EUR/USD: Bullish Falling Wedge Breakout Towards TargetLet’s analyze the 1-hour candlestick chart of EUR/USD (Euro / U.S. Dollar) on TradingView, published by GoldMasterTraders on April 2, 2025, at 19:04 UTC. The chart highlights a trading setup based on a Falling Wedge pattern, indicating a potential bullish breakout. I’ll describe the chart pattern and the trading setup in detail.
Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge
Pattern Description
Type: The chart identifies a Falling Wedge pattern, which is a bullish chart pattern that typically signals a reversal or continuation of an uptrend. A Falling Wedge forms when the price consolidates between two downward-sloping trendlines that converge over time, with the upper trendline (resistance) sloping more steeply than the lower trendline (support).
Appearance on the Chart:
The Falling Wedge is clearly marked with two converging trendlines:
Upper Trendline (Resistance): Connects the lower highs, sloping downward.
Lower Trendline (Support): Connects the lower lows, also sloping downward but at a less steep angle.
The pattern began forming around March 19, after a sharp decline from 1.9400 to 1.8700, and continued until the breakout on April 2, 2025.
Breakout Direction:
Falling Wedges are typically bullish, meaning the price is expected to break out to the upside. The chart shows the price breaking above the upper trendline of the wedge around April 2, 2025, with a strong bullish candle, confirming the breakout.
The breakout level is around 1.90840, and the price has moved slightly above this level, closing at 1.90864 at the time of the chart.
Key Levels and Trading Setup
1. Support Level
A horizontal support zone is marked around 1.90730 (approximately 1.9070–1.9080).
This level acted as a base during the wedge formation, with the price bouncing off this zone multiple times (e.g., on March 23 and March 30).
The support level aligns with the lower boundary of the wedge, reinforcing its significance as a key area of buying interest.
2. Resistance Level
A resistance zone is marked around 1.92000 (approximately 1.9190–1.9210).
This level corresponds to a previous high reached on March 19, before the wedge formation began. It represents a significant barrier where selling pressure previously emerged.
After the breakout, the price is expected to test this resistance as part of the bullish move.
3. Target
The target for the breakout is projected at 1.92110.
This target is likely calculated by measuring the height of the wedge at its widest point (from the highest high to the lowest low within the pattern) and projecting that distance upward from the breakout point.
The chart indicates a potential move of 0.00435 (0.40%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (around 1.90840) to the target (1.92110).
4. Stop Loss
A stop loss is suggested below the support level at 1.90730.
This placement ensures that if the breakout fails and the price falls back into the wedge, the trade is exited with a manageable loss.
The stop loss is just below the breakout level (1.90840), with a distance of approximately 0.00110, representing the risk on the trade.
Trading Setup Summary
Entry:
The setup suggests entering a long (buy) position after the price breaks out above the upper trendline of the Falling Wedge, which occurred around April 2, 2025. The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle closing above the trendline at approximately 1.90840.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss below the support level at 1.90730 to protect against a false breakout or reversal. The distance from the breakout level (1.90840) to the stop loss (1.90730) is 0.00110, or about 0.06% of the entry price.
Take Profit/Target:
Aim for the target at 1.92110, which is near the next significant resistance level. The distance from the breakout level to the target is 0.01270, or a 0.40% move.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The risk is 0.00110 (from 1.90840 to 1.90730), and the reward is 0.01270 (from 1.90840 to 1.92110), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 11.55:1 (0.01270 / 0.00110). This is an exceptionally high risk-reward ratio, making the setup very attractive, though traders should ensure the breakout is well-confirmed due to the tight stop loss.
Additional Observations
Price Action Context:
Before the wedge formed, the price experienced a sharp decline from 1.9400 (March 13) to 1.8700 (March 19), indicating a strong bearish trend.
The Falling Wedge represents a consolidation phase within this downtrend, and the upside breakout suggests a potential reversal or at least a corrective move higher.
Volume and Momentum:
The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of a Falling Wedge breakout would include:
An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong buying interest.
Bullish momentum signals, such as an RSI above 50 or a bullish MACD crossover.
Traders might want to check these indicators for additional confirmation of the breakout’s strength.
Timeframe:
This is a 1-hour chart, so the setup is intended for short-term trading, with the target potentially being reached within a few hours to a day.
Market Context:
EUR/USD is influenced by factors like U.S. dollar strength, Eurozone economic data, and interest rate differentials. A bullish move in EUR/USD could be driven by a weaker dollar (e.g., due to dovish U.S. economic data) or positive Eurozone developments.
Conclusion
The TradingView idea presents a bullish setup for EUR/USD based on a Falling Wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart. The price has broken above the wedge’s upper trendline, confirming a bullish move with a target of 1.92110. The setup includes a stop loss at 1.90730 to manage risk, offering an impressive risk-reward ratio of 11.55:1. Key levels to watch include the support at 1.90730 and the resistance at 1.92000. Traders should consider additional confirmation from volume and momentum indicators, as well as broader market conditions, before executing the trade. Since this chart is from April 2, 2025, market conditions may have evolved, and I can assist with searching for more recent data if needed!
1hourchart
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T1 = 94661 $
T2 = 95162 $
Т3 = 95521 $
T4 = 95969 $
T5 = 97241 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 93804 $
SL2 = 93279 $
SL3 = 92421 $
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
How we stay below the lower range of the range, which may potentially indicate the end of the current relaxation.
price seems bearishly diverged rejected from $1whether its psychological resistance, ovextention of distribution or availability, or volatility from profit taking, the rejection at #1 has led to a sizeable pullback on the 1 hr chart. if we dont break through this high bulls will look to confirm a higher daily low and try again at $1.
i think its clear this stock will remain under $1, even if it goes to $2 over enough time.
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Let's start by setting goals for the near future, which include:
T1-$554
T2-$562
T3-$583
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $544
SL2 = $537
SL3 = $527
SL4 = $509
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see that we are above the upper line of the range, which may contribute to an attempt at a price recovery.
GBPUSD Medium cycleGBPUSD is in a bullish channel.
its have 2 hunts to this channel lines.
i think normal time for third hunt is at next 22 bars in 1.29840 price.
now if its hunt sooner its show that the power of bearish trend increasing.
and if its hunt later show that the bullish trend power is increasing.
why do i thinks so ? because i compare that whit its last hunt.
also the DXY had strong bearish trend and its resting now.
i think the bearish trend can continuo.
Its just my personal comment please don't trade whit this.
I have no responsibility for your money.
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After unfolding the Fib Retracement grid, it can be seen that the price is struggling to maintain the resistance at $43,872, and still needs to overcome the strong resistance zone from $44,762 to $45,875.
Looking the other way, you can see support at $42,927, then at $42,050, and then the support zone from $41,421 to $40,620.
Looking at the RSI indicator, we can see a dynamic increase with room for further movement, while the STOCH indicator is reflecting from the upper limit, which may result in a price recovery.
Nearby supports and resistances for BTCNearby supports and resistances for BTC. As you can see, the price remains above the local upward trend line.
After unfolding the trend based fib extension grid, you can see the support zone from $42,370 to $42,228, and then we have support at the level of 41,821.
Looking the other way, we see resistance at $42,706, while further we have a strong resistance zone from $43,080 to $43,281.
We have exceeded the upper limit on the RSI, but looking at the STOCH indicator we can see a greater price recovery.
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When we unfold the Trend Based Fib Extension grid, we can determine the support level at $1948, and then we have a support zone from $1928 to $1913.
Looking the other way, we see that the price is approaching the resistance zone from $1984 to $1995, and then must overcome the resistance at $2010 before further increases.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that there is energy to continue the movement, the RSI indicator, despite the increase, has room for the price to go further, while the STOCH indicator has exceeded the upper limit, which may result in a correction in the coming hours.
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Going further, we will use the Fib Retracement tool, and here we can see that the price decline was maintained by a strong support zone from $34923 to $34090, but now that the price has quickly rebounded, we should keep in mind the support at $36096, where the price can currently resist.
Looking the other way, we will similarly check the current resistance points that BTC will have to face again in further increases. And here you can see that the first significant resistance should appear at the level of $36,777, and then the price will be able to move towards a strong resistance zone from the level of $37,326 to the level of $38,026.
When we turn on the EMA Cross 10 and 30 indicator, we can see that the red ema corss 10 line is approaching the intersection of the green ema cross 30 line from below, which will potentially confirm the return to the local uptrend.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index, which indicates that there is still some energy left for movement, the RSI indicator shows a dynamic increase with room for the price to go higher, but the STOCH index exceeded the upper limit, which may result in a local price recovery.
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We will use the fib retracement tool to plot support and we see a support zone from $28996 to $28956, then there is a second zone from $28914 to $28854 and then strong support at $28779.
Now let's go from the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is the zone from $29031 to $29108, if you manage to break it further we have the second zone from $29187 to $29296 and then strong resistance at $29438.
Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that there is still energy for the current move, the RSI is at the lower limit, which in combination with the STOCH indicator on which we crossed the lower limit can give a local price increase..
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After unfolding the fib retracement tool, we can mark a strong support zone above which the price is currently holding, however, when we fall below this zone, we can see a drop around the next support at $ 1808.
Looking the other way, we can similarly determine the places of resistance that the price has to face. And here we see that the price has to break through the support zone from $1844 to $1852 first, then it can move towards the resistance at $1864 and then continue to the resistance at $1879.
The CHOP index indicates that there is a lot of energy to be used, on the RSI we can see that a small increase in price gives a large increase on the indicator, which creates room for another decrease. The STOCH indicator is also approaching the upper limit, which may affect the trend reversal and the transition to a downward trend.
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Now we can move on to marking the places of support in the event of a correction. And here, in the first place, it is worth marking the support zone where the price is currently from $ 29,485 to $ 28,733, but when we fall below this zone, we can see a drop around the previously mentioned place of $ 27,996, and the next support is at $ 26,928.
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