UBER could be the rally of 2020After a bad IPO and falling stock price, we might finally be seeing a bottom at the end of the year. Overall, UBER had a very disappointing year, not to mention license problems in London and cases of sexual assaults. As 2020 starts big investors will be looking to invest in cheaper stocks and hold for the year. After a big sell this year, UBER looks attractive as a cheap investment. Of course there is a chance that the stock could become even cheaper before investors jump in, but there are always stocks in the beginning of the year that start rallying.
Current price target of big banks and hedge funds ranges between $26 and $64, giving the median of $44. So stock expected to jump almost 50% from its current price.
Average revenue expected to grow from $14.16 billion in 2019 to $18.51 billion in 2020.
EPS still expected on the negative side but significantly less. Current estimate is -2.34 for 2020. This year the estimate is -6.59.
On the technical side, currently trying to break through the trend line and 200SMA. A break to the upside can be traded but small risk as we are still not forming new highs, which means sellers are stronger for now. The break of level $30 is a better confirmation for a long trade. We have evidence for a long position if we get confirmation. Of course, a lot depends on the fundamentals but technicals show promise.
Good Luck!
2020
Simple Bitcoin Ultimate Forecast into 2020Capitulation is basically when Miners stop mining and sell some of their bitcoins to keep operations going.
However Capitulation is more likely to occur at the end of every annual year now due to regulation and taxes.
It is easier to calculate loss/profit by shutting or slowing the network down and washing your hands so to speak.
Power consumption costs are higher during the winter time as well.
So with that said the ultimate guide and advice I am giving myself is to play it short, wait for capitulation cycle to open and and buy all in as the capitulation cycle is closing.
This chart is an emulation scenario of the next "possible" 50% drop
***I am not a FINRA registered agent or broker (As of Yet) and this is not financial advice, Please always do your own research, As Bitcoin is a highly volatile asset.***
Ultimate Beginners Guide For Bitcoin Profit in 2020As we head into December, We can see that the major drops I had predicted since November 14th has occured.
Bitcoin is currently fighting to stay above the major Support line that developed back in march of this year 2019 when Bitcoin had the golden cross and rallied to 13k zone.
This support line is set to break as we are no where near the end of our capitulation cycle. as you can see on the chart labled "C2"
Allow me to further explain...
Back in November 2018 we capitualted around the same time and the cycle brought us from $6,400 down to $3,200 once capitulation reached it's peak.
See C1 label on chart.
From these two capitulation zones we can chart our next two support zone....
First support being set to $6,400 labeled on chart as S1
If we fail to hold $6,400 zone, Then we will see another 50% capitulaiton completeing a 100% retracement back down to our previous capitulation lows of $3,800 Labeled on chart as S2
And If $3,400 doesn't hold... Well We could see $2,500 low
Labeled on chart as "MOAB" Mother Of All Buys
As Of right now, I am predicting our capitulation cycle will be completed in January. I will be buying in March of 2020 where I will hold until October or until further Technical Analysis depicts. Follow my Page for my updates.
PPTUSDPossible break out of the descending channel, return to the channel if it does not materialize.
Bitcoin approaching 3rd retest to $7800Share your opinions, and don't forget to like and follow.
ABCD triangle on Coinbase:BTCUSD weekly chart first and second retest occurred within 105 days of each other, if history repeats itself Bitcoin appears to be 70 days away from a further decline to $7800
However, Coinbase:BTCUSD could make a break to the upside testing HUGE Resistance at $9,500
The Quarter Four Bitcoin TradeEntry : 8805.
Stop : 8570.5.
Target : As high as it'll go.
Bitcoin has struggled to make meaningful reversals this year after hitting 14KUSD a coin, shown in the slow bleed-out and breakdowns.
I believe after finding a potential bottom at 7.3k, that we need this to hold in order for bitcoin to be bullish into 2020 and beyond.
The new decade arrives in two months, set yourself up for the future.
Accelerated Growth, 2020 Selloff, and a 15 Year Bull RunWe're getting very close to breaking out of the trend line going back twenty years to the 99` bubble. There have been multiple attempts over the last 2-3 years. Trump/ Fed keep lowering rates and want to continue the "expansion". I assume they will be successful and we'll have accelerated growth until 2020 Presidential elections. I expect 3600-4000 SPX before a democrat is elected. I could see Trump and the Fed will allowing the market to fall by raising interest rates and not utilizing the presidents working group on financial markets like was done in the sell off in 2018. That being said I believe the market will resume its bullish trend after a sharp sell off in 2020-2021. This is just my very broad / general long term Technical analysis/ speculation where I am assuming many things, do not trade on this even if the assumptions are correct when the time comes. Trade based on your own analysis.
Demographic data and economic cycles align with my speculation as shown by
Ciovacco Capital www.youtube.com
Q4 Bitcoin analysis, weekly chart forcast from line break chartSimple and to the point.
1.Currently we are sitting within the $8000 range
2. 20 day moving average of $8120 is acting as strong resistance
3. Bearish sentiment has set in on the MACD and RSI
4. As of right now Next level of support is looking to be $7850
5. Failure to hold $7850 could see a further decline to the 50 day moving average of $5700
6. Possibly within the next 3 to 6 weeks another selloff will occur.
7. Based on current trend, I'm looking for a buy in around February or March of 2020
Bitcoin To $20K April 2020? | Future ProjectionsFrom using this curved model chart starting from 2011 and the fact not too many people are giving up on the bull market yet even after the rest drop, it seems like Bitcoin may actually continue to drop & move sideways until we touch the bottom curved line around EOY 2019.
I think it's safe to assume $6.2k-$7.0k is not out of the picture, though I wouldn't be too surprised if the bottom of this downtrend is already in around $7.7k.
Regardless, I expect Bitcoin to hit around $20,000 by May 2020 which is now only 7 months away.
Historically, before a halving event in BTC & even in LTC, the price rises dramatically 1-2 months prior to the halving.
Using the Fibonacci Retracement tool from the past market cycles, it shows the next stop after the .618 is reached & a correction is complete is the 1.0 level (ATH) followed by another retracement just a bit above the .618 again before we break the ATH price.
I have pretty high expectations for this to play out for BTC:
- More sideways movement & potentially more of a fall to around $6.5k by EOY 2019
- A steady trend up to $19.6k price range around April 2020.
- Choppy price & beginning of a correction during the halving event
- Correction down to around $14.8k after the halving into July/August 2020.
- Break of ATH near the end of 2020 which should rocket us to around $40k.
Thanks for reading! Follow me on Twitter for more analysis on BTC & Crypto: @CryptoSteiner
FedEx MEDIUM-TERM OUTLOOK|Technicals &Few Fundamentals|DJUSAF/TSFedEx(FDX) : Series on Equities (Extension to XLI post)- Sept 22nd (5 Minute Read)
Since I do not post much about individual equities (maybe this will change in the future) , I will keep this post short and mostly technical . Nevertheless, some extremely significant fundamentals will be analysed . The purpose of this post is to analyse FedEx's performance and their correlation with the expected performance of the US economy in the next 3-4 Quarters . Key word : Expectations .
Starting-off with the technicals. On the monthly chart, FDX is nearing a bearish cross/squeeze on the ichimoku cloud . This is quite crucial as the ichimoku cloud previously served as a buy zone in 2016 and 2012 . At the end of 2018 and the sell-off, the primary support levels for FedEx were the 100 Monthly EMA (turquoise line) near the ichimoku cloud. Unfortunately, this outcome only served as a bearish flag, and with the recent earnings miss the cross finally happened. At this moment and time in September, the last monthly candle simply looks very nasty(bearish) . As labelled from the chart, the next support zones are the previous bottoms from 2016 and the peaks of 2007 ~122-132$ . Now, let's dive into the fundamentals and compare FedEx to the dow benchmark for delivery and transportation services .
ibb.co ( DJUSAF- Delivery Services )
ibb.co ( DJUSTF- Transportation Services ) Unfortunately, these charts can't be accessed on Tradiview due to regulations.
FedEx blamed the recent earnings miss on the US/China Trade war stall and the split with Amazon . This is fair, but is there more to it? From the 2 links above, it's clear that the two industries haven't performed as well as compared to some of the other cyclical industries. DJUSAF/DJUSTF can be considered somewhat middle of the pack between cyclical and defensive , depending on the factors considered. Perhaps FedEx is struggling, but so are these fundamental industries as a whole . The last earnings miss from FedEx was not as large as the previous one, yet it seems that the expectations were that it will perform just as well as the rest of the SPX/Dow companies . The main issue at hand is, whether this poor performance can improve our expectations on, how the economy will perform in the next four critical and highly risky quarters (Q3;Q4- 2019, Q1;Q2- 2020)?
(ibb.co) Credit to the Cass Freight inc .
The recent report from the Cass Freight Inc. suggests that there is a major downtrend in trading volume across the US and globally. FedEx's lowering their 2020 earnings guidance is not a mutually exclusive issue to the downtrend in trading volumes. Essentially, the worst case outcome of these two events is that, they can be seen as recession foreshadowing factors . Without a doubt their performance can be considered as fundamental to a healthy and growing economy.
To wrap up this post just like every other one from my past 10 posts- since the summer and in the following quarters, expecting a speculation game . On the chart above the primary bullish FedEx targets are marked in case there's a US/China trade deal . Otherwise, as things stand, the most likely pattern is the drawn ABC . Depending on the timing of the bad news in the worst case, could expect a direct drop to ~60,65$. Keeping a close look at FedEx and the performance of some of the fundamental/defensive industries in the next couple of quarters will be essential .
This is it for FedEx, hope at least someone found this post useful! I'd really appreciate any comments with insights on FedEx or similarly fundamental stocks.
-Step_Ahead_ofthemarket-
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1. Part two- US10Y, US 10 Year Treasury note Yield
2. The uptrend in VIX analysis :
3. FED Rates Supercyclical analysis :
4. US Industrials XLI :
Full Disclosure: This is just an opinion, you decide what to do with your own money. For any further references or use of my content for private or corporate purposes- contact me through any of my social media channels.
If Bitcoin Repeats History? Descending Triangle Looking SimilarThe daily bars of the 2018 descending triangle are starting to match the current 2019 descending triangle. If the bearish breakdown also repeats itself in the same way, then this would be the outcome, continuing on from where the charts fit together. Notice how a similar bearish breakdown would take us to the 200 Week MA, given its current trajectory. This would be long-term bullish if this happened, ie finding support again one year later $2K higher. I'd therefore find it unlikely to return to a bear market, or even continued consolidation (which would both be under the 200 Week MA).
What If We Just Completed Elliott Wave 2?When in doubt, zoom out. I changed the chart to the 1W view and started wondering... What if we just completed Elliott Wave 2? Elliot wave 3 is the largest of the 5 waves so we could be in for a wild ride. $1,000 EOY is an awesome meme (I wouldn't be mad if it happened) but it appears that $10-$11 EOY is definitely in play. This would put the price somewhere around $12-$13 somewhere in the first quarter of 2020. As always, price could push higher and that would be great but organic growth takes time. bottom line is, buckle up because this rocketship is about to take off.
*This is not financial advice. I am not responsible for losses of money.*