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1-BTCUSD

"BTCUSD | FVG + Order Block Alignment | High Probability Play"⚡ BTCUSD Analysis - 1H Timeframe | April 28, 2025 📊 Price Action Breakdown: BTC printed a textbook liquidity sweep earlier today, tapping into the Discount Zone perfectly. Now, the market is pushing up into a high-probability reaction zone where Fair Value Gap overlaps with an Order Block. 🔥 Confluences: Fair Value Gap (FVG) = Imbalance zone needing filling. Order Block = Institutional demand/supply where Smart Money left a footprint. Fibonacci 79% retracement = Sweet retracement level for low-risk entries. 🧠 Why It's Exciting: The more confluences, the more Smart Money interest. Price is currently kissing the edge of the FVG, teasing a deeper tap into the OB. This overlap stacks probability heavily for a reaction — either a quick scalp rejection or a full-on move downward. 🎯 Potential Play: Entry: Inside the FVG or deep into the Order Block for premium entries. Stop Loss: Just above the Strong High (~94,629) to avoid wicks. Targets: Partial at 50% retracement for safer players 🛡️ Full send toward Weak Low zone (~92,839) for maximum RRR hunters 🏹 💬 Pro Tip: "Always let price show its hand first. Don’t assume, confirm." 🚀 Summary: ✅ Liquidity swept ✅ FVG + OB stacked ✅ 79% Fib lining up ✅ Smart Money trap possibly setting 🧘‍♂️ Play it with patience. The sniper eats last... but he eats the most. ✍️ Save this chart, tag your trading buddy, and prepare to strike when the premium entry triggers! ➡️ Comment "SETUP LOADING" if you’re stalking this with me! ➡️ Share this with someone who’s tired of guessing entries.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
"BTC Just Slammed Into a Major OB! Will Bears Strike Back Hard?"⚡ BTCUSD Analysis - 4H Timeframe | April 28, 2025 📈 What's Happening: BTC has pushed deep into the Premium Area and wicked into a key Order Block (OB). Strong bearish reactions are starting to show = potential trap for late buyers! 🚨 🚨 Critical Levels Highlighted: Strong High = Main invalidation level (~99,999). Order Block (OB) = Primary supply zone where Smart Money could step in. Weak Low = Major liquidity target (~74,458). 🧠 Key Observations: Smart Money hunted liquidity by forcing price into Premium. OB Reaction shows potential rejection = perfect sniper hunting zone! If bears step in, that Weak Low will be the magnet 🧲. 🎯 2-SCENARIO PLAN: Plan A — Short Setup (Main Bias): ✅ Watch for strong bearish reaction inside the OB. ✅ Confirm short entries with bearish structure shift on M15/M5. ✅ TP1 = Minor lows around 88,000–90,000. TP2 = Full Weak Low sweep (~74,458). ✅ SL = Above Strong High (~99,999). Plan B — Breaker Play (Alternative): ✅ If BTC breaks Strong High cleanly, flip bias to bullish. ✅ Look for Breaker retest setups targeting new highs. 📊 Risk Management Tip: "Patience at Premium Zones = Maximum Risk-to-Reward setups. No chasing allowed." 🧘‍♂️ Summary: ✅ Liquidity Swept ✅ OB Reaction Starting ✅ Premium Area Reached ✅ Weak Low Target In Sight 🔥 Smart Money has a saying: "Trap first, profit second." ➡️ Save this setup to your playbook! ➡️ Comment "TRAP THEN ATTACK" if you're locking in for that premium sniper shot! 🧨
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
$BTC - Weekend OutlookCRYPTOCAP:BTC | 1d We'll see how the 92–90k zone reacts this weekend, but I think the deepest this pullback might go is around 89–87k. We don't really wanna see price breaking the 86k level for a potential higher low I’m not really expecting a push to 200k–300k in the coming weeks. We already frontran the 70k-68k area (htf demand), and I think we’re just forming a broader distribution range here. It’s possible we take out the highs and deviate up to 114–118k Let’s see. Enjoy your weekend everyone!
by Tealstreet
Top of ABC correction on Bitcoin ~ ShortBitcoin has had quite the run up since 2023 and is currently in an ABC corrective pattern after a 5 wave impulse. The January high was the starting point. The April low was A. Now is the top of B which happens to be 0.618 retracement of the A wave. What follows is a down move for C which should end somewhere between 63k and 53.5k. This will make a bottom and will stay in accumulation until late 2027 early 2028 before shooting to the upside in anticipation of the next halving.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by MonkeyPhone
2
$100k Bitcoin IMMINENT? Price Ignites After Major Surge!The cryptocurrency market is once again crackling with energy, and at the heart of the storm stands Bitcoin (BTC). The world's largest and original cryptocurrency is staging a remarkable comeback, shattering recent resistance levels and reigniting fervent speculation about its potential to not only revisit but decisively conquer the psychologically potent $100,000 milestone. Following a period of consolidation and downward pressure, a powerful surge has propelled Bitcoin to its highest price point in over ten weeks, signaling a potential paradigm shift in market sentiment and trading behavior. The Breakout: Shaking Off Recent Slumber The recent price action has been decisive. Bitcoin climbed as much as 3.1% to achieve a weekly high of $97,483. This marks the most robust price level observed since February 21st, representing a significant break from the sideways and sometimes downward trajectory that characterized parts of the preceding weeks. The memory of Bitcoin crossing the $100,000 threshold on February 7th is still fresh, adding weight to the current push towards that level. This upward momentum provides a stark contrast to the market conditions seen earlier. There is downward pressure attributed to geopolitical factors and economic policies, such as potential tariff implementations, which had previously triggered sell-offs impacting both traditional stock markets and the digital asset space. Furthermore, the market had to digest a significant correction following Bitcoin's earlier peak. While the specifics of past peaks can be debated based on different exchange data, the narrative of a significant pullback followed by the current strong recovery is clear. Bitcoin weathered a period where it seemed momentum might stall, but the bulls have evidently returned with renewed vigor. Shifting Market Dynamics: From Macro-Driven to Momentum-Fueled Perhaps one of the most crucial insights from the current rally is the apparent shift in what's driving price action. For much of the past year or two, Bitcoin's price movements often seemed heavily correlated with macroeconomic factors – inflation data releases, central bank interest rate decisions, geopolitical tensions, and regulatory pronouncements. While these factors undoubtedly still play a role, the current surge suggests a transition towards a market more heavily influenced by internal dynamics: spot market demand and trading momentum. There are traders who are increasingly reacting to price action itself, buying into strength and potentially creating a self-reinforcing cycle. The focus is less on predicting the next Federal Reserve move and more on the immediate supply and demand dynamics visible on exchanges. Bitcoin isn't entirely decoupled from macro trends, but its internal market structure, particularly the influence of new financial instruments like ETFs and strong spot buying, is asserting greater influence on short-to-medium term price discovery. The ETF Factor: Opening the Floodgates for Capital The launch and subsequent success of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States have been a game-changer, and their impact is arguably a primary catalyst for the current bullishness. These regulated investment vehicles provide traditional investors and institutions with a familiar and accessible way to gain exposure to Bitcoin without directly holding the underlying asset. The result has been a torrent of new capital flowing into the market. There has been a staggering inflow of over $3.2 billion entering Bitcoin and Ethereum tracking ETFs in the preceding week alone. BlackRock's Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), a major player in the space, recorded nearly $1.5 billion in inflows during that period, marking its highest weekly intake for the year according to Bloomberg data. These inflows are not just numbers on a spreadsheet; they translate directly into buying pressure in the spot market. ETF issuers must purchase actual Bitcoin to back the shares they issue to investors. This sustained, large-scale buying provides a powerful tailwind for the price, absorbing sell orders and driving the market upwards. The success of these ETFs also lends legitimacy to Bitcoin as an asset class, potentially encouraging further adoption and investment from previously hesitant institutional players. The "demand" aspect of the current rally is heavily underpinned by this ongoing ETF phenomenon. Options Market Signals: Betting Big on $100,000 Further evidence of the bullish sentiment surrounding Bitcoin, particularly the $100,000 target, comes from the derivatives market, specifically options trading. Options contracts give traders the right, but not the obligation, to buy (call option) or sell (put option) an asset at a specific price (strike price) before a certain expiration date. According to data from Coinglass and the major crypto options exchange Deribit, demand for upside options has surged. Notably, call options with a $100,000 strike price exhibit the most significant open interest across various expiration dates. Open interest represents the total number of outstanding contracts that have not yet been settled. High open interest in $100k call options indicates that a large number of traders are positioning themselves to profit from Bitcoin reaching or exceeding this level. While options data reflects expectations rather than guarantees, such concentrated betting on a specific upside target underscores the powerful psychological pull of the $100k mark and the conviction held by a significant segment of the market. Warming Up: Reading the Technical and On-Chain Pre-Rally Signals Beyond the ETF flows and options market sentiment, analysts are pointing to various technical and on-chain indicators suggesting Bitcoin is indeed "warming up" for a potentially larger move, exhibiting signals seen before previous major breakouts. This aligns with the theme of "Bitcoin Flashing Pre-Rally Signals Seen Before Major 2024 Breakouts." • Technical Analysis: o Breaking Resistance: The surge above the 10-week high ($97,483) was a critical technical breakout, overcoming a level that had previously capped price advances. Holding above this level turns former resistance into potential support. o Moving Averages: Traders watch moving averages closely. A "Golden Cross" (where a shorter-term moving average, like the 50-day, crosses above a longer-term one, like the 200-day) is often considered a strong long-term bullish signal. While specific configurations vary, bullish alignment of key moving averages often precedes sustained rallies. o Momentum Indicators: Indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) can signal building momentum. An RSI breaking above key levels without yet reaching extremely overbought territory, or a bullish MACD crossover, can suggest further upside potential. o Volume Confirmation: Crucially, significant price breakouts should ideally be accompanied by strong trading volume, indicating conviction behind the move. Analysts look for volume confirmation to validate the strength of the rally. • On-Chain Analysis: On-chain data provides insights into the behavior of Bitcoin holders and network activity. o Exchange Outflows: Sustained periods where more Bitcoin is withdrawn from exchanges than deposited often suggest investors are moving coins to private wallets for long-term holding ("HODLing"), reducing the immediately available supply for sale. o Accumulation Trends: Metrics tracking the behavior of large holders ("whales") and long-term holders can reveal accumulation patterns. Increased buying from these cohorts is typically seen as bullish. o Supply Dynamics: Indicators looking at the supply held by short-term versus long-term holders, or metrics like the Long-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (LTH-SOPR), can gauge whether significant profit-taking is occurring that could stall a rally. A low LTH-SOPR might suggest long-term holders are not yet selling aggressively. o Funding Rates: In the perpetual futures market, positive funding rates generally indicate that traders holding long positions are paying those holding short positions, suggesting a bullish bias in the derivatives space. When multiple technical and on-chain indicators align, as some analysts suggest is happening now, it builds a stronger case that the market is preparing for a significant move, lending credence to the "pre-rally signals" narrative. Mapping the Path to $100k and Beyond: Three Potential Scenarios While the current momentum is palpable, the path forward is never certain. Analysts are mapping various possibilities, acknowledging both the bullish potential and the inherent risks. Here are three broad scenarios that could unfold: 1. The Momentum Continuation Scenario: Fueled by continued strong ETF inflows, positive market sentiment amplified by the $100k narrative, and potentially favorable (or at least neutral) macroeconomic developments, Bitcoin continues its ascent relatively unimpeded. It decisively breaks the $100,000 barrier, potentially triggering a wave of Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO) from retail investors and further institutional interest. In this scenario, the market quickly looks towards higher targets, exploring price discovery in uncharted territory above $100k (or above its previous ATH depending on the data source used). Key challenges would be maintaining buying pressure and overcoming psychological resistance levels beyond $100k. 2. The Consolidation and Recharge Scenario: Bitcoin's rally meets significant resistance near or just below the $100,000 level. Profit-taking increases, and early ETF buyers might look to secure gains. Instead of a sharp rejection, the price enters a period of consolidation – trading sideways within a defined range or experiencing a moderate pullback. This phase allows the market to digest recent gains, build a stronger base of support (potentially around the recent breakout level near GETTEX:97K or slightly lower), and allows moving averages to catch up. If support holds and buying demand re-emerges (perhaps triggered by fresh ETF inflows or positive news), this consolidation could form the launchpad for the next sustained leg up towards and beyond $100k. This scenario tests the resilience of the buyers. 3. The Macro Headwind or Correction Scenario: Despite the strong internal dynamics, external factors reassert control. An unexpected negative catalyst emerges – perhaps significantly worse-than-expected inflation data forcing a hawkish central bank response, a major geopolitical escalation, unforeseen regulatory action against crypto, or a sharp downturn in traditional markets triggering widespread risk-off sentiment. Alternatively, the rally could simply run out of steam, hitting a "sell wall" at $100k that overwhelms buying pressure, leading to a sharper correction back towards lower support levels ($90k, $85k, or even lower). This scenario underscores the ever-present volatility and risk in the crypto market, reminding investors that parabolic runs can face abrupt reversals. The Crucial Question: Can BTC Buying Demand Meet the Challenge? Ultimately, whether Bitcoin successfully retests and surpasses $100,000 hinges on the sustainability of the current buying demand. Several factors support continued demand: • Ongoing ETF Flows: As long as institutions and retail investors continue allocating capital to spot Bitcoin ETFs, this provides a consistent source of buying pressure. • Growing Adoption Narrative: Each price surge and new institutional product launch reinforces the narrative of Bitcoin's growing acceptance and potential role as a store of value or portfolio diversifier. • Halving Effect (Long-Term): While the Bitcoin Halving (reduction in new supply issuance) is a past event, its long-term supply-constricting effects are believed by many to contribute to price appreciation over time. • Potential Retail FOMO: A decisive break above $100k could capture mainstream media attention and trigger a wave of buying from retail investors fearing they might miss out on further gains. However, potential headwinds exist: • Profit-Taking: Investors who bought at lower levels, including early ETF participants, may look to lock in substantial profits as the price approaches major milestones. • Regulatory Uncertainty: While ETFs marked progress, the broader regulatory landscape for crypto remains complex and subject to change globally. • Macroeconomic Risks: Inflation, interest rates, and potential recessionary fears haven't disappeared and could resurface to dampen risk appetite. • Market Saturation/Exhaustion: Rallies can lose momentum if buying power becomes exhausted without fresh catalysts. The interplay between these forces will determine if the current buying wave has the strength and endurance to overcome sell pressure and propel Bitcoin into six-figure territory sustainably. Conclusion: A Critical Juncture for Bitcoin Bitcoin stands at a fascinating and potentially pivotal juncture. The recent surge, breaking a 10-week high and pushing towards the $100,000 horizon, is fueled by a powerful combination of factors unlike those seen in previous cycles. The institutional validation and massive capital inflows brought by spot Bitcoin ETFs represent a fundamental shift, seemingly driving a transition towards momentum and spot-demand-based trading. Bullish signals from the options market and various technical/on-chain indicators add fuel to the fire, painting a picture of a market "warming up" for potentially significant further gains. Yet, the path to $100,000 and beyond is fraught with challenges. Market history teaches that parabolic advances often face corrections, and the ever-present risks of macroeconomic shifts and regulatory developments cannot be ignored. The sustainability of the current buying frenzy, particularly the crucial ETF inflows, will be rigorously tested as Bitcoin confronts the immense psychological and technical resistance clustered around the six-figure mark. Whether Bitcoin achieves a swift breakout, undergoes a period of consolidation, or faces a pullback remains to be seen. However, the current price action and underlying market dynamics have undeniably reignited excitement and placed the $100,000 target firmly back in the spotlight, marking a critical chapter in Bitcoin's ongoing evolution within the global financial ecosystem. Investors and observers alike will be watching intently to see if the current surge has the power to meet the demand challenge and etch a new all-time high into the history books. Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. It is based on the analysis of the provided source material and general market knowledge. It does not constitute financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies involves significant risk, including the potential loss of principal. Readers should conduct their own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
2
Bitcoin - All time highs will come next!Bitcoin - CRYPTO:BTCUSD - prepares a significant move: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Over the past couple of months, we basically only saw sideways price action on Bitcoin. However, this does not mean, that Bitcoin is now slowing down; actually the opposite is true and Bitcoin is setting up for a major move higher. New all time highs will come very soon. Levels to watch: $100.000 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
40
Beyond FOMO: Strategic Analysis of BTC.D and Market ProspectsLet's begin by examining CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D on the monthly timeframe. Here we see the old EXP model, which formed in December 2020. This model reflected the decrease in bitcoin dominance during 2020-2021. For our current analysis, we're interested in the level of the first point — 73.02%. On the weekly timeframe, we see an AMEXP model that formed in January 2023 and effectively describes the entire current upward trend. Note the price reaction from the model levels of 51.7% and 59.64%. Within this model, we have two more upper levels: 68.9% and 90.36%. The dominance level of 90.36% seems unrealistic from a common sense perspective: such a scenario is only possible with a total collapse of the entire crypto market, when all assets (including bitcoin) would depreciate to the point where bitcoin's capitalization would constitute 90% of the entire market. I hope we never see these values. However, reaching the 68.9% level seems quite likely. Most likely, the price will try to break through the 68.9% level (we may see a bounce from this level, which might be mistakenly perceived as the beginning of a new alt season). After that, the price will likely make a new maximum and rise above the 73.2% level. And only then will we finally see the formation of a downward trend in bitcoin dominance. What might be happening in the market if our bitcoin dominance analysis proves correct? Let's look at the #BTC chart, where the expansion model was validated on the weekly timeframe (green model): According to the model levels, we can expect growth to at least $109,354, and at maximum — to a new all-time high (ATH) with targets of $115,116, $116,757, and even $152,723 or $174,102 (although the probability of reaching the last two targets, despite their presence in the model, is relatively low). If we look at CRYPTO:ETHUSD , the picture looks significantly worse — the asset is in a deep bearish phase. Against the backdrop of general positive sentiment, CRYPTO:ETHUSD may grow to $2 059 or even to $2 626, but we will consider this merely as a bounce. We can only talk about a real trend change when the price moves beyond the yellow model. Everyone is waiting for the reversal of bitcoin dominance (we have only calculated the most probable reversal point), as its exponential growth should be replaced by the long-awaited alt season. However, few consider a possible negative scenario: the correction of bitcoin dominance may occur against the backdrop of a general market decline, where bitcoin will fall faster than altcoins. Against the background of growing macroeconomic uncertainty (problems in the global economy have not disappeared, they continue to accumulate, and no matter how they try to "postpone" them — this will not pass without a trace), we consider the negative scenario to be the main one. For the past year, everyone has been saying that bitcoin is a super-reliable asset, and if something goes wrong — you need to buy bitcoin. Most retail investors love bitcoin and hate altcoins — largely because they have many unprofitable altcoins in their portfolio and no bitcoin. Each time, missing the moment to buy bitcoin, they succumbed to FOMO. Now, as bitcoin moves toward a new maximum, everyone is rushing to buy it again. At the same time, we have a market where 80-90% of participants are in large losses. For most assets to just break even (not to mention profits), they need to grow by 300-400%. Of course, we're not saying everything will necessarily be bad, but we prefer to stick to a strategy that primarily takes into account the negative scenario. For now, we will refrain from investment positions and give preference exclusively to speculative ones.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by TSFC
2
BTCUSD INTRADAY uptrend continuation above 94,000The BTC/USD pair maintains a bullish overall sentiment, underpinned by a sustained upward trend. However, recent intraday price action suggests a phase of sideways consolidation, indicating a potential buildup before the next directional move. Key Levels: Support: 94,000 (primary), followed by 92,000 and 90,160 Resistance: 99,280, with extended targets at 101,191 and 103,150 A corrective dip toward the key support zone at 94,000 could offer a bullish rebound opportunity. A successful bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend and pave the way for a test of the 99,280 resistance. A breakout above this level may open the door to further gains toward 101,191 and 103,150 over the longer term. Conversely, a decisive break and daily close below 94,000 would invalidate the bullish setup, potentially triggering a deeper pullback toward the 92,000 and 90,160 support levels. Conclusion: While the broader trend remains bullish, BTC/USD is currently consolidating. Traders should watch the 94,000 support closely—its defence may confirm trend continuation, while a breakdown could signal a short-term bearish reversal. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TradeNation
Sell in May and go away, but when? 🧭 Current Situation: 📈 Market remains bullish, but I anticipate possibility for S&P500 to drop on US open. If that happens, BTC can also make a dip, but since it looks much stronger than stocks, that drop might not be a big one. Nevertheless area around 95k looks very attractive. ⚠️ Price will need to show stronger bearish pressure to trigger any real panic or sell-off. Until then, this looks more like healthy volatility within trend continuation. 🧱 The breakout level at 95770 was already re-tested, so it’s now off my watchlist. The next meaningful support is around 95K flat. --- 🔥 CME Gap Update: 4H CME gap has expanded — now stretching from 95280 to 96560 This zone will act as a magnet in the coming sessions until it gets filled. Just a quick reminder — 4H CME gaps are not as strong or reliable as Daily gaps. They don’t carry the same close rate or magnetism. However, they can still offer directional hints and serve as target zones, especially in short- to mid-term setups. Use them as guidance — but don’t treat them like guaranteed gravity wells. 🎯 Key Levels to Watch • Bullish Targets: 97666 / 98500 / 99431 • Bearish Targets: 94971 / 94125 / 93550 --- 🔥 BTC Liquidation Heatmap Above: 97530 / 98191 / 98998 / 100100 Below: 96063 / 95623 / 94670 / 93715
by WiseAnalyze
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-2-25 : Major CRUSH PatternToday's pattern is a Major CRUSH pattern in Counter-Trend mode. These types of patterns (CRUSH patterns) are usually very large range bars that move against the current price trend. A Counter-trend Major CRUSH pattern would likely be a huge bar that moves counter to a counter-trend - thus potentially BULLISH. Today, I have my reservations related to how this Major Crush pattern will setup. As I stated in my video, yesterday's price bar setup an Island type of bar (in an Evening formation) which is very typical of a topping pattern. Today, I'm expecting the markets to sell downward into the Major CRUSH pattern. I believe the move of my MRM system into Bullish Trending yesterday sets up a perfect opportunity for the markets to shake out the longs on a big CRUSH pattern today. But, I've also highlighted bullish breakaway levels on the SPY/QQQ chart for traders to be prepared for any outcome today. In short, I believe the May 2-5 Major Bottom aligns with this Major CRUSH pattern as a downward price trend today. But, I'll be prepared to take my lumps if I'm wrong and the markets rally straight upward. Over the past few days, we've seen some interesting developments in China and other places. I do not believe the US market is immune from the global slowdown which is taking place right now. Therefore, I urge traders to continue to stay protected from risks and to keep allocation levels rather small. It may seem like a fantastic time to throw out some big trades - but it is still very dangerous in this extreme volatility. I see Gold and Silver trying to base/bottom near recent lows over the next 5+ days. I still believe Gold will be trading at or near $4100 before the end of May. Bitcoin seems to have followed the SPY/QQQ upward since April 21. I believe this is pure speculation. I'm still very cautious of a breakdown in the markets right now. Let's see how this Major CRUSH pattern plays out. It should be interesting - one way or the other (again, I'm still leaning toward a BEARISH breakdown in price today). Get some... #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
20
BTC-----Sell around 96300, target 95300-95000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on May 2: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a medium-yang line yesterday, the K-line pattern was single-yin and single-yang, the price was at a high level, and the attached indicator was running in a golden cross. However, although the price broke through the high point yesterday, it did not continue. It is currently in a waving trend. In this way, we still have to look at the range shock trend in terms of trend, and the transaction is still high-altitude and low-multiple; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the US market rose and broke the high yesterday, and the price retreated under pressure in the early morning. The current K-line pattern is continuous and negative, and the attached indicator is running in a dead cross, so there is a high probability that there will be a demand for a decline during the day. Therefore, today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the current price of 96,300 area, stop loss at 96,800 area, the first target is 95,300 area, and the second target is 95,000 area;
Short
by Toml1314
EURUSD Breakout Setup Wtchng 4 Bullish Continuation Toward1.1423This EUR/USD 4-hour chart shows a descending triangle pattern forming, with price currently testing the lower boundary support zone around 1.12820. Two bullish rejections (marked with arrows) indicate potential buying interest at this level. A clear change of character (ChoCH) has occurred, suggesting a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. The projected scenario outlines a potential bullish breakout from the descending trendline, targeting the 1.14237–1.14228 zone, which aligns with previous structure and the top of the Ichimoku cloud. Confirmation would come from a breakout and retest of the trendline.
Long
by ChartWizard_1
3
Bitcoin Terminal Price Risk IndicatorToday we’ll explore the Bitcoin Terminal Price Risk Indicator , which builds on the concept of Bitcoin Terminal Price. We’ll follow the same logic as in our previous idea on the Pi Cycle Top Risk Indicator. By the end, we'll have a new tool for analyzing INDEX:BTCUSD market cycles. First, let’s recap Terminal Price. Terminal Price = Transferred Price × 21 Transferred Price = Coin Days Destroyed ÷ (supply × time) It normalizes historical spending behavior to the full 21M BTC supply. This metric has historically been effective at calling Bitcoin cycle tops whenever the price of Bitcoin crosses above it. That being said, it signaled the April 2021 peak, but not the November one. Let’s now divide the weekly BTC price by Terminal Price. This gives us BTC-to-Terminal Price Ratio. (We use the formula from the Bitcoin Master Cycle indicator by InvestorUnknown for Terminal Price on TradingView.) When the ratio crosses above 1, BTC price exceeds Terminal Price and signals cycle top. We can notice that each cycle top forms slightly lower ratio peaks. Now let’s draw two logarithmic curves through the highs and lows of this ratio, and add a midline. This creates a band within which the BTC-to-Terminal Price ratio tends to oscillate. These bounds can help anticipate major turning points in future market cycles. Next, we normalize the ratio between these bounds: bottom curve = 0, top curve = 1. This gives us the Bitcoin Terminal Price Risk Indicator. Currently, risk sits around 0.46 , bouncing between 0.3 and 0.6 for ~1.5 years. This range suggests a stepwise price increase with consolidation periods in between — and no mania and blow-off top. Historically: Risk > 0.9 = potential selling zone Risk < 0.1 (or < 0.05) = potential buying zone Note: Risk stays > 0.9 for just 1–2 weeks. Reality check: the top curve lies above 1 and slopes down only slightly. This implies that if the ratio approaches the upper boundary, BTC price could meet or exceed Terminal Price this cycle — currently ~$155K and will be rising quickly should BTC move towards it. However, so far we have very few data points and they don’t fit the curve perfectly. And there’s no guarantee we’ll reach that upper bound. For a more conservative take, we can replace the log curve with straight lines. This steeper upper line would signal a top earlier — below Terminal Price. Using this method, risk is slightly higher now at 0.55. While also not perfect, this linear approximation can serve as a cautious alternative until more data points emerge. We'll keep tracking these charts.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ChartNChill
DeGRAM | BTCUSD 📊 Technical Analysis ● Price exited a 3-month descending channel and is climbing inside a new rising channel; $91 500 support keeps bulls in control. ● Price just under the $95k supply zone; a break unlocks the upper rail near GETTEX:98K and the next objective at $106k. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Spot-BTC ETFs hauled in ≈ $3.4 B last week, underscoring persistent institutional demand. ● US JOLTS openings fell to a four-year low, boosting Fed rate-cut odds and softening the USD—both tail-winds for Bitcoin. ✨ Summary Rising-channel structure, hefty ETF inflows, and softer U.S. data favor a push above $95 K toward $98 K–106 K; bias invalidated below $91 500. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
April 30 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. There will be two Nasdaq indicator announcements at 9:30 and 11:00. On the lower left, I marked the long position entry section that I entered on the 25th and 29th, and created today's strategy based on the Nasdaq movement. *Red finger movement path Long position strategy 1. 94,698.2 dollar long position entry section / cut-off price when the green support line is broken 2. 95,784 dollar long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target The 1st and 2nd sections at the top are sideways. After the 1st touch, in the rising wave, if you enter a 94.6K long position, the probability of the strategy succeeding increases. If it comes down right away without touching the 1st section, The final long position is waiting in the 2nd section, and the stop loss price is the same when the green support line is broken. When the top section is touched, the long position re-entry utilization section and I left a simulation with a pink finger on the upper right. The bottom touch is a downward sideways movement The 3rd section is the 6+12 support line where the mid-term pattern is restored. Also, tomorrow is Labor Day, So all countries around the world, including the US, are closed. I also have work to do, so I will take a day off tomorrow. I intentionally left the analysis article on the right until May 2nd. Up to this point, please just refer to and use my analysis article, And I hope you operate safely with the principle trading and stop loss price. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide