GBPNZD Long, Double Bottom rejecting the 50 EMAHi guys,
another day another trade. Quite alot of setups this week so far. Today I'm going to put an entry order on GBPNZD.
Price pulled back and formed a double bottom, rejecting the 50 EMA aswell as the 0.618 daily fibonacci retracement level.
As of the time of writing this price has'nt closed above the daily 0.5 level yet, if the day should close above it would be the icing on the cake.
I will put an order shown as on the screen. My risk per trade is 1% of my account size.
Happy trading
50%-retracement
NZDCAD Short: Wolfe Wave + Expanding Triangle at 50% RetraceAfter the RBNZ announcement cancelled the last NZDCAD short, a new opportunity has presented itself. A bearish WW has formed with the touch of the 2-4 parallel confluent with the 50% retracement level. We also have a potential E point of an expanding triangle complete which may mark a larger reversal from these levels. On the daily chart, the pair is contained within a bearish expanding triangle and this could present an opportunity to ride it down toward point E on the larger TF. The unhit pivot for June 2016 presents a nice target at which to take profit.
Bearish Confluence:
Bearish Wolfe Wave complete
Expanding triangle
50% retracement level
Descending expanding triangle on daily TF
Unhit June, 2016 pivot below price
Bearish RSI Divergence
RSI Overbought
Again, be mindful of news events. It is a good idea to wait until the Poloz speech at 11:15EST for entry as this may present significant CAD volatility. Happy trading to all!
CHFJPY POSSIBLE RETRACEMENT .50/ 1.272 FIB LEVELPossible FX:CHFJPY
Price Completed up ABCD on Monthly
Now at 1.272 extension of Down AB Swing/ and .50 Retracement of UP AB Swing
We may see reversal from 108.48
StochRSI Over Sold for long time
Price Falling Since Jan 2015.
IS IT TIME FOR A REVERSAL???
Short AUD/CHFPushing downward, price has retraced suitably into a location of resistance on the chart, a static level of ~0.7080 and the 8 ema closing as a high test bar/bearish pin bar. Price has rejected both the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement levels.
entry - below low of high test bar
stop loss - above high of high test bar
target - previous support level near 127.2% Fibonacci extension
AUS200/ASX200 long trade With a low test close testing a support area and the ascending trend line , and rejecting the 0.382 Fibonacci level as well as the 50% retracement line , this a long continuation trade with a preliminary target at the next resistance level. Entry above high of low test bar and stop loss below low of low test bar.
A short entry on GBP/AUDShort set up/entry reasoned from:
- high test bar close
- resistance at ~2.1470
- trend line resistance (4th test)
- rejection around 50 ema
- 50% retracement and close below
- oscillator bearish hidden divergence
entry - below low of high test bar
stop loss - above high of high test bar
target - at previous low or lower (after break of and close below previous low)
EUR/GBP - two scenarios0.7225 stands out clearly as a level on the EUR/GBP daily chart where price, it seems, is reacting in a bullish manner today. By day's end, should price close above this level, continuing bullish momentum could ensue. Evidently, this horizontal level, 50 ema and 50% retracement are acting as coalescent support. On the contrary, a close below 0.7225 may have price retest the rising trend line for another plausible long entry.
Could the price of Cocoa rise?Taking a long position based on:
- bullish/reversal bar
- support at ~ 3040, a weekly level;
- 200 ema rejection
- Fibonacci cluser:
-- 0.382 Fibonacci level rejection and close above on weekly time frame
-- 50% retracement and close above (2nd swing low to recent high)
entry - above high of reversal bar
stop loss - below low of reversal bar
target - at/above previous high
Long Pound-KiwiWith the following noted a long scenario appears to be in play:
- bullish reversal bar (near resemblance to bullish pin bar/low test bar)
- resistance becomes support (at ~2.3260 which stands out as a weekly level dating back to November 2009 )
- retest of 20 ema and close above
- trend line support (third touch)
- Rejection of 0.618 Fibonacci level and 50% retracement line, and close above
- Stochastic and RSI convergence
entry - above high of today's bar
stop loss - below low of today's bar
target - previous swing high or higher
Selling EUR/USDLooking at the following to sell EUR/USD:
- inside bar
- 50 ema rejection
- resistance at @1.1100
- Fibonacci cluster:
- 0.786 Fibonacci level rejection from previous swing high to swing low and closes below
- 50% retracement between first swing high at the top of the trend line and closes below
- trend line rejection
- Stochastic and RSI convergence
entry - below low of inside bar
stop loss - above high of mother bar
target - previous swing low or lower
Selling CableSeeing today's high test bar close rejecting a past level acting as both support and resistance within close proximity of a Fibonacci cluster (38.2% and 50%) drawn from two previous swing/cycle highs and rejecting the falling trend line for a third time highlights this end of day set up as a potential selling opportunity. Recent lower highs and lower lows signal a continuation of this new forming down trend after price failed to rally higher in the bull run up to May.
GBPUSD 4 HOUR SHORT LOTS OF UNCERTAINTY WITH GBP BECAUSE OF THE ELECTION WHICH IS CAUSING THE POUND TO DEPRECIATE. PRICE BROKE OUT OF THE RANGE LAST WEEK AND IT IS NOW LOOKING TO RETEST THE RANGE LEVEL (SUPPORT TURNED RESISTANCE). THIS IS A TEXTBOOK TREND CONTINUATION PATTERN (BREAK,RETEST,CONTINUATION) IF PRICE MANHES TO RETRACE BACK UP TO MY SELL ZONE I ALSO HAVE 2 FIB CONFLUENCES WHICH ARE THE 38.2 AND 50 FIB LEVEL. TARGET BACK DOWN AT SWING LOW WHICH IS ALSO A PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVEL.(1.46000) ALSO PRICE SEEMS TO BE APPROACHING A DYNAMIC RESISTANCE (20SMA)
What's next for USD/JPY?USD/JPY broke above the December 2014 high and closed well below. Recent price action appears to be trending after a consolidation breakout , near 120.40-120.65 , to the upside and break above , also, above the falling trend line drawn over previous highs . A possible retest of this trend line which lies in confluence with the 20 ema , a previous horizontal (now support) level (at ~120) and the 50% retracement with the sight of low test bar/hammer/reveral pin bar would be a strong signal to take the trade long . Succinctly, waiting for bullish signs at the next higher low .
Short AUD/JPYThe AUD/JPY daily chart displays consecutive lower highs and lower lows with a potential short setup to continue the visible falling trend (supported also by downward trendline). The current corrective phase seems to be running out of steam in initiation of a potential impulsive phase, with the production of a bearish reversal price bar:
- ricocheting off a previous level at ~95.20;
- rejecting the 50% retracement level which is contiguous to 95.20;
- bouncing off and (most likely) closing below the 50 ema; and
- bumping into the falling trend line encountering resistance.
Convergence is observable on RSI and hidden divergence on Stochastic. Both Stochastic and RSI are in overbought territory and are ostensibly preparing for a reversal.
Entry - below the low of today's bearish reversal bar close
Stop loss - above the high of today's bearish reversal bar close
Target - first profit taking zone at previous low/swing low (91.75), and possibly lower at 91.00 if swing low violated
* Ignore the placement of the arrow indicating RSI convergence.
High test close on NZD/CHFPrice action is trending downwards establishing consecutive lower lows and lower highs. A bearish high test rejecting the 0.7490 level, the 50% retracement and closing under the 38.2% Fibonacci level symbolises a continuation setup short potentially into 0.7190.
entry - below high test
stop loss - above high test
target - support area at ~0.7190