Repeating Pattern on 4h Chart?Possible repeating pattern to the leg up from 65 to 98k. Yellow arrow shows where we are in the same setup that is highlighted by the orange rectangle.
If this is true, we'd see something like a drop from here to mid-to-low 80k range before finding enough buyers for the push above 100k.
Long-term long, short-term short.
Reminder that there is a daily CME gap yet unfilled below this area however, around 78 to 80.7k:
1-BTCUSD
BTC H4 Descending Broadening WedgeBitcoin is currently trading within a Descending Broadening Wedge that appears to be completing and ready to flip bullish. RSI is 51 at time of publishing. Price action fell through the 50 sma and then recovered at the 100 sma. It then temporarily lost the 100 sma and recovered it. PA is currently sitting on the .5 extension.
The bottom of the price action has also formed a "v" recovery. I think this area is bottom.
Key levels to watch for after the breakout are marked with green horizontal lines and correspond to fib extensions.
Not financial advice. Do your own DD.
Thanks for viewing the idea.
Btc elliott wave analysisElliott wave is very subjective. even I have two or three analysis and shorterm frame it gets more possibilities.
but here I think Eth price is way lower than btc price and also some of altcoins as well.
because bitcoin just went up alone strongly compare to other altcoins.
and eth is one of them. it didnt hit all time high yet. but at least it should reach around 4000 level i think. right now its at 3600 level. so if eth can go up while btc is tanking the price or going slowly up we can expect this two senario. one is we go up from here after short consolidation. second is we go up after one more dump. but either way i dont expect much drops because we dont have much bad news right now. in macro economy there are bunch of good news.. israel must end war before biden end his presidency because of political reason.
trump will be president on Jan 20th. so untill that time we can expect btc price to hold its position. but after that it could be sell the news scenario. but after some big consolidation period we will start to go up again. if there is no bad news in macro economy
Max Profit: VOLUME PROFILE BTCUSDT
Current State: On the BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart, we observe a corrective movement after breaking the POC (Point of Control), which marks the area of maximum trading volume in the current range. The price tested the support level near 91,000 USDT, where buyers actively stepped in to prevent further decline.
The previously broken ascending trendline now acts as resistance. The price is recovering and approaching the key resistance level at 94,000 USDT.
🔑 Technical Context
POC (Point of Control): The maximum trading volume level is located around 91,400 USDT and serves as a key demand zone.
Support: A strong demand zone exists between 90,000–91,000 USDT, where significant buying volume was observed.
Resistance: The area around 94,800 USDT acts as the nearest resistance. A breakout above this level may lead to higher targets.
🚩 Trading Strategy
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Breakout Scenario:
If the price consolidates above 94,800 USDT, consider long positions with targets:
96,500 USDT
98,000 USDT
Continuation of Correction:
If the price fails to break the resistance, expect a retest of the 91,000 USDT support zone. A break below this area could lead to a further drop towards 88,500 USDT.
Stop-Loss:
For long positions: below 91,000 USDT.
For short positions: above 94,800 USDT.
📈 Recommendations
Volume Profile: Monitor volume accumulation near current levels to gauge market sentiment.
Trendline Resistance: Consider the role of the broken ascending trendline as a resistance level.
Risk Management: Use sensible stop-loss orders to minimize losses in case of adverse movements.
Conclusion
BTCUSDT is at a key juncture between resistance and support zones. Watch for price action near 94,800 USDT to determine the next directional move.
BTCUSDT Technical Analysis OverviewHi guys,
Ascending Channel and Breakout:
The chart shows a long-term ascending channel that guided price action for several months. Recently, Bitcoin broke out of this channel, signaling a strong shift in bullish momentum. The breakout was accompanied by significant volume, confirming the strength of the move.
Fibonacci Levels and Pullback Zone:
After the breakout, the price retraced slightly and is now hovering around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level ($87,208) and the 0.5 level ($83,322). This area is critical, as it coincides with a Fair Value Gap (FVG)—a liquidity zone where buyers are likely to step in.
EMA 34 and EMA 89 Support:
Both EMA 34 and EMA 89 are acting as dynamic support levels, and their upward slope reinforces the bullish structure. This alignment confirms that the current pullback is part of a healthy correction in a broader uptrend.
Liquidity Grab Potential:
The highlighted liquidity zone suggests that price may temporarily dip to attract more buyers. A test of this zone could serve as a springboard for the next upward leg.
Upside Targets:
Using Fibonacci extensions, my first target aligns with the 1.0 level ($99,787), followed by 1.272 ($108,744) and 1.618 ($120,138). These levels represent logical points where profit-taking could occur in the next bullish wave.
Price Action Scenario:
Based on the chart, I anticipate a potential bounce from the liquidity zone and FVG, leading to a continuation of the bullish trend. However, a failure to hold the $83,322 level could invalidate this setup and shift focus back to lower support zones.
Conclusion:
The technicals suggest that Bitcoin remains bullish as long as the key support at $83,322 holds. I'm closely watching price action in the FVG zone for signs of buying pressure before targeting higher levels at $99,787 and beyond. Patience is key, as the market digests the breakout and prepares for its next major move.
BTC Oversold! $98K Revisit or Deeper Drop Incoming?Good morning, crypto bro's! 🌅
📊 Fear & Greed Index: 77 (Extreme Greed, dropping).
📉 Stoch RSI: Entered oversold territory.
💡 Analysis:
On H4 timeframe, BTC shows a strong probability of revisiting the FWB:98K –$99K range.
However, larger timeframes still suggest potential corrections toward the green zone at $85K–$82K.
📌 Stay cautious. The market remains greedy but oversold signals need confirmation.
I'm Akki, as always, one chart at a time. Have a great day and stay SAFU!
Holiday Markets and All Markets Spot CheckLimited trading for the remainder of the week in the US with Thanksgiving
We've notched a few all-time highs in the US markets but without any major surges. Low volume and light activity have been pretty apparent as the post election rips have settled down somewhat.
US data still in line before FOMC on Dec 18. Current FED Watch Tool showing a 64% probability of the FED still cutting 25 bps before end of year. This will be an important message from the FED to the markets on how the FED plans to adjust monetary policy in 2025 (pause, hold, cut, hike).
DXY and USD related crosses showing signs of nice movement (weaker dollar). Let's see if that is a stronger reversal pattern with follow through as many USD pairs are at strong support/resistance levels to show some reactions.
I'm not aggressively positioning on anything currently. If the melt-up continues, it's pretty easy and steady gains. If we have any flinch or pullback before end of year, I'll have my hedges in profit to help offset drawdowns. The best path for me is management both ways and inexpensive protection to the downside.
Thanks for watching!!!
BTC/USD: Trend Reversal Confirmed – Watch for BreakoutBTC/USD has confirmed a trend reversal, breaking above key moving averages and forming a bullish structure. The price faces resistance at $96,305, with a potential breakout targeting $98,000–$99,000. Support lies at $93,315, making it a critical level for bullish continuation. A breakdown below $93,315 could signal a sell-off toward $92,025 or lower. Traders should watch price action near these levels for entries or exits.
This chart uses customized moving average crossovers, dynamic trendlines, and adaptive VFI for clear buy/sell signals. Simplify your trading with actionable alerts and proven strategies—ideal for scalpers and swing traders. Get the edge you need!
Sideways until around December 3rd (???)
(Title) The point of interest is whether it will move sideways until around December 3rd
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can rise with support near the high point area of 96372.40-98892.0.
If not, the point of interest is whether it can move sideways in the box area of the HA-High indicator of 91792.14-98871.80 until around December 3rd.
-
Because the gap between the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is wide, I think it is important to see whether it can move sideways from the current price position.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is likely to fall near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart or the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart.
-
If the sideways movement continues until around December 3, I think it is highly likely that an upward movement to break through 100K will begin.
At this time, you need to check the movements of the BW and StochRSI indicators.
I will tell you more details at that time.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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BTCUSD: Is 300k a realistic target?Despite the weekly correction, Bitcoin remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.961, MACD = 5631.400< ADX = 43.561) and even overbought on the 1W timeframe (RSI = 74.750). That is because the market has started the final parabolic rally, the cycle's most aggressive phase, supported by the 1W MA50. It can stay overbought until the top, the end of the cycle. Based on the 1W CCI, we may be in a 3 week consolidation stage before the rally resumes. According to the previous Cycle, this happened a little over the 0.5 Fibonacci level. Taking a +1,895.45% rise from the bottom, we can see that the exact same position is applied on the current Cycle and stage.
Does this mean that we can see $300,000 as this Cycle's top? Technically yes but it goes against Bitcoin's Theory of Diminishing Returns. Of course, this Cycle is different as we are already over the previous Cycle's ATH, while in November 2020 we were exactly on it. This is due to the launch of the Bitcoin ETF, which has accelerated its growth, so maybe the capital inflows will extend this Cycle beyond what should have been based on the diminishing returns.
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Is Ethereum lagging behind the market and competitors?Btc is thr king and Eth is ghe queen of the cryptocurrency .
Now. Question is here, Does Ethereum want to remain queen?
I have been checking the status of 4 rival coins since September 1st.
Bitcoin
Ethereum
Cardano
Solana
====≈===================
The following section shows a comparison of prices from September 1st to now and their growth percentage.
Btc 52500 >> 99600 ≈90%🥉
Eth 2140>> 3425 ≈ 60% 🧸
Ada 0.3 >>> 1.15 ≈ 283% 🥇
Sol 120>>> 255 ≈ 112% 🥈
As we can see, Ethereum growth has been very, very low.
I think if Ethereum fails to make significant growth in this uptrend, competitors will take Ethereum's place and the crown will be taken from Ethereum's head.
What is your judgment and analyzing?
Please share your comments with me 🙏
Bitcoin (btc)Btc usdt Daily analysis
Time frame 4 hours
Bitcoin broke out of the triangle it had formed.
( yellow triangle shape)
Then it moved on to the new target, which was $ 100,000.
But btc couldn't pass 100$ Price thet is a mentally resistant.
Then come down to triangle and strong support lines in 92000$ area
Now I guess btc will move up to 100.000 $ again and maybe break it or not and move up and down in this box to start alt party
BITCOIN SELL OFF TO $86,000!Looking to short BTC as price action is offering a shift in market structure. Targeting below current Wave 4 for a healthy retracement. HIGH RISK TRADE.
⭕️Wave 3-5 Impulse Move Complete (Major Wave 3).
⭕️Waiting On 3 Sub-Waves (A,B,C) Correction (Major Wave 4).
⭕️Overbought Market Conditions.
Bitcoin Analysis: Two Key Demand Zones for Potential Bounce
Bitcoin's price action currently hovers near critical areas of demand, suggesting two zones where buyers might step in to push prices higher. These zones represent areas of significant historical interest where demand has previously outweighed supply, potentially leading to a bounce:
Demand Zone 1 - Immediate Support:
This zone lies between $93,420 - $95,000 where Bitcoin recently found support during its last pullback. It aligns with a high-demand area on the chart, characterized by a cluster of previous rejections and consolidations. Buyers may look to defend this level as it coincides with key technical confluences, such as previous swing lows and trendline support.
Demand Zone 2 - Deeper Support Level:
The second demand zone is located between $91,850 - $90,800 marking a region where significant buying pressure previously triggered strong upward momentum. This zone is reinforced by a high-volume accumulation area and aligns with a critical Fibonacci retracement level. If the price dips to this region, it may attract long-term buyers aiming to capitalize on lower prices.
Key Considerations:
Price Reaction: Monitor how Bitcoin reacts as it approaches these zones; wicks and sharp rejections could signal strong demand.
Volume Confirmation: Increasing buy-side volume near these zones will validate the strength of the demand areas.
Risk Management: A sustained break below these zones may invalidate the bullish thesis, so stop-loss placement is crucial.
These demand zones serve as key levels to watch for potential reversals, offering strategic entry points for traders looking to capitalize on a possible Bitcoin bounce
If you're looking for the most accurate and reliable insights into Bitcoin's price action, my analysis is second to none. Follow my updates for consistent, actionable strategies that outperform the market.
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Altcoins - What's Next in Crypto (Live) 🤖🚀 Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Altcoins - What's Next in the Crypto Market? 📈🌐
In this update, we dive into the crypto markets, exploring Bitcoin, Ethereum, and key altcoins as the tides shift bullish. Last time, I shared bearish insights—today, let’s unpack the green resurgence.
Bitcoin Update:
Bitcoin is back in an ascending channel, signaling bullish momentum.
Key support: $94,175. Resistance: $97,660. A breach above could take us to the $100,000 mark—my confidence stands at ~65%.
Reminder: If $94K support fails, caution is warranted as retracement could follow.
Ethereum Insights:
Outperforming Bitcoin with strong momentum. Target: $3,649.
Favorable fundamentals and structure make Ethereum the standout choice, even over Solana, where trends are less promising.
Altcoins in Focus:
Total Alt Market Cap (excluding BTC/ETH): Support at $906B–$900B, with resistance descending near $950B.
Ethereum > Solana: Favoring Ethereum to outperform based on stronger structure and resistance levels.
Specific setups:
UNI: Stellar performance—targeting $14–$17.
ICP: Bullish above $10.88, aiming for $14.
DOGE: Support at $0.38–$0.44, with potential to test $0.69.
XRP, Cardano, Solana: Showing resistance at critical levels; other assets may present better risk-reward.
What’s Next? The crypto market is brimming with opportunities, but step cautiously. Resistance levels across assets require vigilance, and taking profits is always wise. Ethereum remains a key focus for its bullish trajectory, while Bitcoin’s potential climb to $100K could redefine sentiment.
Stay tuned for more updates and analysis!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BTC Retrace Possibly Complete H4From BTC low to swing high (88,700 to 99,800) we have had a perfect breakdown through the fibs all the way down to a perfect body close on the .786. The price action dipped below the 100 sma for a short period and quickly recovered this level. Price is currently trading above the .5 fib retracement level. RSI is 49 at time of publishing and trending upward after an MA cross. Price is targeting the .382 and 50 sma next as levels to watch as btc recovers further. This is just my opinion, there is also clearly a scenario with more downside. This idea is strictly my opinion.
Not financial advice.
Do your own DD.
Thanks for viewing the idea.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-27: BreakAway PatternHappy day before Thanksgiving, everyone.
Stay safe this holiday and remember to share hugs and love with all the people that are the most important in your life.
Trading will be there tomorrow and the next day - always.
Family, health, and loved ones always come before trading/work.
Today is a Breakaway pattern for the SPY. I suspect the SPY will still struggle near the 600 level and possibly REJECT into a downward price trend over the next 5+ trading days.
The QQQ is showing a very clear Flagging formation whereas the SPY is showing more overall strength.
Gold and Silver make a big GAP move higher. This is nice to see. I still believe Gold will attempt to rally above $3000 before the end of 2024 and Silver will attempt to rally above $35 before the end of 2024.
Bitcoin is now moving into a projected consolidation phase. The pending breakdown phase may see Bitcoin move down to the $74k to GETTEX:82K level. Buckle up.
Remember, we are going to have Thanksgiving holiday and shortened trading hours. If you have not already moved a large portion of your capital into CASH, you could be taking unwanted risks.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BTC Lengthening Cycle Theory in 2024-25 Bull runBTC Weekly chart full extension of the Lengthening Cycle Theory into 2025 could play out something like this. Let's see how it plays out with our new Crypto friendly US Presidential administration coming into power. Trump says he likes crypto. "It's a great thing. We really like crypto in this country. We should Make Crypto Great Again." Put your money where your mouth is Mr. President.