2024-2025
BTC dominance 2024-2025(prodolzhenie prognoza po dominacii bitkoina 2023-2024)
Proshlyj prognoz otrabotal prakticheski ideal'no, nemnogo promazal po vremeni (uskorilsya), nemnogo oshibsya s metodikoj raschyota dominacii (uchyol al'tkoiny - podrobno v obnovleniyah na proshlom prognoze po dominacii). Odnako v celom prognoz pravil'nyj!
Nakaplivat' bitkoin bylo bolee pravil'nym resheniem nezheli otkupat' al'tkoiny.
Podavlyayushchee bol'shinstvo al'tkoinov obnovilo svoi minimumy k bitkoinu.
Teper' prishla pora razvorota. Tyazhelo sprognozirovat' tochku razvorota (kak eto bylo s proshlym prognozom) kak po vremeni tak i po urovnyu, odnako ya sklonyayus' k variantu chto eto proizojdyot ot 55-65% vo vremennom promezhutke konca2024 achala2025 goda. I ustremitsya v blok 35-45% k koncu 2025 goda.
!!! Etot prognoz bolee kak prodolzhenie v popytke najti mesto razvorota, a ne kak samostoyatel'nyj predydushchij prognoz. Ya by ne stavil mnogoe na nego, odnako tendenciya dolzhna byt' yasna - gryadyot al'tsezon.
COIN: Support and resistanceMay be we all should get ready for the next bull run in 2024 and 2025.
When BTC goes above 40k, the stocks related to crypto will just go crazy.
This chart is just a representation on where to take profit and where to buy.
I guess COIN might hit the ATH by mid of 2025.
First crypto second capitulation then create a base and then halving and then enters bull run.
Hope COIN will not get into controversy or bankruptcy and make future millionaires.
See you in 2024 and 2025.
Cheers
BTC Bitcoin 2024/2025 Bull Run updated Chart timeline Because of the accumulation and the retesting of the .618 Fibonacci line, we have transitioned to following a similar path up to the 2017 Bull Run, which now pushes out some of the price points about a month or so later. Let's see how things play out..............
BTC - Next Bullish Impulse Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 BTC has been overall bullish, trading above the rising trendline marked in red.
Currently, BTC is undergoing a correction phase and approaching the trendline.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong support zone marked in blue.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue support zone and red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #BTC approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Bitcoin - Keeping It Simple!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📦 After rejecting the $70,000 - $72,000 resistance zone, BTC has been hovering within a narrow range during a correction phase.
📈 For this impulse phase from $20,000 to persist and push towards the next resistance at $80,000, a break above the $72,000 mark is needed.
📉 In parallel, if the $60,000 support is broken downward, we expect an over-extended bearish correction towards the $50,000 - $52,000 support zone.
Which scenario is more likely to happen first, and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
$TOTAL will triple until end of 2024It sounds impossible, but take a look!
As CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL crypto marketcap is inside a multiyear wedge, it will likely continue this trend for next months as we are testing the support
If you take a look at the RSI on the panel bellow, another trend is forming and will likely hit the resistence before end of year (big purple arrow), with more then 230% gain
After that, we may see a strong correction, mirroring last cicles as is showed on the RSI panel with the 3 dashed red arcs
My Bitcoin Prediction 2024-2025 - $268,000In this analysis, I'm projecting a bullish trajectory for Bitcoin over the period of 2024 to 2025, with a target price of $268,000. Leveraging technical indicators and historical price movements, I anticipate sustained upward momentum driven by increasing institutional adoption, scarcity dynamics, and broader market trends. However, it's crucial to monitor key support and resistance levels along the way to validate this prediction and adjust strategies accordingly. Stay tuned for updates as we navigate through this exciting phase in Bitcoin's journey.
BTC Macro Halvings interpolated - 2020 cycle LOW is IN days awayFib time from previous cycles says - 2020 cycle LOW is IN or days away (by the end of 2022).
The interpolations says:
MAY-JUNE 2023 - BTC at 45 000 $ to 48 000 $
FEB-MAR 2024 - BTC at 15 000 $ to 16 000 $
NOV 2025 - BTC at more than 100 000 $
':)
Bitcoin's next cycle top REVEALEDAs you can see from the chart, if you measure how many days before a halving, did the cycle low occur.
For ex, in November 2012's halving, ~373 days before btc found a cycle low, projected into the future, ~373 days after the halving, a cycle top is in.
Same thing with 2016's halving.
Cycle low ~540 days before the halving, projected into the future ~540 days after the halving, we have a cycle top ($20k).
Yet again, with 2020's halving, btc found a low around 513 days before the halving, projected into the future, it took 513 days for a cycle top to be in.
Now in 2024's halving. Btc found a cycle low ~525 days before the 2024 halving ($15k)..Projected into the future ~525 days after the halving we should get a cycle top in Sept 2025.
Will history repeat itself yet again?Check back with this chart in 2025 :)
Good luck
Gone are the days of passive investing, but...Gone are the days of passive investing, but mid-term trading could be the solution.
The term passive investing was first made famous by Warren Buffet, who once said, 'If I like a stock, I will hold it forever.' However, in recent years, he has been seen cutting losses on his wrong decisions and taking profits when he finds the time is right. The dynamic of the markets have changed, and he has adapted to them.
Technical Reasons -
From the chart, it's clear that the days of passive investing are behind us. We can refer to the Dow Jones or S&P Index; they provide similar readings as Nasdaq, although Nasdaq has a shorter history.
Since the beginning of 2022, the great volatility started with a year of bearishness. In my opinion, this could be a start of a long-term bear. What we are seeing in 2023 rally, possibly a bear retracement.
Let’s support my analysis with the fundamental factors.
3 Fundamental Reasons –
• Why did the decades of long-term growth, forming a linear bull market, come to an end at the beginning of 2022?
This is because it marks the beginning of long-term inflationary pressure that we all have to contend with. To counter inflation, one of the most effective measures is to raise interest rates. As we all know, higher interest rates bring challenges to businesses and stock markets.
Please take note of the timing. Inflation first exceeded 2% in April 2021, and since then, it has been on an upward trend, something unprecedented in the last 40 years. However, the Federal Reserve only began raising interest rates in March 2022, while the markets peaked at the beginning of 2022.
Consumer Price Index
Feb 21 1.68%
Mar 21 2.66%
Apr 21 4.15%
May 21 4.94%
Jun 21 5.34%
Jul 21 5.27%
Aug 21 5.21%
Sep 21 5.39%
Oct 21 6.24%
Nov 21 6.83%
Dec 21 7.10%
Jan 22 7.53%
Feb 22 7.91%
Mar 22 8.56%
Apr 22 8.22%
May 22 8.52%
Jun 22 9.00%
• Why did the market turn bullish in 2023.
Many attribute the rally to AI, but it goes beyond that. By the end of 2022, the market was still hovering around its lowest point. However, as seen in the inflation numbers below, there was a gradual decline from 9% in June 2022 to 6.5% in December 2022, creating a divergence between this positive news and the market's performance. At that point, I was preparing for a bear rebound or retracement. Of course, the inflation number continued its decline to 3.2% in October 2023, and the rally has continued until now.
Continue Price Index
Jun 22 9.00%
Jul 22 8.50%
Aug 22 8.30%
Sep 22 8.20%
Oct 22 7.70%
Nov 22 7.10%
Dec 22 6.50%
• Why have the days of passive investing come to an end?
Unless inflation can back down to 2% in a sustained manner, we should expect to see much more volatile markets in many years to come. Traders welcome volatility but not investors.
There are reasons why back down to 2% in a sustained manner is unlikely to happen. Please leave me a comment, I hope to exchanges ideas with you.
E-mini Nasdaq Futures and Options:
Minimum fluctuation
0.25 index points = $5.00
Code: NQ
Micro E-mini Nasdaq and Options:
Minimum fluctuation
0.25 index points = $0.50
Code: MNQ
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Quantitative Tightening Effects on the Markets This video tutorial discussion:
• What is QE and QT?
• Each impact to the stock market
• The latest QT, how will the stock market into 2024?
Dow Jones Futures & Its Minimum Fluctuation
E-mini Dow Jones Futures
1.0 index point = $5.00
Code: YM
Micro E-mini Dow Jones Futures
1.0 index point = $0.50
Code: MYM
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Crypto total marketcap in late 2024 early 2025 at $33 TrillionA few points to consider a $33 trillion dollar crypto total market in late 2024 early 2025. As you can see from this 3 day chart that we have one low in 2015 at $2.1 Billion and the high of $792 Billion in 2018. The number of days from this low to the next high is approximately 1,066 days. If our next low comes in early 2023 and we use the 1,066 days for the next peak date will place the total crypto mktcap value at $33 trillion in late 2024 and or early 2025. The low in 2018 was $91 Billion and the high in 2021 was $3 trillion. By using calculating the percentage increase of the 2015 low to the 2018 high we get a 36k% increase and if we can duplicate this same increase for the next peak at 36k% will put the total crypto marketcap at $33 trillion dollars. I used a fractal from the low in 2015 to high in 2018 to give us a visual for the 2024-25 peak. I am also using the beambands to show the possible direction of this peak if we are oversold at $33 trillion.