Get started

10yearnote

Bonds Up, Stocks DownThe rally in the market's safest assets looks poised to continue as coronavirus spreads further. On Friday, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury fell to a new all-time low below 0.7% . New infections of COVID-19, the illness the virus causes, have sparked increased panic that an outbreak will hinder global growth. ES E-Mini S&P 500 Futures ; Temporary support 2700 10 Vear T-Note; Temporary resistance 140"21 Disclaimer: We are not registered or licensed in any jurisdiction whatsoever to provide investing advice or anything of an advisory or consultancy nature, and are therefore are unqualified to give investment recommendations. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing. This communication is never to be used as the basis of making investment decisions, and it is for entertainment purposes only.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by CryptoTrend-Alerts
US government ten-year yield bonds on a free fall down -16.49%The US government ten-year yield bonds closed its last session on Friday at 0.767 down -16.49% after reaching the bottom of the longterm price channel on the daily chart. Bond prices have been on a free fall since breaching the support level at 1.440 on the 25th of Feb 2020. In last Friday's session, we saw prices went as low as 0.650 before pulling up towards the end of the session to close around the bottom of the longterm price channel as marked on the chart. Bond prices could continue further down to around 0.522 in the upcoming sessions or bounce at the bottom of the price channel at approximately 0.841 and head back to 1.314
TVC:US10Y
by Rotuma
ridethepig | Historic Moves In Yields !An insane move across Yields with historic outflows, I am expecting some relief over the coming weeks but we the lows are still open for a 5th wave sequence. This target will worryingly come into play at 0.20x! We have intentionally covered the Credit Spreads together here in order to see what is "challenging" in the US economy: Such compensation is frequently that the recession is forced as the economy ends up in some wilderness. Such an environment is however transformed into a garden of Eden if the transition away from Protectionist Public Sector flows and Governments is opened. The following examples will make my meaning crystal clear: After VIX exploded 250% !!! via coronavirus triggering the immediate mistake occurred in Monetary policy which sent shockwaves across all main markets. The Fed capitulating is a major blow to Central Banking independence, because the Whitehouse mismanagement and fiscal policies are being funded in broad daylight by Powell. The crossroads between a higher stock market and a higher dollar was always going to trigger the next round of easing and QE. Of course, Yields can be bought after the lows are set but that takes time. But buyers have no worries, since with a solid centre a loose Rates market is easy enough to defend. Even more than that, Fed's "Loose Gambit" will turn into a slow moving but safe instrument of attack on USD: And now that we have to some extent defined the logic between the wilderness markets are walking into via the demand and supply shock vis a vis the monetary policy measures referred to at the start of the segment. For the technicals 🗺 Steel Support 0.72 <=> Strong Support 0.81 <=> Soft Support 0.85 <=> S/R FLIP <=> Soft Resistance 1.08 <=> Strong Resistance 1.17 <=> Steel Resistance 1.24 It is extremely important to track this chart and understand that markets challenging Central Banks, though it apparently only looks like a spiteful play, in fact represents a problem in the underlying structure of protectionism in the US. Thanks as usual for keeping the likes and comments rolling!
TVC:US10YLong
by ridethepig
3
US 10Yr Yield Triple bottom has been breached and this is an indicator of economy enter into the downhill. Governments across the globe are already ready or has started pumping money into their economy to support the impact of the virus. Strong resistance line of the triple bottom formed by US 10Yr Yield has been breached, mainly fueled by economy greatest enemy - fear. United States is expecting the arrival of the virus and will this prompt further flee into treasuries? Let me know your thoughts below.
TVC:US10Y
by Iapiew
Elliott Wave View: Ten Year Notes (ZN_F) Resumes HigherShort Term Elliott Wave structure in 10 Year Notes (ZN_F) suggests the pullback to 129.28 ended wave IV. The note has resumed higher in wave V. The internal subdivision of wave V is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 129.28, wave 1 ended at 131.19 and wave 2 ended at 130.26. Internal of wave 2. The Note has resumed higher and broke above wave 1 at 131.19. This suggests the next leg higher in wave 3 has started. Near term, while pullback stays above 130.24 in the first degree, and more importantly above 129.28, expect the Notes to extend higher. We don’t like selling the Note, and expect buyers to appear once wave ((ii)) pullback is complete in 3, 7, or 11 swing. *Please note that market opened up with a gap*
CBOT:ZN1!Long
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Support Cracked Wide Open on the US 10YHere we are witnessing the minimum target from a ABC perspective since the January highs at 2.799%. This sequence from here on should be viewed as corrective and will be a shallow retrace in the broader trend. There is little support here so the key levels to watch in play remain 2.286%. We may see some choppy waters here, however, the potential to retrace as low as 2.088% remains live. Best of luck all those positioning for the week.
TVC:US10YShort
by ridethepig
United States Headed Towards A Recession? The ten year yield peaks about 6 months to 14 months before two consecutive quarters of negative growth (a technical recession). Right now, from our peak in this current cycle we are 6 months divorced from a peak in the yield. Moreover, 3 year over 10 year yields inverted recently a signal that a recession is in the not too distant future. However, massive stimulus in the form of quantitative easing has significantly pushed down the 10 year yield distorting this market. Moreover, the 3 year over 10 year only inverted for around five trading days and is no longer inverted whereas the same ratio inverted for several months in 2000 and 2007. Overall, we are probably not going to see recession from Q2 into Q3 of 2019, but it is in our future whether its later this year or 2021.
TVC:US10YShort
by WhiskeyTangoFoxtrot3
3
Forecast US 10 year treasury yieldThis is an attempt to forecast the yield on treasury notes based on technical analysis. Clearly this is an incomplete analysis as fundamentals will also impact heavily. So let us consider the following a base case. First, there are trends in the yield. I would not call it cycles because they have different duration. Those thends tend to last a longer time, more than six months. I use the average trend duration to make a forecast of the bottom. Second, Fibonacci is used to make a price projection. 38% retracement would mean going down to 2.5% (from 2.8% today). 62% retracement is 2.0%. The fall in yield will not be smooth and will have ups and downs (indicated by an ABC pattern from Elliott. but it could equally well be an 12345). Forecast: In July 2019 the yield will have fallen substantially. A good benchmark is 2.3%. The analysis is incomplete because it does not take explicit Fed action into account. A 10 year yield of 2.5% would invert the yield curve even without any further increase in the short term rate by the Fed.
TVC:US10YShort
by Mats000