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3drivers

CHFJPY 3 DRIVES BEARISHHello traders and welcome! I hope you're all having a fantastic trading week. Today, let's take a closer look at CHFJPY on the 4-hour chart, as it's presenting a promising trading opportunity. On the 4-hour chart, we can observe the formation of a compelling 3 drives bearish pattern. Initially, the price seemed to ignore the bearish scenario, but subsequently, a double top formation has emerged. This double top formation is often indicative of a potential reversal, signaling a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend. Currently, the price is trading below the short entry level, marked at 171.104. This suggests a bearish sentiment in the market. The volume accompanying this movement indicates active participation from market participants, adding weight to the analysis. As long as the price remains below the short entry level (171.104), we can consider potential targets for the trade. Here are the Fibonacci retracement levels to keep an eye on: 62% Fibonacci retracement level (AD): 168.635 79% Fibonacci retracement level (AD): 167.807 100% Fibonacci retracement level (AD): 166.811
Short
by TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros
Trading With the Three Drives PatternHarmonic patterns are known for their ability to provide effective trade setups. The Three Drives pattern is no different, and in this FXOpen article, we’ll delve into what this pattern is, how to identify it, and explore some of the best strategies for trading it. Introduction to the Three Drives The Three Drives pattern, sometimes referred to as the 3 Drives pattern, is a technical analysis tool used to identify potential reversal points in price movements. Traders look for three consecutive, symmetrical bullish or bearish legs, known as drives, with the third point marking the completion of the formation. The Three Drives is classified as a harmonic pattern and is closely related to the ABCD pattern. However, whereas the ABCD is made up of two legs and one pullback, the Three Drives consists of three legs and two pullbacks. As a result, it can be slightly trickier to find than the regular ABCD chart formation. Still, many traders consider it to have a higher degree of accuracy when predicting trend reversals, so it’s worth learning how to recognise this pattern. Identifying the Three Drives At its most basic, the pattern is identified by a series of higher highs and higher lows (bearish) or lower highs and lower lows (bullish). Specifically, it features three consecutive, symmetrical drives and two retracements. The drives are typically marked 1, 2, and 3, and the retracements are noted as A and B. Like other harmonic patterns, the Three Drives is confirmed using Fibonacci ratios. Thankfully, its rules are fairly simple. They are: - A retraces drive 1 by 61.8% or 78.6% - B retraces drive 2 by 61.8% or 78.6% - Drive 2 is a 127.2% to 161.8% extension of retracement A - Drive 3 is a 127.2% to 161.8% extension of retracement B Additionally, for best results, the pattern calls for the time each drive takes to form to be roughly the same. This also applies to the corrective phases. As with many harmonics, being flexible with the rules may help you distinguish more opportunities. Often, the Three Drives will work without perfect symmetry or the ratios lining up exactly. That’s not to say you shouldn’t aim for it to meet the rules as precisely as possible, but you can allow a bit of leeway if the overall formation looks correct. If you want to try your hand at finding the Three Drives, you can use the TickTrader platform. It’s free to use, and you’ll find built-in Three Drives and Fibonacci retracement tools that’ll help you plot the formation, just like we’ve used in the bearish Three Drives forex example above. Using the Three Drives Pattern for Trading Once you have identified the pattern, it’s time to put it into action. Note that these steps don’t just apply to forex trading; you can use them with whatever asset you prefer to trade. Entries You have two options for making an entry here: with a market order or a limit order. Some traders set a limit order at the 127.2% or 161.8% extension of B, where the third drive is expected to begin reversing. However, while this strategy may result in pinpoint entries, it also makes setting stop losses difficult, as you’re entering before the price has started to reverse. Waiting for price action confirmation might make setting stops much easier but can result in a worse risk/reward ratio. You could try waiting for signs of reversal with candlestick patterns like shooting stars, hammers, or engulfing candles before entering with a market order. Stop Loss If you choose to wait for confirmation, you can just set your stop above the highest point for a bearish Three Drives or beneath the lowest point for a bullish setup. If you’re using a limit order at 161.8%, you could try setting a stop beyond the 170% or 175% extension of B, which would invalidate the setup. You could do something similar if entering at 127.2%. Take Profits Your profit target here is quite flexible. You could choose to exit at a specific risk/reward ratio, like 1:2 or 1:3. Some look to take profit at the 61.8% retracement of the whole pattern, i.e., using the Fibonacci retracement tool from the start of the first drive and the end of the third drive. Alternatively, you could also use the Fibonacci extension tool to find the 127.2% or 161.8% extensions of the entire formation and set a profit target at either level. Bullish Example Here, we can see the roughly symmetrical 3 Drives pattern in the forex market that prompted a significant reversal. Following the massive engulfing candle, a market order would’ve gotten traders into a decent trade. Bearish Example In this example, we see a much larger pattern. While the final drive ended up slightly beyond the 161.8% area, the symmetry and almost perfect retracements to the 61.8% levels indicate that the pattern was likely to play out as expected. Traders could’ve entered at the projected 161.8% extension of the second retracement with a stop above the 170% level to secure an excellent risk/reward ratio. Your Next Steps By now, you should have an understanding of the Three Drives pattern and how to recognise it. If you’re wondering what to do next, you can try following these steps: 1. Practice identifying the formation on historical charts. You can use TickTrader to help with this. 2. Once you become more familiar with the pattern, start formulating a strategy. You could try backtesting a few setups to see how well your system works. 3. You can open an FXOpen account and test your strategy in live markets to refine your approach. 4. Read up on related topics, like harmonic patterns and Fibonacci retracements, to expand your knowledge. These four steps may put you in good stead when it comes to trading the Three Drives chart formation for real. Happy trading! This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
6
BTCUSD Pullback to Neckline Accomplished. 50% drawdown expectedSigns of reversal, market structure choppy. Flat correction in consecutive double three zig-zags on the upper boundary of a macro diagonal after an complete impulsive wave; lower highs with decrease of volume, showing lack of confidence by the buyers-side, as shown on Weis Wave Volume indicator; overbought condition. Harmonic patterns: potential bearish Crab leading to supply. If price action don't reach this area breaking volume POC, a least a back-test to VWAP from the higher high can be occur, leading by an 3-Drives pattern. High possibility of a POC back-test @ preferencial 14,6% Fibonacci retracement zone. Plus AB=CD bearish projection leading to the micro demand zone. Strong hidden bearigh divergence on CCI oscillator. Short position swing perspective: if price broke weekly pivot level @ 21009 with strength, possible intermediary target @ 18229 support. The price can retrace to the pivot. MACRO Weekly price action: the price made a strong bearish candlestick pattern Harami Cross. The price is trading in a broadening structure like a ending diagonal formation. Weekly scenario: price pulled back to neckline from the major Head and Shoulders back-testing the VWAP from ATH. In a potential fractal from the 1st test of this VWAP, in which the same Harami Cross performed in an overbought condition, showing that a strong supply was reached. In addiction to the fractals, I've selected the local choppy structure and calculated the pivots by the sum of high+low+close:3, resulting in a key level exposed, in which price retraces before continue the decline in an impulsive bearish leg-Down. Expectation: possible lower low if a throw-over occurs in a breaking of the expanding diagonal structure. this can be lead price to touch the same 88,6% Fibonacci level as occurred historically in all corrections. Therefore, a drawndown of 50% to the 11k level seems strongly possible, --------------------- Bitcoin is about to complete it's first Wave 1 Grand Super Cycle bull run, in which actual point seems to be forming a ending diagonal of 5th impulse wave.
Short
by firmestudio
7
LTC/USD Potential Bullish 3 Drives ReversalNot a professional. Not financial advice. It’s hard for me to believe the crypto market is ready to go up again in the short term but the LTC/USD chart surprisingly looks ready to rip if the money was to flow again. 1) It underperformed this past year relative to expectations, but on the bright side it’s been forming a giant Cup & Handle when you zoom out. 2) Within the handle a bullish 3 drives down appears to be very much in play. 3) The RSI & MACD also look primed for some divergence signals too but again I’m not an expert. I’m looking for 3 things: - the sell off to continue down to the $135 range - the volume needs to shows up - and a retest of the trend line for confirmation Thoughts?
COINBASE:LTCUSD
by n_1a1a_01
1
SPY looks like either a really short 3 Drives Pattern or BatFrom the chart we can see a possibly 3 Drives Pattern (dropping two successive short 1.618 statistical markers) or a larger Bat pattern that stopped at .886 on the uptrend. We are still in a larger uptrend from the original Fib extensions. The larger daily doesn't extend to 1.2168 until 370.x range so we are not greatly overextended. But the concern is the smaller pattern inside. If it confirms a 3 drives then we could see 370. If it confirms a Bat (not reaching above .886 again) then we are in a for a long term downtrend all the way statistically to 302.x That is my take it as you will. Right now I am neutral on SPY until after the election.
AMEX:SPY
by swimmax
Intraday trading opportunities using liquidity gapsLiquidity gaps (price spikes) occur on the charts all the time and it doesn't matter what time frame you're looking at as you will find them everywhere. Now, not all liquidity gaps fill but depending on the market environment you're in, you can use these liquidity gaps to your favour to help discern where the market could go next sometimes with higher probability. What you have when you see a sharp spike in price are inefficient moves created in a direction where there is usually thinner liquidity present which is the reason for such a sharp drive in the first place, so when price starts to slow down after the move and show signs of weakness we can look for any topping or bottoming structures/patterns that may lead to price starting to fill the gap back to the original point where price took off from. As price starts to move back to the original position there is increased probability for price to fill the original drive higher or lower as there is not a lot of volume/transactions present in the price action to halt the move coming back towards the origin with great effect. Also, If price does fill back to the origin then there is a good chance that we could also see a bounce at this level again as this is where most of the order flow ignited the original spike higher/lower and additional volume could be present to help protect the original move. As you can see from the chart, we have shown 2 intraday moves on AUDUSD to show this natural movement in price that occurs very frequently both in a long and short example.
Education
by DavidVillagra
2