SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Review : POP PatternToday's pattern played out perfectly.
I'm really amazed that the SPY rallied up to my resistance level ($520-525) and stalled/bottomed exactly near my $480 support.
Absolutely PERFECT reflection of the data I presented this morning and from my research over the weekend.
Now, if my analysis is correct, we move into a sideways consolidation pattern for the next 3+ weeks where price will attempt to establish a range (moving slightly downward in trend) before we get to the late-June breakdown (setting up the July 2025 low), then another big breakdown in October 2025.
I can't tell you how pleased I am with the comments and messages I get every day. Some of you are KILLING IT and I'm so happy to be able to help.
Remember, we are all trying to find the best way to profit from these market trends. So remember to share your success with others and let them know how to find the best tools for trading (on TradingView).
Now, let's get busy trying to get ready for the next phase of this market trend (which will come in June).
I'll keep you updated.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
1-BTCUSD
Bitcoin - This Is Just Wonderful!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) creates textbook market stucture:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
The entire stock market is selling off significantly but Bitcoin and most cryptocurrencies are still holding their strong levels. This is clearly a sign of bullish strength and even if we see a retest of the previous all time high, the overall uptrend remains perfectly valid over the next months.
Levels to watch: $70.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bitcoin at Critical Support – Will It Hold or Break? Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Forecast – Potential Breakdown Ahead?
Key Observations:
📉 Strong Support Retest: Bitcoin is currently testing a major support zone around $81,350 - $81,000.
📉 Bearish Momentum: The price has been in a steady downtrend, struggling to hold above key moving averages.
📉 Breakdown Potential: If Bitcoin fails to hold this support, we could see further downside towards $80,046, and possibly as low as $77,685.
Possible Scenarios:
🔴 Bearish Case: A clear break below $81,000 could accelerate selling, leading to a drop towards $80,000 or lower.
🟢 Bullish Case: If BTC holds this support and forms a reversal pattern, we might see a bounce back towards $83,000+.
⚠️ Watch for confirmation! A breakdown could trigger strong bearish momentum! 🚨
What’s your outlook for BTC? Will it hold or break down further? Let me know in the comments! 👇🔥
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
Has Bitcoin entered a downtrend?Bitcoin is going down, the whole crypto market is going down, too. So, does this mean Bitcoin has entered a downtrend cycle? That is a million- or even billion -dollar question.
Let's analyze Bitcoin's two previous downtrends. The first correction wave dropped about 21.7%, and the second one dropped about 32.8%. If this pattern continues, the current correction wave could drop at least 32.8%; the latest Bitcoin's bearish candle is a little short of this amount.
Also, the previous horizontal resistance area, which is now a support area, coincides with the 32.8% drop value and the 0.5 and 0.618 Fib retracement levels, too. So, this area seems like a good place for Bitcoin's correction to end.
Moreover, the major uptrend line is the last line of defense for Bitcoin to keep the bullish phase alive. Let's see what happens.
BTCUSD: Can this M2 supply signal trigger a massive rally?Bitcoin has neutralized the previously oversold levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.383, MACD = -1887.100, ADX = 31.814) as it is making a strong technical rebound on the 1W MA50. Today's analysis features the Global M2 supply, which is a leading indicator for Bitcoin. Both in July 2024 and November 2022 (the last two major bottoms for the market) when the M2 started to rise aggressively, Bitcoin declined and consolidated. It followed the bullish trend of the M2 with a rise of its own much later. This is similar to what the market has been experiencing since January 2025, when the M2 started rising but Bitcoin peaked on its ATH and started a decline that continues to this very date. If the pattern gets repeated then by end of April - start of May we are in for a strong Bitcoin recovery (if not earlier).
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Shorting BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin put a massive Bearish Engulfing Candle yesterday, with high volume, which is very bearish, and now I’m expecting it to continue to decline.
It also tends to follow the US Indices, which are heading lower.
My target is about 70k, maybe even lower.
Good luck to you
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 74,300
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 79,056
First target: 80,422
Second target: 81,950
Third target: 84,000
Bitcoin: Blood in the Streets – Now is the Time!Once again, there’s blood in the streets—and from this point on I start scaling into spot positions again, slowly but deliberately.
All of these are spot entries with soft stop-losses—not hard exits, but areas I’ll react to if needed.
So why now? For one, we’re sitting right above the 38,2% Fibonacci level for the ending of the wave A. At the same time, we’re about to tap into a daily Fair Value Gap, while trying to hold the range support—two important technical levels lining up on the higher time frame.
Below that, we have an untapped VWAP at $65.5K, which could act as a magnet, as it often does. And yeah—if we go under $62K or even $60K, the classic “time to work at McDonald’s” joke comes back. But seriously: in markets like this, you need to stay calm, have some humor, and most of all, know what’s possible.
So I’m cautiously watching the S&P 500 closely, which plays a big role in this setup for me.
That’s where I stand on BTC right now—careful optimism, grounded in context and reasoning for me.
We are at the decision line. As you can see, the situation is quite clear. If it supports this decision line, new Ath is on its way. But if it cannot support, a bloodbath is on its way.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
Bitcoin BEARISH - BTC Strong Resistance On Weekly TFBitcoin has reached strong resistance on the weekly TF. The resistance line goes the whole way back to 2017. So it's very reliable. A strong move downwards is very likely!
Based on previous times this line was tested, Bitcoin could fall 50% or more. However, the 74000-75000 level looks like a good support level. This would be about a 30% drop which is still very significant.
I expect profit taking very soon and short sellers to come in. There could possibly even be global headline news to cause this drop.
Be very careful in buying near the tops. Trade with your brain and not emotions. This is only an idea and anything can happen, but it's a weekly chart and seems very reliable.
Bitcoin BEARISH 4 Hour Chart - Trend Line Support BrokeBitcoin has broke down through an important trend line support level on the 4 hour chart. It is currently in the process of re-testing the line before a continuation down again. It's possible that Bitcoin may gain short-term up to around $100000 before the re-testing is complete. Or it may just start falling like a rock before then.
The trend line was tested multiple times and is a reliable signal of what is to come. This also agrees with my analysis on the weekly chart too. Both charts indicate a potential drop for Bitcoin to around $75000.
Please note: this is a crazy world and anything could happen, but this is my analysis based solely on the chart. I would say the same if it were corn, copper, or whatever else. Be cautious buying Bitcoin anytime soon based solely on hype! As I said above, it could gain short term to re-test the line which is now resistance, but it will probably be short-lived.
WILL HISTORY REPEAT ITSELF WITH CKBUSD-Cross chain Proof of work crypto, with partnerships notably with Cardano
-This one is right where it was before previous pumps
-If the cycle continues from current position to high will be 1000%
-Not too much more room to fall
-Not too heavy on this one but I'm accumulating
You Won't Believe Who Saved Bitcoin: GMEThis last week was interesting to say the least but the most interesting thing to watch was the incredibly influx of volume into INDEX:BTCUSD
As the week progressed into Thursday and Friday and equity markets sold off big the volume of trading in Bitcoin more than doubled... yet the price remained stagnant.
A month ago I did a study of correlation and relative movements between stocks and Bitcoin to answer the question: "What would happen to Bitcoin if Stocks Crash?" The TL;DR was that 75% of all weeks exhibited a positive correlation with nearly 50% a "high" correlation. Also, when equities have sold off big over the past decade Bitcoin had sold off at least two times or more.
Correlations are not an absolute and can change but this week something unique was clearly going on. If the standard correlation had been allowed to play out on Thursday INDEX:BTCUSD would have fallen more than -8% and Friday more than -11%. It would have triggered mass liquidations. But that did not happen.
This was a critically important Support for Bitcoin to hold and someone knew it... enter Ryan Cohen.
Michael Saylor with NASDAQ:MSTR is definitely NOT the one deploying cash to prop up Bitcoin.
His buys have been entirely NOT-Strategy-ic and has mostly bought highs. He has made a virtue out of being a really bad "trader" uncaring about price and timing. That plan has not worked to push Bitcoin to new a new All Time High nor saved it from the bear trend in 2025.
Cohen, however, is a renowned trader/investor that should know market structure and would have the sense to deploy cash at the perfect time. Just this week two things happened: Cohen took out a loan backed by his NYSE:GME shares and GameStop completed a convertible note offering, like Microstrategy has done, to raise 1.4 Billion in cash to buy Bitcoin. That gave him lots of cash at the critical point at the end of the week.
So do they get to win? Very possible. It depends on equities. If stocks rise in the coming week then the Bitcoin correlation may resume and INDEX:BTCUSD be lifted. If the U.S. economy enters a recession, the stock market route deepens, or if they used all of their available cash to exhaustion then the plan could fail and Bitcoin will fall in sync.
Bitcoin Holding Strong — Next Stop: $150K?BTCUSDT Technical analysis update
BTC price is currently retesting its major support zone, which was previously a strong resistance area, now acting as support at the $70K–$75K level. The price has just touched the $75K support zone, and we can expect a consolidation above the $70K level followed by a potential bounce back or a V-shaped recovery from the current level.if we see a strong bounce from the current support level, the next potential target could be around $150K
ITS TIME , FINAL WAVE FOR BITCOIN HAS BEGAN The final wave for Bitcoin has officially started; 200k by September 2025 is the call. So far, since October 2024, we have been getting every macro move correct. Going to avoid repeating a lot of content from the previous two TAs; check it out below.
The lower high on the RSI called the momentum shift on this one; it was clear.
December 17th, 2024, calling for a pullback down to 82k for wave 4 to complete; it hit 77k, pretty close.
So last time, I was wrestling with two different dates for a cycle top; the first one was May 2025, and the second was September 2025.
It is clear to me now that mid to late September 2025, Bitcoin will peak at around 200k. It could go slightly higher, but the 185-200k region has a higher outcome.
So, I've been using this small-time Fib, and last time when we hit the 0.618, it was the breakout week for Bitcoin from the long range. We're here again; this week is the big pivot and start of wave 5.
The hash ribbon has confirmed a buy signal, and more importantly, it flashed buy in my Time Fibonacci week. Amazing. If you've been with me for years, you already know that this is the best signal for Bitcoin there is. It is so damn good; this gives so much more weight to my thesis.
Stars seem to align again. They constantly try to shake you out; this is the game. Who is going to fade the hash ribbon buy? It's been the easiest play time and time again.
Seriously, though, for just a moment—are you really going to fade the hash ribbon? :)
BTCUSDT: Bounce Incoming?BTCUSDT Technical analysis update
-March 2024 resistance is now expected to act as a strong support level.
-The price has touched the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a potential reversal from this zone.
-The 200 EMA on the 2-day chart is positioned as a strong dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish case.
We can expect a bounce from the $72-75k level.
Will BITCOIN prove to be resilient amidst this market crash??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just hit its 1W MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time since September 06 2024, while completing the first 1D Death Cross since August 09 2024. This is a critical double combo development as last time those conditions emerged it was a bullish signal.
Despite the theoretically bearish nature of the Death Cross, the last one on 1D was formed just four days after the market's previous major long-term bottom of August 05 2024. That bottom was exactly on the level that the market hit today, the 1W MA50.
The 1W RSI sequences among the 2 fractals are identical and if it wasn't for the abysmal negative market fundamentals regarding the back-and-forth tariffs, that would be an automatic long-term buy entry, the 3rd on of this Bull Cycle.
The only condition we can technically rely on right now, amidst the stock market crash, is for the weekly candle to close above the 1W MA50, as it did on August 05 2024. In that case and of course if and only if the trade war gets under control (and/ or the Fed makes an urgent rate cut), we can expect a new long-term Bullish Leg to begin towards $150k and above.
Failure to address those concerns and a 1W candle close below the 1W MA50, can result into a stronger sell-off towards $50000 and the next long-term technical Support level of the August 05 2024 Low (49150). That would also be a major Support cluster as the 1W MA200 (gray trend-line) is just below that level (and holding since October 16 2023) and by the time of the drop, the market may test that as well.
So what do you think? Will BTC turn out to be resilient amidst this market crash or will it follow suit and decline towards $50k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Where can Bitcoin turn bullish again? (2D)Before anything, pay attention to the timeframe of the analysis. This is a 2-day timeframe, so it will take time.
The green zone is where Bitcoin can start moving toward the specified targets. If the ATH is broken, Bitcoin could also move toward $120K and $140K. However, based on the chart, there is currently no certainty about Bitcoin’s final target.
Reaching the green zone may take more than 4 to 5 weeks.
We are looking for buy/long positions in the green zone.
A daily candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
April 4 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart.
There are indicators released at 9:30 and 12:00.
First of all, Nasdaq reached a very important point on the chart
yesterday morning.
In a situation where there is no particular movement due to Trump's tariff policy,
it continues to flow downward.
As far as I remember, the US is a country with a lot of showmanship.
I've experienced it a lot while analyzing charts.
There are two indicators released today,
The Bollinger Band monthly central line touches on the chart + two indicators released,
so there is a very high possibility that Nasdaq will go up.
In the end, it's an action and a play on words to pick up and put down the ants,
and it won't be operated to the point where the US is destroyed.
Since there is a stop loss, we proceeded very aggressively.
As you can see, in the indicator announcement time zone,
the blue finger is short->long
or the red finger is long.
The rebound from the bottom is a condition for a sweep when looking at the chart upside down, so if successful, a surge can occur.
I just applied it to Bitcoin.
This is a 30-minute Bitcoin chart.
I marked the daily closing section for each flag,
and the purple flag on the far right is next Monday.
The purple finger on the lower left
is connected to the 81,404.4 dollar entry point yesterday, April 3.
Because it is touching the center line of the Bollinger Band 12-hour chart,
you need to hold on until 9 o'clock when additional candles are created to go up more.
*One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves
1. 83,568 dollar long position entry point / stop loss price when the green support line is broken
2. 86,871.5 dollar long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target
After that, target price in order.
If the strategy is successful, the 1st section that returns
You can use the long position re-entry section
The movement within the 1st section at the top and the 2nd section at the bottom is a sideways market.
If there is a crash in Nasdaq
It can drop below the bottom
And it can drop to 79.7K 3 times over the weekend, so please take note.
Up to this point, my analysis
Please just refer to and use it
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
You worked hard this week too.
Thank you.