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1-BTCUSD

ATCryptoScan: BTCUSD upside target in mid-Dec, what's next?Previously marked that BTCUSD would make a Mid-Dec 2024 top, at about 107K. Happened 17 Dec as previously marked! DONE and checked sweetly. This was folllowed by an a large bearish marubozu candlestick downwards which broke back into the decision box, indicating that it would go out the other side. And it did, just yesterday, but it rebounded within the day to end off back in the box with a dragonfly doj i like candlestick... this is a bullish indication. Thing is, technicals are bearish, including the modified VolDiv (dotted line, lower panel) which shows some weakening; and includes a MACD crossdown. Waiting to see if the supports are going to break. Am expecting it to break down... Previously downside target 75,000 But tendency for over estimates for downside in a bull run, so the new moderated downside target is 88,000 at the end of 2024. BTCUSD is looking for a nice bullishs start to 2025... Watch for it.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Auguraltrader
What's next for BTC? Will the correction go lower?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the situation of BTC, which has currently had a -15% price correction. This is a natural correction in the growth cycle, and what's more, much larger corrections at 20% or 30% levels often appeared in bull cycles. Let's start with how the price moved in the local growth trend channel, in which we can see how dynamically we went down to the lower zone of the channel, which translated into a further drop in price reaching the support level at $ 91,712. In such a situation, it should be taken into account that very often leaving the channel gives a movement close to the channel height, which could cause the BTC price to drop to the support level at $ 84,072. If the current rebound from the level of around $92,000 ends the current correction, however, here we see how the level of $95,004 poses effective resistance for the price, only when it is broken again will it go further to the area of ​​$101,000, and then again move towards the strong resistance zone from $106,000 to $108,000. On the RSI, taking into account the 12H interval, we have a visible descent with crossing the lower limit, which in previous situations gave rise to renewed price increases.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by cryptodailyuk
What a Daily BTC Update looks like Thank you for reading my post! I appreciate the time you have taken to stop by, please leave me a comment. Every day for nearly 10 years, I have updated BTC in the various groups I have owned or worked for. Follow as I post them here for the next 7 days! BTC UPDATE 21/12/2024 BTC has shown resilience, bouncing successfully in the current region with a successful retest, indicating strong buying interest. However, we’re not out of the woods yet—the market remains cautious, and confirmation is still needed for the next bullish leg. Key Weekly Pivot to Watch: $100,831 The weekly pivot at $100,831 is the critical level to reclaim. A close above this pivot would signal renewed bullish momentum and confirm the bounce as more than a relief rally. There may still be one more retest in the lower region, but a more condensed corrective pattern would reflect the support as holding. Scenarios to Prepare For Bullish Case: Close Above $100,831 A weekly close above this pivot could open the door to: Testing resistance zones around $105K to $108K. Reaffirming BTC’s macro uptrend and restoring market confidence. Bearish Case: Failure to Close Above $100,831 If BTC fails to hold or close above this region: Expect a potential revisit to support around $95K to $94K. Increased sell pressure could lead to deeper retracements, possibly targeting $85K as a more substantial support zone. Key Indicators to Monitor Watch RSI and MACD for signs of overbought or oversold conditions near key levels. Volume: A strong breakout above $100,831 should be accompanied by increasing volume, signalling conviction from buyers. Daily and Weekly Candle Closes: Focus on higher timeframes (daily and weekly) for confirmation of direction. Momentum Indicators: Watch RSI and MACD for signs of overbought or oversold conditions near key levels.
by LisaNEdwards
BTCUSD is holding its MA50 (1d). Bullish!Bitcoin touched the MA50 (1d) today and immediately rebounded, making a strong statement of how important of a support level that is. The last time it hit the MA50 was on October 11th. The pull back resembles March 20th from Bitcoin's last major rally, which rebounded and hit the 0.786 Fibonacci level. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 105000 (the 0.786 Fib). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) patterns of the current correction and March's are virtually identical and in fact today it hit the exact same Support leve (46.50) it had when the price rebounded on March 19th. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingBrokersView
Bitcoin & Macro Analysis fo 2025From previous analysis, BTC on target and Hit Fibonacci Extension 1.272 at $108.000 And rejected from this area For now, BTC need pullback before continuing rally You can see pullback area at : - Fibonacci Retracement 0.236 - Fibonacci Retracement 0.386 - Fibonacci Retracement 0.5 Be cautious with your decisions, especially for 2025 , as the Dec 2024 Summary of Economic Projections release has impacted the market. Macro economic conditions are solid, but the Fed's decision left the market disappointed. After release Summary of Economic Projections Dec 18 FOMC, market was disappointed since The Fed's forecast cut rates only 2x or maybe just 1x (3.9) instead of 4x as SEP projected in September (3.4).
INDEX:BTCUSD
by kelvin_gautama9
BITCOIN 1month RSI showing the Bull Cycle is far from over.Bitcoin / BTCUSD has had a pull back this week but that shouldn't cloud your long term outlook. That remains bullish and even more so on the 1month chart where the RSI turning flat is a sign that the parabolic rally has only just begun. The 1month RSI is trading inside a Channel Down since the very first trading day and with this week's sideways turning, it remains under the 0.786 Fibonacci level. This suggests that relative to past Cycles, we may be on a similar stage as February 2017 and January 2013. Both took 10 months until their Cycles topped. This shows that we can stay bullish until at least September 2025 or if the RSI hits the top of the Channel Down first. Take all the above into consideration and start taking profits in September the latest. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update : Big Rally Closing Out 2024Over the course of the past 6+ months, I've been sharing research and content to try to help traders all over the world learn to profit by making better decisions. Some of the comments I've received have been very positive. But some of the comments I get are negative and some people have explained how they continue to lose money trading. In my mind, if you are gambling with your trading account - you will likely lose money. If you are actually trading (trying to book profits ASAP) and grow your account efficiently, you can make consistent money trading small amounts. In order to try to illustrate this example of trading, I created a $1000 trading account and limited myself to only trading $333 (MAX) per day. Here are the rules I set for myself... ------------------------------------------------- Trading Plan - Start with $1000 in capital - Break that capital into 1/3 Daily limits - Trade no more than 2-4 times a day - Try to target 1-2 short term-trades and 1-2 intermediate-term trades each day - Attempt to keep my losses limited (depending on market volatility) - If I lose more than $300, I will stop trading and reevaluate what I’m doing right/wrong The Daily Average Goal is 15-35% or more over a 30-day period of time. I will try to execute the trades early in the morning and share the trades with Ment.com members. I will attempt to pull the short-term trades off as early as possible (trying to lock in gains). I will attempt to let the intermediate-term trades run a bit longer (possibly more than 1-2 days) in an effort to catch bigger price swings. I will not attempt to chase market trends unless I see a very clear A-B-C type of price pattern. ------------------------------------------------- After just five days of trading, my account is up over $45% and I've never risked more than $250 - $300 per day trading Options. Anyone can do this - you just need the right tools and guidance. You can DOUBLE your $1000 trading account every 20 to 30 days if you are diligent, consistent, and really learn to trade (not Gamble). What is it going to take for you to learn how to trade efficiently? I'm trying to show you HOW to do it and HOW to learn the skills to improve your life. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
5
BTC & USDT Dominance: The Final Showdown!Hello, traders, Here’s an update on BTC and USDT.D on the 2-week timeframe. BTC recently hit a new all-time high of $108k, followed by a 15% rejection. In my previous video, I clearly mentioned the possibility of this rejection, but many of you focused on cash inflow into BTC, institutional interest, and other factors. I’m not here to prove a point but to present the probabilities of what could happen. This 15% drop was enough to liquidate 419,670 traders in the past 24 hours. What’s next? According to the 2-week chart, BTC is likely to drop to $80k and potentially as low as $69k in the coming weeks. Meanwhile, USDT.D is expected to test the 4.8%-5% resistance level. This could provide enough room for BTC to undergo further correction. A rebound from support is anticipated, and if this chart plays out, we could soon witness another epic rally for BTC. I hope this update helps you make better trading decisions. Please remember to do your own research and analysis before investing. Trade safely.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by Dexter_The_Trader
2
Anticipating a Correction to $75,000 Preceding a Rise to $150,00 As a seasoned observer of the cryptocurrency markets, I have developed a perspective on Bitcoin's (BTC/USDT) price action that blends technical analysis with historical observation. While the recent upward momentum has generated considerable optimism, a rigorous assessment of market indicators and past patterns suggests a high probability of a significant short-term correction, potentially bringing the price down to $75,000, before a subsequent ascent towards $150,000. This analysis will explore the evidentiary basis for this scenario, leveraging specific examples and technical indicators. Historical precedents serve as a critical foundation for this bearish short-term outlook. Bitcoin has consistently exhibited a cyclical behavior characterized by substantial price corrections following periods of rapid appreciation. A noteworthy example is the 2017 bull market, during which multiple 30-40% drawdowns were observed before the final surge to the all-time high. These corrections were not random market fluctuations but rather periods of market consolidation, during which excessive leverage was purged, and a more stable foundation for future growth was established. The current market conditions, while distinct in certain aspects, bear a notable resemblance to those preceding previous pullbacks, indicating a potential vulnerability to a similar pattern of price correction. Further supporting the likelihood of a correction is the emergence of bearish divergences across shorter timeframes. On the 1-hour (1H) and 4-hour (4H) charts, the price has moved below the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), a key trend-following indicator, signaling a potential shift towards bearish momentum. Simultaneously, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a measure of price momentum, has dropped below the 50 level on the same timeframes, suggesting that the selling pressure has intensified. Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators on these timeframes have exhibited bearish crossovers, with histograms declining into negative territory, confirming a decline in bullish momentum. Such conditions strongly suggest that an imminent retracement of the price is more likely than the continuation of the current uptrend. The longer-term outlook, while still bullish, does not negate the short-term correction. On the daily timeframe, the price remains above the 20-period SMA. However, the RSI has also started to move downwards and the MACD is showing signs of decreased bullish strength, suggesting that the upward momentum is potentially waning. Historically, such early indications of weakening momentum on the daily chart have often been followed by more substantial pullbacks. These pullbacks serve as essential market resets, creating a more sustainable base for subsequent rallies. The specific target of $75,000 is not arbitrary but rather a confluence of technical and psychological factors. This level is below recent levels of support, representing a potential “shakeout zone” where overleveraged or inexperienced market participants may be forced to liquidate their positions. A move to this level before reversal is also a common pattern in Bitcoin price action. The psychological level of $75,000 could also attract buyers looking for an entry point, which is a factor that would encourage a reversal to the upside from this price level. Looking ahead, the path to $150,000 remains clear, with significant macroeconomic factors and technical trends still supporting long term growth. However, the route to this price point is not likely to be linear and smooth; a move down to the $75,000 price level is likely and expected. The pull back, while unsettling, is likely to provide the next major catalyst needed for Bitcoin’s move towards the $150,000 target and beyond.
Short
by Abdihalim1
BTCUSD - Missed TP ? that's okay history says 140KI followed too blindly this fractal that went almost perfect but was waiting 120k to take partial profits and missed a 30% opportunity, I'll know take profits more often by moving from risky alts to BTC or other assets resistant to drawdown the middle line of the channel BTC is evolving seems to support very well and I'm gonna assume the correction is already over, you can still expect to see another dip to 86k tho (but I dont believe this) my simple trade idea : green is path of 4 years ago, blue is path of last year first TP will be at 120k & 144K see you in 3 weeks not financial advice cheers
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Investwine
Bitcoin - Broader Structure and The $32K Breakdown TargetLast time, I posted an idea about Bitcoin's shorter term structure. I was scaling into a short position, and ultimately decided to close when I noticed strong support continuing to hold. This ended up being a good move, since price pushed higher towards $108k. There's a lot of resistance here in the low $100K range. While a notable milestone, it's a hefty price. More and more, Bitcoin is being seen as a tool for exploitation and wealth concentration for the wealthy, rather than something for the masses. Although good for price, this is not in keeping with the original intention behind the technology, or so we are led to believe. I tend to generally post short ideas now because I do not support buying Bitcoin, which serves only to enrichen a select few, and no longer benefits the little guy. Sure, it could benefit ME in the future, but that feeds further into greed and selfishness, which are the human flaws at the root of many market inequities, fallacies, and injustices. For more on why I changed my perspective on crypto, there are tons of ideas I've posted over the years to pull from. It essentially boils down to this: When I was young and naive, I believed crypto could be an escape from the established financial system. In many ways it is, if you like gambling on memes and adrenaline coursing through your veins. But on a broader level, it's been co-opted by the same forces that control our traditional markets, institutions, and to an extent, our wellbeing. More and more, crypto seems to fit into a neo-feudalist dystopia, rather than a free-flowing renaissance utopia. Earlier this year, I closed my original short positions when it seemed likely for Bitcoin to surpass its previous all time high. Now that price has hit a major milestone, altcoins have gone up 500-1000%, and gloating is abounds, it's time for me to re-enter my short. Now, I'm not looking to profit massively from this. It's a small position. But, I am of the belief that there is a non-negligible probability that Bitcoin will enter a longer term bearish trend. Whether it's now or at $160k, who knows? If this trendline can break decisively (it's held very well so far, even when price drops below), the next stop seems to be around $89k. From there, a bounce would be bullish. My green arrow shows the possibility of rally resumption if that level holds as strong support. On the bearish side, the previous all-time high is the next major level, followed by $32k if the entire support structure falls apart. Markets are starting to wake up and understand that inflation isn't going away quickly, and monetary policy won't be as easy as it was. A lot of fluff needs to get weeded out. Unfortunately, crypto doesn't have much SUBSTANCE to it (meaning goods, resources, and services) attached to it. As always this is meant for speculation and entertainment only! Thanks for reading. -Victor Cobra
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by VictorCobra
1
Bitcoin ATH 110k is uploading Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌ In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Bitcoin, 📚💡 The outlook for Bitcoin is increasingly bullish, with strong potential for significant price gains and the prospect of reaching a new all-time high (ATH) in the near future. In the short term, a 15% gain is within reach for the first target, supported by key market indicators rather than mere speculation. Rising trading volumes signal heightened investor interest and a growing influx of capital, fueling upward momentum, while improved liquidity ensures smoother trades and reduces price slippage, stabilizing the market. 📚✨ Favorable technical indicators, including bullish chart patterns and solid support levels, further strengthen the case for continued growth. With positive market sentiment and aligned conditions, Bitcoin’s path toward new price targets looks increasingly promising, with even more explosive growth expected as the market progresses toward subsequent milestones. 📚✔ 🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨 Bitcoin’s outlook remains bullish, with rising volumes, favorable indicators, and strong market sentiment suggesting significant price gains ahead. 📚🎇 Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Long
by MadWhale
3
Is the Top In? Bitcoin's Diminishing ReturnsMany of us have seen the Bitcoin Rainbow chart before. Right now, it implies that there is still room for another leg higher. According to Blockchain Center's 2023 chart , the 'Is this a bubble?' price range is around $111,914 to $143,429. However, we also see the highs diminish over time. The first peak is outside of 'Maximum Bubble Territory,' the second reaching the same area, and the third hitting 'Sell. Seriously, SELL.' While this pattern suggests BTC may only reach 'Is this a bubble?' or 'FOMO intensifies' this cycle, there's another pattern that indicates 'HODL' might be as far as it goes. In the logarithmic chart above, we can see that BTC's price follows a pattern of diminishing returns. It has moved from low to high as follows (rounded): 1. 2010/2011: 0.01 to 31.91 = 3,191x 2. 2011/2013: 1.99 to 1,242 = 624x 3. 2015/2017: 162 to 19,785 = 122x 4. 2018/2021: 3,125 to 68,977 = 22x 5. 2022/2024: 15,479 to 108,367 = 7x That means the multipliers from low to high have decreased with the following factors: 624.12 ÷ 3,191 ≈ 0.1957 (a 5.10x factor decrease) 122.09 ÷ 624.12 ≈ 0.1955 (a 5.11x factor decrease) 22.07 ÷ 122.09 ≈ 0.1809 (a 5.52x factor decrease) 7.00 ÷ 22.07 ≈ 0.3170 (a 3.15x factor decrease) The most recent bullish run appears to be an outlier; if there'd been a 5.52x factor decrease from 22.07, that would've meant a rough 4x (22.07 ÷ 5.52) from the low, or a peak of 61,916. There are multiple ways to interpret this pattern, and why it may or may not be holding this time around: On the bullish side: It's 'different' this cycle A pro-crypto Trump administration/SEC chair shifts fundamentals Growing legitimisation of BTC in institutional and regulatory circles More funds flowing in via BTC ETFs Currency debasement means more demand for BTC The Rainbow chart indicates there's more room to grow The halving pattern is still playing out Search interest is below previous peaks on Google Trends , implying more potential interest On the bearish side: The culmination of bullish fundamental factors has overextended the pattern (much like how RSI can show an asset overbought for a long time before an eventual correction) A risk-on year for assets more broadly has dragged BTC up with it, taking it past the established pattern A larger market cap makes it harder to continue expanding exponentially as the market matures. BTC's market cap is $1.8t right now. There is diminishing marginal demand—those already interested in BTC have bought in, reducing the pool of potential buyers The Fear and Greed index has already reached levels see in previous peaks, like 2021 The feverishness surrounding meme coins is reminiscent of previous bubbles, like the ICO bubble and Dotcom bubble Discussion I think there are strong arguments to be made on both sides. On one hand, it's true that it really might be different this time around. There's certainly more institutional adoption and regulatory clarity than ever before, with Trump even talking about a strategic Bitcoin reserve. There weren't Bitcoin ETFs in previous cycles, and the halving pattern suggests a peak usually around 1-1.5 years later; it's only been 8 months since the halving in April. While the dollar will likely get stronger under Trump (potentially weakening BTC), there is the argument that weakening purchasing power in many countries is driving entities towards 'hard' assets, like gold, silver, and Bitcoin. Then there is the room for more retail investors to participate, given search results for ' Bitcoin ' and ' buy Bitcoin ' are lower than previous highs (though I will note that 2021 was also lower than 2017). Lastly, while the Rainbow chart does show diminishing peaks, it does suggest we could still hit 'Is this a bubble?' or higher. On the other hand, this recent run to $100k+ was mostly fueled by Trump's election win and his backing of crypto-friendly Paul Atkins for SEC chair. BTC jumped from around $69k on the day of the election—a bit above the top projected by the factor decrease pattern—and Trump's win may have temporarily distorted the pattern. It is also possible that the market is reaching maturity. Assuming that BTC will move to $250k in 2025 as some predict, its market cap would be around $4.9t. That would put it above Apple's market cap of $3.775t but still decently below gold's $17.6t . However, there's a reason gold is the most valuable asset in the world by market cap: it has historical, cultural, and social significance. Its durability and lustre meant it was used to decorate temples in ancient times and as a symbol of divinity. Over time, that led to it being valued as currency in ancient empires and eventually backing the dollar. In contrast, Bitcoin is relatively young; while feasible that it could eventually overtake gold and still remarkable that it's achieved such a large market cap in around 15 years, it does beg the question if $250k would be too far, too soon. After all, central banks are hoarding gold right now, not Bitcoin. This ties in with the reducing marginal demand for BTC. Those who already believe in its potential have bought in; while the number of participants is likely to go up over time, there don't seem to be many catalysts for many more to join in the near-term (besides rumours of a strategic BTC reserve). 2017 was the first time BTC really went mainstream. Alongside relatively low interest rates and a weak dollar, FOMO drove the rally; BTC jumped more than 20x that year. 2021 was similar; cheap money, pandemic boredom, a broader awareness of crypto, and FOMO, pushed BTC to new ATHs. Looking ahead to 2025, there appear to be more bearish catalysts than bullish. Most notable is a Fed worried about inflation and whether it's appropriate to pause easing of rate cuts ( Deutsche Bank expects no cuts in 2025 , which while a bit extreme, is indication of the current state of affairs). At the time of writing, that's already pushed BTC down to GETTEX:92K from $108k. There is a US stock market that has risen over 60% since the start of 2023, compared to an average annual return of around 10-11% since 1980. There's also the promise of inflationary tariffs, discretionary spending cuts, rising yields, etc. all of which are the opposite of bullish signals. Combined with the Fear and Greed index hitting 94 in November (just under the 95 peak in early 2021, late 2021 saw peaks of 74) and extraordinary runup in memecoins recently—Fartcoin is worth $1.25 billion right now, up from $40 million at the end of October—the vibes are feeling a bit toppy. Conclusion In my opinion and on the balance of probabilities, the combination of the currently-overextended diminishing returns pattern and the fundamental factors described skews Bitcoin bearish from here. There are certainly many counter-arguments to be made and I respect the fact that markets can stay irrational for a long, long time and I could be completely wrong (along with the fact I have my own biases). But, I do think it's at least difficult for me to be bullish or buy into Bitcoin here. The risk-reward isn't great; maybe a 2x is achievable, and that also possibly explains a lack of further retail interest and the pump in meme coins recently. As an aside, it's interesting that this pattern would theoretically continue to produce diminishing returns until the multiplier eventually reaches near-zero. I don't think that would be how it works in reality, but it does indicate that Bitcoin could reach a ceiling as cycles continue. Does that imply the pattern has to break at some point, or that there is a true 'natural' high for BTC? I'd be interested to hear your thoughts. Thanks for reading. Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice. The author is not responsible for any financial losses incurred based on this information. The opinions expressed are solely those of the author and are based on current data and analysis, which may not be accurate or complete. Always conduct your own research.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by pasojov
1
ZEN/USDT- Bullish Breakout Targets ATHDescription: Breakout Confirmation:- Horizen (ZEN) has successfully broken out of its long-term downtrend, supported by significant volume. Retest Success:- The $15.50 zone has flipped from resistance to support, reinforcing the bullish case. Potential Target:- Based on historical price action, the next major resistance is at the all-time high of $170.95, a potential 1,025% upside. Strategy:- Entry:- On a pullback to $15.50–$18.00. Stop Loss:- Below $14.00 to manage risk. Targets:- Short-term: $36.50, Medium-term: $85.00, Long-term: $170.95. Risk Management:- Use proper position sizing and adjust stops to break even once the price moves significantly in your favor.
Long
by stanleycrypto
1
$BTC Update-Extremely Bearish as Layered Support Fails to $92KAnother day...another updated BTC chart...🫣 Not Looking Good as layered support keeps failing. *The Shorts clearly have control of the market the past week. *Layered Bearish BTC news continues to add Fear into investors minds. *2025 Economic Uncertainty also added to The Fear Index recently. *We just bounced off The Critical Support Zone at $92K. A drop below this line would incite another major dip down to the Absolute Bottom Support Zone at GETTEX:87K ****Then if Absolute Bottom Support also fails to hold up we have no Support until $76K*** 🥶
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by GoldenRule365