Get started

1-BTCUSD

What's next for Bitcoin? Chop into end of March, then 165kI believe we are in the last leg of the cycle here. I expect another sideways chop to form a bull flag pattern into end of march, then a 3 wave move up to tap 164-165k before entering a 12month + bear market. Fear is at an all time high, alt coin traders are completely obliterated (I have been through it too, a lot of my previous attempts to call bottoms on some coins were invalidated due to a weaking broader market), however, I believe many alts now have put in bottoming structures such as POPCAT, FARTCOIN, MOG etc.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheTraderAndy
Bitcoin Plummets: ETF Exodus, Liquidations, and Global Jitters Bitcoin's recent plunge below the $90,000 threshold, a level unseen since November 2024, has sent ripples of concern through the cryptocurrency market. This sharp correction is attributed to a confluence of factors, including persistent ETF outflows, a surge in leveraged liquidations, and mounting geopolitical tensions, creating a volatile environment that has shaken investor confidence. The most immediate catalyst for Bitcoin's decline has been the sustained outflows from US-listed Bitcoin ETFs. These exchange-traded funds, which had previously fueled Bitcoin's ascent by providing institutional investors with easy access to the cryptocurrency, have recently witnessed a reversal in sentiment. Investors, possibly reacting to broader market anxieties and profit-taking, have begun withdrawing funds, putting downward pressure on Bitcoin's price. This outflow signals a shift in institutional appetite, raising questions about the sustainability of the previous bullish momentum. Adding fuel to the fire, the crypto market has experienced a significant wave of liquidations. Over $1.3 billion in leveraged positions were wiped out as Bitcoin's price plummeted. These liquidations, which occur when traders using borrowed funds are unable to meet margin requirements, exacerbate price volatility by triggering cascading sell orders. The sheer volume of liquidations underscores the high degree of leverage prevalent in the crypto market, highlighting the inherent risks associated with such trading strategies. Furthermore, macroeconomic uncertainties are contributing to the risk-off sentiment permeating financial markets. The recent strengthening of the Japanese yen, often seen as a safe-haven asset, reflects investor concerns about global economic stability. Similarly, the dip in Nasdaq futures suggests a broader aversion to risk in traditional equity markets, which often spills over into the crypto space. The re-emergence of US-China trade tensions adds another layer of uncertainty, as any escalation could have far-reaching economic consequences, impacting investor sentiment and asset valuations. The technical outlook for Bitcoin remains precarious. Analysts are closely monitoring the $85,000 support level, which, if breached, could trigger a further sell-off. The potential for over $1 billion in long liquidations below this level suggests that a significant drop is possible. Some analysts are even warning of a potential free fall to $81,000 if the $85,000 support fails to hold, indicating a severe test of market resilience. Moreover, a more dire prediction posits that Bitcoin could potentially drop below $70,000, erasing gains made since the US election. This scenario, while alarming, highlights the vulnerability of Bitcoin to macroeconomic factors and investor sentiment. The prospect of a significant correction raises concerns about the stability of the crypto market and its ability to withstand external shocks. The current market conditions serve as a stark reminder of the inherent volatility of cryptocurrencies. While Bitcoin has demonstrated remarkable resilience in the past, its price remains susceptible to a wide range of factors, including ETF flows, leveraged trading, and global economic conditions. Investors must remain vigilant and exercise caution in navigating this turbulent landscape. The recent downturn underscores the importance of risk management in cryptocurrency trading. Leveraged positions, while offering the potential for amplified gains, also carry the risk of substantial losses. The high degree of leverage prevalent in the market can exacerbate price swings, leading to rapid liquidations and further downward pressure. Furthermore, the growing correlation between traditional financial markets and the crypto space highlights the need for investors to consider broader macroeconomic factors. Changes in interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical tensions can all impact investor sentiment and asset valuations. In conclusion, Bitcoin's recent tumble below $90,000 reflects a confluence of factors, including ETF outflows, leveraged liquidations, and global economic uncertainties. The market remains highly volatile, and further price swings are possible. Investors should exercise caution and prioritize risk management in navigating this challenging environment. The ability of Bitcoin to recover from this downturn will depend on a variety of factors, including the resumption of ETF inflows, a reduction in leveraged trading, and a stabilization of global economic conditions. The coming weeks will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin can regain its footing or succumb to further downward pressure.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Turning BTC into Revenue: MicroStrategy's Innovative ApproacMicroStrategy's Wild Ride: Navigating Bitcoin's Volatility with a "Yield" Strategy MicroStrategy (MSTR), the enterprise software company that famously pivoted to a Bitcoin acquisition strategy, has seen its stock price plummet by roughly 16% year-to-date. This downturn mirrors the broader volatility experienced by Bitcoin, which has faced significant headwinds amidst rising interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainty. However, despite the short-term turbulence, a significant portion of stock analysts remain bullish on MicroStrategy's long-term outlook, primarily due to the company's innovative "Bitcoin yield" strategy. MicroStrategy's bold decision to adopt Bitcoin as its primary treasury reserve asset, spearheaded by former CEO Michael Saylor, has inextricably linked its fortunes to the cryptocurrency's performance. When Bitcoin surges, MSTR typically follows suit, and conversely, downturns in the crypto market exert downward pressure on the stock. This direct correlation has made MSTR a high-beta play on Bitcoin, offering investors amplified exposure to the digital asset's price fluctuations, both positive and negative. The recent decline in MSTR's stock price can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes to combat inflation have dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies. This has led to a significant sell-off in the crypto market, dragging down Bitcoin's price and, consequently, MSTR's valuation. Secondly, concerns about regulatory scrutiny in the cryptocurrency space have added to the market's unease. Increased regulatory oversight and potential crackdowns on crypto exchanges and projects can create uncertainty and dampen investor confidence. Lastly, general market sentiment towards growth stocks and technology companies has been bearish, further contributing to MSTR's decline. As a company closely associated with the tech sector and the volatile cryptocurrency market, MicroStrategy has been particularly vulnerable to these broader market trends. Despite these challenges, the bullish sentiment from stock analysts stems from MicroStrategy's unique approach to generating "Bitcoin yield." This strategy involves utilizing the company's substantial Bitcoin holdings to secure loans and generate revenue through various financial instruments. One key component of this strategy is the use of Bitcoin-backed loans. MicroStrategy has successfully leveraged its Bitcoin holdings to obtain loans at favorable interest rates, effectively monetizing its digital assets without selling them. This allows the company to generate cash flow while maintaining its long-term Bitcoin position. Furthermore, MicroStrategy is exploring other avenues to generate Bitcoin yield, such as participating in staking and lending platforms. These activities allow the company to earn interest or rewards on its Bitcoin holdings, further enhancing its revenue streams. Analysts argue that this "Bitcoin yield" strategy provides MicroStrategy with a sustainable business model, even during periods of Bitcoin price volatility. By generating revenue from its Bitcoin holdings, the company can mitigate the impact of price fluctuations and maintain its financial stability. Moreover, the company's continued accumulation of Bitcoin, even during price downturns, demonstrates its long-term commitment to the cryptocurrency. This unwavering belief in Bitcoin's future potential is seen by many analysts as a strong signal of confidence. However, the "Bitcoin yield" strategy is not without its risks. The crypto lending market is still relatively nascent and subject to regulatory uncertainties. Counterparty risk and the potential for loan defaults are also factors that could impact MicroStrategy's financial performance. Another element that is important to consider is the level of debt Microstrategy has taken on. The company has funded its Bitcoin purchases through debt offerings, and while the "Bitcoin yield" strategy is designed to cover the interest payments, a prolonged bear market could put pressure on the company's balance sheet. The success of MicroStrategy's strategy hinges on the long-term appreciation of Bitcoin. If Bitcoin's price continues to rise, the company's Bitcoin holdings will increase in value, and its "Bitcoin yield" strategy will become even more profitable. However, if Bitcoin's price stagnates or declines, the company's financial performance could be negatively impacted. In conclusion, MicroStrategy's stock price has experienced significant volatility in line with Bitcoin's performance. While the recent downturn has raised concerns, stock analysts remain optimistic about the company's long-term prospects, citing its innovative "Bitcoin yield" strategy. This strategy, which involves leveraging Bitcoin holdings to generate revenue, provides MicroStrategy with a unique business model that could potentially mitigate the impact of Bitcoin's volatility. However, investors should be aware of the risks associated with this strategy, including regulatory uncertainties, counterparty risk, and the potential for loan defaults. The success of MicroStrategy's strategy ultimately depends on the long-term trajectory of Bitcoin's price. As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, MicroStrategy's ability to adapt and navigate these challenges will be crucial to its future success.
NASDAQ:MSTR
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin - The Uptrend Remains 100% Valid!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) can create a textbook break and retest: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Over the past couple of weeks we have only been seeing a consolidation on all cryptocurrencies, governed by the slow movement on Bitcoin. With today's drop Bitcoin is now approaching the previous all time highs, which are now acting as a major support, pushing price much higher. Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
5
Bitcoin Q1 2025- Up for a Delayed Cycle?🚀 2025 kicks off with Bitcoin’s big picture in focus. This is Part 6 of our "Where Can Bitcoin Go?" series, where we explore long-term Bitcoin price dynamics and key levels to watch. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: 1️⃣ $94,629 – Current support within the 30-minute channel. 2️⃣ $102,150 & $111,192 – Resistance levels likely to be tested again soon. 3️⃣ $79,717 – The level Bitcoin hasn’t tested as support yet. A massive buy opportunity if it gets there! (...If!) 4️⃣ 160k to 192k – Yearly target for 2025, with a 30% chance of reaching higher toward $313,000. 🧐 Big Picture Analysis: The current bull market doesn’t feel like one, due to macroeconomic factors: inflation concerns, Fed rate policies, and a maturing crypto market. Will revert in detail in due time. This could mark the end of traditional Bitcoin cycles as we know them, with less seasonality and new norms emerging. Despite the noise, Bitcoin remains bullish long-term. 📈 What’s Next? Bitcoin has tested structural resistance twice. A third test is expected in February or March 2025. A breakout above $111,192 would signal a new all-time high. If Bitcoin drops to $79,717, prepare to go long like there’s no tomorrow! 💡 “Cycles are evolving as the market matures. More investors understand Bitcoin's seasonality, halving, and structure. This could be the most interesting and volatile year yet.” 🌟 Let’s stay patient, trade smart, and watch these levels closely. Step by step, we’ll navigate this exciting market together. Here’s to a beautiful year ahead! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Video:
Long
by FX_Professor
9
Monero: What is the "Fair Value"?Crypto investors need to be aware of Monero and its historic performance tendencies especially on a day like today. It has become the only cryptocurrency in which I think has actual USEFUL value in terms of being used as an '"currency". KRAKEN:XMRUSD for the last several years has functioned much like a stablecoin albeit with a lot of volatility. It trades within a range but one that has been steadily increasing over time. The old range used to present a fair value of around 156 within the middle of the range. The new bottom of the range sits at 196. As this bear cycle continues I will look to these supports to hold $KRAKEN:XMRUSD. I do not promise that one should expect the 10x, 100x, etc. from investing in $KRAKEN:XMRUSD. That is not what the cryptocurrency is for. Its value is in its privacy by default. Those values are; resistance against surveillance, true sovereign money, and the actual ideals of being a tool for human freedom that began cryptocurrency over a decade ago. Monero today has actually replaced Bitcoin as the currency of choice on the Dark Web... that was what gave Bitcoin its value in the early days. Besides the afore mentioned fundamental value of Monero it is important to understand what recent price history has shown about Monero versus Bitcoin during the bull/bear price cycles: Cryptocurrency Cycles The relative performance of Monero to Bitcoin (which is, basically, the crypto market) at different points over the last few years can be charted using KRAKEN:XMRBTC Since November 16, 2024 XMRBTC has performed +64%. This has happened while the price of Bitcoin has mostly stagnated by Monero has steadily appreciated in value. The period prior was from April 2024 through September 2024, again when the price of Bitcoin stagnated by Monero held and increased in value. The most important period to study for now, when Bitcoin has likely entered its bearish cycle phase, is the period between December 2021 and January 2023; the last Bitcoin bear cycle. XMRBTC outperformed by about 150% as Bitcoin went down but Monero depreciated less. This period ended when the recent Bitcoin bull cycle began. Critics will rightly point out though that "Bitcoin over time has outperformed" and they would be correct, historically. Within this truth though crypto investors need to look for a correlation that works anywhere close to this; where when Bitcoin goes down that cryptocurrency consistently holds its value against Bitcoin. There is no other major cryptocurrency that behaves this way. Knowing the cycles can provide investors with a "safe haven" potentially. Trade wisely!
BITFINEX:XMRUSDLong
by norok
BITCOIN Step back and admire the big picture!Bitcoin / BTCUSD is having a 'bloodpath' week in the eyes of most but not to those that know when to zoom out and look at the bigger picture. And that's BTC being on a purely technical Bull Cycle correction. In fact the same Channel Down correction has been seen twice already this Cycle after at least a +105.70% rise. Both times it found support and bounced on the 1week MA50. Another month of consolidation is possible until contact (or close) is made but overall, the current levels are an excellent long term buy opportunity. Buy and target 175000 (+105.70%). Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
Bitcoin broke down- Is 75k next target?Over the past three weeks, Bitcoin has remained virtually unchanged, trading within a range of 95K–97K. However, yesterday, the price broke below this range, dropping to the 91K confluence support—a key level I’ve highlighted in previous analyses. After briefly spiking as low as 87K, BTC has rebounded to around 90K, but if we analyze the price action objectively, there are no clear bullish signals. From a technical perspective, the three-month trading range has broken to the downside, suggesting a continuation of the downward trend. I anticipate further losses for BTC, and a drop to 75K in the coming months wouldn’t be surprising. 📉
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
Bitcoin RSI Dips Below 30 Again!The above chart highlights Bitcoin's price action alongside the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on a daily timeframe. Historically, every time the RSI dropped below 30, indicating oversold conditions, Bitcoin experienced a price bounce shortly after. The chart marks these moments with blue circles and green arrows, showing clear upward reversals following each dip. Currently, Bitcoin's RSI has once again fallen below 30, with the price around $87,000 after a sharp 10% drop. If past patterns hold true, this could signal an upcoming bullish reversal.
Long
by HexaTrades
Microstrategy Enters "The Valley of Risk"A term I have coined, "The Valley of Risk", describes a price chart which has had a prior very strong bullish trend, pulls back to its 50% Retracement Support, and then fails to hold it... entering a long, grinding, bearish deflation which coincides with the heavy negative emotion being felt by those still holding the bag. Inside the "Valley of Risk" nothing one does is correct: If you sell... it will bottom and rally If you buy... it will continue down If you baghold... it will continue to go down until you cannot stand it and #1 This is just a pattern of human emotion being reflected on a price chart... which is what price charts ultimately are. It is best to avoid going into the Valley of Risk and have strict rules against bagholding. Deploy your capital elsewhere that there is a better potential rate of return. When I teach about this concept I always look back to Zillow NASDAQ:Z . This was a stock I bought "on a dip" at 111 and made the right decision to sell my position at a loss at 102 when the stock price violated the 50% Support. This allowed me to avoid the horrible Earnings miss gap and the final -74% depreciation. My position still would not have recovered as of writing. As I published months ago, it became clear to me that the over exuberance and fancy financial buzz words being thrown around about NASDAQ:MSTR were signs of a ponzi about to collapse. Well, the "Bitcoin nuclear reactor" has cooled and the leverage baked into Microstrategy would be its downfall. That has now come to pass. There are some other interesting elements of price action which have been textbook in this decline that I want to talk about in this post. The 50% Retracement: The operative level for the last 3 months has been 328. This is the 50% Retracement of the YOLO rally. In the pullback from the ATH 440 became the 50% Retracement Resistance. The Ichimoku Cloud Breakout Confirmed: The other textbook setup was when the Ichimoku Cloud Breakout was confirmed by the Lagging Span entering clear bearish space after price had exited the cloud. Interestingly, this happened at the same exact day as Bitcoin; last Friday. You can read more about this strategy and my 14 year study of how effective it is in my recent Ideas: So what now? That is the eternal question of "The Valley of Risk". There is never a good answer because the technical supports have been broken. Personally though I need to answer this question for my bearish positions. The most logical point to look would be the Volume Profile POC at 165. However, Microstrategy is going to move concurrent to Bitcoin itself and knowing the past bearish cycle patterns this week, through brutal, will find a bottom. I do not believe it will be the final bottom only that price may hesitate at some point for perhaps even a month. My trade management This week I will be selling premium against my long Puts, which go out to 2027, to offset my Theta while still remaining short Delta.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by norok
Time To Hunt Bitcoin - Buy from Support to Major ResistanceThe setup focuses on buying from strong support zones and riding the price up to multiple take-profit targets. Entry Strategy: Entry 1: Around $84,910.7, which aligns with a key support zone. Entry 2: Around $78,430.4, a deeper support level in case of further downside. Risk Management: A stop loss at $65,523.5 ensures capital protection in case of a breakdown below major support. Take Profit Levels: Take Profit 1: $99,009.6 – First resistance area where partial profits can be secured. Take Profit 2: $106,102.9 – A key level where momentum may slow down. Take Profit 3: $110,919.3 – The final target in case of a strong bullish rally. Trade Scenario: Bullish Case: If price holds above Entry 1, a bounce towards Take Profit levels is expected. Bearish Case: If price drops below Entry 1, the next support (Entry 2) offers another buying opportunity. Stop Loss Activation: If BTC drops below $65,523.5, the trade is invalidated, preventing further losses. This trade plan follows a risk-reward approach, focusing on capital preservation while targeting high-probability reversal zones. OKX:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD KUCOIN:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Long
by SCALPOO
BTCUSD: These are historically the best conditions to buy.Bitcoin has turned oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 27.940, MACD = -1745.600, ADX = 37.260) and neutral on its 1W (RSI = 50.407). These are historically the best conditions to buy. Neutral long term, oversold short term. Last time the 1D RSI was oversold was on the August 5th 2024 low, which was the bottom of Bitcoin's prior consolidation phase. At the time, the market was again inside a Channel Down, and the rebound after the August bottom, immediately targeted the 0.786 Fibonacci. Consequently, our first target is the 0.786 Fib at the top of the Channel Down (TP = 102,000) and after it breaks, we expect a rally similar to October-December 2024. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
Bitcoin is Bullish now & many Traders don't see it !!As you can see, in the previous Correction of Bitcoin, Bitcoin dropped by about $25,000 and then experienced a potential growth. Now, the price has fallen by about $25,000 from its all-time high (ATH) until now. If we consider the previous correction of Bitcoin, this could be a very strong signal for an increase in Bitcoin's price. What do you think about it ? _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Give me some energy !! ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ❗Disclaimer ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!! Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
Long
by CobraVanguard
7
How Trumps Tariffs Are Affecting Bitcoin & Crypto MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on COINBASE:BTCUSD talking about how Trump Tariffs affect COINBASE:BTCUSD here. I also talk about the stock market SP:SPX at the end of the video and TVC:GOLD as the chart give us real insights . Watch video for more details Trump’s tariff policies have had a notable short‐term impact on Bitcoin’s price. When tariffs are announced—such as the recent ones imposed on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China—the resulting trade tensions and uncertainty tend to trigger a “risk-off” reaction in the markets. Investors, worried about higher inflation and potential rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, often sell off volatile assets like Bitcoin, which can lead to steep, albeit temporary, price declines. For instance, following tariff announcements, Bitcoin’s price has sometimes dropped significantly (even approaching multi‐week lows) before partially rebounding when there’s news of tariff pauses or negotiations easing the pressure. In the longer term, however, the picture is less clear. While the immediate market reaction is one of volatility and decline, some analysts argue that if tariffs contribute to sustained economic uncertainty or inflation, Bitcoin could eventually be seen as a hedge—similar to digital gold—potentially restoring investor confidence over time. Ultimately, the overall effect on Bitcoin will depend on whether the trade policy uncertainty continues and how broader economic conditions evolve. There is still lots of bullish news for BTC www.tradingview.com
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by MartyBoots
6