Xiaomi (1810): Major Gains, Next Targets and Updated StrategyThe Hang Seng Index and its constituent stocks have been surging higher, with Xiaomi leading the charge 🚀. The setup we had on Xiaomi was quite similar to the one for Alibaba, featuring a tight stop-loss and a high risk-to-reward ratio, which, just like NYSE:BABA , worked out perfectly. Although we aimed to catch the end of wave (ii), we missed the entry by just a few HKD. Despite this, the position is now up an impressive 85% since we initially sent out the entry back in March.
We have taken our first round of profits as we haven't locked in any gains yet, and we have moved our stop-loss to the break-even point. However, we are confident that Xiaomi will not revisit this level for a long time. We took profits upon reaching a key wave 3 extension level. While we expect further gains on the lower time frame, we must also respect what the higher time frame indicates. Whether it's longing wave (iv) or wave 4, the choice depends on whether we are right about the higher or also the lower time frame. On the higher time frame, we anticipate a maximum rise to 30 HKD before we see a significant correction.
We believe there is still substantial upside potential for Xiaomi – it's only a matter of time. We'll keep monitoring both scenarios closely and act accordingly 📈.
1810
Seera Holding Group - 1810 - KSA - TADAWULThe stock is attempting to form a positive technical pattern, a double bottom. It has confirmed a breakout above the downward trend line, and a positive quarterly close is anticipated. The stock is currently rebounding from a support level within the medium-term upward trend. The targets are set at 25, 27, and 29. The technical analysis aligns with the fair value target of the stock, which is also around the 29 level.
Xiaomi (1810): From Double Bottom to Skyrocket!At Xiaomi HKEX:1810 , unlike Alibaba, all financial data is in Hong Kong Dollars (HKD) since we are examining the stock on the Hong Kong Exchange. We observed a double bottom formation at 8.28 HKD for Wave II, which also coincides with the bottom edge of our Volume Node. From there, we've seen a significant rise, over 100%, in a relatively short period, with the low occurring at the end of 2022. Currently, we are in a range that has historically moved through very quickly, known as a Low Volume Node. We may either bounce back down from here or break swiftly upwards to around 21 HKD. Given that we are in Wave III, we anticipate surpassing the peak of Wave I significantly, targeting levels above 36 HKD.
Now, let's take a closer look into our long-term perspective on the chart.
Upon closely analyzing Xiaomi on the 4-hour chart, we note a commendable 33% rise from our entry for Wave ((ii)). Congratulations to all who participated in this trade. However, we've developed a bearish divergence on the RSI, indicating a potential decline to form Wave (ii), which should fall between the 50% and 100% levels. We've marked a significantly broad zone since we anticipate substantial upside potential, at least up to 36 HKD, which alone represents a at least 144% increase. It wouldn't make sense to rigidly exclude any scenarios, given our past observations of double bottoms forming for Wave 2.
The most probable range for this correction, in our view, is between the 50% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels. However, we cannot dismiss the possibility of reaching the full 100%. There is a Low-Volume Node between the 50% and 78.6% levels, suggesting that if we cannot hold the first Fib levels, we might quickly drop lower—another reason for our broad stop-loss.
Xiaomi: Gained Momentum 🔥The Xiamoi share has overcome resistance at HK$16.98 and is heading towards the forecast top of turquoise wave 3. The bearish alternative scenario of a new low for beige alt.II remains 30% likely. An imminent sell-off below the HK$11.84 support will activate it. Primarily, however, the price should continue to move north from the (former) resistance at HK$16.98.
Awaiting pullback to LONG XiaomiDrawing the 2 bearish trend lines, we can see that this stock is soon to break out soon.
2 Options - await pullback and go long
OR
wait for it to break the main bearish trend line around 15 dollars before going LONG. This approach is more conservative and less risk taking but the downside is buying at slightly higher price.
Please DYODD
Xiaomi: Still some Room! ⬆️Xiaomi stock has retreated somewhat in recent days. Nonetheless, we are sticking to our primary assumption that the price is likely to surpass the highs from November once again as part of the magenta wave (B) in order to form the high a good deal further north. Accordingly, we expect a return to this short-term bullish path in the near future. It is important to note, however, that the 33% probable alternative would already allow the high to be in place. We would favor this scenario in the event of significant declines. A far-reaching descent is also on the agenda in our primary scenario after the current (corrective) wave (B) has ended. The price should only finalize the big wave II in grey and thus the big correction below the support at HK$8.31.
XIAOMI 1810 Good buy NOW!Xiaomi currently in demand zone where it last touched and rose rapidly to ATH 35.9
Big hammer wick on 15 Mar, buyers flooded in to reverse downtrend sharply
Chinese markets proven to be resilient, and Xiaomi is the largest phone producer in China, expanding its products into EV vehicles in the future.
This is not only a good buy, but good for long term hold too.
Take profits:
20
28
29.5
To the moon
Stop loss:
11.08
Xiaomi is completing a big correction and is ready for C A rise in the form of three waves and a diagonal and then a fall in the form of an abc and a diagonal show that we are in a larger scale in a triangle or a structure like this
+The analysis is based on the fact that the United States reached a trade agreement with China to prevent its enemies from uniting.
1810 (Xiaomi) SELL FIRST!! BUY/LONG at 15.00 to rise to 41.20!TICKER CODE: 1810
Company Name: Xiaomi Corp
Industry: Technology | Consumer Electronics| Hong Kong
Position Proposed: SELL
Technical Analysis
1. Rising Wedge / Pennant (Forming)
2. Fibonacci Exhaustion Level at Final Peaked 4.236
3. Potential to reach Fibonacci Retracement to reach 0.786 after Flagpole completes
4. Potential Break and Retest of Area of Confluence with 1 Trendline and Horizontal Resistance
5. Fibonacci Expansion Safe Take Profit Level 1 (Grey Zone) at the length of Flagpole Price Range
Buy Entry: NOT READY (15.00-16.00)
1st Partial Take Profit: 41.20 (End 2021)
2nd Partial Take Profit: 57.65 (Early-Mid 2022)
Stop Loss: 11.00
To sell or not to sell ?Questions that traders and investors constantly asked themselves - Now that I am in the trade and have made some profits, do I sell now and lock in the profits ?
Questions that new traders and investors also asked themselves - Now price is so high, when is a good time to catch the low and get in or should I chase it higher ?
Today, we see many HK/CHINA stocks in a sea of red and I have shared before the psychological effect of RED colour on the human eyes. It creates a sense of URGENCY and the sometimes false Need to take action.
99.99% of the people when they see massive amount of blood will either frozen and not know what to do, some might faint while the more composed will quickly ask for help.
Same thing in trading/investment, people tend to sell fast and first when they see red in their portfolio, thinking it is better to have a bird in hand than worth two in the bush. What if I am wrong ? All my paper profits may go down the drain. And the latter is exacerbated if he/she has a string of losses prior to that so recovering whatever profits become a matter of priority and urgency to them.
I have highlighted here a few of my vested stocks and I am not selling for the simple fact that the business models of these companies are still very much intact. Yes, competition will get fiercer as more new players come onboard and also the China regulations might put a dampner on the stock price too. But, I view all these as temporary and any fall in price is a good time to accumulate.
As some of these stocks have run quite a fair bit (from 50-90% since March Low), it is totally acceptable to have some correction now. The pink circle depicts a simple analogy of the wave pattern that the price action moves in a chart, ie. wave like rather than a linear line.
It is hard for me to tell you to add more shares in an existing company that you have or use it to buy a new company. It is like if you have one red shirt in the wardrobe, would you add one more red shirt albeit a different design OR get a blue shirt for a change ?
If you buy a different company such as defence, infrastructure, etc then you are diversifying for stability and spreading your investment eggs across different sectors. Or you could go deeper into the value chain and acquire new shares of companies that operates within this vertical specialty. The latter works especially well if you have domain knowledge of an industry and know very well the competitive landscape, forecasts of the industry, government plans for this sector, etc.
Else, if you do not have the luxury of time to pursue such meticulous and granular details, an ETF that represents the top 10-30 companies in that field might be a good option too.
Again, I hope this thoughts of mine would benefit some of you in some ways when planning your portfolio. It can be much more fluid than you anticipated and customise it to suit your financial goals. Have fun :)