january 20 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
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This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
Today, Nasdaq is closed and there is a high possibility of sideways movement.
In the case of Bitcoin, the report is being updated,
and the movement is coming out as expected before.
The most important part is whether the weekly chart MACD dead cross is in progress.
If the Bollinger band weekly chart resistance line is touched,
the dead cross is ignored and can continue to rise,
but if it is not touched,
the dead cross must be imprinted while moving sideways,
so the sideways movement period may be long in the mid-term.
Today, based on trend following
* One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves
1. $ 107,086.5 long position entry section / stop loss price when the green support line is broken
2. $ 113,417 long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target
The Good section at the top is the weekly chart Bollinger band resistance line. From this section touch, you can operate a short position autonomously,
and from the update of the report, it can shake up and down greatly,
so you must proceed with the stop loss price unconditionally.
From the green support line -> Bottom, a long bullish candle is in progress,
and since it is a full candle,
even if it moves sideways,
it should not go down to the bottom and
should be supported.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply refer to and use my analysis,
and I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss price.
Thank you.
1-BTCUSD
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Short Analysis of the GBP/USD Chart: Short Analysis of the GBP/USD Chart:
- *Current Price*: 1.22722 USD per GBP.
- *Resistance Level*: Around 1.23500 USD, marked as a rejection zone.
- *Support Trendline*: An upward trendline connecting the lows from January 10 to January 21.
- *Potential Movement*: Indication of a downward movement from the rejection zone, suggesting a bearish outlook.
target based on the provided GBP/USD chart analysis:
Bearish Scenario:
- *Initial Target*: If the price rejects the resistance level around 1.23500 USD and confirms a downward movement, the initial target would be around 1.22000 USD.
- *Extended Target*: If the bearish trend continues, a more extended target could be around 1.21000 USD, close to the next significant support level.
Bullish and Bearish Catalysts for Bitcoin in 2025 Overview🔸Bullish Catalysts for Bitcoin in 2025
1. Institutional Adoption
Broader Integration: Continued adoption by institutions like pension funds, banks, and asset managers could increase demand.
Bitcoin ETFs: Expansion of spot Bitcoin ETFs globally, especially in the U.S., would make Bitcoin more accessible to retail and institutional investors.
Corporate Treasury Investments: More companies might allocate Bitcoin as a reserve asset, following the lead of MicroStrategy and Tesla.
2. Macroeconomic Factors
Inflation Hedge Narrative: Persistently high global inflation could bolster Bitcoin's appeal as "digital gold."
Monetary Policy: Potential quantitative easing or rate cuts by central banks could drive capital into risk assets, including Bitcoin.
3. Technological Improvements
Bitcoin Lightning Network: Enhanced scalability and adoption of the Lightning Network for microtransactions and DeFi applications could improve Bitcoin's utility.
Layer-2 Solutions: Development of new layer-2 technologies could further expand Bitcoin's use cases.
4. Halving Event
2024 Halving Impact: The Bitcoin halving in April 2024 reduced the block reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC, tightening supply. Historically, halving events have driven significant price rallies 12-18 months afterward.
5. Regulatory Clarity
Positive Legislation: Clear and favorable regulations in major markets (e.g., the U.S., EU) could foster confidence and attract institutional investors.
Global Coordination: A unified global regulatory approach could reduce uncertainty and boost adoption.
6. Retail and Emerging Market Growth
Global Awareness: Growing understanding of Bitcoin in developing nations as a hedge against local currency devaluation.
Remittances: Increased use of Bitcoin for low-cost international remittances.
7. Increasing Scarcity
Fixed Supply: Bitcoin’s capped supply of 21 million ensures increasing scarcity as adoption grows.
HODLing Behavior: Long-term holders removing BTC from circulation could drive supply-side pressure.
8. Geopolitical Instability
Flight to Safety: Increased demand during global uncertainty, economic crises, or capital controls.
9. Integration with AI and Web3
Synergy with AI: Growth of AI and blockchain integrations may create new use cases for Bitcoin.
Web3 Economy: As a foundational layer for decentralized ecosystems, Bitcoin could see broader adoption.
10. Media and Cultural Sentiment
Positive media coverage, endorsements by public figures, and societal shifts toward decentralized technology could amplify Bitcoin's appeal.
🔸Bearish Catalysts for Bitcoin in 2025
1. Regulatory Risks
Government Crackdowns: Strict bans or heavy taxation on Bitcoin trading, mining, or usage could dampen demand.
Unfavorable Laws: Restrictions on self-custody wallets or excessive KYC/AML requirements could deter users.
2. Competition
Rise of Altcoins: Advanced layer-1 blockchains like Ethereum, Solana, or newer platforms may attract capital away from Bitcoin.
Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs): Widespread adoption of CBDCs could limit Bitcoin’s appeal for transactions and as a reserve asset.
3. Macroeconomic Headwinds
High Interest Rates: Sustained high rates could make traditional assets like bonds more attractive than risk assets like Bitcoin.
Deflationary Pressures: A global economic slowdown or recession could reduce investor appetite for speculative assets.
4. Technological Challenges
Scalability Concerns: Bitcoin’s limited throughput might restrict its utility in a high-demand environment.
Energy Criticism: Renewed criticism of Bitcoin mining’s environmental impact could harm its reputation.
5. Market Manipulation
Whale Activity: Large holders (whales) dumping Bitcoin could lead to significant price declines.
Wash Trading: Perceptions of manipulation on unregulated exchanges could erode trust.
6. Security Threats
51% Attack: A hypothetical (though unlikely) scenario where a mining pool gains majority control of the network.
Quantum Computing: Advances in quantum computing could pose a threat to Bitcoin’s cryptographic security.
7. Sentiment Decline
Media FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt): Negative media coverage or misinformation campaigns could harm retail sentiment.
Retail Exit: Declining interest among retail traders and investors could reduce market activity.
8. Post-Halving Sell-Off
Historically, there is often significant volatility following halving events, with potential for a sharp sell-off if expectations aren’t met.
9. Legal Risks
Lawsuits Against Key Players: High-profile cases involving Bitcoin-related firms or individuals could hurt investor confidence.
Fraudulent Activity: Large-scale scams involving Bitcoin could tarnish its reputation.
10. Network Fragmentation
Forks: Another contentious fork or network split could undermine confidence in Bitcoin’s stability.
🔸Conclusion
In 2025, Bitcoin’s price will likely be influenced by a complex interplay of factors. Bullish catalysts such as institutional adoption, the 2024 halving, and technological improvements could drive significant growth, while bearish risks like regulatory crackdowns, competition, and macroeconomic headwinds could suppress its momentum.
🔸Ultimately, Bitcoin’s performance will depend on how these dynamics unfold and the broader evolution of the crypto market. Diversification and due diligence remain key for investors.
BTC: Claimed a New All-Time High!BTC touched a new all-time high of $109,568 on the same day Trump entered the White House to take office.
Previously, I mentioned a potential rejection toward FWB:73K , but BTC was rejected at $89.3k and eventually rebounded to claim a new all-time high. Following this 23% rally, BTC still needs to break above the resistance trendline for further bullish movement. Unless BTC breaks through the resistance, the chances of rejection remain valid.
Bullish Move: A breakout above the resistance trendline, creating a new all-time high.
Bearish Move: A rejection from the resistance trendline.
Trade safely.
ATCryptoScan - the issue with the BTCUSD rally...Overall, and fundamentally, Bullish on Crypto.
However, few things are red flagging...
A surprise sudden rally that appears to have ended yesterday with a long upper tail to close the daily candle in very bad shape. This candle itself shows the selling pressure, above the previous day down candlestick that is pretty much a Bearish Engulfing.
The recent reversal represents a double top (perhaps?), albeit there is a higher high; but for Crypto I would tend to disregard this due to volatile nature of the asset anyways. Price action also broke out of a decision box (purple) and broke back in again, typically expect to extrude the other (lower) side.
Meanwhile, the RoVD has tapered below zero although still green.
So, perhaps the projected path is still intact and BTCUSD is moving somewhat to expectations...
So aiming for Feb @75K...
IS BTC in Retracemnt
Seeing the , the trend line; three times the btc on this 9 days chart, it has retraced at difference of 15 degrees,and the number of bars are increasing with the factor of 32 as u see at the photo , I do believe , is gone be true the forth time by may :three times is not random.
Bitcoin - Lofty Promises, Disturbing Results: My Crypto Journey.I make no claim to know where Bitcoin is headed. All I know is my opinion on it, and my feelings about cryptocurrencies in general, especially how they've evolved over the years. My sense continues to tell me that things are very wrong with crypto, and that eventually it's going to fade into the uncomfortable past, a kind of failed experiment. Back in 2022, I thought that if it gets bigger and bigger, it's a general symptom of wealth concentration, exploitation, and mass delusion. I don't think this technology is beneficial to society, as it extracts both attention and resources from its participants. Unless, of course, you can manage to be one of those who profits and then turns their profits into material wealth and/or positive change.
Looking at my own personal timeline for my sentiment about crypto, let's see how I ended up here:
November, 2017 : I am out of college for over a year now. I've been working a tough sales job for a year and I'm beginning to get burned out. I hear about Bitcoin from a friend. "if you buy in at $10K, sell at $20k and double your money." I then learn about Bitcoin and think, well, things are pretty bleak in the world right now. I don't know what I'm doing with my life. What if the banks collapse and I'm left with nothing? Bitcoin seems like a viable alternative. I buy out of fear, around $13.8k. Then, I see my value go up. Greed takes over. I go down a rabbit hole, learning about altcoins such as XRP, XLM, and LTC. Even XRB, which later becomes Nano. What if any of these becomes the next Bitcoin?
January, 2018: I think that I should have just cashed out. I must have bought the top. But, what if it all comes back even stronger? I could be rich. I pull out part of my initial investment and watch the rest continue to spiral downwards. I quit my job out of burnout.
May, 2018: Bitcoin continues to make lower highs. I start working that crazy sales job again part-time, as I need the money while the bear market persists.
December, 2018: All hope seems lost. I quit my sales job, again out of burnout and deciding I don't want to do this the rest of my life. I'm 25 years old. Then, I decide to look for reasons price might go up again, which would also then save me from having to go back to work again. I could just be an artist full time. I get into TA, thinking that it's kind of like art. Instead of working on my actual art or writing as much as I want to, I create all sorts of trendlines and other visual and fundamental reasons crypto could come back even stronger than before. I prepare. I buy ETH around $100. I'm now posting regularly on TradingView. I start figuring out which coins I want to load up on for the next bull run.
April, 2019: The market is back. I'm pretty sure the bottom is in. I'm gonna make it. I continue to post about various cryptocurrencies on tradingview, although I begin to feel worried about altcoins. Will they survive through the next cycle?
October, 2019: The market is volatile. Bitcoin finally hits $10K again, though there's something strange going on. Is price being manipulated?
February, 2020: Things are starting to feel precarious. ETH has done better now, boosting my portfolio back towards break even for the first time. The COVID crash is immanent. I've decided on a career to pursue.
March, 2020: Panic. Markets are screwed. I'm going down with the ship. I'm too scared to buy more because everything feels apocalyptic.
September, 2020: I begin grad school. While working mostly from home and attending classes remotely, I have a lot of time on my hands to post crypto analysis. I want to invest more, but I have very little income as a student. I feel that price is about to explode upwards. However, in grad school I'm also learning a lot about systems and becoming more and more skeptical about whether crypto would bring about any positive change to financial systems.
February, 2021: ETH has broken all-time high. I'm in significant profit. I'm checking my portfolio all the time. Will the altcoins rally soon?
Spring - Summer 2021: There's a huge amount of dumping. What's going on here? Why does Elon Musk have so much influence over this market? I thought it was supposed to be decentralized. Tweets are having a huge effect on the market. Should I sell? No, I think it's just a correction. I'm right, at least for now.
December, 2021: I'm feeling pretty bullish. Bitcoin made a significant new all-time high. But, something is tingling underneath my skin. I can't quite shake it. What's going on with this LUNA coin? A number of things are starting to unravel in my mind. For example, El Salvador recently made Bitcoin legal tender, but the response was very tepid. It's not seeming very practical at all. If it's not a viable currency, then what is it? I think about Elon Musk. I think about Michael Saylor and his defrauding of investors during the dotcom boom. I allow the cognitive dissonance I've been experiencing completely take over.
January - February, 2022: My feelings culminate. I decide to let go of all my crypto, realizing that it's not playing out ideally how I'd hoped. Plus, I'm in significant profit now. The forces that have taken advantage and control in traditional markets and the broader economy have latched themselves onto the cryptocurrency market, where investors are easily exploitable. The Super Bowl happens. Crypto starts to feel more and more like a joke. Who is really profiting from all this? NFT's are also irking me.
May, 2022: I finish grad school. Terra LUNA collapses, shortly after I speculated it would. For the rest of the year, I feel validated in my feelings about crypto. FTX collapses later that year, and although in hindsight it marked the bottom of the bear market, I'm hopeful that people will stay far away from this market in years to come. I am optimistic about my own financial future, as I now have a stable career. Later in the year, I make some money day trading, but I eventually stop since it's distracting me from my work.
July, 2023: I continue with my new career in the mental health field. I'm 30 years old. XRP was deemed not a security when sold to retail investors, but a security when sold to initial institutional investors. I am disappointed in this outcome, as I disagree and believe many altcoins like XRP are clear securities. I'm glad to be paying less attention to the crypto market.
January, 2024: Against my speculation and to my disappointment, Bitcoin ETF's are approved. I stubbornly stay away from the market, believing the ETFs to be another cash grab and an opportunity for existing holders to cash out, particularly those whales who have been on the stablecoin side of things - the orchestrators behind USDD, USDT, etcetera.
August, 2024: Ripple is only fined a tiny fraction of the initial request by the SEC for selling unlicensed securities. This opens the floodgates for money to pour back into altcoins, and for more ETFs to eventually be created.
November, 2024: Bitcoin finally makes a significant new all-time high after Trump is re-elected. It had been consolidating for much of the year, seeming at times that it would break down and not push past its previous high.
January, 2025: Trump is back in office. There's volatility across the market. Many are hopeful that his presidency will bear fruit for crypto holders. Meanwhile, he creates his own meme tokens and profits enormously from them, not unlike the numerous crypto grifters from years past, the grifters that took hold of the market and told me to stay away. I feel upset that price went against my speculation, though also vindicated. Crypto is exactly what I realized it was. My opinion has not changed. It's just another bulky asset, though one where the corruption is far more transparent than it is in the world of traditional finance. Even though it's there for all to see, not much is being done about it. Typical, really, of this current era of deregulation and apathy. Michael Saylor continues to hoard more and more. It's just the plaything of the wealthy now. It's what some people always wanted Bitcoin to become, but the antithesis of what many thought it represented.
I'm happy with my career, and I feel good knowing I invested in myself and did not continue to chase cryptocurrencies. After all, it's better to be able to generate capital myself than wait for someone else to do it for me. It's a more certain future for me, with much less speculation. I'm also able to pay off everything from grad school with my profits from the last bull market.
Bitcoin active addresses have not grown since 2017. studio.glassnode.com
It is hoarding, and hoarding through custodians. Plus, those who were already into it just kept buying. A few left entirely. And a few wealthy players began accumulating.
Now for a little TA:
This is the structure I'm looking at for Bitcoin. Failure to push back above that orange trendline has resulted in a rejection so far. This chart should give an idea as to the various extremes price can take over the coming days/weeks:
This is the longer term BLX chart, showing diminishing returns curved trendlines. If Bitcoin continues to follow this shape, the peak could be limited to $160-170K if reached this year. That is, if it has not already hit the top.
The bottom of this structure is comfortably at a major level - near $30k.
This bullish structure would need to break down to confirm a bearish period:
Right now, the chart LOOKS bullish, but it's important to pay attention to the other signals, the other things going on behind the scenes. Public perception is important as well. The monthly chart appears bullish until the 9 EMA (near $80k now) is lost. The ultimate oscillator continues to show a longer term bearish divergence:
The weekly chart can look like a tweezer top with a failed high if price cannot push back above $108k later this week.
If that push up is successful, I think price can rally up towards $160k before profit taking begins in real earnest again.
Let's see what happens!
Thank you for going on this journey with me, especially if you've followed me since the earlier days. As always, this post represents my personal opinion and is in no way intended as financial advice.
-Victor Cobra
BITCOIN This is what followed Trump's previous inaugurationBitcoin / BTCUSD appears to be repeating almost the exact same pattern of Trump's 2016 election win.
The chart on the right shows that a Bull Flag set the stage for the Nov 8th 2016 elections, after which the price rallied near the 2.0 Fib extension and consolidated until Trump's Jan 20th 2017 inauguration.
What followed after that was an immediate rally a little over the 3.0 Fibonacci.
With the 2024-2025 pattern being almost identical so far, we can expect a similar rally to the 3.0 Fib, which is a little over $150k.
Previous chart:
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BTC Volatility Hits 6-Month High, Options Trading ExplodesImplied and realized volatility indexes hit the highest levels since August's yen carry trade unwind.
Bitcoin (BTC), the world's largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has always been synonymous with volatility. However, recent market activity indicates a significant surge in price fluctuations, with both implied and realized volatility indexes reaching levels not seen since August of the previous year. This spike in volatility coincides with a renewed frenzy in the Bitcoin options market, suggesting that traders are anticipating significant price swings in the near future.
Understanding Volatility
In financial markets, volatility refers to the degree of variation in the price of a trading asset over time. High volatility implies that the price of an asset can fluctuate dramatically over a short period, while low volatility suggests relatively stable price movements. Volatility can be measured in two primary ways:
1. Realized Volatility: This is a historical measure of how much an asset's price has fluctuated in the past. It is typically calculated by looking at the standard deviation of price changes over a specific period, such as 30 days.
2. Implied Volatility: This is a forward-looking measure of how much the market expects an asset's price to fluctuate in the future. It is derived from the pricing of options contracts, which give the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a specific price on or before a certain date.
Current Market Trends
The increase in implied volatility suggests that options traders are pricing in a higher probability of significant price swings in Bitcoin. This could be due to a number of factors, including:
• Increased Institutional Participation: The growing involvement of institutional investors in the Bitcoin market has led to larger trading volumes and potentially greater price swings.
• Regulatory Uncertainty: The lack of clear regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies in many jurisdictions continues to create uncertainty and contribute to volatility.
• Market Sentiment: Overall market sentiment towards Bitcoin can also play a significant role in its volatility. Positive news and developments can lead to rapid price increases, while negative news can trigger sharp declines.
Options Market Frenzy
The surge in Bitcoin volatility is closely linked to a renewed frenzy in the Bitcoin options market. Options contracts provide traders with a way to bet on future price movements without having to directly buy or sell the underlying asset. The recent increase in options trading suggests that traders are actively seeking to capitalize on the expected price swings in Bitcoin.
One notable trend in the options market is the increasing demand for call options, which give the holder the right to buy Bitcoin at a specific price. This indicates that many traders are betting on further price increases in the cryptocurrency.
Potential Risks
While the current market conditions may present opportunities for some traders, it is important to be aware of the potential risks associated with high volatility. Rapid price swings can lead to significant losses for those who are not adequately prepared.
For latecomers to the Bitcoin market, the risk of immediate unrealized losses is particularly high. If the price of Bitcoin were to suddenly decline, those who recently bought in at higher prices could see their investments quickly lose value.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's recent surge in volatility, coupled with the frenzy in the options market, highlights the inherent risks and opportunities associated with this digital asset. While the potential for significant gains exists, traders must also be prepared for the possibility of substantial losses. As the Bitcoin market continues to evolve, it is crucial to stay informed and exercise caution when making investment decisions.
BITCOIN: Just bounced on the former 4 year Resistance.Bitcoin is staging an incredible rebound on the nearly 4 year HH Resistance Zone, while being on a bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.575, MACD = 1366.600, ADX = 28.907) and a borderline overbought 1W, which really sets the tone for the rest of the bull market. This turns the former Resistance Zone into a Support, as this is the first test and bounce since it broke in November after the U.S. elections.
Symmetrically, the rally since August 5th 2024 looks like the rejection since November 8th 2021. Like the rejection reached the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, we expect the current bullish wave to do the same thing. A TP = 200,000 can be easily achieved under these conditions.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Rektember - Will this trigger the final dump?We are heading into September and overall markets do not look good. Will we enter the final leg down before some sideways action in 2023.
We cannot ignore the fact that the MtGox 137,000 BTC release and potensial sell the Ethereum merge news will continue to contribute to the market drawdown.
Bitcoin Falls Back to $104KThe slight surge in confidence driven by the rise of cryptocurrencies $Trump and $Melania pushed Bitcoin’s price up by more than 5% to a new high of $109K . However, the volatility caused by Trump’s inauguration day has pulled the price back to the barrier of $105K in the short term.
Short-Term Sideways Range
A consistent sideways range continues to form between the resistance at $105K and the support around the $90K zone. Recent buying oscillations have been significant in bringing the price back to the top of the lateral movement, but so far, no major breakout has occurred to invalidate the current formation.
ADX Indicator
The ADX indicator line remains below the neutral level of 20, indicating a lack of a clear trend in the current price movements on the chart. Oscillations that continue to stay below 20 could prolong the potential sideways formation in the coming sessions.
RSI Indicator
The RSI line continues to move consistently above the 50 level. However, it is now nearing the overbought zone at 70, which could pose challenges for bullish movements around the current resistance area. Readings above 70 on the RSI may signal the onset of bearish corrections on the Bitcoin chart.
Key Levels
$105K: This is the most important resistance zone at the moment. Persistent oscillations above this level could reinforce buying momentum and initiate a new phase of previous bullish trends.
$90K: The closest support zone, corresponding to the lower boundary of the current sideways range. Oscillations near this level could consolidate the current lateral movement and dampen confidence in a new sustained upward trend.
By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
Crypto Alpha Report - January 20, 2025Happy Monday, friends! It’s Trump’s Inauguration Day, and the markets are exploding. Let’s dive in and see how far we can go.
Over the past week, we’ve seen a complete flip of ETF inflows. A clear trend has been established; while it seemed that many were fading the market in anticipation of today, that sentiment appears to have flipped moving into the end of last week.
While Trump’s inauguration was initially seen as a ‘Sell the News’ event, it’s now being viewed as a ‘Buy the News’ event. Primarily for Bitcoin, I believe much of this hinges on the possibility of Trump signing an Executive Order to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.
Bitcoin has now broken out of its consolidation wedge formation, and with three strong days of ETF inflows, I favor a spot Bitcoin long position.
Ultimately, price is unfolding as we have expected throughout all of January. We anticipated prices rising following a dovish inflation print; we expected price to pump into Trump’s inauguration. Moving forward, we expect some headwinds into January’s FOMC on the 29th, where I expect Powell to remain hawkish on inflation.
However, I’m now less concerned with the market reversing in any significant way following that, and I am more confident about the rally continuing. Ethereum is concerning, and I might parlay my ETH positions into short calls or another play as activity on ETH continues to drop.
Ultimately, market structure and flow suggest a continuation of this rally. At the same time, catalysts, depending on what Trump signs into action today, could significantly ignite pumps moving into the end of January.
BTC new all time highsOn going FIBonacci price targets of BTCUSD.
112,750 1st target, new all time high.
Resistance likely @ previous 108k all time high.
:: See chart for predictive price path.
--- Mid - Late Feburary price price prediction.
::: Speculative assumption on current BTC price action. :::
***Newest local low and price action suggest the new local low bottom with continuation to the up side.
108k should stabilize - followed by 112,750 new ATH target.
Short-term analysis of the pair Btc/Usd. Top up everyone!Welcome aboard my ship!
In my first review on this resource I would like to analyze the btc/usd pair.
At the current minute, the price has hit the upper boundary of liquidity and the main zone of sellers' imbalance. A breakdown of this zone will indicate a local reversal and a test of liquidity to the 103-104k area. Taking into account that the 1d candle closed with a strong pinbar and liquidation of more than 850 mln margin positions, I expect a breakdown on the strong imbalance of buyers and further continuation of the uptrend. Main target: 109-110k per coin. The scenario will lose its relevance at the breakdown of 90-91k.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Key Technical UpdateCurrent Price Action:
Bitcoin is testing a critical breakout point from a rectangle continuation pattern. If the breakout occurs, the next target range is $115,000–$120,000.
The bullish trend remains intact, supported by the formation of a higher low on January 13, and the strong support zone between $90,000–$92,000.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support:
$90,000–$92,000: This support zone has proven crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. As long as Bitcoin stays above this level, the market remains bullish.
Resistance:
$115,000–$120,000: This is the immediate target range if the breakout from the rectangle pattern confirms. A successful move into this zone would signal continued bullish strength.
Market Implications:
A successful breakout would likely push Bitcoin toward new all-time highs, further confirming the strength of the bullish trend.
Support at $90,000–$92,000 needs to hold for continued upside. A drop below this zone would challenge the bullish structure and necessitate a reevaluation of the trend.
Outlook:
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the upper boundary of the rectangle pattern would trigger a rally toward $115,000–$120,000, with new all-time highs likely.
Bearish Scenario: A failure to hold $90,000–$92,000 could lead to a deeper pullback, challenging key levels and potentially signaling a trend reversal.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin is at a critical point. A confirmed breakout from the rectangle continuation pattern would open the door to significant upside, with a potential move toward $115,000–$120,000. As long as $90,000–$92,000 holds as support, the bullish outlook remains strong.