SUI | — Key Buy Trigger AheadPrice is drifting lower and approaching a high-confluence retracement zone. A key bullish setup may form if price sweeps the 0.618–0.666 Fibonacci region and reclaims the level with strength.
📌 Buy Trigger:
• Sweep into the $2.38–2.5 zone
• Look for reclaim and bullish reversal for long entry
• Structure remains constructive while above monthly support ($1.91)
📈 Reclaim Level for Strength:
• $2.83 — clearing this confirms bullish intent
• Flip = strength toward $3.80 and beyond
🎯 Targets:
• $2.83 → Range reclaim level
• $3.50–3.60 → local resistance
• $5.36–5.37 → full upside liquidity target
🟥 Invalidation:
• Clean break below $1.90 (monthly support) = full invalidation
📌 Best setups form when liquidity is swept and price reclaims structure. Wait for the flush and follow strength.
1d
ARB — Waiting for Dip into FVG Buy ZonePrice is hovering just above a key Daily FVG zone, following a rejection from the $0.40 prior resistance. Current structure does not justify longs unless a dip into the FVG zone occurs.
🟩 Buy Zone: $0.3135–$0.33 (FVG)
• Confluence of demand and fair value gap
• High-probability entry if price dips into this area
• No setup above current price — wait for confirmation
🔴 Invalidation:
• Breakdown below $0.294 = structural failure
🎯 Targets:
• First: $0.40 (prior resistance)
• Then: $0.513–$0.514 (monthly resistance zone)
📌 Clear plan: no FOMO. Only act on dip into value zone, not from mid-range.
FARTCOIN | Bullish Structure Holding Above D1 OBMEXC:FARTCOINUSDT is consolidating above a key daily order block (D1 OB) that previously acted as a breakout base. The market structure remains strongly bullish as long as price holds above this level.
🟩 Key Support: $0.71–$0.86
• D1 OB cluster
• High-probability long zone if retested
• Below $0.71 = structural risk, but bullish bias holds while above
🎯 Main Target:
• $3.30 (expansion target)
• Clean upside R:R if OB holds and expansion resumes
• Intermediate resistance at $1.26 — ideal area to monitor for partial profit-taking or momentum confirmation
📌 Strategy:
• Monitor for reaction at current zone
• Spot entries or swing longs favorable above $0.71
• Structure flips bearish only below $0.35 (final invalidation)
CRV - Two Scenarios for Strategic Spot BidsBINANCE:CRVUSDT
No FOMO, two clean entries.
Sweep S/R and reclaim EMA 200 — first trigger for spot longs. Equal lows at $0.61 — magnet for liquidity.
Deeper flush to demand = main buy zone ($0.40–0.56).
Stops under main demand.
Plan simple: let the market pick the entry for you.
KAITO | waiting for FVG sweep$KAITO
Failed to reclaim monthly resistance, drifting down.
Eyes on $1.77–1.58 for bounce, but main long setup is $1.30–1.20 (1D FVG cluster).
Momentum fading — waiting for liquidity flush.
Break below $0.88 — bulls out.
Watching for SFP or reversal in main zones before entering.
📌 Patience required — wait for a proper sweep and confirmation before acting. Strong setups form when fear peaks.
SUI conditional breakout setup — Wait for Flip of BOS ZonePrice is currently testing a Break of Structure (BOS) zone near $3.26–3.46. However, the structure remains bearish as long as price remains under this zone. The long setup is only valid after a confirmed breakout and retest.
Setup:
🟩 Buy Trigger: Break and retest above $3.46
• No trade while price remains under the box
• Breakout + retest = confirmation to enter longs
• Target - resistance cluster around $5
• Stop-loss: below recent swing lows
📌 BOS Zone: $3.26–3.46
• Acting as a key inflection zone
• Once flipped, becomes the base for continuation higher
🚫 No longs inside/under box — wait for clear structure shift
Summary:
Setup requires patience — this is a breakout-retest strategy, not a bottom-picking one. Let the chart confirm direction before entering.
ETHFI last dip buyBINANCE:ETHFIUSDT remains one of the strongest ETH beta plays since the April bottom. After a clear impulse move and consolidation, price swept into a key 1D order block cluster, now acting as support.
Setup:
🟩 Key Support: $1.09–1.24 (1D OB cluster)
• Structure remains bullish above this zone
• Recent sweep confirmed as a last dip buy opportunity
• Higher lows and clean defense → continuation likely
📌 Wave Structure Suggests Ongoing Expansion
• Wave (4) completed on OB retest
• Next move (wave 5) targets new local highs if $1.24 holds
🎯 Targets:
• First resistance: $1.60
• Extension: $2.50–3.00+ (mid-range of former distribution zone)
Plan:
• Long bias above $1.09
• Accumulate dips on intraday structure above the OB
• Exit bias only on daily close below $1.09
ETH (plan in progress) — Setup Only Valid on ReclaimCRYPTOCAP:ETH is consolidating beneath key resistance at $2,738, failing to show bullish continuation. The current zone offers no valid long setup until structure confirms. Eyes remain on range low sweeps and reclaim triggers.
Plan:
✅ Main Long Trigger: Reclaim of $2,240–2,250 range low
• Must see price sweep and reclaim local lows or green SR
• No setup above current levels — wait for plan to trigger
• First target: $2,738
• Main target: $4,093
🟩 FVG Demand Zone (Ultimate Dip Buy): $2,080–1,800
Unlikely to tag, but if reached — high conviction buy zone.
🚫 Break Below $2,079 → increased risk of deeper drop
• Exit bias if structure breaks down below green zone
Summary:
Let the price come to the plan — no need to chase. Focus is on range low reclaim or FVG tag as entry catalysts. Don’t long mid-range without confirmation.
📌 Discipline is an edge — great entries come to those who wait.
SOL(targeting breakdown) — Eyes on BreakerThe market structure suggests further downside, with no bullish trigger in sight yet.
Setup:
🔻 Primary Target: $130–140 zone
This area aligns with the weekly breaker, a key HTF support level for potential bounce. Until then — no reason to long.
🟥 Rejection Zone: $156–160
Monthly open + FVGs. Strong rejection confirms bear control.
🟩 Major Support: $122–123
If breakdown continues, this is the final HTF defense.
Plan:
• Expect continued bleed or spike into breaker at $130–140
• Swing short play from rejection, monitoring PA into breaker for reaction
📌 Let the flush play out. Best setups come at higher timeframe supports — not mid-trend.
ETHFI (swing setup) — Retest in Progress Eyes on Sweep & ReclaimBINANCE:ETHFIUSDT is retesting a key breakout zone after a strong rally. Current structure suggests a possible swing long setup forming, contingent on a liquidity sweep below $0.97 and a clean reclaim.
Entry Criteria:
🟩 Retest Zone: $0.97–1.02
Looking for a sweep below $0.97 followed by a reclaim and bullish confirmation for entry.
❗ Invalidation: Close below $0.75 cancels the setup — indicates structural breakdown.
🎯 Target: $3.12+
Aiming for the top of the previous range — a 200%+ move if the reclaim holds.
📌 Big moves come from big levels — timing the reclaim is key.
Bitcoin New ATH - Where now?After Bitcoin makes new all time highs, the next steps are very important. Where price goes now can be tricky to predict as there is the rare factor of price.
One of the only ways to predict where BTC may find resistance during price discovery is to use Fibonacci levels, using Fib extensions the first target for me would be between $117,500-$120,000. This area would be between the fib extension and the big even level, RSI would also be overbought on the daily time frame.
For the bearish scenario I think it's a much simpler play from a TA standpoint, lose the trend channel and get back under the old ATH level and I think we see a pullback towards $97,000. After such an extreme rally over the last 2 months with little to no rest a 10% correction would not be out of the ordinary despite such bullish ETF inflows. I have mapped a second target area should $97,000 fail, a SFP of the range can lead to a retest of the midpoint, this correction path would be much more severe with a more than 15% move lower.
To sum it all up Bitcoin has been on a great run in the last 2 months and has reached most traders common target of making a new ATH. Now there must be a new objective... Continue the move into price discovery or a corrective move? Price discovery has no previous selling history and so Fib levels along with big even levels are used to predict resistance levels. Corrective move would mean dropping out of the bullish trend channel and falling into a place of support, in my mind that would be ~$97,000 or failing that ~$91,000 (range midpoint).
SoFi Technologies (SOFI, 1D)On the daily chart, SoFi has broken out of its descending trendline, confirmed the breakout with a clean retest of the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $12.33, and is now building upward momentum from this demand zone. This “buy zone” is acting as a launchpad for a potential mid-term move toward higher resistance levels.
Key Fibonacci-based upside targets:
– $13.48 (0.5 retracement)
– $14.64 (0.382 retracement)
– $16.07 (0.236 retracement) — within the defined target zone
– Extended target: $18.37 (1.0 Fibonacci projection)
Technical structure highlights:
– Breakout of multi-month downtrend + successful retest
– Price now trading above key EMAs (50/100/200)
– Volume expansion on bullish candles confirms demand
– Daily momentum favors further continuation toward the $14–$16 zone
– Premium supply zone above $16 may slow initial momentum but offers long-term potential toward $18+
Fundamental context:
SoFi is evolving as a vertically integrated fintech platform with strong brand recognition and growing user engagement across banking, investing, and lending services. As the company narrows losses and strengthens recurring revenue, investor interest in SOFI is growing — particularly as market appetite returns for high-quality fintech with path-to-profitability models.
The technical breakout is confirmed. As long as price remains above the $12.33–$12.50 buy zone, the bullish scenario remains valid with targets toward $14.64 and $16.07. A breakout above $16 would activate the full expansion toward $18.37 in the mid-term.
BTC 4H VS 1D 200 EMAIt's quite a rare occurrence when the 200 EMA finds itself in a very similar position but right now BTC has that exact setup.
On the 4H BTC is fighting the moving average for the 12th time since losing the support level at the beginning in February. At this time the bearish trend channel upper limit also coincides with this level now, IMO a big move is being setup, but the direction is unsure.
On the daily we're seeing the moving average also in line with the trend resistance however the curve itself differs to the 4H in the way that it's levelling out from an uptrend, not levelling out from downtrend.
Bullish scenario - Breaking out above the moving average and trend channel with strength I believe would start to bring buyers back. Now I would not expect buyers to come flooding in at once as many have been burned too many times trying to long a breakout only for it to be a fakeout. I could see many looking for a form of confirmation, be that a retest as new support or a new HH & HL structure.
Bearish scenario - Yet another rejection off this level would be continuation of the downtrend with many adding to their shorts. This to me would be tied to the SPX/ Tradfi movements although those markets are much stronger than this time last week.
In conclusion there is no clear sense of direction just yet but I think it's coming very soon. The chop we are seeing at the moment is a symptom of a lack of confidence and uncertainty in market conditions. Naturally this lends itself to a continuation of the downtrend but all it takes is a catalyst and some big believers to push BTC out above the downtrend to continue the bullrun. I think we get our answer soon.
$BTC multi-timeframe analysisCRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently at a critical juncture, with three distinct trends emerging on the same chart:
Weekly Bearish Downtrend (Green):
This 1W bearish channel remains intact. Despite bullish optimism, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has not broken out of this green channel, meaning we are technically still in a bearish trend.
Daily Recovery Bullish Uptrend (Red):
On the 1D timeframe, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has been following a recovery bullish channel. However, this channel is now colliding with the top of the bearish weekly channel, creating significant resistance.
Hourly Bearish Downtrend (Yellow):
A new bearish downtrend on the 1H timeframe has formed as a result of CRYPTOCAP:BTC failing to break through the top of the 1W green bearish falling wedge.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario 1:
If CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaks through the $90k resistance level and exits the weekly bearish channel (green), it could signal a strong long position and confirm the end of the downtrend, marking a reversal.
Bearish Scenario 2:
If CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues to follow the yellow downtrend and breaks down through the red recovery channel, this would invalidate the recovery and indicate further downside potential.
Outlook and Timeframe:
In my bearish warning from February 2025, I projected the end of the bearish consolidation by May 2025. If the bearish Scenario 2 plays out, it will confirm that this early warning was once again accurate.
However, if CRYPTOCAP:BTC manages to pump above $90k and sustain this level for at least a week, it would signal an early consolidation (one month ahead of schedule) and suggest that we are out of trouble.
Conclusion:
Watch for a confirmed breakout or breakdown.
Patience is key; wait for confirmation before making significant moves.
As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
BITCOIN - WHERE ARE WE? When zooming out and looking at the Bitcoin chart, despite how crazy the market has been in recent weeks it comes down to a simple market structure with three separate clearly definable ranges:
RED RANGE (Accumulation) - From FEB '24 until the US election BTC chopped in primarily the top half of a range with five separate midpoint retests with progressively shallower rallies that eventually broke out with a catalyst from the political world.
BLUE RANGE (Expansion) - After a 10 month accumulation range the next phase in the bull cycle was expansion, a rally above ATH and into price discovery. An extremely thin inefficiency rally.
Now price currently is at the midpoint of this range and despite the geo-political waterfall of bad news BTC has held up better than I had expected given that usually a rally that goes straight up has no support levels on the way back down. The chart does suggest a retest at $73,700 at some point before deciding which direction to go in after that.
GREEN ZONE (Distribution) - For the last 3 months Bitcoins price has been extremely volatile, bouncing between $91-108K, the range containing price perfectly with weekly retests of the range bottom and a swing fail of the range high. That SFP set off the beginning of BTCs sell-off eventually breaking through the bottom and back into the blue range.
With Bitcoin at the midpoint of the middle range it's a perfect time to have a data release in CPI, A volatile news event that can be a catalyst for a larger market move and with Tradfi selling off, this CPI is the most important of the Trump administrations term so far:
CPI DAY
PREVIOUS: 3.0%
FORECAST: 2.9%
ACTUAL: ??
Bullish - sub 2.8% print. At least the market sell-off is having a positive effect on inflation and isn't painful for no reason. BTC reclaims blue midpoint with a view to retest blue high.
Bearish - 2.9% or higher. Market sell-off hasn't has an immediate effect on inflation so the sell-off is bad in all aspects, except for the Trump admin moving closer to their wish of a weaker dollar and lower interest rates. FWB:73K blue range bottom retest on the cards.
BTC FEAR AND GREED INDEXAfter BTC corrects to the $86K level and the Timeline sentiment hit an all time low it got me thinking, is there any correlation between sentiment around pivotal price levels of the market? To find out I studied the "Fear and Greed Index", an indicator that uses a range of sources such as volatility, volume, sentiment, dominance and trends to give a score out of 100. 1 being peak fear and 100 being peak greed.
The results were interesting, currently the FGI is 21/100 (extreme fear) and if you've spent much time on crypto twitter is does feel that way too. However, during this bull market there are two key price areas where BTC had the same score:
Bear market bottom -
When the bear market ended after a full year of brutal selling BTCs price was around $16K with the same FGI score as today with 21. This signaled the end to the selling and began the bull market we have now.
Q2-23 '24 bottom -
For me, the most relevant time to compare FGI with todays score is with the bottom of the bearish trend channel we suffered through in 2024. Although price did wick below this $53,923 level to hit GETTEX:49K , the daily didn't close below it and so the September 6th low is the trend channel bottom. FGI score of 22 provided the springboard for the next leg up.
So with his information the real question is this: Are we still in a bull market? If the answer is yes, then history tells us once FGI reaches these levels the bottom is in and the next leg up is around the corner.
If the answer is no then the printing of a new lower high after yesterdays lower low will be confirmation of bitcoin rolling over.
I am not sure which is true but having a plan for both will be very important.
XRP DAILY XRP close to retesting the 1D 200 EMA for the first time since the US election. For now I can see a few key levels that create a smaller mini range made up of the DAILY RESISTANCE as the top, KEY S/R as midpoint and BULLISH ORDERBLOCK as the low which will coincide with the 1D 200 EMA soon.
- Current price action is extremely volatile so directionally it's difficult to tell where we are goin in the short term, but I would become interested at the extremes of the mini range.
- A LONG entry would be a more gradual revisit of the Bullish Orderblock and the 1D 200 EMA, that would be a great place to go long because the directional bias would be more clear and uncertainty cleared up.
- A SHORT would be a sweep of the supply zone and drop back into the mini range which would aim to go towards the midpoint and then range low/ 1D 200 EMA.
In general the next few days will be volatile, FOMO will be huge but keeping rational is important.
ETH 1D Ethereum has been very disappointing so far this cycle, but the chart on the daily is beginning to look much better than it has in recent weeks. For me a key level is the $2780 area, acceptance above puts ETH back into the midsection off this rangebound environment with a look to reach the next key level at $3200. To get there the 1D 200 EMA will be the first area of obvious resistance around the big even level of $3000.
A rejection off the $2780 I could see a move to backfill the daily wick towards the local bottom, if that were the case it would be because BTC has rolled over and lost its $91K support.
SUI DAILY First retest of the 1D 200 EMA since September '24, and a fill of the FVG area. A very strong reaction off that level but the overall trend of Lower Highs and Lower Lows signals a bearish trend.
For that reason a golden pocket rejection could be the play if price reacts off that level, SUI would then target a move to fill the wick if breaking it can break under the 1D 200 EMA.
I would look to go long if the Lower High is taken out and 1D 200 EMA is confirmed as support.
DOGE DAILY Heavy selloff resulting in DOGE wicking the demand zone and the bottom of the range. For me this means two potential entry points:
- The range low revisit with a more steady curved move building a base to rally from. This is the best R:R entry IMO as it is strong support.
- A reclaim of 0.25 would set up DOGE for a move to the midpoint at which point I think it would be wise to take profits or hedge the position as there is no clear direction where DOGE will go. Also if this entry was triggered I would still be very wary of the wick at range low that needs filling.
TAO DAILY For me there are two possible entries for TAO caused by the trade war situation in the US, so this is my take on the chart:
- Wicks get filled as a rule of thumb, so this capitulation wick that has reset all the progress made in Q4 2024. My preferred entry would be a sweep and reclaim of the wick as this coincides with range low and a bullish orderblock, an area of extreme support on the high timeframe.
- Another entry would be the breakout of the diagonal downtrend resistance, if this could coincide with the reclaim of the 0.25 line in the range that would add further confluence and a better R:R IMO.
For both entries the Midpoint would be a key S/R level and would be very high resistance.
SOL/USDT 1D trade idea Solana has been one of the best performing majors so far this Bullrun, and has had one of the best reactions to the recent sell off.
The DAILY chart is an interesting one and clearly respects the range structure, currently the price has just rejected off the MIDPOINT and for me is an area of contention, there are some triggers i'd like to see and can take action on:
- Accumulation below the Midpoint before a break above putting in higher highs and higher lows when above. The target would then be range high with the 0.75 line as first TP.
- A new lower low and lower high on the LTF from now may signal a move lower, this could then find support at the 0.25 line which is also where the 1D 200EMA is and therefore good support.