Market Overview (May 5, 2025)
📊 Key Metrics
1. Funding Rate: -0.0024% (on Binance)
— traders are paying to hold short positions, signaling bearish pressure
2. Open Interest (OI): $27.5B, down –3.13% in 24h
— positions are closing, possibly due to liquidations or profit-taking
3. ETF Inflows: +$674.9M (on May 2)
— strong institutional demand, especially into BlackRock’s IBIT
4. Fear & Greed Index: 52 (Neutral)
— sentiment has stabilized after a period of greed
⸻
📈 Market Movement Probability
• Upward: 55%
(potential short squeeze fueled by ETF inflows)
• Downward: 45%
(OI is dropping, market losing momentum)
⸻
Disclaimer: This information is not financial advice and should not be used as the sole basis for investment decisions.
1-BTCUSD
BTCUSD/BITCOIN | M30 | SELL LIMIT ORDERHey There,
I'm currently waiting for the level I've targeted to enter a sell position on Bitcoin.
I've shared the exact entry level with you below.
Just a heads-up:
This trade carries high risk due to potential market manipulation.
Please trade cautiously and avoid taking on too much risk.
SIGNAL ALERT
SELL LIMIT ORDER (BTCUSD/BITCOIN) 97,000/97,500
🟢TP1:96,850
🟢TP2:96,654
🟢TP3:96,100
🔴SL: 98,390
Traders, your likes are always my biggest source of motivation for me to share analysis. For this reason, I would like to ask each and every one of my followers; please do not miss your likes.
I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes.
The worst-case scenario for Bitcoin📉 Potential Dip to $70,000 in 2026
Some analysts suggest that Bitcoin could experience a correction to around $70,000 in 2026. This potential downturn may be influenced by:
Market Cycles: Bitcoin's price has historically followed cyclical patterns, with periods of rapid growth followed by corrections.
Regulatory Changes: Shifts in global regulatory stances toward cryptocurrencies could impact investor sentiment and market dynamics.
Macroeconomic Factors: Economic events, such as changes in interest rates or geopolitical tensions, could influence risk appetite among investors.
It's important to note that while a dip to $70,000 is within the realm of possibility, other forecasts for 2026 are more optimistic. For instance, CoinCodex projects Bitcoin trading between $94,836 and $160,074 in 2026, with an average price of $119,743 .
🚀 Surge to Over $130,000 in 2027
Looking ahead to 2027, several factors could contribute to a significant increase in Bitcoin's price:
Institutional Adoption: Growing interest from institutional investors could drive demand.
Technological Advancements: Improvements in blockchain technology and scalability solutions may enhance Bitcoin's utility.
Global Economic Conditions: In times of economic uncertainty, Bitcoin is often viewed as a hedge against inflation.
Analysts have provided various projections for 2027:
Binance forecasts a price range between $140,491 and $216,738, with an average of $170,100 .
Bittime estimates an average price of $138,000, with potential highs up to $150,000
Ratio Charts in TradingView and IAAbove you can see the Bitcoin to Ethereum ratio chart. Ratio analysis between two or more symbols is a critical method for comparing the strength and weakness of assets relative to each other. TradingView offers basic capabilities for this task, but with the help of artificial intelligence (AI) and custom scripts, much more advanced and creative analyses can be conducted.
Here are some practical ideas:
1. Creating Conditional Ratio Scripts
2. Comparing Relative Averages and Issuing Smart Signals
3. Calculating Composite Ratios of Multiple Assets
4. Smart Alerts Based on Price Pattern Breakouts
For more information, search Google for "How to Use Ratio Charts in TradingView: A Hidden Gem for Traders."
(BTC/USD) 1H Trade Setup – Key Entry, Stop Loss & Dual TargetEntry Point: 95,431
Stop Loss: 95,264
Target Points:
Upside (Target 1): 100,674 (Potential gain: +5.36%)
Downside (Target 2): 86,614 (Potential loss: -7.57%)
Trade Setup:
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Approx. 1:0.7 (Not ideal; the reward is smaller than the potential loss)
Support Zones:
Highlighted in purple beneath the entry zone — this indicates a historically strong support area.
Resistance Zones:
The upper purple zone marks the next significant resistance around 100,000–100,795.
Technical Indicators:
50 EMA (Blue Line): Indicates mid-term trend support, currently holding price action.
Price Action: BTC appears to be retracing toward support after a bullish rally.
Interpretation:
The setup implies a long (buy) position with a very tight stop loss.
The price is nearing a support zone, and if it holds, there's potential for an upward move to the target at 100,674.
However, if price breaks below 95,264, a sharp drop to 86,614 is anticipated.
BTC: Balancing on the EdgeBitcoin held the $90.5K level and managed to flip prior resistance into support—an encouraging development, especially given how close price was hovering to the so-called danger zone. That flip marked a technical win for bulls, signaling potential strength in the short-term structure.
However, we’re not entirely out of the woods just yet.
While price is holding above support and showing some resilience, we’re still trading uncomfortably close to the edge of the recent consolidation zone. For now, $91.5K stands as the ideal level to hold.
The concern? If price starts slipping back below this newly established support, especially with conviction, that could be a signal of deeper retracement on the table. The bullish narrative would weaken significantly if we revisit and fail to defend those levels, potentially opening the door for a more sustained correction.
So, while the short-term structure remains cautiously optimistic, this isn’t the time for complacency. The market’s still in a precarious spot, and clarity will only come with either continued strength—or a confirmed break below support.
Eyes on $91.5K for now. Hold that, and the momentum favors the bulls. Lose it, and the deeper pullback scenario comes back into play.
Trade Safe, Trade Clarity.
multiple positive factorsDriven by multiple positive factors, including institutional funds inflow, the halving cycle, and the development of the Middle East market, as well as a breakthrough in the technical aspects, Bitcoin has a relatively high probability of surging towards the $100,000 mark in May.
Trading Strategy:
buy@94500-95500
TP:97500-98500
AI BTC Prediction Next 24–48 Hours !May 3, 2025, 11:13 pm. BTC/USD. BTC/USD Trading Plan
Timeframe: Next 24–48 Hours
Long Scenario
- Entry: 96,550 (confirmed close above 96,500 with rising volume + RSI > 50).
- SL: 95,700 (below immediate support 95,800).
- TP: 96,800 (below resistance 97,000).
- Trailing Stop: 1.5x ATR (~162 pips) after surpassing 96,800.
- Confirmation: MACD histogram reversal + Bollinger Band breakout above midline.
Short Scenario
- Entry: 95,750 (confirmed close below 95,800 with rising volume + RSI < 40).
- SL: 96,600 (above resistance 96,500).
- TP: 95,200 (above support 95,000).
- Trailing Stop: 1x ATR (~108 pips) after breaking 95,500.
- Confirmation: Supertrend remains bearish + EMA crossover downward.
“BTC 4H Chart: Eye on $91,247 Support After Local Resistance”The BTCUSDT 4H chart shows a strong uptrend, but price is now facing resistance. If the trendline breaks, the $91,000 support zone becomes a key level to watch. Is this just a pullback or the start of a bigger correction?
🔍 Key Levels:
Resistance: $97,000
Support Zones: $95,000 & $91,000
Trendline Decision: Watch the 4H candle close for confirmation.
🧠 Strategy:
Wait for a pullback or go long on a confirmed bounce — both setups are possible. Follow price action closely and trade smart.
Eyes Fresh Upside Within Ascending Channel 📈🟢 BTCUSD Eyes Fresh Upside Within Ascending Channel 🚀💰
No time to wait for the open – this dip might already be the setup! 🔍
Bitcoin continues to respect the ascending channel, with the latest touch on the lower boundary lining up perfectly with the 95,568 zone. Historically, each visit to this trendline has produced a strong bounce – and we can see it clearly through the green arrows across the chart.
As of now, price is holding just above the key support at 95,120, and unless we see a strong break below that level (with confirmation below 94,806), this looks like another textbook “buy the dip” scenario. 🛒
Upside targets remain:
🔹 97,432 – mid-channel resistance
🔹 99,161 – channel top, potential exhaustion zone
I’ll be watching for a minor pullback or consolidation (as shown), but I’m not waiting on the sidelines for the open – structure supports continuation. Don’t fight the trend when the channel is this clean. 📊
Key support levels to monitor on downside invalidation:
⚠️ 94,806
⚠️ 94,120
⚠️ 93,806
⚠️ 92,709 (channel invalidation below here)
Stick to structure, trust the levels, and respect the momentum. And if we end up under the channel remember it becomes resistance. Long ONLY over 95600 here.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BTCUSD – 5M Premium Zone Rejection | Short Setup Activated🧩 BTCUSD – 5-Minute Breakdown | May 4, 2025
The BoS has happened, but don’t let it fool you — price just entered the danger zone. This is where Smart Money loves to trap late longs and send price tumbling.
🧠 SMC Playbook:
🔨 BoS Identified: Minor bullish BoS after initial reaction from the previous low.
🟥 Supply Zone (Entry Area): 79%–100% retracement zone from the latest swing high to low.
🔄 Reversal Point: Entry just above the 79% zone (95,499–95,629).
🎯 Target: Weak Low = 95,200
🧼 Stop-Loss: Above 95,629 (structure invalidation)
📏 RR Ratio Potential: 1:3 to 1:4+
🔎 Narrative:
Price is engineered to grab liquidity before making the real move. The Strong High acts as protection — Smart Money is defending this area. Once the premium fills, we expect a clean breakdown back into the discount zone.
📊 Key Observations:
❌ Buyers are likely trapped.
📍OB tapped + Fibonacci 79–100% = High confluence.
💥 Expecting liquidity sweep → sharp sell-off.
⏰ Execution timeframe = M1/M5 confirmation (engulfing, CHoCH, etc.)
📣 How to Trade It:
Monitor price action inside red zone (79–100%).
Wait for lower timeframe confirmation (e.g. bearish engulfing, M1 CHoCH).
Short from ~95,500 with SL above 95,630.
TP at Weak Low → potential extension to 94,800 if momentum kicks in.
🧠 Chart Ninja Tip:
“Don’t chase price — trap it. Let price come to you and confirm. The premium zone is where trades go from good to god-tier.”
💬 Drop a 🧠 if you’re watching this level too.
📈 Save this chart for your next sniper entry.
🔁 Share it with your SMC crew and ride the liquidity wave!
BTCUSD: Expecting Bearish Continuation! Here is Why:
Looking at the chart of BTCUSD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Bitcoin Hype vs. Reality: A Breakdown of Bitcoin DelusionBitcoin enthusiasts often dream of mass adoption, corporate treasuries, and state-backed investments driving its price to astronomical levels. But let’s examine the actual numbers behind these claims.
🔹 The $1M Bitcoin Fantasy
Many believe Bitcoin will reach $300K, $500K, or even $1M. But what does that actually require?
💰 Bitcoin’s current circulating supply is approximately 19.5 million coins.
💰 At $830K per coin, the total market cap would be $16 trillion—which is:
✅ More than China’s entire GDP ($6T)
✅ 5x the market cap of Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google & Tesla combined
To put this into perspective, the entire global crypto market cap is currently around $2.99 trillion. Expecting Bitcoin alone to hit $16 trillion is beyond unrealistic.
🔹 Why Government & Corporate Adoption Won’t Skyrocket Price
Bitcoin believers often cite governments and corporations buying Bitcoin as proof it will moon. But here’s the reality:
⚠️ State & corporate purchases are OTC (Over-The-Counter) deals—they do not impact market prices like retail speculation.
⚠️ Governments negotiate strategically, they don’t impulsively buy at public prices to pump the asset.
⚠️ Treasury holdings do not guarantee higher prices—they only serve as reserves, not market drivers.
State adoption might increase legitimacy, but it won’t magically push Bitcoin past gold or global GDP levels.
🔹 Bitcoin’s Volatility vs. Gold’s Stability
Bitcoin is often compared to gold as a store of value, but its history tells a different story:
📉 Bitcoin has crashed over 80% multiple times—far from a stable asset.
📉 Extreme volatility makes it unreliable for wealth preservation.
📉 Liquidity issues create uncertainty, making it impractical for widespread adoption as money.
Gold, by contrast, has proven stability for centuries, with intrinsic value, industrial use, and universal acceptance.
🔹 Bitcoin Will NOT Absorb the Global Economy
Some claim Bitcoin will replace fiat, surpass gold, and absorb trillions in wealth. But the economic reality is:
❌ Bitcoin remains speculative, driven by market sentiment, not intrinsic value.
❌ No nation will abandon fiat for Bitcoin—they will regulate, integrate, but never replace sovereign currency.
❌ Bitcoin lacks industrial utility—gold has actual use in electronics, medicine, and aerospace.
🔹 The Crypto Dream vs. Financial Reality
Crypto thrives on believers, feeding them narratives that sound appealing but don’t match real-world economic fundamentals.
Bitcoin is not overtaking gold.
Bitcoin is not absorbing global wealth.
Bitcoin is not making every holder a millionaire.
Numbers don’t lie, but ignoring them won’t change reality. When the hype fades, speculative investors will face the harsh truth: Bitcoin is not a guaranteed path to riches—it’s a high-risk, volatile asset that operates in an unpredictable market.
Bitcoin: First Leg Of Wave 5 To 109K.Bitcoin has lingered around the 95K resistance area over the previous week. In my opinion this is a sub wave iii completion (5 mini waves can be counted within the bullish breakout leg). This implies there is a greater probability of a retrace or sub wave iv (see wave count on chart). The retrace can go as low as the 90K support without overlapping sub wave i which would keep the bullish impulse in play. Also there is enough evidence here to suggest this structure is likely the first wave of the broader Wave 5 which can see a test of the 109K high over the coming months.
The current high (see arrow) shows signs of potential reversal at a location where such a pattern can be expected. The question is, when will it retrace and how far? It is anyone's guess. This is where you have to have the ability to adjust as the market provides new information. Until then the best we can do is assess loose probabilities and wait to see how the market aligns or not.
The adjustment process is two fold: evaluating support/resistance levels and assessing the RISK associated with a given scenario. For example, the illustration on the chart shows a retrace back to 90K, this or some variation of this scenario may or may not unfold. The key is to have levels identified in advance and then WAITING to see how the market behaves at such levels. Does it confirm our idea or not? In the case of Bitcoin now, the 95K area resistance is sticking and a reversal pattern has appeared which adheres to the retrace scenario, but how far it retraces is up to Bitcoin. We have to wait and see what type of bullish reversals appear and where they appear before RISK can be assessed for a swing trade on this time frame.
Markets that linger around levels can be very hard to trade if you are the type that forces trades or assert opinions. Slow grinds are especially tough to sit through which is why I always suggest evaluating smaller time frames while keeping this bigger picture in mind. There are plenty of smaller opportunities to capitalize on if you can recognize the support/resistance levels and trend structure on the smaller time frames without losing site of the bigger picture.
On this time frame for swing trades, I am not interested in the short side. I prefer to wait for the retrace (wave iv) measure to see how far it goes, WAIT for the reversal confirmation, then quantify the RISK from that point. IF this scenario appears, I would be anticipating a retest of the 100K resistance and expecting a greater chance of a breakout to a higher high (low to mid 100ks)? This can take at least two weeks to play out in my opinion. And if this scenario does not play out, then adjust to the whatever new information the market is presenting.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Bitcoin Analysis (4H)Bitcoin has lost its trendline and appears to have accumulated significant sell orders near the top.
The zone between $96K and $100K could act as the main supply area, potentially pushing the price down to at least $88K.
Targets are clearly marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this outlook.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
Technical Analysis for FX,Indices and many More!(5May-9May2025)Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Which pairs or instruments should we keep a look out for?
For me I am looking at :
GbpAud and probably EurAud for shorts
BTC likely to continue upwards move
Majors to turn lower against USD
Precious metals like copper and silver to bear more, Gold too.
This coming week is packed with interest rate decision, how?What to do?
Do check out my recorded video for more insights!
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
BTC/USD) Trend channel analysis setup Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. It showcases a potential breakout continuation vs. pullback scenario, depending on how price reacts around a key short-term resistance area.
---
Key Observations:
1. Current Price:
$93,754 — Price is consolidating just below a local high.
2. Support and Resistance Zones:
Support BOS (Break of Structure): Around the $87,351 level, highlighted in yellow.
Upper Target Zone: $98,954–$98,983
200 EMA: Near $86,926, offering dynamic support.
3. Two Possible Scenarios:
A. Bullish Continuation:
If the price holds above the immediate structure and breaks out of the short-term consolidation near the top:
It may surge toward the upper target zone ($98,983).
This aligns with the ascending channel and continuation pattern.
B. Bearish Pullback:
If the price fails to sustain above the resistance area:
A correction down to the support BOS zone (~$87,351) is likely.
This pullback may be temporary, potentially offering a re-entry zone for bulls.
4. RSI Analysis (Bottom of Chart):
RSI is showing signs of bearish divergence (price making higher highs while RSI makes lower highs).
This suggests momentum is weakening, and a short-term pullback could occur.
---
Trade Ideas:
Long Setup (Breakout):
Entry: Above recent high (~$94,500).
Target: ~$98,950
Stop Loss: Below ~$92,000
Short Setup (Rejection):
Entry: Rejection near ~$94,000–$94,500
Target: ~$87,350
Stop Loss: Above ~$94,800
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Summary:
This analysis reflects a critical decision point for BTC/USD. Price is nearing a local high with RSI divergence suggesting a pullback may come first — but if buyers remain strong and break resistance, a continuation toward GETTEX:98K is likely. Wait for confirmation of direction before entering.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BTCUSDwhat a long on btcusd 100% correct prediction on my previous analysis. this time i see a strong manipulation unless strong break above 9700 then good pull back to enter long, or strong retest back to 7500 to get the range retest on weekly ( bos ) to enter long, with good confirmation.
as i have draw the line with a,b,c do your own anaylysis for any good decisio. let me know what you all think, leave a comment below. give it a like if you see my work is good.
Btcusd going down an up again forward up as it will be after theBtcusd going just a bit down as a little retraction before going up again beating it's own record,
Just keep Ur own savings and investment safe
And dyor - do your own research
For myself keeping in a Elliot waving if market doesn't spikes
Just keep Ur investments safest and do Ur o n research always, and don't go for anyone else and not myself as well
This is only an idea
Keep it safe