BTC1! Bitcoin possible crash scenario.The BTC1! chart strikes me as particularly interesting because, unlike other BTC charts, professionals use Bitcoin futures contracts here to speculate on BTC's volatility or manage risk in larger portfolios. The trading schedule runs from Monday (opening at 5:00 PM CT) to Friday (closing at 4:00 PM CT). When the Monday opening price differs from the Friday closing price, a gap is created, which is often filled, as historical data shows similar occurrences.
Currently, there is an unfilled gap between 80,000 and 78,000. While it's not guaranteed that this gap will close, it's worth keeping an eye on that zone. Interestingly, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level also aligns with this area. Additionally, there's the 0.25 zone where we find an nPOC (naked Point of Control).
We could see a significant bounce of 20–40% from these levels. If BTC were to experience a 50% drop from the current point, it would bring us to around 54,000. Historically, it tends to have a substantial bounce whenever BTC has fallen more than 40%, making these levels worth monitoring closely.
1-BTCUSD
BITCOIN CYCLE CONCEPT, FIB ORBIT & TIME-ZONEBTC CYCLICAL pattern
1 Complete Cycle = 5 UP (green sine-wave) + 3 DOWN (red sinewave)
24 Jan 2025,
BTC entering Fib extension 0.618 (purple). Fib Circle orbit approaching 5.385 extension.
Expect 5 UP green wave to complete around jul-sept 2025 marked by red X-marks whereas Fib time-zone extension of 1.272 coincides with top of green sine-wave 5
Sine-wave cycle study was credited to Lars von Thienen at FSC
Bitcoin Targeting $116,000: Major Profit Opportunities Await.Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Bitcoin , 📚🎇
The price is currently consolidating within a parallel channel, indicating a period of stable movement. Given the increasing market volume and the political shift following Donald Trump’s election as president, we anticipate a surge in trading activity that could lead to a notable rise in prices. As the market responds to these developments, we expect the channel to break to the upside in the coming days. This breakout is likely to generate significant upward momentum, with a minimum expected profit of 10%. The combination of stronger market volume and the potential impact of political changes suggests a favorable outlook. Traders should be prepared for a potential rally, as these factors align to drive the price higher. We remain optimistic about the short-term prospects based on these market dynamics.
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
The price is currently in a parallel channel, and with increased market volume and Trump’s election, we expect a price surge and a breakout upwards in the next few days, leading to at least a 10% profit.
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BITCOIN BULLISH SCENEBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is now in its consolidation phase making a symmetrical triangle bullish pattern. Taking its previous falling wedge pattern and double bottom, the potential upside target will be in the Fibonacci extension area at 127.2 and 161.8. This aligning with Trump's objectives to be the "first bitcoin president" where he promised that cryptocurrency would be central in his economic policies.
Feel free to share this analysis and comment on what do you guys think in the comment section!!
Disclaimer On!!!
Key Points: Intraday BTC Price Movement Context:
Options Expiry: $7.8 billion in Bitcoin options expire on January 31, with a significant portion out of the money.
Max Pain Price: Key options price level is $98,000.
Institutional Influence: Positive developments like rescission of SAB 121 (allowing banks to custody Bitcoin) could boost sentiment.
Implied Volatility: High (DVOL ~60), indicating potential for significant price swings.
Scenarios:
1. Bullish Scenario
Catalyst: Institutional buying or positive announcements.
Price Movement: Breakout above $106,850 with potential to test $110,000.
Supporting Factors:
Strong futures/options participation (open interest).
Positive spot netflows (accumulation).
Overbought technical indicators (RSI > 70).
Confidence Level: Medium (60%).
Resistance at $110,000 requires strong momentum.
2. Bearish Scenario
Catalyst: Market gravitation toward the max pain level ($98,000).
Price Movement: Rejection at $105,000-$106,000, retracing to $100,000-$98,000.
Supporting Factors:
Historical tendency for prices to move toward max pain before options expiry.
Increased selling pressure in spot netflows.
Neutral/negative funding rates (bearish leveraged sentiment).
Confidence Level: High (75%).
Options expiry dynamics favor the max pain theory.
3. Neutral Scenario
Catalyst: Absence of significant market-moving news.
Price Movement: Consolidation between $104,000-$106,000.
Supporting Factors:
Lower volatility as expiry approaches.
Balanced long/short positioning (neutral funding rates).
Confidence Level: Medium-High (70%).
Key Indicators to Monitor:
Netflow Data:
Increased spot inflows → Bearish.
Increased spot outflows → Bullish.
Funding Rates:
Negative → Bearish.
Positive → Bullish.
Volume & Open Interest:
High activity near key levels confirms breakout or breakdown.
News Impact:
Institutional or macroeconomic announcements can override technicals.
Trading Strategies:
Bullish Setup:
Entry: Above $106,000.
Stop-loss: $105,000.
Targets: $108,000 and $110,000.
Bearish Setup:
Entry: Below $104,000.
Stop-loss: $105,500.
Targets: $100,000 and $98,000.
Neutral Setup:
Focus on range trading between $104,000-$106,000.
This structured thesis accounts for options expiry dynamics, technical factors, and market sentiment.
BTC/USDT 1H: Bulls Targeting $107K After Key AccumulationBTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis
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Current Price: $105,200
Market Structure:
Bullish consolidation with higher lows forming.
RSI: 56.9, signaling neutral momentum and room for upside.
Key Levels:
Support: $104,000 (equilibrium zone provides strong support).
Resistance: $107,000 (premium zone).
Technical Highlights:
Hidden Bullish Divergence: Present on RSI vs. price action from Jan 23-24, supporting continuation.
Smart Money Activity: Accumulation pattern evident, with tight ranges indicating institutional buying.
Trade Setup (Confidence Level: 8/10):
Entry Zone: $105,200 (current price).
Targets:
T1: $106,500
T2: $107,000
Stop Loss: Below $103,800 (recent swing low).
Risk Score: 7/10 (favorable R:R with clear invalidation).
Market Maker Activity:
Accumulation phase visible, likely positioning for the next leg up.
Volume profile supports the bullish thesis, with liquidity targeting above $107,000.
Recommendation:
Long position preferred at current levels.
Monitor for volume confirmation on a break toward $106,500-$107,000.
Confidence Level: 8/10 for bullish continuation.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-24 : CRUSH patternToday's CRUSH pattern should resolve as a very big and very volatile price move. Based on my experience with CRUSH patterns, I believe today's move will be to the downside.
The current trend is bullish/up (over the past 3+ days) and the SPY has just closed at a new closing price ATH.
The QQQ is still below ATH levels and is moving cleanly in an EPP Flagging channel.
I believe the SPY will stall out and revert downward today - essentially touching the new ATH levels yesterday, then rolling downward into my 1-20 through 1-23 topping pattern.
Gold and Silver are moving strongly higher today as metals finally start to hedge against global risk factors. Get ready, I see metals moving much higher over the next 60 to 90+ days.
BTCUSD has moved into a dual flagging pattern that I believe will resolve to the downside by about 9AM PT (12 noon ET). If my analysis is correct, this breakdown in BTCUSD could be the catalyst for a broader market downturn.
It sure looks like today is going to be a great day for traders.
Get some.
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Dear Bitcoin, is't about time...For over a month, Bitcoin's price action has been rather frustrating, as it has remained stuck in a range. The key support level is clearly at 90k, while resistance is around 108k.
Recently, the price tested the resistance level again and has since entered another consolidation phase.
On the positive side, this consolidation appears to be a buildup, potentially signaling an imminent breakout above 110k.
As long as the price holds above 100k, we can reasonably expect this breakout to happen sooner rather than later.
As I’ve mentioned before, the target level for this move is around 130k.
okyy btc bullyou're looking for a bullish outlook or idea for Bitcoin (BTC). Here are a few potential bullish arguments for BTC:
Institutional Adoption: The increasing interest from institutional investors could continue to drive Bitcoin’s price upwards. Big companies and hedge funds entering the market are seen as a sign of long-term growth potential.
BTC LONG TP:111,000 21-01-2025A long position in Bitcoin has been established, focusing on the 1-hour timeframe, with the aim of reaching a target of 111,000. It is anticipated that this goal will be achieved within a timeframe of approximately 8 to 16 hours. It is important to emphasize that if this target is not met within the specified period, the position will be deemed invalid, and a thorough review of the adopted strategy will be conducted.""A long position in Bitcoin has been established, focusing on the 1-hour timeframe, with the aim of reaching a target of 111,000. It is anticipated that this goal will be achieved within a timeframe of approximately 8 to 16 hours. It is important to emphasize that if this target is not met within the specified period, the position will be deemed invalid, and a thorough review of the adopted strategy will be conducted.
Key Levels to Watch: Pullback or Breakthrough?In analyzing the chart, we see a critical setup forming. If the price breaks below Support (2), there’s a strong probability that it may perform a pullback before continuing to drop, potentially retesting the area around Support (1).
This pullback behavior is often observed as the market seeks to confirm previous levels before resuming its move.
However, if the price fails to hold below Support (2), we could witness bullish momentum taking over, driving the price upward toward the supply zone above. This movement could signal a shift in sentiment as buyers step in to capitalize on the opportunity.
Keep a close eye on these levels and watch for confirmation before entering the trade. Always manage your risk and trade what you see, not what you feel! Let the market guide you. 🚀📈
BITCOIN What if its Parabolic Growth isnt meant to last forever?Well you might have expected by reading the title that I meant the opposite, Bitcoin's parabolic growth to stop at some point.
Well even though that's likely, this multi year chart comparison with Nikkei shows that Parabolic Growths some times break to the upside to an even more 'maniacal' phase.
Hard to believe but Nikkei, the biggest most recent stock market bubble in history is a living example.
It was rising parabolically since the 1950s along with Japan's heavy industrial economy.
The heavy export country, reached a transition phase in the early 1980s with highly revolutionary tech companies exporting goods all over the globe.
The stock market broke above its parabolic curve exponentially in late 1983 - early 1984 and peaking on December 1989.
This may be what BTC's massive adoption may look like. A break above its established parabolic curve, which practically no one expects to ever break to the upside.
That will be Bitcoin's 'Mania Phase'. How long it can grow and what price it can reach (if it ever does of course) no one knows.
But what this comparison shows, is to keep an open mind and no matter how expensive Bitcoin may look at the current price, there is always the potential for (much) higher.
Every investor's portfolio should include at least a small portion (2-5%) of BTC for a decade-long horizon.
Previous chart:
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TRUMP Analysishello guys
After the good price growth that we had, the price has been corrected and he was able to make floors.
Now it has two scenarios:
1_ From here the price growth will happen.
2- With further modification of the support area below, I will see the formation of the double bottom pattern and move from there.
Therefore, the best solution is to buy a staircase whose limits we have specified for you.
*Trade safely with us*
BITCOIN Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN is trading in an
Uptrend and the coin was
Consolidating above the
Horizontal support level
Of 101.340 but now we
Are seeing a bullish rebound
From the support so we
Will be expecting a
Bullish continuation
Buy!
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