Btcusd signal Bitcoin (BTC) traded above $84,000 on Friday, showing strength despite the stock market experiencing significant declines. The market reaction stems from United States (US) President Donald Trump's clash with the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell over interest rate decisions.
In the wake of imposing reciprocal tariffs on international trading patterns, President Trump called out Jerome Powell on his social media platform Truth Social, stating that this is a perfect time for the Fed to cut interest rates. He also claimed that Powell is "always late" and could seize this opportunity to "change his image." Trump further stated that Powell needs to "stop playing politics" concerning the lowering of interest rates.
1-BTCUSD
Could Bitcoin Crash 60%—But Only 20% of Traders Lose?Analyzing the current BTC/USDT chart, we see that Bitcoin is hanging just above a critical support zone—what many traders recognize as “the most important support level” from a volume perspective on Binance. The chart illustrates a potential 60.37% drop, which would pull BTC down nearly $49,000, back toward the high-volume range near $30K.
This sounds catastrophic, right? But here’s the twist...
🔍 Why Only 20% of Traders Might Actually Lose
According to Binance's volume profile data:
The majority of buying activity and position accumulation happened below $35,000.
Most long-term holders and smart money entered during the 2022-2023 accumulation range.
The Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) shows significant support below the current price, with minimal trading volume at higher levels.
💡 That means only a minority (approx. 20%) of traders bought BTC during its late-stage bull run above $70K. These are the traders most at risk if a drop occurs.
In contrast, the majority are still sitting in profit—or near break-even—even if Bitcoin retraces back to its base.
📊 So while the price could drop 60%, 80% of holders might remain safe, having entered at lower levels.
🧠 What This Means for You:
If you're a late bull, it’s time to assess risk.
If you're a smart accumulator, the pullback could offer another golden entry.
If you're a bear, this chart supports your thesis—but don't forget the whales are watching this zone closely.
Stay sharp. Stay informed.
Bitcoin: luckily, left behindThis was one of extremely rare weeks when traders could say that the move of BTC toward the downside was not at all bad. They just need to see developments on other financial markets as of the end of the previous week. Despite the general sale off, it could be noted that BTC strongly holded its grounds, and most importantly, was not affected too much with news regarding the trade war. The price of BTC was relatively calm, compared with other financial assets, which was relatively good news. The price was moving within a relatively short range, between $85K and $82K. There was a short move toward the $88,1K, but it was just one short occasion.
The RSI continues to be in a silent mood, moving around the level of 45, for the last two weeks, implying that BTC currently has no trade direction. Very important development is occurring with MA lines. Namely, for the second week in a row they are highly converging toward each other, implying that the potential cross is just right around the corner. This is going to be a so-called dead-cross, implying on potential trend change.
Evidently, at this moment markets are not at all concerned about the crypto currencies, as they have some significant developments on the other side. The volatility would certainly continue in the coming period, but to what extent BTC will be affected, is hard to estimate. Is BTC going to be an asset to be sold by some investors in order to cover margin calls from other markets? Is there a leg in the reflection of major developments from traditional markets on the crypto market? Those are questions which will seek the answer in the week to come. Based on charts, there are equal opportunities for BTC to shortly reach the $85K, but the charts are also pointing toward the $78K in the coming period. The fundamentals from other markets will decide the course of BTC in the week ahead. Trading precaution is highly advisable.
Short The price is consolidating between 89,000 and 76,500 zone. But I can see another downward move to 76,500 is developing.
Where I drew blue rectangular blocks and red vertical lines in the chart (Feb and March 2025) are the very similar set up as the current situation as follows:
1) The market creates the set up where it looks like the price is slowly recovering and pushes above EMA200.
2) The reverses aggressively to the downside (liquidity sweep).
3) The price consolidates in the very tight range.
4) Momentum indicators move into the bear zone.
I already have one small short position, but once RSI and MACD enter the bear zone and the price stays below VWAP (purple line drawn from the August 24 low) and also closes below the buy order block (green box), I will open another short position.
Stop loss - above EMA 200 in 4H chart.
Target - 76,540
BITCOIN - Short Trade Idea - Targeting $61K Area...This idea is explained in the video linked below.
The price action speaks for itself, and it’s hard to ignore what looks like the end of the recent correction. A break below $81,222 would confirm this view.
Short Entry: $81,222
Stop Level: $84,715
Target: $61,000
BITCOIN - Price Could Be Heading Towards 60K...After multiple rejections at higher price levels, the most recent major rejection—followed by a break of the lows—suggests that the corrective move we've seen since the end of February may have concluded.
In this video, I outline the key reasons why a larger upside move no longer appears likely.
With the potential end of the corrective wave combinations now in sight, I'm shifting to a bearish outlook, targeting a potential move down to $61K. To validate this view, we need to see a break below $81,222, confirming the start of a deeper breakdown.
As it stands, I can no longer support a short-term bullish scenario unless we see a strong break above $84,715. However, given the recent sharp move to the downside, this seems unlikely and may, in fact, mark the beginning of a larger downward trend.
BTCUSD Trade AnalysisLong at 82,520
Target 1 (Primary):91,195 (Early exit if strong rejection forms)
Target 2 (Secondary):99,200 (If bullish momentum sustains)
Stop Loss:77,000 (Below key support).
Expecting a bullish continuation toward 99,200 before a potential sell-off resumes. Will monitor price action near 91,195 for signs of rejection. Stop loss placed below 77,000 to protect against a breakdown.
BTC Update in a Lower TimeframeHello Traders,
BTC is currently forming a symmetrical triangle on the 6-hour timeframe. Although the price is dipping, it remains within the triangle pattern. If it holds the support, a rebound is likely soon.
BTC needs to maintain support to confirm a potential rebound. However, a breakdown below $79K could be concerning.
We’ll wait for some time—possibly until the weekly close—for better confirmation.
Trade safely.
BTC SHORT TP 82,600 04-04-2025🚨 Bitcoin is showing weakness on the lower timeframes, specifically the 1-hour and 2-hour charts, so I'm looking for a short position with a take profit (TP) set at 82,700, giving us a solid 3RR.
You can start entering now and average your position as it develops. Since this analysis is based on the 1-hour timeframe, we should see results within the next 15 to 19 hours. If we run out of time, I'll keep you updated with the latest analysis!
Make sure to follow me to stay in the loop and keep generating those green profits! 💰🔥
BTCUSD Bullish Reversal Setup The chart shows BTCUSD forming a rounded bottom pattern near the support zone, suggesting a potential bullish reversal. Price is currently holding above the key support area, and if momentum continues, the market could push toward the 1st target around 84,000, followed by the 2nd target near 85,500. A breakout above those levels could open the path to the 3rd target at the resistance zone around 88,000–89,000. Confirmation of the move would be stronger with a break of the neckline and continued higher highs.
TP1: 84,000 — First resistance level, ideal for partial profits as price approaches local highs.
TP2: 85,500 — Intermediate resistance zone, aligns with a major price reaction area.
TP3: 88,800 — Near the top of the marked resistance zone, a strong level for final exit if bullish momentum continues.
EUR/USD pullback from last week’s bull run!!Good day traders, this past week was filled with so much volatility and momentum but now we focus on the new week, new opportunities, new challenges and all things new😂
EURUSD here we want to take advantage of last week’s run, we expecting price to pullback and already we have had confirmations agreeing with the idea in mind, we’ve already had a shift in structure on the hourly TF and we also see price left equal lows that we also wanna see price run through them this coming week.
BTC-----Sell around 83500, target 82500 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 5: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, the K-line pattern was single negative and single positive, the price was below the moving average, and the fast and slow lines of the attached indicator were glued and flattened. The overall trend yesterday fluctuated in the range. If the rhythm is well grasped, the profit will be very good. If the rhythm is not good, it will also be a painful loss, but the general trend is still firmly bearish; the short-term Thursday hourly chart yesterday US market price fluctuated severely, the K-line pattern was continuous negative in the early morning, and the price was suppressed below the moving average. The hourly chart continued to fall during the day after the pressure in the early morning. The current K-line pattern fell continuously, and the attached indicator was dead cross running, so the probability of continuing to fall during the day is still high, but today is the weekend, the strength is not expected to be large.
Today's BTC short-term trading strategy: directly maicjhu in the current price area of 83,500, stop loss in the 84,000 area, and target the 82,500 area;
BTCUSDT, We were moved like ...Hello everyone
According to the chart that you can see the price movement was exactly moved to our route but at this time we expect because of the reason in world and US Reciprocal Tariffs at this time Gold movement is important after the Gold start the corretion wave the smart money comes to the cryptocurrency market and we expect the excitement movement.be patient until ...
Be Lucky
AA
Bitcoin Bullish Continuation Towards $128KBTC/USD | 1D Chart | April 2025
📊 Technical Analysis:
Bitcoin is maintaining its bullish structure within a well-defined ascending channel. The price has bounced off the lower trendline (green), which has provided strong support multiple times (see green arrows).
Currently, BTC is consolidating near $83,800, and a breakout from this zone could initiate the next impulsive move towards the midline and upper trendline resistance (~$128,000).
Support Levels: ~$80,000 (trendline)
Resistance Levels: ~$90,000, ~$110,000, and ~$128,000
Bullish Trigger: A confirmed breakout above $90,000 could signal strong continuation
🌍 Fundamental Analysis:
Bitcoin Halving (April 2024): Historically, BTC rallies post-halving due to reduced supply. The next supply shock could fuel a rally.
Institutional Demand: Spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to see record inflows, with firms like BlackRock and Fidelity accumulating BTC aggressively.
Macroeconomic Factors: With inflation concerns persisting, investors are turning to Bitcoin as a hedge, pushing prices higher.
📈 Trade Idea:
Entry: $84,000 (Breakout Confirmation)
Stop Loss: $79,000 (Below Trendline)
Target Range: $110,000 – $128,000 (Channel Resistance)
My Forecast Analysis for BTCUSDAt this moment, BTCUSD will just move with a small movement (consolidation only). The range level of consolidation is around 74,000 USD - 84,000 USD per BTC. Until then, the BTC drops at zone 66,800 USD - 73,000 USD, BTC will rebound significantly to make its all time high again. Or I can say BTC at least will touch level price at 110,000 USD - 150,000 USD.
So, for BTC holder I think it is time for us to be patient and keep buying when the price is coming to the discount or support level.
Thank you. And good luck for all of us. :)
My best regards,
KingCuan77
BTC Bearish GarleySummary of Confluences
Trade Setup Long Trade (Buy at C)
Key Confluences
✅ Fibonacci 0.618 - 0.633 Retracement (XA Leg)
✅ Weekly FVG Support
✅ Market Structure Pivot & Liquidity Grab
Short Trade (Sell at D)
✅ Bearish Gartley Completion (1.27 - 1.3 Fib Extension of BC)
✅ Anchored VWAP from ATH (Resistance)
✅ Bearish Order Block & Supply Zone
1. Long Trade Setup (From C to D – Bullish Move within the Gartley)
🔹 Trade Type: Counter-trend long (buy from C to D).
📌 Entry Criteria:
Buy at Point C (~0.633 Fib retracement of XA leg).
Stop Loss: Below A (~1 ATR buffer).
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: B (~0.642 Fib level of XA retracement).
TP2: D (~1.3 Fib extension of BC leg).
🔹 3 Confluences for the Long Trade:
✔ Fibonacci & Harmonic Confluence:
Point C aligns with the 0.618 - 0.633 Fibonacci retracement of XA.
This is a well-known harmonic reversal zone, increasing the probability of a bounce.
✔ Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) Support:
Price is filling a weekly FVG, a strong liquidity zone where buyers tend to step in.
Institutions may use this level for long entries.
✔ Market Structure Pivot & Previous Low Rejection:
The chart shows a first weekly lower low in a Market Structure Break (MSB).
Previous liquidity grab suggests a potential bullish reversal from this level.
2. Short Trade Setup (From D – Bearish Reversal at Gartley Completion)
🔹 Trade Type: Trend-following short (sell from D after pattern completion).
📌 Entry Criteria:
Sell at Point D (~1.27 - 1.3 Fib extension of BC leg).
Stop Loss: Above D (~1 ATR buffer).
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: B (~0.642 Fib level of XA retracement).
TP2: C (full pattern retracement).
🔹 3 Confluences for the Short Trade:
✔ Bearish Gartley Completion & Fibonacci Reversal Zone:
The Bearish Gartley pattern completes at D, a major reversal point.
The 1.27 - 1.3 Fib extension of BC historically acts as strong resistance in harmonic patterns.
✔ Anchored VWAP from All-Time High (ATH) as Resistance:
VWAP from ATH is acting as dynamic resistance, confirming institutional selling.
If price rejects off VWAP, this increases the probability of a downtrend continuation.
✔ Bearish Order Block & Supply Zone:
Point D aligns with a key Bearish Order Block (OB) where previous heavy selling occurred.
Historical supply zone suggests potential aggressive selling pressure upon reaching D.
levels to watch I had previously highlighted a potential top around the 100-108k range, with a measured target of around the 75k level. The market did, in fact, drop to around 76k. For now, it's respecting the uptrend channel, and we can expect the market to target 90,000. If those levels are breached, it could push the market above 100,000, with new highs potentially reaching around 125,000, as I mentioned in my earlier article.