10-year TN futures buy opportunity ZN a large breakout of the VWAP indicator with a strong green candle and a wicked low plus the breakout of the trading range with a large candle that is higher than the other candles this means that the buyers have entered this market and the start bullish trend.
signal buy .
10
20200824 FPO (FRA) - Petra DiamondsHello everyone!
Its been a while so, here is a little tip if you are looking where to invest for the next 10 years!
Here's the idea, or what should be logical. Gold and Silver are playing in real high terrain at this point, and you may have seen that all metals (copper included for instance) are rising again, and in the tail of that train you have Diamonds. it takes longer time to go up since its value its not unique. Gems have lot of particularities that gives different value for pieces. Not like gold or silver. A ingot its gonna be the same.
So, this is #PetraDiamond .. right on deep at 6 Months chart..
Again,it is a matter of time.
Hope this helps you out!
Cheers!
-CharterX
GBPJPY IDEA - 20 Pips Risk 200 Pips RewardDo your own analysis ...
Dont Forget Moving StopLoss At Breakeven
Disclaimer!
This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only! You can use the information from the post to make your own trading plan for the market. You must do your own research and use it as the priority. Trading is risky, and it is not suitable for everyone. Only you can be responsible for your trading.
Interest rates are about to break LOWERwww.RefiwithJustin.com if you own a home in Colorado or Texas!
Monthly view of the 10 year yield here.
Yield touched current levels in 2012 in anticipation of QE3.
Again in June 2016 over Brexit.
3rd time in August/September of trade war.
4th - Coronavirus? I would bet this is this what initiates the break down.
10 yr around 1% or lower coming soon?
WM - Cleaning Up The GarbageXLI is a sector that has recently broken out, looking within that sector, WM seems to be showing some bullish potential. The stock is trying to successfully bounce off a test of the 200-day EMA line. Any continued strength will push the price back above the 10-day EMA line. The stock is also exiting an oversold condition.
I am targeting the $115 & the $120 price levels as they are the 100% & 161.8% Fibonacci Extension levels.
10 YR NOTE A CASE FOR A MAJOR LOW FOR NOW 197.90 TO 200.26 IF YOU THINK THE FED IS GOING TO CUT RATES GUESS AGAIN THEY ARE NOT
Intel Releases their Annual ReportINTC Annual Report
Five years ago, we set out a strategy to transform from a PC-centric to a data-centric company. Our 2018 results serve as a strong proof point that our strategy is working and our transformation is well underway. We achieved record revenue and earnings per share (EPS), driven by strong business performance, continued operating leverage, and a lower tax rate. Revenue from our data-centric businesses collectively increased by double digits. Our PC-centric business grew above our expectations and continued to be a source of profit, cash flow, scale, and intellectual property (IP). While we have had delays in implementing our 10 nanometer (nm) manufacturing process technology, we have continued to innovate in our 14nm products, introducing leadership products that deliver more value to our customers. We've expanded beyond PC and server businesses with significant growth in adjacent products, and gained share in an expanded $300 billion TAM1. Our employees are executing to our strategy by developing compelling technology and delivering innovative products to our customers, enabling strong financial growth.
Elliott Wave Analysis: 10 Year T-Notes Trapp In A CorrectionOn the 10 Year US Notes we see price undergoing a potential five wave drop, with price now trading in wave four as part of this drop. That said, price seems to be undergoing some slow and choppy price activity, which means wave four may unfold as more complex. As such we expect more overlapping price movement to come in play and probably a triangle correction will unfold.
Analysis USD/JPYMarket managed to hold advance over USDJPY after broke above 102.65-80 zone where market went for a drop correction as market still holding trades below resistance 104.35
short-run showing support zone at 102.60-80 where as long as market holding above this more advance will be expected toward 104.80 and 106.00-25 target zone
below 102.40 market may head for farther drop toward 100.80 zone
SUPPORT RESISTANCE
LEVEL1 102.60-80 103.80
LEVEL2 101.80 104.35
LEVEL3 100.80 104.80
EURGBP A LONG CALL ( VALID TILL 10 GMT)Details are on the chart, however a longer move is possible due to a European session start
TIMING STOP LOSS IS A MUST IN THIS METHODOLOGY AND A TRAILING IS PREFERABLE!
It is a scalping methodology, and also there is no need to post analysi, as so many good analytics are here already, so I do not want to create a no needed competition, however starting 09/05/2016 I will post most of the signals by the strategy I have created for my students.
it's easy to learn during the course.
if you like what you see - contact me by the email arthur@marenno.com or skype archer.top or marenno.business.
webinars on a system and trading tips will be through the weekend but if the need arise please contact.
as there is much more then you see, I will repeat that not all the signals will be posted and not all the targets will be given, so there is a room to think about targets and stop losses by yourself.
A system is for those willing to learn and earn, also as a scalping methodology the system is also working for those who has a small capital.
Sincerely
Arturs Jermolickis
Marenno
How to Play The SPY if Trump or Hillary Wins the ElectionThe plan to play the SPY is to buy this Wave 4 dip in the 173-170 range. I do not want to be in this trade if we start breaking the 165 level so I have set my stop below that.
I think nearing the presidential elections takes us lower and markets get real choppy during this time so my entry will be planned and timed very well during this time.
Once a president is elected it is going to be a good day in America and the people staying out of the market because of its pre-election volatility and bearishness with begin to put money back into the market hitting our target.
10-Yr Treasury Note, Follows Major Market MovementsSomething I noticed today while look at the 10-yr bond in general (reflecting loan rates).
If you didn't already know, the price of the 10-yr bond directly affect any and all loan rates available.
Mostly of course affecting housing loans.
That's another point aside, but it does look like the price of a mortgage will be expensive over the summer.
Anyway, what I also uncovered while looking at this is how well the peaks in the 10-yr bond correlate to the major market changes for the US.
Take a look at this Wiki link for time frame references - en.wikipedia.org
Most every major direction change (and peak) is associated with a market event since the 1980s to today.
I have highlighted those peaks on both price and RSI with vertical lines and bubbles respectively.
It's also worth noting that the burst before the 2008-2009 housing bubble crash was preceded by a rising wedge...which finished out its pattern as you would have expected. (spoiler: rising wedges end in price trend correction - downward price movement).
Looking forward to the end of 2013 and the beginning of 2014, we have another peak.
This one is not very close to the price trend line BUT shows an obvious peak in the RSI chart.
Judging from previous events like this, I assume the market will not react graciously?
Do I know? Of course not. It's just a guess.
More important than that is the new pattern being formed (Symmetrical Triangle) from the 2011 to 2016-17 time frame.
This could be a continuation pattern OR a reversal pattern (sym triangle vs. pennant).
Can't be sure until we see the pattern finish itself out to the end, however, I can take a pretty strong guess at what lending rates will look like for the next 2-3 years.
Lending rate guess:
2015 (Summer): rates will peak by September then start to fall
2016 (Spring): rates will fall to its low (on the trend line) then start to rise (March-ish)
2016 (Summer): rates will peak by June/July
2016 (Fall): ???
For rates past Fall 2016 I'm not sure what may happen.
I do not have a viewpoint past that time frame other than to "wait and see".
My guess is that this pattern is going to be a reversal but it still has a long way to go to break through the long term price trend line.
The Dollar's DecentThe US dollar index was a thing of bubbly-beauty, gaining over 25 percent in a year. Traders thought that after seven years, it is now time for the Federal Reserve to raise rates. Unfortunately, reality is set it.
The Fed has always claimed to be data-dependent. First, the potential for a rate hike was when unemployment dropped to 6.5 percent. That came and went as quickly as Americans dropped out of the workforce. Central bankers are no more than politicians. They will tell you what you want to hear, when you want to hear it.
Fed Chair Janet Yellen then stated that a "broader" approach to economic data would be taken, and as long as the economy was improving the likelihood of a rate increase. Only one problem - the data has been horrible. Forget mouthpiece economists, like DB's Joe LaVorgna, who paint a "recovery" picture regardless of how bad the data is.
Before Janus Capital's Bill Gross or DoubleLine's Jeff Gruanloch, I been a firm believer that the Fed cannot normalize monetary policy because the multiple asset bubbles are derivative of their reckless quasi-monetary experiment, fathered by Ben "there's no housing bubble" Bernanke.
The modus operandi of the Fed is inflation, but the global economic climate is deflationary. It is interesting how all the developed nations, including China, has embarked on quantitative easing or other stimulus only to find inflation declining.
If the Fed needs inflation, they need a weaker dollar; and increasing interest rates would only strengthen it. The Fed has to prolong the rate hike because it prolongs the inevitable crash. If the Fed truly though the economy was strengthening and weakness was transitory, policy would have been on a path of normalization.
But the Fed is not the first to make this mistake. Forex traders remember that the Bank of England was really the first central bank the market was looking to hike rates.
After the polar vortex in the US, the England was gaining some economic steam, and the Sterling rose much like the dollar did, reaching a high of 1.71 (GBPUSD). BoE Governor Mark Carney did not have the courage to tighten policy, and the Sterling collapsed. The good economic data points fell from the highs, much like in the US now.
The dollar's decent is one of market participants loosing hope of a rate increase on the back of lackluster data with many data points at or approaching levels not seen during the Great Recession.
However, the paradox is that the dollar will likely remain elevated on a retaliative basis. I expect the DXY to have an 80-handle by mid-summer, but I do expect the dollar to rise again as the economic outlook darkens.
Consumer prices will likely to fall, and there is the potential for a brief period of deflation - like we saw in 2009. The Fed will have no choice but to enter the currency wars.
Key daily levels are posted on the chart. Please check out the attached tradingview post. It shows how the dollar traded following 20+% gains - and it's not favorably!
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Twitter: lemieux_26
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