1-BTCUSD
BTCUSD: Last 1W MA50 rebound to the top of the CycleBitcoin remains bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.004, MACD = -3484.800, ADX = 36.461) but today we see the first recovery attempt. The technical reasoning behind it is that the market is testing its 1W MA50 and in due time it will price the new HL of the Bull Cycle and form the bottom that will hold for the rest of the year until the cycle's very top. This is no different than the last two Cycles, the 1W RSI is even rebounding on its S1 level. Based on that pattern we are looking at a potential Cycle peak between 150k - 200k.
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Bitcoin's market share rises despite decline in active usersThe data shows that Bitcoin's dominance has been rising steadily since 2022. It also highlights that Bitcoin's market share of active users has fallen over time. The data shows that on-chain activity in Ethereum and other layer 1 (L1) networks has increased.
OnChain data shows that Bitcoin's dominance has increased since 2022, and the upward trend is the longest in history. The data also shows that Bitcoin's active user market share has fallen as on-chain activity on the Ethereum network has increased.
Amid declining users, Bitcoin dominance has increased;
Matrixport shows that Bitcoin dominance has increased to a new high of over 61%. The analytics platform put the dominance higher, which was stronger than expected in the US jobs report. It said that the increased job rate indicates that the economy is recovering. COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Ethereum Downside to 1000!!!Ethereum has already broken the upward support trendline within the double top formation.
A break of that support line is bearish for Ethereum, especially now that it looks to complete its double top formation.
Ethereum may have a short interim bounce back to 2200 from todays levels of 1800. But will most likely fail to 1000, where that is the next support zone nearby.
Bitcoin looks like its on its way to retest its prior breakout zone of 65-70k, which would mean a 20% decline in bitcoin. If BTC were to decline 20%, this would bring a 40%+ decline in other coins including ETH. Which would indicate if BTC fell to 65k, it would solidify ETH drop to 1000.
BTC SHORT TP:79,500 11-03-2025Bitcoin is currently displaying bearish patterns on the 1-hour timeframe, indicating a potential short opportunity. We aim to close this position within 10 to 13 hours, targeting a take profit in the range of 79,000 - 80,000.
Make sure to follow me to stay updated on this trade and more!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-12-25 : Rally111 PatternToday's Rally pattern in Carryover mode may prompt a powerful base/bottom move in the SPY/QQQ.
In today's video, I explain in great detail how I read these charts and why the Excess Phase Peak (EPP) patterns are so important.
We are moving into the Consolidation Phase of the EPP patterns for the SPY/QQQ.
We are already into the Consolidation Phase of an EPP pattern for Bitcoin
Gold and Silver are a bit mixed. Yet Silver has already broken above the upper EPP Peak, rallying into a new EPP Peak level. Meanwhile, Gold is still struggling to find momentum for a bullish breakout.
While I don't believe the US markets are poised for a big downward price move, today's video shows you what may be likely 4 to 12+ months into the future.
So, pay attention to today's video. It clearly illustrates how to use the EPP patterns with Fibonacci and shows you what I believe could happen over the next 6 to 12+ months.
If the SPY/I continues to try to rally higher today, it will be interesting. This means we have potentially found our consolidation base and are now moving into a very volatile sideways consolidation phase.
Get some.
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Bitcoin at a Crucial Level: Another Pump Ahead?The price of Bitcoin is at a crucial region, with buyers continuing to defend the 200-day moving average on the daily chart and holding off the bearish pivot on the weekly chart. Yesterday's closing candle (March 11, 2025) is a PFR (Closing Price Reversal), indicating buyers defense in an important area. The fact that the price has consolidated since its last major bullish leg (Trump trade) strengthens the possibility of another upward move. Considering all the actions Trump is taking regarding cryptocurrencies, I see another pump ahead.
March 11 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
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Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There will be a Nasdaq indicator announcement at 11 o'clock shortly.
As long as the Nasdaq doesn't crash,
it will continue to crash + forced coupling,
so it is not easy to analyze.
In this case, it is recommended to operate with a tight stop loss,
and since Bitcoin broke its previous low with yesterday's movement,
I created a strategy based on the major rebound section of 75,459.5 dollars at the bottom this week.
*When the blue finger moves,
it is a two-way neutral long->short switching strategy
The section from 1 to 83,529 dollars at the top is an autonomous short section.
You can operate based on the center line of the 4-hour chart that will be additionally created at 9 o'clock shortly.
For example, if a rebound is connected before 9 o'clock, it is the purple finger.
If a rebound occurs after 9 o'clock, it is the 1st section.
If it comes down immediately without touching, it is good to operate the long position waiting until the 2nd section at the bottom.
1. 80365 dollar long position entry section / stop loss price when the purple support line is broken
(If it comes down immediately without touching the short position entry section at the top, 83529 dollar long position 1st target -> short position autonomous section)
2. 84965 dollar long position target price -> 83529 dollar autonomous long position operation section
(Since it is the center line of the 6-hour chart, if it reaches this section, it is highly likely to continue to rise.)
After that, the target price is in the order of Gap9 -> Good -> Great,
but short position switching is done from the touch of the center line of the daily chart.
If it comes down right from the current position,
2 -> Look at Bottom
From Gap7, the previous low is broken again
It is good to operate it as a major rebound section up to $75,459.5 this week.
More than anything else, Nasdaq is the problem.
Since Bitcoin has a fast turnover rate
As long as Nasdaq doesn't crash/crash/crash, it's fine.
Please use my analysis up to this point as a reference only
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
Bitcoin at $80,000. A Defining Crossroads: $65,000 or $120,000?Bitcoin stands at a critical juncture at $80,000, where market participants are engaged in a decisive battle between bullish momentum and bearish resistance. The outcome of this struggle will shape the next major move, with two distinct scenarios emerging.
Scenario 1: A Retracement Toward $65,000
If Bitcoin fails to maintain its current momentum, profit-taking and increased selling pressure could lead to a decline toward $65,000. This level serves as a crucial support zone, where demand may re-emerge to stabilize the price before any potential recovery. A break below this threshold would signal a deeper correction, potentially delaying any further upside in the near term.
Scenario 2: A Breakout Toward $120,000
For Bitcoin to sustain a move toward $120,000 by late March or early April, the market must see uninterrupted buying pressure over the next 10 days. There can be no hesitation—buyers need to absorb selling liquidity consistently, preventing any major pullbacks. The key level to watch in this scenario is $109,000, a major resistance zone that has the potential to act as the final barrier before BTC enters price discovery. A clean break and consolidation above this level would significantly increase the probability of an accelerated move toward $120,000.
At this stage, Bitcoin is at a make-or-break point, and the direction it takes from here will set the tone for the coming weeks. Whether it experiences a healthy correction or an explosive rally depends entirely on how market participants respond at these critical price levels.
BITCOIN Cycle pattern completed. Year-end Target locked at $150kBitcoin (BTCUSD) is showing the first signs of life after nearly testing the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) early this week. Whether this leads to a full on recovery or not, can been partially answered by this Cycle's price action so far.
Historically we do know that BTC's Bull Cycles so far tend to peak towards the end of their 3rd year and that's 2025. This Cycle has been predominantly trading within a Fibonacci Channel Up, since its very start, the November 2022 bottom. Its 1W MA50 has been supporting since the March 13 2023 break-out, so it's been exactly 2 years of holding and throughout this time period has provided two excellent buy opportunities.
As you can see, the Channel Up can be classified into two main Phases so far: each has a Primary correction (red) of more than -30% drop, followed by a rally (blue), then a Secondary correction (yellow) of more than -20%, followed by the second and last rally (blue). All rallies have so far been around +100%. Based on this model, we are now on the Secondary correction of Phase 2.
Notice that all corrections (either primary or secondary) hit or approached apart from the 1W MA50, the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from their previous Low. This is actually the first time that the price has marginally broken below the 0.382 Fib. At the same time, the 1D RSI almost got oversold last week (34.50) and according to the August 05 2024 (Higher) Low, this is were a series of RSI Higher Lows would be a signal of a new bottom formation.
The bottom and recovery process may take a while though, another 4-6 weeks. According to the Time Fibs (blue dashed vertical lines), each correction (whether primary or secondary) has ended at or a little before the 1.0 Fib with the 0.0 being the bottom of the previous one and 0.5 Fib the Top of the rally. Based on this, we can expect the new rally to start by the week of April 28 the latest.
So now as to how high this can get, if it repeats the 'weakest' rally of the Channel's three so far, it should rise by +95.95%, which gives us a straight price of $150000 as a Target. If the rally symmetry also holds, this should come by late September, perfectly aligning with Bitcoin's historic Cycle expectation for the final year.
Do you think that will be the case? Recovery starting within 4-6 weeks and if so, are you expecting $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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ETH at a Critical Support Level! Market Poised for a Big Move?Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is currently trading at a 261-week-old support level, making this a crucial zone for the market.
Earlier, ETH dipped to $1,754, a price level that has historically been significant. This could very well mark the bottom for ETH and potentially for altcoins. However, it's still too early to confirm.
The next two weekly candles will be key, if this support holds, we could see a strong altcoin recovery in the coming months.
Macro Factors at Play:
The broader geopolitical and macroeconomic landscape isn't great, despite this potential setup. Markets in the US, China, and India are facing turbulence, and the crypto market is experiencing low volume and liquidity. These factors could impact price action in the short term.
That said, as the chart develops over the next few weeks, we might witness significant shifts in market sentiment.
Sooner or later, BTC will make its move—either consolidating or attempting to reclaim $90K—while altcoins could start rebounding rapidly. When this happens, the market could turn bullish in a matter of weeks.
Stay Alert, The Opportunity Is Coming:
Now is the time to pay close attention to the charts and fundamentals. Stay sharp, monitor key levels, and prepare for potential opportunities.
I'll be sharing a handpicked list of altcoins that could perform well in the coming days.
DYOR , Not Financial Advice.
Stay tuned.
Do show your support buy hitting that like button.
Thank you
#PEACE
Could the Bitcoin rise from here?The price has bounced off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support an could rise to the 127.2% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 81,765.85
1st Support: 79,666.99
1st Resistance: 85,798.47
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
CHECK BTCUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINThis chart shows a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) trade setup on a 2-hour timeframe from BITSTAMP
Key points:
Current price: 82,647 USD
Stop loss: 83,500 USD (marked in red above the entry zone)
Take profit levels:
Take Profit 1: 82,000 USD
Take Profit 2: 81,000 USD
Last target: 80,500 USD
TECHNIAL ANALYSIS SATUP
FALLOW RISK MANAGEMENT ✅
Polkadot trade update! (At point of execution)BYBIT:DOTUSDT.P
Going back to my polkadot interest on the 7th of march i was saying that i would be sleeping on this until it got to my point of execution... at this point im putting a limit order in for a 1:6 on the 15M.
If you go back to my last post on polkadot (should be linked to this one) you will see my circled points of support, I was able to set this trade up with both of them major support levels with my stop loss below both.
Now its set and forget. This trade is COMPLETE
Win or Lose! IM HERE
Thanks guys
BTCUSDT Price Action | March 12, 2025BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is now trying to recover from its 50% daily time frame correction. As per my analysis 79444 is now Buyers interest level to go long with stop loss of 76560 for targets of 83593, 85765 (50% Pullback level in 4 hour time frame).
Note. This is my personal analysis, please do your analysis and take decision for buy or sell with strict risk management. Thanks.
Here is a brief analysis of the BTC/USDT chart: 92,500 USDT, represented by the black horizontal line.
Support level: Close to 78,254.38 USDT, represented by the green horizontal line.
A descending trend line indicates potential bearish trends.
An ascending trend line suggests the formation of a potential support level.
Bullish recovery: If the price respects the support line, it may reach the resistance level.
Bearish breakdown: A break below the support may lead to further declines.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
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DYOR. NFA
The impact of the decline in Tesla's stock price on the BTCUSDThe change in Tesla's stock price has an impact on BTCUSD, mainly in the following aspects:
Investor sentiment transmission: As a highly influential listed company, a significant drop in Tesla's stock price will undermine investors' confidence in technology and innovative assets. This negative sentiment may spread to the cryptocurrency market, causing investors to lose confidence in investing in Bitcoin. Consequently, they may sell off Bitcoin, leading to a decline in the price of BTCUSD. For example, on March 10, 2025, Tesla's stock price plummeted by more than 15%, closing at $222.15, marking its worst single-day performance since 2020. During the same period, the price of Bitcoin also saw a significant drop.
Fund flow transfer: When Tesla's stock price drops, investors may withdraw funds from Tesla stocks and related investment portfolios to seek other more attractive investment opportunities. If there are no obvious other investment targets with high returns and low risks in the market, some funds may flow into the cryptocurrency market, such as Bitcoin, pushing up the price of BTCUSD. However, if the overall market risk appetite decreases, funds are more likely to flow into traditional safe-haven assets, such as gold and bonds, rather than Bitcoin, resulting in a decline in the price of Bitcoin.
BTCUSD sell @84000-84500
tp: 78500-78000
BTCUSD Buy @78000-78500
tp: 82000-82500
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