TLT @ MMA200 support; Bond market didn’t trust today’s bounce!TLT still going down despite today’s big bounce in equities. TLT stopped exactly on the monthly mma200 red line after breaking below 100 today Monday.
TLT should hold mma200 this week or else bonds & equities have a lot more to fall.
Not trading advice.
20yrbondetf
$TLT looks like it's heading to the $120 rangeTLT looks like it's formed a massive weird looking head and shoulders pattern on the weekly timeframe.
So far, it's managed to hold support in the $134 range. However, that range has been tested a number of times now that I think the next time it test on larger timeframes, support will break. There's little support between here and the $120s so the next logical target to me is at $122-123.
Eventually, I can see it hitting the lower targets at $114.
Let's see what happens over the next few weeks and months.
TLT - Ranging for nowLike everything Else the 007s are contending with an aggressive FED
which is hell-bent on Full control.
Long End 30/20 Cross, Short end muted to heavily Intervened, to put it mildly.
Regardless - in Real Terms, Inflation continues to Eat and Feed on everything.
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Even the DX is confused as to where to go and what to do there.
Crypto continues to perform its SOAK FUNCTION.
Sopping up excess liquidity in order to prevent errant behaviors elsewhere,
by example AMC GME NOK and Penny's.
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Keeping everyone and everything in a "Manic State" is working well for them.
Not so much for Us...
TLT - Opprotunity Approaching once againTLT is aimless, wandering the desert which is Bonds.
ZN has made new Lows for 2021 and continues to squat
over the 130 Level.
We believe it will fail as 10 Year Yields begin to complete
their Consolidation and cross the 1.645 Level - indicating
a move back to the 2021 Highs.
We will be entering a SELL on Shares only.
IV is not tempting enough at present as the Bond Bid has
been absent - today's 8AM EST resolution will provide far
more information for the larger trade here.
BUlls are eyeing the large Gaps overhead, believing they
are next.
We're not convinced they are correct, the 172s are a
which Implies Extreme Negative Returns.
Perpetual Bonds is al 007s will Clip while watching the
Capital Dissolve over time.
To each their very own.