1-BTCUSD
Ascending Broadening Wedge 2026 Bull Run Forming an Ascending Broadening Wedge. It looks like the bottom needs to get retested to confirm it and the current pattern to hold. After that if this pattern proves true then the next Bull run of 2026 - 2027 will be the massive breakout everyone is waiting for. Lets see how things play out.
2025 BTC Top $109K or $123K Max for this Bull Run ???Currently, Bitcoin is unable to break through the all-time high timeline, and it has been testing it twice so far. Being unable to get a one-day candle to close over this resistance line. BTC may be able to keep sliding up the line till $123K but may not be able to get the $160K target price as I was assuming it would hit based on the Fibonacci scale. Currently, there are too many factors holding it down. At the moment Bitcoin can currently go all the way down $43,709 at this point and still be bullish to make a second attempt to break the Resistance line. If it goes below this price point then that is an official signal we are in the bear market. Also at the current price point, the target bottom drop for BTC would be about $25K. And if BTC is able to go higher in price then these target prices would just move up a little. Sadly if all of this comes true then we will be looking at an even smaller increase through the next Bull Run of 2026.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-23-25 : Carryover PatternToday's Carryover pattern suggests the markets will attempt to hold near recent support while attempting to determine trend. I view it as move of an indecisive day - looking to see if the markets can break to new all-time highs or if the markets have reached the top I've been discussing.
In my opinion, today will be a pause/consolidation day in the SPY/QQQ - leading to the big CRUSH pattern tomorrow.
Gold and Silver are under quite a bit of pressure this morning. The metals pattern is a BOTTOM pattern. So, I expect this selling in metals to be reflective of issues that will drive the SPY/QQQ downward tomorrow (the CRUSH pattern) and likely result in a moderate downward trend in the SPY/QQQ over the next 2 weeks.
Metals will recover and try to move higher as metals continues to hedge against global risks.
BTCUSD is moving downward - trying to break below the Flag Support level of the EPP pattern.
I believe tomorrow will be a pivotal day for the markets and today will be a fairly consolidated day overall.
Get some.
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BITCOIN We are nowhere near the Top!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1M time-frame is as straightforward as it can get. The message is clear: We are nowhere near the Top yet.
The LMACD flashes its Cycle Top signal when it tests the Lower Highs trend-line. If this happens to be above the Pi Cycle's Top (red trend-line), then we have a complete Sell Signal for the Cycle. This is expected to take place towards the end of this year.
Similarly, the bottom takes place below the Pi Cycle's Bottom (green trend-line) and is confirmed by a LMACD Bullish Cross. Those indicators are the Blueprint to BTC's Cycles.
Do you agree with this? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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"JPY/USD Bearish Channel Analysis: Potential Reversal Near ResisThis chart shows JPY/USD moving within a clear descending channel, marked by a resistance trendline (upper boundary) and a support trendline (lower boundary). The price is respecting the structure of the channel, bouncing between these trendlines.
### Key Observations:
1. **Current Position:** The price is near the resistance trendline, suggesting a potential reversal to the downside in line with the channel's bearish trend.
2. **Projected Move:** Based on the arrow drawn, the expectation is for the price to move lower toward the support trendline.
3. **Trend:** The overall structure indicates a bearish market within this channel.
### Possible Action:
- Look for selling opportunities around the resistance trendline with targets toward the lower boundary of the channel (support).
- Watch for a breakout from the channel if momentum builds significantly, as this could indicate a change in the trend.
"Gold (XAU/USD) Approaching Key Resistance: Awaiting Bearish RevBased on the chart:
- **Trend Analysis**: Gold is trading within an upward channel, indicating a bullish trend in the medium term.
- **Current Price Action**: The price is nearing the channel's upper boundary, which may act as resistance. A potential rejection could lead to a correction toward the channel's lower boundary.
- **Key Levels**:
- Resistance: Around 2,760–2,765.
- Support: The lower boundary of the channel is near 2,730.
- **Bearish Scenario**: A confirmation of bearish reversal (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns or a lower high) could signal a move toward the midline or lower boundary of the channel. A break below 2,750 would strengthen the bearish case.
- **Bullish Continuation**: If the price breaks above the upper channel resistance, further bullish momentum might drive it toward higher levels.
It is advised to wait for a clear **bearish confirmation** at resistance before shorting to align with the channel's trend dynamics.
Bitcoin - Sell in May and go away BINANCE:BTCUSDT
This is pretty simple but logic movement. All market drive by algorithm and plan
Impulse from top 69 to 42 and next Fib Trend Extension
At 0.618 level we came almost to 25314
Locally we should came and find a rejection at covid dump up-trend line.
Its hard to say about timing but if we take a look on macro in a world most likely we can see this uptrend move till end of April and
"sell in may and go away" cliche. Recession have an always lag around 2-4 months. We probably already in recession, but affect we will see later. Also DXY this time will be around 108-110
After September/October macro situation will start stabilise and we will see test 20-19K again like strong support zone.
Than few month in flat around 19-24K range again so more and more people build consensus about 10-12K for SURE.
And start climbing up slowly but surely.
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Bitcoin road to 33 000 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
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Possible Targets and explanation idea
➡️ Everything going according by my global 2023 plan for BTC what i’ve posted here in December 2022
➡️ We got uptrend line since covid dump
➡️ We retested downtrend line with FTX crash
➡️ Now we can see impulse-correction-impulse. Second impulse to test uptrend line and I think first rejection in April
➡️ All FOMC rate already included in price. Recession is only one things what not included, so we can see dump
➡️ After rejection at trend line and full fill of 3 month FVG we can drop by end of summer to 20K to find a support
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BTC/USD RangeboundAccording to technical studies on the daily chart, Bitcoin versus the US dollar (BTC/USD) is now consolidating between support from US$91,591 and US$108,396.
US$100,000 remains a widely watched barrier within the consolidation, along with the 50-day SMA at US$97,615. Despite the ranging action, BTC/USD is entrenched in a bullish trend with a clear upside bias. Consequently, should price action gain a foothold off US$100,000 as support, all-time highs could be on the table.
Bitcoin and Wyckoff Accumulation D1BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Lets check classic Wyckoff Accumulation phase since drop In June. This is D1 Timeframe and if Historically October is green month with 15-60% moves up. We have an all chances break resistance and hit even 28-30K.
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Bitcoin and green November? BINANCE:BTCUSDT
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Bitcoin made retested downtrend line on D1. According to my "Take profit" indicator we bounced at real value price in June. Usually when we touch this line we going to test take profit line on D1 timeframe. Marked this zone on a chart. Also my indicator "Direction" showed signal to buy, so now im waiting Bitcoin around 25-29K in this range and signals to take profit on this both indicators and others.
Possible Targets
➡️After retest trend line and fundamental value line - 25000 - 29000
➡️When we touch take profit line in this ill looking to open local short
➡️Watching on FOMC rate at the beginning November and continuation local uptrend.
In December Ill expect test 20K again
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Failing VWAP RetestWe broke through our VWAP (pegged to 1/13/25) at the 102500 level today, retested once, we passed 101900, 101500, now retesting 101500 which is where the VWAP is for some BTC perpetuals. For them it is support as currently their price sits above this band, but as you can see here on the spot chart it is resistance for spot BTC. The high volume/compression candles colored purple and yellow-green show there is more leniency toward the downside. There is a demand zone the price could possibly rebound starting around 100500.
BTC Intraday Market Analysis (Thesis Prediction)1. Current Market Position:
Price: $101,645.39, down -1.9% in the last few hours.
Support: $101,000 | Resistance: $103,000.
Trend: Short-term bearish; BTC has failed to sustain key support levels but shows signs of possible stabilization on hourly charts.
2. Technical Indicators:
RSI: 30.04, oversold territory, suggesting a possible short-term bounce or consolidation.
MACD: Bearish signal with MACD line at -46.82 below the signal line at -193.45. The narrowing histogram (-146.63) hints at diminishing bearish momentum.
VWMA: Current price below VWMA at $102,847.77, signaling strong bearish sentiment. A move above this could suggest a reversal.
3. On-Chain Insights:
Exchange Balances: No significant inflows or outflows (1.81M BTC held on exchanges), indicating stable liquidity.
Open Interest:
Longs: Down -27.39% to $3.78B.
Shorts: Up +47.47% to $6.26B, reinforcing bearish bias.
Funding Rates: Low (Binance: 0.0100%), reflecting minimal cost for holding short positions and bearish sentiment.
4. Financial and Sentiment Analysis:
Trading Volume: Down -29.68% to $81.58B, signaling reduced activity or market consolidation.
Fear & Greed Index: Dropped -10.71% to 75 (closer to neutral), indicating waning speculative enthusiasm.
Market News: Reports on declining altcoins and BTC slipping below $102K from Cointelegraph could contribute to bearish sentiment.
5. Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario (Confidence: 60%)
Conditions: Persistent bearish sentiment, outflows from exchanges, and low funding rates suggest further selling pressure.
Outcome: BTC could test $100,000 or lower, driven by technical and sentiment-based momentum.
Bullish Scenario (Confidence: 25%)
Conditions: Recovery if RSI moves out of oversold territory or positive sentiment emerges from news or trader behavior (e.g., increased long positions).
Outcome: BTC might bounce to $102,000 or $103,000, especially if it breaks above the VWMA, signaling a potential trend reversal.
Sideways Scenario (Confidence: 15%)
Conditions: Mixed market sentiment with consolidation around current levels, lacking strong catalysts.
Outcome: BTC likely trades in a narrow range between $101,000–$102,000, awaiting clearer direction.
6. Trading Strategies:
Contrarian Play: With RSI in oversold, cautious long entries near $101,000 could target $102,000 or higher, but require tight risk management.
Bearish Continuation: Align with the current trend by shorting on failed recoveries, targeting $100,000 with stop-losses above $103,000.
7. Conclusion:
BTC’s short-term outlook remains bearish, but oversold indicators suggest potential for a bounce or consolidation. Traders should monitor VWMA, funding rates, and news updates to gauge momentum shifts. With market volatility elevated, maintaining strict risk controls and staying updated on sentiment is crucial for navigating the current conditions.
Ethereum (ETH/USD) on a daily timeframe, AnalysisThis chart illustrates Ethereum (ETH/USD) on a daily timeframe, where the price is consolidating within a broad horizontal range between approximately $2,000 (support) and $4,800 (resistance). A descending trendline from the most recent highs suggests bearish momentum, with price currently rejecting this resistance.
Key observations:
1. **Volume Decline**: The declining volume indicates weakening market participation, which may support a continuation of the downward trend.
2. **Bearish Bias**: The chart suggests a potential move toward the lower boundary of the range ($2,000) if the descending triangle pattern plays out.
Conclusion: If the price breaks below interim support (around $3,000), ETH could potentially test the $2,000 zone. A confirmed breakout above the trendline would invalidate the bearish scenario. BINANCE:ETHUSD
Will Bitcoin hit 150 000 USD in March 2025?🔸Hello guys, today let's review daily price chart for BTC. Previously coming from a strong uptrend and recently overshot 100 000 USD key S/R zone.
🔸Currently price is re-accumulating in range since December 2024, expecting several more weeks of range bound price action before a new strong push.
🔸Expanding triangle formation defined by A/B/C/D/E sequence, mostly complete already, point E pending near 84/86 000 usd.
🔸Check out my other recent idea where I outline primary bullish/bearish catalyst for the BTC price in 2025
🔸Bullish and Bearish Catalysts for Bitcoin in 2025 Overview
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: BUY/HOLD low at/near 84/86K in the re-accumulation range in pullback/consolidation. TP bulls is 150 000 USD in March 2025. good luck traders!
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BTC/USDT 1H: Bulls Eyeing a Reversal from Key Support!BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis
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Confidence Level: 8/10
Current Market Structure:
Bearish momentum with price at $102,288, testing key support levels.
RSI: 37.20, oversold with signs of a potential reversal.
MACD: Bearish crossover, with momentum (-511.49 vs -615.66) slowing.
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: $102,300-$102,500 (wait for RSI divergence confirmation).
Targets:
T1: $103,200 (1.5R).
T2: $104,000 (2.5R).
Stop Loss: Below $101,800 (recent swing low).
Risk Score: 7/10 (moderate).
Market Maker (MM) Analysis:
Institutional selling pressure evident from high-volume dumps.
Hidden Bullish Divergence: RSI showing lower lows while price holds support.
Potential liquidity grab below $102,000 before reversal.
Key Levels:
Support: $102,000, $101,500.
Resistance: $103,500, $104,200.
Order Block: $103,800-$104,000.
Recommendation:
Wait for RSI to break above 40 to confirm reversal before entering longs.
Watch for a liquidity sweep below $102,000 as a potential entry trigger.
Manage risk tightly due to bearish momentum.
Confidence Level: 8/10 for a cautious bullish setup with proper confirmation.
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