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2025

Is Bitcoin Topping Out? Critical Levels to WatchSince the low of $15,476 on November 21, 2022, Bitcoin has surged to an all-time high of $109,588 on January 20, 2025. That’s an incredible +608% increase over 791 days. We also hit the long-anticipated $100K mark. But for almost three months now, Bitcoin has been stuck in a range between $90K and the all-time high, showing some indecision in the market. Looking Back: Market Structure & Trends Bitcoin spent over 250 days consolidating between $50K and $70K before finally breaking out in November 2024, right around the U.S. election. That breakout triggered a massive rally, pushing Bitcoin to 100K in just one month. Since then, bulls and bears have been battling it out, trying to establish control over this crucial psychological level. A look at the pitchfork tool shows that Bitcoin has been rejected at the 0.618, 0.666, and 0.786 levels multiple times while trying to push higher. Recently, we lost the median line of the pitchfork and dropped below 100K, suggesting bullish momentum is fading. The 233 SMA/EMA on the 4-hour TF as well as the 21 EMA/MA on the daily TF has also flipped into resistance, adding to the bearish pressure. Is February Shaping Up to Be a Bearish Month? If we compare the current cycle to the 2020 bull market, the price action looks similar, forming a top where Bitcoin struggles to break higher. February could bring a healthy correction before any new leg up. Key Support Zones & Confluences Here’s where we could see solid support: Unfilled CME Gap at $77,930 – Historically, Bitcoin tends to fill these gaps over time Pitchfork Lower Support Line (~$80K) – If Bitcoin drops, this level aligns with multiple confluences by late February or early March Fib Speed Fan (0.618 from $50K to ATH) – Perfectly lines up with the pitchfork lower support around $80K Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension (1.618) – Another confluence at the $79K mark Fib Retracement (0.5 from $50K to ATH) – Adds more support at $79.3K Negative Fibonacci Retracement (-0.618) – Lands right at the open gap, reinforcing this zone Daily 233 EMA/MA – Sitting at $81.3K and $76.4K, further supporting this region Key Support Zone: $80K - $78K – With all these confluences, this is a strong area for a potential long setup Additional Support Zone: FWB:88K - $86K – Another important region to watch for a bounce Resistance Levels & Confluences Psychological Resistance at 100K – A major battle zone between bulls and bears Daily 21 EMA/MA (~$99.5K - 101K) – A key resistance level that could cap any upward movement 233 SMA/EMA on the 4H Timeframe – Now acting as resistance, adding pressure to the downside Potential Trade Setups Long Setup #1: A potential entry from FWB:88K - $86K Long Setup #2: $80K - $78K support zone with confirmation could present a high-probability trade Final Thoughts Bitcoin is facing strong resistance at 100K, with multiple technical indicators suggesting a possible pullback. While the bigger trend remains bullish, February might bring a correction, providing great long opportunities around the FWB:88K - $86K and $80K - $78K region. Keep an eye on key support zones and look for confirmation signals before jumping into trades. New Indicator Release The 4H, Daily, and Weekly support zones seen on the charts are from my new indicator, which I released for free a few days ago. Feel free to check it out and incorporate it into your analysis.
Long
by SiDec
2
Market3I haven’t been posting much lately simply because there’s nothing particularly interesting to say, the market has been a bit dull. 2025 should be a strong year for altcoins, as they’ve been consistently suppressed. With BTC dominance reaching 64%, which is quite significant, all attention remains on Bitcoin. On this chart, you can see that $1.17 trillion acted as a rejection level for the crypto market (excluding BTC and ETH). Time will tell, but I anticipate a $4 trillion altcoin bull market before the end of 2025. Remember, Fibonacci plays a crucial role in long-term market predictions. Invest wisely and at the right time. Happy Tr4Ding !
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by thecryer
12
S&P 500 Forecast for 2025: Insights from Stock Market CyclesAMEX:SPY CME_MINI:ES1! SP:SPX January Barometer: The month of January has already closed with a net gain over December. Therefore, in accordance with the January Barometer this suggests a positive year. First Five Days Indicator: The first five trading days being positive further supports this outlook. Although they were barely positive at +0.6% it still counts. December Low Indicator: This indicator is bearish if the December low is taken out in Q1 of the year. Unfortunately, the December low was already breached in January, which adds a note of caution. We now have two bullish indicators and one negative indicator. Presidential Cycle: With 2025 being the first year of a presidential term, historically this has been bearish for the stock market. It brings uncertainty, which may temper expectations. This is the year where presidents typically enact changes and tough fiscal measures, although president Trump may prove to be atypical here; especially if he enacts any of his tax policies, rate cuts or large government spending programs this year. So, while this indicator is bearish, it has a caveat given how unorthodox Trump is as a president. For example, in 2016 the stock market was very volatile but still gained 10% under Trump’s first term year. Outlook: Combining these factors, the outlook for 2025 is cautiously optimistic. While the January barometer and the first 5 days indicator point to a positive year, the breach of the December low coupled with this being the first-year of a presidential cycle suggests a volatile to bearish year. When combining all indicators we arrive at the conclusion that we are in for a volatile RANGE year. The bulls and bears will battle it out in a tug of war. While January-April tend to be seasonally bullish, May-October tend to be bearish. November and December are seasonally bullish too. So whether the year closes with a slight gain or slight loss isn’t the focus. The best approach for this year is to capitalize on the swings. Therefore, mean reversion strategies (buy low, sell high) are ideal. Momentum and breakout strategies should be avoided. Finally, avoid being caught in a drawdown in the May-October period and position yourself to capitalize on the Nov-Dec seasonally bullish period.
AMEX:SPY
by ConvictionTrades
BTC Correction Nearing Key Support – What’s Next?Bitcoin has been in a corrective phase over the past two days, retracing from recent highs and approaching critical support levels. Let’s break down the current market structure and identify potential trade opportunities based on confluences from multiple technical indicators. Key Support and Resistance Levels: 1. ) Golden Pocket Zone – $95,535 to $94,994 The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement is a widely recognised level where strong reactions often occur. This level aligns with a previous consolidation zone, making it a key demand area for potential long entries. A bounce from here could indicate that bulls are regaining strength. 2.) Deeper Support – 0.786 Fib, Monthly Order Block, and Yearly Open (~$93,576) If the golden pocket fails, the next key area of interest is around $93,576. Here, we see confluence with: The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, often the last strong retracement before a reversal. A monthly order block, which has previously acted as a strong support area. The yearly open, a crucial psychological and technical level that often holds significance throughout the year. 3.) Next Major Support if Yearly Open Fails – $88,000 to $86,000 (Swing Low & Weekly Support Zone) If price drops below the yearly open with confirmation of bearish momentum, I would look for the next buying opportunity at the swing low or weekly support zone, highlighted in the yellow box around $88,000 to $86,000. This area holds strong confluence as a higher timeframe support level, making it an attractive zone for potential accumulation. 4.) Resistance Levels – Open Price and Psychological Barrier at $100K $97,700 – This is the weekly open resistance level. If BTC struggles to reclaim this level, it could indicate further downside. $100K – A major psychological resistance where sellers could step in. Breaking and holding above this level would be a strong bullish signal. Trade Setups Based on Current Structure: 1.) Long Trade Setup – Golden Pocket Zone ($95,535 - $94,994) Entry: Between $95,535 and $94,994 (Golden Pocket Zone) Stop Loss: Below $93,500 to protect against further downside Take Profit 1: $97,700 (weekly open resistance) Take Profit 2: $100K (psychological resistance) 2.) Deeper Long Setup – If 0.618 Fib Fails ($93,576 - Yearly Open Zone) Entry: Around $93,576 (0.786 Fib + Monthly Order Block + Yearly Open) Stop Loss: Below $92,000 Take Profit 1: $97,700 Take Profit 2: $100K 3.) Alternative Long Setup – If Yearly Open Breaks ( FWB:88K - $86K Zone) Entry: Around $88,000 to $86,000 (Weekly Support Zone) Stop Loss: Below $85,000 Take Profit 1: $93,500 (yearly open retest) Take Profit 2: $100K Final Thoughts: Bitcoin’s current structure suggests a healthy correction within a larger uptrend. The golden pocket ($95,535 - $94,994) remains a key level for potential long entries, while a failure to hold here could see price testing the $93,576 region. However, if price drops below the yearly open and confirms bearish momentum, the next major buying opportunity lies at the Swing Low or Weekly Support Zone at $88,000 - $86,000. New Free Indicator – Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support Resistance Zones I’ve just released a free indicator called Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support Resistance Zones, which is now live and ready to use! This indicator provides dynamic support and resistance zones based on multiple moving averages across different timeframes, helping you identify key areas for potential trade setups with better precision. Feel free to check it out, give it a try, and let me know your feedback! 🚀
Long
by SiDec
XAUUSD Gold Short Trade For Swing TradersEvery day, the market sets new highs. According to the study, we should expect a good corrective move in the next days. We have SL in the last two transactions. We intend to execute a swing sell trade with a risk-reward ratio of 1-10; if this fails, we will proceed with a 1-12 risk-reward ratio. The market is at a point where a correction should occur, but the outlook for gold remains favorable. Because the market is already at an all-time high, preparing a long trade now may be riskier, thus in order to be active in long trades this month, we must wait for at least 70-100 points of price correction. You are all respectfully requested to use proper risk management when following these assessments and executing the suggested trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NexusTradesZone
XAU/USD Short Trade for swing tradersThe market is reaching an all-time high every day. According to the analysis, we should see a good corrective move in the coming days. We have SL in the past two trades. We are planning a swing sell trade with a 1-10 risk-reward ratio; if this fails, we will plan the next swing trade with a 1-12 risk-reward ratio. The market is at levels where a corrective move should occur, but the view on gold is still bullish. Because the market is already at an all-time high, planning a long trade, for now, can be more risky, so to be active in long trades for this month, we need to wait for at least 70-100 points of correction in price. you are all kindly requested to follow proper risk management to follow these analyses and execute the provided trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Harkaran_Singh_Karan
BTC next moves for 2025? Will 2021 repeat itself? Let's see :) History repeats itself, but will 2021 cycle repeat itself? If we break 90K next level around 70, but there are many longs down the line, liquidation and long squeez is likely leading us to 60 if not 50 ranges, a wick is expected then a retest to 90K levels to get rejection before final breakout to the all time trend prices likely around 115-120K. The herd will get excited by then, expecting a price to go above 120K, but I don't see this happening. And small dream secret, Nakamoto to be revealed later this year leading to significant crypto crash. I know many may laugh, but let's see how this go! It makes sense from technical POV (hahaha, except my dream which likely to happen - since I don't dream too often) - keep an eye on RSI to get back in 40s before refill. This idea is valid only and only if BTC breaks 90K and closes both daily and weekly below it with some a high volume! Desclaimer: The ideas and strategies presented here are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You should consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this post is not liable for any losses or damages resulting from the use of this information.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by Trader-Vas
1
Strategy 2025. Introducing Palantir, BTC Killer Of The Year 2024It's gone 3 months or so since Palantir stock has joined on Friday, September 20 Stock Top Club, also known as S&P 500 stock index SP:SPX . Palantir was one of the strongest contenders for inclusion in the broad market S&P500 Index. This inclusion, as well as Dell (DELL), came after tech companies Super Micro (SMCI) and Crowdstrike (CRWD) also joined the index earlier in this year 2024. Since that, Palantir stock became the best (i.e. #1) S&P500 index performer this year, with current +375% YTD return in 2024, being highlighted at 80.55 USD per share - the new all the history peak reached last Friday, December, 19 at regular session close. What is most important also, even recent Federal Reserve (The US Central Bank) hawkish projections on monetary policy in 2025 were not able to stop the only game in the city, or even make a pause on Palantir leadership. Since Palantir stock is rallying 7th month in a row, the stalkers remain decently far away, swallowing the galactic dust of Palantir shares. Judge for yourself. One of the nearest pursuer, Nvidia Corporation NASDAQ:NVDA (# 4 out of all S&P500 index performers in 2024) is nearly to finish the year of 2024 with +170% return, i.e. lagging against Palantir behind twice. The quite similar things happen with the most popular and heavy c-coin, also known as Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD that is currently +130% YTD return in 2024. What is most important also, Palantir stock outperforms both - S&P500 index, Nvidia Corp. and Bitcoin 7th straight month in a row. In human words that means, Palantir stock monthly returns (every single month from May to December 2024) were better against each of mentioned above assets. What is Behind this? On November 4, 2024 Palantir Technologies has announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024. “We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won’t slow down. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners,” said Alexander C. Karp, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Palantir Technologies Inc. Q3 2024 Highlights • U.S. revenue grew 44% year-over-year and 14% quarter-over-quarter to $499 million • U.S. commercial revenue grew 54% year-over-year and 13% quarter-over-quarter to $179 million • U.S. government revenue grew 40% year-over-year and 15% quarter-over-quarter to $320 million • Revenue grew 30% year-over-year and 7% quarter-over-quarter to $726 million • Closed 104 deals over $1 million • Customer count grew 39% year-over-year and 6% quarter-over-quarter • GAAP net income of $144 million, representing a 20% margin • GAAP income from operations of $113 million, representing a 16% margin • Adjusted income from operations of $276 million, representing a 38% margin • Rule of 40 score of 68% • GAAP earnings per share (“EPS”) grew 100% year-over-year to $0.06 • Adjusted EPS grew 43% year-over-year to $0.10 • Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term U.S. Treasury securities of $4.6 billion • Cash from operations of $420 million, representing a 58% margin and $995 million on a trailing twelve month basis • Adjusted free cash flow of $435 million, representing a 60% margin and over $1 billion on a trailing twelve month basis. Is the stock growth fundamentally deserved? Definitely, "Yes". Palantir stock Alpha What is Alpha? Alpha (a) is a term used in investing to describe an investment's ability to beat (outperform) the market, or its “edge.” Alpha is thus also often referred to as excess return or the abnormal rate of return in relation to a benchmark, or any other asset (even against simple sitting in a cash) when adjusted for risk. The main graph represents a comparison across Bitcoin and Palantir stocks. Since Palantir outperforms BTC twice over the past 12 months (watch lower "percent bar chart" subgraph), so why isn't to continue the play, by staying in a long with Palantir, and kill "the new oranges" respectively.
NASDAQ:PLTR
by PandorraResearch
XAU/USD Analysis for this week 3rd-Feb-2025 to 7th-Feb-2025According to our last analysis, gold was preparing to reach a new all-time high, which we achieved only last week. The expectation is to get a good correction from the 2830 area to 2759-2764 or 2728-2733. Both can be good long entries. The 2760 zone is good for intraday trading, but the 2730 zone can be good for swing trading with at least 1-5 RRR. This post is for weekly analysis. Meanwhile, if a good trade is activated, I'll post it here at the same time. kind request to all while using our analysis please do your risk calculation always.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Harkaran_Singh_Karan
XAU/USD Analysis for this week 27th-Jan to 31st - JanGold is preparing to make a new all-time high. a good correction move is coming, which is expected to the 2728-2733 zone. buy position from this zone can be good with proper calculation and risk management and a good swing trade with a 2800 - 2830 zone target. At the same time, we have to understand that big data reports also coming in this week like Federal Funds Rate and GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv which can move the market a lot in one direction which can be unpredictable move in the market. so trade management will be very important and crucial. So you can plan trades as mentioned in the provided post same time keep an eye on all important data reports coming in this week. if you wanna check all the reports below is the link for the website. www.babypips.com
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Harkaran_Singh_Karan
Bitcoin Crash to CashI am a student to any market maker and willing to share this formula with the public as long as it's understood as just a theory and not financial advice. This pull back is being orchestrated by fundamentals and not the media or Elon. The entire world is about to be awaken by the absolute fear of missing out on the next pump. But if you follow along my cookie crumbs you can easily see the next major buy zone. It's important that you understand the way to store your money in wallets and how to make sure if something happens to you... How can someone you love access these funds and export them if needed? Do not trade or invest in Crypto to get rich quick. Also it's imperative you have an IUL established. This functions as an income producing asset along with a protection function. If someone is relying on you then make sure you show them love with this coverage. Go fund me is not life insurance. Neither is buying crypto- Don't do stupid moves with your money. IUL's that are non participative are yielding 9%-15% yearly. You can multiple your income and warehouse of funds this way and take the extra or earnings and invest in the crypto market space. The Dow, NAS, SPX, Gold, Bitcoin and XRP are pulling back. This is because billionaires are going to buy high and lose. This makes the perfect opportunity for the small fish like us to wait until the absolute best buy zones are. This formula that I have provided will take time to pay out. Stay focused and watch my charts. Aaron Polk Money Train 678-739-7902 "Life Insurance Guy"
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by adefender90
(SOL) solana - ATHThe all time high was reached for Solana and right now the price is retracing the previous break of an all time high. At $3000/SOL that would be a 10x gain from the ATH right now. Is the path of Solana into the future going to look similar to Ethereum one day? And if so, how much time will pass before the billions of dollars flow into Solana if the outcome is a continued growth pattern as we have already seen? Solana surpasses BNB, passes $100B mcap, and despite the loss of previous years most competitive programmers to other chains, the interest in meme tokens on SOL chain seems to sustain the interest. How is it possible the world is still fascinated by meme cryptocurrency more than any other sector? At the start of 2024 there was a simple note passed along by Coinbase that stated the Dog-meme frenzy was not going away so easily as a core of the cryptocurrency defi culture. By the end of 2024 a lot of other random memes were present on Coinbase. Average meme culture has sprung onto Coinbase, USA's main crypto exchange. The shift from adding Ethereum tokens to Coinbase became all about Solana tokens. What will the future bring during 2025? How much influence does Coinbase have over the sector of defi cryptocurrency investing? Is it time for Ethereum to reach a new ATH?
COINBASE:SOLUSD
by CryptocurrencyBlot
1
Onyxcoin (XCN) 10x gains - luckyI know I'm not the only one that missed the amazing 10x gains from Onyxcoin. Whoever did have some of this cryptocurrency before the price went up this month sure is feeling lucky right now. I'd be hard pressed to say another company will be close to this amount of gains for the entire year. Looks like the year is going to be looking at the history of this monumental occasion for XCN. As it were, despite the company losing practically all their value, there is still a believer in this company out there in the world.
COINBASE:XCNUSD
by CryptocurrencyBlot
jasmy (JASMY) - lines from before nowI logged in to see the coverage of lines I drew awhile ago. Looks like the price of jasmy is close to one of those lines. I wonder if the price will rebound. Not much else to say. My inclination to believe the price of jasmy would sustain itself was not aligned well with the amount of seduction people found from selling. typical scenarios of investment. I am really trying hard to find an investment that does not lose like this but I remain confident in Jasmy.
COINBASE:JASMYUSD
by CryptocurrencyBlot
3
RUS 2000 | Market Crash AheadDetailed analysis in regards to my latest video. Comparing RUS to the general markets we can see that SPX is overperforming which can be used as a leading indicator to prepare for a possible crash to come most likely mid year Q2 - Q4 and bleeding into 2026. I also added DJT to the mix and it also is underperforming to what the SPX is doing now days. What does this mean for crypto? We can see BTC attempt to make one more leg to the upside, no more than $300k and at least a 100% runup from current levels ~($108k). Altcoins will most likely look to rip Q2 - Q3 as BTC.D struggles to run any higher. DXY is also at a structural low ~(100) and will look to finish its goal to hit ~120. My original call since 2021 was to see BTC hit $300k by 2025 - 2026. We'll see if price action surprises me! My SPX call in 2023 also gladly hit $6,000..we'll see whats next to come👀
FX:US2000
by Nathanl19
Inauguration Day! Beware of cowboy swings. Trade responsibly Inauguration Day brings a mix of excitement and uncertainty to the markets, so if you're trading today, be extra cautious. Expect some wild price swings—those "cowboy swings"—as investors react to the political shifts and news. It's easy to get swept up in the action, but remember, it's always best to keep your cool. While the day might bring opportunities, it also has its risks. Make sure you're staying level-headed, sticking to your strategy, and trading responsibly. And, as always, if things feel too chaotic, there's no shame in sitting this one out. Safe trading!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Blayno_MTOPS
1