BTCUSDT trading ideasHi there everyone
It has been a long time that I haven't shared any ideas.
I have decided to share what I think is more probable to happen and according to your own experience of trading, these ideas could be helpful.
all my ideas will be like this one.
Key features of the analysis you see are the levels which can be considered as key levels, and by getting confirmation on 4H or sometimes 1H TF, you can have positions taken.
So let's get started and follow for more.
I am here again.
DYOR!
Good luck
1-BTCUSD
5 REASONS TO STAY IN THE CRYPTO MARKETThe end of September aka rektember historically the worst performing month of the year is in sight, and October is fast approaching.
1/ October aka ‘Uptober’ or better to say "Moontober" is historically one of the best performing months of the year and in the past two bull run years October’s have all been green – third time’s a charm? FYI last year we pumped 29% and so many of us ordered Countach
2/ It ain’t just October – Q4 historically yields the highest returns of the year
Excited for Uptober? Just wait till we hit No Loss November baaaby!
3/ M2 projections vs. CRYPTOCAP:BTC looking bullish
M2 tracks the global supply of money. The more money is in the system, the more of it can flow into crypto. Here’s Bloomberg’s 10week projection of M2 supply (black) overlaid with CRYPTOCAP:BTC ’s current performance (red)
4/ The bull market historically takes off at this point
See that white line? That’s the current cycle
as you see The crypto market seems to be following historical bull market trends closely. We've experienced a stronger than usual rally ahead of the halving, largely driven by expectations around spot Bitcoin ETFs. However, the post-halving rally has been weaker, bringing the market back in line with typical patterns seen in previous cycles.
Potential for Growth: If past cycles are any indication, the market is expected to gain momentum from this point onward. Historically, after a weaker post-halving phase, a significant upward surge is needed to complete the cycle.
Cycle Length Considerations: There is evidence suggesting that each crypto cycle is lengthening in terms of duration. This trend may reflect increasing institutional involvement, as longer cycles often point to a more mature and stable market
5/ Rate cuts are here!
The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 50 basis points in their first rate cut since March 2020.This is now the most unexpected Fed decision since 2009.
And lowered rates allow more money to flow into markets over time.
and after btc pump we will have sweet alt party so buckle up and be ready for printing money
BTCUSD Selling opportunity 97000.00 Swim Trade entry
BTCUSD SELL 96990.00
TAKE PROFIT 1 : 95812.00
TAKE PROFIT 1 : 92800.00
STOP LOSS 99260.00
Explanation of 3% risk : With a 1000$ capital account your maximum loss for each target is 30$. ( 1000/100*3 ) Adjust your lost size according to your capital and trade stop loss pips count
🔺Maximum Risk 3% of your capital
🔺From 1:1RR Book 80% of your profits
🔻Once 1:1RR, stop change to BE or safe area
NOTE : THIS IS MY PERSONAL TRADING ENTYR AND PLAN. USE AT YOUR OWN RISK
Probability of Decline in Double Correction $BTCIn candlestick charts, the W part is usually shown as ABC, but in "line view," by tracking volumes, it is rarely possible to see an internal wave as 1-5. Our expectation is that the Y wave will continue with a sell-off.
Elliott Wave Theory rules for W, X, and Y corrections (double zigzag or other combinations):
W Wave:
It is generally a zigzag (ABC), a corrective structure (e.g., flat or expanded flat), or a more complex formation.
However, the most common is a zigzag (ABC) structure.
X Wave:
The X wave is typically a connecting wave and usually forms a corrective structure (zigzag, flat, or triangle).
The X wave is generally expected to make a smaller retracement compared to W.
Y Wave:
The Y wave also typically forms a zigzag (ABC). However, it may be the second part of a double zigzag or a more complex formation.
While W does not have to consist solely of an ABC structure, the zigzag (ABC) formation is the most common. Other possibilities (flat or more complex corrections) are also valid. It is essential to consider the overall context of the formation and market conditions during Elliott wave analysis.
[BTC Elliott Waves] 100K still seem some distance away in futureThis is continuation of my previous analysis on $INDEX:BTCUSD.
Right now, we can see clear 3-3 waves in w and x after making a peak in 3 at 99,661. This means wave y down is still pending. Wave y is typically the longest and the correction so far hasn't even been 38.2%. Further this, w-x-y is part of larger wave 4 . And Wave 4s usually do 38.2% retracements. In this case, it's around 86,600.
One might counter saying that what I am considering wave x is actually 1-2-1-2 and not 3 waves. But if you would drill down to 4H then you can see that each leg itself is 3 waves so it makes me think the recent rise was wave x and y down is yet to happen.
Having said that, there is a possibility that wave x is actually a leading diagonal of sort in making. So this would be the bullish alternative but for this is happen, we need to see a move up above Friday's high of 98,750 next. Till this high holds, I would favor the wave y down outcome.
BTC analysis of historic Fibonacci levelsI'm sure this analysis is just one of thousands looking at BTC!
It is a point of contention to call the top of a bull run, but what I though I would do is point out a few levels which are points of confluence when you use Fib's from the last bull run and the current bull run to analyse price movement.
I've used the initial breakout and retest levels (In the green box) as the starting point of the Fib levels from the 2020-2021 and 2023-2024 bull runs.
As we can see at present BTC price is at Fib 1.618 (99k) using the Fib over the 2020-2021 bull run. Highlighted in the red box. The next Fib area of confluence is 120k
On a momentum note-
BTC is at a point where the percentage growth of its second leg up is 103% compared to 277% in the first leg, BTC is showing signs of slowing momentum similar to the 2021 bull run 321% 1st leg vs 125% 2nd leg. We may see a slightly higher high around 105K but to me BTC price movement is showing similar signs of topping out to the 2021-2022 bull run.
Does anyone have a technical case for BTC continuing higher? I know on the fundamental side with Trump being elected that there is a bullish case because of the huge pressure that the Crypto space has been under the last 4 years of Democrat Biden Harris party.
With deregulation the industry should prosper.
$BTC Hit $98K! Will Corrections Pull it Back to $92K?Good morning, crypto bro's! 🌅
📊 Fear & Greed Index: 84 (Extreme Greed).
📈 Stoch RSI: Showing signs of exiting oversold.
💡 Analysis:
Current Status: FWB:98K has been reached.
Correction Outlook: Small probability for $93K– GETTEX:92K , with a larger chance for a deeper dip to $85K– GETTEX:82K if support breaks.
Upside Challenge: Breaching $100K seems tough without a significant correction first.
📌 Reminder: Stay sharp and manage risks well. Markets remain dynamic.
I'm Akki, as always, one chart at a time. Have a great day and stay SAFU!
Bitcoin Price PredictionBitcoin Price Prediction
this chart shows a price and time prediction for the upcoming movement. it's not accurate and it's only for educational purposes.
the PRICE extensions was generated based on the first correction.
the TIME extensions was generated based on the first wave/leg.
sell btc nowDon’t let the market mess with your emotions!
Bitcoin hasn’t done anything to confirm a pump yet. My minimum target is FWB:83K unless it proves otherwise and shows us some real bullish vibes!
Follow me if you want any updates on Bitcoin.
You can sell now and set your stop loss at 97,200.
I’ll keep you updated on the target—it’s an open target for now!
BTC LONG 2HRS TP:99100 27-11-2024Targeting a long position with a take profit set at 99k, you can consider entering the market between 90,500 and 92,200. It’s advisable to place a stop loss just below 89k to manage risk effectively. This anticipated movement is expected to unfold within the next 48 hours; if it doesn’t materialize by then, the setup will be deemed invalid. Stay vigilant and ready to adjust your strategy as necessary! #Bitcoin #Trading
TWT will be next 10-100x bull run Breaking above red box no new low 🔅 stright forward 4-6x
Below always chance to complete $0.5 below 📍
Return to $5-8 it's 10x
Based on move we can decide will it beat 100x or settle with in 10x
U need to know project things 😉 it's always different direction in Crypto 🔮
Last bear run it completed bull run top 🔝
$50-200 possible i don't know if target reach fast 😹 i will update here 🙂
BTCUSD - Cup&Handle - For BullishBTC is currently forming a cup and handle pattern on the weekly timeframe. If the price breaks above $73,800, it could potentially rise to $130,000 during its bullish cycle.
Additionally, a bullish flag pattern suggests a price move up to $122,000, further supporting the potential for significant gains.
Based on time cycles, BTC has yet to begin its post-halving bull run, adding further weight to the anticipated upward move.
Note :
This is not trading advice—it's for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
We're going for an update of the highs!High number of eliminations per level at 100k+, I believe we are at the starting point stage and will see insane growth soon enough! Altcoins are flying away as soon as the 100k mark is crossed, as this is the psychological level for locking in a huge number of positions. Then the profit distribution will start and the very alt season that everyone is waiting for!
BTC is going finally to 100k?Hey guys!
We finishing this week with nice news?
So quick update about bitcoin situation. We have here bull MA crossing oon 4H TF, so we can potentially see some long movement on the weekends. Another bull sign can be a Thannksgiving Day, so markets can react positive.
On the other hand we have descending volumes and not really active movement.
Don't forget to use SL and follow risk management!
What's your thoughts about the short market condition?
ETHEREUM Is it copying Bitcoin's 2014/17 Cycle towards $50k???Ethereum (ETHUSD) hasn't yet made a new All Time High (ATH), in contrast to Bitcoin (BTCUSD) but that isn't necessarily a negative development as it can highlight its enormous upside potential.
** ETH 2022/25 vs BTC 2014/17 **
A idea that strengthens this notion is today's analysis where you see ETH's current (2022 - 2025) Cycle against BTC's 2014 - 2017. As you can see so far the two Cycle's have been very similar with Ethereum replicating both the Bear Cycle and so far the majority of Bitcoin's past Bull Cycle.
** The Phases **
For more efficient comparison purposes, we have classified the Cycle in phases with the start being the bottom formation (Green Phase) below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and within the 0.236 - 0.0 Fibonacci Zone. That gives way to the 1st rally (Blue Phase) within the 0.5 - 0.236 Fib with the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) established as the Support. What follows is the 2nd Rally (Orange Phase) within the 0.786 - 0.5 Fib Zone and consolidation.
** October Bullish Cross and $50k?? **
The October 1W MACD Bullish Cross (Oct 2016 for BTC, Oct 2024 for ETH) signals the transition to the final stage (Yellow Phase) of the Bull Cycle, the Parabolic Rally to new ATH. For Bitcoin that peaked near the 2.382 Fibonacci extension. If that seems unrealistic for Ethereum's price today (the 2.382 Fib is just above $50k!!) in terms of market cap (and rightly so) just consider the impact that the ETFs' capital inflows have on the market. It remains to be seen, but nonetheless, ETH has enormous upside from here onwards and we're sure that even a +100% rally from the current price would be welcomed by the majority of the market.
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Bitcoin tends to falter the day after ThanksgivingThe 124k target remains in play overall, but for now I suspect the shakeout from its 100k milestone has more to offer bears. And while bitcoin prices are showing a nice breakout from a flag pattern on the 1-hour chart, bulls should take note that today (the day after Thanksgiving) tends to be a bearish day on average. And that could make any moves towards 100k tempting for bears to fade into over the near term.
MS