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1-BTCUSD

Potential bullish rise?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance. Pivot: 92,651.63 1st Support: 87,516.30 1st Resistance: 99,246.82 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by ICmarkets
After the volatility period around December 27th... (Title) What will it look like after the volatility period around December 27th --------------------------------------- Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a good day today. ------------------------------------- USDT is currently showing a gap down, although small. USDC is showing a gap up steadily. The gap up of USDT and USDC means that funds are flowing into the coin market. I think the start of the altcoin bull market should be below 55.01 and maintained or show a downward trend. The decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market. If it rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to experience a sharp decline and the coin market is likely to show a downward trend. If USDC continues to fall, it is likely to fall to around 2.84. After that, it is expected that the coin market will gradually show a downward trend while rising. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of being created at the 94742.35 point. Therefore, if the HA-High indicator of the 1W chart is generated, it is important to see if it can be supported near that area. If it falls without being supported, there is a possibility that it will meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart. Before meeting the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, it is necessary to check if it is supported near 87.8K-89K. - The Momentum indicator is showing a continuous downward trend. We need to see if it shows an upward trend when a new candle is created. - Looking at the overall picture of BTC, it is still in the sideways section. Therefore, the point of interest is whether it can rise above 97821.58-98892.0 by rising near 92K-93.5K. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend. Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto
2024 Santa Rally and More - Up/Down/SidewaysIt's that time of year again. The final trading weeks of 2024 and the technical "Santa Rally" (trading through Christmas and New Year's) is upon us. Unfortunately the FED put a bit of a cap on the extremely optimistic and borderline euphoria that was bubbling over going into the FOMC Rate Decision. 100 bps of cuts, yet the US10Y (10 year yield) has virtually moved in the exact opposite direction. Inflation is now a concern and this is a big reason for the FED's "hawkish cut" in December. The market will have to figure out how 1-2 cuts in 2025 looks compared to 4-6 cuts that was anticipated. I don't think the 1 day FED move is enough of a correction to justify loading up on longs, so I'm looking for 200 EMA tests and better prices all around. If I don't get them, I suppose I'll just wait longer :) Happy Holidays to everyone Thanks for watching!!!
AMEX:SPY
by ChrisPulver
Bitcoin Alpha ReportMonday Alpha Report 2024 12 23 Bitcoin Following a heart-gripping correction to ~$92,000 Bitcoin rallied slightly to re-test our ascending level of support, taking several forms from the diagonal trendline on the Daily Timeframe, to the 200 SMA on the 4H Timeframe. Bitcoin now finds itself back at ~$93,000 after failing to sustain above $95,000 - a level I have continually highlighted as critical to maintaining this currently rally. The longer Bitcoin sustains underneath $95,000 - more downside risk emerges. My current worst-case scenario is a retracement to $75,000 - $80,000. However, currently there are no fundamentals that fully support this. This worst-case target is based on the prevailing CME Futures Gap, the previous consolidation level sustained throughout the ‘Summer Doldrums’, and the projected vicinity of the Daily 200 SMA. Keep in mind, that Bitcoin often performs very strongly into Christmas, so it is still possible we get our ‘Santa Rally’. If that occurs, the critical level to watch will be $100,000 - $104,000. That would be the projected ‘Lower High’ target if Bitcoin is to rally into the end of the year yet still maintain it’s trajectory for a longer-term correction. I remain optimistic that we can still reach the price target of $120,000 by Trump’s inauguration - however there is a time to be bold and a time to prepare and manage downside risk - unfortunately this is the later. In addition, Michael Saylor’s comments have failed to bring enthusiasm to the markets this morning. Recent reports suggest that MSTR plans to pause Bitcoin purchases in January due to a ‘self-imposed blackout period’. This pause is expected to last through January, resuming after the company’s earnings call in early February 2025. Therefore, applying a timeline to our scenarios, if Bitcoin fails to rally into Trump’s inauguration, and we did indeed just experience a local top, I expect sluggish if not downward price action through the beginning of the year with the rally to resume in February-March. That will give time for two critical catalysts to occur: MSTR’s renewed buying, and a chance for the Fed to pivot to a more dovish tone and ramp up or provide more clarity on rate cuts - the catalyst which I believe is primarily responsible for Bitcoin’s current rally. In summary, traders should be prepared to act tactically upon trading signals, with optimism, however be prepared for a several month slump. This last part should be viewed with great optimism however, because a correction now for several months almost guarantees a right-handed cycle that will extend deep into 2025 for cryptocurrency. In short: we might be experiencing a local top, but we are most certainly not experiencing a cycle top. Trends: 5M: Bearish 30M: Bearish 1H: Bearish 4H: Bearish Key Levels: Point of Control: $95,373 VWAP: $94,568 Value Area Low: $92,143 - $93,798 Value Area High: $95,804 - $96,991 Resistance: $99,500 Support: $86,900 Strategy: Price is currently trading in the Value Area Low for the day, after experiencing a sell-off and a rejection from $94,000. Traders can position for a potential double-bottom, and target today’s Value Area High in the short-term and optimistically a Christmas rally into $100,000 - $104,000. Focus on managing down-side risk however, as prices below $92,000 will likely trigger another wave of sell-offs as liquidations are forced and fear is in the air.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by CrackingCryptocurrency
BTC : All Time High IN - OR Multimonth Playout?Bitcoin has begun a steep drop, and it's likely that the ATH is priced in. This fits my previous idea that the ATH would either be just over or just under 100k. There is, ofcourse, another option as well - a continuation over the next few months. This is likely if the price of BTC follows a fractal of the previous cycle. It would become likely if we see a strong bounce around the 81-82K zone, pushing us up into the 90's. But, at the moment, I'm leaning towards the idea that the ATH is in. It would also makes sense for the ATH to be in, from an Elliot Wave Theory perspective, since we've made a perfect 5 waves. If this is indeed the case, we can look forward to a few more rallies in the altmarket. _______________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Short
by CryptoCheck-
1
Bitcoin (BTC): What’s Next After This Correction?Good morning, trading family! Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is in a correction, and here’s what could happen next: Option 1: BTC corrects to the $84K range and then makes a move to $11K+. Option 2: We drop further into the $74K zone, then push higher. Option 3: A deeper drop to the $60-$55K zone, followed by a recovery. These are the levels I’m watching. Let’s stay focused and be ready for the next big move! Wellness Challenge: I challenge you to try one of the wellness tips that I added to my videos that I did today ! It could be drinking more water, eating better, or taking short breaks. Pick one and stick with it for a week—let me know how it works for you! Comment, like, follow, or send me a message if you want more details or want to share how your challenge is going! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
KRAKEN:BTCUSDShort
by Mindbloome-Trading
4
Bitcoin peaked and fell backBitcoin has completed five waves of rise in the accelerated rising channel, and a peak signal has appeared, and then it has started to pull back. The current pullback wave is an adjustment phase, providing an opportunity to wait for the price to fall back to a suitable position. In the short-term trend, bears dominate. The support below is 92,000. The upper pressure is around 96,000, the low point of the 4th wave. Then you think the price can return to around 86,000 at the initial stage of the previous rise. Will a high reversal even occur? Welcome to leave different opinions, like and leave a message.
Short
by RonPeter_Trading
BTC/USD Weekly Chart Analysis: Potential Price Scenarios in 2025Overview: Bitcoin has displayed remarkable strength in the past few months, approaching critical levels in its long-term ascending channel. The current price action reflects bullish momentum, but there are key levels to watch for potential corrections or continuations. Here’s my detailed analysis based on this weekly chart. Key Observations: Ascending Channel: BTC is trading near the upper boundary of a well-established ascending channel, which has historically acted as resistance. If this boundary is broken with strong volume, the next potential target lies around $116,000. Structure Levels: A Weak High at $102,000 indicates the possibility of a short-term pullback before testing the resistance zone. Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) signals confirm bullish dominance, but corrections are part of healthy price action. Moving Averages: The 50-week and 100-week moving averages continue to slope upward, with price trading well above these levels, signaling a strong bullish trend. Any retracement could find support at the 50-week MA or the mid-range of the channel. Support and Resistance Zones: Resistance: $102,000–$116,000. Support: $76,000 (Golden Pocket) and $64,000. Indicators: RSI is currently overbought at 75, indicating the potential for a cooling-off phase. MACD shows bullish momentum but hints at overextension as the histogram peaks. Projected Scenario: Scenario 1: BTC tests the Weak High at $102,000, faces rejection, and consolidates near the mid-range before attempting to break higher. Scenario 2: BTC breaks out of the ascending channel, initiating a parabolic move toward $116,000. Potential Risks: A failure to hold support at $76,000 could lead to a deeper correction, testing key structural levels like $64,000 and $42,000. Macro factors such as interest rate decisions or global economic uncertainties could heavily impact sentiment. Conclusion: Bitcoin is in a strong bull market phase, but caution is warranted near the upper boundary of the channel. Traders should monitor key levels and volume for confirmation of breakout or rejection. A pullback to the mid-range could provide an excellent buying opportunity for long-term holders. Would love to hear your thoughts—do you expect a breakout or a correction? Let me know in the comments below! Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making trading decisions.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by rukshan2102
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-23: BreakAway PatternToday's pattern is a Break Away pattern. I'm not expecting much to happen just before Christmas, but this is when surprises may happen. If you have not already protected your capital - now is the time to do it (almost too late at this point). You should be prepared for anything that happens and move into a position of safety related to the holidays. Remember, the markets will always be here. Get through the holidays and get busy trying to enjoy your life. I suspect the markets will stay very flat over the next 3 to 5+ days. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
btcusd short appratunityThe unit of account of the bitcoin system is the bitcoin. It is most commonly represented with the symbol ₿ and the currency code BTC. However, the BTC code does not conform to ISO 4217 as BT is the country code of Bhutan, and ISO 4217 requires the first letter used in global commodities to be 'X'. XBT, a code that conforms to ISO 4217 though not officially part of it, is used by Bloomberg L.P. No uniform capitalization convention exists; some sources use Bitcoin, capitalized, to refer to the technology and network, and bitcoin, lowercase, for the unit of account. The Cambridge Advanced Learner's Dictionary and the Oxford Advanced Learner's Dictionary use the capitalized and lowercase variants without distinction. One bitcoin is divisible to eight decimal places. : ch. 5  Units for smaller amounts of bitcoin are the millibitcoin (mBTC), equal to 1⁄1000 bitcoin, and the satoshi (sat), representing 1⁄100000000 (one hundred millionth) bitcoin, the smallest amount possible. 100,000 satoshis are one mBTC. Blockchain Further information: Blockchain § Structure and design As a decentralized system, bitcoin operates without a central authority or single administrator, so that anyone can create a new bitcoin address and transact without needing any approval. : ch. 1  This is accomplished through a specialized distributed ledger called a blockchain that records bitcoin transactions. The blockchain is implemented as an ordered list of blocks. Each block contains a SHA-256 hash of the previous block, chaining them in chronological order. : ch. 7  The blockchain is maintained by a peer-to-peer network. : 215–219  Individual blocks, public addresses, and transactions within blocks are public information, and can be examined using a blockchain explorer. Nodes validate and broadcast transactions, each maintaining a copy of the blockchain for ownership verification. A new block is created every 10 minutes on average, updating the blockchain across all nodes without central oversight. This process tracks bitcoin spending, ensuring each bitcoin is spent only once. Unlike a traditional ledger that tracks physical currency, bitcoins exist digitally as unspent outputs of transactions. : ch. 5 
Short
by tenqu
"BTC/USD Price Action Analysis: Key Resistance Levels Ahead""Hello Traders, Here's my latest analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) using price action techniques. The market has recently shown a significant downward move, but there is a potential for recovery based on the current structure. Key Levels Identified: Support: $95,548 Immediate Resistance: $102,826 Major Resistance: $107,841 Scenario Overview: Based on the current price action, I anticipate a potential bullish reversal from the $95,548 support level. The market may test the resistance levels at $102,826 and then move towards $107,841. Trade Plan: Entry: Around $96,000 (upon confirmation of reversal) Stop Loss: Below $95,000 Take Profit 1: $102,826 Take Profit 2: $107,841 The yellow horizontal lines represent key support and resistance zones, and the projected white path shows my anticipated price trajectory. This analysis is not financial advice; it's for educational purposes only. Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments and let me know your perspective!"
Short
by Tradeaione
BITCOIN In Coming Days!As I mentioned in previous analyses, Bitcoin finally broke the wedge and the price turned bearish. However, now if the price can break the 0.618 Fibonacci line, it can rise up to 107k dollars. previous analyses Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
1
23/12/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $108,403.98 Last weeks low: $92,261.97 Midpoint: $100,332.98 Last week we saw a swing fail pattern (SFP) of the week previous' high. Ever since then it's been a steady sell off throughout the week, mostly thanks to JPows FOMC statements despite a 25bps cut as forecast. BTC is now battling the 4H 200 EMA for the first time since the US election, a much needed pullback or the start of a further sell-off? Going into the holidays we should expect a lower volume as whales take some time off, retail will remain as crypto is shilled to family members over Christmas dinner so the market will continue to be interesting. The 4H 200 EMA is a key battleground, I would have hoped to see a better reaction off the moving average initially but maybe this is bad timing due to the holidays and lower volume, or the reluctance to open new trades while markets are shut etc. This week is obviously quiet in terms of data releases, there are various token unlocks ENA, IMX, FET and burns for some key altcoins such as ISP & BONK. I think the general consensus is that normal service will resume in January once everything opens back up. So for this week it's probably better to set alerts for key areas you want to get involved in, planning for when volume returns to the markets and when Trump takes office too. Merry Christmas to all and good luck!
by ProR35
BITCOIN Are you scared enough? Or need to see more pain?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) touched its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 2 months (since October 11) and is rebounding. The first presence of short-term buyers was actually felt on Friday, when the price came close to the MA50 again and rebounded aggressively. This is a natural technical reaction during such aggressive uptrends. The key Support level during BTC Bull Cycles however is the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which has been supporting since March 2023 and was successfully tested (and held) twice on August 05 and September 06, the last of which was technically the start of the current Bullish Leg. ** The Fibonacci Channel Up ** Bullish Legs are technically part of Channels and this time is no different as Bitcoin has been trading on a Fibonacci Channel Up since the very bottom of the last Bear Cycle in November 21 2021. As you can see, we have classified the price action on this pattern in Phases, each of whom trades within one range upwards, which is why the Fibonacci Channel succeeds at accurately displaying BTC's current logarithmic rise during this Cycle. ** The Phases and the high symmetry ** Phase 1 (blue Channel) traded within the Fib 0.0 - 1.0 range, Phase 2 (green Channel) within the Fib 0.5 - 1.5 range and we expect a 3rd one, Phase 3 (red Channel) to trade within the Fib 1.0 - 2.0 range. As you may assume, there is high symmetry between sequences, Legs and pull-backs within this pattern and the one that stands out is that rallies so far tend to record +100% rises. More specifically, both the April 14 2023 and January 11 2024 Highs of +100% rallies, then pulled back towards the 0.382 Fib retracement level, the first didn't hit it, the second almost did. ** Will we test the 1D MA100? ** But that is the rally that displays the most similarities with the current one and after hitting its 1D MA50, it broke even lower and only found Support and bounced on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). You can see even how identical their 1D RSI sequences are, which are Channel Down patterns that started showing a bearish divergence much earlier than the top. Right now the RSI is holding the 45.00 neutral level, but the January 2024 and the 2023 fractals turned into a buy on the key 36.00 level, which is bearish territory. Even though Bull Cycles tend to get more and more aggressive as we approach the end of the Cycle and ignore previous Support levels, the 1D MA100 is currently at $79250 and rising, indicating that it can 'meet' the price on lower levels than currently, assuming how quickly the RSI also hits 36.00 (any of the two conditions hits first, the cyclical buy signal can be valid). ** The remainder of the Bull Cycle ** Beyond that, we expect the next High, as we've already entered Phase 3, to be on the -0.5 horizontal Fibonacci extension (as March 13 2024 was) and on the 2.0 Channel Fibonacci ext at a price of $150000, which is the next technical extension of the Channel. After that, you can see that both Phase 1 and 2 started multi-month Accumulation phases with a potential maximum correction to the 0.382 Fib again and as Phase 3 concludes (and possibly the whole Bull Cycle), we may see another +100% rally and a possible Top at $200000. So for the current situation the key question is as mentioned on the title: 'Are you scared enough?' now the 1D MA50 has been tested? Because we may very well drop as low as the 1D MA100 before the Fear & Greed Index turns market sentiment to 'Fear' again and makes the majority misjudge the market activity as they always have. What do you think will happen next? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
2
Bitcoin: pain is your gainOne more week which was close to heart-attack for BTC traders. It was very challenging to keep the common sense, and understand such a strong sell-off of the BTC. However, books are saying that the markets are always right - so probably they were right also this time. The BTC price entered into strong correction after the FOMC meeting. It was not pleasant news that the inflation is going to persist in 2025 and that the Fed will cut “only” 50 bps, but how much it can actually impact BTC liquidity? The only explanation for developments during the week, was market overreaction, same as with equity markets. In one week, BTC reached its new ATH at $108K and a tumble toward the $92K. It was indeed a challenging week, even for BTC, which usually has a higher volatility. But it also shows fragility of market sentiment. However, on the opposite side, a strong overbought market was holding from November this year, indicating that the potential reversal might come anytime. The RSI is currently moving around the level of 50, and is not ready to take a path toward the oversold market side. The moving average of 50 days continues to strongly diverge from MA 200, without an indication that the indicator could change the course soon. Although the BTC market is the 24/7 one, still, it could be expected that the Holiday season during the week ahead might affect some calm down of the BTC price. BTC is ending the week with a target of $100K for one more time, which might occur only if the resistance line at the $ 98K is breached. On the opposite side, corrections are also possible, especially now that the RSI reached the level of 50, however, the extension of it will depend on some higher players on the market. Namely, as interest rates are not going to be cut as initially expected, borrowed money will not be so much at disposal to investors, in which sense, they will use the week ahead to wage how much more cash flow can end up in BTC in the year ahead.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
Trading plan for Bitcoin price for Christmas & New Year holidays🎄 Christmas and New Year's holidays are coming up, and we congratulate you on that!) We survived, even earned a little, so thank you for that) Currently, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price has been stopped on "the verge of a foul", but the holidays will lead to a decrease in business activity and an increase in “manipulative volatility.” So, to follow the behavior of the OKX:BTCUSDT price, subscribe to this idea! A big temptation is to “break the stops” of #Bitcoin, which are hiding below $85k, and an even bigger temptation is to close the GAP on the CME BTC chart in the range of $77-78k. And there are several other options for the development of events by combining the BTC.D and USDT.D indices, but I'm too lazy to write about it yet) ⁉️ But if you are interested in us writing “voluminous reflections”, like at the end of 2022 before the start of super growth with plans for 2023-25, which are working out very well👇 then we need inspiration from you in the form of reactions and comments here and maybe a miracle will happen, the main thing is to believe in it!)
by P_S_trade
4
Bitcoin - Bitcoin went below $100,000!Bitcoin is below the EMA50 and EMA200 in the four-hour time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. Bitcoin sell positions can be looked for in supply zones. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. Following hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, Bitcoin (BTC) plummeted from its peak of $108,135 on December 17 to below $95,000. Powell’s comments, which signaled the Fed’s ongoing battle against inflation, triggered a sharp selloff in the cryptocurrency market. He indicated that only two interest rate cuts might occur in 2025, as opposed to the four cuts previously anticipated. Additionally, the Federal Reserve revised its 2025 inflation forecast from 2.1% to 2.5%. Even the 2026 forecast stands at 2.1%, exceeding the central bank’s 2% target. This suggests that inflation could persist for another two years, compelling the Fed to keep interest rates elevated for longer than initially projected. Bitcoin ETFs, after experiencing 15 consecutive days of capital inflows, saw an unprecedented $680 million outflow on Thursday. This trend continued into Friday, with an additional $270 million withdrawn. Cryptocurrency investors, reacting to the Fed’s decision to slow monetary easing next year, moved substantial capital out of the market. In the United States, Bitcoin ETFs have surpassed gold ETFs in assets under management (AUM). Despite gold ETFs’ 20-year history, Bitcoin ETFs now manage $129.3 billion, compared to $128.9 billion for gold ETFs. MicroStrategy, a company renowned for its massive Bitcoin holdings, successfully entered the Nasdaq index. With 439,000 Bitcoins valued at $42.64 billion, the company controls approximately 2% of the total Bitcoin supply. This milestone highlights MicroStrategy’s strong position in the Bitcoin market and has boosted its stock price (MSTR) to $364.20. The company’s innovative strategy of leveraging Bitcoin as a growth asset showcases a unique approach in the financial world. Bitcoin’s volatility has steadily decreased in recent years. By October 2024, its monthly volatility had dropped to 11%, lower than that of high-profile tech stocks like Tesla (24%), AMD (16%), and Nvidia (12%). Arthur Hayes, the former CEO of BitMEX, recently shared his outlook on the cryptocurrency market. He predicted a “horrific collapse” around the inauguration of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump on January 20, 2025. Hayes wrote, “The market believes Trump and his team can deliver immediate economic and political miracles,” but pointed to a gap between investor expectations and the “absence of quick, viable policy solutions.” Hayes forecasted that implementing changes to cryptocurrency policies would likely take far longer than the market anticipates. He added, “The market will soon realize that Trump, at best, has only a year to execute any policy changes in or around January 20. This realization will trigger a massive selloff in cryptocurrencies and other Trump-related trades.” He also predicted that a “steep decline” would occur around Trump’s inauguration day, followed by a “crack-up boom phase” in late 2025. This phase, typically seen after financial crises, is characterized by rapid price increases, high inflation, and financial instability.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND