BTCUSD: Attacking the 2025 Resistance looking for huge breakout!Bitcoin turned neutral on both its 1D (RSI = 47.243, MACD = -1813.400, ADX = 31.557) and 1W (RSI = 45.530) technical outlooks following the 90-day tariff pause. Technically it is going after the LH top of the Falling Wedge from its ATH and the 1D MA50, which has been the main Resistance since February 4th 2025. There is a key Bullish Divergence on the 1D RSI too, being on HL as opposed to the LL of the Falling Wedge. A breakout above the Wedge typically sets a technical target on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which falls just under the ATH Resistance Zone. Be ready to go long if the breakout takes place (TP = 106,000).
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1-BTCUSD
Will BTC emerge from the resistance zone on top?BTC bounced off an important support zone at $74,154 - $77,050 and we are currently seeing a very strong upward movement at the 10% level. It is also clear that the price drop created a higher low and the upward impulse gave a higher high, which is positive in the short term for continued growth.
However, you need to be careful here because the BTC price has entered a strong resistance zone from $81,900 to $83,900, only breaking out of this zone on top will open the way towards $89,000.
It is worth paying attention to the RSI indicator, which confirms the dynamic movement, but considering the 4H interval, there is still room for the price to overcome the zone on top.
Bitcoin Eyes $81,500 Resistance Following Trump's Tariff Pause. 🚨 **Market Update** 🚨
President Donald Trump has announced a 90-day pause on the full effect of new tariffs for certain countries, and the markets are reacting strongly! 📈 Both the stock and crypto markets are surging as a result.
Right now, **Bitcoin** is testing the $81,500 resistance level on the 1-hour timeframe. 💥 Our trading strategy: let it break the resistance and sustain above it, then look for a solid entry on the pullback.
Stay tuned and trade wisely! 🚀💰
[BTC short] Entry: 81.5k, SL: 83.5k, TP: 67kThe backdrop is my prediction of a 2008-style crash, with Bitcoin (BTC) dropping to $26k (see related ideas).
During the crash, I’ll aim to capitalize on short-term moves, targeting clear patterns with high reward-to-risk ratios.
Following a prolonged consolidation—resembling a triangle—an impulsive wave down has begun to form. I now expect the 200-hour moving average (MA200 H1) to act as resistance, pushing the price to a new low and trade accordingly.
BTC | BEARISH Cycle Begins | $71KThere are a few tell signs that BTC has entered the bearish market.
If the price fails to maintain closing daily candles ABOVE the 70k area, there is a likelihood for a nasty Head and Shoulders pattern to form.
A key point to watch are the Bollinger Bands, which gives you an indication of the next possible zone to watch.
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin - Watching For CapitulationI'm not going to try and predict whether not Bitcoin has begun what I believe to be its inevitable long term bear market, but I will look at some important trends and horizontal levels. For years, I've speculated that Bitcoin would have a hard time sustaining a significant new all-time high. It turns out, for the mean time, I've been correct in that assumption.
Bitcoin has now broken down from the ascending broadening wedge pattern that began in November, 2022. Here's the chart zoomed out:
There is still a chance for this to be a false breakdown, if buyers show up soon and take price back above that $87-90K resistance, which has become quite strong. However, ongoing global market news continues to remain bearish fundamentally, as many commodities and material objects will have to be repriced to the upside. At the same time, the FED is in a bind because if this causes a spike in unemployment, they will be more hesitant to lower rates, fearing greater inflation. This is the definition of stagflation.
In any case, zoomed in you can see that Bitcoin is in a downtrend channel - often a bullish pattern. My speculation is that Bitcoin will attempt to break down BELOW the channel, leading to a cascade of liquidations. This kind of drop can end around $69-71K on the shallow end, though can go much deeper from a structural standpoint. Outlined are all the support levels, and circled in red is a potential capitulation area.
If Bitcoin manages to bounce from the $60-70K level on high enough volume, depending on economic news, price can even make a new high. But we're not there yet by any means. This possibility is shown with the green arrow. On the other hand, if Bitcoin cannot bounce at the previous trend resistance (light blue line below the red local downtrend), price can retrace all the way towards $48-50K.
Let's see what happens!
Thanks for reading.
-Victor Cobra
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-9 : Top/Resistance PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move a bit higher in early trading - trying to identify a resistance area. Then, roll over into a downward price trend.
Be cautious of the overnight price range, potentially already setting the upper boundary of the TOP pattern for today. It can happen that overnight trading sets a PEAK/TOP, and we move into sideways/downward trading related to the current TOP/Resistance pattern.
I believe the US markets will attempt to move upward, toward the $490-500+ level before topping out today. I believe this move will be related to the strong support near the $480 level and will attempt to further establish the downward price channel established by the big breakdown in trend over the past 9+ days.
Ultimately, I believe price is struggling for direction, but I also believe this process (with tariffs) is working out as expected.
This is obviously a very volatile market - so stay cautious as we move into a more consolidated price trend over the next few weeks.
I don't expect the markets to try to make any really big moves over the next 2+ week (unless news hits). At this point, I believe the markets will try to UNWIND the volatility over the next 2+ weeks.
BTCUSD is trading near the lower range of the consolidation phase. This could be the start of the breakdown to the Ultimate Low.
GOLD and Silver are moving higher after forming the base (just as I expected). Metals will likely rally strongly as global fear elevates.
Thank you for all the great comments. I'll try to publish a few new videos today and tomorrow to help everyone out.
Remember, price gives us new information every minute/bar. It is a matter of unraveling the puzzle with price - one bar at a time.
If you like what I do, follow along.
Get some.
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2012-2017 Deathcross Goldencross Pattern for BTC Deathcross then Goldencross then Deathcross creating a zone indicates a bearish move.
The time to sell before bigger dump ahead
Goldencross then Deathcross then Goldencross creating a zone indicates a bullish move.
The time to buy before bigger pump ahead
BTC/USD Long Setup – Bounce from Demand Zone Towards $80K TargetKey Zones
Demand Zone (Buy Zone)
🔵 $74,250 – $75,000
Strong support area
Buyers previously stepped in here
Marked for potential entry
Resistance Zone
🟣 $77,300 – $77,600
Mid-level resistance
Could cause a short pullback
Watch for breakout or rejection
Target Point
🎯 $80,273.49
Potential upside: +6.68% gain
Previous supply/structure zone
Take Profit (TP) zone
Stop Loss
⛔ $74,247.07
Just below the demand zone
Protects against invalid setup
Trade Idea
1. 🔽 Price expected to drop into demand zone
2. 🔄 Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g. bounce or engulfing candle)
3. 📈 Enter long position near $75,000
4. ⬆️ Ride it up through resistance
5. ✅ Target = $80,273 | ❌ Stop = $74,247
BITCOIN Can a USD sell-off save the Cycle?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is hanging on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) amidst the market chaos and especially following last night's stronger 104% trade tariffs to China from the U.S.
This is a simple yet powerful classic chart, displaying Bitcoin against the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY, black trend-line). This shows the long-term negatively correlated pattern they follow on their Cycles.
Every time DXY entered an aggressive sell-off in the final year of the 4-year Cycle, Bitcoin started its final parabolic rally of its Bull Cycle. This time the DXY peaked exactly at the start of the year (2025) and is on a selling sequence up until today but due to the ongoing Trade War, BTC not only didn't rise but is on a correction too.
Can an even stronger DXY sell-off save the day and complete the 4-year Cycle with a final rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC at a Critical Inflection Point – Bulls vs. BearsBitcoin is currently trading around $77,644, sitting right between two major trendlines:
🟢 Long-Term Bullish Support – This green ascending trendline has held since late 2023, providing key support throughout BTC’s macro uptrend.
🔴 Medium-Term Bearish Resistance – The red descending trendline has capped price since the 2025 highs, forming a clear structure of lower highs.
We're now at a pivotal confluence zone where these two trendlines intersect. Price recently bounced off the green support, but it's struggling to decisively break above the red resistance.
🔍 Key Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout:
A strong daily close above the red trendline could confirm bullish continuation.
Targets: $84K, GETTEX:92K , and potentially ATH breakout above $100K.
❌ Bearish Rejection:
Rejection at resistance may lead to a retest of the green trendline (~$74K).
A breakdown from there opens the door to GETTEX:64K –$60K, or even deeper pullbacks.
BTC/USD 1H Chart Analysis – Bearish Setup with SBR Rejection🔵 Key Zones & Levels:
🔷 SBR Zone (Support ➡ Resistance):
Price Range: ~$81,000–$83,000
🛑 Stop Loss: $83,002.31 (Just above resistance)
Expecting sellers to step in here if price retests this level
🟠 Mid-Range Zone:
Current price is consolidating just below SBR zone
Could form a lower high before dropping
🟦 Target Zone (Support Area):
🎯 Target Price: ~$75,000
Previous demand area – price bounced hard from here before
🔁 Trade Plan:
📉 Bias: Bearish
📍 Entry: Near current price or after retest of SBR zone
🛑 Stop Loss: $83,002.31
🎯 Target: $75,000 (approx -8.33%)
✅ Summary:
Risk-Reward: Appears solid (R:R > 2:1)
🕵️♂️ Watch for: Fakeouts or rejections in the SBR zone
🔻 Potential Move: -6,804 points if plan plays out
Daily BITCOIN Bull Bear candles showing return of the Bulls ?I have used this chart often and have posted it here on a number of occasions with out the Bull Power Bear Power Histogram by CEYHUN active.
This is how the chart Looks when it is active.
This indicator calculates trading action to determine if a Candle is Bullish or Bearish and is VERY ACCURATE
And, Currently, Today's candle is GREEN, for the first time in a LONG TIME.
We can see how the candles have remained RED for most of the Drop in channel.
But now, while we sit on support on a Fib Speed Resistance Fan, we are GREEN.
Long Term, we can see that the climb back to current ATH could be tough. The VRVP on the right is clearly showing rising levels of resistance we climb higher.
Currently, we need to watch closely, to see that candle remain Green and that we do not loose support here.
I feel Bullish
Bitcoin and 50 SMA on a WEEKLY chart - UPDATE Following on from the sharp drop in the beginning of the week, where PA dropped Below the 50 SMA ( RED) , PA has recovered and, as you can see, the candle Body is currently sitting ON the 50 SMA
We may need to remain in this area to bring back the Bullish Sentiment and then move higher.
It can be said that a bullish sentiment remains with Bitcoin as its did NOT crash as sharply as Stock Markets.
We are also now waiting on the MACD to fully enter the "Bounce Zone"
The Weeks candle on the histogram has returned to RED and so some caution is required here, while we wait.
It is the next few days that are crucial now. The "Tariff" dust us settling and countries are reacting to Trumps Tariff impositions.
My Gut feeling is VERY positive right now.
But that is just me,
Watch that candle on the 50 SMA like a Hawk. If we loose that again and the week closes below, THEN we need to think carefully
Bitcoin At $250,000 In 2025: Bull-Market Entry (Buy) Zone ActiveBitcoin's 2025 bull-market buy-zone is still active. Actually, Bitcoin is at a great price right now. We are aiming for a target of $250,000 for this cycle. We are looking at the bottom right now, literally. Any buy below $90,000 is extremely good and below $80,000 a dream come-true. This will be obvious in just a matter of weeks.
How are you feeling today?
I hope the start of the weekend is treating you good.
This is a friendly reminder, Bitcoin has been sideways for months. When Bitcoin drops, it drops but, currently, there are no new lows.
Bitcoin peaked in December 2024 and produced a double-top in January 2025. A small retrace and that's it; the accumulation phase is ongoing and the buy-zone active.
There are many signals that support a correction bottom being in. We looked at these already so you will have to trust me. Leverage is possible on this setup. Leverage for a long-term trade. This is the best possible scenario and the best type of trade.
No complexities. No calculators. No fees. No interest, just buy and hold.
Wait patiently... It will be a very strong rise and the Altcoins will grow even more than Bitcoin. The entire Cryptocurrency market will produce maximum growth.
This post is intended to alert of you a great entry-timing. Great prices as well but timing right now is great. We might have to wait a bit longer, it won't move right away, but with this price you can't go wrong.
I am wishing you tons of profits in 2025 and financial success.
Thank you for reading.
If you are new, feel free to follow.
Master Ananda for you (formerly Alan Santana).
Namaste.
BTC - 4 Different Wider Looks at BTC1️⃣ Weekly EMA 55. Many legit touches.
2️⃣ Possible Elliot Wave in Log chart.
3️⃣ 4H EMA 200.
4️⃣ A valid Pitchfork since Dec 2024
Follow for more ideas/Signals. 💲
Look at my other ideas 😉
Just donate some of your profit to Animal rights and rescue or other charity :)✌️
$BTCUSD bottom between $61k-65kI think we're gearing up for one last move lower here in BTC, that should be the end of the bearish move and then we should continue higher from there.
I think it's most likely that we'll hit the $61k or GETTEX:64K support levels to mark the bottom. Why those levels?
That region is the 50% retracement off of the bottom. If we're still in a bull trend, that's where we should bounce.
Level to watch The market is currently at a critical juncture, facing a pivotal decision: either rallying back to 90,000 or breaking the key support level at 73,800.
Previously, I highlighted a potential top once the market reached 100,000, with an initial target around 74,000, which the market has already breached twice. At this stage, it’s a fierce battle between the bulls and the bears, making it challenging to predict the next move.
A rally from here could push the market back into the 85,000-90,000 range. If it breaks through 90,000, there’s potential for a climb to 108,000, possibly even 125,000.
On the other hand, a break below the crucial support at 73,800 could signal a deeper correction, potentially bringing the market down to 48,000.
I've been short on ETH and XRP, expecting a more bearish trend for both. ETH has already hit its target, while XRP could potentially drop back to 0.45.
The upcoming days will certainly be fascinating to watch.
[BTC] Crash to $26k: Generational Buying OpportunitySince 2022, Bitcoin has surged in a major bull market, hitting the psychological $100k milestone. However, a triple divergence on the weekly RSI signals an overbought market, pointing to an imminent pullback.
The recent peak likely marked the end of Wave (3). Given that Wave (2) was an expanding flat (verifiable on lower timeframes), Wave (4) should bring a sharp, significant correction.
Wave 4 of (3) formed a running triangle, followed by a short Wave 5—exactly as occurred. Running triangles in Wave 4 paired with a brief Wave 5 often indicate distribution, typically preceding a major move against the trend.
The price action from March 2024 into 2025 resembles classic distribution. Since peaking near $110k, Bitcoin has declined slowly but steadily, suggesting a major crash rather than a typical medium-term pullback.
The $26k–$30k range offers robust support, and it’s unlikely the price will drop much lower. Along the way, the 200-week moving average (MA200 Weekly)—Bitcoin’s strongest historical support—could trigger a significant bounce. However, if this level is decisively breached, full-blown panic could ensue.
Given my expectation of a 2008-style bear market in the S&P 500 (see related ideas), the timing aligns perfectly. A market-wide crash would inevitably impact Bitcoin, as panic drives capital out of all markets to meet margin calls.
The $26k zone should mark the crash’s bottom, potentially presenting a generational Bitcoin-buying opportunity. If the S&P 500 retests its COVID lows while Bitcoin only revisits its 2023 consolidation range, it would underscore BTC’s relative strength. Once panic subsides, capital could flood into Bitcoin from across the globe.
Technically, this would be the bottom of Wave (4). Wave (5) could then propel Bitcoin to $1 million per coin in a powerful uptrend.
[BTC] $1M Bitcoin Inevitable—After a $26k CrashToday, I posted predictions that Bitcoin (BTC) will crash to $26k and the S&P 500 (SPX) will retest COVID lows (see related ideas). Yet, I firmly believe that post-crash, Bitcoin will soar to $1 million per coin—an inevitable outcome that could unfold rapidly, perhaps within one or two years.
Consider this: Bitcoin is no longer a fringe, unproven technology. It’s the world’s largest and most robust computer network, running without downtime for 16 years.
Critics argue quantum computing will kill it, but they overlook a key point: if quantum computers break traditional encryption, the entire internet, banking system, and digital infrastructure collapse too. Is this possible? Yes, but humanity tends to solve such challenges. By then, quantum-resistant cryptography will likely be implemented, and no profit-driven miner will resist it.
Hyperbitcoinization, forecasted 11 years ago (hyperbitcoinization.com), is unfolding now. Reports suggest 60–70% of hodlers never sell, stabilizing supply. Meanwhile, demand is surging globally. Individuals are pouring savings into Bitcoin, selling homes, borrowing, and maxing out credit cards. Visionaries like Michael Saylor borrow billions to buy more. New demand streams keep emerging: ETFs enable retirement account investments, seasoned “wise” investors are finally onboard, institutions are piling in, banks worldwide offer Bitcoin accounts, nation-states and politicians join the fray. Capital is flooding into Bitcoin from every corner, draining other markets.
This is arguably the strongest bull market in modern history. Bitcoin’s price lacks traditional fundamentals—it’s a psychological market fueled by belief and emotion. Emotionally charged bull markets don’t fizzle out with quiet distribution; they end in a euphoric squeeze beyond imagination. What’s happening resembles a market cornering (en.wikipedia.org) —not by a malicious group, but by humanity-wide groupthink. Think Tulip Mania or the Dutch East India Company. Skeptical? Read Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds by Charles Mackay.
Bull markets don’t die under selling pressure; they collapse when demand is exhausted. But with capital being siphoned from all markets, when will demand dry up? Only when the price reaches a level requiring infinite capital to push higher. No one knows exactly when, but it won’t be before $1 million per Bitcoin.
If my 2008-style SPX crash prediction (see related ideas) proves correct and Bitcoin only falls to 2023 levels ($26k), its resilience will shine. While the SPX retests COVID lows, Bitcoin’s shallower drop would signal unmatched strength.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Bitcoin’s long-term chart is stunning. Since the 2018 bottom, it’s traced Elliott Waves , , , and . From the 2022 low, we’re in Wave . A pullback to $26k would be Wave (4) within the larger —unlikely to dip much lower.
Since inception, the 200-week moving average (MA200 Weekly) has been Bitcoin’s bedrock, supporting every bear market. Odds favor it holding again. A crash to $26k would confirm a four-year consolidation/reaccumulation phase. Once it breaks out, the move will be explosive.
This reaccumulation also resembles a rounding bottom, cup-and-handle, and inverse head-and-shoulders pattern—classic bullish signals in a strong trend, promising a massive upward surge post-breakout.
BITCOIN Downtrend Continues – Is $70K the Next Stop?COINBASE:BTCUSD continues to trade within a well-defined descending channel, maintaining a clear bearish market structure on the daily timeframe. After a strong rejection from the upper boundary of the channel, the price has retraced to a minor support zone around $78,000.
Given the prevailing momentum and strength of the broader downtrend, this support is likely to break under continued selling pressure. A clean breakdown below this level would reinforce the bearish bias and open the door for a move toward the daily support zone near $70,000, which aligns with the lower boundary of the channel.
This zone marks a potential area of interest where price may react or attempt a short-term bounce. However, unless there is a significant shift in momentum, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
Traders should watch for confirmation of the bearish continuation, such as lower highs, weak bullish pullbacks, or increased volume on red candles, before considering short entries.
If you align with this outlook or have additional perspectives, feel free to share your thoughts below.
Nas100 continuation lower?Good evening traders, I am busy with my market recap and I saw this beautiful idea on nas100/US100 or whatever name your broker uses.
Indices have been pretty bearish from our understanding as we saw price crush, well my thought process when analysing chart is question based, question like did price move above our weekly opening price to give us our manipulation phase in the power of 3, and in this case or in the case of this analysis the answer is yes it moved higher following this week’s open. Today in the 1 hour TF we have a structure shift lower and before we can do anything we need to see price come higher to Atleast the FVG that is marked on the chart, I know ICT teaches deeper about FVG but for me it’s fine for price to completely cover it. Or if maybe the OTE(optimal trade entry) is the method you use to enter trades it’s still fine or even order blocks if maybe you can see any than it’s also completely fine.
Currently price is showing momentum lower and maybe it’ll close prices lower but if we close the daily candle above the midpoint of the weekly gap we can expect price go than trigger the limit.