IOTA: Bullish Butterfly RSI Bullish Divergence (Final Fib Level)IOTA is currently sitting at the 1.272 PCZ of a Bullish Butterfly and this 1.272 extension happens to be the last positive Fibonacci Extension on the linear scale, meaning that this is probably the least risky area possible to buy IOTA and perhaps aim for much higher levels, even as high as 1–2 dollars.
Given how tight the entry and price action are, I think as long as it holds above 15 cents, we could see it go for some major Bullish targets.
1272 Fibonacci Extension
USDJPY | New perspectiveSince the beginning of the month, price action has continued to respect the bullish trend line identified in the 4H timeframe and we are hoping to catch one last bullish move if it finally happens. A significant breakout of key levels during the course of yesterday's trading session could probably be a signal for a trend continuation in the nearest future as long as the price does not break down the bullish trendline.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Solving for the .65 - The Sequence of MirrorsOver the last year a mystery has endured. Why does price respond to the 65% level? Internet searches provided no clues, just that it is a level that one should add to the default fib settings as price often finds this spot. Today, this mystery has been solved. The .65 and .35 are expressions of the relationship between the .236 and .382 and their mirrors, the .764 and .618. Over the coming weeks I will be producing content that explains the value of this discovery to our trading goals. The keystone is the 1.272, the square-root of the 1.618. The interactive effects of the fibs offer clues as to the location of the price pivots of the future.
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new week | UpdateThis is a follow-up on my previous publication as we are yet to find a headway (see link below for reference purposes)... Recall, I mentioned in my last publication that we are in a long term uptrend situation on this pair. However, it appears the price is going through a corrective phase that might incite the much-expected rally in the nearest future.
In this regard and despite Bullish expectations, I am looking for a "quick" counter-trend opportunity with hopes of a rally in sight.
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Harmonic pattern (AB = CD)
Observation: i. Since the 16th of February 2021, Bears have been engaging the charts as I expect a transposition to a Harmonic pattern (AB = CD) this week.
ii. ABCD pattern with parameters explained below;
a. Leg A-to-B is expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg.
b. The B- to-C leg is currently hovering around 61.8% (with a possible 78.6% in the future) Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg.
c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move @ Y115.500/115.000 area.
iii. My Key level @ Y117.300 shall be my yardstick for Bearish expectations in the coming week as any spot below this level is good for me!
iv. This been said, I am advising that taking this trade requires utmost attention as we are generally on an uptrend and factors that might disrupt this set-up giving way for an immediate rally continuation can happen anytime... trade consciously :)!
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:3.5
Potential Duration: 4 to 10days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Natural Gas- Follow up of prev. video, the part that was mutedFollow up of previous video, the part that was muted where i talked about natural gas. 27.02.2021 Shout out to Miss S
***what i was was saying last minutes of the video. with the triple box set up. if it breaks and doubles lower it can close the gap lower or breakhigher and double higher. at the moment all i really see and say in an objective point of view is:
1. is a buying tail that closed above support and into the ranging box of a failure to break lower
2. it hit a 1.272 and made it into a buying tail
and the range did hold for a few weeks now, maybe another attempt higher to top of the box might not be bad idea
cons i have in mind is that is a big gap lower, if it dobles down to close the gap, there are buyers
USDCNH | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upWe saw the price decline and move over 1,000pips in our direction since my last publication before the rally began during last week trading session (see link below for reference purposes). Despite the general perception that the USD is on the verge of a rally due to the sudden & rapid rise that appears to be running ahead of itself during last week trading session, I am of the opinion that we are at a juncture in the market where the structure/pattern is "screaming" risk of further decline for the Greenback in the coming week(s). Even though there is room for a possible rally into the major Supply area @ Y6.5100 area, my bias still remains Bearish!
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Harmonic Pattern (AB = CD) | Breakdown | Supply & Demand
Observation: i. Since the beginning of the year (2021), Buyers have found it difficult to break the Y6.51000 barrier thereby leaving clues of strong selling pressure at this zone.
ii. Continuous rejection of the Y6.51000 area followed by a complete Breakdown of Key level (Y6.4600/6.4400) at the beginning of the month (Feb 2021) is a sign emphasizing the strength of sellers.
iii. I am of the opinion that the rally that began on the 15th Feb 2021 is a Correction of the Impulse leg AB (expressed on the chart).
iv. Last week trading session saw price close at Y6.4600 area - exactly 61.8% retracement of AB with the possibility of extending into the Major Supply zone @ 78.6% retracement (appearing to be a rejection of key level) before the decline begins.
v. The setup evolving at this juncture might transpose into ABCD pattern parameters explained below;
a. Leg A-to-B is expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg.
b. The B- to-C leg is currently hovering at 61.8% (with a possible 78.6% in the future) Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg.
c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move.
vi. It is hereby required that we become patient and wait for a strong Reversal pattern on lower time frames for confirmations... Best of luck and Trade consciously! :)
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 1,000 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:3
Potential Duration: 7 to 14 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
EURNZD | PERSPECTIVE FOR THE NEW WEEKAs price continues to respect bearish Trendline, Price hits key level @ 1.73500 area once again with tendencies of repeating the Bearish run that started on the 10th of Nov. 2020. This level which is also within 61.8% retracement of the last impulse leg gives more substance to my bearish bias with a projection of 127.2% extension.
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Double Top | Support & Resistance | Trendline | AB = CD
Observation: i. As price continues to respect the major Trendline since Oct. 2020; we are at a juncture where it appears price might find it difficult to break 1.73500 which shall be my yardstick to follow or go against my bearish bias.
ii. Target is pegged at 127.2% extension of previous Impulse leg.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 400 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:5
Potential Duration: 1 to 5 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDCAD | PERSPECTIVE FOR THE NEW WEEKSince the price moved 250pips in our direction since my last publication on this pair; the USD/CAD gained downside momentum and is trying to settle below my Key zone at CAD1.3200.
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Harmonic (AB = CD expectations)
Observation: i. Breakdown of CAD1.32500 zone on the 7th of Oct. was followed by significant rejection of level on Thursday & Friday signalling a possible downtrend continuation.
ii. In this regard, an ABCD pattern is sighted with parameters explained below;
a. Impulse A-to-B will be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg.
b. The B- to-C leg is at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg.
c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:4
Potential Duration: 3 to 7 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XAUUSD SHORT - Patiently and Carefully Look for EntryAfter completing an impulse and correction on the daily chart, I expect this pair to make another impulse and create a lower low. Considering that the pair is currently inside a resistance area with strong market structure and Fibonacci confluence, it is a good time to monitor price action development on lower time frames to find a good entry. A good swing target would be the 127.2% fib extension of the daily retracement.
It is very important to be patient and careful with gold, it can be mercilessly manipulated .
SGDJPY SWING LONGWith this pair having completed an impulse and correction on the weekly chart, we can look forward to the next swing leg in the market; which should be an ATTEMPT by the pair to create another impulse and a higher high on the weekly chart.
On the daily chart, this pair has just broken (and closed) above previous resistance; thus presenting a good opportunity to enter a long on this pair. If we get a retracement to test this area (which also has a confluence of the daily 61.8% fib, taken from the low of the circled red candle), it should act as support for the pair, then we can be searching for entries on lower time frames while the pair is in and around the area.
CADCHF | MY PERSPECTIVE FOR THE WEEKDespite the Bullish run (Corrective move) from late July 2020; The anticipation of negative numbers and economical dent from Unemployment rate and Net Change in employment was not a convincing yard for a continuing rally. Price broke out of my Key level in the beginning of the week only to Break down and close below this level in the latter part of the week inciting a much good reason for Buyers to step aside for a better deal in the following week(s).
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish )
Structure: Retracement | Trendline | Breakdown
Observation: i. The fall of price that began mid-July appears to continue its second phase of decline after completing a correction into 61.8 retracements of impulse leg.
ii. Breakdown of my Key level @ 0.68300 is enough signal for me to consider Bearish bias this coming week.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 120 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:2.5
Potential Duration: 3 to 10 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
NirvanaForex
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
NZDUSD | WEEKLY FORECASTWith over 120pips in our direction since my last publication (see link below for reference purpose); Despite facing the action of Bearish pressure mid-week, it appears price is actually going through correction of Breakout (Impulse Leg AB) to continue the rally to complete a Harmonic move in the coming week(s).
Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish )
Structure: Harmonic (AB = CD)
Observation: i. Breakout of my Key Level @ 0.66000 supports my Bullish bias as I anticipate a AB = CD Harmonic pattern in the nearest future.
ii. ABCD pattern expectations:
a. Impulse A-to-B expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg.
b. The B- to-C leg is at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg.
c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move.
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 110 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:2.5
Potential Duration: 2 to 5 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
NirvanaForex
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.