Lower inflation and interest rates do not necessarily mean that prices will decrease. If I annualize the inflation numbers instead of focusing on the monthly figures, the overall picture becomes much clearer. 2 and 10 Year Yield Futures Ticker: 2YY, 10Y Minimum fluctuation: 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00 Disclaimer: • ...
For our housing loan, many of us, if you are in your 30s today and all the way to 70 years of age, will likely have chosen floating or short-term loan rates rather than longer-term loan rates. However, everything changed in 2022. Now, we are more likely to choose longer-term loan rates over floating rates. Why? Because today, longer-term loan rates are lower than...
Rough map pf rate expectation without pretension of accuracy for dates nor timing...
Many interpreted from the latest FOMC meeting that the Fed is going to have three rate cuts this year, but Jerome Powell did not say that. Let me quote directly from his transcript: “If the economy evolves as projected, the median participant projects that the appropriate level of the federal funds rate will be 4.6 percent at the end of this year” And he...
I noticed a large waterfall sell off of both 2year and 10year. What was reason behind such a volatile move?
In this chart you can see how inverted we are and for how long on the 10-3mo. I also have the 10-2YR chart that I will link to this also. This is a recession indicator. It will be interesting to follow this chart as the FOMC tries to bring the curve back under control. I will return frequently to run the "Play" and see how they do over the months!
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$US10Y Key Levels, Analysis and Targets Oh my goodness… 10 year bonds are breaking out on the monthly for the first time in 30 years… This is epic…. Equities are so screwed… I never thought that I would be saying that the bond market looks interesting... LOL... 🤷🏻♀️
*ACTUAL REAL LIVE TRADE I’M IN* Another interesting setup tonight. Shorting the Micro 10 year futures.
Alarm in the markets: a part of the US interest rate curve is inverted that has not been in 16 years US five-year bond yields rose as much as 10 basis points to touch 2.64%, outperforming those on 30-year bonds. Receive a cordial greeting, In Spain on 03/30/2022. Sincerely, L.E.D.
Follow up w fib ma on US 10 looking at it back from 1981... Trend line is still very much in tact - I know michael burry is short yields
Volatility is the name of the game as the major indexes were in a big range all week. The Nasdaq is testing it's 2 hour UBB with a Bull Flag under resistance. The Russell 2000 also has a Bull Flag after finding 2hr LBB support, setting up a potential Lower High under the 2h 50 SMA. The Bonds gave back the bull break during the FOMC meeting and are now showing a...
Comparing Silver to the USD, it is still holding up pretty well. Compared to real yields, silver should be about 24% higher.
After the flight to safety Bond Yields are recovering, with support being found at the Yellow Channel GP.
Price move inverse to yields; the monthly pattern offered neckline support, suppressing yields.
101 channel's target. if we reach that we will probably have more Yields on the 10Ys than SPX = big doges will probably shift to capture a safer/better alternative.
SPX Yields Vs 10Y will let the big dogs shift from stocks to the 10Y for better retunes and much safer/secure investments. Little guys need to watch carefully for this shift if it's even a probable scenario. But when we have such high spikes like today volatility will increase in the mkt and we could see a big final drop in our Y wave of WXY or even...
101 T.A. Key, shift in correlation by crossing up/down Zero line.