BTC Fractal Update!!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is repeating the same ABC pattern that led to past 70 %+ rallies.
We're now at a decision point — next weekly close will confirm:
Scenario 1: Rejection Below $96K (Circle 1)
→ Likely dip to $78K–$80.5K (channel bottom + 0.5 Fib)
→ Final shakeout before major move.
Scenario 2: Breakout Above $96K (Circle 2)
→ Retest at $90.5K
→ Then rally toward $160K+ begins (Circle 3)
BTC is hovering near the $100K mark — up 5% from the $96K breakout — mirroring the previous breakout from $63K (Circle 2), where it surged to $ 67K (+5%) before a sharp retest to $59.2K, followed by a major rally.
A similar healthy retest could be on the cards before CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaks its ATH!
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Happy Trading!!
1-BTCUSD
CadChf daily bias confirmedGood day traders, I’m back with CadChf but this one is special cause it provides us a clean setup where I will get an opportunity to explain some of ICT concepts that I look for and have made me the trader I am today but I’m not here to talk about Michael!! Just his thoughts behind this type of setup.
Well my excitement is that this setup is happening on the daily timeframe so hopefully it’ll be much more understandable. First let’s start with some tape reading on the left hand side we can see that price has been bearish and have reason to believe that price has bottomed as we can see that price left a low only to later take out creating a new one than made a run higher shifting structure on the lower TF’s but here on the daily what price did was leave the first presented FVG which you can see on the chart I have marked it. Back to the tape, if you take a closer look at that F.PFVG you’ll see that price only touch the upper quarter of the level and price made a move higher. Here why I said this one was special👂 ICT teaches how to look at price from a naked eye just by dividing gaps, FVG and OB’s and more.. by 4 quarters and FIB retrace works wonders here 0,25,50,75,100. 50 being the midpoint. Price from experience since paying attention to details always comes for the F.PFVG midpoint ATLEAST!🔊
If you look at the chart again you’ll see a red arrow pointing to that wick’cosidered a gap’, now if we consider that wick a gap than we gonna treat it as one. If you take you FIB and get the levels you’ll see price was a few pips shy of the midpoint of that gap!!👂
Our narrative than becomes…we wanna see price reach the midpoint of that wick considered a gap. Than we gonna shoot down if we can just get to that midpoint 🤞🏾
Because we cannot I repeat we cannot trust price, we can expect it to disrespect that buyside but not close higher 🛑✋, our draw on liquidity is the one below.
Please study this setup carefully 🙏🏽🙏🏽
Trade Idea: BTCUSD Long (BUY LIMIT)Technical Analysis:
Daily Chart
• Trend: Strong uptrend with a recent bullish recovery from a pullback.
• MACD: Bullish crossover, MACD line above Signal line, histogram positive.
• RSI (14): 66.21 — momentum is strong but not overbought.
15-Minute Chart
• MACD: Positive histogram and crossover confirming short-term bullish momentum.
• RSI (14): 53.89 — mid-range, confirming no immediate exhaustion.
• Price Action: Higher lows and higher highs indicate short-term trend alignment with the Daily.
3-Minute Chart
• MACD: Bearish divergence, indicating a possible short-term pullback.
• RSI (14): 43.43 — recent dip offering a better long entry on minor weakness.
• Price: Currently consolidating near $97,000 after rejecting a local high.
⸻
Fundamental Context:
• Macro: Institutional inflows into BTC ETFs and upcoming monetary easing expectations are long-term bullish drivers.
• Market Sentiment: Risk-on behavior across equities is spilling into crypto.
⸻
Trade Setup (Long Position)
• Entry: $96,800
• Minor pullback support zone on M15/M3, aligns with moving average and volume node.
• Stop Loss (SL): $95,400
• Below recent swing low and structural support.
• Take Profit (TP): $100,200
• Near Daily resistance and psychological round number FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSD
BTC/USD 1D chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC chart for USD, in this situation we can see how the price came out of a strong downward trend, which gave a strong upward movement for the price. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = 96592 $
T2 = 101878 $
Т3 = 109442 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 92363 $
SL2 = 89028 $
SL3 = 83498 $
SL4 = 79350 $
Looking at the RSI indicator, we can see that despite a small price change, the indicator strongly reacted what potentially can give energy to further price increases in the coming weeks.
Bitcoin is Overbought, but $100,000 Target is Still at HandFenzoFx—Bitcoin is overbought at $97,000, a signal indicated by the Stochastic Oscillator. The price is expected to consolidate before the uptrend resumes. In this scenario, a dip toward $93,565 may provide a favorable entry point into the bull market.
Watch this level, followed by $91,720, for bullish signals such as candlestick patterns.
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Market Overview (May 7, 2025)📊 Key Metrics
1. Funding Rate: ~0.018% (on Binance)
— positive rate indicates long position dominance and bullish sentiment
2. Open Interest (OI): GETTEX:29B , up ~ SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:7B in recent days
— rising OI suggests new positions are opening, increasing volatility risk
3. ETF Inflows: +$420.9M (May 6)
— strong institutional demand, especially into BlackRock’s IBIT
4. Fear & Greed Index: 67 (Greed)
— rising greed may signal potential for a short-term correction
⸻
📈 Market Movement Probability
• Upward: 60%
(supported by ETF inflows and positive funding)
• Downward: 40%
(high greed and rising OI could trigger a correction)
⸻
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research.
GbpAud now the “buyers” are within!Good day traders, we back with GBPAUD but before I go into it. Last week I took loss because I was buying GBPAUD but I lately found out I was way too early and my narrative has not changed at all.
1D- Daily TF we have a bearish structure and we know that once price shifts structure we want price to retest Atleast till the 0.705 of the OTE fib level to later continue to the Sellside liquidity.
4H- On this respective TF we are also in a bearish structure but I believe not for long because on the lower TF the shift higher has materialised, giving confirmation that we can start positioning ourselves for the up movement.
1H- ICT has a entry model(F.PFVG), on the hourly we saw prices giving back all of yesterday’s gains till it reach that level of first presented FVG and that’s what we gonna use as the level of interest.
BTC at Key Inflection Zone – Breakout or Rejection Ahead?Asset: BTC/USD
Timeframe: 4H or Daily (based on visual pattern structure)
As of: May 6, 2025
Indicators:
50 EMA (Red): $91,615.79
200 EMA (Blue): $89,305.75
Key Technical Zones:
🔴 Resistance Zone: ~$104,000 – $108,000
This area has historically acted as a major supply zone.
Price has been rejected from this level multiple times, indicating strong selling pressure.
🔁 Flip Zone (Resistance turned Support/Support turned Resistance): ~$95,500 – $100,000
The current price ($95,234.23) is testing this zone from below.
A confirmed break and hold above could signal continuation toward the higher resistance.
🟢 Strong Support Zone: ~$88,000 – $91,000
Confluence of 50 EMA and 200 EMA adds strength to this demand zone.
Previous breakout level and accumulation area.
EMA Outlook:
50 EMA > 200 EMA: Short-term bullish crossover is active, indicating bullish momentum.
Both EMAs are sloping upward slightly, suggesting trend strengthening.
Price is currently above both EMAs, which acts as dynamic support.
Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If price reclaims the $95,500–$100,000 resistance-turned-support zone:
Expect upward momentum to continue.
Target: $104,000–$108,000 zone.
Break of $108K could lead to a macro bull continuation.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario:
If price rejects the current zone and fails to hold above the $91,000 support:
Look for retest of $88,000–$89,000 area (confluence with EMAs).
Breakdown below that zone would invalidate bullish structure and signal potential deeper correction.
Summary:
Bias: Bullish above $91K, Neutral between FWB:88K –$91K, Bearish below $88K.
Key Confirmation Needed: Daily close above $100,000 for strong bullish continuation.
Risk Management: Watch for fakeouts within the $95K–$100K range due to past volatility.
Bitcoin - The Bottom Is In!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is reversing right now:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It was really just a matter of time until Bitcoin actually manages to create a potential short term and longer term bottom. With this monthly candle, bulls are taking over again and starting to buy cryptos quite heavily. The chart just tells us that this is not the end, but rather the continuation.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
PENGUUSDTA risky analysis of a popular meme coin..
Based on this analysis, we are in wave 4 and it is expected to end soon and enter wave 5..
Around 0.091 to 0.085, if the price reaches it, it will be suitable for a short swing to the target of 0.0163 and 0.0175..
Ideal time zones are also marked with low tolerance..
This analysis can be easily filled..
BTC Rebounds from Support, Eyes Resistance ZoneBitcoin Price Analysis – Potential Upside from Support Zone
The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USD) trading in a range between strong support ($98,500–$99,000). After bouncing from support, price is currently testing the 50 EMA (~$94,821). A bullish scenario is expected with a possible move toward the resistance zone if price holds above support.
NOTCOIN : IT'S TIME TO BUY GUYSHello dears
If you are risk-averse, this analysis is for you...
According to the bullish pattern that has formed, you can see that we had a decline and now it is time to take a logical risk, that is, we buy at the specified levels with capital management to move towards the specified goals...
*Trade safely with us*
XRP : ETF...Hello dears
Considering the good growth we had, you can see that the price is stuck in a long-term range and has not managed to break it yet...
We must be prepared for any scenario, so the best thing to do is to buy stepwise, of course with capital and risk management.
Note that this analysis is on a daily time frame and may take a while, so if you are not patient, do not enter.
*Trade safely with us*
Analysis of the Latest SignalsThe advancement of the Bitcoin Reserve Bill in many US states, such as Arizona's plan to allocate 10% of state assets to BTC, combined with the discussion on the regulatory framework at the White House Crypto Summit, may make policy clarity a catalyst for future market conditions. The market is watching this week's FOMC decision. If the rate - cut expectation heats up, it may promote the recovery of Bitcoin liquidity.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Trading Strategy:
buy@93500-94000
TP:95500-96000
Bitcoin is likely to rise after its declineFrom the perspective of historical trends and technical indicators, when the short-term moving averages show a bullish arrangement, it is usually a relatively strong signal. However, the previously mentioned signs of a bearish divergence in the MACD indicator imply the risk of a pullback. If Bitcoin can break through the recent resistance level, such as $95,000, it may trigger a new round of upward trend. Conversely, if it fails to break through and the selling pressure continues to increase, there may be a certain degree of decline.👉👉👉
From the demand side, although the inflow of ETF funds is still lower than the level in 2024, the apparent demand has turned positive since the end of February, indicating a certain purchasing power. If this kind of demand continues to grow, it will provide support for the price of Bitcoin. On the supply side, the total amount of Bitcoin is fixed, and the increase in mining difficulty has slowed down the growth rate of new currency supply, which is conducive to price stability or increase to a certain extent.
BTCUSD Trading Strategy
buy @ 93500-9370
sl 925000
tp 94800-95000
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!👉👉👉
Here's a simply analysis on BTC.BTC Update:
BTC faced rejection after reaching $97.8k, and with the current price at $94.4k, it is now in Retest Range 1 between $92.5k and $94.5k. This range has previously shown multiple rebounds, but when compared with the RSI, the chances of further rejection appear higher.
In another scenario, if BTC fails to hold Retest Range 1, we may see it pulling back or retesting levels around $87k.
Be cautious with multiple long positions for now and always trade with a proper stop-loss.
Regards,
Dexter
2 out of 2? gBPcAd..iT’s tIMe yET?1D- Daily timeframe we saw price break structure lower but after the break price did not move lower in fact we saw it retracing.
4H- Here price agreed with the daily by breaking structure higher to go take the liquidity(Internal) resting higher, if we take a closer look at the leg that broke structure higher we can than identify imbalances in price and as ICT mentions price looks for two things 1. liquidity and 2. Imbalances. Right now our focus is price balancing before going for the buyside.
BTCUSD INTRADAY sideways consolidationThe BTC/USD pair maintains a bullish overall sentiment, underpinned by a sustained upward trend. However, recent intraday price action suggests a phase of sideways consolidation, indicating a potential buildup before the next directional move.
Key Levels:
Support: 90,880 (primary), followed by 88,800 and 87,070
Resistance: 98,940, with extended targets at 101,030 and 101,100
A corrective dip toward the key support zone at 90,880 could offer a bullish rebound opportunity. A successful bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend and pave the way for a test of the 98,940 resistance. A breakout above this level may open the door to further gains toward 101,030 and 101,100 over the longer term.
Conversely, a decisive break and daily close below 90,880 would invalidate the bullish setup, potentially triggering a deeper pullback toward the 88,800 and 87,070 support levels.
Conclusion:
While the broader trend remains bullish, BTC/USD is currently consolidating. Traders should watch the 90,880 support closely—its defence may confirm trend continuation, while a breakdown could signal a short-term bearish reversal.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.