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GBPJPY 4H 15M RABBIT TRAIL CHANNEL TRADING STRATEGY LONG TRADERule #1: Draw a channel on a 1 or 4 hour chart. Rule #2 Identify If there is a Breakout on 1 hour or 4 hour chart. Rule #3 Wait for a Pull Back on a 15 minute Chart. Rule #4 After Pull Back on 15m, Make Entry. Rule #5 Find a Stop Loss Placement. Rule #6 Ride The Rabbit Trail to 50 pips with a TP Order! Rule #1: Draw a channel on a 1 hour or 4 hour chart. The first thing you need to do to get this strategy started off is you need to find a channel on a four hour or one hour chart. Remember there must be two resistance and support points to validate a channel. This strategy can use many currency pairs. Make sure you search through all of them. Many say that they “only trade EURUSD.” There is no reason for that.. Get in the charts and see for yourself! There are channels everywhere. This strategy will work with any currency pair. The opportunities are endless.. Not too bad. So basically all you are doing here is drawing parallel lines on the tops and bottoms of the price movement. This example hit a quite a few resistance and support levels which means that when it breaks this channel it has the potential to make a huge move! Rule #2 Identify If there is a Breakout on a 1 hour chart. The way you find the trade is to find a breakout of the channel that you drew on your chart.. In a perfect world the support and resistance levels will hold on forever.. But the world isn’t perfect.. So that’s why we have what is called a breakout. This breakout happened on the top of the channel. So that means you will BUY. If the breakout happens on the bottom of the channel then you will SELL. Great! We have breakout candle let’s get in the trade and follow the rabbit trail to pip glory! Rule #3 Wait for a Pull Back on a 15 minute Chart. Why wait? Because the market is money grabbing machine, and they want your hard earned cash! You wait because sometimes the market does a “head fake” and turns against you. So if you would have got in this trade right when it broke out of the channel you would soon have got stopped out. That is why it is so important to Wait for it to pull back. This is where many people struggle. They see that it broke out so they want to click BUY or SELL right now!!! Think about the sayings you have heard since you were a child, “Patience is a Virtue,” Or “Good things in life take Time” Just be patient and wait… This trade would not have burned you, but countless other trades would have! Think about the pull back as the candle that closes towards the channel. So if the pull back is above the channel you are looking for a bearish (red) candle. If the pull back is below the channel you are looking for a bullish (green) candle. *We only need one of these pull back candles on a 15 minute chart. Once this happens move on to the next step. Rule #4 After Pull Back, Make Entry. We are getting so close to getting on our rabbit trail to make some serious pips! Our lines are drawn, we identified the breakout, and waited for the pull back. It is now time to make our trade. The criteria to make an entry after a pull back on a 15 minute chart to enter a trade is that there must be two 15-minute candles that support our trade. If it is a BUY trade we want to see TWO bullish (up) candles after the pull back. If it is a SELL trade we want to see TWO bearish (down) candles after the pull back. Enter after the two bullish 15 minute candlesticks close. So again, we WAIT for a pull back candle to close and then we need two BULLISH (green) candles to close to many an entry. Rule #5 Stop Loss Placement This is probably one of the most important rules of the strategy. You always need to place a stop loss somewhere for a reason. If you are throwing in stop losses 5 to 10 pips from your entry order just because someone you read that somewhere, then you are without a doubt treading some dangerous waters. In a Buy The stop loss will be placed in the channel below the last support point. In a SELL The stop loss will be placed in the channel above the last resistance point. That way if it does come back in the Channel it will hit the support level and end up going back up in a bullish movement. Rule #6 Ride The Rabbit Trail to 50 pips! The last thing you need to do is know when to exit the trade. This strategy goes for a 50 pip target. So when you make your entry, you calculate 50 pips take profit mark and place it. The rabbit trail may be 2 hours, or could take as long as two days. You have your target so really you have nothing else to do but sit back and watch your trade make you some money! Stay in the trade and remember your rules. You are going for a 50 pip breakout trade!
Education
by Tradingstrategyguides
2
GBPUSD 4H EMA SHORT TRADING STRATEGYExponential Moving Average Strategy (Trading Rules – Sell Trade) Our exponential moving average strategy is comprised of two elements. The first degree to capture a new trend is to use two exponential moving averages as an entry filter. By using one moving average with a longer period and one with a shorter period, we automate the strategy. This removes any form of subjectivity from our trading process. Step #1: Plot on your chart the 20 and 50 EMA The first step is to properly set up our charts with the right moving averages. We can identify the EMA crossover at the later stage. The exponential moving average strategy uses the 20 and 50 periods EMA. Most standard trading platforms come with default moving average indicators. It should not be a problem to locate the EMA either on your MT4 platform or Tradingview. Step #2: Wait for the EMA crossover and for the price to trade below the 20 and 50 EMA. The second rule of this moving average strategy is the need for the price to trade below both 20 and 50 EMA. Secondly, we need to wait for the EMA crossover (20 ema below 50 ema), which will add weight to the bearish case. By looking at the EMA crossover, we create an automatic buy or sell signals. Since the market is prone to false breakouts, we need more evidence than a simple EMA crossover. At this stage, we don’t know if the bearish sentiment is strong enough to push the price further after we sell to make a profit. To avoid the false breakout, we added a new confluence to support our view. This brings us to the next step of the strategy. We refer to the EMA crossover for a sell trade when the 20-EMA crosses below the 50-EMA. Step #3: Wait for the zone between 20 and 50 EMA to be tested at least twice, then look for selling opportunities. The conviction behind this moving average strategy relies on multiple factors. After the EMA crossover happened, we need to exercise more patience. We will wait for two successive and successful retests of the zone between the 20 and 50 EMA. The two successful retests of the zone between 20 and 50 EMA give the market enough time to develop a trend. Never forget that no price is too high to buy in trading. And no price is too low to sell. Note* When we refer to the “zone between 20 and 50EMA,” we actually don’t mean that the price needs to trade in the space between the two moving averages. We just wanted to cover the whole price spectrum between the two EMAs. This is because the price will only briefly touch the shorter moving average (20-EMA). But this is still a successful retest. Now, we still need to define where exactly we are going to sell. This brings us to the next step of the strategy. Step #4: Sell at the market or a limit order when we retest the zone between 20 and 50 EMA for the third time. If the price successfully retests the zone between 20 and 50 EMA for the third time, we go ahead and sell at the market price inside the zone with a bearish candle close or limit order at 50 ema line. We now have enough evidence that the bearish momentum is strong to continue pushing this market lower. Now, we still need to define where to place our protective stop loss and where to take profits. This brings us to the next step of the strategy. Step #5: Place the protective Stop Loss 20 pips above the 50 EMA After the EMA crossover happened, and after we had two successive retests, we know the trend is down. As long as we trade below both exponential moving averages the trend remains intact. In this regard, we place our protective stop loss 20 pips above the 50 EMA. We added a buffer of 20 pips because we understand we’re not living in a perfect world. The market is prone to do false breakouts. Step #6: Take Profit once we break and close above the 50-EMA In this particular case, we don’t use the same exit technique as our entry technique, which was based on the EMA crossover. If we waited for the EMA crossover to happen on the other side, we would have given back some of the potential profits. We need to consider the fact that the exponential moving averages are a lagging indicator. The exponential moving average formula used to plot our EMAs allow us to still take profits right at the time the market is about to reverse.
Short
by Tradingstrategyguides
2
SPY - 4H Short term Analysis - Don't Trade1. Looking at the RSI, it shows oversold conditions at 44, we need to take into account that it needs to tests 50-60 RSI to understand the forward pattern before it can reach 30 RSI or 70 RSI. We call this a dead cat bounce if bearish. Based on the current situation, the idea is to wait until 50 RSI and do a Strangle in options. 2. It's testing the 50 moving average, it is able to break the 20 moving average then we could say with confidence is bullish. If it fails then it will test the 100- and 200 AT THE PRICE $295. This statement could be supported by the support at level 294 starting from March 2020. 3. There is a gap between $311 and $318 that has to be filled in the future. Stay out of the trade until any of these conditions meet, then you can freely trade safer. Have a good day guys.
AMEX:SPY
by Winallday310
1
BTCUSDT 4H | Bitcoin market overview: ShortHello, dear subscribers! Yesterday the price of bitcoin dropped below $9,350, which indicates that the downtrend has begun. MACD and RSI indicators confirm that the price has fallen. On the daily chart of the MACD we can see an increasing force of downward movement. The RSI value is below 50 and is looking down. The first target of this movement is $8,600-$8,800. Further targets for sellers are $6,800-$7,000. The current price is $9,280. If you have a long position, the right decision now is to exit it and wait for the cheaper price to buy. Subscribe to the channel and follow the news from the bitcoin market!
Short
by CatalystsFinance
EURUSD 4H PIN BAR SHORT TRADE STRATEGYBasic Guidelines: Timeframe – ANY Market – ANY Indicators – NONE OTHER – Trend lines, horizontal lines, support resistance lines (anything to help you find these areas). Step 1: Find a Pin Bar On Your Chart. *Note This is a stock price action strategy, and a forex price action strategy. I will use a currency pair as an example. Price action charts are with any market and timeframe. First, identify a pin bar that has formed. In the example, this is considered a bearish pin bar because of the long wick above the body. As you can see, the pin bar “wick” is above the body, which is considered a bearish pin bar. In this case, we are looking for a downtrend bounce of the top of the range. This is a 4 hour time chart EURUSD currency pair. You can see the Bears tried their hardest to stop this uptrend from occurring. The Bears were too strong, which is why you see the pin bar form. This is a perfect example of a pin bar price action reversal setup. Step 2: Look for Past Price Action to Determine Why The Pin Bar Formed. Why did the reversal suddenly hit a price, and then continue to the downside? We can see price has been in a range pattern for quite some time. Note** you can either look at the current time frame you are on, in this case, a 4-hour time period. Or you can bump up or down one or two periods to gather information. Resistance in the past can mean support in the future. What happened is the price hit this level but failed to break through it. Since the long bullish wick formed, we decide it is time to enter this trade based on what we learned from the prior days. This is what Price Action is all about. No two trades are the same. However, we can take what we’ve learned from the past. Then make the best judgment as to where the price is going in the future. You are essentially like a detective when you trade price action. The point is to gather many pieces of evidence to back up your conclusion. You are trading with confluence. Sometimes simple is best. Study the charts and form an educated conclusion as to where the price will go. Step 3: Trade entry You just enter the trade 2-3 pips from the break of the nose of the pin bar. Step 4: Stop loss Place the stop loss 3-5 pips away from the wick. The end of the wick will be a support area. So if this is broken the trend may continue downward. Which is why you place your stop 3-5 pips away from this. Step 5: Exit Strategy Your exit strategy is when you hit the first level of support or resistance on your chart. As you can see, the price hit a point then stalled out. Once we see the price action stalling out, we exit the trade immediately. Conclusion – Price Action Pin Bar Strategy Price action is another fundamental element to learn when trading the market. There are thousands of strategies you can use with price action. It is important to find something that works for you. These pin bars are hard to miss. They are relatively accurate when you learn why a pin bar formed. Pin bar candles are shown in any time frame. The rule of thumb is, the higher the time frame, the stronger the signals. But that does not mean that this will not work on a five-minute time frame. Do not trade every pin bar you see that forms. Gather up key information from the charts. Then form the best conclusion to determine if you should enter the trade based on the rules.
Education
by Tradingstrategyguides
5