1-BTCUSD
Two key scenarios for BTC - Q2 mostly sideays/down!Two scenarios at this point:
We have a new range, but it could break quickly since there’s an active downtrend expiring on the 20th.
That means I can’t blindly bid into the low $80Ks like before—it’s getting trickier, and we’ll need to rely on proper triggers.
If it breaks down and continues lower, I’d like to see the GETTEX:59K -$62K zone get tested.
The **uptrend remains intact**, and I think we can all agree that **Bitcoin could be higher later this year**. I don’t see it going above **$200K**, but at the very least, I expect it to challenge its current **ATHs**.
For now, I’m just focusing on **key levels** and patiently waiting for **triggers—if any**.
There are plenty of ways to play this:
- Another **mid-level retest** and **reclaim** → I'll go **long**.
- If it **bounces**, I’ll look to **short** into the **low $90Ks**.
- If **nothing happens** and it starts **breaking down**, then **$75K** is a key zone, and **$71K** becomes pivotal for both **longs and shorts**.
Just **keep your levels clear** and **wait** until they are breached.
BTC LONG TP:88,000 08-03-2025Bitcoin is currently showing signs of accumulation, and it is anticipated that there will be a manipulation towards the 85,000 - 84,000 zone before making a strong upward move.
We are taking this trade based on a 1-hour timeframe, so we should expect to see results within a maximum of 10 to 16 hours. If the expected outcome does not materialize within this period, the analysis will be considered invalid.
Be sure to follow me to stay updated and continue profiting!
Is SOL/BTC following the ETH/BTC distribution pattern?
As the big red weekly candle closes for BTC, we should see some volatility this week.
Solana valued in BTC has exited a rectangular distribution topping pattern.
Failure to recapture the rectangular box and enter back into it in a spring like move is looking increasingly unlikely.
Ethereum valued in BTC followed a very similar pattern in Nov 2023, exiting the rectangular distribution rectangle and fell much much lower.
The 50 week (blue line) and 200 week (purple line) moving averages also follow a similar trajectory for both instruments / coins.
If SOL / BTC does not recover into the box, and fast I will be exiting a long term position I hold.
Defensive Strategy based on this chart and the USD chart warrants consideration
PUKA
RAREUSDT showing strength in a bearish marketBYBIT:RAREUSDT.P
I always like to see businesses or "coins" showing strength over BTC when it's in a bearish state... it excites me to research the good doings and actions of a business (I look at the long run and I invest if the shoe fits) although this has nothing to do with me day in day out strategy I have in place.
The best thing to do here with my system is wait for a 4HR correction and then take what's mine on the 15M.
Ill update on entry!
Bitcoin Goes "Red Days Again" since "Relief Rally" Has Been NullBitcoin's price has experienced significant fluctuations over last "Intl Women's Day" weekend, reflecting the volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market. To understand these movements, it's essential to consider both the broader economic context and specific events that have influenced investor sentiment.
Background: Economic and Political Factors
In recent weeks, Bitcoin's price has been heavily influenced by economic indicators and political announcements. The U.S. Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, particularly comments from Jerome Powell, has been closely watched by investors.
Political factors have also played a crucial role. For instance, Donald Trump's re-election and his proposals related to cryptocurrency, including the creation of a "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve," have contributed to market optimism and price increases. However, these developments also introduce uncertainty, as regulatory environments and geopolitical tensions can quickly shift investor confidence.
Recent Price Movements
As of the last weekend, Bitcoin's price has shown a decline of nearly 5%. This decrease is part of a larger trend where Bitcoin's price has struggled to maintain consistent gains, often experiencing sharp drops followed by rebounds. For example, on March 9, 2025, Bitcoin's price was noted to be choppy, trading around $81,500.
Bitcoin's price initially dropped but then rebounded slightly. This rebound was likely driven by renewed optimism in the altcoin market and strategic purchases by entities like Metaplanet, which has been actively buying Bitcoin. However, the overall sentiment remains cautious due to ongoing economic uncertainties and the potential for further interest rate hikes.
Key Events Influencing Price
Mt. Gox Bitcoin Movement: The recent transfer of over $1 billion worth of Bitcoin from Mt. Gox to an unmarked address has raised concerns about potential market impact. Such large movements can lead to increased volatility as investors speculate about the intentions behind these transactions.
Regulatory and ETF Developments: The ongoing efforts to establish a U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF have seen mixed results, with periods of significant outflows followed by brief moments of positive inflows. These developments can influence investor confidence and, consequently, Bitcoin's price.
Global Economic Conditions: Trade tensions and economic stimulus measures, particularly those involving China, have also played a role in shaping Bitcoin's price. As investors seek safe-haven assets, Bitcoin's performance relative to traditional assets like gold can impact its value.
Technical challenge
The fluctuations in Bitcoin's price over the last weekend reflect the complex interplay of economic, political, and market-specific factors. As investors continue to navigate these uncertainties, Bitcoin's price is likely to remain volatile. The influence of major economic data releases, political announcements, and strategic investments will continue to shape the cryptocurrency's trajectory in the coming days and weeks.
The main technical 1-day resolution graph indicates that Bitcoin Goes "Red Days Again" since recent "relief rally" has been Null.
Ahead of upcoing week our "super-duper" @PandorraResearch Team is Bearishly calling to numbers between $30 000 to $50 000 per Bitcoin, that is correspond to major current support of 200-week SMA.
Conclusion
In summary, Bitcoin's price movements are a testament to the dynamic and speculative nature of the cryptocurrency market, where sentiment can shift rapidly based on a wide array of factors. As the market continues to evolve, understanding these influences will be crucial for investors seeking to navigate the volatile landscape of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
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Best 'Jojoba oil' wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
Crypto summit disappoints, Bitcoin teeters on support Bitcoin surged on March 3 after Donald Trump announced a strategic crypto reserve, only to erase gains following erratic tariff announcements the following days.
Friday’s White House crypto summit, expected to be a turning point, fell flat. Trump met with top crypto executives, promising to ease Biden-era regulations, but offered only vague commitments. Instead of rallying, the market has declined further.
A silver lining for Bitcoin came with Friday’s weak jobs report, increasing the likelihood of Federal Reserve intervention. Historically, Bitcoin benefits when interest rates fall. Although this is yet to be reflected in the price.
Technically, BTC/USD is testing the first support on the pitchfork indicator, with the money flow index suggesting no buying pressure at the moment. A drop below Monday’s low of $81,620 could invalidate any bullish outlook.
march rally coming for bitcoin BTCUSD BTC!Bitcoin's price action is also influenced by broader financial cycles and patterns that are more subtle.
Here's a look at those:
General Financial Cycles:
Market Sentiment Cycles:
Like all financial markets, Bitcoin experiences cycles of fear and greed. These psychological waves drive price fluctuations, with periods of euphoria leading to overbought conditions and subsequent corrections.
These cycles are often amplified in the cryptocurrency market due to its 24/7 nature and the prevalence of social media.
Economic Cycles:
Bitcoin's performance can be influenced by macroeconomic trends, such as inflation, interest rates, and global economic growth.
In times of economic uncertainty, some investors may turn to Bitcoin as a hedge against traditional assets. Conversely, during periods of strong economic growth, capital may flow into more traditional investments.
Adoption Cycles:
Bitcoin's adoption by individuals and institutions follows a pattern of gradual growth, punctuated by periods of rapid acceleration.
As adoption increases, liquidity improves, and the market becomes more mature, which can influence price volatility and long-term trends.
"Secret" or Less Obvious Bitcoin Cycles:
On-Chain Data Cycles:
Analysis of Bitcoin's blockchain data reveals patterns in investor behavior, such as accumulation and distribution phases.
Metrics like:
Hodl waves: which track the age of bitcoin held in wallets.
Entity adjusted dormancy: which shows when older coins are being moved.
These can give indications of underlying cycle activity.
Liquidity Cycles:
The flow of liquidity into and out of the Bitcoin market can create its own cycles.
Periods of high liquidity can fuel price increases, while periods of low liquidity can exacerbate price declines.
The availability of stablecoins, and the actions of large market makers, effect these cycles.
Technological Adoption Cycles:
The development and adoption of layer 2 solutions, and other technological improvements to the bitcoin network, can create their own cyclical impacts on the bitcoin price.
These cycles are less predictable, but can have profound long term effects.
It's important to understand that these cycles are interconnected and can overlap, making it challenging to isolate their individual effects. Additionally, the cryptocurrency market is still relatively young, and its cycles may evolve over time.
BTC 12000-19000 ?!!! Possibly yes...If BTC falls below $49,000, we could see a major drop to the $12,000 - $19,000 range! This level is a critical support, and losing it could trigger a cascade of liquidations.
📉 Watch for confirmation and manage your risk accordingly!
💭 What are your thoughts? Bullish or bearish? Let’s discuss!
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Trading #CryptoMarket #Bearish #Bullish
Let me know if you want any tweaks! 🚀
NZDJPY - 2025 Plan. Make It Your Best Year Yet!Here we have the 2 Day chart for NZDJPY.
We've seen a massive impulse mid 2024. We are now in an ABC correction.
We are currently in wave B of the correction, subwave B. Expecting subwave C to complete wave B.
We're looking for a rejection of the fib zone and a drop of over 700pips.
Trade idea:
- Watch for rejection of fib zone
- Once rejection appears, enter with stops above the highs
- Targets: 86 (350pips), 83 (700pips)
Once we've completed this move down, we'll be looking for longs. We'll update this setup if there's enough engagement.
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
BTCUSD: Forecast & Trading Plan
The recent price action on the BTCUSD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bullish one and I think we will see the price go up.
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BTCUSD The Week Ahead 10th march '25Recent price action in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 91,900 level. The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 82,563, followed by 79,428 and 76,000.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 91,900, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, Bitcoin could target 95,126, with further resistance at 98,500.
Conclusion:
The price remains at a pivotal level, with 91,900 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favor of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
And Then One Time Bitcoin Went From $30k To $30 MillionNever say never! I know it sounds crazy but what if this whole bitcoin move that we saw from inception to today was one giant cycle? What if this is the bottom of a larger cycle and we are about to see numbers that no one could ever even imagine are possible? What if everyone who is predicting Bitcoins's next move is near sighted and need to zoom out allloot further and see the larger cycle? What if Im crazy? Its all possible, and that would put Bitcoin's market cap at $600 TRILLION. Not impossible in my opinion. This is just my opinion and a wild one at that so dont take this as any sort of financial advice, Im just having fun here. Good luck out there.
BTC fake dump but keep bullisch on daily to shake out retail BTC is still bullisch, sole meme hype is cooled down eth looks pretty bottomed,
BTC healty 30% corrections and multiply retest, sell pressure is done march is in history not a very good month but the good news is we end this month arround 125k imo, before the next 30% correction, mimumum target 125k end of march, could be higher 135k or so, let see this is my vision on the market,
BITCOIN $BTCUSD | BTC BEARISH TREND & STRATEGIC BITCOIN RESERVEBITCOIN BITSTAMP:BTCUSD | BTC BEARISH TREND & STRATEGIC BITCOIN RESERVE Mar09'25
Sparros Exchange Trend Table:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Weekly: Bullish
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Daily: Bearish
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 4H: Bearish
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 1H: Bearish
Bitcoin Zones:
Bitcoin BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $90,500 - $106,000
Bitcoin DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $84,000 - $90,500
Bitcoin SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $69,000 - $84,000
Bitcoin is currently trading at $86,000, reflecting a bearish trend after reaching its all-time high nearly two months ago. The cryptocurrency has experienced substantial volatility, with the price having previously consolidated in higher ranges.
As of recent developments, the U.S. government has announced a "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve," indicating the government’s growing commitment to digital assets. This move is seen as part of a broader strategy to strengthen the U.S.'s position as a leader in the global digital currency space, though no specific amount of Bitcoin has been disclosed for this reserve.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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