BTCUSD - Bullish Breakout from Falling Wedge Pattern | Target Bitcoin has broken out of a Falling Wedge Pattern on the daily timeframe, signaling a bullish reversal that aligns with the broader market sentiment. Let’s examine this setup in detail, from pattern recognition to key support/resistance levels and trade planning.
🧠 Pattern Analysis – Falling Wedge Formation
The chart displays a textbook Falling Wedge, which is a bullish chart pattern that typically forms after a downtrend. It’s characterized by converging trendlines sloping downward, showing a slowdown in bearish momentum and a potential reversal point.
Formation Period: This wedge developed over a multi-week period (Feb–April 2025).
Structure: Each swing high and swing low forms lower highs and lower lows inside the wedge.
Breakout Confirmation: Price has decisively broken above the upper trendline of the wedge, validating a potential bullish continuation.
👉 Falling Wedge patterns are often seen near the end of a corrective move and suggest accumulation before a rally.
🔎 Key Technical Zones
🔸 Resistance Zone (~$103K–$105K)
This area has historically acted as a strong resistance zone.
Price is currently consolidating just below this region, indicating a possible breakout retest or a temporary pause before the next leg up.
🔸 Trendline Support
A new rising trendline has emerged post-breakout, acting as dynamic support.
Price has respected this trendline multiple times, forming higher highs and higher lows — a strong bullish signal.
🔸 SR Interchange Zone (~ GETTEX:92K –$94K)
Previously acted as resistance; now flipped to support.
This makes it a critical level where bulls may defend positions, and a good place for a stop-loss.
🔸 Support Zone (~$75K–$78K)
Major historical support area where the wedge bottom formed.
Buyers stepped in aggressively in this zone during the final leg of the wedge.
🎯 Trade Plan
This setup offers a clearly defined risk-reward profile based on breakout trading principles.
📌 Entry Idea:
Current consolidation near resistance offers two entry strategies:
Aggressive Entry: Near current price, anticipating breakout continuation.
Conservative Entry: On a confirmed breakout above $105K or a pullback to trendline support around GETTEX:98K –$100K.
✅ Target: $112,116
Measured by projecting the height of the wedge from the breakout point.
Also aligns with a previous key structural high, adding confluence to the target.
⛔ Stop Loss: $93,294
Strategically placed just below the SR interchange zone and rising trendline.
Protects against potential fakeouts or trendline breaks.
📉 Risk Management
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~2:1 or higher depending on entry point.
Always use proper position sizing.
Be prepared to cut the trade if price closes below trendline and SR zone on high volume.
🔮 Outlook and Strategy
This breakout suggests Bitcoin may be entering a renewed bullish phase. If macro conditions remain favorable and price sustains above key support zones, we could see continuation toward the $112K region.
However, it’s important to monitor:
Volume: Watch for rising volume on any breakout above the resistance zone.
Market Sentiment: External factors (e.g., news, ETF flows, regulatory updates) may influence the move.
Trendline behavior: A break and close below the rising support line may invalidate the setup.
💬 Final Thoughts
This is a technically clean setup combining a bullish pattern breakout, supportive structure (trendline & SR zones), and a logical target based on classical charting. If Bitcoin maintains current momentum, traders may see significant upside in the coming weeks.
1-BTCUSD
BTC 4H Chart Analysis - Bitcoin is currently moving within a range, and two potential demand zones are highlighted on the chart with green boxes. There's a possibility that BTC may pull back into one of these zones to collect buy-side liquidity before continuing higher.
These areas can be considered for long setups on the 15-minute timeframe — but only with a valid entry trigger.
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📌 Key Levels
🟢 Supports:
- 100,000 – 100,500
- 97,400 – 98,700
- 95,900
🔴 Resistances:
- 104,800 – 105,200
- 105,900
Dominance is currently engaged in a battle to move downward.Bitcoin dominance is currently in a strong downward battle, facing increasing pressure from altcoins which are gaining momentum. Despite some resistance trying to push dominance higher, the overall trend suggests a weakening grip of Bitcoin over the crypto market. This decline indicates growing investor interest in alternative cryptocurrencies, especially as sector-specific tokens and new projects start to outperform BTC. If this downward movement continues and breaks key support levels, we could see a more significant rotation into altcoins, fueling a broader rally across the market.
2025.05.18 btcusd analysis🔗 Chart:
Bitcoin has reached a critical point, and the movement today and tomorrow seems to be of great importance.
On the daily chart, Bitcoin appears to be on the verge of breaking the ascending trendline that has been in place since April 9, 2025.
From a pattern perspective, the lower wick of the strong bullish candle from May 8 has not yet been broken, and after a strong rally, Bitcoin is currently in a sideways consolidation phase.
However, with time, the price has approached the trendline again, and it seems to be at a key decision-making point: will it continue to rise from here, or will it shift into a corrective trend?
🔗 Zoomed-in 4H chart:
Looking at the 4-hour chart, we can see a pennant pattern forming, where highs are getting lower and lows are getting higher.
If the price breaks out from this consolidation zone, it will likely coincide with a break of the daily ascending trendline.
In that case, there is a high probability that a retest down to the 100,678 level will occur.
If this level fails to hold, it could indicate the end of the bullish pattern, and the trend may shift to a corrective one, potentially leading to a one-way drop toward the next major support zone at 94,450. Caution is advised.
🔍 Conclusion:
If you are hoping for a continuation of the uptrend, the most important signal will be a conservative breakout and close above the 106,000 level. So far, there has been no confirmed daily close above this level.
Note: Altcoins can still move up while Bitcoin consolidates, so this analysis is focused purely on Bitcoin.
Whether or not the ascending trendline holds is critical. If the trendline is broken, there is a 90% chance that the pennant pattern will also break down, potentially leading to a correction down to 100,678.
If 100,678 breaks to the downside, that could mark the start of a new downtrend.
As for how far it could fall from there? Honestly, no one knows. Only those with strong conviction may be able to hold long enough to see profits. However, breaking below 100,678 would likely mark a significant turning point.
Bitcoin: The CME Futures PREMIUM, New All-Time High ConfirmedOk, you got me, I will reveal my secrets to you. I only do this because I love you and I want to give you true value. Great content that you can truly trust because it is based on real market data. Just watch!
» Bitcoin CME Futures price: $104,425 (BOOM!)
» Bitcoin BTCUSDT Spot price: $103,600 (Checkmate)
There is a premium on Bitcoin futures price. This means the market is bullish, plain and simple. You can bet your house, a hotel and your wife on the fact that Bitcoin will soon hit a new All-Time High.
The signals are in.
You can fight me in the comments section or you can simply agree and follow me.
Namaste.
BTCUSD 30M | OB Rejection + FVG Target | Liquidity BelowSmart Money Concept Breakdown | May 18, 2025
This BTC setup is screaming institutional manipulation — and we’re ready to ride the wave. The most recent candle shows another clean rejection from the 30M Order Block, giving high confidence in bearish continuation.
🔍 Key Breakdown:
Entry Confluence:
Bearish OB between 103,569–103,634 tapped with a perfect wick
Candle rejected CRT High (high-probability manipulation zone)
Rejection confirmed with a bearish engulfing candle structure
Target Mapping:
Sell Side Liquidity: 102,643.59
Fair Value Gap: 102,200 zone
Weak Low: 101,420.70 (likely final draw on liquidity)
RR Setup:
Entry: 103,570 zone
SL: Just above CRT High at 103,811
TP1: SSL pool
TP2: FVG
TP3: Weak Low
Risk-Reward Range: From 1:2.5 to 1:5+ 💰
🧠 Institutional Logic:
The rally into the OB was likely a buy-side liquidity grab, faking retail breakout traders before dropping. If price breaks below 102,643 with momentum, expect a sweep of the FVG and weak low.
🎯 Bonus Watch:
If price returns to the OB but fails to break CRT High again = solid re-entry confirmation 📉🧠
BTC Just Entered the Killzone — Order Block + Strong High Reject🔍 Bitcoin Smart Money Breakdown | May 18, 2025
We’re looking at a potential high RRR short opportunity forming on BTC/USD — chart structure screams SMC precision. Here’s what we’re seeing:
🧩 1. Key Setup Details
Price tapped into a premium Order Block between 103,438–103,526 🔴
Sitting just above a Strong High — liquidity is baiting shorts
Rejection occurred precisely at the 79% Fib retracement level, giving confluence
Bearish structure intact with lower highs & descending trendline
💣 2. Liquidity Map
Above: Strong High = buy-side liquidity trap
Below: Weak Low = prime sell-side magnet
Sell-side liquidity pools at:
102,797.13
102,677.19 (final TP zone)
This is exactly where institutions hunt for exits 🔪
🎯 3. Trade Idea
Entry Zone: 103,438 – 103,526 (OB zone)
Stop Loss: Above Strong High ~103,560
Target Zones:
TP1: 103,120 (50% Fib level)
TP2: 102,797.13 (SSL pool)
TP3: 102,677.19 (final flush zone)
Estimated Risk-to-Reward: 1:3.2 to 1:4.5 depending on SL/TP config 🧠📏
🧠 Bonus Insight:
If BTC wicks above the OB and returns with momentum = potential liquidity grab fakeout — a textbook SMC confirmation entry 👌
🎤 Caption Idea for Short-Form:
“BTC is playing right into the banks’ trap… are you on the right side of this rejection? 😮💨💰”
📲 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for elite SMC plays, sniper-level breakdowns, and real liquidity flow setups!
BTC perfect wick to wick symmetrical triangle - 109K or 98K You are looking at a 100% perfect wick to wick symmetrical triangle
Widest vertical range of the triangle from
Top wick: ~$105,700
Bottom wick: ~$100,700
Height = $5,000
Breakout level (horizontal mid-point of triangle):
Roughly $103,500 -104,000
Bullish Breakout Target:
$103,500 + $5,000 = $108,500
$104,00 + $5,000 = $109.000
108.5 to 109K will be your pure pattern target if BTC breaks to the upside with volume.
Bearish Breakdown Target: GETTEX:98K
FOR FUN I ASK CHAT GPT WHAT ARE THE ODDS WE BREAKOUT
Break Direction Target Confidence
Up (likely) $109,000 60–70%
Down (less likely) $98,000 10–15%
EurAud..Daily Volume Imbalance fillGood day traders, I’m back with another great idea on EurAud and what I like about this setup, is that we can also learn from it.
On our daily TF we have a clear volume imbalance since price opened on Monday with a gap and it failed to fill the gap last week meaning it might happen this week where price can fill the gap. On the chart I’m showing you the high/low of the volume imbalance but you can add the midpoint of that gap too if you wish to do so. Price tried filling that gap but we can see it failed to do so because price did not even get to the midpoint of the VI, after it touched the lower quarter of the VI, it pushed lower showing weakness in price.
Jumping to the present TF 4H here we can see that we have a bullish flow in price but out structure remain bearish. Going into the new week we wanna see price continue in its original structure to Atleast our first presented FVg that has been noted on the chart. Currently price is inside an inverted FVG which again supports our narrative. We can expect price to fill the 1st.PFVG on Tuesday the latest before it can move higher and for the week we want to see price close above the volume imbalance.
BTCUSD 1H | Liquidity Grab + FVG Play Before Bullish Expansion📊 BTC/USD 1-Hour Smart Money Outlook — May 15, 2025
Bitcoin is setting up for a classic SMC combo move — targeting sell-side liquidity before flipping bullish and running for the buy-side liquidity at ~$106K.
Let’s break it down 👇
🧠 1. The Setup
Price broke structure to the downside ✅
Heading into a liquidity sweep of the recent lows around $100,000
Major Fair Value Gap lies between $98,100–$96,800
This gap aligns with the 61.8–70.5% fib zone — a premium rebalance area for smart money
🔍 2. Expectations
Short-Term Bearish into FVG → Sell-side liquidity gets swept
Then strong bullish reversal targeting:
🔹 First target: $103,000
🔹 Final target: $105,787 (Buy-side liquidity + Weak High)
Trade Idea: Long after FVG rejection confirmation
SL below $96,800, TP up to $106K — insane RRR of 1:4+
⚠️ 3. Risk Management
Wait for a bullish reaction inside the FVG zone
Protect capital if price closes below $96,800 → setup invalid
Look out for NY session volatility and CPI/FOMC-driven fakeouts
This is textbook Smart Money behavior: draw liquidity, rebalance price, and expand into inefficient price zones. If you're not trading with liquidity in mind — you're the liquidity. 🧠💸
💬 Comment “🚀” if you're long from the Fair Value Gap zone!
🎯 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily sniper setups and smart money breakdowns!
BTC Medium Term and Local Work for 2025 18 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Everything is shown extremely accurately, according to technical analysis, logic based on cyclical repetition, and liquidity consolidation zones as a result of price and trading movements. This trading idea, with precise reversal zones and targets, will last you for 31 weeks. That is, for 7 months.
The previous trading idea BTC/USD Triangle. Medium-term and local work , published on 7 06 2024, it lasted me almost 1 year. It has 63 local work updates (I don't spam with new trading ideas on principle). So, nothing will get lost, you can follow everything, read, possibly use it as training material on a live chart, as a whole explanation of local work, what is really happening on the market, profit/loss potential, always before the price movement, and not after the fact. I show what is, that is, a chart and potential work from the position of a trader, not a crypto marketer.
🟣 Local and medium urgent now
1️⃣💸 The bullish triangle itself (which is not there yet, I have depicted it on the chart for you) acts as a stop and consolidation zone (zone “psychology 100”, reset in trend No. 1). This is the easiest to manipulate and the most probable scenario. This will just be the summer consolidation. Instead of it, there may be:
2️⃣💸 Rising wedge , but more in shape like a triangle (essentially a wedge, there is a meaning of a triangle, but it was formed on aggressive pump news), with a large short liquidity takeout, and not very good logic of the TA movement after that... But, this is a bullish scenario, although quite aggressive.
3️⃣ Working out the bearish targets of the triangle (non-corrective price movement within its canvas). Stopping the decline in the designated zone and reversal upward (continuation of the trend). I emphasize the importance of not fixing the price below the zone of targets of the local corrective decline, which will not break the trend.
4️⃣💸 Double top (or triple). Double top as in 2021 in the distribution zone. This is the least likely scenario, but the most negative, as it breaks the trend. But, this is the least likely scenario, primarily because of the altcoins.
Altcoins in 2021 and now.
4️⃣In 2021, when Bitcoin formed a double top, they (altcoins) were in “space”, that is, in their distribution zones (+500-1000% of the average price of the set).
🔽Now everything is the other way around, they are in capitulation zones (most of them) or in their long-term accumulation channels :
Liquid -90-93%
Medium liquid -93-96%
Low liquid -96-98% or some are already scams or on the verge of it...
Some altcoins have pumped up earlier. That is, they left their long-term accumulation zones earlier. For example: SUN, XRP, DOGE, PEPE, SOL and so on... But there are very few of them, as distributing (raising the price, holding it and selling, inspiring to buy expensive when everything is cheap) in a bearish altcoin trend is very irrational, and you need a lot of money to go against the general market trend.
Main trend (most of it, chart since Binance Exchange foundation) for clarity on a large time frame of this local zone for work.
BTC Primary trend. Secondary — expanding triangle.
Bitcoin Might Be Forming a Local Top – Watch the Trendline!!After completing a clear 5-wave impulsive move, Bitcoin appears to be losing bullish momentum. The price is testing the main ascending trendline, and a breakdown could lead to a deeper correction.
The wave count suggests that the 5th wave may already be completed, potentially marking a local top. The key support zone to watch is around $97,740 – a clean break below this level could trigger further downside pressure.
📉 Structure: 5-wave impulsive move
🟦 Support zone: ~$97,740
🔵 Trendline: Currently under test
📌 Bias: Bearish below trendline
📅 Forecast Date: May 18, 2025
⏳ Timeframe: 4H
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
Bitcoin: Next Stop is at 144,000Looking at historical data, Bitcoin has experienced similar price growth following the last two MACD crossovers on the weekly chart. We’re now witnessing a third MACD crossover, and if history repeats itself, this could project Bitcoin’s price to around $144,000.
This is a conservative estimate, based on past performance during the middle of previous bull runs. Currently, we appear to be in the final leg of this cycle — which could mean even more upside compared to the previous two MACD crossovers.
What’s your Bitcoin target? Drop your predictions in the comments!
Cheers,
GreenCrypto
Bitcoin – Sweep the Highs, Next Target $98kMarket Overview
Bitcoin has been trading sideways for more than 8 days now, forming a tight consolidation range with no real breakout in sight. This kind of price action typically signals accumulation or distribution by larger players. While it may seem indecisive on the surface, this phase is often where the market sets its trap. What looks like inaction is actually a setup in progress. Price is compressing, volume is thinning out, and both bulls and bears are being lured in. That’s a perfect recipe for a sudden, aggressive move that wipes out one side entirely.
Liquidity Structure
The structure of this range is very clean, which in trading terms usually means dangerous. On the top side, we have a lot of liquidity, just above $105,800. This level has been tapped multiple times but never convincingly broken, and it now acts as a magnet for liquidity. On the flip side, the downside holds multiple clean lows, all clustered under the $100,000 mark. Both ends of this range are packed with liquidity. Smart money doesn’t trade in fair value, it trades where the most liquidity sits, and in this case, both the top and bottom of the range are loaded.
Inducement and Manipulation
The real purpose of this kind of range is not balance, it’s inducement. The market is inviting traders to take breakout positions on both sides, knowing full well that it’s unlikely to follow through cleanly. I believe we are currently in the inducement phase of the cycle. The equal highs around $105,800 are baiting breakout longs and short stop-losses alike. A move above that level would act as the stop hunt, triggering the final wave of longs before the rug is pulled. Once that liquidity is taken, I expect a sharp reversal that targets the lows of the range and continues further toward the real pool of liquidity sitting between $98,000 and $97,500.
Scenario Outlook
The most probable sequence from here is a fake breakout to the upside, followed by an impulsive selloff. A wick above $105,800 would serve as the signal, and once that inducement is cleared, the move down should be fast and decisive. This drop would take out the range lows and sweep the stops of everyone who tried to buy the breakout. If price does hold above $105,800 and shows continuation with strong volume and follow-through, that would be an invalidation of this short setup and a shift in structure, in which case I would reassess and wait for a pullback before considering any longs.
Price Target and Expectations
The first key event is the sweep above $105,800. That’s where breakout traders will commit, and that’s where I expect the reversal to begin. From there, downside targets include the low of the range and deeper liquidity near $98,000 to $97,500. This area aligns with a big imbalance zone, inefficiencies and the golden pocket fib level.. The expectation is for a quick drop once the trap is sprung, with a potential for a reaction or even a new bullish setup forming near that demand region.
Conclusion
Bitcoin has been compressing for over a week, and that usually ends with expansion. But expansion is not always trend continuation, especially when the structure suggests manipulation. The current setup looks ideal for a stop run above the range before dumping into deeper liquidity. The key is to wait for the sweep and watch how price reacts. The more obvious the breakout, the more likely it is to fail. Liquidity is king in this environment, and right now, the biggest pockets lie below.
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BTC to between 207k-315k come octoberThis is solely a prediction for the coming cycle top. I am looking for a third trend touch that will occur between 3.618 and 5.618 of the previous cycle high to swing low. If the time frame cycle to cycle lines up at 47 monthly bars, cycle top will occur in third quarter, likely in october.
Summer time may be slow, but I think buying pressure will ramp up in the fall. This will lead to the eventual blowoff top that btc goes through each cycle.
Blow off target = 207k-315k
This is not financial advice, this is just a prediction I would like to publish to look back on.
Let me know what you think is going to happen by years end in the comments!
NOTCOIN : IT'S TIME TO BUY GUYSHello dears
If you are risk-averse, this analysis is for you...
According to the bullish pattern that has formed, you can see that we had a decline and now it is time to take a logical risk, that is, we buy at the specified levels with capital management to move towards the specified goals...
*Trade safely with us*
Bitcoin Trajectory for Q1 and Q2 2025Hey everyone, it’s been a while! 👋
Let’s dive straight into the Bitcoin outlook and my vision for the months ahead. 🚀
Key Observations 📊
Patterns : Rounding Top & Bottom.
Rebound Levels:
Alt. 1: $101,000
Alt. 2: $82,000
Moving Averages : EMA50 & EMA188.
Target Area : $135,000+ 🔥
Pro Tip 💡
I'm setting an alert for the EMA188 cross on BTCUSDT to stay ahead of the game.
Stay tuned for more updates and insights! 💬