The daily chart and the 200 day MA The daily chart and the 200 day MA are known to provide a really good trading opportunity – not always but frequently. When price has spent some time below or above the MA and it crosses over to the other side, you should be watching this. If price retests the MA and gets rejected, you may have an opportunity to catch a multi-day runner.
In the USDTHB chart here, you can see that price has crossed over above the 200dma. It is starting to pull back towards it now and possibly will stall either at the major support at 35.20 or the MA. If we get a clear sign of being rejected and a bullish candle prints above the MA, it is a good sign to take a long. If such PA develops, you could be in for massive profits IF you stay patient and committed.
Also, check out AUDUSD for a similar setup.
Once again, we are only watching and trading this on the daily chart.
Nothing is 100% in trading, so as always, use sound money and risk management and stay patient in all your trades. If you like my content, please give it a “thumbs up” and follow me to get even more.
200ma
SCIB stock time to shineSCIB (Sarawak Consolidated Industries Berhad)
Sector : Industrial Products & Services
Market : Main
On 8 May 2023, the price manage to breakout the 200-Days MA. This indicate the stock moving toward a positive long term uptrend. Supported with huge volume 93M.
Currently the volume still highest, we assume next week(19-23 May) will occur some pullback or profit taking. The Mansfield RSI show that the price is trading at positive area (above 0) indicate that a buying interest already on mood. We optimist based on the Fibo the price will continue rising area 0.715 - 0.810.
Stock Market Death Cross, Impending Earnings RecessionRSP was trading below the 200 day moving average in the after hours. I wonder if it is going to open that way tomorrow. Also the 63 day moving average, which represents the quarterly moving average has fallen below the 200 day moving average as well. Not too often does this happen and more downside doesn't follow in the weeks to come.
From a pivot point perspective the total market is also trading below the pivot entering the month of June signaling that although mega caps have rallied in a major way, the average analyst consensus is a bearish stance. I say that as we've recently seen recent reports that further margin contraction is under way and an earnings recession later in the year is coming.
Check out the Equity Channel Podcast on Apple, Amazon and Spotify to learn more about stock trading and investing.
🟥 NASDAQ's Deceptive Rally
MARKET OVERVIEW: 📈
The NASDAQ Composite index seems to be in a buoyant mood, painting a rosy picture of the overall market. However, upon closer inspection, it becomes evident that this rally is highly concentrated and powered primarily by the FANG (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Google) stocks. In fact, the large market caps of these tech behemoths are heavily skewing the index, making it appear as if the entire market is thriving, when in reality, it's only a select few stocks that are soaring high.
DIVERGENCE: THE REAL CONCERN 🚫
The true concern lies in the divergence between the NASDAQ Composite and the market participation line. The former is marking a higher high, while the number of stocks above their 200-day moving average (a common benchmark in technical analysis) is making a lower high. This indicates that a significant proportion of the market is underperforming, even as the index itself continues to rise. Currently, about 2/3 of the market is trading below their 200-day moving average, a situation eerily similar to what we witnessed in 2021.
IMPLICATIONS: A SHORT-TERM WARNING ⚠️
This divergence presents a short-term ominous sign for traders and investors alike. Buying into a market where only a fraction of the stocks are driving the rally while the rest are struggling could potentially lead to considerable losses. It's imperative to interpret the NASDAQ Composite's performance with a pinch of salt, keeping in mind that it is not reflective of the broader market's health.
CONCLUSION: PROCEED WITH CAUTION 🚦
In conclusion, despite the NASDAQ's apparent strength, the market is exhibiting a deceptive rally. The majority of stocks are not participating in this upward momentum, which is a significant cause for concern. It's recommended to approach this market with caution, and consider this divergence when making investment decisions. It's not a market scenario you would want to blindly buy.
200 week moving averageOK so long term the 200 week and day MA has been the only MA I use as an indicator 😅 before recent times we never closed a weekly candle below it.
The blue area is anything under the 200weekly.
Either way we recently broke above it (very bullish!!!) However we need a retest. If we are going up again it will surely be a bounce from this line?
Thats if it finds support...
If we break below it, prepare for bearish volatility!!!
Xrpbtc breaking up from 6 month descending channelThe green descending channel that xrpbtc is currently breaking up from it has been inside for the last 6 months or so. The breakout target of the channel should lift xrpbtc priceaction above bothe the weekly 200ma(in blue) as well as the daily 200ma(not shown here). If it finds a way to break up from the symmetrical triangle it can rise all the way to .00006. *not financial advice*
Bitcoin Double Top bearish patternI believe we are seeing a possible double top bearish pattern forming here. From head to bottom would give us a price of $25,303 shown on red dotted line plus intersecting with the two hour 200 moving average (white dotted line). Also, we have some serious pressure on the fib channel where Bitcoin is not trespassing.
Have You Considered A Ride Down IWM 170? AMEX:IWM 50 MA crossed down the 200 MA on the daily and 4H timeframe. The daily chart shows a lot of sellers. IWM also made lower highs on the weekly timeframe. Also, the exchange traded fund is resting on a trendline that it's maintained since March 2020! If we break down below 170 and it holds, IWM should see more downside. The weekly chart shows an increase of sellers between last week and this week. Last but not least, the etf shows a shooting star candle that printed on the weekly chart (March 13-17, 2023). Therefore, my plan is to short IWM below 170!
I will ride down IWM 170 (provided price gets there of course).
*This is not financial advice
Peace & Harmony,
MrALtrades00
Bitcoin 200wk avg Resistance at $25k-ish$25k has been the hard top in Bitcoin recently, with a nice floor being put in at $20k.
$20k price support stems from the high set during the crypto bubble in 2017/18 and has historical value. $25k price resistance is coming in the form of the 200-wk average, an average that Bitcoin has never closed below let alone trended below before in the chartable price history going back to 2011. Price being below the 200wk average is also historically significant.
The lower indicators are trying to turn bullish:
-The PPO is close to a bullish cross above the 0 level, just waiting on the purple base line to join the green signal line above 0.
-The TDI is showing the green RSI line in a tight range between the 50-60 level, just keeps bouncing off each one these past few weeks. A move above 60 would be bullish and what we want to see as more
bullish price confirmation.
$20k is the support level to watch in price, a failure to hold there would likely mean a re-test of $15.5k.
$25k is the resistance level to watch in price, a successful breach above there would likely mean a test of $30k next.
No trading for me, just stacking Bitcoin weekly since September when price first fell back down to $20k. I will continue to buy weekly as long as I can keep my cost average below $30k.
VET/USDVET/USD very quick update.
Here is a closer look at this VET/USD 1 day chart:
VeChain is in a new smaller Descending Channel which is in a massive Descending Channel. VeChain is also in a massive Symmetrical Triangle.
At the moment of typing this, VeChain is still in the Bullish Zone above its Ichimoku Cloud.
At the moment of typing this, VeChain is still above its 200MA. Note that the 50MA is still traveling upwards so we may eventually see the 50MA cross above the 200MA on this 1 day chart.
Not that overall traded volume is still very low compared to what we were getting from 2018 to 2021.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is dropping with the ADX (Orange Line) at 36.08 and under its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 39.52. Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 19.73. Negative momentum has also dropped a little with the -DI (Red Line) slightly dropping to 15.87 on this 1 day chart.
I hope this very quick update is helpful.
TOTAL Crypto Market Cap 1 HR TOTAL - Total Crypto Market Cap 1 HR
Volume coming in! Above the 200 MA and holding for now...
Peeps buying #Bitcoin and Crypto.... <---
Banks are Failing.... <---
Silvergate - Silicon Valley ...
#DoYourOwnReasearch
Lets See what happens this week!
Gonna be interesting...
Good Luck Out There!
BTC LOOKING SCARY!Btc looking scary , as it is forming a rising wedge at 1 day time frame if it get breaks than it may dump the price to next key support of 21800$ and if it gets also break than upto 200 ma support which covers the range of approx 19500$-19150$ . Manage your long and spot trades with proper sl because daily ta is still bearish and macros are also not supporting the market yet.
Bitcoin resistance at 200-week price average. Bitcoin has been hitting resistance at 200-week price average($25k) for the past few weeks as the lower indicators test thin lines between remaining bearish or breaking bullish. PPO has both lines below the 0 level which indicate overall bearish price momentum, while the TDI shows the RSI line creating a potential double-top at the 60 level. In general, the RSI will trend between 20-60 during a bear market, and 40-80 during a bull market. I personally would like to see Bitcoin turn around here and head lower for a longer bear market of at least a year. My current average is below $20k and I would like to add more below $20k.
Short-term neutral, medium-term bearish, long-term bullish. FTX drama likely gave us a bottom near $15k, but it would be nice to see a re-test to confirm that $15k is the actual bottom.
BTC/USDIf inflation will stay put and BTC price will break 200MA, the price can easily go to 28k according to VPVR.
Of course this is short term movement and I'm not passionate about making trades, only investing.
This is not best time for accumulation for me. I accumulated much lower and I'll be interested unde 20k to accumulate more.
Please check my indicators and the other charts.
Do you own BTC?
When are going to DCA? Do you have a strategy and a plan>
ETHUSDT - Liquidity zone reached, ready for higher?ETH has faced significant resistance at the key level of $1700, marked by the June 2021 low. Despite repeated attempts we failed to break through this level, leading to a swing failure at the November 2022 high.
This failure has resulted in a retracement to the liquidity zone at $1500 (Key Level), which is also the median line of the channel. Additionally, there is the 200-day MA acting as support at $1440. This retracement has had a significant impact on traders who had entered long positions from January 14th, as many of them may have been forced to exit or are now underwater.
To regain momentum and target for higher prices, it is essential to reclaim the previous low and establish it as our new level of support. Volume will play a crucial role in determining the next move.
As long as ETH remains above $1500 a bullish bias should be maintained. The 200-day MA at $1440 acts as an additional layer of support.
BTC/USD - Interesting times ahead with an Ascending ChannelBTC/USD 1 day chart quick update.
Here is a closer look at this 1 day chart.
BTC is in an Ascending Channel Pattern.
BTC is still in a Falling Wedge Pattern.
BTC is still in a Descending Channel.
BTC is still in a massive Ichimoku Y Wave Pattern.
At the moment of typing this, BTC is fighting to stay back above its 200MA. If BTC CLOSES this or tomorrows daily candle ABOVE the 200MA and stays above it, and we see a successful re-test of the 200MA as strong support, then we could see BTC attempt to break out of its Falling Wedge Pattern upper trend-line.
Note that BTC has not closed above its 200MA since Monday 27th December 2021.
Note that BTC is also back in the Bullish Zone of its Ichimoku Cloud.
Looking at the Bollinger Bands, we can see the Bollinger Bands Upper and Lower Bands are expanding away from each other indicating increased volatility for the upside because the Middle Band is also pointing upwards. The Price is also walking up the outside of its Upper Band.
Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that the RSI is in the Overbought Zone on this 1 day timeframe. The RSI is still above its 9 Period EMA. With the RSI in the Overbought Zone doesn’t mean it will drop as the RSI line can range sideways for a prolonged period of time.
Interesting times ahead if BTC manages to CLOSE this daily candle ABOVE its 200MA and then its Falling Wedge Pattern’s upper trend-line. A successful re-test of these 2 levels as strong support will be further confirmation that the bottom is in and a new uptrend has started. Note that after such a huge rise, maybe not yet, but we should expect at some point a correction downwards on this1 day timeframe. Who knows, if this continues, we may eventually see a Golden Cross on this 1 day timeframe when the 50MA crosses back above the 200MA.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
Correction on chart as i had the wrong trend-line signed above for the Ichimoku Y Wave lower trend-line. Below is the correction. Apologies.
Link breaking above last potential top trendline of triangleIt’s still unclear whether or not link’s macro pattern is more valid as a falling wedge or a symmetrical triangle, however it seems now that we are finally closing daily candles above the last potential top trendline for that pattern. That trendline is most valid on the weekly chart so we still need to close the current weekly candle above the white trendline..after that we should see the follow up weekly candle confirm the white trendline as support on a retest ….if the follow up weekly candle closes above the white trendline odds are very good at that point the breakout will be validated…it may wait until the 3rd weekly candle to start the bullish impulse…or it could come as early as the current weekly candle…will have to see how the next few weekly candles play out. I chose to show this chart on the daily time frame instead of the weekly to illustrate how price action is also now back above both the 1 day 50 and 200 moving averages. If it can hold the daily 200ma as support during the next few weekly closes then the breakout will be confirmed. *not financial advice*
DXY |US10Y |T-NOTE BOND |DECRYPTERS HI people welcome to Decrypters
So We have 3 charts DXY , US10Y & T-NOTE BOND
THE LINK BETWEEN 3 CHARTS IS VERY BASIC
Lets Discuss BONDS first
The Bonds are About to Decrease in value Now bonds consist of 3 things
1-Face value (Principal Investment)
2-Maturity ( Pay back time, lets say 5 yrs )
3-Copoun rate ( Interest on Face value, lets say 7 % )
The interest on coupon will be 7% per year for 5 years At where bond will be Mature.
Now there is a Basic rule of Supply & Demand of Economics if a Bond prices fall the yield will Rise , Which Also means USD will be strengthen
Why This Happens ? Simple , Because Govs is willing to pay High for less Bond value , Meaning An investor can get higher yields By paying less bond prices
This Also may "INDICATES" The direction of economy and investors confidence which Is key for interest Rates