀 LONG setup in play
Looking to enter between 102,500 and 103,300, targeting 106,500–107,000 on the 2H chart.
Expected duration: 12 to 17 hours ⏳
Clear bullish continuation in progress, but beware of possible downside manipulations — stay sharp.
Manage your stop based on your personal risk profile.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
#BTC #PriceAction #Reydragon
When to buy Crypto and when to sell The only measure I've found that seems to have some consistency to assign relative value to crypto is by comparing BTC futures performance VS Nasdaq Total Return...
When BTC futures are in deep discounts it is time to Buy, when in wide premiums, it is time to sell!
Right now it's time to sell!
Bitcoin - The Bottom Is In!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is reversing right now:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It was really just a matter of time until Bitcoin actually manages to create a potential short term and longer term bottom. With this monthly candle, bulls are taking over again and starting to buy cryptos quite heavily. The chart just tells us that this is not the end, but rather the continuation.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Macro view of CRYPTOWhen congress passess laws for crypto in 25/26, Cryptocurrency is in for a massive upside (WAVE3).
IMO, "BITCOIN WILL SAVE THE WORLD" narritve will come out at the top of WAVE3.
"NOTHING STOPS BITCOIN" in GREEN WAVE5 for 'Retail" (your granny) to be the exit liquidity in 26/27 to start the ABC correction to retest the macro 1.618FIB for the great 85%-95% correction.
Let the games begin.
BTCUSD: The 1W MACD Bullish Cross eyes $160k.Bitcoin is on excellent bullish levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 67.904, MACD = 4228.900, ADX = 24.411) and even better on 1W where the MACD just formed a Bullish Cross. All such formations since October 2022 led to at least a + 72.93% rally from the moment of the formation. This suggests that Bitcoin's next high on this Channel Up pattern can be around $160,000.
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Bitcoin Breaks Wedge! Correction Coming Before Next Leg?The bitcoin spot ETF has seen net inflows for 20 consecutive days. BlackRock's IBIT has attracted more than $69 million in a single day, and the total inflow scale has exceeded $5 billion. The strong institutional allocation demand provides strong support for the price of bitcoin. The 4 - hour - level RSI (49) is approaching the neutral zone and shows a pattern of lower highs, indicating that the buying momentum is weakening. The MACD histogram remains negative, indicating short - term correction pressure. At the same time, the price has formed a double - top pattern near $105,000, and the Fibonacci resistance at $109,396 suppresses the upward space. Market expectations for a rate cut in June have cooled (with a probability of 65%). If the relevant economic data exceeds expectations, a stronger US dollar may suppress the price of bitcoin.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Bitcoin Is Final Stages Of A Bullish CycleBitcoin is still bullish and the rise looks impulsive on the monthly chart, but cyclically, we are in the late stages of a 3-year bull run that can end this year, ideally around October 2025. There’s actually still about 5 months of a bullish trend to complete 35 monthly bars, like in previous bullish cycles, so we may easily see more gains this year from a technical perspective.
Next year we should be aware of a bear market that can last at least 12 monthly bars or one year.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-14 : Carryover PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ may attempt to stay somewhat elevated. The Carryover pattern is essentially a pattern saying, "expect more of the same type of trending today".
I would suggest the SPY/QQQ are somewhat extended and may pause a bit today.
I shared a chart I created back on March 23, 2025 that I found very interesting - showing a big rally in late-April/early-May. If that chart continues to be accurate - it suggests the markets may attempt a reversion move to the downside over the next 20-30+ days.
Time will tell if my predictions play out accurately or not.
Gold is moving into new BEARISH trending on the GOLD Cycle Patterns. After an extended consolidation phase in metals, this shift in the trend models was going to happen at some point.
Now, we need to see if Gold/Silver can hold above recent support or not. Even though I believe Gold/Silver are poised for another big rally, the disruptions related to the global economy and tariffs seems to have taken some of wind out of the sails of the metals rally (for now).
Bitcoin continues to lead the SPY/QQQ. Keep an eye on what BTCUSD does over the next 7-15+ days as I believe it will lead the US markets in trending (still).
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
DeGRAM | BTCUSD held the support📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC is holding a well‑defined rising channel; the latest dip rebounded off the mid‑line/101 K zone (labelled “optimal buying”).
● A compact bull flag within that zone implies continuation toward the channel’s ceiling and the 108 K supply band.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Hong Kong spot‑BTC ETFs logged five consecutive inflow sessions, lifting combined AUM above $650 M and reducing tradable supply.
● US retail‑sales miss and dovish Fed commentary weighed on the dollar, improving risk appetite for crypto.
✨ Summary
Channel mid‑line defence, steady HK ETF demand and a softer USD support a long view: accumulate 101‑102 K, target 104.5 K → 108 K, cut if price closes below 97.4 K.
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BTCUSD 1H Short Setup | Order Block + Premium Rejection⚠️ BTCUSD | 1H Rejection at Supply Zone | May 10, 2025
Bitcoin is showing signs of exhaustion after a sharp rally into a high-value Supply Zone marked by a bearish Order Block at ~$104.1k–$106.4k. Price tapped right into premium levels, triggering potential Smart Money distribution.
🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES:
🧱 1H Bearish Order Block at 104,139–106,477
⚖️ Price in premium zone (>50% range)
🧠 Clean liquidity grab from prior swing high
🚫 Signs of buying weakness inside OB
📉 Anticipated move down toward imbalance and demand zone near $96k
📊 Setup Specs:
Pair: BTCUSD
Timeframe: 1H
Entry Zone: 104,139 – 106,477
SL: 106,477
TP: 95,789
RR: Approx. 1:4+
📌 Smart Money Breakdown:
After explosive rallies, institutions often offload in supply-rich OB zones while retail buys the top. This setup shows textbook SMC signs of distribution, imbalance below, and a clean trade idea toward unmitigated demand.
🧠 Chart Ninjas Tip:
“Never short early — wait for price to enter the OB and show weakness. That’s where smart entries live.”
Will suffering be broken today?Hello friends
Given the good price rise, you can see that the price has entered a range, which indicates that it is gathering strength for its next move.
Now we can buy in steps with risk and capital management and move with it to the specified targets.
*Trade safely with us*
BTC Bullish Pennant Breakout – Eyeing $107K TargetBitcoin (BTC/USD) has recently demonstrated strong bullish structure following an extended consolidation phase. The current price action suggests a textbook bullish pennant breakout, which often indicates trend continuation in strong markets. This technical setup follows a period of accumulation and consolidation between March and April, with a well-defined pennant formation leading into the breakout in early May.
Technical Analysis:
Historical Context & Structure:
From mid-February to March, BTC experienced significant downward pressure, eventually finding major support in the $76,000–$78,000 zone, which is clearly outlined on the chart as a key support level.
This support zone initiated a reversal, forming the base of a new bullish leg that marked the beginning of the next trending phase.
Consolidation Phase – The Ellipse Region:
The price action within the elliptical region (mid-March to late April) reflects accumulation behavior, with multiple rejections on both upper and lower bounds, indicating balance between buyers and sellers.
This phase formed a foundational structure, setting up the stage for a breakout pattern.
Pennant Formation (Late April – Early May):
The price sharply rallied in late April, breaking out of the consolidation and moving into a tight triangular pennant pattern — a classic continuation formation.
This bullish pennant features converging trendlines, lower volume, and diminishing volatility as price consolidates — all typical characteristics.
Breakout and Retest:
The breakout from the pennant occurred on high momentum with strong bullish candles.
Post-breakout, the price approached the resistance zone (~$103,000–$105,000) and is currently attempting to establish support at this level.
This retest adds validity to the breakout and opens the door for further upside continuation.
Trade Parameters:
Entry Zone: Breakout above the pennant (~$99,000–$100,000), confirmed by momentum.
Resistance Zone: $103,000–$105,000 (currently being retested).
Target (Measured Move):
Using the height of the pennant pole (~$20,000 move from $80K to $100K), the projected target lies near $107,307, aligning with horizontal resistance.
Stop Loss:
Set at $93,344, just below the pennant’s lower boundary. This level also aligns with recent structural support and invalidation of the pattern.
Risk/Reward Ratio:
Approx. 1:2.5+, offering a favorable setup assuming trend continuation.
Additional Notes:
Volume:
Although not shown, breakouts from pennants are ideally confirmed by an increase in volume, indicating market conviction. Volume confirmation is highly recommended for trade confirmation.
Market Context:
This setup aligns with broader bullish sentiment in the crypto space and may be reinforced by macroeconomic or ETF-related developments. However, risk management remains key, especially around psychological levels and news-driven volatility.
Conclusion :
Bitcoin is currently in a strong technical position. The breakout from the bullish pennant pattern following prolonged consolidation signals continuation of the prevailing uptrend. Traders should watch for sustained price action above $103K for confirmation. A pullback or retest toward this level can present re-entry opportunities before a potential move toward $107K. Tight risk management is advised with stops below $93K.
We need a short squeezeWe need a short squeeze to fuel a move toward the historical high. Price is holding just below the resistance level, and this is not the first approach. On the daily timeframe, there's a bearish divergence — a short signal.
Possible scenarios:
Price moves down, but holds the support zone at 98K–100K, builds strength, and then breaks out to a new all-time high.
Price moves down, fails to hold the 100K zone, and drops back toward 80K.
Price consolidates tightly around 103K–105K, volatility decreases for a while — the market enters a “kangaroo mode.”
At the moment, I’m leaning toward scenario 1 — we still need to play out the daily divergence, which might take a few days. Buyer strength is still visible. I expect a strong correction only after the all-time high is updated.
GOOD POINT Hello friends
As you can see, the price has fallen to the bottom of the next channel with the channel break and now the important point is to see if the price is supported considering reaching the bottom of the channel and the important Fibonacci support?
To solve this issue, we suggest you buy stepwise, of course with capital and risk management...
*Trade safely with us*
BITCOIN making the FINAL PUSH! Only 6 months of BULL left!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has had n astonishing symmetry among its Cycles in the past 11 years, as all three of the Bear Cycles have had identical durations (13 and 12 months twice) as well as the two Bull Cycles (both 35 months).
As a result, there is no reason to assume otherwise for the current Bull Cycle as well, which if it also lasts for 35 months, it will peak in October 2025. This means that BTC might 'only' have another 6 months of Bull Cycle ahead of it but that's not bad news as historically this phase tends to be the most aggressive part.
Even if it's not, various studies we've done before point out that a price around $150k would be more than fair and practically a 'pessimistic' scenario for the Cycle High.
Do you think that will be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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