Get started

1-BTCUSD

BTC/USDT HIDDEN PATTERN! SM, FIB AND MORE COMFIRMED!Price Resilience Amid Geopolitical Stress Bitcoin demonstrated remarkable strength during the Israel-Iran conflict, briefly dipping to ~$98K but swiftly rebounding above $105K. This aligns with historical patterns where BTC initially sells off on geopolitical shocks but recovers aggressively within weeks, outperforming gold and equities by 15-60% post-crisis. There is a $96K-$94K "footprint" that coincided with institutional accumulation, evidenced by $1.37B in spot ETF inflows during the conflict week, led by BlackRock's IBIT ($240M single-day inflow) according to official information. This institutional backstop and many others might single-handedly prevented a deeper correction for now, remember that smart money psychology is to create cause out of thin air and buy during selling and indecisive times. Critical Levels to Watch Immediate Support: $108k area is vital. A sustained hold here maintains short-term bullish momentum. The 50-day SMA near $102.8K (tested during June 13 conflict sell-off) remains a macro support floor. Resistance & Targets: The $112K ATH is the near-term ceiling. Breaking this requires stronger spot demand—currently, net exchange inflows are negative, indicating weak retail participation or traders that are backing off for now.There's a $120K target (0.618 Fib) aligned with Standard Chartered’s $150K year-end model if ETF inflows persist. Risk Zones: A close below $108.3K risks a slide to $105K. Failure here opens path to $96K and a further break of this 92k to 96k zone could lead directly to 70k area or even lower if economical and social activities are not favorable in the near to medium future.Dominance above 55% (currently 65%) delays alt season, but a break below 60% could ignite alts in a positive way. Macro Catalysts & Market Sentiment Policy Tailwinds: Trump’s "One Big Beautiful Bill" (proposing $5T debt ceiling hike and U.S. strategic BTC reserves) could weaken the USD, boosting BTC’s "digital gold" narrative. DXY’s -9% YTD drop already correlates with BTC’s 54% post-election rally. Fed Influence: Pressure to cut rates (amid cooling employment data) may accelerate institutional rotation into BTC. ETF inflows hit $2.75B in late June, signaling renewed institutional FOMO. Geopolitical Cooling: Iran-Israel ceasefire talks reduced immediate panic, but residual volatility risk remains. Traders note BTC often rallies 20-40% within 60 days of conflict events. Structural Challenges Liquidity Fragility: Whale moves (for example: 10K BTC sell orders) now impact prices more due to ETF-driven liquidity concentration. Recent $98K flash crash exemplified this. Regulatory Overhang: MiCA compliance costs in the EU and U.S. security-reclassification proposals could pressure smaller tokens, though BTC’s status appears secure 28. Seasonal Slump: July historically sees 6.1% of annual crypto volume—low volatility may delay breakouts until August 4. Strategic Outlook A July breakout above $112K could ignite the next leg to $120K, but a retest of $107K-$105K is likely first. Altcoins remain subdued until BTC dominance breaks <55%—select projects with institutional backing (for example, ETF candidates) or real-world utility for asymmetric opportunities. Conclusion: BTC’s resilience amid chaos confirms its institutional maturity. Trade the $108.3K-$112K range aggressively, with a break above ATH targeting $120K by September. Always hedge tail risks (escalations, regulatory shocks) in this volatility-rich asset class. While this great surge in institutional inflow is good for BTC it also indicates a reduction or slower pace of other crypto currencies. This is my analysis for BTC, let me know what you think and I hope you like it!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Neldjouw
BTC – Holding or Rolling?BTC has pushed up from the late June low and is now testing the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement zone from the prior downswing. Price is currently sitting around 109.5K–110K, directly in a high-confluence rejection area. This level aligns with the top of the recent range, 78.6% retracement, Bollinger Band resistance, and the zone where the last breakdown began. While the move resembles a double bottom or W-pattern on first glance, structure invalidates the bullish case: The second low was lower than the first, breaking symmetry. The second high is still lower than the June high near 111.9K. RSI made a lower high while price made a higher high — classic momentum divergence. Volume has not increased meaningfully on the bounce, suggesting a lack of strong buyer commitment. Until BTC reclaims and holds above 111.9K on strong volume, this looks like a lower high inside a broader downtrend. Short Setup Thesis Entry Zone: 109.5K–110.5K (zone of rejection, aligned with 78.6% Fib and prior supply) Stop Loss Zone: Above 112K–113K (a full reclaim of prior highs would invalidate the setup) Target Zones: TP1: 102K–100K (local support range and prior consolidation area) TP2: 97K–95K (Fibonacci cluster and volume shelf) TP3: 91K–88K (structure low and potential sweep zone) Break Trigger / Confirmation: A daily close below 106K–105K would confirm bearish continuation. Weak retests into this zone would provide additional short entry opportunities.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Apedapp
July Doesn't Disappoint - S&P Nasdaq Dow Russell All RunningS&P All Time Highs Nasdaq All Time Highs Dow Jones closing in on All-Time Highs (and outperforming both S&P and Nasdaq recently) Russell 2000 playing catch up and moving higher This is melt-up at its finest Since US/China Trade Agreement and Middle East Ceasefire Agreement, markets have used these two events as further catalysts to continue the upside runs Stochastic Cycle with 9 candles suggesting a brief pause or pullback in the near-term, but a 3-5-10% pullback is still an opportunity to position bullish for these markets I'm only bearish if the markets show that they care with price action. The US Consumer isn't breaking. Corporate Profits aren't breaking. Guidance remains upbeat. Trump is Pro Growth and trolling Powell on the regular to run this economy and market HOT demanding cuts (history says that's a BUBBLE in the making if it's the case) Like many, I wish I was more aggressive into this June/July run thus far, but I'm doing just fine with steady gains and income trades to move the needle and still having plenty of dry powder on the sidelines for pullbacks Markets close @ 1pm ET Thursday / Closed Friday for 4th of July Enjoy the nice long weekend - back at it next week - thanks for watching!!!
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver
BTCUSDT: Positive CDV Divergence for Potential Long Setups• Market Overview: Bitcoin currently sits at a pivotal point. Although the price movement has been somewhat indecisive, we’re watching closely for signs of bullish momentum. • CDV Divergence Focus: Our attention is on a potential positive Cumulative Volume Delta (CDV) divergence. This takes shape when the price makes a lower low but CDV registers a higher low (regular bullish divergence), or when the price posts a higher low and CDV shows a lower low (hidden bullish divergence). These patterns can hint at growing buying interest even if price action hasn’t caught up yet. • Support Zones (Blue Boxes): The highlighted blue zones on the chart signal potential support levels where buyers may step in. These are mapped from prior demand areas or structural support points. • Trade Setup: Should a confirmed positive CDV divergence appear near or inside one of these blue zones, it could offer a strong case for a long entry. This would suggest that while the price may look weak, buying strength is quietly building underneath. • Managing Risk: Any long entry must be accompanied by a well-defined invalidation level—typically just below the blue box support or the lowest point of the divergence. Disclaimer: This is a technical pattern-based analysis intended for informational purposes only. Trading involves risk. Always perform your own due diligence and assess your risk appetite before entering any trades.
Long
by UmutTrades
2
Navigating BTC the Volatile Path to a Potential $117,000 PeakBitcoin at a Crossroads: Navigating the Volatile Path to a Potential $117,000 Peak Introduction: A Tale of Two Forces The world of Bitcoin is once again a theater of high drama. After a breathtaking surge that brought the digital asset tantalizingly close to its all-time high, the market now stands at a pivotal crossroads, caught in a tense tug-of-war between powerful bullish undercurrents and formidable macroeconomic headwinds. On one side, a confluence of unprecedented institutional adoption, potent on-chain signals, and a volatile derivatives market suggests an imminent price explosion. Analysts and investors whisper of a short-term upper bound of $117,000, with some seeing a potential tap of $116,000 as early as July amid a ‘perfect storm’ of macro catalysts. A move to this level would represent a significant 6.45% jump from Bitcoin’s recent price, a leap that seems entirely within reach when viewed through the lens of the asset's internal momentum. Yet, on the other side stands the unyielding wall of global economic reality. Bitcoin’s recent attempt to decisively conquer the $110,000 level was swiftly reversed as strong U.S. jobs data and other factors tempered expectations of a near-term Federal Reserve rate cut. This macroeconomic reality has cast a long shadow over risk assets, including Bitcoin, creating significant resistance at the previous all-time high of around $112,000. Analysts point to an absence of new, retail-driven buyers and the kind of "FOMO-driven greed" that characterized previous bull runs as a key factor pinning the price down. This creates a fascinating and high-stakes dichotomy. The very structure of the Bitcoin market has undergone a "paradigm shift," with institutional exchange-traded funds (ETFs) providing a steady, relentless stream of demand. At the same time, the asset remains tethered to the decisions of central bankers and the health of the global economy. This article will delve into the intricate layers of this conflict, exploring the powerful bull case built on on-chain data and market structure, the sobering macroeconomic headwinds, the psychological barrier of the all-time high, and the long-term predictions that see Bitcoin potentially reaching $200,000. As the market braces for pivotal events like the upcoming Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, the question on every investor's mind is which of these two powerful forces will ultimately dictate Bitcoin's next monumental move. The Bull Case: A Cauldron of On-Chain and Derivatives Strength Bitcoin’s impressive rally was not a random speculative whim; it was underpinned by a bedrock of strong on-chain and technical signals that paint a compelling picture of underlying market health and explosive potential. These indicators, which provide a transparent view into the blockchain’s activity, suggest that the current price action is just the beginning. On-Chain Analysis: The Blockchain's Transparent Ledger On-chain analysis is the practice of examining the public and immutable data on a blockchain to understand the behavior of network participants. Unlike traditional financial markets, where investor actions are opaque, Bitcoin’s ledger allows for a granular assessment of transaction volumes, wallet balances, and investor profitability, offering a data-driven glimpse into market sentiment. Two of the most powerful on-chain metrics in this context are the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio and the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR). The MVRV ratio is a fundamental valuation tool that compares Bitcoin's total market capitalization to its "realized capitalization." While market cap is the current price multiplied by all coins in circulation, realized cap values each coin at the price it was last moved on-chain. Essentially, MVRV compares the current market price to the average cost basis of all investors. A high MVRV ratio suggests the market is overheated, while a ratio below 1.0 signifies that the average investor is underwater, a condition often seen at market bottoms. The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) offers a more immediate look at market behavior by analyzing the profitability of transactions occurring on the network. It is calculated by dividing the sale price of a Bitcoin by the price it was last acquired. • When SOPR is greater than 1, it means that, on average, coins being sold are in profit. • When SOPR is less than 1, it means coins are being sold at a loss. • A SOPR value of 1 acts as a critical psychological level. In bull markets, the market often "bounces" off this line, as investors are reluctant to sell at a loss, creating strong support. The Derivatives Market: Funding Rates and the Looming Short Squeeze Beyond the blockchain itself, the cryptocurrency derivatives market provides another layer of bullish sentiment. This market is dominated by perpetual futures contracts, which use a funding rate mechanism to stay tethered to the spot price. • Positive Funding Rate: When the futures price is higher than the spot price, longs pay shorts, indicating dominant bullish sentiment. • Negative Funding Rate: When the spot price is higher than the futures price, shorts pay longs, indicating dominant bearish sentiment. Paradoxically, a deeply negative funding rate can be an extremely bullish contrarian indicator. A crucial historical precedent exists: Bitcoin price rallied 80% the last time BTC funding rates flipped red. When funding rates are negative, it means a large number of traders are shorting the market. If the price begins to rise against them, these short sellers must buy back Bitcoin to close their positions and limit their losses. This forced buying can trigger a "short squeeze." A large cluster of potential short liquidations has been identified near the $111,320 level, with an estimated $520.31 million in leveraged positions at risk. If the price can push through this zone, it could trigger a cascade of liquidations, providing the fuel to accelerate Bitcoin’s next leg higher into price discovery. This mechanism represents one of the most powerful potential catalysts for a rapid move toward the $116K-$117K target. The Macroeconomic Maelstrom: A "Perfect Storm" of Headwinds While Bitcoin’s internal metrics flash green, its path is being obstructed by a formidable storm of macroeconomic factors. In today's interconnected financial world, no asset is immune to the policies of central banks. The recent reversal from the push beyond $110,000 is a stark reminder of this reality, as markets began to discount the odds of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates. The Federal Reserve and Interest Rate Jitters For the past several years, the price of Bitcoin has been highly correlated with monetary policy. A policy of low interest rates generally creates a favorable environment for assets like Bitcoin by lowering the opportunity cost of holding them compared to bonds or savings accounts. Conversely, a period of monetary tightening—characterized by higher interest rates—has a negative effect on Bitcoin's price. The market's sensitivity to this was on full display when strong U.S. economic data reinforced the case for keeping rates "higher for longer" to contain inflation. This immediately took the wind out of Bitcoin’s sails and halted the rally. An unexpected rate cut, however, could send Bitcoin back toward its all-time high of $112,000. All Eyes on Jackson Hole This brings into focus the immense importance of the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. This annual conference is a crucial event where central bankers from around the globe discuss pressing economic issues and signal future policy directions. Speeches from key figures, particularly the Federal Reserve Chair, are scrutinized by global markets for clues about the future of monetary policy. The anticipation surrounding the event highlights its high stakes for risk assets. Market participants will be listening for any hint of a dovish pivot (a signal that rate cuts are back on the table) or a hawkish stance (a reinforcement of the "higher for longer" narrative). • A dovish signal could be the catalyst that reignites Bitcoin's rally by weakening the dollar and sending risk assets soaring. • A hawkish signal, on the other hand, could reinforce the current headwinds, potentially leading to a deeper correction for Bitcoin. The Great Wall of $112K: Why All-Time Highs Are Hard to Break Every seasoned market participant knows that previous all-time highs (ATHs) are not just numbers on a chart; they are formidable psychological barriers. For Bitcoin, the level around $112,000 represents this wall. Breaking through it requires immense momentum, and the current struggle to do so is explained by a critical missing ingredient: widespread, retail-driven Fear of Missing Out (FOMO). The Psychology of an All-Time High An ATH represents a point of maximum financial opportunity and maximum regret. This creates a powerful and complex dynamic: 1. Profit-Taking: Long-term holders and traders who bought at lower prices see the ATH as a prime opportunity to realize their gains. 2. Break-Even Selling: Investors who bought at or near the previous peak may be eager to sell as soon as their position returns to break-even. 3. Hesitation from New Buyers: For new investors, buying at an all-time high feels inherently risky, leading to hesitation. Overcoming this selling pressure requires a massive wave of new demand, a force often fueled by pure, unadulterated FOMO. The Absence of FOMO-Driven Greed FOMO, or the "Fear of Missing Out," is the force that turns a rally into a parabolic ascent, characterized by a surge in retail interest and media saturation. Analysts suggest that a key reason Bitcoin can’t break the $112K all-time high is the absence of new buyers and FOMO-driven greed. While there have been spikes in retail enthusiasm, the kind of euphoric mania seen at the peak of previous cycles has yet to fully materialize in 2025. Without that surge of irrational exuberance, there may not be enough buying pressure to absorb the natural selling that occurs at an all-time high, creating a stalemate. The Paradigm Shift: How Institutional ETFs Changed the Game While the lack of retail FOMO explains the resistance at the all-time high, the very reason Bitcoin reached this level so quickly is due to a fundamental, game-changing development: the approval and launch of spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) in the United States. This event represents a true "paradigm shift" in market structure, providing a powerful counterbalance to the whims of retail sentiment. A spot Bitcoin ETF directly holds Bitcoin and allows investors to gain exposure through traditional brokerage accounts, dramatically simplifying the investment process. This has had a revolutionary impact: 1. Accessibility and Legitimacy: ETFs have democratized access to Bitcoin for a massive new audience and conferred a new level of legitimacy on the asset class. 2. Unlocking Institutional Capital: Most importantly, ETFs created a regulated pathway for institutional investors to allocate capital to Bitcoin. The impact has been staggering, with massive ETF inflows directly fueling Bitcoin's price appreciation. In a recent two-month period, for instance, U.S.-based spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded nearly $10 billion in inflows. This is not the fickle demand of a retail FOMO cycle; it is the steady, calculated allocation of capital from major financial players, providing a strong floor for the price. Gazing into the Crystal Ball: Near and Long-Term Price Horizons With these conflicting forces shaping the market, analysts are looking at both short-term technical targets and long-term fundamental models to chart a potential path forward. Short-Term Targets: The Path to $117,000 The immediate upper bound for Bitcoin is pegged by many analysts at $117,000, with some suggesting a move to $116K in July is possible. This target is derived from a combination of technical analysis, historical seasonal trends, and the potential for a short squeeze. A decisive break above the $112,000 all-time high would clear the path for a rapid move toward this level. The Long-Term Vision: A $200,000 Call Looking further ahead, some of the most bullish predictions from institutional players call for Bitcoin to hit $200,000 by the end of 2025. This forecast is not based on short-term chart patterns but on a fundamental assessment of supply and demand in this new era. The reasoning is that there is simply too much institutional demand to keep prices flat for long, a trend driven by the continued success of spot Bitcoin ETFs and growing regulatory clarity. Interestingly, this bullish institutional sentiment for Bitcoin is not always extended to other major cryptocurrencies. Some outlooks are less confident that assets like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) will hit new all-time highs this year. Challenges such as network reliability issues and the lack of similar institutional products are cited as reasons for a more tempered outlook on these other assets. This suggests a potential future where Bitcoin's performance decouples from the broader altcoin market, driven primarily by its unique status as an institutional-grade digital asset. Conclusion: The Great Tension and the Path Forward Bitcoin's current market position is one of profound tension. In the world of its own blockchain and market structure, the signals are bullish. A new era of institutional demand, evidenced by billions flowing into spot ETFs, has created a paradigm shift. This is reinforced by a derivatives market primed for a potential short squeeze. However, Bitcoin does not exist in a vacuum. It is also a participant in the broader financial ecosystem, where a hawkish Federal Reserve has put a damper on risk-on sentiment. This macroeconomic resistance is amplified by the psychological barrier of the all-time high, where natural profit-taking meets the absence of the retail-driven FOMO that defined past cycles. The resolution of this conflict will define the next chapter for Bitcoin. A catalyst could come from the Jackson Hole Symposium, a sudden acceleration in ETF inflows, or a shift in the macroeconomic landscape. What is certain is that Bitcoin is no longer just a retail phenomenon; it is a maturing asset on the global stage, navigating a complex interplay of internal strength and external pressures. Whether it reaches $117,000 in the coming months or faces a setback, its journey will be a masterclass in the collision of technology, finance, and human psychology.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin Awaits Breakout Above $114K🪙 Current Price: ~$109,500 📈 Trend: Bullish but facing strong resistance at $114,000 📉 Support: $106,000–$107,000 📌 Outlook: Breakout above $114K could lead to $130K+. Otherwise, possible pullback to $106K. 📊 Key Drivers: ETF inflows, Fed rate cut expectations, weak USD. 💡 Strategy: 🔺 Buy: $107,000 – $107,500 → TP $114,000 | SL $106,000 🔻 Sell (take profit): $114,000 – $115,000 → SL if closes below $112,000
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
Bitcoin will drop from resistance level and fall to 103500 levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Some days ago, price entered the pennant, where it turned around from the seller zone, which coincided with the resistance level, and dropped to the 103500 support level. Then it bounced and tried to grow, but soon failed and dropped below the 103500 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and reached the support line of the pennant. Following this movement, BTC experienced an upward impulse, breaking the 103,500 support level and subsequently exiting the pennant pattern, before rising to the resistance level. Price broke this level and then started to decline inside another pennant pattern. In this pattern, the price dropped top 103500 support level again and then tried to bounce back, but failed and continued to decline. In a short time, it fell to the support level, broke it, and then fell to the support line of the pennant. Next, BTC turned around and repeated an impulse up to the resistance line of the pennant and exited from this pattern. Then it rose to the seller zone, where it rebounded from it and fell, but recently it rebounded and started to grow. Now, I expect that price will reach the resistance level and then drop to the 103500 support level. For this case, this level is my TP. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by LegionQ8
13
Crypto Tide Rising: Will TOTAL Market Cap surf past $5T?In November 2024 the crypto ocean was calm, hovering near $2.25T . Then, in a short time, fresh capital poured in, daily volume spiked, and the tide lifted us to $3.65T by mid-December . Two bullish buoys popped up: ▶️ The daily down-trend snapped on Nov 4th, triggering a 51 % climb; ▶️ The 50-day MA (orange) crossed above the 200-day MA (white) on Nov 7th, after a 64 % rally. Fast-forward to June 4th 2025 . Another Golden Cross has just flashed, and price is again nudging that descending trend-line. If History rhymes: the line breaks and momentum matches 2024’s move, the TOTAL MC could vault toward $5T . Keeping today’s dominance ratios, that target implies roughly $162 k BTC and $3.8 k ETH . Add rising Global M2 and stablecoin liquidity, a supportive macro backdrop, and we may be staring at the next great crypto swell. Will the market catch this wave or will macro headwinds keep the tide in check? Not financial advice. DYOR, Arrr!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by MorangoTango
1
Bitcoin Between Strength and Suspension Tactical Inflow Anomaly.⊣ ⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE - (CHART: 1H) – (Jul 03, 2025). ◇ Analysis Price: $109,716.55. ⊣ ⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (1H): ▦ EMA 9 – ($109,510.76): ∴ Price remains above EMA9, sustaining the short-term bullish impulse; ∴ The EMA 9 is ascending with consistent candle-body support across recent sessions. ✴ Conclusion: Tactical momentum persists as long as price holds above EMA9 on closing basis. ⊢ ▦ EMA 21 – ($109,064.37): ∴ EMA 21 serves as dynamic support, unbroken since the July 2nd surge; ∴ Distance between EMA9 and EMA21 confirms preserved trend integrity. ✴ Conclusion: No structural weakness observed; trend foundation remains intact under current volatility. ⊢ ▦ Volume – (Visual estimation, TradingView): ∴ Volume surged during July 2 rally; subsequent bars show diminishing interest; ∴ Last high-volume candle aligns with recent local top attempt. ✴ Conclusion: Buyer aggression is fading. Volume must return for any continuation to be credible. ⊢ ▦ Bollinger Bands (20, 2.0) – (Upper: $110,050.15 / Lower: $108,545.25): ∴ Price recently tapped upper band and pulled back slightly without breakdown; ∴ Bands are widening after expansion, indicating active volatility but no climax. ✴ Conclusion: System operates in elevated volatility regime, with breakout potential still valid if supported. ⊢ ▦ Price Action (66, 6, 5) – (Visual structure, local range): ∴ Price formed a clean higher low and higher high sequence starting July 2nd, confirming bullish microstructure; ∴ Current candles show upper wick formation at ~$110,050, indicating rejection and absorption at resistance. ✴ Conclusion: Uptrend structure is valid but approaching short-term exhaustion. If support holds at $109,100–108,900, continuation remains viable. ⊢ ▦ RSI + EMA9 – (RSI: 62.69 / EMA: 63.27): ∴ RSI dipped below its own EMA9, indicating weakening strength in recent hours; ∴ RSI remains above 60, preserving bullish territory but signaling caution. ✴ Conclusion: Early-stage exhaustion detected. Zone of hesitation active. ⊢ ▦ ATR (14, RMA) – (447.69): ∴ Average volatility is still elevated relative to June baseline; ∴ Slight decline in ATR may suggest slowing force behind directional moves. ✴ Conclusion: Tactical volatility is active but not expanding. Suitable for traps or distribution setups. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle: ∴ The structural setup holds a bullish bias with dynamic supports (EMA9/EMA21) intact; ∴ Bollinger expansion and RSI positioning signal a zone of heightened interest, but the fading volume and early RSI crossover inject caution; ∴ This is a tactically suspended state where continuation is possible but dependent on incoming confirmation volume. ⊢ ⟁ II. ARCANVM SIGNAL - (Bitcoin Inflow +5,000): ∴ Current Hourly Inflow: 20,788.10 BTC; ∴ Structural Threshold (30EMA): ~3,200 BTC; ∴ Trigger Threshold: ≥ 5,000 BTC. ✴ Conclusion and Interpretation: This event constitutes a critical liquidity anomaly under the Silent Sentinel Protocol. While it does not inherently dictate trend direction, its magnitude-6.5x above the structural average-configures: ∴ A probable institutional move for redistribution or liquidity unlocking; ∴ Elevated risk for short-term distortion events, particularly across the H1–H4 timeframes; ∴ An urgent need to monitor subsequent Netflow, to confirm whether real outflow pressure follows. ⊢ ∫ III. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant): ▦ Exchange Netflow Total - (All Exchanges): ∴ Current: +555 Bitcoin net inflow; ∴ The ARCANVM inflow (+20,788 Bitcoin) has not been fully absorbed or reversed. ✴ Conclusion: Some liquidity remains inside exchanges. Potential for redistribution or silent preparation. ⊢ ▦ Exchange Reserve - (All Exchanges): ∴ Continuously declining; current: ~2.44M Bitcoin; ∴ The inflow did not shift the macro trend of reserve depletion. ✴ Conclusion: Structural scarcity preserved. Inflow likely tactical and non-systemic. ⊢ ▦ Futures Perpetual Funding Rate 7D-SMA - (All Exchanges): ∴ Holding near 0.01% – neutral bias; ∴ No evidence of directional crowding in perpetuals. ✴ Conclusion: Perpetual markets in tactical balance. Spot-driven price action dominates. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle: ∴ Despite the aggressive ARCANVM signal, the absence of structural reversals in reserves and neutral derivatives positioning confirms the move is non-structural. ∴ Markets remain in equilibrium. ∴ No emergent directional force-just silent posture-shifting. ⊢ ⧈ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note: ∴ This is a state of tactical ambiguity. Breakout or failure depends on external triggers, as neither volume nor derivatives offer decisive guidance. ∴ The structure listens, not speaks. ⊢ ▦ Tactical Range Caution: ∴ Resistance Watch Level: $110,050; ∴ Tactical Support: $109,100; ∴ Structural Alert Level: $108,400. ⊢ 𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation: ∴ Structurally Bullish – Tactically Suspended; ⊢ ⧉ ⚜️ Magister Arcanvm – Vox Primordialis! 𓂀 Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy. ⧉ ⊢
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Magister_Arcanvm
BTC/USD Fake out before Pump | Bullish Flag formationBTC/USDT (1D) Market Outlook – July 1, 2025 Introduction BTC is currently consolidating within a bullish flag pattern after printing a swing high at 108.9K and a recent swing low at 98K. The price sits just below a major supply zone. Context 1: Key Zones Supply: 104.6K – 112.1K Demand: 74.4K – 82.5K Fair Value Gaps (FVG): 3 zones below price, with one near 88–90K Context 2: Technical Confluence Liquidation Zone: 106.2K Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618): 102.1K Psychological Levels: 105K and 110K Context 3: Market Structure Pattern: Bullish flag Trend (LTF): Sideways/consolidation Volume Profile: Heavy activity near 105K–110K Bullish Scenario Breaks above 106.2K (liq zone) Pulls back to 102.1K (golden pocket), forms higher low Retests resistance for continuation Alt scenario: clean breakout above resistance → ATH retest Bearish Scenario Breaks below 106.2K and flag support Fills FVG, breaks prior low at 98K Triggers macro downtrend toward 88–90K zone Summary BTC is at a decision point inside a bullish flag, facing supply. A break above 106.2K favors upside continuation, while rejection and a lower low could trigger a deeper retracement. Watch key levels closely.
Long
by King_BennyBag
11
Breaking: Bitcoin Just Broke the $110k Resistant Next Top $115kThe price of the first crypto currency ever created saw a noteworthy uptick to reclaim the $110k price point however, the move was short-lived as the asset retraced to $109k mark but present price chart depicts a move to the $115k resistant point in the short term. With the Relative strength index (RSI) at 63, Bitcoin might be inches away from claiming the $115k pivot amidst build up momentum and institutional adoption. further bullish metrics include the asset trading above the 50, 100 and 200-day Moving Averages (MA) respectfully.
OKX:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
July 1 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis Hello This is Bitcoin Guide. If you "follow" You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections. If my analysis was helpful, Please click the booster button at the bottom. Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. Shortly later at 10:30 PM and 11:00 PM, there will be a NASDAQ index announcement. On the left, with a purple finger, I connected the long position entry point of $106,775.9, which I entered yesterday, to today's strategy. Since the rebound was not strong yesterday, the 12-hour chart -> daily chart MACD dead cross is currently under pressure. Depending on the situation, it can drop strongly to the 3rd section at the bottom, and since there may be some people who are maintaining long positions yesterday, I will explain in detail the operating method such as the loss cut price, so please check it carefully. *When the blue finger moves, Bidirectional neutral Short->Long switching strategy 1. 107,300.3 dollars short position entry section / stop loss price when orange resistance line is broken 2. 106,222.2 dollars long position switching / stop loss price when section 2 is touched 3. Top section long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target It is important until 9 o'clock when the 12-hour candle is created. After 9 o'clock, the blue finger 106,222.2 dollars at the bottom Becomes the main support line If it comes down from the current position, section 2 The main support line is divided. In terms of the pattern, it is section 6+12. If section 2 is touched right away, There is a high possibility of a strong drop today, So you should be careful. - Those who are maintaining a long position If you touch the 2nd section before 9 PM without touching the short position entry point at the top You should operate at a loss cut price. I think it would be good to adjust it according to leverage. If it falls after touching the 1st section at the top It becomes a vertical decline condition. From the bottom, from the 3rd Maximum Bollinger Band daily chart support line section Please note that it can be pushed up to 100,685.5 dollars. I have never changed my perspective suddenly or irresponsibly after leaving an analysis article. I did my best until the end today. Please use my analysis article so far only for reference and use I hope you operate safely with principle trading and loss cut prices. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by BitCoinGuide
BITCOIN now starts ascent to $150k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closed last week with a strong green 1W candle, recovering all loses and has started the current one with a stable rise. As stable as the whole Bull Cycle has been so far since the November 2022 market bottom. The current uptrend is the technical Bullish Leg that has always emerged the Triple Support Combo of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and former Resistance, turned Support (Pivot). As you can see, this has happened 2 times already and this is the 3rd. The previous one peaked a little above the 1.382 Fibonacci extension, which gives us an immediate Target on a 2-month horizon at $150000. This confirms a number of previous studies we conducted, all leading towards this price or around it. So do you think all roads lead to $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
8
Pi Coin Closes In On All-Time Low; Bitcoin ResponsiblePi Coin’s price is currently hovering around $0.499, which is approximately 20% above its all-time low of $0.400. However, the overall market environment suggests further decline may be imminent. With continued bearish sentiment and decreasing confidence in Pi Coin , the altcoin could struggle to maintain its current levels. Furthermore, the correlation between the Pi Coin and Bitcoin has steadily decreased. Currently, it is just 0.07, a stark contrast to the positive relationship the two coins once shared. A low or negative correlation means that Pi Coin is moving independently of Bitcoin. This is concerning for investors who have relied on Bitcoin’s momentum to drive altcoins like Pi forward. If Pi Coin loses the support level of $0.493, it may drop further, potentially testing the $0.450 mark. A sustained decline below this support would make Pi Coin vulnerable to hitting its all-time low again. The ongoing outflows and negative market sentiment only add pressure to Pi Coin’s price, keeping it on a downward trajectory. However, should the altcoin experience a shift in momentum, Pi Coin could find demand from investors looking to capitalize on a potential recovery. If the coin breaches $0.518 and flips into support, it could open the door for a price rebound. A reversal would allow Pi Coin to regain investor confidence and potentially invalidate the current bearish outlook.
by aaryamann_shrivastava_bic
BTCUSD Trade Setup Idea on 1D Timeframe - Bullish MomentumBitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently trading at $109,348, showing strong bullish momentum on the 1H chart. The recent breakout from consolidation signals potential continuation, provided key resistance levels are breached and held. Must Consider Analysis Timeframe : 1Day. Strictly follow the trading rules for Entry..... only on Retracement. SL on Previous or Close swing low. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: Bullish Continuation Confirmation: If price sustains above 112,150, we expect bullish momentum to accelerate. Target 1 (TP1): 112,150 – Key breakout level that may act as support once reclaimed. Target 2 (TP2 - Major): 121,128 – Long-term resistance and major profit-taking zone. 📊 Trade Logic: A confirmed breakout and hold above 112,150 indicates strong buyer interest and could drive price toward 116,572 and 121,128. The trend remains bullish as long as price holds above the breakout structure. REMEMBER:- RESPECT THE LEVELS, LELEVLS RESPECT YOU THEN. 💡 Strategy: Monitor for retests and bullish candle confirmations above 112,150 to add or enter long positions with proper risk management. ! Disclaimer & Important Note: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. All trading involves risk. We are not responsible for any kind of loss incurred, whether financial, emotional, or otherwise. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Trading involves significant risk, and you should never invest more than you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The trade idea shared above reflects personal market interpretation and is subject to change based on new market conditions. Posted by: THEPATELCRYPTO, 45Degree Stay safe. Trade smart. Follow for more ideas! 📍Posted by: THEPATELCRYPTO, 45Degree 📈 Stay safe. Trade smart. 🔔 Follow for more ideas!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by thepatelcrypto
BTC: A Classic Cup & Handle in Play!Bitcoin has formed a classic cup and handle pattern on the daily chart, with the 100 EMA providing solid support during the handle formation. Currently, the price is consolidating in what appears to be a bullish flag or extended handle, just below the key resistance zone around $109K. A breakout above this level could ignite a strong bullish rally toward higher targets like $144k. Key Highlights: -Cup & Handle pattern confirmed -10 EMA acting as dynamic support -Bullish flag/handle forming near resistance - A breakout could lead to explosive upside Regards Hexa CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Long
by HexaTrades