The 10 year yields still looking bullish amid the rate hike and the fed signaling more hikes this year
Quick Analysis on 10 Year Treasury Yield on a 1D Linear Chart. 1) The US 10 Year Treasury Yield has been respecting a falling channel for multiple decades going back to the 1980s. 2) It has broken out of the top trendline of the falling channel with a recent re-test of the S/R line. 3) The measured move of the falling channel would bring it back to Pre-2008...
Quick Analysis on 10 Year Treasury Yield on a 1W Linear Chart. 1) The US 10 Year Treasury Yield has been respecting a falling channel for multiple decades going back to the 1980s. 2) It is currently headed to the top trendline of the channel with a possibility to break in the coming months. 3) The measured move of the falling channel would bring it back to...
This thing is way ahead of where quarterly money flows suggest it should be - I think it will pull back and consolidate 1.10 - 1.150 range. Also looks to be exhibiting the same post-crisis recovery that it followed after the GFC. I'm pretty sure all of these anti-fed pumpers were out there barking about it back then as well. Also, Bitcoin (all cryptos) still...
Hopefully we can reverse the direction and avoid something like that. Disclaimer: This is no financial advice nor any financial service. Remember, 95%+ traders lose money. You are trading at your own risk.
In this video, I break down how the U.S Dollar has been strengthening against the EUR. JPY & CHF since the start of 2021 as U.S Bond Yields have been rising due to inflation expectations. This is extremely important to understand when trading currency markets. I breakdown this historical relationship using excel spreadsheet examples and live chart analysis. Enjoy
Seems like there has been a gap fill that happened in Feb of last year. Market consensus seems like there is really nothing that can make anything go down except for a rate increase sooner than anticipated. Everything could shoot and propel further higher and maybe draw in huge amounts of capital thats still lying around idk. indicators point to upside potential...
The 10 Year Treasury yields have bounced aggressively from all time lows. However, we are not at the August/September 2020 lows which coincides magically (lookup the gold number found everywhere in the Cosmos) with the 38.2% fibo retracement from the highs to the lows. If rates go sideways or correct from here, we're likely going to see a bounce in the Nasdaq...
I've been hearing from many of my colleagues, most of whom are experienced traders, that rates are not going to rise anytime soon. 2023, 2024, 2025, all common projections for when rates will rise. Yet, we've observed the 10Y yield rising a whopping 120% since the beginning of August, to 1.13% today. Morgan Stanley said in a recent report, which I've mentioned in...
i use the CoT Report for a lot of guidance. If you know how the commercial/central banks are trading, then you have a pretty goof idea as to where the market is going to go. As mentioned in many of my ideas, they started shorting back in March. My belief if they stacked a lot of orders at that March high, know it would eventually get lower than that point. The...
Expecting a strong reversal on the 10yr yields. Good Luck.